27. THE DEMOCRATIC SOCIETY If you’re used to personalisation ...
Vote that guy o Big Brother Ten seconds
Tell that Times columnist that
One minute
he’s an idiot
Have my burger without mayonnaise Five minutes
Buy made-to-measure jeans One week
http://www.demsoc.org
28. THE DEMOCRATIC SOCIETY ... politics is always going to disappoint
Vote that guy o Big Brother Ten seconds
Tell that Times columnist that
One minute
he’s an idiot
Have my burger without mayonnaise Five minutes
Buy made-to-measure jeans One week
Change a government Four years,
policy I don’t like if you’re lucky
http://www.demsoc.org
29. So, election turnout has fallen ...
UK voter turnout at General Elections UK voter turnout at General Elections
THE DEMOCRATIC SOCIETY
1950-1969 average 2000-2009 average
Source: International IDEA http://www.demsoc.org
30. THE DEMOCRATIC SOCIETY ... here and elsewhere ...
Years of highest and lowest election turnout since 1945
in selected mature democracies*
100
90
80
70
60
Highest turnouts all before 1980
All but 2 lowest turnouts after 1995
50
1945 1958 1971 1984 1997 2010
Highest Lowest
Source: International IDEA. *Parliamentary elections in all EU member states that have been democracies continuously since 1950, plus US
(presidential), Canada, New Zealand, Switzerland, Iceland & Norway. Countries with compulsory voting excluded. Germany = West Germany
before 1990.
http://www.demsoc.org
31. ... mostly among the young ...
UK voter turnout 2005 UK voter turnout 2005
THE DEMOCRATIC SOCIETY
Voters aged 65 and over Voters aged under 25
Source: British Election Survey 2005 http://www.demsoc.org
32. THE DEMOCRATIC SOCIETY ... and the not-as-young-as-they-once-were.
After 1992, abstention started
increasing among older age groups too
60
18-24
50 35-44
65-74
40
30
20
10
0
64
66
70
a
b
79
83
87
92
97
01
05
74
74
20
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
20
19
19
Source: British Election Survey 2005 http://www.demsoc.org
33. THE DEMOCRATIC SOCIETY Party membership is also down
Change in party membership numbers in 13 European countries, 1980-2000
0
-10
-20
-30
%
-40
-50
-60
-70
ce
ly
UK
y
d
s
ia
nd
en
k
nd
ium
y
nd
ar
wa
an
an
Ita
str
an
ed
la
la
m
rla
m
nl
lg
or
Au
er
Ire
Fr
en
Sw
er
Fi
Be
N
he
itz
D
G
et
Sw
N
Source: Mair & Van Biezen, Party Membership in 20 European Democracies in Party Politics v 7 (2001). http://www.demsoc.org
34. THE DEMOCRATIC SOCIETY Politics is becoming a hobby ...
Image: Trainspotter (Wikimedia Commons) http://www.demsoc.org
35. THE DEMOCRATIC SOCIETY ... and not a very popular one.
Membership of selected UK organisations
4
3
members (millions)
2
1
0
st
PB
ion
ty
s
y*
ur
)
s
ng
ive
em
ru
cie
bo
r
RS
bu
un
lT
li
at
D
yc
La
So
n
rv
na
B
b
(C
to
se
M
Li
in
io
las
n
lke
G
TC
at
Co
G
N
To
C
Source: News reports 2007-9 and corporate websites. * Glastonbury = 2008 attendance http://www.demsoc.org
36. THE DEMOCRATIC SOCIETY Meanwhile people turn to minor parties ...
Vote share of larger minor parties in European Parliament elections
20
UKIP Green BNP
15
%
10
5
0
1989 1994 1999 2004 2009
Source: UK O ce of the European Parliament http://www.demsoc.org
37. THE DEMOCRATIC SOCIETY ... and campaign groups ...
2004
1973
1999 1997
1975
2004
1934
1989
2001
http://www.demsoc.org
38. THE DEMOCRATIC SOCIETY ... creating a sort of outsourced politics ...
MORE TRAINS !
£
LOWER TAXES !
£
http://www.demsoc.org
39. THE DEMOCRATIC SOCIETY ... with no need for compromises or trade-o s
MORE HOSPITALS !
?
£
LOWER TAXES !
£
http://www.demsoc.org
40. Part Three
THE DEMOCRATIC SOCIETY
New ! Politics-flavored
technocracy*
* contains no actual politics http://www.demsoc.org
41. THE DEMOCRATIC SOCIETY
As the general public
have withdrawn, politics
has become a closed and
technocratic world
http://www.demsoc.org
42. THE DEMOCRATIC SOCIETY Politics was always a small world ...
(the ratio of elected politicians to citizens in the UK is the same as the
ratio of seats in an executive box to seats in Wembley Stadium)
Elected politicians = MPs, MEPs, Councillors (other than Parish Councillors), and members of devolved institutions http://www.demsoc.org
43. THE DEMOCRATIC SOCIETY ... but now politicians are more similar ...
Employment background of MPs
80
60
Professional & White Collar
Business
Manual
40
20
0
1987 1992 1997 2001 2005
Source: House of Commons Library http://www.demsoc.org
44. ... and have similar lifestyles.
Gerald Kaufman’s James Arbuthnot’s
THE DEMOCRATIC SOCIETY
expenses claims expenses claims
• $2,750 rug from New • £2,749 tree pruning
York • £2,433 housekeeper
• £8,000 Bang & wages
Olufsen BeoVision
40” television
• £341 Aga servicing
• £1,471 swimming pool
• £600 carpet from maintenance
Harrods
• £2,340 replacement
• £3,000 Bosch and windows
Miele kitchen
appliances
Source: Daily Telegraph http://www.demsoc.org
45. THE DEMOCRATIC SOCIETY Can you tell who’s from which party ?
A B
• Born Blackburn, 1890 • Born London, 1904
• Left school aged 11 • Educated at
• Assistant in weaver’s Winchester & Oxford
shed • Worked in the City
• Later career as a • Director of a railway
brewer under Franco
• Served as local • Art collector
councillor • Education minister
• Education minister
http://www.demsoc.org
46. THE DEMOCRATIC SOCIETY Not too di cult for post-war politicians
George Tomlinson (Lab) David Eccles (Cons)
• Born Blackburn, 1890 • Born London, 1904
• Left school aged 11 • Educated at
• Assistant in weaver’s Winchester & Oxford
shed • Worked in the City
• Later career as a • Director of a railway
brewer under Franco
• Served as local • Art collector
councillor • Education minister
• Education minister
http://www.demsoc.org
47. THE DEMOCRATIC SOCIETY How about now?
A B
• Born Edinburgh, 1967 • Born Norwich, 1967
• Public school • Public school
• Oxford University • Oxford University
• Journalist • Journalist
• Think tank • Think tank
• Entered Parliament • Entered Parliament
2005 2005
• Education brief • Education brief
http://www.demsoc.org
48. THE DEMOCRATIC SOCIETY Much more di cult
Michael Gove (Cons) Ed Balls (Lab)
• Born Edinburgh, 1967 • Born Norwich, 1967
• Public school • Public school
• Oxford University • Oxford University
• Journalist • Journalist
• Think tank • Think tank
• Entered Parliament • Entered Parliament
2005 2005
• Education brief • Education brief
http://www.demsoc.org
49. THE DEMOCRATIC SOCIETY Politics has become a life-long career
Career backgrounds of MPs
90
Politics
80
Manual labour
70
Number of MPs
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
1987 1992 1997 2001 2005
Source: House of Commons Library http://www.demsoc.org
50. THE DEMOCRATIC SOCIETY The battleground is narrower ...
Source: Labour poster from 1930s (Spartacus); Conservative campaign logo (Conservative Party website); BBC News
article; Margaret Thatcher (BBC)
http://www.demsoc.org
51. THE DEMOCRATIC SOCIETY ... and the battles harder to understand.
Source: “Reconstruction” Conservative policy statement on the economy, page 8 http://www.demsoc.org
53. THE DEMOCRATIC SOCIETY ... and it’s not the same thing at all
Even when the UK Government consulted on a very controversial issue - the future
of nuclear power - there were only 1,784 responses from the public - and more than a
third of consultation responses were from professionals, technicians or lobby groups
136 109 173
397 Academics
Business
Government
139
Individual
Lobby group
Other
1,784
Participants in consultation on future of UK Nuclear Power
Source: Department for Energy and Climate Change. Academics includes consultants. http://www.demsoc.org
54. Part Four
THE DEMOCRATIC SOCIETY
A few moments with our
heads in our hands
http://www.demsoc.org
56. THE DEMOCRATIC SOCIETY People who want to engage ...
EU voters asked “do you approve of the
German voters asked “should there be a Swiss government model, with greater use
referendum on the Lisbon Treaty?” of referendums?”
No No
23% 30%
Yes
Yes 70%
77%
German poll: Open Europe 2009. EU poll: Eurobarometer 1997 (EU = 1997 member states) Photos: World Naked
Bike Ride Brighton (Nick Sayers), Tea Party Day protest, Orlando (Instapundit), “Downtown for all” campaign http://www.demsoc.org
lobbying Seattle City Council, 2006 (Real Change)
57. ... but don’t trust the system
Would trust Would not trust
Net %ge saying a member of that profession/group
THE DEMOCRATIC SOCIETY
100% “would tell the truth”
75% Journalists
Politicians generally
86% 83%
50% Ministers
Business leaders
25% Trade union officials
14% 17% Civil servants
0%
Pollsters
Parliament Civil service
Man in the street
Police
TV News DON’T TRUST DO TRUST
Scientists
Priests
Judges
Academics
Teachers
Doctors
-75 -50 -25 0 25 50 75 100
Trust: Henley Centre report, quoted in Strategy Unit 2002 Risk report; Never Trust A Politician image, Nuno
Machado Lopes; Trust in professions: MORI/BMA/Parliamentary Monitor 2003
http://www.demsoc.org
63. THE DEMOCRATIC SOCIETY Tinkering with the electoral system
Electoral turnout, New Zealand
100
90
80
70
Proportional representation
introduced from 1996 election
60
50
1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008
Source: New Zealand Electoral Commission http://www.demsoc.org
64. THE DEMOCRATIC SOCIETY Fixed-term Parliaments
UK Parliamentary & US Congressional midterm elections
Electoral turnout in seven most recent cycles, indexed (first election in 1980s = 100)
110
variable terms
100
90
80
fixed terms
70
USA UK
60
7 6 5 4 3 2 1
Source: International IDEA http://www.demsoc.org
65. THE DEMOCRATIC SOCIETY More consultations
Image: Welsh Assembly Government. Statistic: Welsh Conservative Party website
Just one of 92 consultation documents issued
by the Welsh Assembly Government in
the first six months of 2009
http://www.demsoc.org
66. THE DEMOCRATIC SOCIETY Redistributing power within the political class
http://www.demsoc.org
67. THE DEMOCRATIC SOCIETY Listening more to campaign groups
LOWER TAXES !
EVEN LOWER TAXES !
http://www.demsoc.org
68. THE DEMOCRATIC SOCIETY
Before I talk about our
proposal, let’s have ...
http://www.demsoc.org
72. THE DEMOCRATIC SOCIETY In the 90s, it was a new democratic arena ...
Electric Minds virtual community front page, 1996 (retrieved from rheingold.com) http://www.demsoc.org
73. THE DEMOCRATIC SOCIETY ... a space beyond government ...
GOVERNMENTS of the Industrial World, you weary
giants of flesh and steel, I come from Cyberspace, the new
home of Mind. On behalf of the future, I ask you of the
past to leave us alone. You are not welcome among us. You
have no sovereignty where we gather.
We have no elected government, nor are we likely to have
one, so I address you with no greater authority than that
with which liberty itself always speaks. I declare the global
social space we are building to be naturally independent of
the tyrannies you seek to impose on us. You have no moral
right to rule us nor do you possess any methods of
enforcement we have true reason to fear.
[...] Cyberspace does not lie within your borders. Do not
think that you can build it, as though it were a public
construction project. You cannot. It is an act of nature and
it grows itself through our collective actions.
John Perry Barlow (pictured), Declaration of the
Independence of Cyberspace, 1996
http://www.demsoc.org
74. THE DEMOCRATIC SOCIETY ... where a new Athens would arise.
Hold still ! I can’t
read facebook if you
jiggle it
Photo: Marble at Getty Villa, Santa Monica (Simon Bisson/Flickr) http://www.demsoc.org
75. THE DEMOCRATIC SOCIETY
I think we all know it
hasn’t quite worked out
like that.
http://www.demsoc.org
76. THE DEMOCRATIC SOCIETY The internet encourages views to cluster ...
Map of political blogosphere during the 2008 US Presidential Election, Harvard Internet & Democracy blog http://www.demsoc.org
77. THE DEMOCRATIC SOCIETY ... privileges extreme positions ...
BBC Have Your Say, day after Euro elections, 2009
Actual votes for BNP & UKIP vs
30 most recommended comments to question
mainstream parties, June 2009
“Is Britain entering a new political age?”
Other UKIP + BNP
20% 23%
Pro-BNP/Pro-UKIP Mainstream parties
80% 77%
Source: Democratic Society analysis; BBC http://www.demsoc.org
78. THE DEMOCRATIC SOCIETY ... and drowns out facts with ranting.
Global warming fears are just that, fears; like everyone with a
cold thinks they have the pig flu. In the great scale of things
even a million years is just a blink and the green crowd think More stupidity from this discredited administration. What other country has
they can foretell the future by sticking their heads out of the so wilfully 'hamstrung' its industry and introduced legislation which will cost
window! The government promote the fear to raises tax. The the general populace so much?
nut-cutlet and sandal brigade do it because it is the latest
fashion.
As I sit here, looking out of my window at a beautiful 81
degrees, I wonder if I should put on my bikini and sarong
So let's get this straight. We don't emit a trace element
quantity of essential, life-giving gas and we BENEFIT by £1 and do a bit of sunbathing! Of course, I have "massaged"
Trillion? There's not even any flippin warming that can be the figure, in cardiff it is barely 14 degrees and, when you
shown to be out of the ordinary, and for ten years there's been add the wind-chill factor, ITS DAMN COLD AND I STILL
flat or cooling temperatures. CO2 driven warming my hat. HAVE THE HEATING ON. In MAY!!!
This is obscene, ideologically driven fraud. Insanity, nothing
less. We can ALL massage the figures to suit, milliband,
this,make no mistake, is just ANOTHER SCAM TO TAKE
Global warming is just a con to milk taxes from the ordinary person. EVEN MORE OF OUR HARD EARNED MONEY!!!
It would be interesting to see just who has
heavy investments in the 'Green' Industries.
Government Ministers?; MPs?; Anyone care to
place a bet?
One way to fill the tax gap ZaNu liebour have
created. Green taxes are the new window tax.
Why not just stop packing this small island with
immigrants, that would reduce our carbon
footprint better than more tax.
Just why are governments clinging to the hoax that CO2
forces 'Global Warming' ? It is scientific fact that the earth
is in a cooling phase and has been for the past 9 years. If Labour ministers say there is a huge risk from so-
More CO2 - the gas of life - can only be beneficial to our called global warming, then it is clear that the whole
thing is rubbish. Those of us who are "climate change
biosphere and human environment and well-being. denyers" are labelled by the enviro-hippies as on a par
with holocaust denyiers, but their whole premise is
based on poor science. None of the original computer
models have been even CLOSE to what we are
experiencing now.
Comments on Daily Mail article “recommended” by more than 50 users, 5 May 2009. http://www.demsoc.org
79. THE DEMOCRATIC SOCIETY It is prone to verbal diarrhoea ...
US Constitution
Animal Farm
Typical novel
Pride & Prejudice
More than 9 hours of reading
One day on Comment is Free at average reading speed
0
00
00
00
0
0
00
00
,0
,0
,0
0,
0,
30
60
90
12
15
One day on Comment is Free = Estimated words posted on CiF on 9 May 2008. Calculated by averaging comment
lengths on 20 randomly selected threads then multiplying average comment length by total comment count
http://www.demsoc.org
80. ... and lacks common political space.
Top ten political blogs, by Technorati authority
THE DEMOCRATIC SOCIETY
?
http://www.demsoc.org
81. THE DEMOCRATIC SOCIETY
It’s not all bad, though.
The Internet has been
great for ...
http://www.demsoc.org
88. THE DEMOCRATIC SOCIETY
Can we take the accessibility, information and
passion of the Net and combine them with
the common spaces, shared rules and need
for compromise of the political world ?
http://www.demsoc.org
95. THE DEMOCRATIC SOCIETY ... dedicated to citizenship ...
Information Discussion Voting
Source: Wellcome images http://www.demsoc.org
96. THE DEMOCRATIC SOCIETY ... not partisan posturing.
Global warming fears are just that,
fears; like everyone with a cold thinks
One way to fill the tax gap ZaNu liebour
they have the pig flu. In the great
have created. Green taxes are the new
scale of things even a million years is
window tax. Why not just stop packing this
just a blink and the green crowd think
small island with immigrants, that would
they can foretell the future by sticking
reduce our carbon footprint better than
their heads out of the window! The
more tax.
So let's get this straight. We don't emit a fear to
government promote the trace
element quantity of essential, life-giving gas sandal
raises tax. The nut-cutlet and
and we BENEFIT by £1 Trillion? There's not latest
brigade do it because it is the It would be interesting to
fashion.
even any flippin warming that can be shown to see just who has heavy
If Labour ministers say there is a huge risk
be out of the ordinary, and for ten years there's investments in the 'Green'
from so-called global warming, then it is clear
been flat or cooling temperatures. CO2 driven that the whole thing is rubbish. Those of us Industries. Government
warming my hat. This is obscene, ideologically who are "climate change denyers" are Ministers?; MPs?; Anyone
driven fraud. Insanity, nothing less. labelled by the enviro-hippies as on a par with care to place a bet?
holocaust denyiers, but their whole premise is
based on poor science. None of the original
computer models have been even CLOSE to
Global warming is
what we are experiencing now.
More stupidity from this just a con to milk
discredited administration. What
other country has so wilfully taxes fromlooking out of my window at a beautiful 81
As I sit here, the
ordinaryIbit of sunbathing! Ofput on myI bikini "massaged"
degrees, wonder if I should and sarong
'hamstrung' its industry and are governments clinging
Just why
and do a person. course, have
introduced legislation the hoax that CO2 forces
to which will
'Global Warming' ? It is scientific figure, in cardiff it is barely 14 degrees and, when you
cost the general populace so
the
fact that the earth is in a cooling the wind-chill factor, ITS DAMN COLD AND I STILL
add
much?
HAVE THE HEATING ON. In MAY!!!
phase and has been for the past 9can ALL massage the figures to suit, milliband,
We
years. More CO2 - the gas of life -
this,make no mistake, is just ANOTHER SCAM TO TAKE
can only be beneficial to our EVEN MORE OF OUR HARD EARNED MONEY!!!
biosphere and human environment
and well-being.
http://www.demsoc.org
110. THE DEMOCRATIC SOCIETY ... and easy to access on di erent devices.
http://www.demsoc.org
111. THE DEMOCRATIC SOCIETY It gives members chances to lead ...
Images: Planning consultation meeting, Saipan, Marianas Islands http://www.demsoc.org
112. THE DEMOCRATIC SOCIETY ... and to gain political skills.
Images: Irish Ambassador making a speech at an event in London (Journalists’ Charity) http://www.demsoc.org
113. THE DEMOCRATIC SOCIETY Members too shy or too busy to debate ...
Image: Wellcome images http://www.demsoc.org
114. THE DEMOCRATIC SOCIETY ... can explore issues ...
Image: Wellcome images http://www.demsoc.org
116. THE DEMOCRATIC SOCIETY We will have to start small ...
Image: Wikimedia commons http://www.demsoc.org
117. THE DEMOCRATIC SOCIETY ... but will have scalability built in ...
Image: Legoland’s Schloß Neuschwanstein source: Wikimedia Commons. http://www.demsoc.org
118. THE DEMOCRATIC SOCIETY ... and a goal of being the most popular ...
Image by kind permission of Andy Keetch, taken by @garagestudios http://www.demsoc.org
121. THE DEMOCRATIC SOCIETY
Presentation by Anthony Zacharzewski
for the Democratic Society, April 2010
ajz10@demsoc.org | @anthonyzach
Version 2
http://www.demsoc.org