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#brandwatchtips 
1 
Webinar/ 
The Power of Hindsight: Using historical data to make better decisions 
© 2014 Brandwatch.com 
Hosted by Will McInnes 
CMO, Brandwatch 
@willmcinnes
#brandwatchtips 
2 
Scott Hendrickson 
© 2014 Brandwatch.com 
Our speakers 
Phil Kam 
VP, Data & Analytics, 
Text100 
@MrPhilipKam 
Nate Walton 
Director of Professional Services, 
Brandwatch 
@molten_tofu 
Data Scientist, 
Twitter 
@DrSkippy
#brandwatchtips 
3 
© 2014 Brandwatch.com 
Coming up 
• Presentations 
• Panel Discussion: The value of Hindsight 
• Q&A
#brandwatchtips 
4 
© 2014 Brandwatch.com 
Don’t be shy/ 
We’d love your participation 
• Ask questions in the 
session chat 
• Tweet about our 
discussion 
@brandwatch 
#brandwatchtips 
A download and recording of the webinar 
will be made available after the event
#brandwatchtips 
5 
© 2014 Brandwatch.com 
Nate Walton, 
Brandwatch
#brandwatchtips 
6 
Really big stuff has happened more than once 
Things about to get interesting? 
© 2014 Brandwatch.com 
• Back to 2008 to get more than one US presidential election 
• Back to 2008 (again) to get more than one olympics (summer only) 
• Can just squeeze in 3 world cups going back to 2006 
Fool me once… 
140 
120 
100 
80 
60 
40 
20 
0 
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 
The First Time Second Time Third Time
#brandwatchtips 
7 
It’s (probably) the best picture we have of a 
social network’s growth 
© 2014 Brandwatch.com 
• Even if other big networks have good 
historical data, $100 says they have no 
great way of mining it 
• Twitter is a relatively sparse - every 
connection counts for marketing and for 
analysis 
• From the time before the New York 
Times and Lady Gaga – can we figure 
out whether to invest in new networks 
before "everybody's doing it"? 
Conversation about “obama” at 10:30 this morning
#brandwatchtips 
8 
© 2014 Brandwatch.com 
New ways of measuring influence 
• Track people's contributions across time, and include consistency as a measure of 
influence 
• Extend our understanding of how current influencers became endemic to the social 
network – people whose celebrity is rooted in Twitter vs just an outlet through Twitter
#brandwatchtips 
9 
© 2014 Brandwatch.com 
Historical Data 
Examples 
and Strategies 
@drskippy
#brandwatchtips 
10 
© 2014 Brandwatch.com 
SXSW 2006-2012 
(Top scale 0-4k tweets/hr; bottom scale 0-15k tweets/hr) 
• 6 years of growth of Twitter and SXSW 
• Main event and summer “panel picker” season 
• See more detail at http://drskippy.github.io/netarcs/sxsw_stacked.png
#brandwatchtips 
11 
© 2014 Brandwatch.com 
Q & A
#brandwatchtips 
12 
© 2014 Brandwatch.com 
Q & A 
Interact and zoom at http://drskippy.github.io/netarcs/ 
Big Boulder Conference 2014 
Twitter Interaction Graph vs. Social Graph
#brandwatchtips 
13 
https://www.mapbox.com/labs/twitter-gnip/brands 
Interact and zoom at http://drskippy.github.io/netarcs/ © 2014 Brandwatch.com
#brandwatchtips 
14 
© 2014 Brandwatch.com 
3 Tips 
1. Hypothesize, sample, analyze, visualize—repeat 
2. Years of data – take into account changes in volume, language use, product names, etc. 
3. Plan analysis strategies 
– Mentions & frequency time series 
– Natural Language Processing (NLP) – topics and sentiment 
– Networks – Interactions and social graph 
– Meta data – Images, links, geo-tagging
#brandwatchtips 
15 
© 2014 Brandwatch.com 
Panel 
Discussion
#brandwatchtips 
16 
© 2014 Brandwatch.com 
Q & A
#brandwatchtips 
17 
© 2014 Brandwatch.com 
Find out more: brandwatch.com/hindsight 
contact@brandwatch.com 
facebook.com/brandwatch 
@brandwatch 
plus.google.com/+brandwatch1

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The Power of Hindsight: Using Historical Data to Make Better Decisions

  • 1. #brandwatchtips 1 Webinar/ The Power of Hindsight: Using historical data to make better decisions © 2014 Brandwatch.com Hosted by Will McInnes CMO, Brandwatch @willmcinnes
  • 2. #brandwatchtips 2 Scott Hendrickson © 2014 Brandwatch.com Our speakers Phil Kam VP, Data & Analytics, Text100 @MrPhilipKam Nate Walton Director of Professional Services, Brandwatch @molten_tofu Data Scientist, Twitter @DrSkippy
  • 3. #brandwatchtips 3 © 2014 Brandwatch.com Coming up • Presentations • Panel Discussion: The value of Hindsight • Q&A
  • 4. #brandwatchtips 4 © 2014 Brandwatch.com Don’t be shy/ We’d love your participation • Ask questions in the session chat • Tweet about our discussion @brandwatch #brandwatchtips A download and recording of the webinar will be made available after the event
  • 5. #brandwatchtips 5 © 2014 Brandwatch.com Nate Walton, Brandwatch
  • 6. #brandwatchtips 6 Really big stuff has happened more than once Things about to get interesting? © 2014 Brandwatch.com • Back to 2008 to get more than one US presidential election • Back to 2008 (again) to get more than one olympics (summer only) • Can just squeeze in 3 world cups going back to 2006 Fool me once… 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 The First Time Second Time Third Time
  • 7. #brandwatchtips 7 It’s (probably) the best picture we have of a social network’s growth © 2014 Brandwatch.com • Even if other big networks have good historical data, $100 says they have no great way of mining it • Twitter is a relatively sparse - every connection counts for marketing and for analysis • From the time before the New York Times and Lady Gaga – can we figure out whether to invest in new networks before "everybody's doing it"? Conversation about “obama” at 10:30 this morning
  • 8. #brandwatchtips 8 © 2014 Brandwatch.com New ways of measuring influence • Track people's contributions across time, and include consistency as a measure of influence • Extend our understanding of how current influencers became endemic to the social network – people whose celebrity is rooted in Twitter vs just an outlet through Twitter
  • 9. #brandwatchtips 9 © 2014 Brandwatch.com Historical Data Examples and Strategies @drskippy
  • 10. #brandwatchtips 10 © 2014 Brandwatch.com SXSW 2006-2012 (Top scale 0-4k tweets/hr; bottom scale 0-15k tweets/hr) • 6 years of growth of Twitter and SXSW • Main event and summer “panel picker” season • See more detail at http://drskippy.github.io/netarcs/sxsw_stacked.png
  • 11. #brandwatchtips 11 © 2014 Brandwatch.com Q & A
  • 12. #brandwatchtips 12 © 2014 Brandwatch.com Q & A Interact and zoom at http://drskippy.github.io/netarcs/ Big Boulder Conference 2014 Twitter Interaction Graph vs. Social Graph
  • 13. #brandwatchtips 13 https://www.mapbox.com/labs/twitter-gnip/brands Interact and zoom at http://drskippy.github.io/netarcs/ © 2014 Brandwatch.com
  • 14. #brandwatchtips 14 © 2014 Brandwatch.com 3 Tips 1. Hypothesize, sample, analyze, visualize—repeat 2. Years of data – take into account changes in volume, language use, product names, etc. 3. Plan analysis strategies – Mentions & frequency time series – Natural Language Processing (NLP) – topics and sentiment – Networks – Interactions and social graph – Meta data – Images, links, geo-tagging
  • 15. #brandwatchtips 15 © 2014 Brandwatch.com Panel Discussion
  • 16. #brandwatchtips 16 © 2014 Brandwatch.com Q & A
  • 17. #brandwatchtips 17 © 2014 Brandwatch.com Find out more: brandwatch.com/hindsight contact@brandwatch.com facebook.com/brandwatch @brandwatch plus.google.com/+brandwatch1

Editor's Notes

  1. glenn greenwald bottom right, cnn in middle white house top right