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8th Dec’14 Currency Highlights 
USDINR 
Technical Outlook: 
 Prices have taken resistance near the 
upper band of the consolidation and 
drifted lower near the lower band. 
 The momentum indicator has gone below 
40 levels which indicate lack of momentum 
in prices. 
 MACD has given negative confirmation by 
giving cross under the signal line towards 
lower levels. 
 Breach of 62.05 could drift prices further 
lower towards 43.80 while failure to 
breach the level could move prices 
towards 62.15-62.25 levels.. 
Fundamental News: 
 The dollar firmed against most major currencies on Friday after official data revealed the U.S. economy added way more payrolls in November than investors were expecting. 
 The dollar pulled away from more than four-year highs against a basket of other major currencies on Thursday, as comments by European Central Bank President Mario Draghi boosted demand for riskier assets 
 The yen hit fresh seven-year lows against the dollar on Thursday, after Japanese media outlets reported that Prime Minister Shinzo Abe's coalition government could retain its majority in the lower house of parliament in elections due to be held on December 14 
Buy Levels: 62.05 - 62.00 
Sell Levels: 62.25 – 62.35 Economic Indicators Date Time Data Prior Expected Impact 
08.12.14 
No Data For USD Today
8th Dec’14 Currency Highlights 
EURINR 
Technical Outlook: 
 As mentioned prices gave a gap up 
opening but failed to move above the 
resistance level of 76.95 levels and 
drifted lower. 
 The momentum indicator, RSI has taken 
resistance near 60 levels and moved 
lower near 40 levels. 
 We expect prices could continue its 
lower move which could drift prices 
towards 76.40 levels. 
Fundamental News:  The euro dropped to two-year lows 
against an advancing dollar on Friday 
after news broke the U.S. economy picked up way more jobs in November than markets were expecting..  The Labor Department reported earlier that the U.S. economy added 321,000 jobs in November, well past expectations for a 225,000 reading. October's figure was revised up to 243,000 from a previously estimated 214,000, pointing to underlying strength in the labor market  The U.S. unemployment rate remained unchanged at 5.8% last month, in line with expectations, and the numbers fueled expectations that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates in 2015, possibly earlier than once anticipated.  A separate report showed that the U.S. trade deficit hit $43.40 billion in October, down from $43.60 billion in September, whose figure was revised from a previously estimated deficit of $43.00 billion. Analysts had expected the trade deficit to narrow to $41.20 billion in October. 
Buy Levels: 76.40 – 76.45 
Sell Levels: 76.70 - 76.75 Economic Indicators Date Time Data Prior Expected Impact 
08.12.14 
12.30 PM 
German Industrial Production m/m 
1.4% 
Actual > Forecast = Good for currency 
08.12.14 
3.00 PM 
Sentix Investor Confidence 
-11.9 
Actual > Forecast = Good for currency
8th Dec’14 Currency Highlights 
GBPINR 
Technical Outlook: 
 Prices have given gap down opening 
moved lower but failed to sustain at lower 
levels and moved higher near the 
downtrend line. 
 Failure to breach the trend line would 
keep prices under pressure while breach 
of the trend line could head prices 
towards higher levels. 
 The momentum indicator, RSI has formed 
positive divergence which would add 
bullishness to prices. 
Fundamental News: 
 The pound held steady against the dollar on Thursday after the Bank of England made no changes to U.K. interest rates, while a solid report on U.S. initial jobless claims gave the dollar support. 
 Cable was likely to find support at 1.5618, Wednesday's low, and resistance at 1.5765, Monday's high. 
 The Bank of England's monetary policy committee earlier left U.K. interest rates on hold at their current record low of 0.5% and maintained the size of its asset purchase program at £375 billion. 
 Meanwhile in the U.S., the Department of Labor reported earlier that the number of individuals filing for initial jobless benefits in the week ending Nov. 29 decreased by 17,000 to 297,000 from the previous week’s revised total of 314,000, in line with expectations. 
Buy Levels: 97.20 – 97.25 
Sell Levels: 97.70 – 97.75 Economic Indicators Date Time Data Prior Expected Impact 
08.12.14 
05.31 AM 
BOE Quarterly Bulletin 
More hawkish than expected = Good for currency
8th Dec’14 Currency Highlights 
JPYINR 
Technical Outlook: 
 JPYINR prices continued its down trend and 
drifted towards its lower levels. 
 The momentum indicator, RSI remained 
below 40 levels which indicate lack of 
momentum in prices. 
 Pullbacks can be used as selling 
opportunity rather than buying on dips. 
Fundamental News: 
 The dollar shot up against the yen on 
Friday after official data revealed that the 
U.S. economy picked up far more payrolls 
in November than markets were expecting. 
 The pair was expected to test support at 117.22, the low from Nov. 27, and resistance at 121.69, the session high. 
 The yen remained under pressure after Japanese media outlets reported on Thursday that Prime Minister Shinzo Abe's coalition government could retain its majority in the lower house of parliament in elections due to be held on December 14. 
Buy Levels: 51.30 – 51.35 
Sell Levels: 51.90 – 51.95 Economic Indicators Date Time Data Prior Expected Impact 
08.12.14 
05.20 AM 
Current Account 
0.41T 
Actual > Forecast = Good for currency 
08.12.14 
10.30 AM 
Economy Watchers Sentiment 
44.0 
Actual > Forecast = Good for currency
8th Dec’14 Currency Highlights 
Ankit Tikmany (Sr. Research Analyst) ankit.tikmany@choiceindia.com 
Amit Pawar (Research Associate) amit.pawar@choiceindia.com 
Rohan Shinde (Research Associate) rohan.shinde@choiceindia.com 
Deveya Gaglani (Research Advisor) deveya.gaglani@chocieindia.com 
For Private Circulation Only Website: www.choiceindia.com 
https://twitter.com/ChoiceBroking https://www.youtube.com/user/ChoiceBroking 
http://www.slideshare.net/choiceindiabroking https://plus.google.com/115293033595831069270/posts 
https://www.facebook.com/pages/Choice-Equity-Broking-Pvt-Ltd/352491718249644 
https://www.linkedin.com/company/choice-international-limited?trk=parent_company_logo
8th Dec’14 Currency Highlights 
Disclaimer 
This is solely for information of clients of Choice Broking and does not construe to be an investment advice. It is also not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase and sale of any financial instruments. Any action taken by you on the basis of the information contained herein is your responsibility alone and Choice Broking its subsidiaries or its employees or associates will not be liable in any manner for the consequences of such action taken by you. We have exercised due diligence in checking the correctness and authenticity of the information contained in this recommendation, but Choice Broking or any of its subsidiaries or associates or employees shall not be in any way responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this recommendation or any action taken on basis of this information. Technical analysis studies market psychology, price patterns and volume levels. It is used to forecast future price and market movements. Technical analysis is complementary to fundamental analysis and news sources. The recommendations issued herewith might be contrary to recommendations issued by Choice Broking in the company research undertaken as the recommendations stated in this report is derived purely from technical analysis. Choice Broking has based this document on information obtained from sources it believes to be reliable but which it has not independently verified; Choice Broking makes no guarantee, representation or warranty and accepts no responsibility or liability as to its accuracy or completeness. The opinions contained within the report are based upon publicly available information at the time of publication and are subject to change without notice. The information and any disclosures provided herein are in summary form and have been prepared for informational purposes. The recommendations and suggested price levels are intended purely for trading purposes. The recommendations are valid for the day of the report however trading trends and volumes might vary substantially on an intraday basis and the recommendations may be subject to change. The information and any disclosures provided herein may be considered confidential. Any use, distribution, modification, copying, forwarding or disclosure by any person is strictly prohibited. The information and any disclosures provided herein do not constitute a solicitation or offer to purchase or sell any security or other financial product or instrument. The current performance may be unaudited. Past performance does not guarantee future returns. There can be no assurance that investments will achieve any targeted rates of return, and there is no guarantee against the loss of your entire investment. POTENTIAL CONFLICT OF INTEREST DISCLOSURE (as on date of report) Disclosure of interest statement – • Analyst interest of the stock /Instrument(s): - No. • Firm interest of the stock / Instrument (s): - No.

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Currency highlights

  • 1. 8th Dec’14 Currency Highlights USDINR Technical Outlook:  Prices have taken resistance near the upper band of the consolidation and drifted lower near the lower band.  The momentum indicator has gone below 40 levels which indicate lack of momentum in prices.  MACD has given negative confirmation by giving cross under the signal line towards lower levels.  Breach of 62.05 could drift prices further lower towards 43.80 while failure to breach the level could move prices towards 62.15-62.25 levels.. Fundamental News:  The dollar firmed against most major currencies on Friday after official data revealed the U.S. economy added way more payrolls in November than investors were expecting.  The dollar pulled away from more than four-year highs against a basket of other major currencies on Thursday, as comments by European Central Bank President Mario Draghi boosted demand for riskier assets  The yen hit fresh seven-year lows against the dollar on Thursday, after Japanese media outlets reported that Prime Minister Shinzo Abe's coalition government could retain its majority in the lower house of parliament in elections due to be held on December 14 Buy Levels: 62.05 - 62.00 Sell Levels: 62.25 – 62.35 Economic Indicators Date Time Data Prior Expected Impact 08.12.14 No Data For USD Today
  • 2. 8th Dec’14 Currency Highlights EURINR Technical Outlook:  As mentioned prices gave a gap up opening but failed to move above the resistance level of 76.95 levels and drifted lower.  The momentum indicator, RSI has taken resistance near 60 levels and moved lower near 40 levels.  We expect prices could continue its lower move which could drift prices towards 76.40 levels. Fundamental News:  The euro dropped to two-year lows against an advancing dollar on Friday after news broke the U.S. economy picked up way more jobs in November than markets were expecting..  The Labor Department reported earlier that the U.S. economy added 321,000 jobs in November, well past expectations for a 225,000 reading. October's figure was revised up to 243,000 from a previously estimated 214,000, pointing to underlying strength in the labor market  The U.S. unemployment rate remained unchanged at 5.8% last month, in line with expectations, and the numbers fueled expectations that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates in 2015, possibly earlier than once anticipated.  A separate report showed that the U.S. trade deficit hit $43.40 billion in October, down from $43.60 billion in September, whose figure was revised from a previously estimated deficit of $43.00 billion. Analysts had expected the trade deficit to narrow to $41.20 billion in October. Buy Levels: 76.40 – 76.45 Sell Levels: 76.70 - 76.75 Economic Indicators Date Time Data Prior Expected Impact 08.12.14 12.30 PM German Industrial Production m/m 1.4% Actual > Forecast = Good for currency 08.12.14 3.00 PM Sentix Investor Confidence -11.9 Actual > Forecast = Good for currency
  • 3. 8th Dec’14 Currency Highlights GBPINR Technical Outlook:  Prices have given gap down opening moved lower but failed to sustain at lower levels and moved higher near the downtrend line.  Failure to breach the trend line would keep prices under pressure while breach of the trend line could head prices towards higher levels.  The momentum indicator, RSI has formed positive divergence which would add bullishness to prices. Fundamental News:  The pound held steady against the dollar on Thursday after the Bank of England made no changes to U.K. interest rates, while a solid report on U.S. initial jobless claims gave the dollar support.  Cable was likely to find support at 1.5618, Wednesday's low, and resistance at 1.5765, Monday's high.  The Bank of England's monetary policy committee earlier left U.K. interest rates on hold at their current record low of 0.5% and maintained the size of its asset purchase program at £375 billion.  Meanwhile in the U.S., the Department of Labor reported earlier that the number of individuals filing for initial jobless benefits in the week ending Nov. 29 decreased by 17,000 to 297,000 from the previous week’s revised total of 314,000, in line with expectations. Buy Levels: 97.20 – 97.25 Sell Levels: 97.70 – 97.75 Economic Indicators Date Time Data Prior Expected Impact 08.12.14 05.31 AM BOE Quarterly Bulletin More hawkish than expected = Good for currency
  • 4. 8th Dec’14 Currency Highlights JPYINR Technical Outlook:  JPYINR prices continued its down trend and drifted towards its lower levels.  The momentum indicator, RSI remained below 40 levels which indicate lack of momentum in prices.  Pullbacks can be used as selling opportunity rather than buying on dips. Fundamental News:  The dollar shot up against the yen on Friday after official data revealed that the U.S. economy picked up far more payrolls in November than markets were expecting.  The pair was expected to test support at 117.22, the low from Nov. 27, and resistance at 121.69, the session high.  The yen remained under pressure after Japanese media outlets reported on Thursday that Prime Minister Shinzo Abe's coalition government could retain its majority in the lower house of parliament in elections due to be held on December 14. Buy Levels: 51.30 – 51.35 Sell Levels: 51.90 – 51.95 Economic Indicators Date Time Data Prior Expected Impact 08.12.14 05.20 AM Current Account 0.41T Actual > Forecast = Good for currency 08.12.14 10.30 AM Economy Watchers Sentiment 44.0 Actual > Forecast = Good for currency
  • 5. 8th Dec’14 Currency Highlights Ankit Tikmany (Sr. Research Analyst) ankit.tikmany@choiceindia.com Amit Pawar (Research Associate) amit.pawar@choiceindia.com Rohan Shinde (Research Associate) rohan.shinde@choiceindia.com Deveya Gaglani (Research Advisor) deveya.gaglani@chocieindia.com For Private Circulation Only Website: www.choiceindia.com https://twitter.com/ChoiceBroking https://www.youtube.com/user/ChoiceBroking http://www.slideshare.net/choiceindiabroking https://plus.google.com/115293033595831069270/posts https://www.facebook.com/pages/Choice-Equity-Broking-Pvt-Ltd/352491718249644 https://www.linkedin.com/company/choice-international-limited?trk=parent_company_logo
  • 6. 8th Dec’14 Currency Highlights Disclaimer This is solely for information of clients of Choice Broking and does not construe to be an investment advice. It is also not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase and sale of any financial instruments. Any action taken by you on the basis of the information contained herein is your responsibility alone and Choice Broking its subsidiaries or its employees or associates will not be liable in any manner for the consequences of such action taken by you. We have exercised due diligence in checking the correctness and authenticity of the information contained in this recommendation, but Choice Broking or any of its subsidiaries or associates or employees shall not be in any way responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this recommendation or any action taken on basis of this information. Technical analysis studies market psychology, price patterns and volume levels. It is used to forecast future price and market movements. Technical analysis is complementary to fundamental analysis and news sources. The recommendations issued herewith might be contrary to recommendations issued by Choice Broking in the company research undertaken as the recommendations stated in this report is derived purely from technical analysis. Choice Broking has based this document on information obtained from sources it believes to be reliable but which it has not independently verified; Choice Broking makes no guarantee, representation or warranty and accepts no responsibility or liability as to its accuracy or completeness. The opinions contained within the report are based upon publicly available information at the time of publication and are subject to change without notice. The information and any disclosures provided herein are in summary form and have been prepared for informational purposes. The recommendations and suggested price levels are intended purely for trading purposes. The recommendations are valid for the day of the report however trading trends and volumes might vary substantially on an intraday basis and the recommendations may be subject to change. The information and any disclosures provided herein may be considered confidential. Any use, distribution, modification, copying, forwarding or disclosure by any person is strictly prohibited. The information and any disclosures provided herein do not constitute a solicitation or offer to purchase or sell any security or other financial product or instrument. The current performance may be unaudited. Past performance does not guarantee future returns. There can be no assurance that investments will achieve any targeted rates of return, and there is no guarantee against the loss of your entire investment. POTENTIAL CONFLICT OF INTEREST DISCLOSURE (as on date of report) Disclosure of interest statement – • Analyst interest of the stock /Instrument(s): - No. • Firm interest of the stock / Instrument (s): - No.