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Study of Tenwek Esophageal Squamous 
Dysplasia Prevalence: 
The STEP study 
KESHO Conference 29th November 2014 
∞ 
Principal Investigator, Michael Mwachiro MBChB 
Presented by 
Co-Investigator, Stephen L. Burgert, MD 
Tenwek Hospital – Bomet, Kenya
TENWEK STEP STUDY TEAM 
• Michael M Mwachiro MBChB1, Principal Investigator 
• Stephen L Burgert MD1, 
• Wairimu Waweru MBChB, MMED2, 
• Russell E White MD, MPH, FACS1, 
• Collins Bett1 
• Robert Chepkwony, KRCHN1 
• Jessie Githanga MBChB, MMED2, 
• Sanford M Dawsey MD3 
• Mark Topazian, MD4 
1Tenwek Hospital, Bomet, Kenya; 
2Department of Pathology, University of Nairobi School of Medicine, Nairobi, Kenya; 
3National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, MD, USA. 
4Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA.
Esophageal Cancer - Worldwide 
• Esophageal cancer is the eighth most common cancer and 
the sixth most common cause of cancer-related death in 
the world, with an estimated 482,000 new cases and 
407,000 deaths in 2008 (1) 
• High rates of esophageal cancer are found along 
geographic belts, one following the ancient Silk Road from 
north central China through the central Asian republics to 
northern Iran, and one from eastern to southern Africa 
1. Jemal A, Bray F, CenterMM,Ferlay J, Ward E, FormanD. Global cancer statistics. CA Cancer J Clin 2011;61:69–90.
Geographic Variation of Esophageal Cancer 
Low-Risk High-Risk 
Rates <10 50 -100+ 
M:F 3 - 4:1 1 - 1.5:1 
% ESCC 40-50% 90%
Nairobi Cancer Registry Report 
2004-2008 
MEN: Esophageal Cancer is the second most 
common cancer (after Prostate Cancer) 
WOMEN: Esophageal Cancer is the third most 
common cancer (after Breast and Cervical 
Cancer) 
A. Korir, N. Okerosi, DM Parkin 14th May 2014
Squamous Cell Esophageal Cancer 
vs. 
Adenocarcinoma of the Esophagus 
Worldwide in developing countries the vast 
majority of esophageal cancers are of squamous 
cell pathology.
Tenwek Hospital 
Endoscopy Services - 2012 
• 2,030 endoscopy cases 
• 484 patients with esophageal cancer 
• 145 patients with gastric/duodenal 
cancer 
• 319 esophageal stents placed
White RE, Abnet CC, Mungatana CZ, Dawsey SM. Oesophageal cancer: A common malignancy in young 
people of Bomet District, Kenya. Lancet 2002; 36(9331): 462-63.
Parker RK, Dawsey SM, Abnet CC, White RE. Frequent occurrence of esophageal cancer in young people 
in western Kenya. Diseases of the Esophagus 2010 (20): 128-135.
Challenges in a Developing Country 
• Inadequate Reporting System 
• Fatalistic Attitude 
• Late Presentation 
• Inconsistent Referral Patterns 
• Traditional Healers/Treatment 
• Chemotherapy and Radiation Therapy Usually 
Not Available 
• Financial Constraints
Esophageal Cancer
Esophageal CA – post-dilation
Deploying esophageal Stent
Deployed esophageal stent
After esophageal stent placement – 
drinking from the “Ceremonial Cup”
Survival Following Treatment at 
Tenwek Hospital 
• Stenting alone 
– Median Survival 9 months 
– Dysphagia score 0-2 at time of death 
• Surgery alone 
– Median survival 24 months stage I and II 
– Median survival 14 months stage III and IV
Esophageal Dysplasia 
• Dysplasia has been shown to be an important 
element along the pathway leading to 
development of Esophageal Carcinoma- both 
for Adenocarcinoma and Squamous Cell 
carcinoma 
• Interventions at eradicating the dysplasia 
would be useful in stopping the progression to 
carcinoma
Esophageal Squamous dysplasia - Histology
Dysplasia – Histology Criteria 
• Squamous dysplasia requires 
– the presence of nuclear atypia (enlargement, 
pleomorphism, and hyperchromasia) 
– loss of normal cell polarity, 
– and abnormal tissue maturation without invasion 
of epithelial cells through the basement 
membrane
Grading of Esophageal Squamous 
Dysplasia 
• Mild dysplasia - these abnormalities are confined to 
the lower third of the epithelium 
• Moderate dysplasia - they are present in the lower 
two thirds of the epithelium 
• Severe dysplasia - they also involve the upper third 
of the epithelium. 
• Full thickness involvement of the epithelium, called 
carcinoma in situ by some, is considered 
synonymous with severe dysplasia based on their 
similar histologic appearance
Esophageal Squamous Dysplasia 
Progression in China 
Over a total of 13.5 years for the Linxian cohort 
Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma developed in: 
 8% of participants with normal histology (baseline positive 
cytology sample) 
24% with mild dysplasia 
50% with moderate dysplasia 
74% with severe dysplasia 
58% with dysplasia NOS (not otherwise specified) 
and 75% with carcinoma in situ 
Wang et al Gut 2005
ESCC Possible Risk Factors 
Low-Risk Populations 
• Tobacco 
• Alcohol 
• Low SES 
High-Risk Populations 
• [Tobacco, alcohol] 
• Diet (low selenium) 
• Tobacco carcinogens from 
other sources: 
• PAHs 
• Nitrosamines 
• Acetaldehyde 
• Poor oral health 
• Hot drinks 
• Low SES 
• Family history
OVERALL OBJECTIVES 
• Esophageal squamous cell cancer (ESCC) is a 
common malignancy in the developing world 
and is the leading cancer diagnosis at Tenwek 
Hospital, a referral hospital in western Kenya. 
• Our long-term goal is to understand the 
pathogenesis and risk factors for ESCC in Kenya, 
and to establish effective screening and 
prevention programs. 
• To provide effective treatment options for 
patients identified with esophageal squamous 
dysplasia.
Study of Tenwek Esophageal Squamous 
Dysplasia Prevalence: 
The STEP study
STEP study 
• Study of 
• Tenwek 
• Esophageal Squamous Dysplasia 
• Prevalence
OBJECTIVE – STEP Study 
• We hypothesized that asymptomatic esophageal 
squamous dysplasia (ESD), the precursor lesion of 
ESCC, is common in our region, raising the 
possibility of screening for ESD to prevent ESCC. 
• This study aimed to determine the prevalence of 
ESD in adult residents in the traditional Tenwek 
Hospital catchment area and to explore the 
impact of demographic data and environmental 
exposures on the prevalence of ESD.
METHODS: 
• 305** asymptomatic adult residents of villages within 50 km 
of Tenwek Hospital completed a detailed survey and 
underwent trans-oral videoendoscopy of the esophagus with 
Lugol’s chromoendoscopy, mapping of identified lesions, and 
biopsy. 
• Each subject was classified by their worst biopsy diagnosis, 
and the overall prevalence of ESD, the age-adjusted 
prevalence of ESD and the sex- and age-specific prevalence of 
ESD by decade will be calculated. 
• The association between potential risk factors and ESD was 
analyzed by univariate and multivariate logistic regression.
Inclusion Criteria 
• Residence within 50 kms of Tenwek Hospital 
• Age between 20-79 years 
• Exclusion of the following symptoms and allergies 
• Dysphagia 
• Odynophagia 
• Haematemsis 
• Weight loss 
• Allergy to iodine 
• Allergy to lidocaine 
• Exclusion of significant health problems such as: 
• Bleeding disorders 
• Heart arrhythmias 
• Diabetes 
• Lung disease or breathing problems 
• Stroke 
• Subject should be fasting/NPO (Nil Per Oral) from previous night
Recruitment Model 
Administrators 
Community 
level 
Tenwek 
Hospital
Zone 
A 
Zone C 
Zone B
Meeting at the village
Going through the 
consent form and questionnaire
Endoscopy procedure
Making up of Lugol’s iodine solution 
• Lugol’s iodine stain: 12g I2 + 24g KI in 1L H2O 
• Make it up yourself: right formula, fresh 
• Iodine reversibly stains glycogen (abundant in 
normal superficial squamous cells, absent in rapidly 
dividing cells); → normal epithelium is brown, 
dysplasia is unstained
Endoscopic view
Esophageal dysplasia – before Lugol’s stain
Esophageal dysplasia – after Lugol’s stain
Extracting biopsy from forceps
Orienting biopsy specimens
• So what did we find? 
Results and Discussion
RESULTS 
• Subject accrual is currently completed. Results 
are presented for 305 patients. (complete 
histologic and endoscopic data) 
• Enrollment up to this time had been 313 
subjects 
• Subject drop-out rate was 3.6% and subject 
compliance was 97.5%
Table 1: Characteristics of participants who were screened in the 
STEP study (n=305) 
Characteristic N (%) 
Total 305 
Age, years (mean, SD) 46.7 (15.5) 
< 50 163 (53) 
≥ 50 142 (47) 
Male 163 (53) 
Location 
A 98 (32) 
B 61 (20) 
C 145 (48) 
Kalenjin ethnicity 304 (99.7) 
Education, post-primary 105 (34) 
Tobacco smokers 60 (20) 
Alcohol drinkers 98 (32) 
Family history of cancer 34 (11) 
Family history of esophageal cancer 19 (6)
Table 2: Histologic Diagnosis 
Diagnosis Number N (%) 
Normal 115 37 
Mild esophagitis 119 39 
Moderate- severe esophagitis 27 9 
Mild dysplasia 35 11.5 
Moderate dysplasia 8 2.6 
Severe dysplasia 1 0.3
Table 3: Prevalence of esophageal squamous dysplasia, by participant 
characteristics, in the STEP study 
Worst Biopsy Diagnosis 
Characteristic 
Normal Dysplasia Dysplasia Prevalence 
(n=261) (n=44) (%, 95% CI) p-value 
Mean age (mean, SD) 46 (15) 51 (15) 0.04 
Sex 
Male 137 26 16 (11-22) 
Female 124 18 13 (8-19) 0.5 
Location 
A 79 19 19 (12-29) 
B 48 13 21 (12-34) 
C 133 12 8 (4-14) 0.01 
Post primary education 
No 166 34 17 (12-23) 
Yes 95 10 10 (5-17) 0.09 
Tobacco smokers 
No 214 31 13 (9-17) 
Yes 47 13 22 (12-34) 0.1 
Alcohol drinkers 
No 185 21 10 (6-15) 
Yes 75 23 23 (16-33) 0.003 
Family history of cancer 
No 232 39 14 (10-19) 
Yes 29 5 15 (5-31) 1.00 
Family history of esophageal cancer 
No 243 42 15 (11-19) 
Yes 17 2 11 (1-33) 1.00
Table 4: Prevalence of esophageal squamous dysplasia (ESD) by age and sex in the STEP study 
Characteristic Worst Biopsy Diagnosis 
Normal1 Dysplasia2 
Dysplasia Prevalence 
(n= 261) (n=44) (%, 95% CI) 
Age 
<30 49 3 6 (1-16) 
30-39 57 9 14 (6-24) 
40-49 39 6 13 (5-27) 
50-59 57 10 15 (7-26) 
≥60 59 16 21 (13-32) 
Age: Male 
<30 21 2 9 (1-28) 
30-39 31 4 11 (3-27) 
40-49 21 3 13 (3-32) 
50-59 29 8 22 (9-38) 
≥60 35 9 20 (10-35) 
Age: Female 
<30 28 1 3 (0.1-18) 
30-39 26 5 16 (5-34) 
40-49 18 3 14 (3-36) 
50-59 28 2 7 (1-22) 
≥60 24 7 23 (10-41) 
1 Includes normal squamous epithelium and esophagitis 
2 Includes mild, moderate and severe dysplasia
Table 5: Distribution of Unstained Lesions (USLs) and Dysplasia Biopsies in the STEP 
Study 
Location USLs (%) Dysplasia Biopsies (%) 
Upper third 11 (3) 2 (4) 
Middle third 153 (44) 28 (58) 
Lower third 180 (52) 18 (38) 
Total 344 (100) 48 (100)
Table 6: Screening Characteristics of Unstained Lesions (USLs) for Identifying 
Dysplasia in the STEP study 
Dysplasia 
+ - 
USL 
+ 27 175 202 
- 13 200 213 
40 375 415 
% (95% CI) 
Sensitivity 27/40 68 (50-81) 
Specificity 200/375 53 (48-58) 
PPV 27/202 13 (9-19) 
NPV 200/213 94 (90-97)
Assuming that the 305 subjects who underwent 
endoscopy are representative of the Bomet 
population: 
14 % of asymptomatic adults 
exhibit squamous cell 
dysplasia of the esophagus 
Actual prevalence is probably higher, given 68% sensitivity 
of tool 
A previous screening study of 5760 subjects done by Tenwek with 
cytology balloon sampling had a dysplasia prevalence rate of 2.6% 
and a 56% sensitivity* 
*White RE, et al. Esophageal dysplasia in asymptomatic residents of western Kenya: Interim results of a 
cytologic and endoscopic screening program. Gastroenterology 2004; 126: A24.
Table 7: Univariate and multivariable adjusted odds ratios of dysplasia in STEP study 
Odds ratios (95% CI) 
Characteristic Univariate Multivariate 
Age 1.02 (1.00, 1.04) 1.01 (0.99-1.04) 
Male 1.31 (0.68-2.50) 0.87 (0.41-1.87) 
Location (Compared to C) 
A 2.67 (1.23-5.78) 2.55 (1.14-5.72) 
B 3.00 (1.28-7.03) 2.84 (1.19-6.78) 
Tobacco smokers 1.90 (0.93-3.93) 0.86 (0.34-2.19) 
Alcohol drinkers 2.70 (1.41- 5.17) 2.35 (1.11-6.04) 
Family history of cancer 1.03 (0.37-2.81) 0.90 (0.32-2.56)
Dysplasia in China and Iran 
• in a 2002 endoscopic screening study in Linxian China (where 
15% of the people die of esophageal cancer), which was 
restricted to asymptomatic subjects 50-64 years old, the 
overall prevalence of squamous dysplasia was 32% (18% high-grade, 
14% low-grade)* 
• a similar recent endoscopic screening study of 300 adults 
(aged 40-75) in Iran (total dysplasia 6%, high-grade 1.4%, low-grade 
4.6%).
Results of the STEP Study 
in perspective 
Prevalence of Dysplasia and HGD, by Population 
Population Total Dysplasia High-Grade Dysplasia 
China 30 15 
Iran 6 1.4 
Kenya 14 3.0 
• Even in China, endoscopic screening of all adults in high-risk areas, 
although possibly “cost-effective”, cannot screen comprehensively, so it 
probably cannot, by itself, significantly reduce ESCC mortality 
• In Iran and Kenya, endoscopic screening will be less cost-effective than 
in China, and in Kenya, the required infrastructure is rarely available 
• For this technique to reduce mortality, it must be preceded by another 
primary screen that can significantly and accurately stratify risk
Ongoing analysis - 
STEP Study 
• Detailed subject characteristics and risk 
factors 
• Genetic analysis of specimens 
• Polycyclic Aromatic Hydrocarbon (PAH) 
exposure levels from this subset
CONCLUSIONS – 
STEP STUDY 
1. Endoscopic screening as performed in the STEP study 
is feasible, patient acceptable, and safe in our 
population 
2. The overall prevalence of squamous dysplasia in this 
population was 14.4% (2.6% high-grade and 11.5% low-grade) 
3. The prevalence of dysplasia was greater in 
patients >50 years old, was similar in men and women, 
and varied significantly by location of residence
CONCLUSIONS (continued) 
4. USLs were 68% sensitive and 53% specific for 
identifying biopsy sites containing squamous 
dysplasia 
5. Patient risk stratification (by age, residence 
location, etc.) may improve the yield of 
dysplasia in future screening efforts and 
geographic location was a significant predictor 
of dysplasia (p 0.01).
The next Steps? 
• DIRECT Study - Ongoing- Study of Dysplasia In 
Relatives of patients with Esophageal Cancer at 
Tenwek 
• EXPECT Study - Ongoing- Endoscopic (X) Prevention 
of Esophageal Cancer at Tenwek Hospital by removal 
or ablation of esophageal squamous cell dysplasia 
• LEADER Study - Low grade EsophAgeal Dysplasia 
Evaluation Report 
• BOOST Study - Study of the Biomarkers Of 
Oesophageal Squamous Dysplasia at Tenwek 
Hospital
MultiMbaunldti bmauncdo Mseucctoomseyc ttoemchynique 
Graphic courtesy of SM Dawsey and Jacques Bergman
Esophageal dysplasia
Esophageal dysplasia – Lugol’s stain
Esophageal Endoscopic Mucosal 
Resection (EMR)
Three months after EMR
HALO360 Ablation Catheter
Radiofrequency Ablation
Squamous 
Dysplasia 
Ablation Case 
HALO360 
Courtesy of: 
Jacques Bergman 
AMC 
Amsterdam 
Radio Frequency Ablation 
Pouw et al GIE 2008
Thank you for your attention 
We look forward to further discussions on 
effective screening and prevention 
programs for esophageal squamous cell 
carcinoma in Africa.
Study of tenwek esophageal squamous dysplasia prevalence by michael mwachiro steve burgert

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Study of tenwek esophageal squamous dysplasia prevalence by michael mwachiro steve burgert

  • 1. Study of Tenwek Esophageal Squamous Dysplasia Prevalence: The STEP study KESHO Conference 29th November 2014 ∞ Principal Investigator, Michael Mwachiro MBChB Presented by Co-Investigator, Stephen L. Burgert, MD Tenwek Hospital – Bomet, Kenya
  • 2. TENWEK STEP STUDY TEAM • Michael M Mwachiro MBChB1, Principal Investigator • Stephen L Burgert MD1, • Wairimu Waweru MBChB, MMED2, • Russell E White MD, MPH, FACS1, • Collins Bett1 • Robert Chepkwony, KRCHN1 • Jessie Githanga MBChB, MMED2, • Sanford M Dawsey MD3 • Mark Topazian, MD4 1Tenwek Hospital, Bomet, Kenya; 2Department of Pathology, University of Nairobi School of Medicine, Nairobi, Kenya; 3National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, MD, USA. 4Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA.
  • 3.
  • 4. Esophageal Cancer - Worldwide • Esophageal cancer is the eighth most common cancer and the sixth most common cause of cancer-related death in the world, with an estimated 482,000 new cases and 407,000 deaths in 2008 (1) • High rates of esophageal cancer are found along geographic belts, one following the ancient Silk Road from north central China through the central Asian republics to northern Iran, and one from eastern to southern Africa 1. Jemal A, Bray F, CenterMM,Ferlay J, Ward E, FormanD. Global cancer statistics. CA Cancer J Clin 2011;61:69–90.
  • 5. Geographic Variation of Esophageal Cancer Low-Risk High-Risk Rates <10 50 -100+ M:F 3 - 4:1 1 - 1.5:1 % ESCC 40-50% 90%
  • 6. Nairobi Cancer Registry Report 2004-2008 MEN: Esophageal Cancer is the second most common cancer (after Prostate Cancer) WOMEN: Esophageal Cancer is the third most common cancer (after Breast and Cervical Cancer) A. Korir, N. Okerosi, DM Parkin 14th May 2014
  • 7. Squamous Cell Esophageal Cancer vs. Adenocarcinoma of the Esophagus Worldwide in developing countries the vast majority of esophageal cancers are of squamous cell pathology.
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10. Tenwek Hospital Endoscopy Services - 2012 • 2,030 endoscopy cases • 484 patients with esophageal cancer • 145 patients with gastric/duodenal cancer • 319 esophageal stents placed
  • 11. White RE, Abnet CC, Mungatana CZ, Dawsey SM. Oesophageal cancer: A common malignancy in young people of Bomet District, Kenya. Lancet 2002; 36(9331): 462-63.
  • 12. Parker RK, Dawsey SM, Abnet CC, White RE. Frequent occurrence of esophageal cancer in young people in western Kenya. Diseases of the Esophagus 2010 (20): 128-135.
  • 13.
  • 14. Challenges in a Developing Country • Inadequate Reporting System • Fatalistic Attitude • Late Presentation • Inconsistent Referral Patterns • Traditional Healers/Treatment • Chemotherapy and Radiation Therapy Usually Not Available • Financial Constraints
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18. Esophageal CA – post-dilation
  • 21. After esophageal stent placement – drinking from the “Ceremonial Cup”
  • 22. Survival Following Treatment at Tenwek Hospital • Stenting alone – Median Survival 9 months – Dysphagia score 0-2 at time of death • Surgery alone – Median survival 24 months stage I and II – Median survival 14 months stage III and IV
  • 23. Esophageal Dysplasia • Dysplasia has been shown to be an important element along the pathway leading to development of Esophageal Carcinoma- both for Adenocarcinoma and Squamous Cell carcinoma • Interventions at eradicating the dysplasia would be useful in stopping the progression to carcinoma
  • 25. Dysplasia – Histology Criteria • Squamous dysplasia requires – the presence of nuclear atypia (enlargement, pleomorphism, and hyperchromasia) – loss of normal cell polarity, – and abnormal tissue maturation without invasion of epithelial cells through the basement membrane
  • 26. Grading of Esophageal Squamous Dysplasia • Mild dysplasia - these abnormalities are confined to the lower third of the epithelium • Moderate dysplasia - they are present in the lower two thirds of the epithelium • Severe dysplasia - they also involve the upper third of the epithelium. • Full thickness involvement of the epithelium, called carcinoma in situ by some, is considered synonymous with severe dysplasia based on their similar histologic appearance
  • 27. Esophageal Squamous Dysplasia Progression in China Over a total of 13.5 years for the Linxian cohort Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma developed in:  8% of participants with normal histology (baseline positive cytology sample) 24% with mild dysplasia 50% with moderate dysplasia 74% with severe dysplasia 58% with dysplasia NOS (not otherwise specified) and 75% with carcinoma in situ Wang et al Gut 2005
  • 28. ESCC Possible Risk Factors Low-Risk Populations • Tobacco • Alcohol • Low SES High-Risk Populations • [Tobacco, alcohol] • Diet (low selenium) • Tobacco carcinogens from other sources: • PAHs • Nitrosamines • Acetaldehyde • Poor oral health • Hot drinks • Low SES • Family history
  • 29. OVERALL OBJECTIVES • Esophageal squamous cell cancer (ESCC) is a common malignancy in the developing world and is the leading cancer diagnosis at Tenwek Hospital, a referral hospital in western Kenya. • Our long-term goal is to understand the pathogenesis and risk factors for ESCC in Kenya, and to establish effective screening and prevention programs. • To provide effective treatment options for patients identified with esophageal squamous dysplasia.
  • 30. Study of Tenwek Esophageal Squamous Dysplasia Prevalence: The STEP study
  • 31. STEP study • Study of • Tenwek • Esophageal Squamous Dysplasia • Prevalence
  • 32. OBJECTIVE – STEP Study • We hypothesized that asymptomatic esophageal squamous dysplasia (ESD), the precursor lesion of ESCC, is common in our region, raising the possibility of screening for ESD to prevent ESCC. • This study aimed to determine the prevalence of ESD in adult residents in the traditional Tenwek Hospital catchment area and to explore the impact of demographic data and environmental exposures on the prevalence of ESD.
  • 33. METHODS: • 305** asymptomatic adult residents of villages within 50 km of Tenwek Hospital completed a detailed survey and underwent trans-oral videoendoscopy of the esophagus with Lugol’s chromoendoscopy, mapping of identified lesions, and biopsy. • Each subject was classified by their worst biopsy diagnosis, and the overall prevalence of ESD, the age-adjusted prevalence of ESD and the sex- and age-specific prevalence of ESD by decade will be calculated. • The association between potential risk factors and ESD was analyzed by univariate and multivariate logistic regression.
  • 34. Inclusion Criteria • Residence within 50 kms of Tenwek Hospital • Age between 20-79 years • Exclusion of the following symptoms and allergies • Dysphagia • Odynophagia • Haematemsis • Weight loss • Allergy to iodine • Allergy to lidocaine • Exclusion of significant health problems such as: • Bleeding disorders • Heart arrhythmias • Diabetes • Lung disease or breathing problems • Stroke • Subject should be fasting/NPO (Nil Per Oral) from previous night
  • 35. Recruitment Model Administrators Community level Tenwek Hospital
  • 36. Zone A Zone C Zone B
  • 37.
  • 38. Meeting at the village
  • 39. Going through the consent form and questionnaire
  • 41. Making up of Lugol’s iodine solution • Lugol’s iodine stain: 12g I2 + 24g KI in 1L H2O • Make it up yourself: right formula, fresh • Iodine reversibly stains glycogen (abundant in normal superficial squamous cells, absent in rapidly dividing cells); → normal epithelium is brown, dysplasia is unstained
  • 43. Esophageal dysplasia – before Lugol’s stain
  • 44. Esophageal dysplasia – after Lugol’s stain
  • 47. • So what did we find? Results and Discussion
  • 48. RESULTS • Subject accrual is currently completed. Results are presented for 305 patients. (complete histologic and endoscopic data) • Enrollment up to this time had been 313 subjects • Subject drop-out rate was 3.6% and subject compliance was 97.5%
  • 49. Table 1: Characteristics of participants who were screened in the STEP study (n=305) Characteristic N (%) Total 305 Age, years (mean, SD) 46.7 (15.5) < 50 163 (53) ≥ 50 142 (47) Male 163 (53) Location A 98 (32) B 61 (20) C 145 (48) Kalenjin ethnicity 304 (99.7) Education, post-primary 105 (34) Tobacco smokers 60 (20) Alcohol drinkers 98 (32) Family history of cancer 34 (11) Family history of esophageal cancer 19 (6)
  • 50. Table 2: Histologic Diagnosis Diagnosis Number N (%) Normal 115 37 Mild esophagitis 119 39 Moderate- severe esophagitis 27 9 Mild dysplasia 35 11.5 Moderate dysplasia 8 2.6 Severe dysplasia 1 0.3
  • 51. Table 3: Prevalence of esophageal squamous dysplasia, by participant characteristics, in the STEP study Worst Biopsy Diagnosis Characteristic Normal Dysplasia Dysplasia Prevalence (n=261) (n=44) (%, 95% CI) p-value Mean age (mean, SD) 46 (15) 51 (15) 0.04 Sex Male 137 26 16 (11-22) Female 124 18 13 (8-19) 0.5 Location A 79 19 19 (12-29) B 48 13 21 (12-34) C 133 12 8 (4-14) 0.01 Post primary education No 166 34 17 (12-23) Yes 95 10 10 (5-17) 0.09 Tobacco smokers No 214 31 13 (9-17) Yes 47 13 22 (12-34) 0.1 Alcohol drinkers No 185 21 10 (6-15) Yes 75 23 23 (16-33) 0.003 Family history of cancer No 232 39 14 (10-19) Yes 29 5 15 (5-31) 1.00 Family history of esophageal cancer No 243 42 15 (11-19) Yes 17 2 11 (1-33) 1.00
  • 52. Table 4: Prevalence of esophageal squamous dysplasia (ESD) by age and sex in the STEP study Characteristic Worst Biopsy Diagnosis Normal1 Dysplasia2 Dysplasia Prevalence (n= 261) (n=44) (%, 95% CI) Age <30 49 3 6 (1-16) 30-39 57 9 14 (6-24) 40-49 39 6 13 (5-27) 50-59 57 10 15 (7-26) ≥60 59 16 21 (13-32) Age: Male <30 21 2 9 (1-28) 30-39 31 4 11 (3-27) 40-49 21 3 13 (3-32) 50-59 29 8 22 (9-38) ≥60 35 9 20 (10-35) Age: Female <30 28 1 3 (0.1-18) 30-39 26 5 16 (5-34) 40-49 18 3 14 (3-36) 50-59 28 2 7 (1-22) ≥60 24 7 23 (10-41) 1 Includes normal squamous epithelium and esophagitis 2 Includes mild, moderate and severe dysplasia
  • 53. Table 5: Distribution of Unstained Lesions (USLs) and Dysplasia Biopsies in the STEP Study Location USLs (%) Dysplasia Biopsies (%) Upper third 11 (3) 2 (4) Middle third 153 (44) 28 (58) Lower third 180 (52) 18 (38) Total 344 (100) 48 (100)
  • 54. Table 6: Screening Characteristics of Unstained Lesions (USLs) for Identifying Dysplasia in the STEP study Dysplasia + - USL + 27 175 202 - 13 200 213 40 375 415 % (95% CI) Sensitivity 27/40 68 (50-81) Specificity 200/375 53 (48-58) PPV 27/202 13 (9-19) NPV 200/213 94 (90-97)
  • 55. Assuming that the 305 subjects who underwent endoscopy are representative of the Bomet population: 14 % of asymptomatic adults exhibit squamous cell dysplasia of the esophagus Actual prevalence is probably higher, given 68% sensitivity of tool A previous screening study of 5760 subjects done by Tenwek with cytology balloon sampling had a dysplasia prevalence rate of 2.6% and a 56% sensitivity* *White RE, et al. Esophageal dysplasia in asymptomatic residents of western Kenya: Interim results of a cytologic and endoscopic screening program. Gastroenterology 2004; 126: A24.
  • 56. Table 7: Univariate and multivariable adjusted odds ratios of dysplasia in STEP study Odds ratios (95% CI) Characteristic Univariate Multivariate Age 1.02 (1.00, 1.04) 1.01 (0.99-1.04) Male 1.31 (0.68-2.50) 0.87 (0.41-1.87) Location (Compared to C) A 2.67 (1.23-5.78) 2.55 (1.14-5.72) B 3.00 (1.28-7.03) 2.84 (1.19-6.78) Tobacco smokers 1.90 (0.93-3.93) 0.86 (0.34-2.19) Alcohol drinkers 2.70 (1.41- 5.17) 2.35 (1.11-6.04) Family history of cancer 1.03 (0.37-2.81) 0.90 (0.32-2.56)
  • 57. Dysplasia in China and Iran • in a 2002 endoscopic screening study in Linxian China (where 15% of the people die of esophageal cancer), which was restricted to asymptomatic subjects 50-64 years old, the overall prevalence of squamous dysplasia was 32% (18% high-grade, 14% low-grade)* • a similar recent endoscopic screening study of 300 adults (aged 40-75) in Iran (total dysplasia 6%, high-grade 1.4%, low-grade 4.6%).
  • 58. Results of the STEP Study in perspective Prevalence of Dysplasia and HGD, by Population Population Total Dysplasia High-Grade Dysplasia China 30 15 Iran 6 1.4 Kenya 14 3.0 • Even in China, endoscopic screening of all adults in high-risk areas, although possibly “cost-effective”, cannot screen comprehensively, so it probably cannot, by itself, significantly reduce ESCC mortality • In Iran and Kenya, endoscopic screening will be less cost-effective than in China, and in Kenya, the required infrastructure is rarely available • For this technique to reduce mortality, it must be preceded by another primary screen that can significantly and accurately stratify risk
  • 59. Ongoing analysis - STEP Study • Detailed subject characteristics and risk factors • Genetic analysis of specimens • Polycyclic Aromatic Hydrocarbon (PAH) exposure levels from this subset
  • 60. CONCLUSIONS – STEP STUDY 1. Endoscopic screening as performed in the STEP study is feasible, patient acceptable, and safe in our population 2. The overall prevalence of squamous dysplasia in this population was 14.4% (2.6% high-grade and 11.5% low-grade) 3. The prevalence of dysplasia was greater in patients >50 years old, was similar in men and women, and varied significantly by location of residence
  • 61. CONCLUSIONS (continued) 4. USLs were 68% sensitive and 53% specific for identifying biopsy sites containing squamous dysplasia 5. Patient risk stratification (by age, residence location, etc.) may improve the yield of dysplasia in future screening efforts and geographic location was a significant predictor of dysplasia (p 0.01).
  • 62. The next Steps? • DIRECT Study - Ongoing- Study of Dysplasia In Relatives of patients with Esophageal Cancer at Tenwek • EXPECT Study - Ongoing- Endoscopic (X) Prevention of Esophageal Cancer at Tenwek Hospital by removal or ablation of esophageal squamous cell dysplasia • LEADER Study - Low grade EsophAgeal Dysplasia Evaluation Report • BOOST Study - Study of the Biomarkers Of Oesophageal Squamous Dysplasia at Tenwek Hospital
  • 63. MultiMbaunldti bmauncdo Mseucctoomseyc ttoemchynique Graphic courtesy of SM Dawsey and Jacques Bergman
  • 65. Esophageal dysplasia – Lugol’s stain
  • 66. Esophageal Endoscopic Mucosal Resection (EMR)
  • 70. Squamous Dysplasia Ablation Case HALO360 Courtesy of: Jacques Bergman AMC Amsterdam Radio Frequency Ablation Pouw et al GIE 2008
  • 71. Thank you for your attention We look forward to further discussions on effective screening and prevention programs for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma in Africa.

Editor's Notes

  1. Explanation for sample size
  2. This protocol closely parallels the protocol used in a prior study of RFA for treatment of SD in China.