The data released from US yesterday showed that the Philly Fed manufacturing index in July hit -2.9,a stark divergence from the 5.1 estimate The data released from Japan showed that the FlashManufacturing PMI came at 49.0 against 48.1 in June.
5. MCX - WEEKLY NEWS LETTERS
GLOBAL UPDATE✍
The data released from US yesterday showed that the Philly Fed manufacturing index in July hit -2.9,
a stark divergence from the 5.1 estimate The data released from Japan showed that the Flash
Manufacturing PMI came at 49.0 against 48.1 in June.
Friday's U.S. manufacturing PMI numbers reflected the trend; the employment index hit the highest
since July last year.
U.S. drillers this week added oil rigs for a fourth consecutive week, according to a closely followed
report on Friday, with the recent return to the well pad expected to soften the decline in domestic
crude production.
BULLION✍
Gold rebounded from a three-week low after Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda’s dismissed the
use of so-called helicopter money as stimulus, pushing stocks lower and spurring demand for a haven.
Prices recovered towards $1333.9/ounce yesterday to end the session higher by 1.20 %. In today’s session
prices are trading nearly flat at $ 1327/ounce. Prices however are still down for the second consecutive
week The ECB held rates at record lows as it seeks to revive growth and inflation with cheap credit to the
economy. It left the door open to more policy stimulus, highlighting "great" uncertainty and abundant
risks to the economic outlook.reflecting tension between a global backdrop of easier interest rates and the
chance of U.S. monetary policy being tightened before the end of the year. Bullion has benefited
significantly - hitting its highest in two years this month - as central banks from Europe to Japan keep
policy looser for longer, which neutralizes the opportunity cost of holding an asset that does not pay
interest. But the dollar has gained on strong U.S. data, boosting bets the Fed will raise U.S. rates by year-
end. Friday's U.S. manufacturing PMI numbers reflected the trend; the employment index hit the highest
since July last year. The European Central Bank, meanwhile, held rates at record lows on Thursday but
left the door open to more policy stimulus. In U.S. politics, Donald Trump accepted the Republican
presidential nomination and vowed to be tough on crime and illegal immigrants in a speech on Thursday
BASE METAL✍
A stronger dollar knocked industrial metals prices on Friday while nickel was also hit as some investors
locked in profits from a recent rally. Aluminium bucked the weaker trend and ticked higher as industrial
consumers took advantage of recent declines to make purchases. A firmer dollar weighs on commodities
priced in the U.S. currency, making them more expensive for buyers using other currencies. Nickel has
been the top performer on the LME since June 1, surging 23 percent, boosted by concerns the Philippines
will intensify a crackdown on mining companies that do not meet environmental standards, potentially
putting at risk supply from the worlds' top exporter of nickel ore.Copper stocks for the same moved up
around 0.20%, while the cancelled warrants declined by more than a percent, which was negative for
prices China's exports of unwrought copper including copper alloy products stood at 42,615 tonnes in
June, nearly trebling from the same month a year earlier, Chinese customs data showed on Thursday
6. Exports for the first six months of 2016 were up 65.1 percent at 205,809 tonnes, the data showed.Nickel
stocks and cancelled warrants declined by around 0.50% and 0.90% respectively With adding up of new
miners list for mine closure in Philippine’s due to environmental issues, the same is enjoying support,
anticipating lower production figures and declined exports to China Imports of refined nickel, used in
stainless steel, surged 120 percent to 229,600 metric tons, including 37,013 tons in June, according to
Chinese customs data
ENERGY✍
Oil prices settled lower on Friday, losing 4 percent on the week, after the fourth weekly rise in the U.S. oil
rig count added to worries about a global crude glut. Aug contract MCX crude oil also went down by
around 2%, ending the session at Rs.3038/bbl.Crude futures were already down, with Brent at two-month
lows, on fears of more Iraqi supply before a report by energy services firm Baker Hughes showed U.S. oil
drillers added 14 rigs this week to bring the total rig count to 371. Earlier this week, the U.S. government
reported that domestic crude inventories were at 519.5 million barrels last week, historically high for this
time of year, even after a ninth straight week of drawdowns. On Thursday, traders said market intelligence
firm Genscape reported a build of 725,176 barrels in the latest week at the Cushing, Oklahoma delivery
point for U.S. crude futures. Falling oil prices have encouraged traders to send U.S. supplies to Europe,
counterbalancing 700,000 barrels per day in lost Nigerian supply. U.S., European and Asian oil product
stocks rose 2.35 million barrels last week for a second week of growth
Natural gas futures on Friday climbed to a two-week high on forecasts the hottest
weather of the year will blanket much of the country and on smaller-than-expected storage injections. The
gains put the front-month higher for the first week in three. Out West, Southern California Gas issued its
second notice this summer that it could be forced to curtail gas supplies to power generators if squeezed
by too much electricity demand from consumers cranking up air conditioners to escape the heat wave. The
U.S. Energy Information Administration said utilities added 34 billion cubic feet of gas into storage
during the week ended July 15, which was less than the 39 bcf analysts' consensus forecast in a Reuters
poll.
NCDEX - WEEKLY NEWS LETTERS
Crop planting has jumped 23.8 % in the past one week, helped by heavy rains during the period, with
the current overall planting stands 3.28% higher than last year at 692.98 lakh hectare, official data
showed. The increase was largely seen in acreage of rice, pulses and coarse cereals. Water levels in
reservoirs have also risen significantly in the past month, providing more water for irrigation which is
good news for farmers. As of July 21, the water available in the 91 important.the water available in
the 91 important reservoirs was 54.419 billion cubic metres, which was higher than the 10-year
average of 52.050 bcm, according to data from the Central Water Commission. Rice currently covers
an area of 183.06 lakh hectare, an increase of 47.7% from last week. The acreage has largely seen an
increase in Maharashtra, Assam, Chhattisgarh and Punjab. This kharif season rice will be planted on
392.81 lakh hectare. Similarly, the area under pulses acreage rose to 26.9% from the past week, and
39.39% over the previous year in the same period to 90.17 lakh hectare. Planting of arhar has
increased more than 53% from last year. Higher planting was recorded in Maharashtra, Rajasthan and
Karnataka whereas Odisha, Uttar Pradesh and Jharkhand had lower area under cultivation. Area under
7. coarse cereals which includes maize, bajra, ragi, and small millets posted an increase of 23.4% in the
past one week to touch 130.80 lakh hectares
kapas prices fell by more than 7% within a fortnight, the National Commodities and Derivatives
Exchange (NCDEX) has imposed special margin money of 5% on short side of all running Kapas
contracts from Tuesday (March 22) onward. exchange has taken this move to stop any further
downfall in kapas prices. "From a high of Rs 803.5/20 kg on March 7, kapas prices hit a low of Rs
741.5/20 kg on March 21. The special margin will help to curb the downfall in prices,"From a high of
Rs 803.5/20 kg on March 7, kapas prices hit a low of Rs 741.5/20 kg on March 21. The special
margin will help to curb the downfall in prices,
TURMERIC✍
At Nizamabad market, finger traded at Rs.8550/ql and bulb traded at Rs.8100/ql with arrivals at 1500
bags while at Erode, finger traded at Rs.8900-9100/ql and bulb traded at Rs.8400-8600/ql, with arrivals at
2500 bags, lower by 1700 bags Good demand at spot market due to fresh upcountry orders and
availability of good quality turmeric supported the gains. Sowing progress as on 20th July 2016 is at
30068 hectares in Telangana, lower by 4% compared to previous year sowing of 31279 hectares.
JEERA✍
At the Unjha market in Mehsana, jeera spot prices have increased and traded at Rs.19600/quintal.Total Jeera
arrivals at the Unjha spot market reported around 3000 bags. Stock positions at the NCDEX accredited
warehouses are 4952 tonnes and 234 MT are in process as on July 20, 2016.
✍ MAIZERABI
As Ukraine is the only country which can fulfill the requirement of non GMO corn and country’s production
may decline for the season which may affect the Indian imports of 5 lakh MTs corn.Total arrivals reported
around 1,230 MT at key markets in Karnataka, whereas spot price quoted at Rs. 1,665/quintal in Davengere
market. The international futures extended its losses during last trading session and at the end September
contract closed at 333.3 cents/bu, down by 1.41%.US Mid-West heat is likely to ease in early part of the August
and crops are pollinating now, so moisture demands are high and moderate temperatures are best for the crops, it
impacted negatively at futures market.As per news sources, China has sold 478,884 MT corn out of 3.2 million
MT on Thursday with an average price 1,541 Yuan/MT. And China‘s June corn imports drop to lowest in 4
months.
✍ GUARSEED
On spot front, total arrivals were reported around 130 MT at key markets in Haryana, whereas guar seed spot
price quoted at Rs. 3,700/quintal in Siwani market.Stock position of guar seed and guar gum at NCDEX
approved warehouses were reported 27,397 MT and 30,115 MT respectively as on 20 July 2016.
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