The document provides stock recommendations for Diwali based on technical analysis. It recommends buying six stocks - IOC, TATAMTRDVR, GEOMETRIC, BERGERPAINT, ORIENTBANK, and Choice Family Wishes You & Your Family A Very Happy Diwali & Prosperous New Year. It then provides a technical analysis for each stock pick and recommends entry and target prices.
GIFT City Overview India's Gateway to Global Finance
MUHURAT TRADING PICKS 2015.
1. On this auspicious
occasion we would like to
recommend few stock
ideas to add Booster to
your portfolio.
Choice Family Wishes You
& Your Family A Very
Happy Diwali &
Prosperous New Year.
GEOMETRIC
BERGERPAINT
IOC
TATAMTRDVR
ORIENTBANK
2. Muhurat Pick
TECHNICALLY:
On weekly chart, Nifty looks good as it has been continuously trading with its strong support of 100
week moving average which is placed at 7780 level. Moreover, downside Nifty has strong support at
7600 level which is 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of its previous bull run from 5118 to 9119 level. A
momentum indicator, Weekly RSI is trading near to its strong support of 35 marks from where it gave
good upside movement in past, so same identical movement can be seen in coming days, based on
which Nifty could move towards 9100 level.
BETTER DAYS AHEAD FOR INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS
Indian equity benchmarks have declined around 10% over the past two months amid global as well as
domestic concerns. On global front, investors are more concerned over the prevailing slowdown in
China as well as US Fed rate hike. In our view, while India is not immune to a potential slowdown in
China, it is least exposed among most of the EM given its less dependence on exports. Clear mandate of
new government improved sentiments and domestic benchmarks witnessed a strong rally in 2014.
Meanwhile, sluggish improvement in earnings as well as slow recovery in economic conditions has
checked rally and brought market into consolidation phase. Going forward, we are optimistic on
earnings recovery in 2H FY16 and FY17 as 1) fiscal policy is beginning to turn supportive (25% y/y
increase in public capex budgeted for FY16); 2) the passing through of weak commodity prices to end-
consumers is likely to aid the consumption recovery and improve corporate margins; and 3) easing
inflation and interest rate scenario to boost demand in economy.
Mr. Sumeet Bagadia
Associate Director,
Choice Equity Broking Pvt. Ltd.
Based on the above Fundamental and Technical aspects, we can expect good upside movement in Nifty for the level of 9100, while downside has limited
gap upto 7550 level. So on every decline, Investor should accumulate good stocks to make good wealth in this new Samvat 2072.
From Research side, Wish you a Very happy Diwali, and on the basis of our recommendations we hope that your investment might turn out to be
wealthier. 09th November-15
3. Muhurat Pick
On weekly chart, stock has been trading in a “Rising Wedge” formation
since May-14. Besides, stock is trading near to its lower band of formation
from where upside movement is expected upto its upper band which is
placed at 475 level.
On weekly chart, stock has also witnessed “Positive Crossover” of 21*50
week moving average, which is a bullish crossover and indicating that
short to medium term trend is up.
On monthly chart, stock has formed “Spinning Top Candlestick” and
recently stock is trading above high of spinning top, which is bullish
reversal sign and indicates that further upside movement can be seen
from present level.
Apart from this, the stock showed steep correction from its all-time high
which is placed at 465.90 levels, however the fall in price was halted at
367.55 level which is 61.80% Fibonacci Retracement level of its previous
bull run from 306.75 to 465.90 level, which shows that correction is over
and now upside movement can be seen from present level.
If we look closely on daily chart, stock has given breakout of its
“Consolidation Range” with good volume activity.
A momentum indicator RSI has been trading in a “Symmetrical Triangle”
formation since August-2013, and at this level, it is trading near to its
lower arm of formation from where bounce is expected.
Buy IOC @ 410 & Upto 390 for the Target of 480
4. Muhurat Pick
On daily chart, the stock has completed a “Bullish Bat
Harmonic” pattern at 200.20 levels the coordinates of which are
as follows:
Technical Parameter: XA of the leg from 166.15 to 387.30, AB of
the leg completed at 288.90 (i.e.38.20% of XA leg.), BC of the leg
completed at 381.80 (i.e. near 88.60% of AB leg), CD of the leg
completed at 200.20 levels. (i.e. 88.60% of XA and 200% of BC
leg).
Apart from this, the stock showed healthy correction from its all-
time high which is placed at 387.45 levels, however the fall in
price was halted at 222 level which is 61.80% Fibonacci
Retracement level of its previous bull run from 119.70 to 387.45
level, which shows that correction has been over and now
upside movement can be seen from present level.
Beside, stock has given good bounce back with the support of its
200 Week Moving average which is placed at 210, shows that
long term trend is up.
Moreover, we have also witnessed “Bullish AB=CD Harmonic”
pattern on RSI which is completed at 27.10 levels.
Buy TATAMTRDVR @ 260 & Upto 240 for the Target of 350
5. Muhurat Pick
Looking at the technical structure, it is evident that the stock has
completed a “Bullish White Swan” harmonic pattern on the weekly
chart, the co-ordinates of which are as follows:
Technical Parameter: XA of the leg from 34.50 to 125.70, AB of the leg
completed at 61.60 (i.e.70.7% of XA leg.), BC of the leg completed at
206.80 (i.e. near 224% of AB leg), CD of the leg completed at 101.20
levels. (i.e. 70.7% of BC leg).
Besides, stock has been trading in a “Higher Top Higher Bottom”
formation since last one year, where recently it has taken support of
its lower band of formation and gave good upside movement. So
according to characteristic of higher top higher bottom formation,
stock is heading toward its upper band which is placed at 190 levels.
On daily chart, stock has given breakout of its “Consolidation Range”
with above average volume, in which it had been trading for more
than eight weeks.
Apart from this, stock has been continuously trading with its strong
support of 200 week moving average support which is placed at 110
level, this shows that the long term trend is up.
Moreover, momentum indictor RSI has shown breakout of its
consolidation formation at 55 levels which is supporting our bullish
view on the stock.
Buy GEOMETRIC @ 150 & Upto 140 for the Target of 210
6. Muhurat Pick
On weekly chart, stock has given breakout of its “Flag
Pattern” with above average volume, which is usually a
continuation pattern of contemporary trend.
Furthermore, on weekly chart, stock has also witnessed
“Positive Crossover” of 21*50 week moving average,
which is a bullish crossover and indicating that short to
medium trend is up.
Apart from this, the stock showed healthy correction from
its all-time high which is placed at 252.70 levels, however
the fall in price was halted at 176.70 level which is 50.00%
Fibonacci Retracement level of its previous bull run from
100.70 to 252.70 level, which shows that correction has
been over and now upside movement can be resumed
from the present level.
A momentum indicator RSI has also given breakout of its
upper band of “Down Ward Falling Channel”, which point
out for positive breath in the stock.
Buy BERGERPAINT @ 225 & Upto 210 for the Target of 325
7. Muhurat Pick
On weekly chart, the stock has completed a “Bullish
Anti- Shark Harmonic” pattern at 121.30 levels, the
co-ordinates of which are as follows:
Technical Parameter: XA of the leg from 160.40 to
377.50, AB of the leg completed at 218.30 (i.e.38.20%
of XA leg.), BC of the leg completed at 344.50 (i.e. near
88.60% of AB leg), CD of the leg completed at 121.30
levels. (i.e. 113.00% of XA and 161.80% of BC leg).
Moreover, on monthly chart, stock has taken support
of its multiple support line which is placed at 117 level,
and gave good bounce back with high volume activity,
which shows that further upside movement can be
seen from present levels.
A momentum indicator RSI has also witnessed positive
crossover and reading is above 40 marks, which point
out for positive breath in the stock.
Buy ORIENTBANK @ 145 & Upto 135 for the Target of 210
8. Muhurat Pick
This is solely for information of clients of Choice Broking and does not construe to be an investment advice. It is also not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase and sale
of any financial instruments. Any action taken by you on the basis of the information contained herein is your responsibility alone and Choice Broking its subsidiaries or its employees
or associates will not be liable in any manner for the consequences of such action taken by you. We have exercised due diligence in checking the correctness and authenticity of the
information contained in this recommendation, but Choice Broking or any of its subsidiaries or associates or employees shall not be in any way responsible for any loss or damage
that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this recommendation or any action taken on basis of this information. Technical analysis studies
market psychology, price patterns and volume levels. It is used to forecast future price and market movements. Technical analysis is complementary to fundamental analysis and news
sources. The recommendations issued herewith might be contrary to recommendations issued by Choice Broking in the company research undertaken as the recommendations stated
in this report is derived purely from technical analysis. Choice Broking has based this document on information obtained from sources it believes to be reliable but which it has not
independently verified; Choice Broking makes no guarantee, representation or warranty and accepts no responsibility or liability as to its accuracy or completeness. The opinions
contained within the report are based upon publicly available information at the time of publication and are subject to change without notice. The information and any disclosures
provided herein are in summary form and have been prepared for informational purposes. The recommendations and suggested price levels are intended purely for trading purposes.
The recommendations are valid for the day of the report however trading trends and volumes might vary substantially on an intraday basis and the recommendations may be subject to
change. The information and any disclosures provided herein may be considered confidential. Any use, distribution, modification, copying, forwarding or disclosure by any person is
strictly prohibited. The information and any disclosures provided herein do not constitute a solicitation or offer to purchase or sell any security or other financial product or instrument.
The current performance may be unaudited. Past performance does not guarantee future returns. There can be no assurance that investments will achieve any targeted rates of return,
and there is no guarantee against the loss of your entire investment.
POTENTIAL CONFLICT OF INTEREST DISCLOSURE (as on date of report) Disclosure of interest statement – • Analyst interest of the stock /Instrument(s): - No. • Firm interest of the
stock / Instrument (s): - No.
Choice Research Team
Mr. Sumeet Bagadia, Associate Director
Vikas Chaudhri, Research Associate
Amit Pathania, Research Associate
Kunal Parmar, Research Associate Trirashmi Ghoderao, Research Advisor
Neeraj Yadav, Research Advisor
Rajnath Yadav, Research Analyst
Satish Kumar, Research Analyst