VIDEO: https://bit.ly/2IlKDBx TRANSCRIPT: https://bit.ly/2XCZS0f Some of the principles of warfare are ancient, others are new, but all described in The New Rules of War will permanently shape war now and in the future. By following them Sean McFate argues, we can prevail. But if we do not, terrorists, rogue states, and others who do not fight conventionally will succeed—and rule the world. Dr. Sean McFate is an author, novelist and expert in foreign policy and national security strategy. He is a professor of strategy at the National Defense University and Georgetown University’s School of Foreign Service. His newest book, The New Rules of War: Victory in the Age of Durable Disorder, will be released on January 22, 2019. Recently, he was a Visiting Scholar at Oxford University’s Changing Character of War Program. He was also a think tank scholar at the RAND Corporation, Atlantic Council, Bipartisan Policy Center, and New America Foundation. McFate’s career began as a paratrooper and officer in the U.S. Army’s storied 82nd Airborne Division. He served under Stanley McChrystal and David Petraeus, and graduated from elite training programs, such as Jungle Warfare School in Panama. He was also a Jump Master. Then McFate became a private military contractor in Africa. Among his many experiences, he dealt with warlords, raised small armies, worked with armed groups in the Sahara, transacted arms deals in Eastern Europe, and helped prevent an impending genocide in the Rwanda region. McFate co-wrote the novels Shadow War and Deep Black, part of the Tom Locke series based on his military experiences. New York Times #1 bestselling author Mark Greaney said: “I was blown away…. simply one of the most entertaining and intriguing books I’ve read in quite some time.” He also authored the non-fiction book The Modern Mercenary: Private Armies and What They Mean for World Order, which explains how the privatization of war is changing world order in the 21st century. The Economist called it a “fascinating and disturbing book.” For another perspective on the future of warfare, see Bill Gertz’s Westminster talk, iWar: War And Peace In The Information Age.

1. The New Rules of War
WHY DON’T WE WIN
MORE WARS?
Forget what you know—wars of the future
will look nothing like the past.
ON SALE 1.22.19
Sean McFate, PhD
Associate Professor, National Defense University
Adjunct Professor, Georgetown University's
School of Foreign Service
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5. What are today’s biggest threats?
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7. These threats are bad
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8. These threats are bad
but they are not the worst
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9. Durable Disorder
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10. The Westphalian order of states is disrupted and being
replaced by “Durable Disorder”
Durable Disorder contains rather than solves problems
World will not collapse in anarchy but simmer in
persistent conflict and entropy
Durable Disorder is a systemic threat
Not new
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12. The Italian Wars (1494-1559)
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13. ➡ 50% of peace agreements fail in 5 years
➡ Majority of countries are “fragile” or “failed”
➡ Number of armed conflicts has doubled since WWII
➡ Half the world’s countries are experiencing some form of armed
conflict
➡ Armed conflicts today rarely end but smolder in “Forever Wars”
➡ Return of mercenaries
➡ The “rules-based order” is being replaced by something more organic
and wild: Durable Disorder
Signs of Durable Disorder Today
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14. Those who exploit durable disorder will prevail
Those who do not will be exploited
U.S. Foreign Policy?
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15. New kind of world order
New kind of warfare
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16. Why does everyone assume a war with China or Russia
will be conventional?
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17. It won’t. Conventional war is dead.
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18. Rule 1: Conventional war is dead.
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19. Are we already at war with Russia and/or China?
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20. Durable Disorder is the new environment for war
We're not set up to fight in this environment
Our habits and systems refuse to recognize that
reality – or adapt to it
We buy, train, deploy, and fight according to rules
that don't apply anymore – and then are frustrated
by the outcome
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21. What does war look like in Durable Disorder?
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22. War is getting Sneakier
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23. Victory will belong to the
cunning
not the strong
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25. War has moved on
and we must move on too
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26. War as we imagine it.
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28. War as it is.
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30. Strategic Atrophy
and why we struggle
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31. Even an undefeated military
can lose a war
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32. We must learn how to win in an age of durable disorder
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33. Rule 1: Conventional War is Dead
Rule 2: Technology Will Not Save Us
Rule 3: There Is No Such Thing as War or Peace
— both co-exist, always
Rule 4: Hearts and Minds Do Not Matter
Rule 5: The Best Weapons Do Not Fire Bullets
Rule 6: Mercenaries Will Return
Rule 7: New Types of World Powers Will Rule
Rule 8: There Will Be Wars Without States
Rule 9: Shadow Wars Will Dominate
Rule 10: Victory is Fungible
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34. Website: www.seanmcfate.com
Email: inquire@seanmcfate.com
Twitter: @seanmcfate
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