Mobile Internet Ramping Faster than Desktop Internet

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Ebay Australia’s 2010 4th Quarter Sales Results:
+38%
~10x Higher Than Growth Rate in Retail

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“If change is
happening on the
outside faster than
on the inside the
end is in sight.”
-Jack Welch

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The Case for Foresight:
things might be moving faster
than you think

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Craig Venter Invents the Future...Again

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Data Storage of the Future: Bacteria?
One gram of the bacteria could store
90 Gigabytes of Data
Chinese researchers have developed
a way to use E.coli to store data

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The Case for Innovation:
what Steve Jobs taught me about
embracing risk

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Apple #1 Innovator Since 2008
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Inst. own 70%

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iPhone 50% of Apple’s Business

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Apple Store Better Than Prada

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Partner Interviews:
Do you think foresight and innovation is important in
business - or just a bunch of hooey?
Can you think of any books, talks or videos have you
enjoyed about the above subjects?
What happens to organisations that don’t truly innovate?
What is your opinion of the developments in the area of
synthetic life forms - opportunity or threat?

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Amber Case: We are all cyborgs now
07:53 Posted: Jan 2011
Comments 181 Emailed 583
Aimee Mullins and her 12 pairs of legs
09:58 Posted: Mar 2009
Alex Tabarrok on how ideas trump crises
14:33 Posted: Apr 2009
Aubrey de Grey says we can avoid aging
22:45 Posted: Oct 2006
Bill Joy: What I'm worried about, what I'm
excited about
19:02 Posted: Nov 2008
Bjorn Lomborg sets global priorities
David Byrne sings "(Nothing But) Flowers"
David Byrne: How architecture helped
music evolve
17:47 Posted: Jun 2010
Eric Giler demos wireless electricity
10:09 Posted: Aug 2009
George Dyson on Project Orion
08:38 Posted: Feb 2008
Ian Goldin: Navigating our global future
Jamais Cascio on tools for a better world
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Anil Gupta: India's hidden hotbeds of
invention
22:55 Posted: May 2010
Anupam Mishra: The ancient ingenuity of
water harvesting
17:14 Posted: Dec 2009
Brian Cox: Why we need the explorers
Carne Ross: An independent diplomat
20:38 Posted: Sep 2010
Cat Laine: Engineering a better life for all
14:49 Posted: Dec 2009
Charles Leadbeater on innovation
Charles Leadbeater: Education innovation
in the slums
Chris Anderson: How web video powers
global innovation
18:53 Posted: Sep 2010
Dale Dougherty: We are makers
11:47 Posted: Feb 2011
Dean Kamen on inventing and giving
20:07 Posted: Apr 2007
Eric Lewis rocks the jazz world
10:36 Posted: Mar 2009
Gever Tulley teaches life lessons through
tinkering
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TED.com - Started by Futurists!

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People
Business Technology
Inter-
Connection
W
ork/Life
Re-Evaluation
Globalised
Acceleration

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People
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Inter-
Connection
W
ork/Life
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Acceleration
Age Gap
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Re-Engineering
Global
Mobility
Free
Agency
End of
Retirement
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Cray-1 US$8 million
80 MegaFLOPS
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Products Speech Recognition for the PC
The Dragon NaturallySpeaking suite of products:
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Partner Interviews:
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If so, why? If not, why not?
What impacts do you think it might have on
organisations or on society in the future?
(Next ask any question that you want)

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20
40
60
80
100
Q1 Q3 Q5 Q7 Q9 Q11 Q13 Q15 Q17 Q19
Quarters Since Launch
Subscribers(MM)
iPhone + iTouch NTT docomo i-mode AOL Netscape
7
iPhone + iTouch vs. NTT docomo i-mode vs. AOL vs. Netscape Users
First 20 Quarters Since Launch
!"#$%&'()*&+,-+./0-$/+&12#2&3"#&242052-5$&-$6"/$&789%:;<&!$#+.2=$&,+$/+&50>0#$1&#"&?@&"35AB&C"/D23&@#235$A&E$+$2/.F&$+#0>2#$+&
GHICC&3$#-""J+&F24$&+F0==$1&03&60/+#&KI&L,2/#$/+&+03.$&52,3.F&MKINIOPB&@",/.$%&7">=23A&E$="/#+&Q&C"/D23&@#235$A&E$+$2/.FB
Desktop Internet
AOL*
v 2.0 Launched 9/94
Mobile Internet
NTT docomo i-mode
Launched 6/99
Mobile Internet
iPhone + iTouch
Launched 6/07
~85MM
~31MM
~8MM
Desktop Internet
Netscape*
Launched 12/94
~18MM
Mobile Internet Ramping Faster than Desktop Internet Did –
Apple Leading Charge

Up
20
40
60
80
100
Q1 Q3 Q5 Q7 Q9 Q11 Q13 Q15 Q17 Q19
Subscribers(MM)
7
!"#$%&'()*&+,-+./0-$/+&12#2&3"#&242052-5$&-$6"/$&789%:;<&!$#+.2=$&,+$/+&50>0#$1&#"&?@&"35AB&C"/D23&@#235$A&E$+$2/.F&$+#0>2#$+&
Desktop Internet
AOL*
v 2.0 Launched 9/94
Mobile Internet
NTT docomo i-mode
Launched 6/99
Mobile Internet
iPhone + iTouch
Launched 6/07
~85MM
~31MM
~8MM
Desktop Internet
Netscape*
Launched 12/94
~18MM
Apple Leading Charge150MM

Up
20
40
60
80
100
Q1 Q3 Q5 Q7 Q9 Q11 Q13 Q15 Q17 Q19
Subscribers(MM)
7
!"#$%&'()*&+,-+./0-$/+&12#2&3"#&242052-5$&-$6"/$&789%:;<&!$#+.2=$&,+$/+&50>0#$1&#"&?@&"35AB&C"/D23&@#235$A&E$+$2/.F&$+#0>2#$+&
Desktop Internet
AOL*
v 2.0 Launched 9/94
Mobile Internet
NTT docomo i-mode
Launched 6/99
Mobile Internet
iPhone + iTouch
Launched 6/07
~85MM
~31MM
~8MM
Desktop Internet
Netscape*
Launched 12/94
~18MM
!"#$

Up
20
40
60
80
100
Q1 Q3 Q5 Q7 Q9 Q11 Q13 Q15 Q17 Q19
Subscribers(MM)
7
!"#$%&'()*&+,-+./0-$/+&12#2&3"#&242052-5$&-$6"/$&789%:;<&!$#+.2=$&,+$/+&50>0#$1&#"&?@&"35AB&C"/D23&@#235$A&E$+$2/.F&$+#0>2#$+&
Desktop Internet
AOL*
v 2.0 Launched 9/94
Mobile Internet
NTT docomo i-mode
Launched 6/99
Mobile Internet
iPhone + iTouch
Launched 6/07
~85MM
~31MM
~8MM
Desktop Internet
Netscape*
Launched 12/94
~18MM
%&"$

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Forecast:
1 Trillion Connected
Devices by 2015
Source: IBM

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