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2015 SME Survey Results
Kasper Brandt, John Rand, Smriti
Sharma, Finn Tarp, and Neda Trifkovic
Hanoi, 5 May, 2016
Chapter 2
Sampling and data
Sampling
•  SME	
  survey	
  2005,	
  2007,	
  2009,	
  2011,	
  2013	
  and	
  now	
  2015	
  
•  Ten	
  provinces	
  
•  Approximately	
  2,500	
  non-­‐state	
  manufacturing	
  enterprises	
  each	
  
year.	
  
•  Four	
  quesIonnaires:	
  
•  Main	
  (firm	
  level),	
  Employee	
  (sub-­‐sample),	
  Economic	
  accounts	
  and	
  
Exit	
  
•  The	
  report	
  provides	
  descripIve	
  staIsIcs	
  and	
  analysis	
  of	
  key	
  trends	
  
in	
  the	
  2015	
  data.	
  
•  Joint	
  effort	
  of	
  UNU-­‐WIDER,	
  CIEM,	
  DoE	
  (University	
  of	
  Copenhagen)	
  
and	
  ILSSA.	
  
Data (1)
	
   Interviewed	
  in	
  2015 Interviewed	
  in	
  2013
Ha	
  Noi	
   296 285
Phu	
  Tho 254 259
Ha	
  Tay 371 347
Hai	
  Phong 219 190
Nghe	
  An 340 347
Quang	
  Nam 171 167
Khanh	
  Hoa 99 90
Lam	
  Dong 92 88
HCMC 653 622
Long	
  An 133 136
Total 2,628 2,531
Note:	
  The	
  balanced	
  panel	
  includes	
  2,097	
  firm	
  observaLons	
  each	
  year.
Data (2)
•  72	
  percent	
  are	
  micro	
  
firms	
  (1-­‐9	
  full	
  Ime	
  
employees)	
  
•  ….	
  and	
  some	
  of	
  these	
  
are	
  informal.	
  
	
   Micro Small Medium Total Percent
Ha	
  Noi	
   166 111 19 296 (11.3)
(56.1) (37.5) (6.4) (100.0)
Phu	
  Tho 239 10 5 254 (9.7)
(94.1) (3.9) (2.0) (100.0)
Ha	
  Tay 274 80 17 371 (14.1)
(73.9) (21.6) (4.6) (100.0)
Hai	
  Phong 151 48 20 219 (8.3)
(68.9) (21.9) (9.1) (100.0)
Nghe	
  An 288 39 13 340 (12.9)
(84.7) (11.5) (3.8) (100.0)
Quang	
  Nam 146 20 5 171 (6.5)
(85.4) (11.7) (2.9) (100.0)
Khanh	
  Hoa 72 19 8 99 (3.8)
(72.7) (19.2) (8.1) (100.0)
Lam	
  Dong 69 20 3 92 (3.5)
(75.0) (21.7) (3.3) (100.0)
HCMC 377 207 69 653 (24.8)
(57.7) (31.7) (10.6) (100.0)
Long	
  An 106 22 5 133 (5.1)
	
   (79.7) (16.5) (3.8) (100.0)
Total 1,888 576 164 2,628 (100.0)
Percent (71.9) (21.9) (6.2) (100.0)
Note:	
  Figures	
  in	
  number	
  of	
  firms	
  and	
  for	
  each	
  locaLon	
  the	
  share	
  of	
  firms	
  in	
  each	
  size	
  category	
  (group	
  
percentages	
  in	
  parenthesis).	
  Micro:	
  1-­‐9	
  employees;	
  Small:	
  10-­‐49	
  employees;	
  Medium:	
  50-­‐299	
  employees	
  
(World	
  Bank	
  definiLon).
Chapter 3
SME growth and dynamics
The	
  link	
  to	
  formality	
  
Perceived Constraints
0	
  
5	
  
10	
  
15	
  
20	
  
25	
  
Shortage	
  of	
  capital/
credit	
  
Current	
  products	
  
have	
  limited	
  
demand	
  	
  	
  	
  
Too	
  much	
  
compeIIon	
  
Inadequate	
  
premises/land	
  
No	
  constraints	
  
•  The	
  Usual	
  Suspects:	
  (i)	
  Credit,	
  (ii)	
  Limited	
  Demand	
  and	
  (iii)	
  CompeIIon	
  
•  But	
  improvements	
  
•  Credit:	
  45%	
  in	
  2011,	
  30%	
  in	
  2013	
  and	
  24%	
  in	
  2015	
  
Firm Dynamics
•  Micro	
  likely	
  to	
  stay	
  
micro	
  
•  …	
  but	
  much	
  more	
  
formalizaIon	
  
•  …	
  but	
  has	
  not	
  yet	
  
materialized	
  in	
  
increases	
  in	
  
”graduaIon”	
  rates	
  
	
  
Micro	
  
15
Small	
  
15
Medium	
  
15 Total
Percen
t
Micro	
  13 1,408 103 2 1,513 (72.2)
(93.1) (6.8) (0.1) (100.0)
Small	
  13 90 345 35 470 (22.4)
(19.1) (73.4) (7.4) (100.0)
Medium	
  
13 1 23 90 114 (5.4)
(0.9) (20.2) (78.9) (100.0)
Total 1,499 471 127 2,097 (100.0)
Percent (71.5) (22.5) (6.1) (100.0) 	
  
Note:	
  Percentage	
  in	
  
parenthesis.
Employment Growth
•  Increase	
  in	
  total	
  
employment	
  of	
  5.2	
  per	
  
cent	
  over	
  the	
  two-­‐year	
  
period	
  2013-­‐15.	
  	
  
•  But	
  not	
  equally	
  
distributed	
  along	
  the	
  
firm	
  size	
  dimension	
  
•  Non-­‐HH	
  versus	
  HH	
  
•  Formal	
  versus	
  Informal	
  
HH	
  enterprise
Non-­‐HH
.75
1
1.25
1.5
Firm	
  Growth
5 10 30 100
Firm	
  size	
  (permanent	
  full-­‐time	
  employees)
HH	
  ent/Non-­‐HH
Informal
Formal
.75
1
1.25
1.5
Firm	
  Growth
5 10 30 100
Firm	
  size	
  (permanent	
  full-­‐time	
  employees)
kernel	
  =	
  epanechnikov,	
  degree	
  =	
  0,	
  bandwidth	
  =	
  .8,	
  pwidth	
  =	
  .6
Formal/Informal
Job Creation
•  Job	
  CreaIon	
  
•  The	
  Role	
  of	
  Informal	
  
Firms?	
  
•  IniIaIves	
  
Job	
  creaIon	
  by	
  firm	
  size	
  
Formal
Informal
-­‐3
-­‐2.5
-­‐2
-­‐1.5
-­‐1
-­‐.5
0
.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
Jobs	
  generated
5 10 30
Firm	
  size	
  (permanent	
  full-­‐time	
  employees)
Growth and Job Creation, by Rural/Urban
•  Job	
  creaIon	
  for	
  mid-­‐size	
  firms	
  
especially	
  in	
  rural	
  areas	
  
Urban
Rural
.75
1
1.25
Growth
5 10 30 100 300
Firm	
  size	
  (permanent	
  full-­‐time	
  employees)
Urban
Rural
-­‐.5
0
.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
5
Jobs	
  generated
5 10 30 100
Firm	
  size	
  (permanent	
  full-­‐time	
  employees)
Growth and Job Creation, by Sector
•  Job	
  creaIon	
  especially	
  within	
  
food	
  processing	
  
•  Effects	
  firm	
  size	
  dependent	
  
.75
1
1.25
1.5
1.75
Growth
5 10 30 100
Firm	
  size	
  (permanent	
  full-­‐time	
  employees)
Food	
  Processing
.75
1
1.25
1.5
1.75
Growth
5 10 30 100
Firm	
  size	
  (permanent	
  full-­‐time	
  employees)
Wood	
  Processing
.75
1
1.25
1.5
1.75
Growth
5 10 30 100
Firm	
  size	
  (permanent	
  full-­‐time	
  employees)
Fabricated	
  Metals
.75
1
1.25
1.5
1.75
Growth
5 10 30 100
Firm	
  size	
  (permanent	
  full-­‐time	
  employees)
Furniture
-­‐2
-­‐1.5
-­‐1
-­‐.5
0
.5
1
1.5
2
Jobs	
  generated
5 10 30
Firm	
  size	
  (permanent	
  full-­‐time	
  employees)
Food	
  Processing
-­‐2
-­‐1.5
-­‐1
-­‐.5
0
.5
1
1.5
2
Jobs	
  generated
5 10 30
Firm	
  size	
  (permanent	
  full-­‐time	
  employees)
Fabricated	
  Metals
Exit Probabilities, by Firm Size
•  Annual	
  exit	
  rate	
  of	
  8.2	
  
per	
  cent	
  (lower	
  than	
  
exit	
  rates	
  observed	
  
between	
  2009	
  and	
  
2013).	
  
•  Non-­‐HH	
  vs.	
  HH	
  
•  Formal	
  vs.	
  Informal	
  
HH	
  ent
Non-­‐HH
0
.05
.1
.15
.2
.25
.3
Exit	
  probability
5 10 30 100
Firm	
  size	
  (permanent	
  full-­‐time	
  employees)
HH	
  ent/Non-­‐HH
Formal
Informal
0
.05
.1
.15
.2
.25
.3
Exit	
  probability
5 10 30
Firm	
  size	
  (permanent	
  full-­‐time	
  employees)
Formal/Informal
Exit by Location and Sector
Urban
Rural
0
.05
.1
.15
.2
.25
.3
Exit	
  probability
5 10 30 100 300
Firm	
  size	
  (permanent	
  full-­‐time	
  employees)
0
.05
.1
.15
.2
.25
.3
Exit	
  probability
5 10 30 100
Firm	
  size	
  (permanent	
  full-­‐time	
  employees)
Food	
  Processing
0
.05
.1
.15
.2
.25
.3
Exit	
  probability
5 10 30 100
Firm	
  size	
  (permanent	
  full-­‐time	
  employees)
Wood	
  Processing
0
.05
.1
.15
.2
.25
.3
Exit	
  probability
5 10 30 100
Firm	
  size	
  (permanent	
  full-­‐time	
  employees)
Fabricated	
  Metals
0
.05
.1
.15
.2
.25
.3
Exit	
  probability
5 10 30 100
Firm	
  size	
  (permanent	
  full-­‐time	
  employees)
Furniture
Chapter 4
Informality and corruption
Reasons for remaining informal
•  Exclusion	
  view:	
  arduous	
  entry	
  regulaIons	
  prohibit	
  
small	
  firms	
  from	
  entering	
  the	
  formal	
  sector.	
  	
  
•  Exit	
  view:	
  decision	
  to	
  remain	
  informal	
  is	
  a	
  deliberate	
  
one.	
  Firm	
  owners	
  willing	
  to	
  forego	
  legal	
  recogniIon	
  
in	
  order	
  to	
  avoid	
  incurring	
  costs	
  and	
  taxes.	
  	
  
•  Empirical	
  studies	
  report	
  that	
  transiIoning	
  to	
  
formality	
  results	
  in	
  significant	
  and	
  large	
  benefits	
  for	
  
firms	
  in	
  terms	
  of	
  profitability,	
  investments,	
  and	
  
access	
  to	
  credit	
  (McKenzie	
  and	
  Sakho	
  2010;	
  Rand	
  
and	
  Torm	
  2012;	
  Sharma	
  2014).	
  
Distribution of firms by (in)formality
	
   2013 2015
	
   Per	
  cent Number Per	
  cent Number
Formal	
  (Total) 71.3 1,804 89.99 2,365
Formal	
  (Balanced) 70.5 1,479 97.09 2,036
•  Astronomical	
  increase	
  in	
  formality	
  between	
  2013	
  and	
  2015.	
  
•  May	
  be	
  explained	
  by	
  Law	
  on	
  Investment	
  and	
  Law	
  on	
  
Enterprises	
  passed	
  in	
  November	
  2014.	
  	
  
•  Over	
  90	
  percent	
  of	
  informal	
  firms	
  are	
  micro	
  firms,	
  in	
  both	
  
years.	
  	
  
	
  
Firm dynamics and formality
	
  	
   Firm	
  growth	
   Firm	
  exit	
  
	
  	
   Col.	
  1	
   Col.	
  2	
   Col.	
  3	
   Col.	
  4	
  
	
  	
   	
  	
   	
  	
   	
  	
   	
  	
  
Firm	
  size	
  	
   -­‐0.090***	
   -­‐0.098***	
   -­‐0.010	
   -­‐0.020**	
  
	
  	
   (0.008)	
   (0.008)	
   (0.007)	
   (0.008)	
  
Formal	
  	
   0.093***	
   0.096***	
   0.040**	
   0.032	
  
	
  	
   (0.017)	
   (0.018)	
   (0.018)	
   (0.020)	
  
LocaIon	
  dummies	
   No	
   Yes	
   No	
   Yes	
  
Sector	
  dummies	
   No	
   Yes	
   No	
   Yes	
  
ObservaIons	
   2,088	
   2,087	
   2,516	
   2,466	
  
Pseudo	
  R-­‐squared	
   0.077	
   0.094	
   0.00	
   0.03	
  
•  Firm	
  growth	
  is	
  posiIvely	
  associated	
  with	
  formal	
  status.	
  
•  These	
  results	
  are	
  robust	
  to	
  the	
  inclusion	
  of	
  province	
  and	
  sector	
  controls.	
  	
  
•  Being	
  formal	
  also	
  leads	
  to	
  greater	
  probability	
  of	
  firm	
  exit,	
  but	
  this	
  result	
  is	
  not	
  as	
  
robust.	
  	
  
How many enterprises pay bribes?
	
  	
   All	
   Balanced	
  
	
  	
   2013	
   2015	
   2013	
   2015	
  
All	
  firms	
   1,135	
  
(44.8)	
  
1,126	
  
(42.9)	
  
936	
  
(44.6)	
  
896	
  
(42.7)	
  
Formal	
  firms	
   971	
  
(85.6)	
  
1,079	
  
(95.8)	
  
792	
  
(84.6)	
  
877	
  
(97.9)	
  
Informal	
  
firms	
  
164	
  
(14.4)	
  
47	
  
(4.2)	
  
144	
  
(15.4)	
  
19	
  
(2.1)	
  
•  Marginal	
  decline	
  in	
  fracIon	
  of	
  bribe-­‐paying	
  firms	
  between	
  2013	
  and	
  
2015.	
  
•  Overwhelming	
  share	
  of	
  bribe-­‐payers	
  are	
  formal	
  firms:	
  in	
  accordance	
  
with	
  Rand	
  and	
  Tarp	
  (2012)	
  who	
  find	
  that	
  the	
  “bribes	
  to	
  hide”	
  
hypothesis	
  is	
  not	
  confirmed	
  in	
  Vietnamese	
  context.	
  
•  Approx.	
  70	
  percent	
  of	
  firms	
  paid	
  bribes	
  2-­‐5	
  Imes	
  in	
  the	
  past	
  year.	
  	
  
Reasons for paying bribes
0	
  
5	
  
10	
  
15	
  
20	
  
25	
  
30	
  
35	
  
40	
  
45	
  
To	
  get	
  connected	
  to	
  
public	
  services	
  
To	
  get	
  licenses	
  and	
  
permits	
  
To	
  deal	
  with	
  tax	
  and	
  tax	
  
collectors	
  	
  
	
  To	
  gain	
  government	
  
contracts	
  
To	
  deal	
  with	
  customs	
   Other	
  reasons	
  
2013	
   2015	
  
Determinants of bribe-paying
•  Larger	
  firms	
  more	
  likely	
  to	
  pay	
  bribes.	
  
•  RelaIonship	
  between	
  formality	
  and	
  bribery	
  appears	
  tenuous.	
  
	
  	
   All	
   Balanced	
   FE	
  
	
  	
   Col.	
  1	
   Col.	
  2	
   Col.	
  3	
   Col.	
  4	
   Col.	
  5	
  
	
  	
   	
  	
   	
  	
   	
  	
   	
  	
   	
  	
  
Firm	
  size	
   0.192***	
   0.173***	
   0.194***	
   0.175***	
   0.056**	
  
	
  	
   (0.008)	
   (0.009)	
   (0.009)	
   (0.010)	
   (0.024)	
  
Formal	
  firm	
   0.117***	
   0.062***	
   0.084***	
   0.021	
   -­‐0.102***	
  
	
  	
   (0.020)	
   (0.022)	
   (0.025)	
   (0.027)	
   (0.027)	
  
LocaIon	
  dummies	
   No	
   Yes	
   No	
   Yes	
   	
  	
  
Sector	
  dummies	
   No	
   Yes	
   No	
   Yes	
   	
  	
  
ObservaIons	
   5,144	
   5,139	
   4,200	
   4,198	
   4,200	
  
R-­‐squared	
   	
  	
   	
  	
   	
  	
   	
  	
   0.645	
  
Bribes, firm growth and firm exit
•  No	
  evidence	
  that	
  firm	
  growth	
  is	
  correlated	
  with	
  bribery	
  (as	
  in	
  the	
  
2013	
  report).	
  	
  
•  Bribe-­‐paying	
  is	
  not	
  associated	
  with	
  exit	
  (in	
  contrast	
  to	
  2013	
  survey).	
  
	
  	
   Firm	
  growth	
   Firm	
  exit	
  
	
  	
   Col.	
  1	
   Col.	
  2	
   Col.	
  3	
   Col.	
  4	
  
	
  	
   	
  	
   	
  	
   	
  	
   	
  	
  
Firm	
  size	
   -­‐0.093***	
   -­‐0.102***	
   -­‐0.011	
   -­‐0.020**	
  
	
  	
   (0.008)	
   (0.009)	
   (0.008)	
   (0.008)	
  
Formal	
  firm	
   0.091***	
   0.090***	
   0.039**	
   0.028	
  
	
  	
   (0.016)	
   (0.018)	
   (0.018)	
   (0.020)	
  
Bribe	
   0.020	
   0.022	
   0.004	
   -­‐0.011	
  
	
  	
   (0.015)	
   (0.016)	
   (0.016)	
   (0.016)	
  
LocaIon	
  dummies	
   No	
   Yes	
   No	
   Yes	
  
Sector	
  dummies	
   No	
   Yes	
   No	
   Yes	
  
ObservaIons	
   2,088	
   2,087	
   2,516	
   2,466	
  
R-­‐squared	
   0.078	
   0.092	
   	
  	
   	
  	
  
Chapter 5
Investments and credit
Investments
•  Higher	
  share	
  of	
  investments	
  compared	
  to	
  2013	
  
•  34%	
  new	
  and	
  64%	
  repeated	
  investments	
  compared	
  to	
  2013	
  
•  725	
  firms	
  (around	
  35%	
  of	
  the	
  sample)	
  did	
  not	
  make	
  any	
  investment	
  in	
  the	
  past	
  four	
  years	
  
•  Increasing	
  in	
  enterprise	
  size	
  and	
  locaIon	
  in	
  rural	
  and	
  northern	
  provinces	
  
47	
  
49	
  
0	
  
10	
  
20	
  
30	
  
40	
  
50	
  
60	
  
70	
  
80	
  
90	
  
Micro	
   Small	
   Medium	
   HH	
   Non-­‐HH	
   Urban	
  	
   Rural	
   South	
   North	
   All	
  
2013	
   2015	
  
How was the investment financed?
•  Main	
  source	
  of	
  finance	
  for	
  new	
  
investments	
  are	
  formal	
  loans	
  and	
  
retained	
  earnings	
  
•  Higher	
  share	
  of	
  new	
  investments	
  
financed	
  by	
  own	
  capital	
  and	
  lower	
  
share	
  from	
  informal	
  loans	
  
•  Micro	
  and	
  household-­‐owned	
  firms	
  
more	
  likely	
  to	
  use	
  retained	
  
earnings	
  or	
  informal	
  loans	
  
•  Larger	
  firms	
  finance	
  investments	
  
through	
  formal	
  loans	
  (69%)	
  
•  Slight	
  increase	
  in	
  the	
  value	
  of	
  
investments	
  in	
  land,	
  equipment	
  
and	
  machinery,	
  and	
  buildings	
  	
  
0	
  
10	
  
20	
  
30	
  
40	
  
50	
  
60	
  
Own	
  
capital	
  
Bank	
  loan	
  
or	
  other	
  
formal	
  
financing	
  
Informal	
  
loans	
  
Other	
  
Per	
  cent	
  
2013	
   2015	
  
Credit
	
  
	
  
2013	
  	
  
(Full	
  sample)
2013	
  	
  
(Balanced	
  sample)
2015	
  	
  
(Full	
  sample)
2015	
  	
  
(Balanced	
  sample)
	
   	
   Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No
Enterprise	
  
applied	
  
for	
  formal	
  
loan	
  
	
  
% 25.8 74.2 25.3 74.7 24.6 75.4 25.1 74.9
Obs. 652 1,878 74.7 1,567 646 1,982 527 1,570
Problems	
  
ge_ng	
  
loan	
  	
  
	
  
% 23.9 76.1 23.5 76.5 15.0 85.0 14.6 85.4
Obs. 155 495 124 404 97 549 77 450
Source:	
  Authors’	
  calculaIons	
  based	
  on	
  SME	
  data.	
  
Why enterprises do not apply for loans?
0	
  
10	
  
20	
  
30	
  
40	
  
50	
  
60	
  
Inadequate	
  
collateral	
  
Don’t	
  want	
  
to	
  incur	
  debt	
  
Process	
  too	
  
difficult	
  
Didn’t	
  need	
  
one	
  
Interest	
  rate	
  
too	
  high	
  
Already	
  
heavily	
  
indebted	
  
Other	
  
2013	
   2015	
  
Formal and informal loans in 2015
•  Informal	
  loans	
  are	
  more	
  common	
  than	
  formal	
  (35%	
  informal	
  vs.	
  25%	
  formal	
  loans)	
  
•  30%	
  of	
  firms	
  have	
  both	
  types	
  of	
  loan	
  
0	
   10	
   20	
   30	
   40	
   50	
   60	
   70	
   80	
   90	
  
No	
  
Yes	
  
Overall	
  
Formal	
  
Informal	
   Formal	
   Informal	
  Yes	
   Informal	
  No	
  
Chapter 6
Production, technology, and labour
productivity
Diversification and innovation
•  An	
  average	
  Vietnamese	
  SME	
  is	
  specialised	
  (only	
  11.6%	
  of	
  firms	
  produced	
  more	
  than	
  one	
  product)	
  
•  New	
  product	
  development	
  (InnovaIon	
  1)	
  has	
  largely	
  increased	
  but	
  improvements	
  of	
  exisIng	
  products	
  
(InnovaIon	
  2)	
  have	
  declined	
  
•  Firms	
  from	
  the	
  food	
  and	
  fabricated	
  metal	
  sectors	
  tend	
  to	
  diversify	
  and	
  innovate	
  more	
  than	
  other	
  sectors	
  
	
  
	
  
DiversificaLon	
  	
  
(More	
  than	
  one	
  4-­‐digit	
  
ISIC)
InnovaLon	
  1	
  	
  
(New	
  product	
  development)
InnovaLon	
  2	
  	
  
(Improvement	
  of	
  exisLng	
  
product)
2013 2015 2013 2015 2013 2015
All 11.1 11.6 0.7 23.8 16.4 13.2
Micro 9.1 10.1 0.4 23.9 12.9 10.0
Small 16.4 14.6 1.6 22.0 24.0 19.4
Medium 15.8 18.3 0.7 28.0 30.2 28.7
Urban	
   9.9 8.3 0.6 18.8 19.0 15.1
Rural 12.1 14.2 0.7 27.7 14.4 11.8
Industrial	
  zone 18.2 15.1 1.5 24.5 30.3 24.5
Not	
  in	
  the	
  
industrial	
  zone
10.8 11.5 0.6 23.8 15.6 12.8
Firm revenue and profits by
diversification and innovation status
051015
Revenue(ln)
0 100 200 300
Firm size
Diversification
051015
0 100 200 300
Firm size
Innovation 1
051015
0 100 200 300
Firm size
Innovation 2-5051015
Profit(ln)
0 100 200 300
Firm size
Yes No
Yes No
-5051015
0 100 200 300
Firm size
Yes No
Yes No
-5051015
0 100 200 300
Firm size
Yes No
Yes No
Labour productivity growth
0	
  
5	
  
10	
  
15	
  
20	
  
25	
  
All	
   Micro	
   Small	
   Medium	
   Urban	
  	
   Rural	
   South	
   North	
  
Labour	
  ProducLvity	
  1	
   Labour	
  ProducLvity	
  2	
  
•  LP1	
  is	
  real	
  revenue	
  per	
  full-­‐Ime	
  employee	
  and	
  LP2	
  is	
  real	
  value	
  added	
  per	
  full-­‐Ime	
  employee	
  
•  Larger	
  urban	
  enterprises	
  show	
  advantages	
  over	
  smaller	
  ones,	
  with	
  higher	
  values	
  of	
  both	
  real	
  revenue	
  
and	
  value	
  added	
  per	
  employee	
  
•  LP1	
  has	
  higher	
  growth	
  than	
  LP2	
  
New technology adoption
0	
  
2	
  
4	
  
6	
  
8	
  
10	
  
12	
  
14	
  
16	
  
18	
  
All	
   Urban	
   Rural	
   Micro	
  	
   Small	
  	
   Medium	
  
Per	
  cent	
  
2013	
   2015	
  
Chapter 7
Employment
Chapter 7 - Employment
	
  
•  CharacterisIcs	
  of	
  enterprise	
  respondents	
  
•  Workforce	
  and	
  hiring	
  panerns	
  disaggregated	
  by	
  size	
  
•  Wages	
  from	
  an	
  employee	
  survey	
  
Age and gender of respondent
•  Owner	
  or	
  manager	
  as	
  respondents	
  
•  For	
  all	
  size	
  categories,	
  owners	
  are	
  older	
  than	
  managers	
  
•  Slightly	
  older	
  owners	
  in	
  medium-­‐sized	
  enterprises	
  
•  Slightly	
  younger	
  managers	
  in	
  small	
  and	
  medium-­‐sized	
  
enterprises	
  
•  Owners	
  tend	
  to	
  be	
  male	
  (71%),	
  whereas	
  managers	
  tend	
  to	
  
be	
  female	
  (68%)	
  
Employment in micro enterprises
•  More	
  workers	
  are	
  hired	
  as	
  unpaid	
  labour	
  
•  The	
  share	
  of	
  people	
  working	
  in	
  producIon	
  is	
  lower	
  
•  Fewer	
  jobs	
  are	
  created	
  than	
  jobs	
  being	
  lep	
  è	
  net	
  job	
  creaIon	
  is	
  negaIve	
  
•  Less	
  likely	
  to	
  face	
  difficulIes	
  hiring	
  workers	
  with	
  required	
  skills	
  
•  Less	
  likely	
  to	
  provide	
  training	
  for	
  new	
  workers	
  
Micro	
   Small	
   Medium	
  
Share	
  of	
  workforce	
  that:	
  
	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  -­‐	
  are	
  unpaid	
   53.9	
   4.4	
   0.1	
  
	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  -­‐	
  are	
  working	
  in	
  producIon	
   52.5	
   70.3	
   73.1	
  
	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  -­‐	
  got	
  a	
  new	
  job	
  in	
  2014	
   4.0	
   7.8	
   7.8	
  
	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  -­‐	
  lep	
  their	
  job	
  in	
  2014	
   4.9	
   7.1	
   5.4	
  
Share	
  of	
  enterprises	
  that:	
  
	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  -­‐	
  have	
  difficulIes	
  finding	
  required	
  skills	
   3.8	
   15.6	
   28.4	
  
	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  -­‐	
  provides	
  training	
  for	
  new	
  employees	
   17.2	
   30.7	
   43.2	
  
Wage development from 2013 to 2015
•  Overall	
  increase	
  in	
  real	
  wages	
  by	
  15%	
  from	
  2013	
  to	
  2015	
  
•  Increases	
  in	
  wages	
  of	
  13	
  -­‐	
  31	
  percent	
  depending	
  on	
  occupaIon	
  category	
  
(20.1%)	
  
(13.0%)	
   (15.9%)	
  
(31.3%)	
  
(21.0%)	
  
(14.1%)	
  
(14.8%)	
  
0	
  
500	
  
1,000	
  
1,500	
  
2,000	
  
2,500	
  
3,000	
  
3,500	
  
4,000	
  
4,500	
  
5,000	
  
Manager	
   Professional	
   Office	
   Sales	
   Service	
   ProducIon	
   All	
  
2013	
   2015	
  
Note:	
  Monthly	
  wages	
  has	
  been	
  normalised	
  using	
  2010	
  VND	
  as	
  base.	
  Figures	
  in	
  parenthesis	
  
correspond	
  to	
  wage	
  increase	
  between	
  2013	
  and	
  2015.	
  
Wage gap between males and females (1)
•  Monthly	
  wages	
  are	
  200	
  thousands	
  VND	
  higher	
  for	
  males	
  on	
  average	
  
•  Especially	
  large	
  gap	
  among	
  producIon	
  workers	
  (22%	
  larger	
  wage	
  for	
  men)	
  
•  Only	
  among	
  office	
  workers	
  do	
  females	
  earn	
  more	
  
0	
  
1,000	
  
2,000	
  
3,000	
  
4,000	
  
5,000	
  
6,000	
  
7,000	
  
Manager	
   Professional	
   Office	
   Sales	
   Service	
   ProducIon	
  
Monthly	
  wages	
  	
  
(‘000	
  VND)	
  
All	
   Men	
   Women	
  	
  
Wage gap between males and females (2)
•  Method:	
  simple	
  OLS	
  regression	
  framework	
  
•  Controls	
  for	
  various	
  individual	
  characterisIcs.	
  In	
  addiIon,	
  (2)	
  controls	
  for	
  
enterprise	
  characterisIcs	
  
•  Result:	
  No	
  significant	
  result	
  on	
  gender	
  discriminaIon	
  
	
  More	
  research	
  is	
  required	
  to	
  make	
  robust	
  conclusions	
  
Chapter 8
Personality and behaviour
Motivation
•  Risk	
  artudes	
  and	
  preferences	
  maner	
  for	
  entry	
  into	
  
entrepreneurship,	
  business	
  performance,	
  and	
  also	
  
business	
  survival.	
  	
  
•  In	
  a	
  meta-­‐analyIc	
  study,	
  Zhao	
  and	
  Seibert	
  (2006)	
  find	
  
entrepreneurial	
  entry	
  to	
  be	
  posiIvely	
  correlated	
  with	
  the	
  
Big	
  Five	
  traits	
  of	
  conscienIousness,	
  extraversion,	
  and	
  
openness	
  to	
  experience,	
  and	
  negaIvely	
  correlated	
  with	
  
neuroIcism	
  and	
  agreeableness.	
  	
  
•  New	
  module	
  added	
  to	
  the	
  2015	
  survey	
  to	
  measure	
  these	
  
preferences	
  and	
  traits	
  among	
  firm	
  owners/managers	
  in	
  
Viet	
  Nam.	
  
Measurement
•  Risk	
  artudes	
  were	
  elicited	
  on	
  an	
  11-­‐point	
  scale	
  
using	
  ‘willingness-­‐to-­‐take-­‐risk’	
  quesIons:	
  general	
  
and	
  context-­‐specific.	
  	
  
•  Big	
  Five	
  (Openness	
  to	
  experience,	
  ConscienIousness,	
  
Extraversion,	
  Agreeableness,	
  NeuroIcism):	
  15	
  
quesIons	
  on	
  a	
  1-­‐7	
  scale	
  
•  Locus	
  of	
  control:	
  10	
  quesIons	
  on	
  a	
  1-­‐7	
  scale	
  
•  InnovaIon	
  index:	
  3	
  quesIons	
  on	
  a	
  1-­‐5	
  scale	
  
Willingness to take risk
0	
  
4	
  
8	
  
12	
  
16	
  
20	
  
0	
   1	
   2	
   3	
   4	
   5	
   6	
   7	
   8	
   9	
   10	
  
Per	
  cent	
  
Responses	
  to	
  general	
  risk	
  quesIon	
  
0	
  
5	
  
10	
  
15	
  
20	
  
25	
  
0	
   1	
   2	
   3	
   4	
   5	
   6	
   7	
   8	
   9	
   10	
  
Per	
  cent	
  
Responses	
  to	
  general	
  risk	
  quesIon	
  
Male	
  
Female	
  
Context-specific willingness to take risks
2.604	
  
3.215	
  
3.955	
  
3.481	
  
2.533	
  
3.884	
  
2.119	
  
2.889	
  
3.45	
  
3.223	
  
2.224	
  
3.692	
  
0	
  
0.5	
  
1	
  
1.5	
  
2	
  
2.5	
  
3	
  
3.5	
  
4	
  
4.5	
  
Driving	
   Financial	
  maners	
   Hobbies	
   OccupaIon	
   Health	
   Faith	
  in	
  others	
  
Male	
  	
   Female	
  
Personality traits
	
   Col.	
  1 Col.2	
   Col.	
  3 Col.	
  4
Overall Males Females p-­‐value
Big	
  Five:	
  Openness	
  to	
  
experience	
  
3.882	
  
(1.44)	
  
3.92	
  
(1.43)	
  
3.827	
  
(1.47)	
  
0.10	
  
Big	
  Five:	
  ConscienLousness	
   5.535	
  
(1.04)	
  
5.479	
  
(1.03)	
  
5.616	
  
(1.04)	
  
0.00	
  
Big	
  Five:	
  Extroversion	
   4.31	
  
(0.99)	
  
4.328	
  
(0.98)	
  
4.284	
  
(0.99)	
  
0.26	
  
Big	
  Five:	
  Agreeableness	
   4.559	
  
(0.90)	
  
4.456	
  
(0.9)	
  
4.708	
  
(0.88)	
  
0.00	
  
Big	
  Five:	
  NeuroLcism	
   3.037	
  
(0.99)	
  
2.996	
  
(1.00)	
  
3.095	
  
(0.97)	
  
0.011	
  
Internal	
  locus	
  of	
  control	
   5.115	
  
(0.85)	
  
5.151	
  
(0.84)	
  
5.063	
  
(0.88)	
  
0.009	
  
External	
  locus	
  of	
  control	
   3.005	
  
(1.1)	
  
2.981	
  
(1.11)	
  
3.039	
  
(1.10)	
  
0.185	
  
InnovaLveness	
   3.613	
  
(0.85)	
  
3.6	
  
(0.87)	
  
3.62	
  
(0.83)	
  
0.53	
  
Number	
  of	
  observaLons 2,648 1,564 1,084 	
  	
  
Key findings
The	
  data	
  indicates	
  trends	
  largely	
  in	
  line	
  with	
  previous	
  
literature:	
  
•  Females	
  are	
  significantly	
  more	
  risk-­‐averse	
  than	
  males,	
  in	
  
general	
  and	
  across	
  all	
  six	
  contexts.	
  
•  Females	
  report	
  significantly	
  higher	
  scores	
  on	
  
conscienIousness,	
  agreeableness,	
  and	
  neuroIcism,	
  and	
  
score	
  significantly	
  lower	
  on	
  the	
  internal	
  locus	
  of	
  control.	
  
•  Females	
  also	
  score	
  lower	
  on	
  openness	
  to	
  experience	
  and	
  
extroversion,	
  and	
  higher	
  on	
  external	
  locus	
  of	
  control	
  and	
  
innovaIveness.	
  	
  
	
  
Chapter 9
Certification
Quality standards
0	
  
10	
  
20	
  
30	
  
40	
  
50	
  
60	
  
70	
  
80	
  
90	
  
100	
  
All	
   Micro	
   Small	
   Medium	
   ExporLng	
  	
   Not	
  exporLng	
  
InternaLonal	
  cerLficate	
   DomesLc	
  cerLficate	
  
Environmental Standards Certificate
(ESC)
0	
  
10	
  
20	
  
30	
  
40	
  
50	
  
60	
  
70	
  
All	
   Micro	
   Small	
   Medium	
   Household	
  	
   Private	
   CooperaLve	
   LLC	
   JSC	
  
2013	
   2015	
  
Differences between firms by application
of international standards
051015
Realrevenue(ln)
0 100 200 300
Firm size
(a)
-202468
Realprofitperemployee(ln)
0 100 200 300
Firm size
(b)
0510
Reallabourcosts(ln)
0 100 200 300
Firm size
(c)
123456
Labourproductivity(ln)
0 100 200 300
Firm size
(d)
No standards Standards
No standards Standards
Differences between firms by application
of environmental standards051015
Realrevenue(ln)
0 100 200 300
Firm size
(a)
-202468
Realprofitperemployee(ln)
0 100 200 300
Firm size
(b)
0510
Reallabourcosts(ln)
0 100 200 300
Firm size
(c)
123456
Labourproductivity(ln)
0 100 200 300
Firm size
(d)
No standards ESC
No standards ESC
Chapter 10
Trade and sales structures
Chapter 10 – Trade and sales structures
•  Export	
  behaviour	
  
•  CompeIIon	
  
•  Sales	
  structures	
  
Exporting vs. non-exporting enterprises
•  Clear	
  size	
  effect	
  in	
  exporIng	
  behaviour	
  
•  Only	
  micro	
  exporters	
  have	
  larger	
  revenues	
  per	
  full-­‐Ime	
  employee	
  
•  Non-­‐exporters	
  earn	
  higher	
  profits	
  per	
  full-­‐Ime	
  employee	
  
All	
   Micro	
   Small	
   Medium	
  
ExporIng	
  enterprises	
  (%)	
   6.8	
   1.0	
   13.9	
   42.2	
  
Revenue	
  per	
  full-­‐Ime	
  employee	
  
(exporters)	
  
355.4	
   276.0	
   386.0	
   344.2	
  
Revenue	
  per	
  full-­‐Ime	
  employee	
  
(non-­‐exporters)	
  
277.9	
   209.5	
   496.9	
   513.1	
  
Profit	
  per	
  full-­‐Ime	
  employee	
  
(exporters)	
  
30.4	
   33.1	
   32.9	
   27.2	
  
Profit	
  per	
  full-­‐Ime	
  employee	
  
(non-­‐exporters)	
  
36.9	
   36.3	
   39.6	
   32.3	
  
Note:	
  Revenues	
  and	
  profits	
  are	
  in	
  million	
  2010	
  VND.	
  
Perceived competition (1)
•  Lower	
  share	
  of	
  micro	
  enterprises	
  reporIng	
  any	
  compeIIon	
  
•  Only	
  borderline	
  significance	
  in	
  a	
  regression	
  framework	
  between	
  size	
  and	
  
perceived	
  compeIIon	
  
Micro	
   Small	
   Medium	
  
Report	
  any	
  compeIIon	
  (%)	
   85.4	
   92.9	
   93.3	
  
Note:	
  Binary	
  probit.	
  Marginal	
  effects	
  at	
  the	
  mean	
  of	
  covariates.	
  Controls	
  for	
  accumulated	
  goods,	
  export,	
  province,	
  
ownership	
  type	
  and	
  sectors.	
  
Perceived competition (2)
•  Private	
  informal	
  and	
  formal	
  enterprises	
  consItute	
  the	
  main	
  source	
  of	
  
compeIIon	
  
•  Likelihood	
  of	
  introducing	
  new	
  product	
  lines,	
  improving	
  exisIng	
  product	
  lines	
  
or	
  introducing	
  new	
  technology	
  increase	
  with	
  severity	
  of	
  compeIIon	
  
Note:	
  CompeIIon	
  is	
  ranked	
  as	
  follows:	
  4	
  =	
  severe,	
  3	
  =	
  moderate,	
  2	
  =	
  insignificant,	
  1	
  =	
  No	
  
compeIIon	
  
Severity	
  of	
  compeLLon	
  
Source	
  of	
  compeIIon	
  
	
  	
  	
  -­‐	
  State	
  enterprises	
   2.0	
  
	
  	
  	
  -­‐	
  Private	
  formal	
  enterprises	
   2.7	
  
	
  	
  	
  -­‐	
  Private	
  informal	
  enterprises	
   2.9	
  
	
  	
  	
  -­‐	
  Legal	
  imports	
   1.7	
  
	
  	
  	
  -­‐	
  Smuggling	
   1.6	
  
	
  	
  	
  -­‐	
  Other	
  sources	
   1.6	
  
Sales structures
•  Micro	
  enterprises	
  mainly	
  sell	
  for	
  final	
  consumpIon,	
  whereas	
  small	
  and	
  medium-­‐
sized	
  enterprises	
  sell	
  more	
  intermediates	
  to	
  service	
  sector	
  
•  Micro	
  enterprises	
  are	
  much	
  more	
  likely	
  to	
  sell	
  to	
  local	
  people	
  
•  Small	
  and	
  medium-­‐sized	
  enterprises	
  sell	
  more	
  to	
  domesIc	
  non-­‐state	
  enterprises	
  
•  Micro	
  enterprises	
  are	
  more	
  likely	
  to	
  have	
  many	
  customers	
  
Micro	
   Small	
   Medium	
  
Average	
  share	
  of	
  sales:	
  
	
  	
  	
  -­‐	
  used	
  for	
  final	
  consumpIon	
  (%)	
   53.5	
   29.6	
   17.8	
  
	
  	
  	
  -­‐	
  as	
  intermediates	
  in	
  services	
  (%)	
   38.1	
   49.1	
   54.8	
  
	
  	
  	
  -­‐	
  to	
  local	
  people	
  (%)	
   49.2	
   22.6	
   10.5	
  
	
  	
  	
  -­‐	
  to	
  domesIc	
  non-­‐state	
  enterprises	
  (%)	
   47.0	
   63.1	
   52.9	
  
Share	
  of	
  enterprises	
  with	
  20	
  or	
  more	
  customers	
  (%)	
   74.3	
   67.1	
   58.6	
  
Appendix: Age and gender of respondents
0	
  
10	
  
20	
  
30	
  
40	
  
50	
  
Micro	
   Small	
   Medium	
   Micro	
   Small	
   Medium	
  
(2,810)	
   (553)	
   (70)	
   (685)	
   (527)	
   (221)	
  
Owner	
   Manager	
  
18-­‐24	
   25-­‐35	
   36-­‐45	
   46-­‐55	
   56-­‐65	
  
Note:	
  Data	
  from	
  both	
  2013	
  and	
  2015	
  are	
  used	
  and	
  some	
  enterprises	
  are	
  present	
  in	
  both	
  years.	
  
Conclusion and summing-up
Conclusion (1)
•  General	
  improvement	
  in	
  business	
  environment.	
  FormalizaIon	
  of	
  business	
  enIIes	
  
has	
  increased	
  substanIally.	
  	
  
•  But	
  access	
  to	
  formal	
  credit	
  has	
  remained	
  challenging,	
  especially	
  for	
  household	
  
enterprises.	
  	
  
•  Employment	
  growth	
  has	
  picked	
  up	
  to	
  pre-­‐crisis	
  levels	
  and	
  firm	
  exit	
  rates	
  have	
  gone	
  
down	
  as	
  compared	
  to	
  the	
  2009–13	
  period.	
  	
  
•  However,	
  informal	
  household	
  firms	
  are	
  not	
  very	
  dynamic	
  in	
  job	
  creaIon,	
  which	
  
will	
  have	
  to	
  come	
  from	
  formalized	
  SMEs	
  in	
  the	
  future.	
  
•  Not	
  much	
  change	
  in	
  bribe	
  paying,	
  but	
  clearer	
  that	
  bribe-­‐paying	
  businesses	
  do	
  not	
  
have	
  higher	
  rates	
  of	
  growth	
  than	
  non-­‐paying	
  firms.	
  
•  The	
  share	
  of	
  enterprises	
  making	
  investments	
  has	
  increased	
  since	
  2013	
  driven	
  by	
  
micro	
  firms.	
  
•  The	
  rate	
  of	
  new	
  technology	
  adopIon	
  has	
  declined	
  since	
  2013;	
  a	
  cause	
  for	
  concern.	
  	
  
Conclusion (2)
•  Labour	
  producIvity	
  increased;	
  the	
  demonstrated	
  link	
  between	
  innovaIon	
  and	
  
labour	
  producIvity	
  is	
  a	
  jusIficaIon	
  for	
  increased	
  policy	
  anenIon	
  to	
  innovaIon.	
  	
  
•  Real	
  wages	
  have	
  increased	
  by	
  almost	
  15	
  per	
  cent	
  during	
  the	
  considered	
  two-­‐year	
  
period.	
  	
  
•  SubstanIal	
  differences	
  between	
  men	
  and	
  women	
  both	
  in	
  risk	
  artude	
  and	
  
personality	
  traits.	
  	
  
•  Vietnamese	
  enterprises	
  do	
  not	
  appear	
  to	
  be	
  very	
  acIve	
  in	
  foreign	
  markets.	
  This	
  is	
  
not	
  only	
  illustrated	
  by	
  low	
  export	
  rates,	
  but	
  also	
  by	
  a	
  low	
  prevalence	
  of	
  
internaIonally	
  recognized	
  standards.	
  	
  
•  A	
  large	
  proporIon	
  of	
  SMEs	
  do	
  not	
  have	
  quality	
  or	
  environmental	
  cerIficates	
  and	
  
we	
  have	
  even	
  observed	
  a	
  negaIve	
  trend	
  in	
  cerIficaIon	
  of	
  both	
  internaIonal	
  and	
  
environmental	
  standards.	
  	
  
•  Almost	
  90	
  per	
  cent	
  of	
  enterprises	
  reported	
  they	
  face	
  severe	
  compeIIon	
  in	
  their	
  
line	
  of	
  acIvity.	
  The	
  compeIIve	
  pressure	
  increases	
  with	
  firm	
  size.	
  Moreover,	
  
enterprises	
  feel	
  that	
  the	
  degree	
  of	
  compeIIon	
  has	
  increased	
  during	
  the	
  past	
  two	
  
years.	
  	
  
www.wider.unu.edu
Helsinki, Finland

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2015 sme-survey-results

  • 1. 2015 SME Survey Results Kasper Brandt, John Rand, Smriti Sharma, Finn Tarp, and Neda Trifkovic Hanoi, 5 May, 2016
  • 3. Sampling •  SME  survey  2005,  2007,  2009,  2011,  2013  and  now  2015   •  Ten  provinces   •  Approximately  2,500  non-­‐state  manufacturing  enterprises  each   year.   •  Four  quesIonnaires:   •  Main  (firm  level),  Employee  (sub-­‐sample),  Economic  accounts  and   Exit   •  The  report  provides  descripIve  staIsIcs  and  analysis  of  key  trends   in  the  2015  data.   •  Joint  effort  of  UNU-­‐WIDER,  CIEM,  DoE  (University  of  Copenhagen)   and  ILSSA.  
  • 4. Data (1)   Interviewed  in  2015 Interviewed  in  2013 Ha  Noi   296 285 Phu  Tho 254 259 Ha  Tay 371 347 Hai  Phong 219 190 Nghe  An 340 347 Quang  Nam 171 167 Khanh  Hoa 99 90 Lam  Dong 92 88 HCMC 653 622 Long  An 133 136 Total 2,628 2,531 Note:  The  balanced  panel  includes  2,097  firm  observaLons  each  year.
  • 5. Data (2) •  72  percent  are  micro   firms  (1-­‐9  full  Ime   employees)   •  ….  and  some  of  these   are  informal.     Micro Small Medium Total Percent Ha  Noi   166 111 19 296 (11.3) (56.1) (37.5) (6.4) (100.0) Phu  Tho 239 10 5 254 (9.7) (94.1) (3.9) (2.0) (100.0) Ha  Tay 274 80 17 371 (14.1) (73.9) (21.6) (4.6) (100.0) Hai  Phong 151 48 20 219 (8.3) (68.9) (21.9) (9.1) (100.0) Nghe  An 288 39 13 340 (12.9) (84.7) (11.5) (3.8) (100.0) Quang  Nam 146 20 5 171 (6.5) (85.4) (11.7) (2.9) (100.0) Khanh  Hoa 72 19 8 99 (3.8) (72.7) (19.2) (8.1) (100.0) Lam  Dong 69 20 3 92 (3.5) (75.0) (21.7) (3.3) (100.0) HCMC 377 207 69 653 (24.8) (57.7) (31.7) (10.6) (100.0) Long  An 106 22 5 133 (5.1)   (79.7) (16.5) (3.8) (100.0) Total 1,888 576 164 2,628 (100.0) Percent (71.9) (21.9) (6.2) (100.0) Note:  Figures  in  number  of  firms  and  for  each  locaLon  the  share  of  firms  in  each  size  category  (group   percentages  in  parenthesis).  Micro:  1-­‐9  employees;  Small:  10-­‐49  employees;  Medium:  50-­‐299  employees   (World  Bank  definiLon).
  • 6. Chapter 3 SME growth and dynamics The  link  to  formality  
  • 7. Perceived Constraints 0   5   10   15   20   25   Shortage  of  capital/ credit   Current  products   have  limited   demand         Too  much   compeIIon   Inadequate   premises/land   No  constraints   •  The  Usual  Suspects:  (i)  Credit,  (ii)  Limited  Demand  and  (iii)  CompeIIon   •  But  improvements   •  Credit:  45%  in  2011,  30%  in  2013  and  24%  in  2015  
  • 8. Firm Dynamics •  Micro  likely  to  stay   micro   •  …  but  much  more   formalizaIon   •  …  but  has  not  yet   materialized  in   increases  in   ”graduaIon”  rates     Micro   15 Small   15 Medium   15 Total Percen t Micro  13 1,408 103 2 1,513 (72.2) (93.1) (6.8) (0.1) (100.0) Small  13 90 345 35 470 (22.4) (19.1) (73.4) (7.4) (100.0) Medium   13 1 23 90 114 (5.4) (0.9) (20.2) (78.9) (100.0) Total 1,499 471 127 2,097 (100.0) Percent (71.5) (22.5) (6.1) (100.0)   Note:  Percentage  in   parenthesis.
  • 9. Employment Growth •  Increase  in  total   employment  of  5.2  per   cent  over  the  two-­‐year   period  2013-­‐15.     •  But  not  equally   distributed  along  the   firm  size  dimension   •  Non-­‐HH  versus  HH   •  Formal  versus  Informal   HH  enterprise Non-­‐HH .75 1 1.25 1.5 Firm  Growth 5 10 30 100 Firm  size  (permanent  full-­‐time  employees) HH  ent/Non-­‐HH Informal Formal .75 1 1.25 1.5 Firm  Growth 5 10 30 100 Firm  size  (permanent  full-­‐time  employees) kernel  =  epanechnikov,  degree  =  0,  bandwidth  =  .8,  pwidth  =  .6 Formal/Informal
  • 10. Job Creation •  Job  CreaIon   •  The  Role  of  Informal   Firms?   •  IniIaIves   Job  creaIon  by  firm  size   Formal Informal -­‐3 -­‐2.5 -­‐2 -­‐1.5 -­‐1 -­‐.5 0 .5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 Jobs  generated 5 10 30 Firm  size  (permanent  full-­‐time  employees)
  • 11. Growth and Job Creation, by Rural/Urban •  Job  creaIon  for  mid-­‐size  firms   especially  in  rural  areas   Urban Rural .75 1 1.25 Growth 5 10 30 100 300 Firm  size  (permanent  full-­‐time  employees) Urban Rural -­‐.5 0 .5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5 Jobs  generated 5 10 30 100 Firm  size  (permanent  full-­‐time  employees)
  • 12. Growth and Job Creation, by Sector •  Job  creaIon  especially  within   food  processing   •  Effects  firm  size  dependent   .75 1 1.25 1.5 1.75 Growth 5 10 30 100 Firm  size  (permanent  full-­‐time  employees) Food  Processing .75 1 1.25 1.5 1.75 Growth 5 10 30 100 Firm  size  (permanent  full-­‐time  employees) Wood  Processing .75 1 1.25 1.5 1.75 Growth 5 10 30 100 Firm  size  (permanent  full-­‐time  employees) Fabricated  Metals .75 1 1.25 1.5 1.75 Growth 5 10 30 100 Firm  size  (permanent  full-­‐time  employees) Furniture -­‐2 -­‐1.5 -­‐1 -­‐.5 0 .5 1 1.5 2 Jobs  generated 5 10 30 Firm  size  (permanent  full-­‐time  employees) Food  Processing -­‐2 -­‐1.5 -­‐1 -­‐.5 0 .5 1 1.5 2 Jobs  generated 5 10 30 Firm  size  (permanent  full-­‐time  employees) Fabricated  Metals
  • 13. Exit Probabilities, by Firm Size •  Annual  exit  rate  of  8.2   per  cent  (lower  than   exit  rates  observed   between  2009  and   2013).   •  Non-­‐HH  vs.  HH   •  Formal  vs.  Informal   HH  ent Non-­‐HH 0 .05 .1 .15 .2 .25 .3 Exit  probability 5 10 30 100 Firm  size  (permanent  full-­‐time  employees) HH  ent/Non-­‐HH Formal Informal 0 .05 .1 .15 .2 .25 .3 Exit  probability 5 10 30 Firm  size  (permanent  full-­‐time  employees) Formal/Informal
  • 14. Exit by Location and Sector Urban Rural 0 .05 .1 .15 .2 .25 .3 Exit  probability 5 10 30 100 300 Firm  size  (permanent  full-­‐time  employees) 0 .05 .1 .15 .2 .25 .3 Exit  probability 5 10 30 100 Firm  size  (permanent  full-­‐time  employees) Food  Processing 0 .05 .1 .15 .2 .25 .3 Exit  probability 5 10 30 100 Firm  size  (permanent  full-­‐time  employees) Wood  Processing 0 .05 .1 .15 .2 .25 .3 Exit  probability 5 10 30 100 Firm  size  (permanent  full-­‐time  employees) Fabricated  Metals 0 .05 .1 .15 .2 .25 .3 Exit  probability 5 10 30 100 Firm  size  (permanent  full-­‐time  employees) Furniture
  • 16. Reasons for remaining informal •  Exclusion  view:  arduous  entry  regulaIons  prohibit   small  firms  from  entering  the  formal  sector.     •  Exit  view:  decision  to  remain  informal  is  a  deliberate   one.  Firm  owners  willing  to  forego  legal  recogniIon   in  order  to  avoid  incurring  costs  and  taxes.     •  Empirical  studies  report  that  transiIoning  to   formality  results  in  significant  and  large  benefits  for   firms  in  terms  of  profitability,  investments,  and   access  to  credit  (McKenzie  and  Sakho  2010;  Rand   and  Torm  2012;  Sharma  2014).  
  • 17. Distribution of firms by (in)formality   2013 2015   Per  cent Number Per  cent Number Formal  (Total) 71.3 1,804 89.99 2,365 Formal  (Balanced) 70.5 1,479 97.09 2,036 •  Astronomical  increase  in  formality  between  2013  and  2015.   •  May  be  explained  by  Law  on  Investment  and  Law  on   Enterprises  passed  in  November  2014.     •  Over  90  percent  of  informal  firms  are  micro  firms,  in  both   years.      
  • 18. Firm dynamics and formality     Firm  growth   Firm  exit       Col.  1   Col.  2   Col.  3   Col.  4                       Firm  size     -­‐0.090***   -­‐0.098***   -­‐0.010   -­‐0.020**       (0.008)   (0.008)   (0.007)   (0.008)   Formal     0.093***   0.096***   0.040**   0.032       (0.017)   (0.018)   (0.018)   (0.020)   LocaIon  dummies   No   Yes   No   Yes   Sector  dummies   No   Yes   No   Yes   ObservaIons   2,088   2,087   2,516   2,466   Pseudo  R-­‐squared   0.077   0.094   0.00   0.03   •  Firm  growth  is  posiIvely  associated  with  formal  status.   •  These  results  are  robust  to  the  inclusion  of  province  and  sector  controls.     •  Being  formal  also  leads  to  greater  probability  of  firm  exit,  but  this  result  is  not  as   robust.    
  • 19. How many enterprises pay bribes?     All   Balanced       2013   2015   2013   2015   All  firms   1,135   (44.8)   1,126   (42.9)   936   (44.6)   896   (42.7)   Formal  firms   971   (85.6)   1,079   (95.8)   792   (84.6)   877   (97.9)   Informal   firms   164   (14.4)   47   (4.2)   144   (15.4)   19   (2.1)   •  Marginal  decline  in  fracIon  of  bribe-­‐paying  firms  between  2013  and   2015.   •  Overwhelming  share  of  bribe-­‐payers  are  formal  firms:  in  accordance   with  Rand  and  Tarp  (2012)  who  find  that  the  “bribes  to  hide”   hypothesis  is  not  confirmed  in  Vietnamese  context.   •  Approx.  70  percent  of  firms  paid  bribes  2-­‐5  Imes  in  the  past  year.    
  • 20. Reasons for paying bribes 0   5   10   15   20   25   30   35   40   45   To  get  connected  to   public  services   To  get  licenses  and   permits   To  deal  with  tax  and  tax   collectors      To  gain  government   contracts   To  deal  with  customs   Other  reasons   2013   2015  
  • 21. Determinants of bribe-paying •  Larger  firms  more  likely  to  pay  bribes.   •  RelaIonship  between  formality  and  bribery  appears  tenuous.       All   Balanced   FE       Col.  1   Col.  2   Col.  3   Col.  4   Col.  5                           Firm  size   0.192***   0.173***   0.194***   0.175***   0.056**       (0.008)   (0.009)   (0.009)   (0.010)   (0.024)   Formal  firm   0.117***   0.062***   0.084***   0.021   -­‐0.102***       (0.020)   (0.022)   (0.025)   (0.027)   (0.027)   LocaIon  dummies   No   Yes   No   Yes       Sector  dummies   No   Yes   No   Yes       ObservaIons   5,144   5,139   4,200   4,198   4,200   R-­‐squared                   0.645  
  • 22. Bribes, firm growth and firm exit •  No  evidence  that  firm  growth  is  correlated  with  bribery  (as  in  the   2013  report).     •  Bribe-­‐paying  is  not  associated  with  exit  (in  contrast  to  2013  survey).       Firm  growth   Firm  exit       Col.  1   Col.  2   Col.  3   Col.  4                       Firm  size   -­‐0.093***   -­‐0.102***   -­‐0.011   -­‐0.020**       (0.008)   (0.009)   (0.008)   (0.008)   Formal  firm   0.091***   0.090***   0.039**   0.028       (0.016)   (0.018)   (0.018)   (0.020)   Bribe   0.020   0.022   0.004   -­‐0.011       (0.015)   (0.016)   (0.016)   (0.016)   LocaIon  dummies   No   Yes   No   Yes   Sector  dummies   No   Yes   No   Yes   ObservaIons   2,088   2,087   2,516   2,466   R-­‐squared   0.078   0.092          
  • 24. Investments •  Higher  share  of  investments  compared  to  2013   •  34%  new  and  64%  repeated  investments  compared  to  2013   •  725  firms  (around  35%  of  the  sample)  did  not  make  any  investment  in  the  past  four  years   •  Increasing  in  enterprise  size  and  locaIon  in  rural  and  northern  provinces   47   49   0   10   20   30   40   50   60   70   80   90   Micro   Small   Medium   HH   Non-­‐HH   Urban     Rural   South   North   All   2013   2015  
  • 25. How was the investment financed? •  Main  source  of  finance  for  new   investments  are  formal  loans  and   retained  earnings   •  Higher  share  of  new  investments   financed  by  own  capital  and  lower   share  from  informal  loans   •  Micro  and  household-­‐owned  firms   more  likely  to  use  retained   earnings  or  informal  loans   •  Larger  firms  finance  investments   through  formal  loans  (69%)   •  Slight  increase  in  the  value  of   investments  in  land,  equipment   and  machinery,  and  buildings     0   10   20   30   40   50   60   Own   capital   Bank  loan   or  other   formal   financing   Informal   loans   Other   Per  cent   2013   2015  
  • 26. Credit     2013     (Full  sample) 2013     (Balanced  sample) 2015     (Full  sample) 2015     (Balanced  sample)     Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No Enterprise   applied   for  formal   loan     % 25.8 74.2 25.3 74.7 24.6 75.4 25.1 74.9 Obs. 652 1,878 74.7 1,567 646 1,982 527 1,570 Problems   ge_ng   loan       % 23.9 76.1 23.5 76.5 15.0 85.0 14.6 85.4 Obs. 155 495 124 404 97 549 77 450 Source:  Authors’  calculaIons  based  on  SME  data.  
  • 27. Why enterprises do not apply for loans? 0   10   20   30   40   50   60   Inadequate   collateral   Don’t  want   to  incur  debt   Process  too   difficult   Didn’t  need   one   Interest  rate   too  high   Already   heavily   indebted   Other   2013   2015  
  • 28. Formal and informal loans in 2015 •  Informal  loans  are  more  common  than  formal  (35%  informal  vs.  25%  formal  loans)   •  30%  of  firms  have  both  types  of  loan   0   10   20   30   40   50   60   70   80   90   No   Yes   Overall   Formal   Informal   Formal   Informal  Yes   Informal  No  
  • 29. Chapter 6 Production, technology, and labour productivity
  • 30. Diversification and innovation •  An  average  Vietnamese  SME  is  specialised  (only  11.6%  of  firms  produced  more  than  one  product)   •  New  product  development  (InnovaIon  1)  has  largely  increased  but  improvements  of  exisIng  products   (InnovaIon  2)  have  declined   •  Firms  from  the  food  and  fabricated  metal  sectors  tend  to  diversify  and  innovate  more  than  other  sectors       DiversificaLon     (More  than  one  4-­‐digit   ISIC) InnovaLon  1     (New  product  development) InnovaLon  2     (Improvement  of  exisLng   product) 2013 2015 2013 2015 2013 2015 All 11.1 11.6 0.7 23.8 16.4 13.2 Micro 9.1 10.1 0.4 23.9 12.9 10.0 Small 16.4 14.6 1.6 22.0 24.0 19.4 Medium 15.8 18.3 0.7 28.0 30.2 28.7 Urban   9.9 8.3 0.6 18.8 19.0 15.1 Rural 12.1 14.2 0.7 27.7 14.4 11.8 Industrial  zone 18.2 15.1 1.5 24.5 30.3 24.5 Not  in  the   industrial  zone 10.8 11.5 0.6 23.8 15.6 12.8
  • 31. Firm revenue and profits by diversification and innovation status 051015 Revenue(ln) 0 100 200 300 Firm size Diversification 051015 0 100 200 300 Firm size Innovation 1 051015 0 100 200 300 Firm size Innovation 2-5051015 Profit(ln) 0 100 200 300 Firm size Yes No Yes No -5051015 0 100 200 300 Firm size Yes No Yes No -5051015 0 100 200 300 Firm size Yes No Yes No
  • 32. Labour productivity growth 0   5   10   15   20   25   All   Micro   Small   Medium   Urban     Rural   South   North   Labour  ProducLvity  1   Labour  ProducLvity  2   •  LP1  is  real  revenue  per  full-­‐Ime  employee  and  LP2  is  real  value  added  per  full-­‐Ime  employee   •  Larger  urban  enterprises  show  advantages  over  smaller  ones,  with  higher  values  of  both  real  revenue   and  value  added  per  employee   •  LP1  has  higher  growth  than  LP2  
  • 33. New technology adoption 0   2   4   6   8   10   12   14   16   18   All   Urban   Rural   Micro     Small     Medium   Per  cent   2013   2015  
  • 35. Chapter 7 - Employment   •  CharacterisIcs  of  enterprise  respondents   •  Workforce  and  hiring  panerns  disaggregated  by  size   •  Wages  from  an  employee  survey  
  • 36. Age and gender of respondent •  Owner  or  manager  as  respondents   •  For  all  size  categories,  owners  are  older  than  managers   •  Slightly  older  owners  in  medium-­‐sized  enterprises   •  Slightly  younger  managers  in  small  and  medium-­‐sized   enterprises   •  Owners  tend  to  be  male  (71%),  whereas  managers  tend  to   be  female  (68%)  
  • 37. Employment in micro enterprises •  More  workers  are  hired  as  unpaid  labour   •  The  share  of  people  working  in  producIon  is  lower   •  Fewer  jobs  are  created  than  jobs  being  lep  è  net  job  creaIon  is  negaIve   •  Less  likely  to  face  difficulIes  hiring  workers  with  required  skills   •  Less  likely  to  provide  training  for  new  workers   Micro   Small   Medium   Share  of  workforce  that:            -­‐  are  unpaid   53.9   4.4   0.1            -­‐  are  working  in  producIon   52.5   70.3   73.1            -­‐  got  a  new  job  in  2014   4.0   7.8   7.8            -­‐  lep  their  job  in  2014   4.9   7.1   5.4   Share  of  enterprises  that:            -­‐  have  difficulIes  finding  required  skills   3.8   15.6   28.4            -­‐  provides  training  for  new  employees   17.2   30.7   43.2  
  • 38. Wage development from 2013 to 2015 •  Overall  increase  in  real  wages  by  15%  from  2013  to  2015   •  Increases  in  wages  of  13  -­‐  31  percent  depending  on  occupaIon  category   (20.1%)   (13.0%)   (15.9%)   (31.3%)   (21.0%)   (14.1%)   (14.8%)   0   500   1,000   1,500   2,000   2,500   3,000   3,500   4,000   4,500   5,000   Manager   Professional   Office   Sales   Service   ProducIon   All   2013   2015   Note:  Monthly  wages  has  been  normalised  using  2010  VND  as  base.  Figures  in  parenthesis   correspond  to  wage  increase  between  2013  and  2015.  
  • 39. Wage gap between males and females (1) •  Monthly  wages  are  200  thousands  VND  higher  for  males  on  average   •  Especially  large  gap  among  producIon  workers  (22%  larger  wage  for  men)   •  Only  among  office  workers  do  females  earn  more   0   1,000   2,000   3,000   4,000   5,000   6,000   7,000   Manager   Professional   Office   Sales   Service   ProducIon   Monthly  wages     (‘000  VND)   All   Men   Women    
  • 40. Wage gap between males and females (2) •  Method:  simple  OLS  regression  framework   •  Controls  for  various  individual  characterisIcs.  In  addiIon,  (2)  controls  for   enterprise  characterisIcs   •  Result:  No  significant  result  on  gender  discriminaIon    More  research  is  required  to  make  robust  conclusions  
  • 42. Motivation •  Risk  artudes  and  preferences  maner  for  entry  into   entrepreneurship,  business  performance,  and  also   business  survival.     •  In  a  meta-­‐analyIc  study,  Zhao  and  Seibert  (2006)  find   entrepreneurial  entry  to  be  posiIvely  correlated  with  the   Big  Five  traits  of  conscienIousness,  extraversion,  and   openness  to  experience,  and  negaIvely  correlated  with   neuroIcism  and  agreeableness.     •  New  module  added  to  the  2015  survey  to  measure  these   preferences  and  traits  among  firm  owners/managers  in   Viet  Nam.  
  • 43. Measurement •  Risk  artudes  were  elicited  on  an  11-­‐point  scale   using  ‘willingness-­‐to-­‐take-­‐risk’  quesIons:  general   and  context-­‐specific.     •  Big  Five  (Openness  to  experience,  ConscienIousness,   Extraversion,  Agreeableness,  NeuroIcism):  15   quesIons  on  a  1-­‐7  scale   •  Locus  of  control:  10  quesIons  on  a  1-­‐7  scale   •  InnovaIon  index:  3  quesIons  on  a  1-­‐5  scale  
  • 44. Willingness to take risk 0   4   8   12   16   20   0   1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   10   Per  cent   Responses  to  general  risk  quesIon   0   5   10   15   20   25   0   1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   10   Per  cent   Responses  to  general  risk  quesIon   Male   Female  
  • 45. Context-specific willingness to take risks 2.604   3.215   3.955   3.481   2.533   3.884   2.119   2.889   3.45   3.223   2.224   3.692   0   0.5   1   1.5   2   2.5   3   3.5   4   4.5   Driving   Financial  maners   Hobbies   OccupaIon   Health   Faith  in  others   Male     Female  
  • 46. Personality traits   Col.  1 Col.2   Col.  3 Col.  4 Overall Males Females p-­‐value Big  Five:  Openness  to   experience   3.882   (1.44)   3.92   (1.43)   3.827   (1.47)   0.10   Big  Five:  ConscienLousness   5.535   (1.04)   5.479   (1.03)   5.616   (1.04)   0.00   Big  Five:  Extroversion   4.31   (0.99)   4.328   (0.98)   4.284   (0.99)   0.26   Big  Five:  Agreeableness   4.559   (0.90)   4.456   (0.9)   4.708   (0.88)   0.00   Big  Five:  NeuroLcism   3.037   (0.99)   2.996   (1.00)   3.095   (0.97)   0.011   Internal  locus  of  control   5.115   (0.85)   5.151   (0.84)   5.063   (0.88)   0.009   External  locus  of  control   3.005   (1.1)   2.981   (1.11)   3.039   (1.10)   0.185   InnovaLveness   3.613   (0.85)   3.6   (0.87)   3.62   (0.83)   0.53   Number  of  observaLons 2,648 1,564 1,084    
  • 47. Key findings The  data  indicates  trends  largely  in  line  with  previous   literature:   •  Females  are  significantly  more  risk-­‐averse  than  males,  in   general  and  across  all  six  contexts.   •  Females  report  significantly  higher  scores  on   conscienIousness,  agreeableness,  and  neuroIcism,  and   score  significantly  lower  on  the  internal  locus  of  control.   •  Females  also  score  lower  on  openness  to  experience  and   extroversion,  and  higher  on  external  locus  of  control  and   innovaIveness.      
  • 49. Quality standards 0   10   20   30   40   50   60   70   80   90   100   All   Micro   Small   Medium   ExporLng     Not  exporLng   InternaLonal  cerLficate   DomesLc  cerLficate  
  • 50. Environmental Standards Certificate (ESC) 0   10   20   30   40   50   60   70   All   Micro   Small   Medium   Household     Private   CooperaLve   LLC   JSC   2013   2015  
  • 51. Differences between firms by application of international standards 051015 Realrevenue(ln) 0 100 200 300 Firm size (a) -202468 Realprofitperemployee(ln) 0 100 200 300 Firm size (b) 0510 Reallabourcosts(ln) 0 100 200 300 Firm size (c) 123456 Labourproductivity(ln) 0 100 200 300 Firm size (d) No standards Standards No standards Standards
  • 52. Differences between firms by application of environmental standards051015 Realrevenue(ln) 0 100 200 300 Firm size (a) -202468 Realprofitperemployee(ln) 0 100 200 300 Firm size (b) 0510 Reallabourcosts(ln) 0 100 200 300 Firm size (c) 123456 Labourproductivity(ln) 0 100 200 300 Firm size (d) No standards ESC No standards ESC
  • 53. Chapter 10 Trade and sales structures
  • 54. Chapter 10 – Trade and sales structures •  Export  behaviour   •  CompeIIon   •  Sales  structures  
  • 55. Exporting vs. non-exporting enterprises •  Clear  size  effect  in  exporIng  behaviour   •  Only  micro  exporters  have  larger  revenues  per  full-­‐Ime  employee   •  Non-­‐exporters  earn  higher  profits  per  full-­‐Ime  employee   All   Micro   Small   Medium   ExporIng  enterprises  (%)   6.8   1.0   13.9   42.2   Revenue  per  full-­‐Ime  employee   (exporters)   355.4   276.0   386.0   344.2   Revenue  per  full-­‐Ime  employee   (non-­‐exporters)   277.9   209.5   496.9   513.1   Profit  per  full-­‐Ime  employee   (exporters)   30.4   33.1   32.9   27.2   Profit  per  full-­‐Ime  employee   (non-­‐exporters)   36.9   36.3   39.6   32.3   Note:  Revenues  and  profits  are  in  million  2010  VND.  
  • 56. Perceived competition (1) •  Lower  share  of  micro  enterprises  reporIng  any  compeIIon   •  Only  borderline  significance  in  a  regression  framework  between  size  and   perceived  compeIIon   Micro   Small   Medium   Report  any  compeIIon  (%)   85.4   92.9   93.3   Note:  Binary  probit.  Marginal  effects  at  the  mean  of  covariates.  Controls  for  accumulated  goods,  export,  province,   ownership  type  and  sectors.  
  • 57. Perceived competition (2) •  Private  informal  and  formal  enterprises  consItute  the  main  source  of   compeIIon   •  Likelihood  of  introducing  new  product  lines,  improving  exisIng  product  lines   or  introducing  new  technology  increase  with  severity  of  compeIIon   Note:  CompeIIon  is  ranked  as  follows:  4  =  severe,  3  =  moderate,  2  =  insignificant,  1  =  No   compeIIon   Severity  of  compeLLon   Source  of  compeIIon        -­‐  State  enterprises   2.0        -­‐  Private  formal  enterprises   2.7        -­‐  Private  informal  enterprises   2.9        -­‐  Legal  imports   1.7        -­‐  Smuggling   1.6        -­‐  Other  sources   1.6  
  • 58. Sales structures •  Micro  enterprises  mainly  sell  for  final  consumpIon,  whereas  small  and  medium-­‐ sized  enterprises  sell  more  intermediates  to  service  sector   •  Micro  enterprises  are  much  more  likely  to  sell  to  local  people   •  Small  and  medium-­‐sized  enterprises  sell  more  to  domesIc  non-­‐state  enterprises   •  Micro  enterprises  are  more  likely  to  have  many  customers   Micro   Small   Medium   Average  share  of  sales:        -­‐  used  for  final  consumpIon  (%)   53.5   29.6   17.8        -­‐  as  intermediates  in  services  (%)   38.1   49.1   54.8        -­‐  to  local  people  (%)   49.2   22.6   10.5        -­‐  to  domesIc  non-­‐state  enterprises  (%)   47.0   63.1   52.9   Share  of  enterprises  with  20  or  more  customers  (%)   74.3   67.1   58.6  
  • 59. Appendix: Age and gender of respondents 0   10   20   30   40   50   Micro   Small   Medium   Micro   Small   Medium   (2,810)   (553)   (70)   (685)   (527)   (221)   Owner   Manager   18-­‐24   25-­‐35   36-­‐45   46-­‐55   56-­‐65   Note:  Data  from  both  2013  and  2015  are  used  and  some  enterprises  are  present  in  both  years.  
  • 61. Conclusion (1) •  General  improvement  in  business  environment.  FormalizaIon  of  business  enIIes   has  increased  substanIally.     •  But  access  to  formal  credit  has  remained  challenging,  especially  for  household   enterprises.     •  Employment  growth  has  picked  up  to  pre-­‐crisis  levels  and  firm  exit  rates  have  gone   down  as  compared  to  the  2009–13  period.     •  However,  informal  household  firms  are  not  very  dynamic  in  job  creaIon,  which   will  have  to  come  from  formalized  SMEs  in  the  future.   •  Not  much  change  in  bribe  paying,  but  clearer  that  bribe-­‐paying  businesses  do  not   have  higher  rates  of  growth  than  non-­‐paying  firms.   •  The  share  of  enterprises  making  investments  has  increased  since  2013  driven  by   micro  firms.   •  The  rate  of  new  technology  adopIon  has  declined  since  2013;  a  cause  for  concern.    
  • 62. Conclusion (2) •  Labour  producIvity  increased;  the  demonstrated  link  between  innovaIon  and   labour  producIvity  is  a  jusIficaIon  for  increased  policy  anenIon  to  innovaIon.     •  Real  wages  have  increased  by  almost  15  per  cent  during  the  considered  two-­‐year   period.     •  SubstanIal  differences  between  men  and  women  both  in  risk  artude  and   personality  traits.     •  Vietnamese  enterprises  do  not  appear  to  be  very  acIve  in  foreign  markets.  This  is   not  only  illustrated  by  low  export  rates,  but  also  by  a  low  prevalence  of   internaIonally  recognized  standards.     •  A  large  proporIon  of  SMEs  do  not  have  quality  or  environmental  cerIficates  and   we  have  even  observed  a  negaIve  trend  in  cerIficaIon  of  both  internaIonal  and   environmental  standards.     •  Almost  90  per  cent  of  enterprises  reported  they  face  severe  compeIIon  in  their   line  of  acIvity.  The  compeIIve  pressure  increases  with  firm  size.  Moreover,   enterprises  feel  that  the  degree  of  compeIIon  has  increased  during  the  past  two   years.