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Rethinking Pakistan
Muhammad Asad Ali
asad6281@gmail.com
Why rethink Pakistan
Why rethink Pakistan
Political Analysis
Citizen’s welfare
Driving force of all policies
Lovely armada’s
Country for its citizens
Troubled Border’s
Economic Analysis
Underperforming Economy
 Sri-lanka
 Bangladesh
 Ethiopia
 Mozambique
Source : World Bank Ranking 2014
 Zambia
 Ghana
 Nigeria
 Malawi
Social Analysis
 Equality of opportunity
 Per capita income
 Mortality rate
Source : Economy of Tomorrow : Case Study of Pakistan By: Dr. Hafiz A Pasha April 2014
Technological Analysis
 IT Industry contributes 0.9%
 Obsolete manufacturing strategy
 30 million people have access to internet
Legal Analysis
 Subsidiary of 27% to International Investors
 Subsidiary of 17% to National Investors
Source : Federal Budget 2014-15, Ministry of Finance
Environmental Analysis
 The effect of climate change
 Impact of CO2 emissions on global warming
 Sustainable energy
Impact of Energy Crisis
Electrification Rate : 56%
Supply Shortfall : 1100 – 5000 MW
Power Outage /day : 8 – 16 hours / day
Impact / Year
Total cost of load shedding to the economy 2.5 Billion USD
Cost as percentage of GDP 2% decrease
Loss of employment in the economy 400,000 Jobs
Loss of exports 1 Billion USD
Source : State of the Economy - Emerging from Crisis, Beacon house National University Publication
Source : EIA, U.S Energy Information Administration 2012
Thar Coal Potential
Thar Desert contains the world’s 7th largest coal reserves:
175 Billion Tons = 50 Billion TOE = 2000 TCF
Total Thar coal reserve More than KSA & Iran Oil Reserves 68 times higher than
Pakistan’s total gas reserves
1% = 25%
Thar coal reserve Pakistan’s Power
Generation Capacity
Source:: GSP data/report – Energy equivalent is based on Shenhua report/RWE
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
Wind RFO Thar Coal LNG Hydel
“We see oil and gas as being part of the energy portfolio of the United States.
Without it we essentially would have an economy that would shut down”.
U.S Interior Secretary Mr. Ken Salazar
The Wall Street Journal, May 19, 2010
Country
Power generated
from Coal (%)
Australia 80
China 78
India 73
USA 50
Germany 47
UK 30
World
Average
42
Pakistan 1
Source : 1) State of Industries Report 2014, NEPRA 2) Integrated Energy Plan
36%
29%
29%
5%
1%
Electricity Generation 2014
Oil Gas Water Nuclear Coal
Source : EIA, U.S Energy Information Administration 2012

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Presentation1

  • 1. Rethinking Pakistan Muhammad Asad Ali asad6281@gmail.com
  • 2. Why rethink Pakistan Why rethink Pakistan
  • 3. Political Analysis Citizen’s welfare Driving force of all policies Lovely armada’s Country for its citizens
  • 5. Economic Analysis Underperforming Economy  Sri-lanka  Bangladesh  Ethiopia  Mozambique Source : World Bank Ranking 2014  Zambia  Ghana  Nigeria  Malawi
  • 6. Social Analysis  Equality of opportunity  Per capita income  Mortality rate Source : Economy of Tomorrow : Case Study of Pakistan By: Dr. Hafiz A Pasha April 2014
  • 7. Technological Analysis  IT Industry contributes 0.9%  Obsolete manufacturing strategy  30 million people have access to internet
  • 8. Legal Analysis  Subsidiary of 27% to International Investors  Subsidiary of 17% to National Investors Source : Federal Budget 2014-15, Ministry of Finance
  • 9. Environmental Analysis  The effect of climate change  Impact of CO2 emissions on global warming  Sustainable energy
  • 10. Impact of Energy Crisis Electrification Rate : 56% Supply Shortfall : 1100 – 5000 MW Power Outage /day : 8 – 16 hours / day Impact / Year Total cost of load shedding to the economy 2.5 Billion USD Cost as percentage of GDP 2% decrease Loss of employment in the economy 400,000 Jobs Loss of exports 1 Billion USD Source : State of the Economy - Emerging from Crisis, Beacon house National University Publication
  • 11. Source : EIA, U.S Energy Information Administration 2012
  • 12. Thar Coal Potential Thar Desert contains the world’s 7th largest coal reserves: 175 Billion Tons = 50 Billion TOE = 2000 TCF Total Thar coal reserve More than KSA & Iran Oil Reserves 68 times higher than Pakistan’s total gas reserves 1% = 25% Thar coal reserve Pakistan’s Power Generation Capacity Source:: GSP data/report – Energy equivalent is based on Shenhua report/RWE
  • 13. 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 Wind RFO Thar Coal LNG Hydel “We see oil and gas as being part of the energy portfolio of the United States. Without it we essentially would have an economy that would shut down”. U.S Interior Secretary Mr. Ken Salazar The Wall Street Journal, May 19, 2010
  • 14. Country Power generated from Coal (%) Australia 80 China 78 India 73 USA 50 Germany 47 UK 30 World Average 42 Pakistan 1 Source : 1) State of Industries Report 2014, NEPRA 2) Integrated Energy Plan 36% 29% 29% 5% 1% Electricity Generation 2014 Oil Gas Water Nuclear Coal
  • 15. Source : EIA, U.S Energy Information Administration 2012