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How did we end up here?
Trisha Gee - @trisha_gee
Todd Montgomery - @toddlmontgomery
Shout out: Martin Thompson - @mjpt777
InfoQ.com: News & Community Site
• 750,000 unique visitors/month
• Published in 4 languages (English, Chinese, Japanese and Brazilian
Portuguese)
• Post content from our QCon conferences
• News 15-20 / week
• Articles 3-4 / week
• Presentations (videos) 12-15 / week
• Interviews 2-3 / week
• Books 1 / month
Watch the video with slide
synchronization on InfoQ.com!
http://www.infoq.com/presentations
/technology-industry-motivation
Presented at QCon New York
www.qconnewyork.com
Purpose of QCon
- to empower software development by facilitating the spread of
knowledge and innovation
Strategy
- practitioner-driven conference designed for YOU: influencers of
change and innovation in your teams
- speakers and topics driving the evolution and innovation
- connecting and catalyzing the influencers and innovators
Highlights
- attended by more than 12,000 delegates since 2007
- held in 9 cities worldwide
How bad can things really be?
Successful Challenged Failure
Ad-hoc 49% 37% 14%
Iterative 61% 28% 11%
Agile 60% 28% 12%
Traditional 47% 36% 17%
Software Project Success Rates
- Dr Dobbs 2010
< 10 11 - 25 > 25
Ad-hoc 70% 58% 40%
Iterative 88% 68% 55%
Agile 83% 70% 55%
Traditional 69% 51% 50%
Software Project Success Rates – by Team
Size
- Dr Dobbs 2010
Well that‟s the
optimistic view!
Successful: 32%
Challenged: 44%
Failure: 24%
– Standish Group Chaos Report 2010
Software Project Success Rates
< $350,000: 20%
$350,000 - $1,000,000: 25%
> $1,000,000: 28%
– Gartner 2012
Software Project Failure Rates
In a study of over 5400 large scale
projects (> $15m)
17% go so badly that they threaten
the existence of the company
undertaking them
– The McInsey Group with Oxford University 2012
Sacred Cows - It’s BBQ Time!!!
Enterprise Software
ent•ter•prise
noun ˈen-tə(r)-ˌprīz
: a project or activity that involves many
people and that is often difficult
: the ability or desire to do dangerous or
difficult things or to solve problems in
new ways
Source: http://www.merriam-webster.com/
Naming Matters !!!
Product Management
Minimum Viable Product ?
Product Owner ?
Technologists ARE
part of the business
Take responsibility for ROI
How can I get an answer for the
minimum investment?
Agile Methods
Water-scrum-fall
What really matters?
Need to focus on learning,
feedback cycles,
and outcomes
There is an uncomfortable
truth…
“What would have been different
if you were not involved?”
Shared Mutable State
“…Shared Mutable State...”
the most feared words in
computing
…if not they should be!
Shared Mutable State
should only be used for
systems programming
Embrace append-only,
single writer,
and shared nothing designs
If you don‟t...
math will hunt you down and
there is nowhere to hide!
Universal Scalability Law
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
1 2 4 8 16 32 64 128 256 512 1024
Speedup
Processors
Amdahl USL
Be ruthless in reducing
complexity
Text Encoding
But it‟s human readable...
Binary is hard to work with...
Big Data
Communications
Battery life and bandwidth?
Synchronous Comms
Bad things will happen!!!
Synchronous Communication
is the crystal meth of
distributed programming
Causes a coupling in
location and time
Errors need to be
first class messages
Are your micro services
on crystal meth?
Abstraction
“All non-trivial abstractions,
to some extent, are leaky.”
- Joel Spolsky
“The detail of underlying
complexity cannot be ignored.”
“the purpose of abstracting
is not to be vague, but to create
a new semantic level in which
one can be absolutely precise”
- Dijkstra
We could say the main issue is
that people don‟t understand
abstractions...but...
Sins committed in the name of
Abstraction
ORMs !!!
Functional Programming
What is the biggest issue with
functional programming?
Functional Programmers
Functional programming is
NOT
the answer to multi-core
Software Transactional Memory
was a failed experiment!
Universal Scalability Law
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
1 2 4 8 16 32 64 128 256 512 1024
Speedup
Processors
Amdahl USL
No Mechanical Sympathy?
However there is
genuine brilliance in
functional programming
Collaborate and great things
can happen...
Throw hardware at it…
development is too
expensive
The free lunch is over…
we cannot be sloppy anymore…
Code must be simple
and composable
Cache Sub-System
L1(D) - 32K
L2 - 256K
L3 – 8-20MB
LF/WC
Buffers L1(I) – 32K
L0(I) – 1.5k µops
32 Bytes / cycle
System Agent
TLB
Pre-fetchers
TLB
Pre-fetchers
128 bits / cycle
MOB
Memory
Controller
QPI
QPI Bus
Memory
Channels
16 Bytes / cycle
Ring Bus
PCI-e
Controller
32 Bytes / cycle 32 Bytes / cycle
Patterns of access and locality
are key to performance
Accumulated
Improvement
Time
Bandwidth
Latency
Memory Sub-System Performance
Accumulated
Improvement
Time
Network
Bandwidth
Response Time
Storage
Capacity
CPU Cores
Memory
Capacity
What does this mean for
software?
Think in terms of transformation
and flow of data – not code!
Diversity
Testosterone Driven Development
What did the
Carnegie Mellon studies show?
Fake it until you make it…
“As soon as you realise that most
people don‟t know what they are doing
the world makes a lot more sense…”
– Farley’s second law
We need to look seriously at
training programmers
Coaching and Apprenticeships
“The most important thing I've
accomplished, other than building
the compiler, is training young
people.”
- Grace Hopper
“'Do you think we can do this?' I
say, „Try it.‟ And I back 'em up.
They need that. I keep track of
them as they get older and I stir
'em up at intervals so they don't
forget to take chances.
- Grace Hopper
In closing…
What are the
greatest achievements
of the human race?
The Scientific Method
Understanding of Evolution
Don‟t feel bad…
We are living in the era of
Software Alchemy
Questions?
@trisha_gee – Trisha Gee
@toddlmontgomery – Todd Montgomery
@mjpt777 – Martin Thompson
“It does not matter how intelligent you are, if you
guess and that guess cannot be backed up by
experimental evidence –
then it is still a guess.”
- Richard Feynman
Watch the video with slide synchronization on
InfoQ.com!
http://www.infoq.com/presentations/technology
-industry-motivation

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How we ended up here and the path forward for software development