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AxisBank Ltd. - Q2FY16 First Cut
1.
Axis Bank Ltd. Banking Q2
FY16 First Cut Buy Axis Bank Ltd.(AxisB), the third largest private sector bank, has reported the Q2FY16 result, which came in line with our expectations with net profit rose by 18.9% to Rs19,156.4 mn. Satish Kumar | Board line: +91 22 6707 9974; Ext. 2158 | satish.kumar@choiceindia.com 1© CHOICE INSTITUTIONAL RESEARCH Oct 27, 2015 Net interest income grows by 15% YoY in Q2FY16: AxisB reported 15.8% YoY increase in the interest income to Rs99,596.1 mn which came in line with our estimate of 101,077.7 mn. Interest expended also rose by 16% in the reported quarter, marginal 0.6% higher than our estimate of Rs58,975.2 mn. Net interest income (NII) or the core income a bank earns by giving loans, rose by 15.2% YoY to Rs40,620.9 mn. Other income increased to Rs20,414.0 mn in Q2FY16 from Rs19,476.1 mn in the same period last year, witnessing a rise of 4.8% YoY. Net interest margin (NIM) for Q2FY16 also improved to 3.85% as compared to 3.81% in the previous quarter and 3.97% in Q2FY15. Operating expenditures increase by 7.2% YoY: Operating expenses of AxisB grew by marginal 7.2% YoY owing to some sluggishness in new branch additions. Provisions and contingencies for the quarter fell 2.5% YoY from a year ago to Rs7,071.7 mn. Provisions were also lower than the June quarter when the bank set asideRs11,217.7 mn in provisions to build a counter-cyclical buffer. Net NPA ratio remained at 0.48% in Q2FY15 versus 0.44% in Q2FY15 and 0.48% in the previous quarter. Net Profit rises by 18.9% YoY in Q2FY16: Driven by strong NII and low operating cost, net profit of bank rose by 19% YOY to Rs19,156.4 mn in line with our estimate of 19,360.7 mn. Balance Sheet growth: During quarter, AxisB’s advances grew 23% YOY to Rs2,98,0660 mn. Retail advances grew by 27% YoY, corporate credit grew 25% YoY and SME Advances rose by 11% YoY in the reported quarter. Deposits also grew by 14% YoY and CASA share stood at the same at the same level as the previous quarter and constituted 40% of total deposits. Currently we have a “Buy” recommendation on the stock with a target price of Rs654 per share. However, we will review the same post detailed analysis of the Q2 FY16 result. Source: Choice Broking Research Particulars (Rs mn) Q2FY16 Q2FY15 YoY Q1FY16 QoQ Interest Earned 99,596.1 86,023.6 15.8% 99,361.4 0.2% Interest Expended 58,975.2 50,775.1 16.1% 58,799.1 0.3% Net Interest Income 40,620.9 35,248.5 15.2% 40,562.3 0.1% Other Income 20,414.0 19,476.1 4.8% 22,982.7 -11.2% Total Income 61,034.9 54,724.6 11.5% 63,545.0 -4.0% Operating Expenses 24,755.4 23,101.6 7.2% 22,624.3 9.4% Pre-Prov. Operating Profit 36,279.5 31,623.0 14.7% 40,920.7 -11.3% P&C 7,071.7 7,250.4 -2.5% 11,217.7 -37.0% Operating Profit before Tax 29,207.8 24,372.6 19.8% 29,703.0 -1.7% Tax 10,051.4 8,265.5 21.6% 9,918.6 1.3% Reported PAT 19,156.4 16,107.1 18.9% 19,784.4 -3.2% EPS 8.0 6.8 18.0% 8.3 -3.3% CAR(%) 14.4% 14.8% 14.5% NNPA(%) 0.5% 0.4% 0.5% ROA(%) (Annulalized) 1.6% 1.7% 1.8% Particulars (Rs mn) Q2FY16 (Actual) Q2FY15 (Est.) YoY Interest Earned 99,596.1 101,077.7 -1.5% Interest Expended 58,975.2 58,645.2 0.6% Operating Expenses 24,755.4 25,481.1 -2.8% Net Profit 19,156.4 19,360.7 -1.1%
2.
es 2© CHOICE INSTITUTIONAL
RESEARCH Disclaimer This is solely for information of clients of Choice Broking and does not construe to be an investment advice. It is also not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase and sale of any financial instruments. Any action taken by you on the basis of the information contained herein is your responsibility alone and Choice Broking its subsidiaries or its employees or associates will not be liable in any manner for the consequences of such action taken by you. We have exercised due diligence in checking the correctness and authenticity of the information contained in this recommendation, but Choice Broking or any of its subsidiaries or associates or employees shall not be in any way responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this recommendation or any action taken on basis of this information. This report is based on the fundamental analysis with a view to forecast future price. The Research analysts for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. Choice Broking has based this document on information obtained from sources it believes to be reliable but which it has not independently verified; Choice Broking makes no guarantee, representation or warranty and accepts no responsibility or liability as to its accuracy or completeness. The opinions contained within the report are based upon publicly available information at the time of publication and are subject to change without notice. The information and any disclosures provided herein are in summary form and have been prepared for informational purposes. The recommendations and suggested price levels are intended purely for stock market investment purposes. The recommendations are valid for the day of the report and will remain valid till the target period. The information and any disclosures provided herein may be considered confidential. Any use, distribution, modification, copying, forwarding or disclosure by any person is strictly prohibited. The information and any disclosures provided herein do not constitute a solicitation or offer to purchase or sell any security or other financial product or instrument. The current performance may be unaudited. Past performance does not guarantee future returns. There can be no assurance that investments will achieve any targeted rates of return, and there is no guarantee against the loss of your entire investment. POTENTIAL CONFLICT OF INTEREST DISCLOSURE (as on date of report) Disclosure of interest statement – • Analyst interest of the stock /Instrument(s): - No. • Firm interest of the stock / Instrument (s): - No. Choice’s Rating Rationale The price target for a large cap stock represents the value the analyst expects the stock to reach over next 12 months. For a stock to be classified as Outperform, the expected return must exceed the local risk free return by at least 5% over the next 12 months. For a stock to be classified as Underperform, the stock return must be below the local risk free return by at least 5% over the next 12 months. Stocks between these bands are classified as Neutral. BUY Absolute Return >15% Accumulate Absolute Return Between 10-15% Hold Absolute Return Between 0-10% Reduce Absolute Return 0 To Negative 10% Sell Absolute Return > Negative 10% Choice Equity Broking Pvt. Ltd. Choice House, Shree Shakambhari Corporate Park, Plt No: -156-158, J.B. Nagar, Andheri (East), Mumbai - 400 099. +91-022-6707 9999 +91-022-6707 9959 www.choiceindia.com Institutional Equity Team Name Designation Email id Contact No. Ajay Kejriwal President ajay@choiceindia.com 022- 6707 9850 Sumeet Bagadia Head of Research sumeet.bagadia@choiceindia.com 022 - 6707 9830 Amit Singh VP - Institutional Sales amit.singh@choiceindia.com 022 - 6707 9852 Devendra Gaikwad Sr. Manager - Institutional Sales devendra.gaikwad@choiceindia.com 022 - 6707 9877 Rajnath Yadav Research Analyst rajnath.yadav@choiceindia.com 022 - 6707 9975 Satish Kumar Research Analyst satish.kumar@choiceindia.com 022 - 6707 9974 Kunal Parmar Research Associate kunal.parmar@choiceindia.com 022 - 6707 9982 Ritesh Patel Research Associate ritesh.patel@choiceindia.com 022 - 6707 9978 Amit Pathania Research Associate amit.pathania@choiceindia.com 022 - 6707 9979 Vikas Chaudhari Research Associate vikas.chaudhari@choiceindia.com 022 - 6707 9988 Trirashmi Ghoderao Research Advisor trirashmi.ghoderao@choiceindia.com 022 - 6707 9972 Neeraj Yadav Research Advisor Neeraj.yadav@choiceindia.com 022 - 6707 9988 Coverage History Date Recommendation CMP (Rs) Target Price (Rs) 30-Sep-15 Buy 497 654
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