This document summarizes demographic trends and projections for Waller I.S.D. including:
- Student enrollment has grown from 4,750 to 6,250 from 2004 to 2012 and is projected to reach 12,164 by 2024 under a moderate growth scenario.
- Major employment centers like Prairie View A&M University and new manufacturing plants will stimulate population growth.
- Infrastructure projects like the Grand Parkway and widened highways will improve access and accelerate housing and commercial development.
- Over 13,000 new housing units are projected by 2024 with most growth in single family subdivisions.
- Under the moderate scenario, student enrollment is projected to increase from 8,323 in 2019 to 12,164 by
2. Population & Survey Analysts
W.I.S.D. Demographic Trends
Employment Trends
Housing Projections
Ratios: Students per Household
Projected Student Enrollment
Long Range Planning
8. Unique Demographic Characteristics
Waller I.S.D.
• Fairly low KN proportion out of total enrollment – 7.8% in Fall,
2014 (was a higher proportion in last two school years)
• Commute time to work: 35.5 minutes for Waller I.S.D. relative to
29.1 for Houston Metro Area – and 31.9 for Cy-Fair I.S.D.
• Economically Disadvantaged population (64.2%) – [relative to
59.8% for State] – W.I.S.D. will change dramatically in 5 years
• High STAAR passage rate (77.8%) --- based on PASA’s
assessment for grades 3-8 Level II & III (Spring 2014) – [relative
to 71.8% for State]
• Education of adults ages 25+ -- 16% have bachelor’s degree
(relative to 31% in Houston Metro Area & 38% in Cy-Fair I.S.D.)
• High median income level ($61,223) – [relative to $57,366 in
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land Metro Area]
9. Private Schools
Current
Enrollment
From WISD
in KN+
Enrollment
in 5 yrs.
From WISD
in KN+
Epiphany Lutheran School toddler-8th 185 0 300 0
My Private School (formerly
Mackel Private School)
PK-3rd 58 0 65 0
Waller Christian Academy PK3-8th 45 26 250 142
Total 26 142
0.45% 2.11%
Current Enrollment
Projected Enrollment
in 5 Years
Grades
% of WISD residents in
private schools:
11. Top Employers Within
Waller I.S.D.
Prairie View A&M University 1,426
Waller ISD Public Schools 600
Buc-ees Travel Center ~150
Cameron Surface Systems Subsidiary of Cameron 65
Ravago Recycled plastic products 65
Flochem Pipeline additives products 65
Harlan's Grocery Retail grocery 55
Green Span Profiles Insulated roof/wall panels for metal buildings 50
Engines, Compressor, & Accessories Large mounted compressors 45
PetroQuip Machine shop 42
Picco Coatings Manufacturing ~40
RP Tools Machine shop ~40
City of Waller Municipal government 30
Alpha Foods Co Frozen foods processor and packager 30
Premium Coil Oil and gas supplies ~30
Florida Chemicals Blends industrial cleaning supplies 24
Whitestar Chemicals Drilling pumps 14
LQC Pipe Pipe yard ~12
Company Service/Product Employees
12. Annual Employment Trends
December June December 6‐Month Annual
2013 2014 2014 Pct. Change Pct. Change
City of Houston
Employment 991,811 1,008,388 1,027,955 1.94% 3.64%
Unemployment Rate 5.5 5.5 4.1
Harris County
Employment 2,028,591 2,062,498 2,102,517 1.94% 3.64%
Unemployment Rate 5.5 5.4 4.1
Waller County
Employment 19,516 19,842 20,227 1.94% 3.64%
Unemployment Rate 5.1 5.7 3.8
13. Waller’s biggest employer, Prairie View A&M, has ~1,055 full‐time
equivalent faculty and 371 FTE’s who are instructors/research/staff – and
has added University View Campus apartments plus future retail
Apart from public sector, major new manufacturing firms, plus existing
firms have additions and renovations underway (the latter totally over
$20,000,000) –
1. Daikin’s new A.C. manufacturing plant with a central structure of 4 million sq.
ft. on 90 ac.
2. Alegacy Development owns 84.8 ac. for a new CNG compressed natural gas
facility ‐‐ and possibly leasing out other spaces – S. on US 290
3. Tractor Supply Co. – turned in plans for new retail center off FM 2920
4. PPI Mechanical Testing Services is adding infrastructure on Stokes Rd.
5. Leasing company has taken over Bettis Park to sublet space – S. of Bus. 290
6. Cameron International is also adding space ‐‐ S. of Bus. 290
7. Picco coatings is also expanding its plant on Stokes Rd.
Waller I.S.D. Employment Trends
Employment Growth and Critical Employment Centers Both Act
as Local Population Growth Stimuli
22. # %
Apartments 128 146 18 14% 6%
MHP 412 423 13 3% 5%
Subdivisions -
built-out
2,257 2,300 43 2% 15%
Subdivisions -
actively building
1,583 1,797 214 14% 74%
Percent of
Growth
Added Students
2013 to 2014
Resident
Students
in 2014
Resident
Students
in 2013
Student Growth by
Type of Housing
23. Highest Growth Single-Family Developments
16 Bridgeland (excl. mixed use & MF) 134 1,520 1,654
2C Woodhaven Estates - up to 4,000 lots 178 695 873
16 Stone Creek Ranch 373 440 813
15B, 15C JM Texas Land Fund - 1,600 ac. 138 649 787
15B, 15C Lindsey Story parcels 138 658 796
10B Bauer Rd. Tract (KOWA Dev.) 598 ac. 269 20 289
7G Bauer Landing - 900-950 lots-LGI Homes 247 373 620
8B Franz, McAlister, Burmaster tracts 155 384 539
16 Richfield Ranch 20 355 375
6E Delta Troy Interests 13 185 198
2C Mill Creek Ltd. 22 174 196
9 Gulf Coast Land Trust 14 145 159
15C Gold Star Realty 21 113 134
15B
Wallers, Freeman, Hillcroft MediStar
parcels - by Parkway
7 124 131
1,729 5,835 7,564
2,651 8,291 10,942
Planning
Units
Subdivision Names or
Owner(s) Names:
Total Single-Family Housing Projected :
Total (Above-Listed Developments):
2014-
2024
2019-
2024
2014-
2019
24. Highest Growth
Multi-Family Developments
15C Parcels S. Hwy 290 and Betka Rd. 120 240 360
10B Fridkin, Giro, Shamrock Realty parcels 70 200 270
8B Titan Land Dev., Hockley, Martin parcels 20 220 240
2C Woodhaven Estates Parcels 0 340 340
6D Terpstra parcels 70 200 270
7C Hegar parcels 0 240 240
280 1,440 1,720
450 2,090 2,540
Planning
Units
Multi-Family Development Name or
Parcel Name:
Total Multi-Family Housing Projected :
Total (Above-Listed Developments):
2014-
2024
2019-
2024
2014-
2019
41. Current 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Waller High School (Capacity = 2,200)
Students 1,703 1,846 1,944 1,970 2,101 2,284 2,517 2,885 3,225 3,516 3,833
% Utilization 77% 84% 88% 90% 96% 104% 114% 131% 147% 160% 174%
Projected High School Students
42. 3 master‐planned communities will be well underway in 2 years
(Bauer Landing – already underway – and Woodhaven and KOWA
Development;
3 more MPC’s will be under construction in 6‐7 years – JM Texas
Land Fund’s 1,600 ac. S. of US 290; Bridgeland; and the FM 2920
Hopfe Cypress/Franz tracts N. on the Grand Pkwy.
Next to job stability and job growth, the second major factor
predicting housing and population acceleration in a school district is
the construction of transportation arterials – such as: US 290’s
widening , & the Grand Parkway (f‐1, F‐2 & G) & the Prairie Parkway;
The demographic composition of the W.I.S.D. student population
will change if a large no. of new students ‐‐ in new subdivisions ‐‐
become part of the School District; for example, 3 new master‐
planned communities can change the socioeconomic characteristics
of a smaller school district, such as Waller, reducing significantly the
free/reduced lunch student population & other characteristics.
Waller I.S.D. Key Demographic Facts
43. 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Elem #6
Elem #7
JH #3
JonesReplacement?
HS #2
Long Range Facilities
Planning Timeline
Ideally, FOUR elementary sites needed as the first four
critical Master Planned Communities begin construction
and have infrastructure in place.