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Que vienen los chinos,
¿hay futuro para las TIC europeas?




                       Debate SIC
                  martes 9 de abril , 2013
Jean Paul Simon        JPS Public Policy Consulting   1
Summary
The size of the ICT sector: Asia
China




              JPS Public Policy Consulting   2
The size of the ICT sector: Asia




             JPS Public Policy Consulting   3
No EU firms under the radar




      JPS Public Policy Consulting   4
Global perspective on ICT patenting

                          50.000


                          45.000


                          40.000

                                                                                                         US
                          35.000
ICT patent applications




                          30.000


                          25.000                                                                                      China

                          20.000
                                                                                                                        EU
                          15.000


                          10.000

                                                                                                                      Russia
                           5.000

                                                                                                Brasil         South Africa
                              0
                                   1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

                                         Brasil     Russia     South Africa    EU       US      China         Korea       India



    ICT priority patent applications by inventors
from the EU, US, Brazil, China, JPS Public Policy ConsultingRussia,
                                 Korea, India,                                                            Source: IPTS, 2011
                                                                                                                           5
               South Africa and Taiwan
Connectivity leaders




      JPS Public Policy Consulting   6
China




        JPS Public Policy Consulting   7
The size of the ICT sector
The ICT sector is highly illustrative of the massive
changes in the Chinese industry and economy.
China has become the 1st largest country producing
ICT products.
  exports of ICT increased fourfold between 2004 and 2008, though
  many of these are re-exports from other Asian countries).


Manufacturing dominates China's ICT industry.
  A total of 80% of the ICT industry revenue comes from
  computer systems, electronic elements & components,
  communication equipment and home audio & video products.




                         JPS Public Policy Consulting               8
Percentage-share of ICT industry
         within China's GDP




Source: http://www.paradiso-fp7.eu/documents/conference/Day2/Session3/Jun.pdf
                                              JPS Public Policy Consulting      9
Some impressive results (1)
               Leading firms

Within two decades, the national strategy of
building national champions has already been
undertaken by some ambitious companies.
Several Chinese electronics firms have
become global players, including Huawei
Technologies, Lenovo, and ZTE.
  Huawei and ZTE are now the main players in the GSM,
  CDMA, optical and DSLAM equipment markets.
  Huawei Technologies has become a leading provider of
  telecommunications networks and increasingly challenges
  established competitors like Siemens, Cisco, and Alcatel.
  Lenovo has become a global leader in the PC market since it
  acquired the IBM Personal Computing;

                       JPS Public Policy Consulting             10
Some impressive results (2)

China as a whole surpassed the 1 billion
milestone earlier in 2012 and ended Q2
2012 on 1,047 million connections in total:
the world’s largest mobile market
  China Mobile is the world largest mobile
  operator: 683 million customers
  China is the world’s largest smartphone market
  in 2012
Internet services companies grew quickly
The number of patent applications filed
doubled year on year from 2002 to 2006.
  China shows an impressive increase, starting from
  late '90ies.
                   JPS Public Policy Consulting       11
The National long-and mid-term S&T Development
                  plans (China)


•   The state in 2007 when the plan was published and the
    aim in 2020.

     China                     2007                          Aim in 2020
     R&D/GDP                   1.4%                    >2.5%

     Dependence          on 40%-50%                    <30%
     overseas technology
     Contribution rate     of 30%-40%                  60%
     technical progress

     Invention          (only Ranking the 5th in the Ranking among top 5 in
     authorized     invention world in terms of volume the world
     patents in China)        of application

     Number of citation in High        quantity,   low Ranking among top 5 in
     international scientific citation                 the world
     papers cited
Remaining weaknesses
Still, GDP per capita lags at a very low level,
ranking China far behind the US or the EU
equivalent,
Despite the growth the overall ICT market size
is small
Many Chinese ICT enterprises produce low
value-added, low technology, non-brands,
cheap, and labor-intensive ICT products for
foreign companies and market with little R&D,
Truly global R&D in Chinese companies is still
a long way away.
  Besides, in spite of the growth of R&D expenditure,
  the level remains modest

                    JPS Public Policy Consulting        13
Gracias




jpsmultimedia@hotmail.com

       JPS Public Policy Consulting   14
The Global Innovation Network of Apple’s
                            iPhones
           and the role of the Taiwanese ICT Firms
                                         Components                Main Supplier       Components                Main Supplier
                                            Display                 Sharp, TMD           Baseband                   Infineon
                                         Touch Panel               Wintek, TPK          WCDMA PA                    TriQuint
                                                                                      GSM/EDGE PA                  Skyworks
                                                                                    Application Processor          Samsung
                                                                                    Mobile DDR DRAM                Samsung
                                                                                         NOR Flash                 Numonyx
                                                                                        NAND Flash              Samsung, Toshiba
                                                                                         Bluetooth                   CSR
                                                                                           A-GPS                    Infineon
                                                                                         SAW Filter                  TXC
                                                                                    Power Management IC          Infineon, NXP

                                                                                    Components               Main Supplier


                                                                                     Connector        Foxlink, Advanced Connectek
                                                                                       PCB              Unimicron, Nan Ya PCB,
                                                                                                               Compeq
    Components     Main Supplier        Components                 Main Supplier
                                                                                       FPC              M-Flex, Mektron, Fujikura,
      Casing     Foxconn Technology   3.2-Megapixel CIS              OmniVision
                                                                                                          Flexium Interconnect,
       EMS        Hon Hai Precision        Camera                Largan Precision                     Foxconn Advanced Technology
                                                    JPS Public Policy Consulting                                                 15
References




             JPS Public Policy Consulting   16
IPTS Reports
     http://ipts.jrc.ec.europa.eu/publications/index.cfm

2012: The 2012 PREDICT Report: An Analysis of ICT
R&D in the EU and Beyond. Juraj Stančík, Paul
Desruelle
2011: The 2011 Report on R&D in ICT in the European
Union. Geomina Turlea, Daniel Nepelski, Giuditta de
Prato, Jean Paul Simon, Anna Sabadash, Juraj Stancik,
Wojciech Szewczyk, Paul Desruelle, Marc Bogdanowicz.
2011: The Top World R&D-investing Companies from
the ICT Sector: A Company-level Analysis. Daniel
Nepelski, Juraj Stancik.
2011: Internationalisation of ICT R&D. Giuditta De Prato,
Daniel Nepelski, Juraj Stancik
2011: Performance of ICT R&D. Giuditta de Prato,
Daniel Nepelski, Wojciech Szewczyk, Geomina Turlea
2011: The ICT Landscape in BRICS Countries: Brazil,
India, China. Jean Paul Simon

                        JPS Public Policy Consulting       17
De Prato, G., Nepelski, D. Simon, J.P, (ed.) Asia in the Global ICT
Innovation Network. Dancing with the Tigers, Oxford, Chandos, 2013.
Forthcoming.
De Prato, G., Sanz, E., Simon, J.P, (ed.), Digital Media Worlds; The new
media economy, Oxford, Palgrave, 2013. Forthcoming.
EITO Special Report, BRIC countries’ ICT markets, 2007-2011, January 3,
2011.
Fogel, R.W., (2009). “The Impact of the Asian Miracle on the Theory of
Economic Growth.” NBER Working Paper No. 14967.
National Bureau of Statistics of China (NBS a), 1998-2007, China Statistical
Yearbook, 1998-2007, China’s Statistics Press.
NBS Department of Statistical Design & Management, 2002, National
Economic Industrial Classifications GB/T4754-2002, Department of
Statistical Design & Management.
OECD, 2008, CHINA’S OUTWARD FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT,
http://www.oecd.org/dataoecd/28/10/40283257.pdf
Unesco Science Report 2010, see Mu Rongping, Chapter 18. China, pp.
379-399.
UNCTAD (2010), Creative Economy Report 2010—Creative economy: A
feasible development option. Geneva. Available at:
http://unctad.org/en/Docs/ditctab20103_en.pdf
Wireless Intelligence (2013).


                              JPS Public Policy Consulting             18

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Jean-Paul Simon: Que vienen los chinos.

  • 1. Que vienen los chinos, ¿hay futuro para las TIC europeas? Debate SIC martes 9 de abril , 2013 Jean Paul Simon JPS Public Policy Consulting 1
  • 2. Summary The size of the ICT sector: Asia China JPS Public Policy Consulting 2
  • 3. The size of the ICT sector: Asia JPS Public Policy Consulting 3
  • 4. No EU firms under the radar JPS Public Policy Consulting 4
  • 5. Global perspective on ICT patenting 50.000 45.000 40.000 US 35.000 ICT patent applications 30.000 25.000 China 20.000 EU 15.000 10.000 Russia 5.000 Brasil South Africa 0 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Brasil Russia South Africa EU US China Korea India ICT priority patent applications by inventors from the EU, US, Brazil, China, JPS Public Policy ConsultingRussia, Korea, India, Source: IPTS, 2011 5 South Africa and Taiwan
  • 6. Connectivity leaders JPS Public Policy Consulting 6
  • 7. China JPS Public Policy Consulting 7
  • 8. The size of the ICT sector The ICT sector is highly illustrative of the massive changes in the Chinese industry and economy. China has become the 1st largest country producing ICT products. exports of ICT increased fourfold between 2004 and 2008, though many of these are re-exports from other Asian countries). Manufacturing dominates China's ICT industry. A total of 80% of the ICT industry revenue comes from computer systems, electronic elements & components, communication equipment and home audio & video products. JPS Public Policy Consulting 8
  • 9. Percentage-share of ICT industry within China's GDP Source: http://www.paradiso-fp7.eu/documents/conference/Day2/Session3/Jun.pdf JPS Public Policy Consulting 9
  • 10. Some impressive results (1) Leading firms Within two decades, the national strategy of building national champions has already been undertaken by some ambitious companies. Several Chinese electronics firms have become global players, including Huawei Technologies, Lenovo, and ZTE. Huawei and ZTE are now the main players in the GSM, CDMA, optical and DSLAM equipment markets. Huawei Technologies has become a leading provider of telecommunications networks and increasingly challenges established competitors like Siemens, Cisco, and Alcatel. Lenovo has become a global leader in the PC market since it acquired the IBM Personal Computing; JPS Public Policy Consulting 10
  • 11. Some impressive results (2) China as a whole surpassed the 1 billion milestone earlier in 2012 and ended Q2 2012 on 1,047 million connections in total: the world’s largest mobile market China Mobile is the world largest mobile operator: 683 million customers China is the world’s largest smartphone market in 2012 Internet services companies grew quickly The number of patent applications filed doubled year on year from 2002 to 2006. China shows an impressive increase, starting from late '90ies. JPS Public Policy Consulting 11
  • 12. The National long-and mid-term S&T Development plans (China) • The state in 2007 when the plan was published and the aim in 2020. China 2007 Aim in 2020 R&D/GDP 1.4% >2.5% Dependence on 40%-50% <30% overseas technology Contribution rate of 30%-40% 60% technical progress Invention (only Ranking the 5th in the Ranking among top 5 in authorized invention world in terms of volume the world patents in China) of application Number of citation in High quantity, low Ranking among top 5 in international scientific citation the world papers cited
  • 13. Remaining weaknesses Still, GDP per capita lags at a very low level, ranking China far behind the US or the EU equivalent, Despite the growth the overall ICT market size is small Many Chinese ICT enterprises produce low value-added, low technology, non-brands, cheap, and labor-intensive ICT products for foreign companies and market with little R&D, Truly global R&D in Chinese companies is still a long way away. Besides, in spite of the growth of R&D expenditure, the level remains modest JPS Public Policy Consulting 13
  • 14. Gracias jpsmultimedia@hotmail.com JPS Public Policy Consulting 14
  • 15. The Global Innovation Network of Apple’s iPhones and the role of the Taiwanese ICT Firms   Components Main Supplier Components Main Supplier Display Sharp, TMD Baseband Infineon Touch Panel Wintek, TPK WCDMA PA TriQuint GSM/EDGE PA Skyworks Application Processor Samsung Mobile DDR DRAM Samsung NOR Flash Numonyx NAND Flash Samsung, Toshiba Bluetooth CSR A-GPS Infineon SAW Filter TXC Power Management IC Infineon, NXP Components Main Supplier Connector Foxlink, Advanced Connectek PCB Unimicron, Nan Ya PCB, Compeq Components Main Supplier Components Main Supplier FPC M-Flex, Mektron, Fujikura, Casing Foxconn Technology 3.2-Megapixel CIS OmniVision Flexium Interconnect, EMS Hon Hai Precision Camera Largan Precision Foxconn Advanced Technology JPS Public Policy Consulting 15
  • 16. References JPS Public Policy Consulting 16
  • 17. IPTS Reports http://ipts.jrc.ec.europa.eu/publications/index.cfm 2012: The 2012 PREDICT Report: An Analysis of ICT R&D in the EU and Beyond. Juraj Stančík, Paul Desruelle 2011: The 2011 Report on R&D in ICT in the European Union. Geomina Turlea, Daniel Nepelski, Giuditta de Prato, Jean Paul Simon, Anna Sabadash, Juraj Stancik, Wojciech Szewczyk, Paul Desruelle, Marc Bogdanowicz. 2011: The Top World R&D-investing Companies from the ICT Sector: A Company-level Analysis. Daniel Nepelski, Juraj Stancik. 2011: Internationalisation of ICT R&D. Giuditta De Prato, Daniel Nepelski, Juraj Stancik 2011: Performance of ICT R&D. Giuditta de Prato, Daniel Nepelski, Wojciech Szewczyk, Geomina Turlea 2011: The ICT Landscape in BRICS Countries: Brazil, India, China. Jean Paul Simon JPS Public Policy Consulting 17
  • 18. De Prato, G., Nepelski, D. Simon, J.P, (ed.) Asia in the Global ICT Innovation Network. Dancing with the Tigers, Oxford, Chandos, 2013. Forthcoming. De Prato, G., Sanz, E., Simon, J.P, (ed.), Digital Media Worlds; The new media economy, Oxford, Palgrave, 2013. Forthcoming. EITO Special Report, BRIC countries’ ICT markets, 2007-2011, January 3, 2011. Fogel, R.W., (2009). “The Impact of the Asian Miracle on the Theory of Economic Growth.” NBER Working Paper No. 14967. National Bureau of Statistics of China (NBS a), 1998-2007, China Statistical Yearbook, 1998-2007, China’s Statistics Press. NBS Department of Statistical Design & Management, 2002, National Economic Industrial Classifications GB/T4754-2002, Department of Statistical Design & Management. OECD, 2008, CHINA’S OUTWARD FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT, http://www.oecd.org/dataoecd/28/10/40283257.pdf Unesco Science Report 2010, see Mu Rongping, Chapter 18. China, pp. 379-399. UNCTAD (2010), Creative Economy Report 2010—Creative economy: A feasible development option. Geneva. Available at: http://unctad.org/en/Docs/ditctab20103_en.pdf Wireless Intelligence (2013). JPS Public Policy Consulting 18