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PREPAID  ELECTRICITY  REVENUE  MANAGEMENT	
Using technology and innovation to reduce prepaid
meter tampering	
  
1
A. Mutono	
MSC  MOTI          	
30  August  2011
Acknowledgements	
•  Academic supervisor: Prof R. Marcus
•  Field Supervisor: Dr. P Naidoo
•  Reading Committee:
Y. Kidane – Ntlangani Business solutions
D Mukasa – Systems Engineer
S. Twinoburyo – University of Pretoria
G. Kyama – Human Science Research Council
J. Mammadalizade – University of Pretoria
•  Family members: A. Mutono and K. Mutono
2
Why  the  study	
•  Involved in the industry
•  Theft of electricity is a growing phenomenon.
•  highlight and separate electricity revenue
collection as a key component
•  Debunk the legacy perception that electricity is
about engineers and electricians.
•  Alternative Cost recovery models
•  Impact on Socio and economic standards of
middle to lower income families of South Africa
3
Statement  of  the  problem  and  Background	
Electricity utilities in South Africa are faced with the problems of
meter tampering which causes financial losses, fatalities and
injuries, denial of services and high maintenance costs both to
the service providers and the public in general.
•  Government sources estimate meter tampering to be costing
the industry at least R625 million annually. Source: Minister of
Energy Dipuo Peters July 2010
•  Coetzee (2008) estimates the financial loss at 58% of total
revenue.
Brand (2005) Heusden (2009: 238) advance that the introduction
of prepayment meters in South Africa led to a rise in tamper
rates.
4
Prepaid  Meter  Installations  in  Africa	
5
Region	
   Number  of  Prepayment  meters  installed	
  
South  Africa	
   6,300,000	
  
Rest  of  Africa	
   2,000,000	
  
Source: Rebecca Ghanadan (2009)
Key factors that led to the growth of Prepaid Electricity in South
Africa
•  Abundant supply of electricity in the 1980s
•  Use of electricity as tool for social and economic emancipation
•  Need for an alternative cost recovery model.
•  Eskom’s coalition of innovators; system developers, standards,
procurement.
•  RDP and Growing urbanisation after 1994.
•  Demand management - Need for customers to manage the
consumption of electricity
Meter  tampering	
Tampering of electricity meters is any action by customers to
adjust or by pass their meters so that they can use electricity
without paying for it.
Self or hire technicians to tamper.
Some of the ways tampering is done;
•  sugar and water
•  Insert pins into the meter
•  Cable bypass
•  Uninstall the meter;
6
Related  Studies	
Scholars have conducted studies on electricity theft but
not particularly on prepaid electricity meter tampering;
Mouton (2004) proposes a remote check meter device
that is able to remotely check the status and consumption
of the meters without entering the residency.
Hearn (2006) suggests that the sale of prepaid electricity
should be conducted online via internet, which will remove
weaknesses of the currently used prepaid electricity
vending systems.
Subramoney (2009) advocates the need for the industry to
adopt a standard interface protocol specification to
facilitate prepaid sales from a centralised server.
7
Empirical  Context  of  the  study	
This study addresses a combination of everyday issues;
•  revenue management,
•  customer relationship management,
•  accounts management,
•  consumer behaviour and,
•  the overall social and economic environment.
The study is of interest to the following;
•  Electricity utility companies
•  Policy makers and Public officials
•  Electricity customers
•  Academics
•  Prepaid systems and solution providers
8
Objectives  of  the  study	
•  To describe the environment within which meter
tampering is taking place and efforts by utilities to
combat the tampering;
•  To explain the negative effects and consequences of
meter tampering;
•  To predict potential consequences if tampering is not
combated
•  To provide solutions which have the potential to reduce
meter tampering and improve revenue collection for
prepaid electricity service providers.
•  To highlight the importance of electricity to human
progress
•  To set the scene for further research in this area
9
Research  Approach	
Case study: Centlec
Data and information gathering techniques;
Primary data
•  Survey Questionnaires. 40 customers. Random sampling
•  Interviews with Centlec members of Staff. Interview guide to
two members sampled from the following departments;
Finance, Meter inspections, Sales systems, Engineering,
Customer care, Executive management, Mangaung Local
Municipality and Prepaid systems service provider.
•  Interviews the two Eskom Managers based in Bloemfontein
•  Observation
Secondary Data
Published literature on the prepaid sector
Journals
Media reports
10
About  Centlec	
11
Est. 2002 by Mangaung
Local Municipality
Customer base
•  200,000 residences
•  4400 businesses
•  19 towns
•  Jan - June 2009, 33,445
prepaid customers did
not purchase electricity
credits – R33 m lost
•  Executive Report to the
board blames meter
tampering
Key  Survey  findings	
12
Response	
   Percent	
  
Yes	
   75	
  
No	
   25	
  
Total	
   100	
  
Whether customers know of anyone who has tampered their meter
Response	
   Percent	
  
Yes	
   35	
  
No	
   65	
  
Total	
   100	
  
Customers’ view on whether their prepaid purchases are a fair reflection of their consumption
levels
13
Response	
   Percent  	
  
Yes	
   40	
  
No	
   60	
  
Total	
   100  	
  
Customers said they were happy with the Prepaid electricity service
Response	
   Percent	
  
Yes	
   35	
  
No	
   65	
  
Total	
   100	
  
Whether they would desire to change from a prepaid meter to a credit meter
Key  study  findings	
•  Un stable electricity tariffs : Annual rises of between 25
to 30% since 2008
•  Unit rates for electricity differ at certain points of sale: at
the Municipality a unit is 0.82 while at some supermarkets
the same unit costs R1.80
•  Centlec reports a prepaid customer base of 158,000
customers and yet the transaction database only has
144,469 active customers.
•  The customer database features missing fields, in some
cases, there was only a meter number without the user’s
details
14
Recommendations:  Frame  work  to  reduce  meter  
tampering  and  improve  revenue  collections	
15
Implement  Advanced  Metering  Infrastructure
Funding smart meter installations through private sector investment
16
Centlec  Revenue  Potential	
Item  Description	
   Unit	
   Total	
  
Total  Revenue  from  Prepayment  Electricity  Sales  Dec  2008	
     	
   R12,000,000	
  
Total  Number  of  prepayment  customers	
     	
   144,000	
  
Key  Revenue  Indicators	
  
Domestic  customer  tariff  as  at  1  Dec  2008	
     	
   R0.53  	
  
Average  monthly  sales  per  customer	
     	
   R85.71  	
  
Average  kwh    consumption  per  prepayment  customer	
   KWh	
   161.73	
  
Eskom  Estimate  for  prepayment  customer  usage*	
   KWh	
   350	
  
Expected  average  purchases  per  single  Centlec  customer	
     	
   R185.50  	
  
Potential  Revenue	
  
Total  Monthly  Revenue  collections	
     	
   R25,970,000	
  
Installation  of  intelligent  solution	
  
Potential  revenue  improvement  after  eliminating  losses	
     	
   R13,970,000  	
  
Short  messaging  Service  (SMS):  Implementing  an  integrated  
approach  to  Customer  relationship  management
17
Extending the Vending foot print: Introducing a
virtual token
18
Creating a frame work for operational efficiency at
Centlec
19
Technology	
  
Customer	
  service	
  
Customer	
  sa4sfac4on	
  
P r e p a i d	
   E l e c t r i c i t y	
  
Revenue	
  
E c o n o m i c	
  
situa4on	
  
E l e c t r i c i t y	
  
Tariffs	
  
Token	
  Purchases	
  
Leadership	
  
and	
  
management	
  
20
• Annual  Prepaid  sales    R  144  million	
• Customers  with  no  transactions  32976	
• High  levels  of  meter  tampering	
• Limited  points  of  sale	
• High  tariffs	
• Lack  of  investment  funds	
• Poor  customer  records	
• Poor  revenue  management	
Current  state	
• Installation  of  smart  meters	
• Customer  audit	
• Extend  point  of  sale  network	
• Real  time  revenue  management	
• Introduce  Social  tariff	
• Customer  feedback  management	
Value  
Intervention	
• Annual  Prepaid  sales  of  R300  million	
• Stable  tariffs	
• Customers  become  managers	
• Fraud  elimination  and  loss  reduction	
•   New  integrated  model  of  utility  
management	
Realised  
State	
Impact of the operational efficiency model on
Centlec
Recommendations for further study
•  Further study on the transformational aspects of
prepayment electricity provision.
•  Review the impact of deregulation, customer options
and co generation.
•  To investigate alternative cost recovery models like the
cooperative model implemented by TVA
21
Takeaway	
22
The study reveals a broad over view of the prepaid
electricity sector in South Africa, offering insights into
the dynamics affecting prepaid development and
sustainability.
Particularly it shows the challenges faced by
government and other institutions in delivering services
in a highly contested space influenced by economics
and politics.
As an entrepreneur it amplifies the sense of urgency
and provides the agency to take part in efforts to
design and implement systems, and solutions that add
value and reduce the cost of delivering electricity
services in Africa.
Thank  you	
23

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PREPAID ELECTRICITY REVENUE MANAGEMENT oral defense

  • 1. PREPAID  ELECTRICITY  REVENUE  MANAGEMENT Using technology and innovation to reduce prepaid meter tampering   1 A. Mutono MSC  MOTI           30  August  2011
  • 2. Acknowledgements •  Academic supervisor: Prof R. Marcus •  Field Supervisor: Dr. P Naidoo •  Reading Committee: Y. Kidane – Ntlangani Business solutions D Mukasa – Systems Engineer S. Twinoburyo – University of Pretoria G. Kyama – Human Science Research Council J. Mammadalizade – University of Pretoria •  Family members: A. Mutono and K. Mutono 2
  • 3. Why  the  study •  Involved in the industry •  Theft of electricity is a growing phenomenon. •  highlight and separate electricity revenue collection as a key component •  Debunk the legacy perception that electricity is about engineers and electricians. •  Alternative Cost recovery models •  Impact on Socio and economic standards of middle to lower income families of South Africa 3
  • 4. Statement  of  the  problem  and  Background Electricity utilities in South Africa are faced with the problems of meter tampering which causes financial losses, fatalities and injuries, denial of services and high maintenance costs both to the service providers and the public in general. •  Government sources estimate meter tampering to be costing the industry at least R625 million annually. Source: Minister of Energy Dipuo Peters July 2010 •  Coetzee (2008) estimates the financial loss at 58% of total revenue. Brand (2005) Heusden (2009: 238) advance that the introduction of prepayment meters in South Africa led to a rise in tamper rates. 4
  • 5. Prepaid  Meter  Installations  in  Africa 5 Region   Number  of  Prepayment  meters  installed   South  Africa   6,300,000   Rest  of  Africa   2,000,000   Source: Rebecca Ghanadan (2009) Key factors that led to the growth of Prepaid Electricity in South Africa •  Abundant supply of electricity in the 1980s •  Use of electricity as tool for social and economic emancipation •  Need for an alternative cost recovery model. •  Eskom’s coalition of innovators; system developers, standards, procurement. •  RDP and Growing urbanisation after 1994. •  Demand management - Need for customers to manage the consumption of electricity
  • 6. Meter  tampering Tampering of electricity meters is any action by customers to adjust or by pass their meters so that they can use electricity without paying for it. Self or hire technicians to tamper. Some of the ways tampering is done; •  sugar and water •  Insert pins into the meter •  Cable bypass •  Uninstall the meter; 6
  • 7. Related  Studies Scholars have conducted studies on electricity theft but not particularly on prepaid electricity meter tampering; Mouton (2004) proposes a remote check meter device that is able to remotely check the status and consumption of the meters without entering the residency. Hearn (2006) suggests that the sale of prepaid electricity should be conducted online via internet, which will remove weaknesses of the currently used prepaid electricity vending systems. Subramoney (2009) advocates the need for the industry to adopt a standard interface protocol specification to facilitate prepaid sales from a centralised server. 7
  • 8. Empirical  Context  of  the  study This study addresses a combination of everyday issues; •  revenue management, •  customer relationship management, •  accounts management, •  consumer behaviour and, •  the overall social and economic environment. The study is of interest to the following; •  Electricity utility companies •  Policy makers and Public officials •  Electricity customers •  Academics •  Prepaid systems and solution providers 8
  • 9. Objectives  of  the  study •  To describe the environment within which meter tampering is taking place and efforts by utilities to combat the tampering; •  To explain the negative effects and consequences of meter tampering; •  To predict potential consequences if tampering is not combated •  To provide solutions which have the potential to reduce meter tampering and improve revenue collection for prepaid electricity service providers. •  To highlight the importance of electricity to human progress •  To set the scene for further research in this area 9
  • 10. Research  Approach Case study: Centlec Data and information gathering techniques; Primary data •  Survey Questionnaires. 40 customers. Random sampling •  Interviews with Centlec members of Staff. Interview guide to two members sampled from the following departments; Finance, Meter inspections, Sales systems, Engineering, Customer care, Executive management, Mangaung Local Municipality and Prepaid systems service provider. •  Interviews the two Eskom Managers based in Bloemfontein •  Observation Secondary Data Published literature on the prepaid sector Journals Media reports 10
  • 11. About  Centlec 11 Est. 2002 by Mangaung Local Municipality Customer base •  200,000 residences •  4400 businesses •  19 towns •  Jan - June 2009, 33,445 prepaid customers did not purchase electricity credits – R33 m lost •  Executive Report to the board blames meter tampering
  • 12. Key  Survey  findings 12 Response   Percent   Yes   75   No   25   Total   100   Whether customers know of anyone who has tampered their meter Response   Percent   Yes   35   No   65   Total   100   Customers’ view on whether their prepaid purchases are a fair reflection of their consumption levels
  • 13. 13 Response   Percent     Yes   40   No   60   Total   100     Customers said they were happy with the Prepaid electricity service Response   Percent   Yes   35   No   65   Total   100   Whether they would desire to change from a prepaid meter to a credit meter
  • 14. Key  study  findings •  Un stable electricity tariffs : Annual rises of between 25 to 30% since 2008 •  Unit rates for electricity differ at certain points of sale: at the Municipality a unit is 0.82 while at some supermarkets the same unit costs R1.80 •  Centlec reports a prepaid customer base of 158,000 customers and yet the transaction database only has 144,469 active customers. •  The customer database features missing fields, in some cases, there was only a meter number without the user’s details 14
  • 15. Recommendations:  Frame  work  to  reduce  meter   tampering  and  improve  revenue  collections 15 Implement  Advanced  Metering  Infrastructure
  • 16. Funding smart meter installations through private sector investment 16 Centlec  Revenue  Potential Item  Description   Unit   Total   Total  Revenue  from  Prepayment  Electricity  Sales  Dec  2008       R12,000,000   Total  Number  of  prepayment  customers       144,000   Key  Revenue  Indicators   Domestic  customer  tariff  as  at  1  Dec  2008       R0.53     Average  monthly  sales  per  customer       R85.71     Average  kwh    consumption  per  prepayment  customer   KWh   161.73   Eskom  Estimate  for  prepayment  customer  usage*   KWh   350   Expected  average  purchases  per  single  Centlec  customer       R185.50     Potential  Revenue   Total  Monthly  Revenue  collections       R25,970,000   Installation  of  intelligent  solution   Potential  revenue  improvement  after  eliminating  losses       R13,970,000    
  • 17. Short  messaging  Service  (SMS):  Implementing  an  integrated   approach  to  Customer  relationship  management 17
  • 18. Extending the Vending foot print: Introducing a virtual token 18
  • 19. Creating a frame work for operational efficiency at Centlec 19 Technology   Customer  service   Customer  sa4sfac4on   P r e p a i d   E l e c t r i c i t y   Revenue   E c o n o m i c   situa4on   E l e c t r i c i t y   Tariffs   Token  Purchases   Leadership   and   management  
  • 20. 20 • Annual  Prepaid  sales    R  144  million • Customers  with  no  transactions  32976 • High  levels  of  meter  tampering • Limited  points  of  sale • High  tariffs • Lack  of  investment  funds • Poor  customer  records • Poor  revenue  management Current  state • Installation  of  smart  meters • Customer  audit • Extend  point  of  sale  network • Real  time  revenue  management • Introduce  Social  tariff • Customer  feedback  management Value   Intervention • Annual  Prepaid  sales  of  R300  million • Stable  tariffs • Customers  become  managers • Fraud  elimination  and  loss  reduction •   New  integrated  model  of  utility   management Realised   State Impact of the operational efficiency model on Centlec
  • 21. Recommendations for further study •  Further study on the transformational aspects of prepayment electricity provision. •  Review the impact of deregulation, customer options and co generation. •  To investigate alternative cost recovery models like the cooperative model implemented by TVA 21
  • 22. Takeaway 22 The study reveals a broad over view of the prepaid electricity sector in South Africa, offering insights into the dynamics affecting prepaid development and sustainability. Particularly it shows the challenges faced by government and other institutions in delivering services in a highly contested space influenced by economics and politics. As an entrepreneur it amplifies the sense of urgency and provides the agency to take part in efforts to design and implement systems, and solutions that add value and reduce the cost of delivering electricity services in Africa.