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The spotted rose snapper (Lutjanus guttatus Steindachner
1869) farmed in marine cages: review of growth models
Sergio G. Castillo-Vargasmachuca1
, Jes
us T. Ponce-Palafox1
, Eulalio Ar
ambul-Mu~
noz1
,
Guillermo Rodr
ıguez-Dom
ınguez1,2
and Eugenio Alberto Arag
on-Noriega3
1 Graduate Program for Biological and Agricultural Sciences, Autonomous University of Nayarit, Tepic, Nayarit, Mexico
2 School of Marine Science, Autonomous University of Sinaloa, Mazatl
an, Sinaloa, Mexico
3 Sonora Branch of the Northwestern Center of Biological Research, Guaymas, Sonora, Mexico
Correspondence
Eugenio Alberto Arag
on-Noriega, Unidad
Sonora, Centro de Investigaciones Biol
ogicas
del Noroeste, Km 2.35 Camino al Tular, Estero
Bacochibampo, Guaymas, Sonora 85454,
Mexico. Email: aaragon04@cibnor.mx
Received 3 March 2016; accepted 7 June
2016.
Abstract
The main purpose of this study was to review the growth models used in fish
culture and demonstrate the benefit of using the most appropriate growth
model for aquaculture studies. For this reason, another part of this study was
to use a dataset from spotted rose snapper (Lutjanus guttatus Steindachner,
1869) cultured in floating cages to determine what growth models were appli-
cable to this species. A total of 558 weight-at-age data points from a commer-
cial farm located near Nayarit, Mexico were used. The fish were cultured for
270 days in three cages of 125 m3
capacity. The initial density was
25 fish m3
, with an average weight of 2.07  0.52 g. Four asymptotic models
(von Bertalanffy growth model, a logistic model, the Gompertz growth model
and the Ratkowsky modified model), three nonasymptotic models (exponen-
tial, power extended and persistence models) and three versions of the general-
ized Schnute model were selected as candidate models. The best model was
selected based on the Akaike information criterion. The maximum log-likeli-
hood algorithm was used to parameterize the models considering a multiplica-
tive error structure. The survival was 90%, and the average final weight was
429.84  31.53 g. We concluded that the best model for describing the growth
of spotted rose snapper farmed in marine floating cages was the Schnute
model.
Key words: growth models, Lutjanus guttatus, multimodel approach, Schnute, von Bertalanffy.
Introduction
In aquaculture, it is very common to describe the growth of
fishes, mollusks and crustaceans without fitting a model;
instead, the studies usually present a plot of length or
weight over time. Some published studies use equations to
describe the specific growth rate (SGR), the daily weight
gain or the thermal growth coefficient (TGC). The first is
an equation that uses the final length or weight divided by
the culture period (time), and the second includes the
mean temperature during the culture period (see Dumas
et al. 2010 for comprehensive explanations). For cultiva-
tion, the growth rate of fish in aquaculture facilities is faster
than that in the wild. Understanding the growth perfor-
mance of fish in aquaculture is important; in addition to
SGR, knowledge of the growth curve parameters of the
growth model is important for improving production effi-
ciency.
A novel aquaculture practice in marine fisheries in Mex-
ico is the use of floating cages. Farming in floating cages
has several potential advantages; water renewal is high,
and no supplementary electric power is needed for this
exchange or for aeration. The snapper fishes (Lutjanidae
family) have been used experimentally for aquaculture
practices because they are a valuable fishery resource in
Mexico and other Latin American countries. According to
CONAPESCA (2013), catches reached 5851 metric tons
and a value of $194.396 million (Mexican pesos) in Mexi-
can waters alone in 2013. The spotted rose snapper (Lut-
janus guttatus Steindachner, 1869) appears to be the most
suitable snapper for farming in floating cages because it
accepts artificial food (pellet), it is easy to manipulate, it
© 2016 Wiley Publishing Asia Pty Ltd 1
Reviews in Aquaculture (2016) 0, 1–9 doi: 10.1111/raq.12166
tolerates captivity and its growth from hatchery to market
size is completed within 8 months (Castillo-Vargasma-
chuca et al. 2007; Ibarra-Castro  Duncan 2007; Boza-
Abarca et al. 2008; Silva-Carrillo et al. 2012; Hern
andez
et al. 2015). Although there are some studies on the
growth of various species of snapper in floating cages
(Benetti et al. 2002; Botero  Ospina 2002; Gardu~
no-Dio-
nate et al. 2010; Castillo-Vargasmachuca et al. 2012), there
have been no reports on the use of an individual growth
model for the spotted rose snapper or any other species of
snapper fish.
The main purpose of this study was to review the growth
models used in fish culture and demonstrate the benefit of
using the most appropriate growth model for aquaculture
studies. For this reason, another part of this study was to
use a dataset from spotted rose snapper cultured in floating
cages to determine what growth models were applicable to
these species from a set of asymptotic, nonlinear and expo-
nential standard models.
Growth data from aquaculture
Growth studies of reared fishes use weight-at-age data more
commonly than length-at-age data. Hernandez-Llamas and
Ratkowsky (2004) found that the weight-at-age data
describe a sigmoid-shaped growth curve. Initially, the rate
of growth in mass was low but increasing. The growth rate
reached a maximum, corresponding to the point of inflec-
tion in the curve, and then slowly declined to zero when
the animals achieved their mature weight. Most of the com-
mon equations used to describe growth in fishes are
restricted to length-at-age data; thus, they are unable to
describe sigmoid-shaped growth curves. These equations
require some adjustments to describe the asymptotic sig-
moid shape. In addition, the harvests of animals under cul-
tivation (fishes, mollusks and crustaceans) usually occur
when the individual growth curve is still in the exponential
phase. To describe the best growth model for reared fish,
the nonasymptotic-growth models (power, power
extended, exponential or Tanaka model) must be
considered.
Review of growth models fitted to aquaculture
animals
Anabolism is the process of building up body substances
and is proportional to the respiration rate. Respiration rate,
in turn, is usually proportional to surface area. Such general
principles lead to differential equations for growth pro-
cesses that are generally applicable to several species,
including fish. Growth equations are any models where
weight or length (dependent variable) is calculated using
time as the predictor (independent variable). Growth func-
tions are usually analytical solutions to differential equa-
tions that can be fit to the growth data. The sigmoidal or
curvilinear shape of the growth trajectory indicates that lin-
ear regression is not suitable to describe growth unless only
small portions of the curve are considered. For this reason,
nonlinear growth functions are the best means of estimat-
ing growth of fishes.
According to von Bertalanffy (1938), growth is the net
result of two opposing processes, catabolism and anabo-
lism. Catabolism occurs in all living cells and results in
breaking down body substances; it is therefore propor-
tional to the mass and weight of an individual. Aquacul-
ture studies commonly apply the von Bertalanffy growth
model (VBGM). Katsanevakis and Maravelias (2008)
proved that the use of multi-model inference (MMI) is a
better alternative to using VBGM a priori, but the use of
MMI for reared animals has been applied only recently
(Baer et al. 2011; Ansah  Frimpong 2015; Ch
avez-
Villalba  Arag
on-Noriega 2015). The literature provides
alternatives to the VBGM. The most commonly used
alternatives are the Gompertz growth model, the logistic
model (Ricker 1975) and the Schnute model (Schnute
1981).
The equation of von Bertalanffy is the most studied and
applied growth function to predict growth of fish and other
ectotherms (Ricker 1975; Hernandez-Llamas  Ratkowsky
2004; Katsanevaskis 2006). The equation conceptualized
growth as anabolism prevailing over catabolism.
The logistic function (Ricker 1975) is a very common
but also very basic form of a sigmoid function. Due to its
simplicity, it has been applied widely but is limited by its
mathematical background. Originally, the function was
developed to study population growth but was later applied
to individual growth studies. Due to its simple formulation,
the inflection point of the curve is always set in the middle;
both sides are inverted mirror images. The logistic curve is
always symmetric.
Like the logistic function, the Gompertz function (Gom-
pertz 1825) is a sigmoid-shaped function. In comparison
with the logistic function, the Gompertz function is an
asymmetric curve with the point of inflection not set in the
middle of the curve.
All three of these previous models contain three parame-
ters to describe the shape of the curve. One of the parame-
ters is the asymptote, which is unrealistic for indeterminate
growers.
The versatile growth model proposed by Schnute (1981)
is gaining acceptance in growth studies (Baer et al. 2011).
Unlike the logistic and the Gompertz models, the Schnute
growth model comprises four parameters to describe the
shape of the curve. And unlike the Bertalanffy function, it
Reviews in Aquaculture (2016) 0, 1–9
© 2016 Wiley Publishing Asia Pty Ltd
2
S. G. Castillo-Vargasmachuca et al.
has no specific application for length or weight data. This
model that can represent eight curves depending on the
values of two parameters ‘a’ and ‘b’. With the Schnute
model, both the asymptotic and indeterminate growth
models can be expressed.
Another group of nonasymptotic models had been used
to describe the growth of fishes (Mercier et al. 2011). They
are commonly named empirical because the parameter has
no explicit biological meaning. These models are the
extended power model, persistence model and the expo-
nential function. These three models could be good fits in
some situations because their shapes can reproduce the first
stages of fish culture.
Model selection
When more than one model is used, model selection is
usually based on the shape of the anticipated curve, the
biological assumptions and the fit to the data. Parameter
inference and estimation and the precision of these esti-
mates are based solely on the fitted model. Another
approach is to fit more than one model and to choose
the best model based on information theory. This
approach has been recommended as a more robust alter-
native compared with traditional approaches (Kat-
sanevaskis 2006). The most common information theory
approach is to use the Akaike information criterion
(AIC) (Katsanevaskis 2006; Zhu et al. 2009; Cerdenares-
Ladr
on de Guevara et al. 2011; Arag
on-Noriega et al.
2015).
Culture conditions
This study was conducted in the eastern coast of the mouth
of the Gulf of California at ‘Punta el Caballo’ Beach along
the Nayarit coast, Mexico (21°250
55.44″N, 105°120
26.63″
W). This area has a floating fish farm producing over
30 tons of snapper annually. The culture farm comprised
floating cages constructed with number 10 nylon, tar-
coated, polyamide netting and measuring 5 9 5 9 5 m.
Hatchery-reared spotted rose snapper was acquired and
transported from the Research Center for Food and Devel-
opment (CIAD), Mazatl
an, Mexico, in plastic tanks with
constant aeration and acclimated for 30 days in a labora-
tory before being introduced into the cages and to artificial
feed. The initial mean weight was 2.07  0.52 g
(mean  SD) before acclimation. The experimental units
were 3 nylon, tar-coated, polyamide floating cages (125 m3
capacities). The initial mesh size was 1.27 cm (0.5 in); after
60 rearing days, the mesh size was changed to 2.54 cm
(1.0 in), and at 120 days the mesh was changed to 4.44 cm
(1.75 in), which was used until the end of the trial. The
cages were equipped with 200-L plastic and 50-L glass
sealed drums as the flotation system, suspended 15 m
above the sandy bottom, 5 m apart, and aligned to the
main Pacific current.
Water samples were taken every day from each cage at
approximately 10:00 a.m. For the analysis of salinity, tem-
perature, pH and dissolved oxygen, a YSI multiparameter
system was used (Yellow Springs Instruments, Yellow
Springs, OH, USA).
During a 270-day grow-out period, the fish were fed
twice per day (0800 and 1600 hours) using net mesh bot-
tom devices as feeders. The fish were fed with a sinking
commercial pellet containing 40% crude protein, 15%
lipids, 17.1% carbohydrates, 4.0% crude fibre, 11.9% ash,
1.3% calcium and 1.0% phosphorus. The feeding rate was
adjusted monthly to 8% of the biomass in the first
3 months and decreased to 4% of biomass thereafter to the
end of the culture period. A sample of 20 fishes per cage
was obtained at the beginning of the experiment, and this
procedure was repeated every 4 weeks through the end of
the trial. The total length (nearest 1 mm) and mean weight
(nearest 0.1 g) were estimated for each individual. Survival
(S) was calculated as S = (Nf/Ni) where Nf is the total num-
ber of fish at harvest and Ni is the total number of fish
stocked. The absolute growth rate (AGR g day1
) and
specific growth rate (SGR per cent body weight day1
)
were calculated as: AGR = (Wf  Wi)/t, and SGR = 100
(lnWf  lnWi)/t, where Wf = final weight, Wi = initial
weight and t = time (day).
Model selection and inference regarding individual
growth of example data
An information theory approach was adopted to estimate
individual growth parameters (Katsanevaskis 2006; Kat-
sanevakis  Maravelias 2008). We chose a set of ten models
to address weight-at-age data and determined which model
was best. Four asymptotic models, three nonasymptotic
models and three versions of the generalized Schnute model
were selected. The asymptotic models were the VBGM, a
logistic model, the Gompertz growth model and the Rat-
kowsky modified model. The nonasymptotic models were
exponential, power extended and persistence. The equa-
tions are as follow:
The VBGM (von Bertalanffy 1938) is given by:
Wt ¼ W1 ð1  ekðtt0Þ
Þ
h i3
; ð1Þ
where Wt is the weight at time t, W∞ is the asymptotic k is
the growth coefficient weight and t0 is the theoretical age
at zero weight.
Reviews in Aquaculture (2016) 0, 1–9
© 2016 Wiley Publishing Asia Pty Ltd 3
Growth models of spotted rose snapper
The logistic growth equation (Ansah  Frimpong 2015)
is given by:
Wt ¼
Wmax
1 þ eðaktÞ
; ð2Þ
where Wt is weight at time t, Wmax is the maximum weight,
a is the initial rate of growth and k is the rate of decrease of
growth with time.
The Gompertz growth equation (Ansah  Frimpong
2015) is given by:
Wt ¼ W0em0ð1ekt
Þ
; ð3Þ
where Wt is the weight at time t, W0 is the theoretical
weight that corresponds to age 0, m0 is the initial instan-
taneous growth rate and k is the rate of the decrease of
m0.
The Ratkowsky modified growth model (Hernandez-
Llamas  Ratkowsky 2004) is given by:
Wt ¼ Wi þ ðWf  WiÞ
ð1  km1
Þ
1  kn1
 3
; ð4Þ
where Wt is the weight at time t, Wi is the initial weight, Wf is
the final weight, k relates to the rate at which Wt changes
from its initial to its final value, n is the number of data
points and m is the time modified according to the following:
m ¼ 1 þ ðn  1Þ
t  ti
tf  ti
 
; ð5Þ
where ti is the initial time of culture period and tf is the
final time of the culture period.
Another group of nonasymptotic models was used. They
are commonly named empirical because the parameter
has no explicit biological meaning. These models are as
follows:
the extended power model (Mercier et al. 2011):
Wt ¼ atbc
t ; ð6Þ
The persistence model (Mercier et al. 2011):
Wt ¼ atbeðc
t Þ
; ð7Þ
and the exponential function:
Wt ¼ aebt
; ð8Þ
where Wt is the weight at time t and a, b, c are
adjustment parameters with no explicit biological
meaning.
The Schnute growth model takes four mathematical
forms (Schnute 1981). In this study, we will describe Sch-
nute case 1 when a 6¼ 0, b 6¼ 0, as follows:
Wt ¼ Wb
1 þ ðWb
2  Wb
1 Þ
1  eaðts1Þ
1  eaðs2s1Þ
 
 1
b
; ð9Þ
Schnute case 2 when a = 0, b 6¼ 0, as follows:
Wt ¼ Wb
1 þ ðWb
2  Wb
1 Þ
t  s1
s2  s1
 
 1
b
; ð10Þ
and Schnute case 3 when a 6¼ 0, b = 1, as follows:
Wt ¼ W1 þ ðW2  W1Þ
1  eaðts1Þ
1  eaðs2s1Þ
 
; ð11Þ
where Wt is the weight at time t, W1 is the weight of
the individual at time s1, Wf is the weight of the indi-
vidual at time s2, s1 is the initial time of the culture per-
iod, s2 is the final time of culture period, a is the
relative growth rate and b is the incremental relative
growth rate.
The models were fitted using the maximum log likeli-
hood (lnL). The multiplicative error structure was consid-
ered. The lnL fitting algorithm was based on the following
equation:
ln LðhjdataÞ ¼
X
n
t¼1

1
2
lnð2pÞ
 

1
2
lnðr2
Þ 
ðln LðobsÞ  ln ^
LÞ2
2r2
!
 #
;
ð12Þ
where h represents the parameters of the models and r rep-
resents the standard deviations of the errors calculated
using the following equation:
r ¼
ffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi
ðLobs  Ln^
LÞ2
n
s
; ð13Þ
Model selection was performed using AIC (Burnham 
Anderson 2002). The model with the lowest AIC value was
chosen as the best model:
AIC ¼ 2 ln L þ 2k;
where lnL is the maximum log likelihood and k is the num-
ber of parameters in each model.
For all models, the differences between the AIC values
were calculated using
Reviews in Aquaculture (2016) 0, 1–9
© 2016 Wiley Publishing Asia Pty Ltd
4
S. G. Castillo-Vargasmachuca et al.
Di ¼ AICi  AICmin: ð14Þ
For each model, the plausibility was estimated with the
following formula for the Akaike weight:
wi ¼
expð0:5DiÞ
P10
i¼1 expð0:5DiÞ
; ð15Þ
Results
The environmental conditions of marine water in the float-
ing cages area were as follows: temperature = 27.89 
2.77°C, salinity = 36.24  1.95 psu, pH = 7.73  0.38
and dissolved oxygen = 5.29  1.01 mg L1
. The survival
was 90%, and the average final weight was 429.84 
31.53 g. Other variables used to evaluate the fish growth
performance were AGR = 1.58 g day1
and SGR = 2.22%
day1
. Finally, the feed conversion ratio (FCR) was
calculated as the weight of the supplied feed divided by the
increase in fish weight, and this value was 2.
Model selection
The original equation proposed by Schnute (1981) and
named in this study as Schnute case 1 was selected by
AIC as the best model (Table 1) to describe the growth
in weight of the spotted rose snapper in floating cages in
tropical waters at the mouth of the Gulf of California.
Schnute case 2 was selected as the second best model
(Fig. 1). The third and fourth best models were the
Gompertz model and the persistence model, respectively.
The Gompertz model has a curve with a sigmoid-shaped
trajectory and an asymptotic limit, and the persistence
model is nonasymptotic with a power-shaped trajectory.
For a better view of the four best models, Figure 2 was
drawn selecting these four curves. In the first 120 days of
culture, the four curves show very similar trajectories.
After day 120, the Gompertz and persistence models
diverged from the others. VBGM was ranked last by the
AIC (Table 1).
Schnute case 1 and Schnute case 2 appeared very similar
throughout the culture period, but the AIC differences (Di)
were more than 8, resulting in a plausibility of 98.52 in
favour of the Schnute model case 1 (Table 1).
According to the model fit, the initial estimated weight
resulted in 2.08 g while the average at the initial culture
period was 2.07  0.52 g. The estimated weight at the end
of the culture period was 464.2 g, and the observed value
was 429.8  31.5 g (Table 2). Three individuals were over
465 g, and the heaviest individual was 493 g.
Discussion
For a long time, fish growth under culture conditions has
been described by increasing weight over the culture per-
iod. Recently, researchers (Baer et al. 2011; Ansah 
Frimpong 2015) have shown that a more informative way
to describe the growth patterns of cultivated fish is the
growth-fitted model. A model fitted to the specific culture
allows for accurate interpolation of the weight for any
time in the observation range and not just when the data
were obtained. Interpolations or extrapolations are not
possible without fitting a model. However, selecting the
adequate model is challenging. Traditionally, the VBGM
has been used to describe the growth in weight or length
for fish under culture or fish from the wild. The questions
that naturally arise are how can models be tested ade-
quately and which models must be tested. Baer et al.
(2011) decided to test just three sigmoidal and asymptotic
models for the turbot Psetta maxima, while Ansah and
Frimpong (2015) tested four models to select the predic-
tive growth curve for farmed Nile tilapia, Oreochromis
niloticus; three models were asymptotic, and one of them
was nonasymptotic. In the present study, we decided to
probe ten models – asymptotic, nonasymptotic and gen-
eralized – keeping in mind that in fish farming, harvest is
commonly performed when the animals are still in their
exponential phase of growth. More importantly, it was
possible to investigate several models considering the ease
of testing models with computer programs in the present
time. Examining as many models as possible should not
be considered a waste of time if the objective is to obtain
the best model to describe the growth trajectory of the
species under study. Guzm
an-Castellanos et al. (2014)
described the use of 24 models (asymptotic,
Table 1 Hierarchal order of the models tested to describe the growth
of spotted rose snapper farmed in marine floating cages. The model
with the smallest value of the Akaike information criterion (AIC) is the
best
Model Parameters AIC Δi Wi (100%)
Schnute case 1 4 49.75 0.00 98.52
Schnute case 2 3 58.15 8.40 1.47
Gompertz 3 127.36 77.60 1.3815
Persistence 3 193.88 144.12 4.930
Schnute case 3 3 195.70 145.94 2.030
Extended power 3 328.37 278.62 3.159
Logistic 3 371.26 321.51 1.568
Ratkowsky modified 3 473.69 423.94 8.691
Exponential 2 1067.39 1017.64 1.0219
VBGM 3 2526.59 2476.84 0
Di is the differences of AICi  AICmin and Wi is the Akaike weight or
plausibility of the model.
Reviews in Aquaculture (2016) 0, 1–9
© 2016 Wiley Publishing Asia Pty Ltd 5
Growth models of spotted rose snapper
nonasymptotic and generalized) in estimation of the
growth for elasmobranches.
Although the VBGM is the most studied and most com-
monly applied model among all length-at-age models, its
use as the sole growth model is not well supported. With
respect to other studies using AIC, Baer et al. (2011) also
concluded that the VBGM is not the optimal model for
computing the growth of the turbot (P. maxima), and sim-
ilar results were found by Flores et al. (2010) in the sea
urchin (Loxechinus albus). It is clear that this new approach
to statistical inference based on information theory has
become increasingly popular, but it is very recent in
fisheries studies, where it has been used for less than a dec-
ade. von Bertalanffy (1938) proposed that few studies
describe the growth pattern of animals used in aquaculture
or fisheries because in general, animals tend to exhibit
asymptotic growth patterns with regard to length. For fish-
eries, VBGM has several advantages, but if the objective is
to determine the growth pattern of any aquacultural fishery
resource, a multi-model inference should be used. Despite
this, Mundry (2011) suggested the use of caution in ecolog-
ical studies and proposed using a mixture of null hypothe-
sis significance testing and information theoretical criteria
in particular circumstances. Therefore, it is expected than
Figure 1 Trajectories of the ten models used to describe the growth of the spotted rose snapper farmed in marine floating cages.
Reviews in Aquaculture (2016) 0, 1–9
© 2016 Wiley Publishing Asia Pty Ltd
6
S. G. Castillo-Vargasmachuca et al.
in aquaculture studies, the use of AIC will become common
in selecting models, but null hypothesis significance testing
will still be used with sufficient justification.
In the present study, a comparison of the original equa-
tion proposed by Schnute (1981) versus VBGM was per-
formed; hence, it is interesting to discuss the possible
reasons Schnute case 1 was selected as the best model and
VBGM performed the worst. This is possible because the
Schnute model has the advantage of containing the com-
mon form of the VBGM, including the logistic function,
and the Gompertz model as special cases. The Schnute
model is a general four-parameter growth model that con-
tains most of the preceding growth models as special cases.
Rather than modelling the instantaneous rate of change,
the Schnute model concentrates on the relative rate of
change. Additionally, the Schnute model uses a statistically
stable parameterization approach. As two of the four
parameters in the Schnute model are expected value
parameters, a greater stability than for VBGM parameteri-
zations is expected. The Schnute model consists of a differ-
ential equation forming eight different curve patterns
depending on the parameter values. The VBGM is a special
case among the alternative solutions. The VBGM assumes
an asymptotic weight, whereas the Schnute model is
derived from biological principles and incorporates acceler-
ated growth. The Schnute model treats asymptotic limits
and inflection points as incidental. This approach includes
the principles on which other models, such as the Gom-
pertz, Logistic and VBGM, are based.
The VBGM is typically used because it is the best known
and most commonly applied length-at-age model. Addi-
tionally, it is considered to provide biologically meaningful
parameters unlike other models; however, the case of the
Schnute model used in the present study has the same
physiological baseline as VBGM (Schnute 1981). VBGM is
based on metabolic processes: a balance between catabolism
and anabolism. Animal growth is considered the result of a
balance between synthesis and destruction and between
anabolism and catabolism of the building materials of the
body. The organism grows as long as building prevails over
breaking down; the organism reaches a steady state if and
when both processes are equal.
Another issue to be studied, which was proposed by
Haddon (2001), is the quality of fit versus parsimony. The
ten models used in the present study are structurally
Figure 2 Trajectories of the four best models selected by Akaike information criterion (AIC) to describe the growth of the spotted rose snapper
farmed in marine floating cages. (○) Observed data; ( ) Schnute_1; ( ) Schnute_2; ( ) Gompertz; ( ) Persistence.
Table 2 Parameters of the four best models used to describe the
growth of spotted rose snapper farmed in marine floating cages
Parameter Schnute 1 Schnute 2 Gompertz Persistence
a 0.00316 0
b 0.3209 0.4649
W1 2.084 2.0309
W2 464.29 493.98
k 0.010369
W0 2.1873
m0 5.5727
a 2.0970
b 1.0366
c 24.9892
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Growth models of spotted rose snapper
different; hence, we must consider different criteria in addi-
tion to the quality of numerical fit and consider the deter-
mination of which model is the best for describing the
growth curve of the spotted rose snapper or any other spe-
cies under study. If the quality of fit of several models is
similar, it is expected that the modeller will select the sim-
plest model because we tend to select less complex models.
Haddon (2001) was concerned that the ‘by eye’ adjustment
model is not quantifiable; in Figure 2 of the present study,
we could select any of the four models because they
describe the growth of the spotted rose snapper well. Had-
don (2001) stated that ‘selecting an optimum model
requires a balance between improving the quality of fit
between the model and the data, keeping the model as sim-
ple as possible and having the model reflect reality as clo-
sely as possible. Increasing the number of parameters will
generally improve the quality of fit but will increase the
complexity and may decrease the reality the latter reality is
hardest to assess’.
In the present study, the best model was selected accord-
ing to the AIC (Burnham  Anderson 2002), which must
be considered a strong quantitative criterion that accounts
for the amount of parameters in the model, actual results
and quality. The AIC selected the best model for describing
the growth curve of spotted rose snapper farmed in marine
floating cages as the original equation of the Schnute model
(Schnute 1981). This model has the highest number of
parameters (four) among the ten models used, and another
concern of Haddon (2001) is that a model with more
parameters will be rejected by AIC if the additional parame-
ters do not improve the quality of fit considerably. AIC is a
quantitative measure that balances the relative quality of fit
and the number of parameters fitted. For this reason, we
concluded that the best model for describing the growth of
spotted rose snapper farmed in marine floating cages was
the Schnute model.
Acknowledgements
This study was supported by Universidad Aut
onoma de
Nayarit. EAAN received financial support from CONACYT
(project 250520) for a sabbatical leave in Nayarit to partici-
pate in the present growth analysis. Edgar Alc
antara-Razo
of CIBNOR helped in preparing the figures.
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Growth models of spotted rose snapper

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1.The spotted rose snapper (Lutjanus guttatus Steindachner.pdf

  • 1. The spotted rose snapper (Lutjanus guttatus Steindachner 1869) farmed in marine cages: review of growth models Sergio G. Castillo-Vargasmachuca1 , Jes us T. Ponce-Palafox1 , Eulalio Ar ambul-Mu~ noz1 , Guillermo Rodr ıguez-Dom ınguez1,2 and Eugenio Alberto Arag on-Noriega3 1 Graduate Program for Biological and Agricultural Sciences, Autonomous University of Nayarit, Tepic, Nayarit, Mexico 2 School of Marine Science, Autonomous University of Sinaloa, Mazatl an, Sinaloa, Mexico 3 Sonora Branch of the Northwestern Center of Biological Research, Guaymas, Sonora, Mexico Correspondence Eugenio Alberto Arag on-Noriega, Unidad Sonora, Centro de Investigaciones Biol ogicas del Noroeste, Km 2.35 Camino al Tular, Estero Bacochibampo, Guaymas, Sonora 85454, Mexico. Email: aaragon04@cibnor.mx Received 3 March 2016; accepted 7 June 2016. Abstract The main purpose of this study was to review the growth models used in fish culture and demonstrate the benefit of using the most appropriate growth model for aquaculture studies. For this reason, another part of this study was to use a dataset from spotted rose snapper (Lutjanus guttatus Steindachner, 1869) cultured in floating cages to determine what growth models were appli- cable to this species. A total of 558 weight-at-age data points from a commer- cial farm located near Nayarit, Mexico were used. The fish were cultured for 270 days in three cages of 125 m3 capacity. The initial density was 25 fish m3 , with an average weight of 2.07 0.52 g. Four asymptotic models (von Bertalanffy growth model, a logistic model, the Gompertz growth model and the Ratkowsky modified model), three nonasymptotic models (exponen- tial, power extended and persistence models) and three versions of the general- ized Schnute model were selected as candidate models. The best model was selected based on the Akaike information criterion. The maximum log-likeli- hood algorithm was used to parameterize the models considering a multiplica- tive error structure. The survival was 90%, and the average final weight was 429.84 31.53 g. We concluded that the best model for describing the growth of spotted rose snapper farmed in marine floating cages was the Schnute model. Key words: growth models, Lutjanus guttatus, multimodel approach, Schnute, von Bertalanffy. Introduction In aquaculture, it is very common to describe the growth of fishes, mollusks and crustaceans without fitting a model; instead, the studies usually present a plot of length or weight over time. Some published studies use equations to describe the specific growth rate (SGR), the daily weight gain or the thermal growth coefficient (TGC). The first is an equation that uses the final length or weight divided by the culture period (time), and the second includes the mean temperature during the culture period (see Dumas et al. 2010 for comprehensive explanations). For cultiva- tion, the growth rate of fish in aquaculture facilities is faster than that in the wild. Understanding the growth perfor- mance of fish in aquaculture is important; in addition to SGR, knowledge of the growth curve parameters of the growth model is important for improving production effi- ciency. A novel aquaculture practice in marine fisheries in Mex- ico is the use of floating cages. Farming in floating cages has several potential advantages; water renewal is high, and no supplementary electric power is needed for this exchange or for aeration. The snapper fishes (Lutjanidae family) have been used experimentally for aquaculture practices because they are a valuable fishery resource in Mexico and other Latin American countries. According to CONAPESCA (2013), catches reached 5851 metric tons and a value of $194.396 million (Mexican pesos) in Mexi- can waters alone in 2013. The spotted rose snapper (Lut- janus guttatus Steindachner, 1869) appears to be the most suitable snapper for farming in floating cages because it accepts artificial food (pellet), it is easy to manipulate, it © 2016 Wiley Publishing Asia Pty Ltd 1 Reviews in Aquaculture (2016) 0, 1–9 doi: 10.1111/raq.12166
  • 2. tolerates captivity and its growth from hatchery to market size is completed within 8 months (Castillo-Vargasma- chuca et al. 2007; Ibarra-Castro Duncan 2007; Boza- Abarca et al. 2008; Silva-Carrillo et al. 2012; Hern andez et al. 2015). Although there are some studies on the growth of various species of snapper in floating cages (Benetti et al. 2002; Botero Ospina 2002; Gardu~ no-Dio- nate et al. 2010; Castillo-Vargasmachuca et al. 2012), there have been no reports on the use of an individual growth model for the spotted rose snapper or any other species of snapper fish. The main purpose of this study was to review the growth models used in fish culture and demonstrate the benefit of using the most appropriate growth model for aquaculture studies. For this reason, another part of this study was to use a dataset from spotted rose snapper cultured in floating cages to determine what growth models were applicable to these species from a set of asymptotic, nonlinear and expo- nential standard models. Growth data from aquaculture Growth studies of reared fishes use weight-at-age data more commonly than length-at-age data. Hernandez-Llamas and Ratkowsky (2004) found that the weight-at-age data describe a sigmoid-shaped growth curve. Initially, the rate of growth in mass was low but increasing. The growth rate reached a maximum, corresponding to the point of inflec- tion in the curve, and then slowly declined to zero when the animals achieved their mature weight. Most of the com- mon equations used to describe growth in fishes are restricted to length-at-age data; thus, they are unable to describe sigmoid-shaped growth curves. These equations require some adjustments to describe the asymptotic sig- moid shape. In addition, the harvests of animals under cul- tivation (fishes, mollusks and crustaceans) usually occur when the individual growth curve is still in the exponential phase. To describe the best growth model for reared fish, the nonasymptotic-growth models (power, power extended, exponential or Tanaka model) must be considered. Review of growth models fitted to aquaculture animals Anabolism is the process of building up body substances and is proportional to the respiration rate. Respiration rate, in turn, is usually proportional to surface area. Such general principles lead to differential equations for growth pro- cesses that are generally applicable to several species, including fish. Growth equations are any models where weight or length (dependent variable) is calculated using time as the predictor (independent variable). Growth func- tions are usually analytical solutions to differential equa- tions that can be fit to the growth data. The sigmoidal or curvilinear shape of the growth trajectory indicates that lin- ear regression is not suitable to describe growth unless only small portions of the curve are considered. For this reason, nonlinear growth functions are the best means of estimat- ing growth of fishes. According to von Bertalanffy (1938), growth is the net result of two opposing processes, catabolism and anabo- lism. Catabolism occurs in all living cells and results in breaking down body substances; it is therefore propor- tional to the mass and weight of an individual. Aquacul- ture studies commonly apply the von Bertalanffy growth model (VBGM). Katsanevakis and Maravelias (2008) proved that the use of multi-model inference (MMI) is a better alternative to using VBGM a priori, but the use of MMI for reared animals has been applied only recently (Baer et al. 2011; Ansah Frimpong 2015; Ch avez- Villalba Arag on-Noriega 2015). The literature provides alternatives to the VBGM. The most commonly used alternatives are the Gompertz growth model, the logistic model (Ricker 1975) and the Schnute model (Schnute 1981). The equation of von Bertalanffy is the most studied and applied growth function to predict growth of fish and other ectotherms (Ricker 1975; Hernandez-Llamas Ratkowsky 2004; Katsanevaskis 2006). The equation conceptualized growth as anabolism prevailing over catabolism. The logistic function (Ricker 1975) is a very common but also very basic form of a sigmoid function. Due to its simplicity, it has been applied widely but is limited by its mathematical background. Originally, the function was developed to study population growth but was later applied to individual growth studies. Due to its simple formulation, the inflection point of the curve is always set in the middle; both sides are inverted mirror images. The logistic curve is always symmetric. Like the logistic function, the Gompertz function (Gom- pertz 1825) is a sigmoid-shaped function. In comparison with the logistic function, the Gompertz function is an asymmetric curve with the point of inflection not set in the middle of the curve. All three of these previous models contain three parame- ters to describe the shape of the curve. One of the parame- ters is the asymptote, which is unrealistic for indeterminate growers. The versatile growth model proposed by Schnute (1981) is gaining acceptance in growth studies (Baer et al. 2011). Unlike the logistic and the Gompertz models, the Schnute growth model comprises four parameters to describe the shape of the curve. And unlike the Bertalanffy function, it Reviews in Aquaculture (2016) 0, 1–9 © 2016 Wiley Publishing Asia Pty Ltd 2 S. G. Castillo-Vargasmachuca et al.
  • 3. has no specific application for length or weight data. This model that can represent eight curves depending on the values of two parameters ‘a’ and ‘b’. With the Schnute model, both the asymptotic and indeterminate growth models can be expressed. Another group of nonasymptotic models had been used to describe the growth of fishes (Mercier et al. 2011). They are commonly named empirical because the parameter has no explicit biological meaning. These models are the extended power model, persistence model and the expo- nential function. These three models could be good fits in some situations because their shapes can reproduce the first stages of fish culture. Model selection When more than one model is used, model selection is usually based on the shape of the anticipated curve, the biological assumptions and the fit to the data. Parameter inference and estimation and the precision of these esti- mates are based solely on the fitted model. Another approach is to fit more than one model and to choose the best model based on information theory. This approach has been recommended as a more robust alter- native compared with traditional approaches (Kat- sanevaskis 2006). The most common information theory approach is to use the Akaike information criterion (AIC) (Katsanevaskis 2006; Zhu et al. 2009; Cerdenares- Ladr on de Guevara et al. 2011; Arag on-Noriega et al. 2015). Culture conditions This study was conducted in the eastern coast of the mouth of the Gulf of California at ‘Punta el Caballo’ Beach along the Nayarit coast, Mexico (21°250 55.44″N, 105°120 26.63″ W). This area has a floating fish farm producing over 30 tons of snapper annually. The culture farm comprised floating cages constructed with number 10 nylon, tar- coated, polyamide netting and measuring 5 9 5 9 5 m. Hatchery-reared spotted rose snapper was acquired and transported from the Research Center for Food and Devel- opment (CIAD), Mazatl an, Mexico, in plastic tanks with constant aeration and acclimated for 30 days in a labora- tory before being introduced into the cages and to artificial feed. The initial mean weight was 2.07 0.52 g (mean SD) before acclimation. The experimental units were 3 nylon, tar-coated, polyamide floating cages (125 m3 capacities). The initial mesh size was 1.27 cm (0.5 in); after 60 rearing days, the mesh size was changed to 2.54 cm (1.0 in), and at 120 days the mesh was changed to 4.44 cm (1.75 in), which was used until the end of the trial. The cages were equipped with 200-L plastic and 50-L glass sealed drums as the flotation system, suspended 15 m above the sandy bottom, 5 m apart, and aligned to the main Pacific current. Water samples were taken every day from each cage at approximately 10:00 a.m. For the analysis of salinity, tem- perature, pH and dissolved oxygen, a YSI multiparameter system was used (Yellow Springs Instruments, Yellow Springs, OH, USA). During a 270-day grow-out period, the fish were fed twice per day (0800 and 1600 hours) using net mesh bot- tom devices as feeders. The fish were fed with a sinking commercial pellet containing 40% crude protein, 15% lipids, 17.1% carbohydrates, 4.0% crude fibre, 11.9% ash, 1.3% calcium and 1.0% phosphorus. The feeding rate was adjusted monthly to 8% of the biomass in the first 3 months and decreased to 4% of biomass thereafter to the end of the culture period. A sample of 20 fishes per cage was obtained at the beginning of the experiment, and this procedure was repeated every 4 weeks through the end of the trial. The total length (nearest 1 mm) and mean weight (nearest 0.1 g) were estimated for each individual. Survival (S) was calculated as S = (Nf/Ni) where Nf is the total num- ber of fish at harvest and Ni is the total number of fish stocked. The absolute growth rate (AGR g day1 ) and specific growth rate (SGR per cent body weight day1 ) were calculated as: AGR = (Wf Wi)/t, and SGR = 100 (lnWf lnWi)/t, where Wf = final weight, Wi = initial weight and t = time (day). Model selection and inference regarding individual growth of example data An information theory approach was adopted to estimate individual growth parameters (Katsanevaskis 2006; Kat- sanevakis Maravelias 2008). We chose a set of ten models to address weight-at-age data and determined which model was best. Four asymptotic models, three nonasymptotic models and three versions of the generalized Schnute model were selected. The asymptotic models were the VBGM, a logistic model, the Gompertz growth model and the Rat- kowsky modified model. The nonasymptotic models were exponential, power extended and persistence. The equa- tions are as follow: The VBGM (von Bertalanffy 1938) is given by: Wt ¼ W1 ð1 ekðtt0Þ Þ h i3 ; ð1Þ where Wt is the weight at time t, W∞ is the asymptotic k is the growth coefficient weight and t0 is the theoretical age at zero weight. Reviews in Aquaculture (2016) 0, 1–9 © 2016 Wiley Publishing Asia Pty Ltd 3 Growth models of spotted rose snapper
  • 4. The logistic growth equation (Ansah Frimpong 2015) is given by: Wt ¼ Wmax 1 þ eðaktÞ ; ð2Þ where Wt is weight at time t, Wmax is the maximum weight, a is the initial rate of growth and k is the rate of decrease of growth with time. The Gompertz growth equation (Ansah Frimpong 2015) is given by: Wt ¼ W0em0ð1ekt Þ ; ð3Þ where Wt is the weight at time t, W0 is the theoretical weight that corresponds to age 0, m0 is the initial instan- taneous growth rate and k is the rate of the decrease of m0. The Ratkowsky modified growth model (Hernandez- Llamas Ratkowsky 2004) is given by: Wt ¼ Wi þ ðWf WiÞ ð1 km1 Þ 1 kn1 3 ; ð4Þ where Wt is the weight at time t, Wi is the initial weight, Wf is the final weight, k relates to the rate at which Wt changes from its initial to its final value, n is the number of data points and m is the time modified according to the following: m ¼ 1 þ ðn 1Þ t ti tf ti ; ð5Þ where ti is the initial time of culture period and tf is the final time of the culture period. Another group of nonasymptotic models was used. They are commonly named empirical because the parameter has no explicit biological meaning. These models are as follows: the extended power model (Mercier et al. 2011): Wt ¼ atbc t ; ð6Þ The persistence model (Mercier et al. 2011): Wt ¼ atbeðc t Þ ; ð7Þ and the exponential function: Wt ¼ aebt ; ð8Þ where Wt is the weight at time t and a, b, c are adjustment parameters with no explicit biological meaning. The Schnute growth model takes four mathematical forms (Schnute 1981). In this study, we will describe Sch- nute case 1 when a 6¼ 0, b 6¼ 0, as follows: Wt ¼ Wb 1 þ ðWb 2 Wb 1 Þ 1 eaðts1Þ 1 eaðs2s1Þ 1 b ; ð9Þ Schnute case 2 when a = 0, b 6¼ 0, as follows: Wt ¼ Wb 1 þ ðWb 2 Wb 1 Þ t s1 s2 s1 1 b ; ð10Þ and Schnute case 3 when a 6¼ 0, b = 1, as follows: Wt ¼ W1 þ ðW2 W1Þ 1 eaðts1Þ 1 eaðs2s1Þ ; ð11Þ where Wt is the weight at time t, W1 is the weight of the individual at time s1, Wf is the weight of the indi- vidual at time s2, s1 is the initial time of the culture per- iod, s2 is the final time of culture period, a is the relative growth rate and b is the incremental relative growth rate. The models were fitted using the maximum log likeli- hood (lnL). The multiplicative error structure was consid- ered. The lnL fitting algorithm was based on the following equation: ln LðhjdataÞ ¼ X n t¼1 1 2 lnð2pÞ 1 2 lnðr2 Þ ðln LðobsÞ ln ^ LÞ2 2r2 ! # ; ð12Þ where h represents the parameters of the models and r rep- resents the standard deviations of the errors calculated using the following equation: r ¼ ffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi ðLobs Ln^ LÞ2 n s ; ð13Þ Model selection was performed using AIC (Burnham Anderson 2002). The model with the lowest AIC value was chosen as the best model: AIC ¼ 2 ln L þ 2k; where lnL is the maximum log likelihood and k is the num- ber of parameters in each model. For all models, the differences between the AIC values were calculated using Reviews in Aquaculture (2016) 0, 1–9 © 2016 Wiley Publishing Asia Pty Ltd 4 S. G. Castillo-Vargasmachuca et al.
  • 5. Di ¼ AICi AICmin: ð14Þ For each model, the plausibility was estimated with the following formula for the Akaike weight: wi ¼ expð0:5DiÞ P10 i¼1 expð0:5DiÞ ; ð15Þ Results The environmental conditions of marine water in the float- ing cages area were as follows: temperature = 27.89 2.77°C, salinity = 36.24 1.95 psu, pH = 7.73 0.38 and dissolved oxygen = 5.29 1.01 mg L1 . The survival was 90%, and the average final weight was 429.84 31.53 g. Other variables used to evaluate the fish growth performance were AGR = 1.58 g day1 and SGR = 2.22% day1 . Finally, the feed conversion ratio (FCR) was calculated as the weight of the supplied feed divided by the increase in fish weight, and this value was 2. Model selection The original equation proposed by Schnute (1981) and named in this study as Schnute case 1 was selected by AIC as the best model (Table 1) to describe the growth in weight of the spotted rose snapper in floating cages in tropical waters at the mouth of the Gulf of California. Schnute case 2 was selected as the second best model (Fig. 1). The third and fourth best models were the Gompertz model and the persistence model, respectively. The Gompertz model has a curve with a sigmoid-shaped trajectory and an asymptotic limit, and the persistence model is nonasymptotic with a power-shaped trajectory. For a better view of the four best models, Figure 2 was drawn selecting these four curves. In the first 120 days of culture, the four curves show very similar trajectories. After day 120, the Gompertz and persistence models diverged from the others. VBGM was ranked last by the AIC (Table 1). Schnute case 1 and Schnute case 2 appeared very similar throughout the culture period, but the AIC differences (Di) were more than 8, resulting in a plausibility of 98.52 in favour of the Schnute model case 1 (Table 1). According to the model fit, the initial estimated weight resulted in 2.08 g while the average at the initial culture period was 2.07 0.52 g. The estimated weight at the end of the culture period was 464.2 g, and the observed value was 429.8 31.5 g (Table 2). Three individuals were over 465 g, and the heaviest individual was 493 g. Discussion For a long time, fish growth under culture conditions has been described by increasing weight over the culture per- iod. Recently, researchers (Baer et al. 2011; Ansah Frimpong 2015) have shown that a more informative way to describe the growth patterns of cultivated fish is the growth-fitted model. A model fitted to the specific culture allows for accurate interpolation of the weight for any time in the observation range and not just when the data were obtained. Interpolations or extrapolations are not possible without fitting a model. However, selecting the adequate model is challenging. Traditionally, the VBGM has been used to describe the growth in weight or length for fish under culture or fish from the wild. The questions that naturally arise are how can models be tested ade- quately and which models must be tested. Baer et al. (2011) decided to test just three sigmoidal and asymptotic models for the turbot Psetta maxima, while Ansah and Frimpong (2015) tested four models to select the predic- tive growth curve for farmed Nile tilapia, Oreochromis niloticus; three models were asymptotic, and one of them was nonasymptotic. In the present study, we decided to probe ten models – asymptotic, nonasymptotic and gen- eralized – keeping in mind that in fish farming, harvest is commonly performed when the animals are still in their exponential phase of growth. More importantly, it was possible to investigate several models considering the ease of testing models with computer programs in the present time. Examining as many models as possible should not be considered a waste of time if the objective is to obtain the best model to describe the growth trajectory of the species under study. Guzm an-Castellanos et al. (2014) described the use of 24 models (asymptotic, Table 1 Hierarchal order of the models tested to describe the growth of spotted rose snapper farmed in marine floating cages. The model with the smallest value of the Akaike information criterion (AIC) is the best Model Parameters AIC Δi Wi (100%) Schnute case 1 4 49.75 0.00 98.52 Schnute case 2 3 58.15 8.40 1.47 Gompertz 3 127.36 77.60 1.3815 Persistence 3 193.88 144.12 4.930 Schnute case 3 3 195.70 145.94 2.030 Extended power 3 328.37 278.62 3.159 Logistic 3 371.26 321.51 1.568 Ratkowsky modified 3 473.69 423.94 8.691 Exponential 2 1067.39 1017.64 1.0219 VBGM 3 2526.59 2476.84 0 Di is the differences of AICi AICmin and Wi is the Akaike weight or plausibility of the model. Reviews in Aquaculture (2016) 0, 1–9 © 2016 Wiley Publishing Asia Pty Ltd 5 Growth models of spotted rose snapper
  • 6. nonasymptotic and generalized) in estimation of the growth for elasmobranches. Although the VBGM is the most studied and most com- monly applied model among all length-at-age models, its use as the sole growth model is not well supported. With respect to other studies using AIC, Baer et al. (2011) also concluded that the VBGM is not the optimal model for computing the growth of the turbot (P. maxima), and sim- ilar results were found by Flores et al. (2010) in the sea urchin (Loxechinus albus). It is clear that this new approach to statistical inference based on information theory has become increasingly popular, but it is very recent in fisheries studies, where it has been used for less than a dec- ade. von Bertalanffy (1938) proposed that few studies describe the growth pattern of animals used in aquaculture or fisheries because in general, animals tend to exhibit asymptotic growth patterns with regard to length. For fish- eries, VBGM has several advantages, but if the objective is to determine the growth pattern of any aquacultural fishery resource, a multi-model inference should be used. Despite this, Mundry (2011) suggested the use of caution in ecolog- ical studies and proposed using a mixture of null hypothe- sis significance testing and information theoretical criteria in particular circumstances. Therefore, it is expected than Figure 1 Trajectories of the ten models used to describe the growth of the spotted rose snapper farmed in marine floating cages. Reviews in Aquaculture (2016) 0, 1–9 © 2016 Wiley Publishing Asia Pty Ltd 6 S. G. Castillo-Vargasmachuca et al.
  • 7. in aquaculture studies, the use of AIC will become common in selecting models, but null hypothesis significance testing will still be used with sufficient justification. In the present study, a comparison of the original equa- tion proposed by Schnute (1981) versus VBGM was per- formed; hence, it is interesting to discuss the possible reasons Schnute case 1 was selected as the best model and VBGM performed the worst. This is possible because the Schnute model has the advantage of containing the com- mon form of the VBGM, including the logistic function, and the Gompertz model as special cases. The Schnute model is a general four-parameter growth model that con- tains most of the preceding growth models as special cases. Rather than modelling the instantaneous rate of change, the Schnute model concentrates on the relative rate of change. Additionally, the Schnute model uses a statistically stable parameterization approach. As two of the four parameters in the Schnute model are expected value parameters, a greater stability than for VBGM parameteri- zations is expected. The Schnute model consists of a differ- ential equation forming eight different curve patterns depending on the parameter values. The VBGM is a special case among the alternative solutions. The VBGM assumes an asymptotic weight, whereas the Schnute model is derived from biological principles and incorporates acceler- ated growth. The Schnute model treats asymptotic limits and inflection points as incidental. This approach includes the principles on which other models, such as the Gom- pertz, Logistic and VBGM, are based. The VBGM is typically used because it is the best known and most commonly applied length-at-age model. Addi- tionally, it is considered to provide biologically meaningful parameters unlike other models; however, the case of the Schnute model used in the present study has the same physiological baseline as VBGM (Schnute 1981). VBGM is based on metabolic processes: a balance between catabolism and anabolism. Animal growth is considered the result of a balance between synthesis and destruction and between anabolism and catabolism of the building materials of the body. The organism grows as long as building prevails over breaking down; the organism reaches a steady state if and when both processes are equal. Another issue to be studied, which was proposed by Haddon (2001), is the quality of fit versus parsimony. The ten models used in the present study are structurally Figure 2 Trajectories of the four best models selected by Akaike information criterion (AIC) to describe the growth of the spotted rose snapper farmed in marine floating cages. (○) Observed data; ( ) Schnute_1; ( ) Schnute_2; ( ) Gompertz; ( ) Persistence. Table 2 Parameters of the four best models used to describe the growth of spotted rose snapper farmed in marine floating cages Parameter Schnute 1 Schnute 2 Gompertz Persistence a 0.00316 0 b 0.3209 0.4649 W1 2.084 2.0309 W2 464.29 493.98 k 0.010369 W0 2.1873 m0 5.5727 a 2.0970 b 1.0366 c 24.9892 Reviews in Aquaculture (2016) 0, 1–9 © 2016 Wiley Publishing Asia Pty Ltd 7 Growth models of spotted rose snapper
  • 8. different; hence, we must consider different criteria in addi- tion to the quality of numerical fit and consider the deter- mination of which model is the best for describing the growth curve of the spotted rose snapper or any other spe- cies under study. If the quality of fit of several models is similar, it is expected that the modeller will select the sim- plest model because we tend to select less complex models. Haddon (2001) was concerned that the ‘by eye’ adjustment model is not quantifiable; in Figure 2 of the present study, we could select any of the four models because they describe the growth of the spotted rose snapper well. Had- don (2001) stated that ‘selecting an optimum model requires a balance between improving the quality of fit between the model and the data, keeping the model as sim- ple as possible and having the model reflect reality as clo- sely as possible. Increasing the number of parameters will generally improve the quality of fit but will increase the complexity and may decrease the reality the latter reality is hardest to assess’. In the present study, the best model was selected accord- ing to the AIC (Burnham Anderson 2002), which must be considered a strong quantitative criterion that accounts for the amount of parameters in the model, actual results and quality. The AIC selected the best model for describing the growth curve of spotted rose snapper farmed in marine floating cages as the original equation of the Schnute model (Schnute 1981). This model has the highest number of parameters (four) among the ten models used, and another concern of Haddon (2001) is that a model with more parameters will be rejected by AIC if the additional parame- ters do not improve the quality of fit considerably. AIC is a quantitative measure that balances the relative quality of fit and the number of parameters fitted. 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