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Tim Havranek, MBA, PMP
October 18, 2016
Practical Methods for Applying Multi-Criteria Decision
Analysis on Environmental Projects to Improve
Stakeholder Communications
Greatest Benefits of MCDA
Provides a singular, comprehensive
analytical framework
2
Communicates the totality of consequences
associated with each alternative
MCDA
FS
ERA
HHRA
Factors limiting the use of MCDA in remediation
Many assume that MCDA does not fit with established
regulatory processes
3
Perception that MCDA is black box
Stakeholders’ preconceived notions of the best alternative
Analytical silos
Desire to reserve MCDA for largest, most difficult projects
Most Significant Limiting Factor
4
Uncertainties regarding when and how to seek
external stakeholder involvement
Decision Analysis Process
5
Communicate
Insights
Evaluation
Frame the
Decision
Craft the
Objectives
Design the
Alternatives
Quantify
Uncertainties
Structure
the Model
Perform
Probabilistic
Analysis
Develop Results
Graphics
Commit to
Implement
When to Communicate with
Stakeholders
At the beginning and end of each major CERCLA process
– Remedial Investigation
– Human Health Risk Assessment
– Ecological Risk Assessment
– Feasibility Study
– Remedial Design
– Natural Resource Damage Assessment
6
Methods of Communication
• Up-front educational webinar or meetings
• Online surveys
• Individual interviews
• Facilitated Framing Sessions
• Town Hall Meetings using audience response
systems
7
Decision Analysis for Integrated Planning
8
Objectives Hierarchy
9
Decision Maker Alignment
State
Regulators
Environmental
Protection
Save Greenfields
Brownfield
Beneficial Reuse
Reduced GHG
EPA
Environmental
Protection
Save Greenfields
Brownfields
Beneficial Reuse
Corporate
Owner
Technology
Demonstration
Cost Savings
Enhance
Corporate Image
Enhanced
negotiations with
regulators
Local Mine
Leverage with
Power Company
Revenue for
Electricity
Positive
Messaging
Power for
Remediation
System
Local Town
Economic
Development
Jobs
Habitat
Protection
10
Stakeholders May Agree on Same Alternative but for Different Reasons
Understanding Total Consequences
11
Multi-Criteria Scores
12
Quantifying Risk
13
MCDA Score vs. Cost
14
Questions?
15

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TJH AEHS Amherst 10_16_16

  • 1. Tim Havranek, MBA, PMP October 18, 2016 Practical Methods for Applying Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis on Environmental Projects to Improve Stakeholder Communications
  • 2. Greatest Benefits of MCDA Provides a singular, comprehensive analytical framework 2 Communicates the totality of consequences associated with each alternative MCDA FS ERA HHRA
  • 3. Factors limiting the use of MCDA in remediation Many assume that MCDA does not fit with established regulatory processes 3 Perception that MCDA is black box Stakeholders’ preconceived notions of the best alternative Analytical silos Desire to reserve MCDA for largest, most difficult projects
  • 4. Most Significant Limiting Factor 4 Uncertainties regarding when and how to seek external stakeholder involvement
  • 5. Decision Analysis Process 5 Communicate Insights Evaluation Frame the Decision Craft the Objectives Design the Alternatives Quantify Uncertainties Structure the Model Perform Probabilistic Analysis Develop Results Graphics Commit to Implement
  • 6. When to Communicate with Stakeholders At the beginning and end of each major CERCLA process – Remedial Investigation – Human Health Risk Assessment – Ecological Risk Assessment – Feasibility Study – Remedial Design – Natural Resource Damage Assessment 6
  • 7. Methods of Communication • Up-front educational webinar or meetings • Online surveys • Individual interviews • Facilitated Framing Sessions • Town Hall Meetings using audience response systems 7
  • 8. Decision Analysis for Integrated Planning 8
  • 10. Decision Maker Alignment State Regulators Environmental Protection Save Greenfields Brownfield Beneficial Reuse Reduced GHG EPA Environmental Protection Save Greenfields Brownfields Beneficial Reuse Corporate Owner Technology Demonstration Cost Savings Enhance Corporate Image Enhanced negotiations with regulators Local Mine Leverage with Power Company Revenue for Electricity Positive Messaging Power for Remediation System Local Town Economic Development Jobs Habitat Protection 10 Stakeholders May Agree on Same Alternative but for Different Reasons
  • 14. MCDA Score vs. Cost 14