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Scaling Smart
A Strategy Framework for Modeling, Managing
and Monetizing the Scaling of
Bootstrapped High-Performance Ventures
Davender Gupta
The Scaleup Project
davender@davender.com
514-448-1894
©2017 Davender Gupta. All rights reserved. 171116-v8 davender@davender.com
1
Scaling is
important…
A high-performance startup
has no value unless it gets
out of development mode
and engages with the market
But is hockeystick
growth the only
strategy?
2
©2017 Davender Gupta. All rights reserved. 171116-v8 davender@davender.com
Failure To Launch?
Ideal VC-backed Scaleup
(Hockeystick)
Failed Scaleup
(Valley of Death)
Time
Success Metric
(Valuation,
Revenues or
Traffic)
3©2017 Davender Gupta. All rights reserved. 171116-v8 davender@davender.com
The problem
with the
hockeystick
scaling
strategy
« Unicorn Dreams »
• Distracted by Traction
Premature Scaling
• Insufficient evidence of PSF and PMF
Unworkable Business Model
• No path to profitability
Ability to execute lags demand
• Quality and customer service fails
4©2017 Davender Gupta. All rights reserved. 171116-v8 davender@davender.com
Tech scales quickly.
People don’t.
5
©2017 Davender Gupta. All rights reserved. 171116-v8 davender@davender.com
STARTUP
SCALEUP
BUSINESS
6©2017 Davender Gupta. All rights reserved. 171116-v8 davender@davender.com
Exploring a viable business model
Developing credibility in the market
and the ability to execute
Executing and evolving the
business model
Successful scaling
requires
maximizing execution
while
managing uncertainty
7©2017 Davender Gupta. All rights reserved. 171116-v8 davender@davender.com
Strategy Is A Pattern of Choices
• How your choices align with vision, mission, values
Suitable
• How your choices fit success and risk criteria
Acceptable
• How your choices can be executed with available resources
Feasible
• How you co-create choices through interaction with stakeholders
Effectual
8©2017 Davender Gupta. All rights reserved. 171116-v8 davender@davender.com
Causal vs Effectual Choices
• Causal = Assumes the
future is knowable and
known
• Effectual = Assumes the
future is unknowable and
unknown
9
goal
means
Search for the means
to achieve a stated goal
Start with the means
at hand to design the
outcome
©2017 Davender Gupta. All rights reserved. 171116-v8 davender@davender.com
Principles of Effectual Strategy
10
What can you do with what you have, what you know and
who you are
Focus on how to minimize possible losses
Collaborate with partners who provide pre-commitment
Surprises are opportunities to explore new possibilities
The future cannot be predicted but you can control some
determining factors
©2017 Davender Gupta. All rights reserved. 171114 V7-LSC davender@davender.com
Source: www.effectuation.org
Impact of Effectual Approach to Scaling
11
Delay seeking investors to fund initial go-to-market
• because the need to generate ROI locks into a causal mindset
First find customers who are willing to collaborate
• pre-production prototype development through co-investment
Establish rapid build-measure-learn loops to find PJF
• find most valuable “PJF” Product-”Jobs-To-Be-Done” Fit
©2017 Davender Gupta. All rights reserved. 171116-v8 davender@davender.com
Momentum Scaling
Ideal VC-backed Startup
(Hockeystick)
Momentum Scaling (Waves)
Failed VC-backed Startup
(Valley of Death)
Time
Success Metric
(Valuation,
Revenues or
Traffic)
H1
H2
H3
12©2017 Davender Gupta. All rights reserved. 171116-v8 davender@davender.com
13
Momentum Scaling
•Establish market influence
•Establish market credibility
•Establish ability to executeH1
H2
H3
©2017 Davender Gupta. All rights reserved. 171116-v8 davender@davender.com
The Startup Lifecycle Wave
14©2017 Davender Gupta. All rights reserved. 171116-v8 davender@davender.com
Execution is
the ability to
generate
manage and
direct growth
15©2017 Davender Gupta. All rights reserved. 171116-v8 davender@davender.com
Strategy Framework
16©2017 Davender Gupta. All rights reserved. 171116-v8 davender@davender.com
• To build a sustainable, long term business with the
ability to become a gazelle
• Founder Team stays in control
• Keep options open
• Choose the best customers
• Better adapted to Canadian (outside SV) context
17
Benefits of Momentum Scaling
©2017 Davender Gupta. All rights reserved. 171116-v8 davender@davender.com
18
Move Smart and Build Things
Tech scales quickly. People don’t.
Revenues before valuation.
Managing uncertainty is more important
than taking on risk.
©2017 Davender Gupta. All rights reserved. 171116-v8 davender@davender.com
Be patient for
growth and
impatient for
profits.
- Clayton Christensen
author of “The Innovator’s Dilemma”
19
©2017 Davender Gupta. All rights reserved. 171116-v8 davender@davender.com
Contact me!
Davender Gupta
Venture Strategist and Co-Founder
The Scaleup Project
davender.com
facebook.com/coachdavender
linkedin.com/in/coachdavender
davender@davender.com
©2017 Davender Gupta. All rights reserved. 171116-v8 davender@davender.com
20

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Smart Scaling - A Go-To-Market Strategy Framework for Bootstrapped B2B Startups (Short Version)

  • 1. Scaling Smart A Strategy Framework for Modeling, Managing and Monetizing the Scaling of Bootstrapped High-Performance Ventures Davender Gupta The Scaleup Project davender@davender.com 514-448-1894 ©2017 Davender Gupta. All rights reserved. 171116-v8 davender@davender.com 1
  • 2. Scaling is important… A high-performance startup has no value unless it gets out of development mode and engages with the market But is hockeystick growth the only strategy? 2 ©2017 Davender Gupta. All rights reserved. 171116-v8 davender@davender.com
  • 3. Failure To Launch? Ideal VC-backed Scaleup (Hockeystick) Failed Scaleup (Valley of Death) Time Success Metric (Valuation, Revenues or Traffic) 3©2017 Davender Gupta. All rights reserved. 171116-v8 davender@davender.com
  • 4. The problem with the hockeystick scaling strategy « Unicorn Dreams » • Distracted by Traction Premature Scaling • Insufficient evidence of PSF and PMF Unworkable Business Model • No path to profitability Ability to execute lags demand • Quality and customer service fails 4©2017 Davender Gupta. All rights reserved. 171116-v8 davender@davender.com
  • 5. Tech scales quickly. People don’t. 5 ©2017 Davender Gupta. All rights reserved. 171116-v8 davender@davender.com
  • 6. STARTUP SCALEUP BUSINESS 6©2017 Davender Gupta. All rights reserved. 171116-v8 davender@davender.com Exploring a viable business model Developing credibility in the market and the ability to execute Executing and evolving the business model
  • 7. Successful scaling requires maximizing execution while managing uncertainty 7©2017 Davender Gupta. All rights reserved. 171116-v8 davender@davender.com
  • 8. Strategy Is A Pattern of Choices • How your choices align with vision, mission, values Suitable • How your choices fit success and risk criteria Acceptable • How your choices can be executed with available resources Feasible • How you co-create choices through interaction with stakeholders Effectual 8©2017 Davender Gupta. All rights reserved. 171116-v8 davender@davender.com
  • 9. Causal vs Effectual Choices • Causal = Assumes the future is knowable and known • Effectual = Assumes the future is unknowable and unknown 9 goal means Search for the means to achieve a stated goal Start with the means at hand to design the outcome ©2017 Davender Gupta. All rights reserved. 171116-v8 davender@davender.com
  • 10. Principles of Effectual Strategy 10 What can you do with what you have, what you know and who you are Focus on how to minimize possible losses Collaborate with partners who provide pre-commitment Surprises are opportunities to explore new possibilities The future cannot be predicted but you can control some determining factors ©2017 Davender Gupta. All rights reserved. 171114 V7-LSC davender@davender.com Source: www.effectuation.org
  • 11. Impact of Effectual Approach to Scaling 11 Delay seeking investors to fund initial go-to-market • because the need to generate ROI locks into a causal mindset First find customers who are willing to collaborate • pre-production prototype development through co-investment Establish rapid build-measure-learn loops to find PJF • find most valuable “PJF” Product-”Jobs-To-Be-Done” Fit ©2017 Davender Gupta. All rights reserved. 171116-v8 davender@davender.com
  • 12. Momentum Scaling Ideal VC-backed Startup (Hockeystick) Momentum Scaling (Waves) Failed VC-backed Startup (Valley of Death) Time Success Metric (Valuation, Revenues or Traffic) H1 H2 H3 12©2017 Davender Gupta. All rights reserved. 171116-v8 davender@davender.com
  • 13. 13 Momentum Scaling •Establish market influence •Establish market credibility •Establish ability to executeH1 H2 H3 ©2017 Davender Gupta. All rights reserved. 171116-v8 davender@davender.com
  • 14. The Startup Lifecycle Wave 14©2017 Davender Gupta. All rights reserved. 171116-v8 davender@davender.com
  • 15. Execution is the ability to generate manage and direct growth 15©2017 Davender Gupta. All rights reserved. 171116-v8 davender@davender.com
  • 16. Strategy Framework 16©2017 Davender Gupta. All rights reserved. 171116-v8 davender@davender.com
  • 17. • To build a sustainable, long term business with the ability to become a gazelle • Founder Team stays in control • Keep options open • Choose the best customers • Better adapted to Canadian (outside SV) context 17 Benefits of Momentum Scaling ©2017 Davender Gupta. All rights reserved. 171116-v8 davender@davender.com
  • 18. 18 Move Smart and Build Things Tech scales quickly. People don’t. Revenues before valuation. Managing uncertainty is more important than taking on risk. ©2017 Davender Gupta. All rights reserved. 171116-v8 davender@davender.com
  • 19. Be patient for growth and impatient for profits. - Clayton Christensen author of “The Innovator’s Dilemma” 19 ©2017 Davender Gupta. All rights reserved. 171116-v8 davender@davender.com
  • 20. Contact me! Davender Gupta Venture Strategist and Co-Founder The Scaleup Project davender.com facebook.com/coachdavender linkedin.com/in/coachdavender davender@davender.com ©2017 Davender Gupta. All rights reserved. 171116-v8 davender@davender.com 20