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“What I Have Lived For”, from The
Autobiography Of Bertrand Russell
1951
Three passions, simple but overwhelmingly strong, have
governed my
life: the longing for love, the search for knowledge, and
unbearable pity
for the suffering of mankind. These passions, like great winds,
have blown
me hither and thither, in a wayward course, over a great ocean
of anguish,
reaching to the very verge of despair.
I have sought love, first, because it brings ecstasy — ecstasy so
great
that I would often have sacrificed all the rest of life for a few
hours of this
joy. I have sought it, next, because it relieves loneliness — that
terrible
loneliness in which one shivering consciousness looks over the
rim of the
world into the cold unfathomable lifeless abyss. I have sought it
finally,
because in the union of love I have seen, in a mystic miniature,
the pre-
figuring vision of the heaven that saints and poets have
imagined. This is
what I sought, and though it might seem too good for human
life, this is
what — at last — I have found.
With equal passion I have sought knowledge. I have wished to
under-
stand the hearts of men. I have wished to know why the stars
shine. And
I have tried to apprehend the Pythagorean power by which
number holds
sway above the flux. A little of this, but not much, I have
achieved.
Love and knowledge, so far as they were possible, led upward
toward
the heavens. But always pity brought me back to earth. Echoes
of cries of
pain reverberate in my heart. Children in famine, victims
tortured by op-
pressors, helpless old people a burden to their sons, and the
whole world
of loneliness, poverty, and pain make a mockery of what human
life should
be. I long to alleviate this evil, but I cannot, and I too suffer.
This has been my life. I have found it worth living, and would
gladly
live it again if the chance were offered me.
4/11/2020 How will coronavirus change the world? - BBC
Future
https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20200331-covid-19-how-
will-the-coronavirus-change-the-world 1/21
C O M M E N T & A N A LYS I S
How will coronavirus change the world?
Home News Sport Reel Worklife Travel Future Culture M
W
By Simon Mair 31st March 2020
Read more from The Conversation
Could the huge shifts in our way of life being introduced as part
of the fight against
Covid-19 pave the way for a more humane economy?
Article continues below
here will we be in six months, a year, 10 years from now? I lie
awake at
night wondering what the future holds for my loved ones. My
vulnerable
friends and relatives. I wonder what will happen to my job, even
though I’m
one of the lucky ones: I get good sick pay and can work
remotely. I am
writing this from the UK, where I still have self-employed
friends who are staring down
the barrel of months without pay, friends who have already lost
jobs. The contract that
pays 80% of my salary runs out in December. Coronavirus is
hitting the economy bad.
Will anyone be hiring when I need work?
https://www.bbc.com/future/tags/comment-analysis
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https://www.bbc.com/future
4/11/2020 How will coronavirus change the world? - BBC
Future
https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20200331-covid-19-how-
will-the-coronavirus-change-the-world 2/21
There are a number of possible futures, all dependent on how
governments and society
respond t
we will use this crisis to
rebuild, produce something better and more humane. But we
may slide into something
worse.
I think we can understand our situation – and what might lie in
our future – by looking
at other crises. My research focuses on the fundamentals of the
modern economy:
global supply chains, wages, and productivity. I look at the way
that economic
dynamics contribute to challenges like climate change and low
levels of mental and
physical health among workers. I have argued that we need a
very different kind of
economics if we are to build socially just and ecologically
sound futures. In the face of
Covid-19, this has never been more obvious.
You might also like:
• Will Covid-19 have a lasting impact on the environment?
• Covid-19: the history of pandemics
• Why social distancing might last for some time
The responses to the Covid-19 pandemic are simply the
amplification of the dynamic
that drives other social and ecological crises: the prioritisation
of one type of value over
others. This dynamic has played a large part in driving global
responses to Covid-19. So
as responses to the virus evolve, how might our economic
futures develop?
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0959652615
011737
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921800918
306591
https://www.cusp.ac.uk/themes/powering-productivity/
https://newsocialist.org.uk/climate-capitalism-political-marxism
https://www.cusp.ac.uk/wp-content/uploads/pp-wellbeing-
report.pdf#ppwm
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921800919
30415X
https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20200326-covid-19-the-
impact-of-coronavirus-on-the-environment
https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20200325-covid-19-the-
history-of-pandemics
https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20200324-covid-19-how-
social-distancing-can-beat-coronavirus
4/11/2020 How will coronavirus change the world? - BBC
Future
https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20200331-covid-19-how-
will-the-coronavirus-change-the-world 3/21
The way we do business and interact could be fundamentally
changed by Covid-19 (Credit: Getty
Images)
From an economic perspective, there are four possible futures: a
descent into barbarism,
a robust state capitalism, a radical state socialism, and a
transformation into a big
society built on mutual aid. Versions of all of these futures are
perfectly possible, if not
equally desirable.
Small changes don't cut it
Coronavirus, like climate change, is partly a problem of our
economic structure.
Although both appear to be “environmental” or “natural”
problems, they are socially
driven.
Yes, climate change is caused by certain gases absorbing heat.
But that’s a very shallow
explanation. To really understand climate change, we need to
understand the social
reasons that keep us emitting greenhouse gases.
Likewise with Covid-19. Yes, the direct cause is the virus. But
managing its effects
requires us to understand human behaviour and its wider
economic context.
Tackling both Covid-19 and climate change is much easier if
you reduce non-essential
economic activity. For climate change this is because if you
produce less stuff, you use
less energy, and emit fewer greenhouse gases. The
epidemiology of Covid-19 is rapidly
4/11/2020 How will coronavirus change the world? - BBC
Future
https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20200331-covid-19-how-
will-the-coronavirus-change-the-world 4/21
evolving. But the core logic is similarly simple. People mix
together and spread
infections. This happens in households, and in workplaces, and
on the journeys people
make. Reducing this mixing is likely to reduce person-to-person
transmission and lead
to fewer cases overall.
In a normal crisis the prescription for solving this is simple
– the government spends, and it spends until people start
consuming and working again
Reducing contact between people probably also helps with other
control strategies. One
common control strategy for infectious disease outbreaks is
contact tracing and
isolation, where an infected person's contacts are identified,
then isolated to prevent
further disease spread. This is most effective when you trace a
high percentage of
contacts. The fewer contacts a person has, the fewer you have to
trace to get to that
higher percentage.
We can see from Wuhan that social distancing and lockdown
measures like this are
effective. Political economy is useful in helping us understand
why they weren't
introduced earlier in European countries (most notably the UK
and the US).
A fragile economy
Lockdown is placing pressure on the global economy. We face a
serious recession. This
pressure has led some world leaders to call for an easing of
lockdown measures.
The economics of collapse are fairly straight forward.
Businesses exist to make a profit.
If they can’t produce, they can’t sell things. This means they
won’t make profits, which
means they are less able to employ you. Businesses can and do
(over short time periods)
hold on to workers that they don’t need immediately: they want
to be able to meet
demand when the economy picks back up again. But, if things
start to look really bad,
then they won’t. So, more people lose their jobs or fear losing
their jobs. So they buy
less. And the whole cycle starts again, and we spiral into an
economic depression.
In a normal crisis the prescription for solving this is simple –
the government spends,
and it spends until people start consuming and working again.
But normal interventions won’t work here because we don’t
want the economy to
recover (at least, not immediately). The whole point of the
lockdown is to stop people
going to work, where they spread the disease. One recent study
lockdown measures in Wuhan (including workplace closures)
too soon could see China
experience a second peak of cases later in 2020.
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanpub/article/PIIS2468-
2667(20)30073-6/fulltext
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-
3099(20)30162-6/fulltext
https://science.sciencemag.org/content/367/6482/1061.summary
https://www.vox.com/2020/3/23/21188900/coronavirus-stock-
market-recession-depression-trump-jobs-unemployment
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-latin-america-52040205
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanpub/article/PIIS2468-
2667(20)30073-6/fulltext
4/11/2020 How will coronavirus change the world? - BBC
Future
https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20200331-covid-19-how-
will-the-coronavirus-change-the-world 5/21
As the economist James Meadway wrote, the correct Covid-19
response isn’t a wartime
economy – with massive upscaling of production. Rather, we
need an “anti-wartime”
economy and a massive scaling back of production. And if we
want to be more resilient
to pandemics in the future (and to avoid the worst of climate
change) we need a system
capable of scaling back production in a way that doesn't mean
loss of livelihood.
Many of the best paid jobs serve no wider purpose than simply
to make money (Credit: Getty
Images)
So what we need is a different economic mindset. We tend to
think of the economy as
the way we buy and sell things, mainly consumer goods. But
this is not what an
economy is or needs to be. At its core, the economy is the way
we take our resources and
turn them into the things we need to live. Looked at this way,
we can start to see more
opportunities for living differently that allow us to produce less
stuff without increasing
misery.
I and other ecological economists have long been concerned
with the question of how
you produce less in a socially just way, because the challenge of
producing less is also
central to tackling climate change. All else equal, the more we
produce, the more
greenhouse gases we emit. So how do you reduce the amount of
stuff you make while
keeping people in work?
https://tribunemag.co.uk/2020/03/the-anti-wartime-economy
https://books.google.co.uk/books?id=7A4lDgAAQBAJ&lpg=PP
1&pg=PA62#v=onepage&q&f=false
https://theconversation.com/green-growth-is-trusted-to-fix-
climate-change-heres-the-problem-with-that-120785
4/11/2020 How will coronavirus change the world? - BBC
Future
https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20200331-covid-19-how-
will-the-coronavirus-change-the-world 6/21
Proposals include reducing the length of the working week, or,
as some of my recent
work has examined, you could allow people to work more
slowly and with less pressure.
Neither of these is directly applicable to Covid-19, where the
aim is reducing contact
rather than output, but the core of the proposals is the same.
You have to reduce
people's dependence on a wage to be able to live.
What is the economy for?
The key to understanding responses to Covid-19 is the question
of what the economy is
for. Currently, the primary aim of the global economy is to
facilitate exchanges of
money. This is what economists call “exchange value”.
What Covid-19 is throwing into sharp relief is just how
false our beliefs about markets are
The dominant idea of the current system we live in is that
“exchange value” is the same
thing as “use value”. Basically, people will spend money on the
things that they want or
need, and this act of spending money tells us something about
how much they value its
“use”. This is why markets are seen as the best way to run
society. They allow you to
adapt, and are flexible enough to match up productivity capacity
with use value.
What Covid-19 is throwing into sharp relief is just how false
our beliefs about markets
are. Around the world, governments fear that critical systems
will be disrupted or
overloaded: supply chains, social care, but principally
healthcare. There are lots of
contributing factors to this. But let's take two.
First, it is quite hard to make money from many of the most
essential societal services.
This is in part because a major driver of profits is labour
productivity growth: doing
more with fewer people. People are a big cost factor in many
businesses, especially
those that rely on personal interactions, like healthcare.
Consequently, productivity
growth in the healthcare sector tends to be lower than the rest of
the economy, so its
costs go up faster than average.
Second, jobs in many critical services aren’t those that tend to
be highest valued in
society. Many of the best paid jobs only exist to facilitate
exchanges: to make money.
They serve no wider purpose to society.
Yet because they make lots of money we have lots of
consultants, a huge advertising
industry and a massive financial sector.
Meanwhile, we have a crisis in health and social care, where
of useful jobs they enjoy because these jobs don’t pay them
enough to live.
https://autonomy.work/portfolio/the-shorter-working-week-a-
report-from-autonomy-in-collaboration-with-members-of-the-4-
day-week-campaign/
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921800919
30415X
https://books.google.co.uk/books?hl=en&lr=&id=Wytf9x7RVU
UC&oi=fnd&pg=PP2&dq=baumol+healthcare+costs&ots=saGD
Q5I95E&sig=p9KIBkHBbQpkOLG1d1DmovwL_z0#v=onepage
&q=baumol%20healthcare%20costs&f=false
https://www.strike.coop/bullshit-jobs/
https://www.cusp.ac.uk/themes/s2/wellbeing-care-robots/
4/11/2020 How will coronavirus change the world? - BBC
Future
https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20200331-covid-19-how-
will-the-coronavirus-change-the-world 7/21
Pointless jobs
The fact that so many people work pointless jobs is partly why
we are so ill prepared to
respond to Covid-19. The pandemic is highlighting that many
jobs are not essential, yet
we lack sufficient key workers to respond when things go bad.
People are compelled to work pointless jobs because in a
society where exchange value
is the guiding principle of the economy, the basic goods of life
are mainly available
through markets. This means you have to buy them, and to buy
them you need an
income, which comes from a job.
Even the bright lights of Las Vegas have dimmed as casinos
have closed their doors due to Covid-
19 (Credit: Getty Images)
The other side of this coin is that the most radical (and
effective) responses that we are
seeing to the Covid-19 outbreak challenge the dominance of
markets and exchange
value. Around the world governments are taking actions that
three months ago looked
impossible. In Spain, private hospitals have been nationalised.
In the UK, the prospect
of nationalising various modes of transport has become very
real. And France has
stated its readiness to nationalise large businesses.
Likewise, we are seeing the breakdown of labour markets.
Countries like Denmark and
the UK are providing people with an income in order to stop
them from going to work.
https://www.businessinsider.com/coronavirus-spain-
nationalises-private-hospitals-emergency-covid-19-lockdown-
2020-3?r=US&IR=T
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/coronavirus-
airline-railways-bus-nationalised-uk-grant-shapps-covid-19-
a9407276.html
https://www.ft.com/content/7eb398ac-6839-11ea-800d-
da70cff6e4d3
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2020/mar/18/denm
ark-coronavirus-uk-government-workers-employees
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-
news/2020/mar/20/government-pay-wages-jobs-coronavirus-
rishi-sunak
4/11/2020 How will coronavirus change the world? - BBC
Future
https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20200331-covid-19-how-
will-the-coronavirus-change-the-world 8/21
This is an essential part of a successful lockdown. These
measures are far from perfect.
work in order to earn
their income, and a move towards the idea that people deserve
to be able to live even if
they cannot work.
This reverses the dominant trends of the last 40 years. Over this
time, markets and
exchange values have been seen as the best way of running an
economy. Consequently,
public systems have come under increasing pressure to
marketise, to be run as though
they were businesses who had to make money. Likewise,
workers have become more
and more exposed to the market – zero-hours contracts and the
gig economy have
removed the layer of protection from market fluctuations that
long term, stable,
employment used to offer.
These changes even hint at the possibility of longer term
change that makes us happier and helps us tackle climate
change
Covid-19 appears to be reversing this trend, taking healthcare
and labour goods out of
the market and putting it into the hands of the state. States
produce for many reasons.
Some good and some bad. But unlike markets, they do not have
to produce for exchange
value alone.
These changes give me hope. They give us the chance to save
many lives. They even
hint at the possibility of longer term change that makes us
happier and helps us tackle
climate change. But why did it take us so long to get here? Why
were many countries so
ill-prepared to slow down production? The answer lies in a
recent World Health
Organisation (WHO) report: they did not have the right
“mindset”.
Our economic imaginations
There has been a broad economic consensus for 40 years. This
has limited the ability of
politicians and their advisers to see cracks in the system, or
imagine alternatives. This
mindset is driven by two linked beliefs:
The market is what delivers a good quality of life, so it must be
protected
er short periods of
crisis
These views are common to many Western countries. But they
are strongest in the UK
and the US, both of which have appeared to be badly prepared
to respond to Covid-19.
https://www.ft.com/content/1a69d69f-06de-4af7-972b-
52f2f4d9a3f5
https://theconversation.com/how-getting-rid-of-shit-jobs-and-
the-metric-of-productivity-can-combat-climate-change-123541
https://www.who.int/docs/default-source/coronaviruse/who-
china-joint-mission-on-covid-19-final-report.pdf
https://novaramedia.com/2011/09/13/capitalist-realism-in-
discussion-with-mark-fisher/
https://www.newscientist.com/article/mg24532693-500-
coronavirus-how-well-prepared-are-countries-for-a-covid-19-
pandemic/
4/11/2020 How will coronavirus change the world? - BBC
Future
https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20200331-covid-19-how-
will-the-coronavirus-change-the-world 9/21
In the UK, attendees at a private engagement reportedly
summarised the Prime
Minister's most senior aide's approach to Covid-19 as "herd
immunity, protect the
economy, and if that means some pensioners die, too bad". The
government has denied
this, but if real, it’s not surprising. At a government event early
in the pandemic, a
senior civil servant said to me: "Is it worth the economic
disruption? If you look at the
treasury valuation of a life, probably not."
This kind of view is endemic in a particular elite class. It is
well represented by a Texas
official who argued that many elderly people would gladly die
rather than see the US
sink into economic depression. This view endangers many
vulnerable people (and not
all vulnerable people are elderly), and, as I have tried to lay out
here, it is a false choice.
It is hoped that life will return to normal when the restrictions
to slow the spread of coronavirus
d, but it might not (Credit: Getty Images)
One of the things the Covid-19 crisis could be doing, is
expanding that economic
imagination. As governments and citizens take steps that three
months ago seemed
impossible, our ideas about how the world works could change
rapidly. Let us look at
where this re-imagining could take us.
Four futures
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/coronavirus-ten-days-that-
shook-britain-and-changed-the-nation-for-ever-spz6sc9vb
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/24/older-people-
would-rather-die-than-let-covid-19-lockdown-harm-us-
economy-texas-official-dan-patrick
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2020/mar/24/coron
avirus-crisis-change-world-financial-global-capitalism
4/11/2020 How will coronavirus change the world? - BBC
Future
https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20200331-covid-19-how-
will-the-coronavirus-change-the-world 10/21
To help us visit the future, I’m going to use an old technique
from the field of futures
studies. You take two factors you think will be important in
driving the future, and you
imagine what will happen under different combinations of those
factors.
The factors I want to take are value and centralisation. Value
refers to whatever is the
guiding principle of our economy. Do we use our resources to
maximise exchanges and
money, or do we use them to maximise life? Centralisation
refers to the ways that things
are organised, either by of lots of small units or by one big
commanding force. We can
organise these factors into a grid, which can then be populated
with scenarios. So we
can think about what might happen if we try to respond to the
coronavirus with the
following four extreme combinations:
1. State capitalism: centralised response, prioritising exchange
value
2. Barbarism: decentralised response, prioritising exchange
value
3. State socialism: centralised response, prioritising the
protection of life
4. Mutual aid: decentralised response, prioritising the protection
of life.
State capitalism
State capitalism is the dominant response we are seeing across
the world right now.
Typical examples are the UK, Spain and Denmark.
The state capitalist society continues to pursue exchange value
as the guiding light of
the economy. But it recognises that markets in crisis require
support from the state.
Given that many workers cannot work because they are ill, and
fear for their lives, the
state steps in with extended welfare. It also enacts massive
Keynesian stimulus by
extending credit and making direct payments to businesses.
The expectation here is that this is will be for a short period.
The primary function of
the steps being taken is to allow as many businesses as possible
to keep on trading. In
the UK, for example, food is still distributed by markets
(though the government has
relaxed competition laws). Where workers are supported
directly, this is done in ways
that seek to minimise disruption to normal labour market
functioning. So, for example,
as in the UK, payments to workers have to be applied for and
distributed by employers.
And the size of payments is made on the basis of the exchange
value a worker usually
creates in the market, rather than the usefulness of their work.
Barbarism is the future if we continue to rely on exchange
value as our guiding principle and yet refuse to extend
support to those who get locked out of markets by illness or
unemployment
https://www.versobooks.com/books/1847-four-futures
https://www.cusp.ac.uk/themes/aetw/fair-wages/
4/11/2020 How will coronavirus change the world? - BBC
Future
https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20200331-covid-19-how-
will-the-coronavirus-change-the-world 11/21
Could this be a successful scenario? Possibly, but only if Covid-
19 proves controllable
over a short period. As full lockdown is avoided to maintain
market functioning,
transmission of infection is still likely to continue. In the UK,
for instance, non-essential
construction is still continuing, leaving workers mixing on
building sites. But limited
state intervention will become increasingly hard to maintain if
death tolls rise.
Increased illness and death will provoke unrest and deepen
economic impacts, forcing
the state to take more and more radical actions to try to
maintain market functioning.
Barbarism
This is the bleakest scenario. Barbarism is the future if we
continue to rely on exchange
value as our guiding principle and yet refuse to extend support
to those who get locked
out of markets by illness or unemployment. It describes a
situation that we have not yet
seen.
Businesses fail and workers starve because there are no
mechanisms in place to protect
them from the harsh realities of the market. Hospitals are not
supported by
extraordinary measures, and so become overwhelmed. People
die. Barbarism is
ultimately an unstable state that ends in ruin or a transition to
one of the other grid
Could this happen? The concern is that either it could happen by
mistake during the
mistake is if a government
fails to step in in a big enough way during the worst of the
pandemic. Support might be
offered to businesses and households, but if this isn't enough to
prevent market collapse
in the face of widespread illness, chaos would ensue. Hospitals
might be sent extra
funds and people, but if it’s not enough, those who need
treatment will be turned away
in large numbers.
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2020/mar/25/uk-
construction-firms-split-over-coronavirus-shutdown
4/11/2020 How will coronavirus change the world? - BBC
Future
https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20200331-covid-19-how-
will-the-coronavirus-change-the-world 12/21
With millions of people now working from home, returning to
office life as usual may be difficult
(Credit: Getty Images)
Potentially just as consequential is the possibility of massive
pandemic has peaked and governments seek to return to
“normal”. This has been
threatened in Germany. This would be disastrous. Not least
because the defunding of
critical services during austerity has impacted the ability of
countries to respond to this
pandemic.
The subsequent failure of the economy and society would
trigger political and stable
unrest, leading to a failed state and the collapse of both state
and community welfare
systems.
State socialism
State socialism describes the first of the futures we could see
places a different kind of value at the heart of the economy.
This is the future we arrive
at with an extension of the measures we are currently seeing in
the UK, Spain and
Denmark.
The key here is that measures like the nationalisation of
hospitals and payments to
workers are seen not as tools to protect markets, but a way to
protect life itself. In such a
scenario, the state steps in to protect the parts of the economy
that are essential to life:
the production of food, energy and shelter for instance, so that
the basic provisions of
https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/world/germany-to-
return-to-austerity-after-coronavirus-crisis-minister-12571010
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/17/austerity-has-
crippled-the-uks-response-to-the-coronavirus-crisis
4/11/2020 How will coronavirus change the world? - BBC
Future
https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20200331-covid-19-how-
will-the-coronavirus-change-the-world 13/21
life are no longer subject to the whims of the market. The state
nationalises hospitals,
and makes housing freely available. Finally, it provides all
citizens with a means of
accessing various goods – both basics and any consumer goods
that we are able to
produce with a reduced workforce.
Citizens no longer rely on employers as intermediaries between
them and the basic
materials of life. Payments are made to everyone directly and
are not related to the
exchange value they create. Instead, payments are the same to
all (on the basis that we
deserve to be able to live, simply because we are alive), or they
are based on the
usefulness of the work. Supermarket workers, delivery drivers,
warehouse stackers,
nurses, teachers, and doctors are the new CEOs.
Mutual aid is the second future in which we adopt the
protection of life as the guiding principle of our economy
It’s possible that state socialism emerges as a consequence of
attempts at state
capitalism and the effects of a prolonged pandemic. If deep
recessions happen and there
is disruption in supply chains such that demand cannot be
rescued by the kind of
standard Keynesian policies we are seeing now (printing money,
making loans easier to
get and so on), the state may take over production.
There are risks to this approach – we must be careful to avoid
authoritarianism. But
done well, this may be our best hope against an extreme Covid-
19 outbreak. A strong
state able to marshal the resources to protect the core functions
of economy …
Essay 3 Outline Template: Type your outline in the right
column
Due by the end of the day, Saturday, April 18
Email me your FIRST DRAFT on Thursday, April 23.
INTRODUCTORY PARAGRAPH
· GENERAL TOPIC of this essay:
· SPECIFIC TOPIC of this essay:
· Briefly introduce your SOURCES with “Title” and author’s
name.
· WRITE THE BIG QUESTION FOR THIS ESSAY: Based on
Mair’s article, how could the coronavirus pandemic have some
positive effects on the world? Find three ideas (POINTS) in his
article that you would like to see happen during and/or after the
pandemic.
· THESIS STATEMENT: Answer the BIG QUESTION in the
thesis statement: 3-POINTS THESIS
BODY PARAGRAPH 1: POINT #1
· TOPIC SENTENCE
· THEY SAY: What does Mair’s article say about Point #1? +
supporting QUOTATIONS.
· I SAY: Why do you think this would be a good outcome from
the pandemic?
TOPIC SENTENCE: Answer the BIG QUESTION for this
POINT.
BODY PARAGRAPH 2: POINT #2
· TOPIC SENTENCE
· THEY SAY: What does Mair’s article say about Point #2? +
supporting QUOTATIONS.
· I SAY: Why do you think this would be a good outcome from
the pandemic?
TOPIC SENTENCE: Answer the BIG QUESTION for this
POINT
BODY PARAGRAPH 3: POINT #3. This should one of the
“four futures” from Mair’s article.
· TOPIC SENTENCE
· THEY SAY: What does Mair’s article say about Point #3? +
supporting QUOTATIONS.
· I SAY: Why do you think this would be a good outcome from
the pandemic?
TOPIC SENTENCE: Answer the BIG QUESTION for this
POINT
CONCLUDING PARAGRAPH: Reflect on your essay. One
question for your conclusion: How hopeful are you that the
positive outcomes you discussed here will happen?
Essay 3 Log Part 3: Fill out this outline of the article “How
Will the Coronavirus Change the World?”. I suggest that you
use the pdf version of the article. Then, you can use the editing
tools to highlight and underline as you read it. Upload your
completed Essay 3 Log Part 3 to Discussions by Tuesday, end of
day. Then come to the Zoom meeting on Wednesday to discuss.
Sections of the article
What are the main takeaways (the most important points or
ideas) in each section? List them and copy/paste supporting
quotes from the article.
INTRODUCTION
General Topic
Specific topic
BIG QUESTION
Answer to the BIG QUESTION = Thesis
“Small Changes Don’t Cut It”
“A Fragile Economy”
“What is the Economy For?”
SKIP THIS SECTION: You covered this in Log 3 Part 2.
“Pointless Jobs”
SKIP THIS SECTION: You covered this in Log 3 Part 2.
“Our Economic Imaginations”
“Four Futures”
“Hope and Fear”
ENG101-450 Essay 3 Overview
SOURCE FOR ESSAY 3
“How Will Coronavirus Change the World?” by Simon Mair (in
the Essay 3 folder on Blackboard)
Essay 3 BIG QUESTION: Based on Mair’s article, how could
the coronavirus pandemic have some positive effects on the
world? Find three ideas*** in his article that you would like to
see happen during and/or after the pandemic. Explain what the
ideas are (with evidence from the article) and why you think
these could be good outcomes of the pandemic.
***One of your three ideas should be one of the possible future
scenarios Mair discusses in the section called “Four Futures”
(they are listed below). In your opinion, which one would be the
best outcome for humanity and the planet?
1. State capitalism: centralised response, prioritising exchange
value
2. Barbarism: decentralised response, prioritising exchange
value
3. State socialism: centralised response, prioritising the
protection of life
4. Mutual aid: decentralised response, prioritising the protection
of life.
STEP 1 of writing this essay: Read and understand the article. I
suggest that you work from the pdf version of the article so that
you can annotate (highlight or underline) key passages.
· Complete the Essay 3 Log: week of April 12.
· Look for evidence that could help you answer the BIG
QUESTION in your essay.
STEP 2: Fill out the Essay 3 Outline Template, posted in the
Essay 3 folder. This will be a three-point essay: each body
paragraph will cover one of the IDEAS from Mair’s article that
you would like to see happen after the pandemic is over. It is
important to type QUOTATIONS for key points in your
paragraphs. Due by the end of the day, Saturday, April 18.
STEP 3: Follow your OUTLINE and write the FIRST DRAFT.
Email me your COMPLETE FIRST DRAFT by the due date. I
WILL RESPOND TO YOU WITH MY COMMENTS AND
SUGGESTIONS. Due by the end of the day, Thursday, April 23.
STEP 4: Due on Monday, April 27. Complete the FINAL
DRAFT. Read my comments about your first draft. Revise your
essay, keeping in mind:
· Grammar
· Spelling
· Capitalization, especially of titles
· Sandwiching quotations
· Correct formatting of quotations
· Correct formatting of the essay, INCLUDING THE MLA
WORKS CITED PAGE.

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Works CitedLast Name, First Name. Title of Article.” Titl.docx

  • 1. Works Cited Last Name, First Name. “Title of Article.” Title of Web Magazine, publication date, URL. Accessed DATE. “What I Have Lived For”, from The Autobiography Of Bertrand Russell 1951 Three passions, simple but overwhelmingly strong, have governed my life: the longing for love, the search for knowledge, and unbearable pity for the suffering of mankind. These passions, like great winds, have blown me hither and thither, in a wayward course, over a great ocean of anguish, reaching to the very verge of despair. I have sought love, first, because it brings ecstasy — ecstasy so great that I would often have sacrificed all the rest of life for a few hours of this
  • 2. joy. I have sought it, next, because it relieves loneliness — that terrible loneliness in which one shivering consciousness looks over the rim of the world into the cold unfathomable lifeless abyss. I have sought it finally, because in the union of love I have seen, in a mystic miniature, the pre- figuring vision of the heaven that saints and poets have imagined. This is what I sought, and though it might seem too good for human life, this is what — at last — I have found. With equal passion I have sought knowledge. I have wished to under- stand the hearts of men. I have wished to know why the stars shine. And I have tried to apprehend the Pythagorean power by which number holds sway above the flux. A little of this, but not much, I have achieved. Love and knowledge, so far as they were possible, led upward toward the heavens. But always pity brought me back to earth. Echoes of cries of pain reverberate in my heart. Children in famine, victims tortured by op- pressors, helpless old people a burden to their sons, and the whole world of loneliness, poverty, and pain make a mockery of what human life should be. I long to alleviate this evil, but I cannot, and I too suffer. This has been my life. I have found it worth living, and would
  • 3. gladly live it again if the chance were offered me. 4/11/2020 How will coronavirus change the world? - BBC Future https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20200331-covid-19-how- will-the-coronavirus-change-the-world 1/21 C O M M E N T & A N A LYS I S How will coronavirus change the world? Home News Sport Reel Worklife Travel Future Culture M W By Simon Mair 31st March 2020 Read more from The Conversation Could the huge shifts in our way of life being introduced as part of the fight against Covid-19 pave the way for a more humane economy? Article continues below here will we be in six months, a year, 10 years from now? I lie awake at night wondering what the future holds for my loved ones. My vulnerable
  • 4. friends and relatives. I wonder what will happen to my job, even though I’m one of the lucky ones: I get good sick pay and can work remotely. I am writing this from the UK, where I still have self-employed friends who are staring down the barrel of months without pay, friends who have already lost jobs. The contract that pays 80% of my salary runs out in December. Coronavirus is hitting the economy bad. Will anyone be hiring when I need work? https://www.bbc.com/future/tags/comment-analysis mailto:?subject=Shared%20from%20BBC:How%20will%20coro navirus%20change%20the%20world?&body=https%3A%2F%2F www.bbc.com%2Ffuture%2Farticle%2F20200331-covid-19- how-will-the-coronavirus-change-the- world%3Focid%3Dww.social.link.email https://twitter.com/intent/tweet?text=How%20will%20coronavir us%20change%20the%20world?&url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.b bc.com%2Ffuture%2Farticle%2F20200331-covid-19-how-will- the-coronavirus-change-the- world%3Focid%3Dww.social.link.twitter&via=BBC_Future https://www.facebook.com/sharer/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F% 2Fwww.bbc.com%2Ffuture%2Farticle%2F20200331-covid-19- how-will-the-coronavirus-change-the- world%3Focid%3Dww.social.link.facebook&t=How%20will%2 0coronavirus%20change%20the%20world? https://www.linkedin.com/shareArticle?mini=true&url=https%3 A%2F%2Fwww.bbc.com%2Ffuture%2Farticle%2F20200331- covid-19-how-will-the-coronavirus-change-the- world%3Focid%3Dww.social.link.linkedin&title=How%20will %20coronavirus%20change%20the%20world?
  • 5. whatsapp://send?text=How%20will%20coronavirus%20change% 20the%20world?: https%3A%2F%2Fwww.bbc.com%2Ffuture%2Farticle%2F2020 0331-covid-19-how-will-the-coronavirus-change-the- world%3Focid%3Dww.social.link.whatsapp https://www.bbc.com/ https://www.bbc.com/ https://www.bbc.com/news https://www.bbc.com/sport https://www.bbc.com/reel https://www.bbc.com/worklife https://www.bbc.com/travel https://www.bbc.com/future https://www.bbc.com/culture https://search.bbc.co.uk/search https://account.bbc.com/account?ptrt=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.b bc.com%2Ffuture%2Farticle%2F20200331-covid-19-how-will- the-coronavirus-change-the- world&context=feature_sites&userOrigin=FEATURE_SITES_G NL https://theconversation.com/ https://www.bbc.com/future 4/11/2020 How will coronavirus change the world? - BBC Future https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20200331-covid-19-how- will-the-coronavirus-change-the-world 2/21 There are a number of possible futures, all dependent on how governments and society respond t we will use this crisis to rebuild, produce something better and more humane. But we may slide into something
  • 6. worse. I think we can understand our situation – and what might lie in our future – by looking at other crises. My research focuses on the fundamentals of the modern economy: global supply chains, wages, and productivity. I look at the way that economic dynamics contribute to challenges like climate change and low levels of mental and physical health among workers. I have argued that we need a very different kind of economics if we are to build socially just and ecologically sound futures. In the face of Covid-19, this has never been more obvious. You might also like: • Will Covid-19 have a lasting impact on the environment? • Covid-19: the history of pandemics • Why social distancing might last for some time The responses to the Covid-19 pandemic are simply the amplification of the dynamic that drives other social and ecological crises: the prioritisation of one type of value over others. This dynamic has played a large part in driving global responses to Covid-19. So as responses to the virus evolve, how might our economic futures develop? https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0959652615 011737 https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921800918 306591 https://www.cusp.ac.uk/themes/powering-productivity/
  • 7. https://newsocialist.org.uk/climate-capitalism-political-marxism https://www.cusp.ac.uk/wp-content/uploads/pp-wellbeing- report.pdf#ppwm https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921800919 30415X https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20200326-covid-19-the- impact-of-coronavirus-on-the-environment https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20200325-covid-19-the- history-of-pandemics https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20200324-covid-19-how- social-distancing-can-beat-coronavirus 4/11/2020 How will coronavirus change the world? - BBC Future https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20200331-covid-19-how- will-the-coronavirus-change-the-world 3/21 The way we do business and interact could be fundamentally changed by Covid-19 (Credit: Getty Images) From an economic perspective, there are four possible futures: a descent into barbarism, a robust state capitalism, a radical state socialism, and a transformation into a big society built on mutual aid. Versions of all of these futures are perfectly possible, if not equally desirable. Small changes don't cut it Coronavirus, like climate change, is partly a problem of our economic structure. Although both appear to be “environmental” or “natural”
  • 8. problems, they are socially driven. Yes, climate change is caused by certain gases absorbing heat. But that’s a very shallow explanation. To really understand climate change, we need to understand the social reasons that keep us emitting greenhouse gases. Likewise with Covid-19. Yes, the direct cause is the virus. But managing its effects requires us to understand human behaviour and its wider economic context. Tackling both Covid-19 and climate change is much easier if you reduce non-essential economic activity. For climate change this is because if you produce less stuff, you use less energy, and emit fewer greenhouse gases. The epidemiology of Covid-19 is rapidly 4/11/2020 How will coronavirus change the world? - BBC Future https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20200331-covid-19-how- will-the-coronavirus-change-the-world 4/21 evolving. But the core logic is similarly simple. People mix together and spread infections. This happens in households, and in workplaces, and on the journeys people make. Reducing this mixing is likely to reduce person-to-person transmission and lead to fewer cases overall.
  • 9. In a normal crisis the prescription for solving this is simple – the government spends, and it spends until people start consuming and working again Reducing contact between people probably also helps with other control strategies. One common control strategy for infectious disease outbreaks is contact tracing and isolation, where an infected person's contacts are identified, then isolated to prevent further disease spread. This is most effective when you trace a high percentage of contacts. The fewer contacts a person has, the fewer you have to trace to get to that higher percentage. We can see from Wuhan that social distancing and lockdown measures like this are effective. Political economy is useful in helping us understand why they weren't introduced earlier in European countries (most notably the UK and the US). A fragile economy Lockdown is placing pressure on the global economy. We face a serious recession. This pressure has led some world leaders to call for an easing of lockdown measures. The economics of collapse are fairly straight forward. Businesses exist to make a profit. If they can’t produce, they can’t sell things. This means they won’t make profits, which means they are less able to employ you. Businesses can and do
  • 10. (over short time periods) hold on to workers that they don’t need immediately: they want to be able to meet demand when the economy picks back up again. But, if things start to look really bad, then they won’t. So, more people lose their jobs or fear losing their jobs. So they buy less. And the whole cycle starts again, and we spiral into an economic depression. In a normal crisis the prescription for solving this is simple – the government spends, and it spends until people start consuming and working again. But normal interventions won’t work here because we don’t want the economy to recover (at least, not immediately). The whole point of the lockdown is to stop people going to work, where they spread the disease. One recent study lockdown measures in Wuhan (including workplace closures) too soon could see China experience a second peak of cases later in 2020. https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanpub/article/PIIS2468- 2667(20)30073-6/fulltext https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473- 3099(20)30162-6/fulltext https://science.sciencemag.org/content/367/6482/1061.summary https://www.vox.com/2020/3/23/21188900/coronavirus-stock- market-recession-depression-trump-jobs-unemployment https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-latin-america-52040205 https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanpub/article/PIIS2468- 2667(20)30073-6/fulltext
  • 11. 4/11/2020 How will coronavirus change the world? - BBC Future https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20200331-covid-19-how- will-the-coronavirus-change-the-world 5/21 As the economist James Meadway wrote, the correct Covid-19 response isn’t a wartime economy – with massive upscaling of production. Rather, we need an “anti-wartime” economy and a massive scaling back of production. And if we want to be more resilient to pandemics in the future (and to avoid the worst of climate change) we need a system capable of scaling back production in a way that doesn't mean loss of livelihood. Many of the best paid jobs serve no wider purpose than simply to make money (Credit: Getty Images) So what we need is a different economic mindset. We tend to think of the economy as the way we buy and sell things, mainly consumer goods. But this is not what an economy is or needs to be. At its core, the economy is the way we take our resources and turn them into the things we need to live. Looked at this way, we can start to see more opportunities for living differently that allow us to produce less stuff without increasing misery. I and other ecological economists have long been concerned with the question of how you produce less in a socially just way, because the challenge of
  • 12. producing less is also central to tackling climate change. All else equal, the more we produce, the more greenhouse gases we emit. So how do you reduce the amount of stuff you make while keeping people in work? https://tribunemag.co.uk/2020/03/the-anti-wartime-economy https://books.google.co.uk/books?id=7A4lDgAAQBAJ&lpg=PP 1&pg=PA62#v=onepage&q&f=false https://theconversation.com/green-growth-is-trusted-to-fix- climate-change-heres-the-problem-with-that-120785 4/11/2020 How will coronavirus change the world? - BBC Future https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20200331-covid-19-how- will-the-coronavirus-change-the-world 6/21 Proposals include reducing the length of the working week, or, as some of my recent work has examined, you could allow people to work more slowly and with less pressure. Neither of these is directly applicable to Covid-19, where the aim is reducing contact rather than output, but the core of the proposals is the same. You have to reduce people's dependence on a wage to be able to live. What is the economy for? The key to understanding responses to Covid-19 is the question of what the economy is for. Currently, the primary aim of the global economy is to facilitate exchanges of
  • 13. money. This is what economists call “exchange value”. What Covid-19 is throwing into sharp relief is just how false our beliefs about markets are The dominant idea of the current system we live in is that “exchange value” is the same thing as “use value”. Basically, people will spend money on the things that they want or need, and this act of spending money tells us something about how much they value its “use”. This is why markets are seen as the best way to run society. They allow you to adapt, and are flexible enough to match up productivity capacity with use value. What Covid-19 is throwing into sharp relief is just how false our beliefs about markets are. Around the world, governments fear that critical systems will be disrupted or overloaded: supply chains, social care, but principally healthcare. There are lots of contributing factors to this. But let's take two. First, it is quite hard to make money from many of the most essential societal services. This is in part because a major driver of profits is labour productivity growth: doing more with fewer people. People are a big cost factor in many businesses, especially those that rely on personal interactions, like healthcare. Consequently, productivity growth in the healthcare sector tends to be lower than the rest of the economy, so its costs go up faster than average.
  • 14. Second, jobs in many critical services aren’t those that tend to be highest valued in society. Many of the best paid jobs only exist to facilitate exchanges: to make money. They serve no wider purpose to society. Yet because they make lots of money we have lots of consultants, a huge advertising industry and a massive financial sector. Meanwhile, we have a crisis in health and social care, where of useful jobs they enjoy because these jobs don’t pay them enough to live. https://autonomy.work/portfolio/the-shorter-working-week-a- report-from-autonomy-in-collaboration-with-members-of-the-4- day-week-campaign/ https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921800919 30415X https://books.google.co.uk/books?hl=en&lr=&id=Wytf9x7RVU UC&oi=fnd&pg=PP2&dq=baumol+healthcare+costs&ots=saGD Q5I95E&sig=p9KIBkHBbQpkOLG1d1DmovwL_z0#v=onepage &q=baumol%20healthcare%20costs&f=false https://www.strike.coop/bullshit-jobs/ https://www.cusp.ac.uk/themes/s2/wellbeing-care-robots/ 4/11/2020 How will coronavirus change the world? - BBC Future https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20200331-covid-19-how- will-the-coronavirus-change-the-world 7/21 Pointless jobs
  • 15. The fact that so many people work pointless jobs is partly why we are so ill prepared to respond to Covid-19. The pandemic is highlighting that many jobs are not essential, yet we lack sufficient key workers to respond when things go bad. People are compelled to work pointless jobs because in a society where exchange value is the guiding principle of the economy, the basic goods of life are mainly available through markets. This means you have to buy them, and to buy them you need an income, which comes from a job. Even the bright lights of Las Vegas have dimmed as casinos have closed their doors due to Covid- 19 (Credit: Getty Images) The other side of this coin is that the most radical (and effective) responses that we are seeing to the Covid-19 outbreak challenge the dominance of markets and exchange value. Around the world governments are taking actions that three months ago looked impossible. In Spain, private hospitals have been nationalised. In the UK, the prospect of nationalising various modes of transport has become very real. And France has stated its readiness to nationalise large businesses. Likewise, we are seeing the breakdown of labour markets. Countries like Denmark and the UK are providing people with an income in order to stop them from going to work. https://www.businessinsider.com/coronavirus-spain-
  • 16. nationalises-private-hospitals-emergency-covid-19-lockdown- 2020-3?r=US&IR=T https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/coronavirus- airline-railways-bus-nationalised-uk-grant-shapps-covid-19- a9407276.html https://www.ft.com/content/7eb398ac-6839-11ea-800d- da70cff6e4d3 https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2020/mar/18/denm ark-coronavirus-uk-government-workers-employees https://www.theguardian.com/uk- news/2020/mar/20/government-pay-wages-jobs-coronavirus- rishi-sunak 4/11/2020 How will coronavirus change the world? - BBC Future https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20200331-covid-19-how- will-the-coronavirus-change-the-world 8/21 This is an essential part of a successful lockdown. These measures are far from perfect. work in order to earn their income, and a move towards the idea that people deserve to be able to live even if they cannot work. This reverses the dominant trends of the last 40 years. Over this time, markets and exchange values have been seen as the best way of running an economy. Consequently, public systems have come under increasing pressure to marketise, to be run as though they were businesses who had to make money. Likewise, workers have become more
  • 17. and more exposed to the market – zero-hours contracts and the gig economy have removed the layer of protection from market fluctuations that long term, stable, employment used to offer. These changes even hint at the possibility of longer term change that makes us happier and helps us tackle climate change Covid-19 appears to be reversing this trend, taking healthcare and labour goods out of the market and putting it into the hands of the state. States produce for many reasons. Some good and some bad. But unlike markets, they do not have to produce for exchange value alone. These changes give me hope. They give us the chance to save many lives. They even hint at the possibility of longer term change that makes us happier and helps us tackle climate change. But why did it take us so long to get here? Why were many countries so ill-prepared to slow down production? The answer lies in a recent World Health Organisation (WHO) report: they did not have the right “mindset”. Our economic imaginations There has been a broad economic consensus for 40 years. This has limited the ability of politicians and their advisers to see cracks in the system, or imagine alternatives. This mindset is driven by two linked beliefs:
  • 18. The market is what delivers a good quality of life, so it must be protected er short periods of crisis These views are common to many Western countries. But they are strongest in the UK and the US, both of which have appeared to be badly prepared to respond to Covid-19. https://www.ft.com/content/1a69d69f-06de-4af7-972b- 52f2f4d9a3f5 https://theconversation.com/how-getting-rid-of-shit-jobs-and- the-metric-of-productivity-can-combat-climate-change-123541 https://www.who.int/docs/default-source/coronaviruse/who- china-joint-mission-on-covid-19-final-report.pdf https://novaramedia.com/2011/09/13/capitalist-realism-in- discussion-with-mark-fisher/ https://www.newscientist.com/article/mg24532693-500- coronavirus-how-well-prepared-are-countries-for-a-covid-19- pandemic/ 4/11/2020 How will coronavirus change the world? - BBC Future https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20200331-covid-19-how- will-the-coronavirus-change-the-world 9/21 In the UK, attendees at a private engagement reportedly summarised the Prime Minister's most senior aide's approach to Covid-19 as "herd immunity, protect the economy, and if that means some pensioners die, too bad". The
  • 19. government has denied this, but if real, it’s not surprising. At a government event early in the pandemic, a senior civil servant said to me: "Is it worth the economic disruption? If you look at the treasury valuation of a life, probably not." This kind of view is endemic in a particular elite class. It is well represented by a Texas official who argued that many elderly people would gladly die rather than see the US sink into economic depression. This view endangers many vulnerable people (and not all vulnerable people are elderly), and, as I have tried to lay out here, it is a false choice. It is hoped that life will return to normal when the restrictions to slow the spread of coronavirus d, but it might not (Credit: Getty Images) One of the things the Covid-19 crisis could be doing, is expanding that economic imagination. As governments and citizens take steps that three months ago seemed impossible, our ideas about how the world works could change rapidly. Let us look at where this re-imagining could take us. Four futures https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/coronavirus-ten-days-that- shook-britain-and-changed-the-nation-for-ever-spz6sc9vb https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/24/older-people- would-rather-die-than-let-covid-19-lockdown-harm-us- economy-texas-official-dan-patrick https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2020/mar/24/coron
  • 20. avirus-crisis-change-world-financial-global-capitalism 4/11/2020 How will coronavirus change the world? - BBC Future https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20200331-covid-19-how- will-the-coronavirus-change-the-world 10/21 To help us visit the future, I’m going to use an old technique from the field of futures studies. You take two factors you think will be important in driving the future, and you imagine what will happen under different combinations of those factors. The factors I want to take are value and centralisation. Value refers to whatever is the guiding principle of our economy. Do we use our resources to maximise exchanges and money, or do we use them to maximise life? Centralisation refers to the ways that things are organised, either by of lots of small units or by one big commanding force. We can organise these factors into a grid, which can then be populated with scenarios. So we can think about what might happen if we try to respond to the coronavirus with the following four extreme combinations: 1. State capitalism: centralised response, prioritising exchange value 2. Barbarism: decentralised response, prioritising exchange value 3. State socialism: centralised response, prioritising the protection of life
  • 21. 4. Mutual aid: decentralised response, prioritising the protection of life. State capitalism State capitalism is the dominant response we are seeing across the world right now. Typical examples are the UK, Spain and Denmark. The state capitalist society continues to pursue exchange value as the guiding light of the economy. But it recognises that markets in crisis require support from the state. Given that many workers cannot work because they are ill, and fear for their lives, the state steps in with extended welfare. It also enacts massive Keynesian stimulus by extending credit and making direct payments to businesses. The expectation here is that this is will be for a short period. The primary function of the steps being taken is to allow as many businesses as possible to keep on trading. In the UK, for example, food is still distributed by markets (though the government has relaxed competition laws). Where workers are supported directly, this is done in ways that seek to minimise disruption to normal labour market functioning. So, for example, as in the UK, payments to workers have to be applied for and distributed by employers. And the size of payments is made on the basis of the exchange value a worker usually creates in the market, rather than the usefulness of their work. Barbarism is the future if we continue to rely on exchange
  • 22. value as our guiding principle and yet refuse to extend support to those who get locked out of markets by illness or unemployment https://www.versobooks.com/books/1847-four-futures https://www.cusp.ac.uk/themes/aetw/fair-wages/ 4/11/2020 How will coronavirus change the world? - BBC Future https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20200331-covid-19-how- will-the-coronavirus-change-the-world 11/21 Could this be a successful scenario? Possibly, but only if Covid- 19 proves controllable over a short period. As full lockdown is avoided to maintain market functioning, transmission of infection is still likely to continue. In the UK, for instance, non-essential construction is still continuing, leaving workers mixing on building sites. But limited state intervention will become increasingly hard to maintain if death tolls rise. Increased illness and death will provoke unrest and deepen economic impacts, forcing the state to take more and more radical actions to try to maintain market functioning. Barbarism This is the bleakest scenario. Barbarism is the future if we continue to rely on exchange value as our guiding principle and yet refuse to extend support to those who get locked out of markets by illness or unemployment. It describes a
  • 23. situation that we have not yet seen. Businesses fail and workers starve because there are no mechanisms in place to protect them from the harsh realities of the market. Hospitals are not supported by extraordinary measures, and so become overwhelmed. People die. Barbarism is ultimately an unstable state that ends in ruin or a transition to one of the other grid Could this happen? The concern is that either it could happen by mistake during the mistake is if a government fails to step in in a big enough way during the worst of the pandemic. Support might be offered to businesses and households, but if this isn't enough to prevent market collapse in the face of widespread illness, chaos would ensue. Hospitals might be sent extra funds and people, but if it’s not enough, those who need treatment will be turned away in large numbers. https://www.theguardian.com/business/2020/mar/25/uk- construction-firms-split-over-coronavirus-shutdown 4/11/2020 How will coronavirus change the world? - BBC Future https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20200331-covid-19-how- will-the-coronavirus-change-the-world 12/21
  • 24. With millions of people now working from home, returning to office life as usual may be difficult (Credit: Getty Images) Potentially just as consequential is the possibility of massive pandemic has peaked and governments seek to return to “normal”. This has been threatened in Germany. This would be disastrous. Not least because the defunding of critical services during austerity has impacted the ability of countries to respond to this pandemic. The subsequent failure of the economy and society would trigger political and stable unrest, leading to a failed state and the collapse of both state and community welfare systems. State socialism State socialism describes the first of the futures we could see places a different kind of value at the heart of the economy. This is the future we arrive at with an extension of the measures we are currently seeing in the UK, Spain and Denmark. The key here is that measures like the nationalisation of hospitals and payments to workers are seen not as tools to protect markets, but a way to protect life itself. In such a scenario, the state steps in to protect the parts of the economy
  • 25. that are essential to life: the production of food, energy and shelter for instance, so that the basic provisions of https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/world/germany-to- return-to-austerity-after-coronavirus-crisis-minister-12571010 https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/17/austerity-has- crippled-the-uks-response-to-the-coronavirus-crisis 4/11/2020 How will coronavirus change the world? - BBC Future https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20200331-covid-19-how- will-the-coronavirus-change-the-world 13/21 life are no longer subject to the whims of the market. The state nationalises hospitals, and makes housing freely available. Finally, it provides all citizens with a means of accessing various goods – both basics and any consumer goods that we are able to produce with a reduced workforce. Citizens no longer rely on employers as intermediaries between them and the basic materials of life. Payments are made to everyone directly and are not related to the exchange value they create. Instead, payments are the same to all (on the basis that we deserve to be able to live, simply because we are alive), or they are based on the usefulness of the work. Supermarket workers, delivery drivers, warehouse stackers, nurses, teachers, and doctors are the new CEOs.
  • 26. Mutual aid is the second future in which we adopt the protection of life as the guiding principle of our economy It’s possible that state socialism emerges as a consequence of attempts at state capitalism and the effects of a prolonged pandemic. If deep recessions happen and there is disruption in supply chains such that demand cannot be rescued by the kind of standard Keynesian policies we are seeing now (printing money, making loans easier to get and so on), the state may take over production. There are risks to this approach – we must be careful to avoid authoritarianism. But done well, this may be our best hope against an extreme Covid- 19 outbreak. A strong state able to marshal the resources to protect the core functions of economy … Essay 3 Outline Template: Type your outline in the right column Due by the end of the day, Saturday, April 18 Email me your FIRST DRAFT on Thursday, April 23. INTRODUCTORY PARAGRAPH · GENERAL TOPIC of this essay: · SPECIFIC TOPIC of this essay: · Briefly introduce your SOURCES with “Title” and author’s name. · WRITE THE BIG QUESTION FOR THIS ESSAY: Based on Mair’s article, how could the coronavirus pandemic have some positive effects on the world? Find three ideas (POINTS) in his article that you would like to see happen during and/or after the
  • 27. pandemic. · THESIS STATEMENT: Answer the BIG QUESTION in the thesis statement: 3-POINTS THESIS BODY PARAGRAPH 1: POINT #1 · TOPIC SENTENCE · THEY SAY: What does Mair’s article say about Point #1? + supporting QUOTATIONS. · I SAY: Why do you think this would be a good outcome from the pandemic? TOPIC SENTENCE: Answer the BIG QUESTION for this POINT. BODY PARAGRAPH 2: POINT #2 · TOPIC SENTENCE · THEY SAY: What does Mair’s article say about Point #2? + supporting QUOTATIONS. · I SAY: Why do you think this would be a good outcome from the pandemic? TOPIC SENTENCE: Answer the BIG QUESTION for this POINT BODY PARAGRAPH 3: POINT #3. This should one of the “four futures” from Mair’s article. · TOPIC SENTENCE · THEY SAY: What does Mair’s article say about Point #3? + supporting QUOTATIONS. · I SAY: Why do you think this would be a good outcome from the pandemic? TOPIC SENTENCE: Answer the BIG QUESTION for this POINT
  • 28. CONCLUDING PARAGRAPH: Reflect on your essay. One question for your conclusion: How hopeful are you that the positive outcomes you discussed here will happen? Essay 3 Log Part 3: Fill out this outline of the article “How Will the Coronavirus Change the World?”. I suggest that you use the pdf version of the article. Then, you can use the editing tools to highlight and underline as you read it. Upload your completed Essay 3 Log Part 3 to Discussions by Tuesday, end of day. Then come to the Zoom meeting on Wednesday to discuss. Sections of the article What are the main takeaways (the most important points or ideas) in each section? List them and copy/paste supporting quotes from the article. INTRODUCTION General Topic Specific topic BIG QUESTION Answer to the BIG QUESTION = Thesis “Small Changes Don’t Cut It” “A Fragile Economy”
  • 29. “What is the Economy For?” SKIP THIS SECTION: You covered this in Log 3 Part 2. “Pointless Jobs” SKIP THIS SECTION: You covered this in Log 3 Part 2. “Our Economic Imaginations” “Four Futures” “Hope and Fear” ENG101-450 Essay 3 Overview SOURCE FOR ESSAY 3 “How Will Coronavirus Change the World?” by Simon Mair (in the Essay 3 folder on Blackboard) Essay 3 BIG QUESTION: Based on Mair’s article, how could the coronavirus pandemic have some positive effects on the
  • 30. world? Find three ideas*** in his article that you would like to see happen during and/or after the pandemic. Explain what the ideas are (with evidence from the article) and why you think these could be good outcomes of the pandemic. ***One of your three ideas should be one of the possible future scenarios Mair discusses in the section called “Four Futures” (they are listed below). In your opinion, which one would be the best outcome for humanity and the planet? 1. State capitalism: centralised response, prioritising exchange value 2. Barbarism: decentralised response, prioritising exchange value 3. State socialism: centralised response, prioritising the protection of life 4. Mutual aid: decentralised response, prioritising the protection of life. STEP 1 of writing this essay: Read and understand the article. I suggest that you work from the pdf version of the article so that you can annotate (highlight or underline) key passages. · Complete the Essay 3 Log: week of April 12. · Look for evidence that could help you answer the BIG QUESTION in your essay. STEP 2: Fill out the Essay 3 Outline Template, posted in the Essay 3 folder. This will be a three-point essay: each body paragraph will cover one of the IDEAS from Mair’s article that you would like to see happen after the pandemic is over. It is important to type QUOTATIONS for key points in your paragraphs. Due by the end of the day, Saturday, April 18. STEP 3: Follow your OUTLINE and write the FIRST DRAFT. Email me your COMPLETE FIRST DRAFT by the due date. I WILL RESPOND TO YOU WITH MY COMMENTS AND SUGGESTIONS. Due by the end of the day, Thursday, April 23.
  • 31. STEP 4: Due on Monday, April 27. Complete the FINAL DRAFT. Read my comments about your first draft. Revise your essay, keeping in mind: · Grammar · Spelling · Capitalization, especially of titles · Sandwiching quotations · Correct formatting of quotations · Correct formatting of the essay, INCLUDING THE MLA WORKS CITED PAGE.