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B Y: AY E S H A M A J I D , B A D A R U S M A N , M . U S A M A & H A M M A D TA R I Q
STRATEGY ANALYSIS
INTRODUCTION
INTRODUCTION
• Pakistan Tobacco Company Limited (PTC) is subsidiary of British American
Tobacco.
• British American Tobacco Company owns 97% of the shares.
• PTC is the first came in 1947 making it one of the first foreign investments in
Pakistan
• largest cigarette manufacturing company in Pakistan and has a market share of
around 42%
• PTC run two state of the art factories and employ more than 1,700 people while
indirectly providing livelihoods to more than a million people who are involved in
various aspects of the business.
• market leaders and contribute more than Rs. 30-billion in excise duties and taxes to
the Government
GUIDING PRINCIPLES
PRODUCT RANGE
FINANCIAL OVERVIEW
INDUSTRY ANALYSIS
• The tobacco industry is a source of revenues, employment and foreign exchange for
the country. The industry has to pay very high excise and sales tax while complying
with various strict rules and regulations of the government. The industry is facing
high taxation
• Companies with foreign ownership
• Pakistan Tobacco Company (PTC)
• Lakson Tobacco Company (LTC)
• Premier Tobacco Industry (PTI).
• Companies with local ownership
• Souvenir Tobacco Company
• Khyber Tobacco Company
• Sarhad Tobacco Company
• Tobacco International Ltd.
INDUSTRY ANALYSIS
• The major product of this industry is cigarettes.
• Other than that, other products include cigars, ‘Bidi’, ‘Niswaar’, and tobacco
for pipe and ‘Huqqua’.
• In Pakistan cigars and pipe tobacco are imported while the other products
are locally manufactured.
• The production facilities for ‘Niswaar’, ‘Bidi’, and ‘Huqqua’ tobacco constitutes
the unorganized sector and very little data is available
EXTERNAL ANALYSIS
BRAND COMPETITION
Category
Price Range
(Rs.)
Leading
Brands
Market Share
A 23.75+ Gold Leaf 76%
B 17-16 Capstan 100%
C 15-6
Red & White 47%
Wills Kings 10%
Gold Flake 15%
D 6
Embassy 54%
K 2 30%
E Below 6 Royals 20%
POTTER’S FIVE FORCES MODEL ANALYSIS
1. Bargaining Power of Buyers (low to medium):
2. Threat of Completion (low to medium)
3. Threat of New Entrants Rivalry (medium to high)
4. Substitutes (low to medium)
COMPETITION SOURCES
1. Product Styling:
2. Advertising:
3. Product Branding:
4. Dealer’s Discount:
5. Introduction of New Products:
COMPETITIVE PROFILE MATRIX
Key Success Factors Weight
Pakistan Tobacco
Company
Lakson Tobacco
Company
Rating Weighted rating Rating Weighted rating
Product Innovation .12 4 .48 3 .36
Manufacturing Technology & Quality .12 3 .36 2 .24
Human Resource .07 4 .28 3 .21
Selling & Distribution .07 3 .21 3 .21
Supply Chain Management .1 3 .3 2 .2
Financial Muscle .1 3 .3 3 .3
Patronage & Support of an
International Player
.2 4 .8 4 .8
Government Lobbying .05 3 .15 3 .15
Brand Equity .12 3 .36 3 .36
CSR .05 3 .15 1 .05
EFE MATRIX
Factor Weight Rate Weighted rate
Opportunities
Industry Growth .05 3 .15
Young smokers .07 3 .21
Promising mid Tar segment .05 3 .15
Threats
Scarcity of raw material .07 3 .21
Illicit cigarettes .07 4 .28
Levy of heavy taxes and duties .06 3 .18
New products like vape and e-cigarettes are selling which can
substitute tobacco cigarettes
.04 2 .08
“Prohibition of Smoking and Protection of Non-Smokers Health”
Ordinance 2002
.04 2 .08
Controversy over Tobacco Support Price (Possible Hike) .06 2 .12
Tax Evading Sector .05 3 .15
Framework Convention on Tobacco Control (FCTC) .04 2 .08
TV Ads Banned .02 2 .04
Anti-Smoking Ordinance .06 2 .12
Local Firms Gaining Share and Experience .06 3 .18
Smuggling and low priced counterfeit .06 3 .18
Tobacco Free Initiative in Pakistan .05 2 .1
Increase cost to grow tobacco in northern areas .06 3 .18
Increased operation cost in industry .05 2 .1
Coutierfiet products .05 2 .1
Tobacco substitutes like e-cigrates gaining popularity .05 3 .15
SUMMARY AND CONCLUSION
• Among the above mentioned CSF’s the threat from counterfeit and smuggled
packets is the most ominous since it can seriously erode the brand’s sales
potential.
• Retailers are naturally more willing to buy the counterfeit types since it allows
them to earn huge margins from the sale of these cheaply bought packets.
• Furthermore, there are several restrictions that have been placed on the
merchandising activities of brands.
• These include restrictions on merchandising any kind of material for schools /
universities, hospitals and mosques.
SUMMARY AND CONCLUSION
• Hence, anything related to the brand, if caught anywhere near the above
mentioned places, is immediately confiscated .
• This obviously translates into more careful (and subsequently more costly)
merchandising activities for the brand.
• The new competitor by the name of Premier Classic is being marketed by
Lakson Tobacco Company which is the licensee of the brand.
• This cigarette has been placed right into the premium category and, thus,
poses a threat for the Gold Leaf as well as the Benson & Hedges brand.
• PTC must design an effective marketing campaign in order to counter the
threat posed by this ambitious new comer.
INTERNAL ANALYSIS
REVENUE
PTC 2014 (PKR Million) 2015 (PKR Million) 2016 (PKR Million)
Revenue 36619 42907 44867
Growth % (yearly) 19.58 17.17 4.57
Growth % Avg 3 Years 16.85 18.36 13.58
Industry 2014 2015 2016
Growth % (Yearly) 11.3 9.4 3.3
Growth % Avg 3 Years 10.2 8.9 7.4
PROFITABILITY AND LIQUIDITY
Profitability Ratios 2014 2015 2016
Gross Margin % 37.8 43.2 50.8
Operating Margin % 19.4 24.1 33.4
Net Margin % 13.24 16.42 23.09
EPS % 9 18 32
ROA % 24.64 30.18 41.32
ROE % 72.26 76.69 88.78
ROIC % 57.12 64.03 80.97
Interest Coverage (Times) 73.56 148.21 336.64
Liquidity Ratios 2014 2015 2016
Current Ratio 1.06 1.20 1.52
Quick Ratio 0.05 0.05 0.21
Debt/Equity 0.05 0.04 0.02
IFE
Factor Weight Rate Weighted Rate
Strength
Strong Distribution Network 0.05 4 0.2
1st MNC to start tobacco processing in the area 0.07 3 0.21
Efficient time delivery ( within 3 days from Production) 0.07 4 0.28
Market Leader 0.05 3 0.15
Strong Brand Name and image in customers mind 0.06 3 0.18
Consistent quality management 0.05 2 0.1
Environmental Standards achieved 0.06 3 0.18
Focus on health and safety on the company premises 0.05 2 0.1
Training and development of the employees 0.05 3 0.15
Influence on Government 0.04 2 0.08
Technology 0.06 3 018
Weaknesses
Price gap is large between average and premium products
(no in-between products)
0.07 3 0.21
Low profit margin, highly dependent on volume for profit
realization
0.06 4 0.24
Other than its three main brands Dunhill, Captain and
Gold-leaf other don’t have a significant demand
0.05 3 0.15
Innovate new flavors and products like electric cigarettes 0.06 3 0.18
Fear of losing jobs in employees due to downsizing 0.04 2 0.08
Minimum marketing compared to its competitors 0.05 2 0.1
Centralized system 0.06 3 0.18
Total 2.95
PORTER’S FIVE GENERIC STRATEGIES
SUPPLY CHAIN MODEL:
Harvesting
Curing
Processing
Manufacturing
Trade marketing and distribution
STRATEGY FORMULATION
SWOT ANALYSIS
• Strengths:
1. Strong distribution network
2. 1st MNC to start tobacco processing in the area
3. Biggest FMCG
4. Efficient time delivery (within 3 days from production)
5. Consistent quality management of whole product range
6. Strong brand name and image in customers mind
7. Market leader
SWOT ANALYSIS
• Weaknesses:
1. Price gap is large between average and premium products (no in-between
products)
2. Low profit margin, highly dependent on volume for profit realization
3. Other than its three main brands Dunhill, Captain and Gold-leaf other don’t have a
significant demand
4. Decrease in prices of almost half the product range
5. Decreased prices to capture more market share and reposition prices in the minds
of the consumers.
6. Considering its vision statement they can plan business ventures beyond tobacco
products
7. Introduce products between the extreme ends products
8. Innovate new flavours and products like electric cigarettes
SWOT ANALYSIS
• Opportunities:
1. Industry Growth
2. Young smokers
3. Promising mid Tar segment
SWOT ANAYLYSIS
• Threats:
1. Illicit cigarettes
2. Levy of heavy taxes and duties
3. New products like vape and e-cigarettes are selling which can substitute
tobacco cigarettes.
SPACE MATRIX
BCG MATRIX
IE MATRIX
GRAND MATRIX
QSPM
Strategy 1 Strategy 2
Backward
Integration
Brand
love/loyalty
Strengths Weight AS TAS AS TAS
Strong Distribution Network 0.05 3 0.15
1st MNC to start tobacco processing in the area 0.07 3 0.21
Efficient time delivery ( within 3 days from Production) 0.07 3 0.21
Market Leader 0.05 4 0.20
Strong Brand Name and image in customers mind 0.06 3 0.18
Consistent quality management 0.05 3 0.15 3 0.15
Environmental Standards achieved 0.06 3 0.18 3 0.18
Focus on health and safety on the company premises 0.05 2 0.10
Training and development of the employees 0.05 4 0.20
Influence on Government 0.04 3 0.12
Technology 0.06 3 0.18
Weaknesses
Price gap is large between average and premium products (no in-between products) 0.07 2 0.14
Low profit margin, highly dependent on volume for profit realization 0.06
Other than its three main brands Dunhill, Captain and Gold-leaf other don’t have a significant demand 0.05
Innovate new flavors and products like electric cigarettes 0.06 3
Fear of losing jobs in employees due to downsizing 0.04
Minimum marketing compared to its competitors 0.05 1
Centralized system 0.06
QSPM
Opportunities
Industry Growth 0.05 4 0.2 2 0.10
Young smokers 0.07 4 0.28
Promising mid Tar segment 0.05 2 0.10 2 0.10
Threats
Scarcity of raw material 0.07 4 0.28
Illicit cigarettes 0.07 2 0.14
Levy of heavy taxes and duties 0.06 2 0.12
New products like vape and e-cigarettes are selling which can substitute tobacco cigarettes 0.04 3 0.12
“Prohibition of Smoking and Protection of Non-Smokers Health” Ordinance 2002 0.04
Controversy over Tobacco Support Price (Possible Hike) 0.06 3 0.18
Tax Evading Sector 0.05 3 0.15
Framework Convention on Tobacco Control (FCTC) 0.04
TV Ads Banned 0.02 3 0.06
Anti-Smoking Ordinance 0.06
Local Firms Gaining Share and Experience 0.06 4 0.24
Smuggling and low priced counterfeit 0.06 1 0.06
Tobacco Free Initiative in Pakistan 0.05
Increase cost to grow tobacco in northern areas 0.06 4 0.20
Increased operation cost in industry 0.05 1 0.05
Coutierfiet products 0.05
Tobacco substitutes like e-cigrates gaining popularity 0.05
Total 1.00 2.55 2.44
OBJECTIVES, STRATEGY FORMULATION
AND ACTION PLAN
FINANCIAL OBJECTIVES
• To increase and maintain the market share of the company to 44-45% for the
next 3 years
• To increase the annual sales by 8%
• To reduce the cost of sales by 12%
• To increase the debt to equity ratio to at least 1:2
STRATEGIC OBJECTIVE
• To make the production and supply chain more efficient by integrating
backwards
• To Reduce product prices
• To reduce tax expenses
• To diversify products and target new segments
THANKYOU

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Pakistan Tobacco Company: Strategic Analysis

  • 1. B Y: AY E S H A M A J I D , B A D A R U S M A N , M . U S A M A & H A M M A D TA R I Q STRATEGY ANALYSIS
  • 3. INTRODUCTION • Pakistan Tobacco Company Limited (PTC) is subsidiary of British American Tobacco. • British American Tobacco Company owns 97% of the shares. • PTC is the first came in 1947 making it one of the first foreign investments in Pakistan • largest cigarette manufacturing company in Pakistan and has a market share of around 42% • PTC run two state of the art factories and employ more than 1,700 people while indirectly providing livelihoods to more than a million people who are involved in various aspects of the business. • market leaders and contribute more than Rs. 30-billion in excise duties and taxes to the Government
  • 4.
  • 6.
  • 8.
  • 10. INDUSTRY ANALYSIS • The tobacco industry is a source of revenues, employment and foreign exchange for the country. The industry has to pay very high excise and sales tax while complying with various strict rules and regulations of the government. The industry is facing high taxation • Companies with foreign ownership • Pakistan Tobacco Company (PTC) • Lakson Tobacco Company (LTC) • Premier Tobacco Industry (PTI). • Companies with local ownership • Souvenir Tobacco Company • Khyber Tobacco Company • Sarhad Tobacco Company • Tobacco International Ltd.
  • 11. INDUSTRY ANALYSIS • The major product of this industry is cigarettes. • Other than that, other products include cigars, ‘Bidi’, ‘Niswaar’, and tobacco for pipe and ‘Huqqua’. • In Pakistan cigars and pipe tobacco are imported while the other products are locally manufactured. • The production facilities for ‘Niswaar’, ‘Bidi’, and ‘Huqqua’ tobacco constitutes the unorganized sector and very little data is available
  • 13. BRAND COMPETITION Category Price Range (Rs.) Leading Brands Market Share A 23.75+ Gold Leaf 76% B 17-16 Capstan 100% C 15-6 Red & White 47% Wills Kings 10% Gold Flake 15% D 6 Embassy 54% K 2 30% E Below 6 Royals 20%
  • 14. POTTER’S FIVE FORCES MODEL ANALYSIS 1. Bargaining Power of Buyers (low to medium): 2. Threat of Completion (low to medium) 3. Threat of New Entrants Rivalry (medium to high) 4. Substitutes (low to medium)
  • 15. COMPETITION SOURCES 1. Product Styling: 2. Advertising: 3. Product Branding: 4. Dealer’s Discount: 5. Introduction of New Products:
  • 16. COMPETITIVE PROFILE MATRIX Key Success Factors Weight Pakistan Tobacco Company Lakson Tobacco Company Rating Weighted rating Rating Weighted rating Product Innovation .12 4 .48 3 .36 Manufacturing Technology & Quality .12 3 .36 2 .24 Human Resource .07 4 .28 3 .21 Selling & Distribution .07 3 .21 3 .21 Supply Chain Management .1 3 .3 2 .2 Financial Muscle .1 3 .3 3 .3 Patronage & Support of an International Player .2 4 .8 4 .8 Government Lobbying .05 3 .15 3 .15 Brand Equity .12 3 .36 3 .36 CSR .05 3 .15 1 .05
  • 17. EFE MATRIX Factor Weight Rate Weighted rate Opportunities Industry Growth .05 3 .15 Young smokers .07 3 .21 Promising mid Tar segment .05 3 .15 Threats Scarcity of raw material .07 3 .21 Illicit cigarettes .07 4 .28 Levy of heavy taxes and duties .06 3 .18 New products like vape and e-cigarettes are selling which can substitute tobacco cigarettes .04 2 .08 “Prohibition of Smoking and Protection of Non-Smokers Health” Ordinance 2002 .04 2 .08 Controversy over Tobacco Support Price (Possible Hike) .06 2 .12 Tax Evading Sector .05 3 .15 Framework Convention on Tobacco Control (FCTC) .04 2 .08 TV Ads Banned .02 2 .04 Anti-Smoking Ordinance .06 2 .12 Local Firms Gaining Share and Experience .06 3 .18 Smuggling and low priced counterfeit .06 3 .18 Tobacco Free Initiative in Pakistan .05 2 .1 Increase cost to grow tobacco in northern areas .06 3 .18 Increased operation cost in industry .05 2 .1 Coutierfiet products .05 2 .1 Tobacco substitutes like e-cigrates gaining popularity .05 3 .15
  • 18. SUMMARY AND CONCLUSION • Among the above mentioned CSF’s the threat from counterfeit and smuggled packets is the most ominous since it can seriously erode the brand’s sales potential. • Retailers are naturally more willing to buy the counterfeit types since it allows them to earn huge margins from the sale of these cheaply bought packets. • Furthermore, there are several restrictions that have been placed on the merchandising activities of brands. • These include restrictions on merchandising any kind of material for schools / universities, hospitals and mosques.
  • 19. SUMMARY AND CONCLUSION • Hence, anything related to the brand, if caught anywhere near the above mentioned places, is immediately confiscated . • This obviously translates into more careful (and subsequently more costly) merchandising activities for the brand. • The new competitor by the name of Premier Classic is being marketed by Lakson Tobacco Company which is the licensee of the brand. • This cigarette has been placed right into the premium category and, thus, poses a threat for the Gold Leaf as well as the Benson & Hedges brand. • PTC must design an effective marketing campaign in order to counter the threat posed by this ambitious new comer.
  • 21. REVENUE PTC 2014 (PKR Million) 2015 (PKR Million) 2016 (PKR Million) Revenue 36619 42907 44867 Growth % (yearly) 19.58 17.17 4.57 Growth % Avg 3 Years 16.85 18.36 13.58 Industry 2014 2015 2016 Growth % (Yearly) 11.3 9.4 3.3 Growth % Avg 3 Years 10.2 8.9 7.4
  • 22. PROFITABILITY AND LIQUIDITY Profitability Ratios 2014 2015 2016 Gross Margin % 37.8 43.2 50.8 Operating Margin % 19.4 24.1 33.4 Net Margin % 13.24 16.42 23.09 EPS % 9 18 32 ROA % 24.64 30.18 41.32 ROE % 72.26 76.69 88.78 ROIC % 57.12 64.03 80.97 Interest Coverage (Times) 73.56 148.21 336.64 Liquidity Ratios 2014 2015 2016 Current Ratio 1.06 1.20 1.52 Quick Ratio 0.05 0.05 0.21 Debt/Equity 0.05 0.04 0.02
  • 23. IFE Factor Weight Rate Weighted Rate Strength Strong Distribution Network 0.05 4 0.2 1st MNC to start tobacco processing in the area 0.07 3 0.21 Efficient time delivery ( within 3 days from Production) 0.07 4 0.28 Market Leader 0.05 3 0.15 Strong Brand Name and image in customers mind 0.06 3 0.18 Consistent quality management 0.05 2 0.1 Environmental Standards achieved 0.06 3 0.18 Focus on health and safety on the company premises 0.05 2 0.1 Training and development of the employees 0.05 3 0.15 Influence on Government 0.04 2 0.08 Technology 0.06 3 018 Weaknesses Price gap is large between average and premium products (no in-between products) 0.07 3 0.21 Low profit margin, highly dependent on volume for profit realization 0.06 4 0.24 Other than its three main brands Dunhill, Captain and Gold-leaf other don’t have a significant demand 0.05 3 0.15 Innovate new flavors and products like electric cigarettes 0.06 3 0.18 Fear of losing jobs in employees due to downsizing 0.04 2 0.08 Minimum marketing compared to its competitors 0.05 2 0.1 Centralized system 0.06 3 0.18 Total 2.95
  • 27. SWOT ANALYSIS • Strengths: 1. Strong distribution network 2. 1st MNC to start tobacco processing in the area 3. Biggest FMCG 4. Efficient time delivery (within 3 days from production) 5. Consistent quality management of whole product range 6. Strong brand name and image in customers mind 7. Market leader
  • 28. SWOT ANALYSIS • Weaknesses: 1. Price gap is large between average and premium products (no in-between products) 2. Low profit margin, highly dependent on volume for profit realization 3. Other than its three main brands Dunhill, Captain and Gold-leaf other don’t have a significant demand 4. Decrease in prices of almost half the product range 5. Decreased prices to capture more market share and reposition prices in the minds of the consumers. 6. Considering its vision statement they can plan business ventures beyond tobacco products 7. Introduce products between the extreme ends products 8. Innovate new flavours and products like electric cigarettes
  • 29. SWOT ANALYSIS • Opportunities: 1. Industry Growth 2. Young smokers 3. Promising mid Tar segment
  • 30. SWOT ANAYLYSIS • Threats: 1. Illicit cigarettes 2. Levy of heavy taxes and duties 3. New products like vape and e-cigarettes are selling which can substitute tobacco cigarettes.
  • 35. QSPM Strategy 1 Strategy 2 Backward Integration Brand love/loyalty Strengths Weight AS TAS AS TAS Strong Distribution Network 0.05 3 0.15 1st MNC to start tobacco processing in the area 0.07 3 0.21 Efficient time delivery ( within 3 days from Production) 0.07 3 0.21 Market Leader 0.05 4 0.20 Strong Brand Name and image in customers mind 0.06 3 0.18 Consistent quality management 0.05 3 0.15 3 0.15 Environmental Standards achieved 0.06 3 0.18 3 0.18 Focus on health and safety on the company premises 0.05 2 0.10 Training and development of the employees 0.05 4 0.20 Influence on Government 0.04 3 0.12 Technology 0.06 3 0.18 Weaknesses Price gap is large between average and premium products (no in-between products) 0.07 2 0.14 Low profit margin, highly dependent on volume for profit realization 0.06 Other than its three main brands Dunhill, Captain and Gold-leaf other don’t have a significant demand 0.05 Innovate new flavors and products like electric cigarettes 0.06 3 Fear of losing jobs in employees due to downsizing 0.04 Minimum marketing compared to its competitors 0.05 1 Centralized system 0.06
  • 36. QSPM Opportunities Industry Growth 0.05 4 0.2 2 0.10 Young smokers 0.07 4 0.28 Promising mid Tar segment 0.05 2 0.10 2 0.10 Threats Scarcity of raw material 0.07 4 0.28 Illicit cigarettes 0.07 2 0.14 Levy of heavy taxes and duties 0.06 2 0.12 New products like vape and e-cigarettes are selling which can substitute tobacco cigarettes 0.04 3 0.12 “Prohibition of Smoking and Protection of Non-Smokers Health” Ordinance 2002 0.04 Controversy over Tobacco Support Price (Possible Hike) 0.06 3 0.18 Tax Evading Sector 0.05 3 0.15 Framework Convention on Tobacco Control (FCTC) 0.04 TV Ads Banned 0.02 3 0.06 Anti-Smoking Ordinance 0.06 Local Firms Gaining Share and Experience 0.06 4 0.24 Smuggling and low priced counterfeit 0.06 1 0.06 Tobacco Free Initiative in Pakistan 0.05 Increase cost to grow tobacco in northern areas 0.06 4 0.20 Increased operation cost in industry 0.05 1 0.05 Coutierfiet products 0.05 Tobacco substitutes like e-cigrates gaining popularity 0.05 Total 1.00 2.55 2.44
  • 38. FINANCIAL OBJECTIVES • To increase and maintain the market share of the company to 44-45% for the next 3 years • To increase the annual sales by 8% • To reduce the cost of sales by 12% • To increase the debt to equity ratio to at least 1:2
  • 39. STRATEGIC OBJECTIVE • To make the production and supply chain more efficient by integrating backwards • To Reduce product prices • To reduce tax expenses • To diversify products and target new segments