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Initiative Immobilien-Aktie
Germany as Growth Engine for Europe
Initiative Immobilien-Aktie
German Listed Real Estate:
Finally Grown Up
08 October 2015
Initiative Immobilien-Aktie
Germany as Growth Engine for Europe
Germany as Growth Engine for Europe 2
Long Term Development of Top 18 Free Float
16.12.2015
The listed Real Estate
sector has increased
substantially since 2008.
Investible Free Float up
from EUR1.5b in 2008 to
EUR35bn in 2015.
Initiative Immobilien-Aktie
Germany as Growth Engine for Europe
Germany as Growth Engine for Europe 3
German Real Estate Capital Markets Funding by Instrument
16.12.2015
Capital Markets play an
increasingly important
role as capital providers.
But: Capital markets
funding is still below 2006
peak.
Initiative Immobilien-Aktie
Germany as Growth Engine for Europe
Germany as Growth Engine for Europe 4
German Real Estate Capital Markets Funding by Instrument
16.12.2015
Wide range of capital
markets instruments
used.
Capital Markets Funding
currently dominated by
equity.
Reduced significance of
CMBS.
Initiative Immobilien-Aktie
Germany as Growth Engine for Europe
Germany as Growth Engine for Europe 5
Banks Active in German Real Estate ECM
16.12.2015
38 banks have been active in German real estate ECM since 2009.
German and US banks dominate.
Banks Active in German Real Estate ECM (# of Banks by country) Banks Active in German Real Estate ECM (Capital Placed by Country of Bank)
Initiative Immobilien-Aktie
Germany as Growth Engine for Europe
Germany as Growth Engine for Europe 6
Real Estate in % of German Equity Capital Markets
16.12.2015
Real Estate with strongly
rising importance in
German Equity Capital
Markets business:
Real Estate reached 30%
share of German ECM
business in H1 2015.
Initiative Immobilien-Aktie
Germany as Growth Engine for Europe
Germany as Growth Engine for Europe 7
Leverage of German Listed RE Companies
16.12.2015
The listed Real Estate sector has deleveraged since 2009.
But: LTV is still strongly above EU average of 38%.
Initiative Immobilien-Aktie
Germany as Growth Engine for Europe
Germany as Growth Engine for Europe 816.12.2015
Real Estate sector has
increased in importance.
Currently 1 DAX30
member, 4 DMAX
members and 6 SDAX
members.
Initiative Immobilien-Aktie
Germany as Growth Engine for Europe
Germany as Growth Engine for Europe 916.12.2015
Real Estate represents 3% of combined DAX30/MAX/SDAX free float.
Real Estate represents 2% of DAX30 free float.
Initiative Immobilien-Aktie
Germany as Growth Engine for Europe
Germany as Growth Engine for Europe 1016.12.2015
Real Estate represents 8% of MDAX free float.
Real Estate represents 11% of SDAX.
Initiative Immobilien-Aktie
Germany as Growth Engine for Europe
Germany as Growth Engine for Europe 1116.12.2015
The average market cap
of our group of real estate
companies of EUR 2.2bn
is ahead of the average
for US REITs …
… exceeds the average
of the SDAX and has
narrowed gap to the
MDAX average.
Initiative Immobilien-Aktie
Germany as Growth Engine for Europe
Germany as Growth Engine for Europe 1216.12.2015
Listed Real Estate in
Germany has reached the
status of the US REIT
sector before the financial
crisis.
Initiative Immobilien-Aktie
Germany as Growth Engine for Europe
Germany as Growth Engine for Europe 1316.12.2015
The listed Real Estate
sector is largely
independent from strategic
or core holders/investors.
Whereas DAX30, MDAX
and SDAX are dominated
by core holders …
… when considering low
voting right presence at
Annnual General Meetings.
Initiative Immobilien-Aktie
Germany as Growth Engine for Europe
Germany as Growth Engine for Europe 14
Development of Gross Property Value
16.12.2015
Listed Real Estate is an
important part of the German real
estate market.
Gross Property Assets increased
to EUR 78bn (up 17 % or EUR
11.5bn yoy).
Initiative Immobilien-Aktie
Germany as Growth Engine for Europe
Germany as Growth Engine for Europe 1516.12.2015
Listed Real Estate is an
increasingly important
component of the German
residential market:
1m housing units owned
by listed companies
compared to 2.7m that
are in the public hands.
Initiative Immobilien-Aktie
Germany as Growth Engine for Europe
Initiative Immobilien-Aktie
Thank You For Your Attention
Peter Barkow Sabine Georgi
Managing Director Head of Real Estate and Capital Markets
Barkow Consulting GmbH ZIA Zentraler Immobilien Ausschuss e.V.
Rethelstraße 38 Unter den Linden 42
40237 Düsseldorf 10117 Berlin
www.BarkowConsulting.com www.ZIA-Deutschland.de

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GERMAN LISTED REAL ESTATE: Finally Grown Up

  • 1. Initiative Immobilien-Aktie Germany as Growth Engine for Europe Initiative Immobilien-Aktie German Listed Real Estate: Finally Grown Up 08 October 2015
  • 2. Initiative Immobilien-Aktie Germany as Growth Engine for Europe Germany as Growth Engine for Europe 2 Long Term Development of Top 18 Free Float 16.12.2015 The listed Real Estate sector has increased substantially since 2008. Investible Free Float up from EUR1.5b in 2008 to EUR35bn in 2015.
  • 3. Initiative Immobilien-Aktie Germany as Growth Engine for Europe Germany as Growth Engine for Europe 3 German Real Estate Capital Markets Funding by Instrument 16.12.2015 Capital Markets play an increasingly important role as capital providers. But: Capital markets funding is still below 2006 peak.
  • 4. Initiative Immobilien-Aktie Germany as Growth Engine for Europe Germany as Growth Engine for Europe 4 German Real Estate Capital Markets Funding by Instrument 16.12.2015 Wide range of capital markets instruments used. Capital Markets Funding currently dominated by equity. Reduced significance of CMBS.
  • 5. Initiative Immobilien-Aktie Germany as Growth Engine for Europe Germany as Growth Engine for Europe 5 Banks Active in German Real Estate ECM 16.12.2015 38 banks have been active in German real estate ECM since 2009. German and US banks dominate. Banks Active in German Real Estate ECM (# of Banks by country) Banks Active in German Real Estate ECM (Capital Placed by Country of Bank)
  • 6. Initiative Immobilien-Aktie Germany as Growth Engine for Europe Germany as Growth Engine for Europe 6 Real Estate in % of German Equity Capital Markets 16.12.2015 Real Estate with strongly rising importance in German Equity Capital Markets business: Real Estate reached 30% share of German ECM business in H1 2015.
  • 7. Initiative Immobilien-Aktie Germany as Growth Engine for Europe Germany as Growth Engine for Europe 7 Leverage of German Listed RE Companies 16.12.2015 The listed Real Estate sector has deleveraged since 2009. But: LTV is still strongly above EU average of 38%.
  • 8. Initiative Immobilien-Aktie Germany as Growth Engine for Europe Germany as Growth Engine for Europe 816.12.2015 Real Estate sector has increased in importance. Currently 1 DAX30 member, 4 DMAX members and 6 SDAX members.
  • 9. Initiative Immobilien-Aktie Germany as Growth Engine for Europe Germany as Growth Engine for Europe 916.12.2015 Real Estate represents 3% of combined DAX30/MAX/SDAX free float. Real Estate represents 2% of DAX30 free float.
  • 10. Initiative Immobilien-Aktie Germany as Growth Engine for Europe Germany as Growth Engine for Europe 1016.12.2015 Real Estate represents 8% of MDAX free float. Real Estate represents 11% of SDAX.
  • 11. Initiative Immobilien-Aktie Germany as Growth Engine for Europe Germany as Growth Engine for Europe 1116.12.2015 The average market cap of our group of real estate companies of EUR 2.2bn is ahead of the average for US REITs … … exceeds the average of the SDAX and has narrowed gap to the MDAX average.
  • 12. Initiative Immobilien-Aktie Germany as Growth Engine for Europe Germany as Growth Engine for Europe 1216.12.2015 Listed Real Estate in Germany has reached the status of the US REIT sector before the financial crisis.
  • 13. Initiative Immobilien-Aktie Germany as Growth Engine for Europe Germany as Growth Engine for Europe 1316.12.2015 The listed Real Estate sector is largely independent from strategic or core holders/investors. Whereas DAX30, MDAX and SDAX are dominated by core holders … … when considering low voting right presence at Annnual General Meetings.
  • 14. Initiative Immobilien-Aktie Germany as Growth Engine for Europe Germany as Growth Engine for Europe 14 Development of Gross Property Value 16.12.2015 Listed Real Estate is an important part of the German real estate market. Gross Property Assets increased to EUR 78bn (up 17 % or EUR 11.5bn yoy).
  • 15. Initiative Immobilien-Aktie Germany as Growth Engine for Europe Germany as Growth Engine for Europe 1516.12.2015 Listed Real Estate is an increasingly important component of the German residential market: 1m housing units owned by listed companies compared to 2.7m that are in the public hands.
  • 16. Initiative Immobilien-Aktie Germany as Growth Engine for Europe Initiative Immobilien-Aktie Thank You For Your Attention Peter Barkow Sabine Georgi Managing Director Head of Real Estate and Capital Markets Barkow Consulting GmbH ZIA Zentraler Immobilien Ausschuss e.V. Rethelstraße 38 Unter den Linden 42 40237 Düsseldorf 10117 Berlin www.BarkowConsulting.com www.ZIA-Deutschland.de