This month's report shows a rather cautios stance and explains why Rong Viet expect prices to fall in the second half of August.
Access to this presentation has been made possible through "Sao Bien. Room for Education", an Austrian-based non-profit organization and cooperation partner of Viet Dragon Securities.
Reprinted with the permission of Viet Dragon Securities. Not for US investors.
Monthly Market Risk Update: April 2024 [SlideShare]
Rong Viet Securities - Investment Strategy Report August 2017
1. Investor sentiment seems "stable" even though the market in the first days of the month received a lot of
information of the type that had created many "dark" sessions in the past. In addition, the rise of stocks
that have a large impact on the basket of indexes such as SAB, VNM, VCB, BID, or ROS are supporting the
VNIndex. We believe that VNIndex can easily reach 800 points in August.
Despite of that, after considering other factors, we think the index could not go further from this point in
the short term. VNIndex has increased 17.9% YTD, lifting the overall P/E of the market to 16.3 by the end
of July from 15.5 at the end of 2016. Our earlier assumption that market’s P/E will be mean-reversed has
not occurred yet, thanks to the abundance of cash inflows. It looks like the rally of VNIndex, however, has
fully reflected the listed companies’ business prospects as well as supported information. The 6M 2017
NPAT of 611 out of 733 listed companies in the HSX and HNX increased 14.4% YoY, but most of them just
fulfilled a little bit more than 50% of their business plans in 2017. Besides, around 50% of corporations
under RongViet Research coverage reported their business results just in line with our forecast, while more
than 30% of coverage stocks showed disappointing business results. Moreover, after the positive rally
since the beginning of the year, the recommendation on many stocks under our coverage has changed to
“Neutral” rating. In other words, it is not easy to select stocks that are attractive at the moment. Typically,
in such conditions, investors would be psychologically waiting for the business picture of macro and firms
to be more open and clearer.
Giventhesupposedconditions,webelievethatsupportnewswillnotbemuchwhiletherearemanypoints
to note: (1) The Government's commitment to tackle and fight corruption can lead to unexpected events
that negatively impact public sentiment; (2) Regardless of the SBV's efforts to withdraw money via open
the market or the Government’s oriented to speed up capital disbursement, our macro team believes that
the banking liquidity is still redundant. However, as the results of that, cash flow for the stock market at
the end of the year will be much less than that of the first haft of the year; (3) The effect of the second
business result season will continue to be digested in August and September without supporting news, (4)
CDS has ended its downtrend since early 2017 and has been fluctuating during last month, and (5) The
derivative market is expected to be active in August but does not have much to attract investors.
Therefore, although we believe that the indices may increase in the first weeks of August, the profit-taking
activitiesmayoverwhelmthebuyingwhichhasturnedintocautiousatcurrenthistorical-highofVNIndex.
Webelieve theVNIndexwillstrongly fluctuate between770to 800points, and maydecreasetolower than
this level in late August.
Strategy Board
Truc Doan – Head of Research
truc.dtt@vdsc.com.vn
Ha My Tran
my.tth@vdsc.com.vn
Lam Nguyen
lam.ntp@vdsc.com.vn
Thien Bui
thien.bv@vdsc.com.vn
Hieu Nguyen
hieu.nd@vdsc.com.vn
Quang Vo
quang.vv@vdsc.com.vn
Ha Tran
ha.ttn@vdsc.com.vn
Please see penultimate page for
additional important disclosure
Viet Dragon Securities Corp. (“VDSC”) is
a foreign broker-dealer unregistered in
the USA. VDSC research is prepared by
research analysts who are not registered
in the USA. VDSC research is distributed
in the USA pursuant to Rule 15a-6 of the
Securities Exchange Act of 1934 solely
by Rosenblatt Securities Inc, an SEC
registered and FINRA-member broker-
dealer.
5
10
15
20
25
1/1/2009
5/1/2009
9/1/2009
1/1/2010
5/1/2010
9/1/2010
1/1/2011
5/1/2011
9/1/2011
1/1/2012
5/1/2012
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9/1/2013
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9/1/2014
1/1/2015
5/1/2015
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1/1/2016
5/1/2016
9/1/2016
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5/1/2017
PE - VNIndex PE Average
07/08/2017
Investment Strategy August 2017
Will the Good Buy Opportunity Arise for Patient Investors?
2. Rong Viet Securities Corporation – Investment Strategy Report August 2017 2
CONTENTS
WORLD ECONOMY ..............................................................................................................................................................................................................................3
US: Positive GDP Growth in Q2 2017 .................................................................................................................................................................3
EU: Still Awaits for a Shift in Monetary Policy .................................................................................................................................................3
China: Sustained Growth Momentum...............................................................................................................................................................4
GLOBAL STOCK MARKETS...............................................................................................................................................................................................................5
VIETNAM MACRO.................................................................................................................................................................................................................................6
Credit into the Economy in H1 2017: The Credit Structure Focused on Production & Real Estate ...........................................6
Accommodative Monetary Policy Amidst Low Inflation Environment................................................................................................7
The Third Quarter Features Ample Liquidity in the Banking System....................................................................................................7
VIETNAM STOCK MARKET IN JULY: Q2’S EARNINGS GROWTH SLOWED DOWN COMPARED TO Q1 .......................................................9
AUGUST STOCK MARKET OUTLOOKS.....................................................................................................................................................................................13
INVESTMENT STRATEGY ...............................................................................................................................................................................................................15
Foreign investors kept net buying the VN30 basket was supportive to the market sentiment during the strongly fluctuating period of the
market in July. As a result, VNIndex recovered quickly just after declining to under 760 points. The selling pressure became more intense
during the market’s rising sessions, which implies that despite the insignificant amount of withdrawals from the market, there was very
little preference for aggressive buying strategy when VNIndex surpassed 780 points.
Most H1 2017 business results have been similar to the market expectation as well as RongViet Research’s forecasts (for stocks of our
conviction list). Macroeconomic indices were considered stable but the growth potential appears to be weaker than the policy makers’
targets. The 6.7% GDP growth rate target for 2017 was considered unfeasible. Therefore, taking into account the abundant cash flows into
the stock market in the first half of the year, the expectations on the whole-year profit growth have mostly been reflected in the increase
since the beginning of the year.
The effects of the H1 2017’s business result announcements can still be displayed during the first three weeks of August. Thus, investors may
stillseekshortterm opportunitiesfromstocksthathaveperformedwellbuttheeffectsonstockpriceshavenotbeenfullyreflected. However,
such investors should also follow strictly the loss-cutting rule and restrain from aggressive buying, especially during the market’s strong
rises. We believe that patient investors will have best buying opportunities for long-term targets.
In July 2017, we also released five company analysis reports, including HTI, BFC, DRC, DQC, NKG, HSG, HPG, CHP, SHP, and CTD. Investors
who are interested in these stocks can find the full report on our website at Company reports.
HIGHLIGHT STOCKS.........................................................................................................................................................................................................................18
45 stocks of RongViet Research (analyzing, discussing with companies) and have analysis and specific evaluation in “Company
report” or “Analyst pinboard”.
3. Rong Viet Securities Corporation – Investment Strategy Report August 2017 3
WORLD ECONOMY
• US: Positive GDP Growth in Q2 2017
• EU: Still Awaits for a Shift in Monetary Policy
• China: Sustained Growth Momentum
US: Positive GDP Growth in Q2 2017
The FOMC decided to maintain the Fed funds rate at a range between 1.00% and 1.25% after the
July meeting. The Fed also repeated the message to unwind of its balance sheet relatively soon.
Despite the prospect of the Fed draining liquidity, the US dollar weakened and treasury yields
dipped after the meeting. As of the end of July, the DXY index decreased by 2.9% MoM and 9.64%
compared to the beginning of the year.
Preliminary data showed that US GDP expanded at 2.6% in the second quarter of 2017. This result
was better than the previous quarter mainly thanks to strong consumer spending and increased
investment. Specifically, personal consumption expenditure rose 2.8% this quarter while
companies increased investment in equipment. The bright spot is exports rose twice as fast as
imports, implying positive external demand as well as weaker dollar. The US economy is
forecasted to grow 2.7% in the third quarter due to strong labor markets, improved consumer and
business sentiment and growing domestic demand.
EU: Still Awaits for a Shift in Monetary Policy
According to Eurostat, “flash” estimate for EU GDP growth was 0.6% in the second quarter of 2017,
following the 0.5% expansion in the previous quarter. This was sustained by a better performance
of domestic demand as well as stronger external sectors. Spain has the fastest growing economy
with a growth of 0.9%. Germany – the main growth pillar of the Eurozone – grew 0.6% in Q2,
followed by France at 0.5%. On the other hand, Italy is the region’s laggard, growing at around
0.4%.
After the July meeting, the ECB decided to keep interest rates unchanged and made no changes
to its bond-buying programs. There is an expectation that the ECB will discuss about its taper
program in September meeting, however, it is likely to be too soon for the debate given the price
pressures that remained. Inflation continued to ease to 1.3% YoY in July, far off the target of just
under 2%.
Figure 1: US GDP (%) Figure 2: DXY movement
Source: Bloomberg Source: BBVA
3.2
2.7
1.6
0.5 0.6
2.2
2.8
1.8
1.2
2.6
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
Q12015
Q22015
Q32015
Q42015
Q12016
Q22016
Q32016
Q42016
Q12017
Q22017
1080
1100
1120
1140
1160
1180
1200
1220
1240
1260
1280
1300
02/01
16/01
30/01
13/02
27/02
13/03
27/03
10/04
24/04
08/05
22/05
05/06
19/06
03/07
17/07
31/07
4. Rong Viet Securities Corporation – Investment Strategy Report August 2017 4
Figure 3: The EU GDP Annual Growth Rate (%) Figure 4: EU Inflation Rate (%)
Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg
China: Sustained Growth Momentum
As mentioned in the last Strategy Report, China maintained a moderated economic growth in Q2
2017, with an expansion of 6.9% YoY, the same rate as the first quarter. In the first half of 2017, the
rebound of exports is the brightest spot due to strong global demand. Net exports contributed
0.3 percentage points to GDP growth, in contrast to a drag on growth for six quarters in a row.
The official PMI fell slightly in July to 51.4 from 51.7, in which, output and new orders are
experiencing sizable declines. Meanwhile, Caixin manufacturing PMI hit a 4-month high of 51.1.
While Caixin’s survey tracks small and medium-sized enterprises, the official PMI focuses on the
large companies and SOEs. As a result, the manufacturing conditions are quite balanced in the
country at the beginning of the third quarter. Markets hold the view of sustained growth
momentum and tightening financial regulation for the rest of the year in China.
Figure 5: China GDP Growth (%) Figure 6: China Official PMI and Caixin PMI
Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg
2.1
2.2
2.1 2.1
1.8 1.8
1.9 1.9 1.9
2.1
1.7
1.8
1.9
2.0
2.1
2.2
2.3
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
2015 2016 2017
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
08/16
09/16
10/16
11/16
12/16
01/17
02/17
03/17
04/17
05/17
7 7
6.9
6.8
6.7 6.7 6.7
6.8
6.9 6.9
6.5
6.6
6.7
6.8
6.9
7
7.1
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
2015 2016 2017
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
01/15
03/15
05/15
07/15
09/15
11/15
01/16
03/16
05/16
07/16
09/16
11/16
01/17
03/17
05/17
07/17
Caixin PMI Official PMI
5. Rong Viet Securities Corporation – Investment Strategy Report August 2017 5
GLOBAL STOCK MARKETS
Figure 7: Performance of some major global stock market indices in July
Source: Bloomberg, RongViet Research
Unlike the same period of last year, when most markets tried to rebalance after the shocking
“Brexit”, July 2017 witnessed a “calm” month.
In July, FED decided to keep the rates unchanged. Although the inflation still came in 1.6%, below
the target of 2%, the FED Chairman Janet Yellen suggested in her testimony that this would not
be very significant. She was also quite positive on the labor market. Many financial institutions
forecast that FED will increase the rate and announce its plan to reduce the balance sheet in
September. Thanks to the stable economy, the US stock market gained quite well in July. In
addition, the Dow Jones, the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Index have been witnessing strong gains
since beginning of 2017.
European markets did not fluctuate much. Like FED, the ECB still withholds the rate. The inflation
rate of EU only reached 1.3%, far below the target of 2%. This might be one reason why ECB did
not decide to increase the interest rate in July.
Asian markets also moved up in July. Shanghai Index and Hang Sheng Index closed the month up
3.46% and 6.05%. Solid economic data of China such as GDP growth 6.9%, retail sales up 11% and
industrial production up 7.6% supported the stock market. Another noticeable economic event
in the Asian region was the BoJ meeting. BoJ did not give any significant announcements except
for the changing of expectation on inflation reaching its 2% target level from 2018 to 2019.
Oil price increased 8.9% in July. The oil price crossed above USD50/barrel. US production figures
fell and inventories dropped by 10.2 million barrels, giving the opportunity for oil price to move
up.
11% 10%
21%
3% 5% 6% 4%
15%
24%
13%
19%
10%
5%
18%
26%
10%
-7%
-15%
-5%
5%
15%
25%
35%
DowJones
S&P500
Nasdaq
FTSE100
CAC40
DAX
Nikkei225
SSE(Shanghai)
HangSeng(Hongkong)
TSEC(Taiwan)
Kospi(Korean)
JKSE(Indonesia)
KLSE(Malaysia)
VNIndex(Vietnam)
HNX-Index(Vietnam)
Gold
Oil
From 30/06/2017 to 31/07/2017 From 31/12/2016 to 31/07/2017
6. Rong Viet Securities Corporation – Investment Strategy Report August 2017 6
VIETNAM MACRO
• Credit into the Economy in H1 2017: The Credit Structure Focused on Production & Real Estate
• Accommodative Monetary Policy Amidst Low Inflation Environment
• The Third Quarter Features Ample Liquidity in the Banking System
Credit into the Economy in H1 2017: The Credit Structure Focused on Production & Real
Estate
According to the SBV, credit to manufacturing & construction expanded robustly at the beginning
of 2017. This movement is different from the previous period when the contribution from real
estate related activities to credit growth was above 50% most of the time. In the first 4 months,
credit to manufacturing and construction grew 10.53% and 17.15%, respectively, compared to
the end of 2016. Based on the data, preliminary evidence suggests credit is being channeled to
the manufacturing sector and is consistent with the authorities’ target. In H1 2017, manufacturing
sector grew 10.52% YoY, contributing 1/3 of GDP growth.
Regarding the construction sector, reported data sent out conflicting messages. According to
GSO, in the first 6 months, total construction value was VND506,600 billion (+11% YoY), in which,
house building construction expanded at the fastest pace (+16.6% YoY and accounted for 42.1%
of total construction value). Credit to construction, however, grew at faster pace and reached a
similar size as total construction value at the end of April 2017 (~VND595,000 billion, +27%YoY).
It is noticeable that credit to other sectors (including real estates, financial services and other
services) witnessed a negative growth of 0.24% compared to the end of 2016. But according to
National Financial Supervisory Commission (NFSC), compared to the end of 2016 loans to
consumer finance grew by 29.7% in Q1 2017, in which, loans to mortgages increased by 38.4%.
From our understanding, the raise of risk weight for loans related to real estate (excluding
mortgages and construction loans) from 150% to 250%, which became effective in January 2017,
has moderated the pace of credit expansion in other sectors. While there is only limited data about
real estate and consumer finance lending, it is considered that a substantial amount of credit
appears to be directed at real estate related sectors through direct lending to developers, loans
for construction and mortgages. As a result, we think the Government’s efforts are not enough to
curb excessive or speculative real estate loans in the banking system.
Generally, we appreciate the efforts of the Government to drive capital into manufacturing sector
to boost GDP expansion. However, there are still concerns about the accelerating lending to real
estate sector. In recent reports about Vietnam economy, the World Bank and IMF both issued
warnings about the high credit growth rate. In particular, IMF has recommended reducing the
credit growth targets to below 15%.
Figure 8: Contribution to Credit Growth (YoY percent change)
Source: GSO, RongViet Research complied
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
Q12014
Q22014
Q32014
Q42014
Q12015
Q22015
Q32015
Q42015
Q12016
Q22016
Q32016
Q42016
Q12017
Agriculture Manufacturing & Construction
Retail & Transportation Others
Credit Growth
7. Rong Viet Securities Corporation – Investment Strategy Report August 2017 7
Accommodative Monetary Policy Amidst Low Inflation Environment
In July 2017, headline inflation has moderated to 2.52% on falling food prices and base effects in
health care prices. Meanwhile, core inflation has expanded a mild 1.49% compared to 2016. In the
remaining months of 2017, the authorities are going to raise administered prices. According to
Circular 02/2017/TT/BYT, higher fees for healthcare services will be applied for patients without
health insurance from June 20, 2017. However, healthcare price index only increased by 0.36% in
July. Based on the agenda, 30 provinces and 2 big cities (Ho Chi Minh City, Hanoi) will apply new
fees in August, another 15 provinces in October, and 18 more provinces will follow in December.
We estimate the hike may add 1% to headline CPI. Besides, the new school year is staring this
month will likely add 0.4% to the headline CPI. As we know, after the plunge in May and June, pork
prices recovered in mid-July and remained stable at the range of VND34,000-VND38,000/kg.
Chinese traders are expected to be back in the coming months because the gap of pork prices
between Vietnam and China has been expanding. Hence, we expect food and foodstuff index
could increase slightly for the rest of this year. After all, we expect the headline inflation will be in
line with the targeted CPI (~4%). Inflationary pressure remains moderate next year with the same
CPI target of 4%. In addition, core inflation remains subdued at below 2%. We think the monetary
policy directions will remain accommodative amidst low inflation environment.
Figure 9: Contribution to Headline Inflation Figure 10: World Price Index
Source: GSO, RongViet Research Source: FAO
The Third Quarter Features Ample Liquidity in the Banking System
The State Bank of Vietnam (SBV) cut several interest rates for the first time since March 2014 in
early of July. Specifically, the refinancing rate was reduced from 6.5% to 6.25%; the rediscount rate
from 4.5% to 4.25%. In addition, the maximum annual short-term interest rate for loans in some
prioritized sectors (agricultural, export, auxiliary industries, SMEs and hi-tech businesses) was cut
by 0.5 percentage pointsto 6.5%. These adjustments are supposed to help increase liquidity for
banks to provide loans, and then boost economic growth. Nonetheless, we see the SBV is still
cautious in its monetary policy and market reactions have not shown any clues about the impact
of this rate cut.
As we are concerned, after a rapid credit growth in the first half of 2017, the credit demand has
slowed down recently. The evidence is interbank interest rates are on the downward trend since
the beginning of the third quarter. Last year, interbank interest rates also declined to a low level
during the same period and lasted until December 2016. Another reason is that most of the
commercial banks are awaiting expansion of credit growth limit from the SBV. In the first six
months of 2017, credit growth of banking system was 9.06% compared to the end of 2016.
However, looking to specific banks, we see most of the banks have almost used up their credit
growth room assigned in 2017 (VIB, MBB, HD Bank, SCB, Kien Long Bank) while top banks (BID,
-2%
-1%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
01/2016
02/2016
03/2016
04/2016
05/2016
06/2016
07/2016
08/2016
09/2016
10/2016
11/2016
12/2016
01/2017
02/2017
03/2017
04/2017
05/2017
06/2017
07/2017
Food Transport
Education & Healthcare Other goods
Headline Core
90
110
130
150
170
190
210
230 1/2010
6/2010
11/2010
4/2011
9/2011
2/2012
7/2012
12/2012
5/2013
10/2013
3/2014
8/2014
1/2015
6/2015
11/2015
4/2016
9/2016
2/2017
7/2017
Food Price Index Meat Price Index
Oils Price Index
8. Rong Viet Securities Corporation – Investment Strategy Report August 2017 8
CTG, VCB, ACB) have used over half of the credit growth limit. Based on current orientation of the
authorities for monetary policy, the SBV will offer more room for lending 1-2% compared to the
target 18% in the beginning of the year, but it also actively controls credit situation to ensure the
efficiency and safety of the banking system.
Figure 11: H1 2017 credit growth of commercial banks
Source: RongViet Research complied
Looking at the trend of banking liquidity in the near future, we think the redundancy in banking
liquidity will continue to be maintained in Q3 and the SBV has to actively use policy instruments
to ensure money supply control because: (1) the demand for G-bonds mobilization in the second
half of the year is lower than the first half (VND43 trillion vs VND141 trillion in H1 2017); (2) Even if
the Government wants to speed up capital disbursement in H2 2017, we think the amount of
deposit money from Treasury State to commercial banks is still high, supporting banking liquidity;
(3) Due to seasonal effects, the expansion of credit demand is usually slow in the third quarter.
Recently, the SBV has actively withdrawn money through outright method in three consecutive
weeks (as of 04 August 2017, the SBV net withdrew VND32 trillion from the banking system by
issuing T-bills).
Figure 12: Interbank Overnight Interest Rate (%) Figure 13: Net Withdrawal in OMO
Source: GSO, RongViet Research Source: SBV
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
BID
CTG
VCB
STB
SHB
ACB
MBB
VPBank
TCB
HDBank
EIB
VIB
TPBank
BacABank
MaritimeBank
NamABank
NCB
SCB
KLB
VietCapitalBank
H1 2017 Target
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
01/01
01/02
01/03
01/04
01/05
01/06
01/07
01/08
01/09
01/10
01/11
01/12
2016 2017
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
-
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
17/07
18/07
19/07
20/07
21/07
24/07
26/07
27/07
28/07
31/07
01/08
02/08
03/08
Value (bn dong) Interest (%)
9. Rong Viet Securities Corporation – Investment Strategy Report August 2017 9
VIETNAM STOCK MARKET IN JULY: Q2’S EARNINGS GROWTH SLOWED DOWN
COMPARED TO Q1
The market faced with trouble in July. Passing through the correction territory from July 7 to
July 24, the market indices recorded positive gains thanks to the recovery seen in the last five
sessions. The VNIndex increased 0.9%, while the HNXIndex also gained 2.1%. That said, without
the support of SAB which has benefited from the news that the Ministry of Industry and Trade will
divest its ownership of the company, the VNIndex is likely to close under the unchanged line,
similar to the VN-30 (-1.2%) and the VN-Mid (-0.3%).
Figure 14 : VN-Index movement in July Figure 15 : HNX-Index movement in July
Source: RongViet Research Source: RongViet Research
Penny stocks outperformed the market. According to our statistics, 127 out of 236 penny stocks
outperformed the market. Besides, stocks enjoying three-digit growth rate in July including HAI,
HAR, SPI, and CMC were also penny stocks.
There were many drivers for capital flowing to penny stocks, including better earnings results
(compared with same period last year) that speculators can rely on to trade. Another reason is that
capital is ample. The market liquidity in 2017 jumped by 65%, compared with the average of 2016,
partly due to the increasing capital used for margin. Based on a sample of the 59 largest brokers
on the market, outstanding loans for such activity arrived at VND27,520 billion (+19.9% YoY).
710
730
750
770
790
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
28/04 16/05 30/05 13/06 27/06 11/07 25/07
Trading Volume (mil. shares) VNINdex (right axis)
85
89
93
97
101
105
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
28/04 16/05 30/05 13/06 27/06 11/07 25/07
Trading Volume (mil. shares) HNXIndex (right axis)
10. Rong Viet Securities Corporation – Investment Strategy Report August 2017 10
Reviewing Q2 2017 Business Results of Listed Companies
Table 1: Revenue and NPAT growth of different sectors
Revenue growth Q2 NPAT growth Q2
Revenue growth
YTD
NPAT growth
YTD
Retail -5.6% -41.5% -2.7% -13.2%
Insurance 17.7% 65.3% 16.7% 35.7%
Real Estate 57.8% 17.4% 33.4% 22.9%
Technology 11.4% 5.7% 10.6% 16.1%
Oil & Gas -9.7% -1333.5% -24.0% -571.3%
Financial Services 19.2% 76.1% 16.9% 63.5%
Utilities 9.4% 29.9% 14.9% 46.0%
Travel & Leisure 53.4% 82.7% 10.8% 63.0%
Industrial Goods & Services 12.2% -1.7% 11.8% 3.3%
Personal & Household Goods 13.0% -6.5% 14.6% 13.4%
Chemicals 6.6% -5.3% 9.2% 1.1%
Banks 26.9% 30.0% 23.8% 22.7%
Automobiles & Parts 10.0% -48.3% 8.6% -35.5%
Basic Resources 32.9% -28.1% 30.6% 8.5%
Food & Beverage -1.9% -12.3% -1.4% 0.2%
Media 5.6% -3.0% 7.2% 4.2%
Construction & Materials 5.2% 7.8% 6.0% 5.2%
Health Care 12.1% 21.9% 12.8% 16.6%
Source: Fiin Pro, RongViet Research *Excluding CII, STG (high abnormal financial income) HAG, HNG (result influenced by retroactive effect) and OGC
Until August 1st, 612 companies listed on HSX and HNX exchanges have announced their Q2
business results. While the results of some sectors are influenced by a single stock like BVH
(Insurance), PVD (Oil & Gas), VJC (Travel & Leisure), stocks in other sectors have displayed a clear
trend.
Sectors enjoying good growth include utilities, financial services, real estate and banking
sectors. GAS, PPC, and hydropower stocks (CHP, TMP, and SHP) have joined the group of
companies with strong growth in Q2 as well as H1 2017. As we have mentioned several times,
weather and hydrology conditions, coupled with favorable supply-and-demand situation have
supported the hydropower stocks strongly.
Sectors with poor growth: Automobile & Parts and Basic Resources. The fact that tax on
imported cars from ASEAN countries will fall to 0% in early 2018 has triggered a discount race
among car distributors. This causes a phenomenon in which people are waiting for the car price
to drop even lower, and in turn leads to lower demand of consumers and weak performance of
the Automobile & Parts stocks. Meanwhile, despite the increase in revenue, raw material price hike
has affected the gross margin of steel companies, hampering the profit of these companies.
Figure 16: NPAT Growth of Automobile & Parts Stocks in Q2 Figure 17: NPAT Growth of Basic Resources Stocks in Q2
Source: Fiin Pro, RongViet Research
Overall, in the H1 2017, the NPAT growth of enterprises on the VNIndex reached 14.4%.
Meanwhile, the 21.6% NPAT growth of enterprises on the HNXIndex is mainly contributed by a
-200% -150% -100% -50% 0% 50%
CMC
SVC
TCH
SRC
HHS
TMT
VKC
DRC
CSM
HTL
HAX
-80% -60% -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60%
HPG
HSG
NKG
KSB
TLH
POM
SMC
11. Rong Viet Securities Corporation – Investment Strategy Report August 2017 11
few stocks only (ACB, VCS, SHB, CHP, VGC, PVI and SHS). Accordingly, this profit growth seemed
to be a bit outpaced by the growth of the VNIndex (17.9%) and the HNXIndex (26.3%).
Figure 18: Revenue and NPAT Growth of Sectors in H1 2017
Foreign Investors Trading: Net Buyers for Seven Consecutive Months
Figure 19: Net trading value of foreign investors
Source: RongViet Research
Foreign investors have been net buyers for seven consecutive months on the HSX but net sellers
on the HNX. In July, foreigners were net buyers of VND2,808 billion on the HSX, including
VND1,300 billion in put-through transactions. Tokyo GAS Asia has bought 22.4 million shares of
PGD at VND56,600 per share. The strong acquisition of PGD to raise ownership to 24.9%
demonstrates the partnership between Tokyo Gas and PV GAS. Tokyo Gas will assist PGD in terms
of technical areas such as energy-saving technology. On one hand, this net purchase is not
necessarily representative of the positive sentiment of foreign investors. Nevertheless, if such
transaction is excluded, foreign investors’ net accumulation value in July on the HSX remains very
significant. Financial services (+VND791 billion) led the net bought list with VCI overwhelming the
net buying value of over VND717 billion. Food and beverage continued to appear in the sector
with strong net buying with VNM and SAB - both are now familiar stocks.
In contrast, foreigners net sold more than VND264 billion on the HNX, in which oil and gas and
banking groups came out to be the two strongest sellers. Poor business results coupled with
sensitive information when Spain's Repsol officially confirmed the drilling of oil exploration at
20.4%
32.8%
23.7%
17.9%
26.3%
19.2%
3.2%
7.8%
14.4%
12.2%13.1% 13.5%
-1.0%
14.4%
21.6%
VN-30 VN-MID VN-SML HOSE HNX
Performance YTD Revenue Growth NPAT Growth
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
03/01 21/03 02/06
Net bought/sold Accumulated Value
12. Rong Viet Securities Corporation – Investment Strategy Report August 2017 12
block 136/3 in the last week of July. PVS was net sold nearly VND117 billion by foreigners. For
banking group, SHB was the strongest net seller. Although (1) it has a low PBR (~ 0.7x) along with
(2) good performance, foreign net sellers have shown that they have a certain degree of caution
on SHB due to not being able to fully assess their bad debts related to Vinalines and Habubank.
In general, foreign cash flow into the market is still plentiful. In the first seven months, the net
accumulative value was over VND11,609 billion. Of the 142 trading sessions, foreign net sellers
were 32 on the HSX and 62 on the HNX. The average net buying value of this session was VND82
billion per session. Despite such positive trading, the average level of intraday participation was
only around 11% in daily trading volume, mostly made up of domestic investors.
13. Rong Viet Securities Corporation – Investment Strategy Report August 2017 13
AUGUST STOCK MARKET OUTLOOKS
Investor sentiment seems "stable" even though the market in the first days of the month received
a lot of information of the type that had created many "dark" sessions in the past. In addition, the
rise of stocks that have a large impact on the basket of indexes such as SAB, VNM, VCB, BID, or ROS
are supporting the VNIndex. We believe that VNIndex can easily reach 800 points in August.
Despite of that, after considering other factors, we think the index could not go further from this
point in the short term. VNIndex has increased 17.9% YTD, lifting the overall P/E of the market to
16.3 by the end of July from 15.5 at the end of 2016. Our earlier assumption that market’s P/E will
be mean-reversed has not occurred yet, thanks to the abundance of cash inflows. It looks like the
rally of VNIndex, however, has fully reflected the listed companies’ business prospects as well as
supported information. The 6M 2017 NPAT of 611 out of 733 listed companies in the HSX and HNX
increased 14.4% YoY, but most of them just fulfilled a little bit more than 50% of their business
plans in 2017. Besides, around 50% of corporations under RongViet Research coverage reported
their business results just in line with our forecast, while more than 30% of coverage stocks
showed disappointing business results. Moreover, after the positive rally since the beginning of
the year, the recommendation on many stocks under our coverage has changed to “Neutral”
rating. In other words, it is not easy to select stocks that are attractive at the moment. Typically, in
such conditions, investors would be psychologically waiting for the business picture of macro and
firms to be more open and clearer.
Given the supposed conditions, we believe that support news will not be much while there are
many points to note: (1) The Government's commitment to tackle and fight corruption can lead
to unexpected events that negatively impact public sentiment; (2) Regardless of the SBV's efforts
to withdraw money via open the market or the Government’s oriented to speed up capital
disbursement, our macro team believes that the banking liquidity is still redundant. However, as
the results of that, cash flow for the stock market at the end of the year will be much less than that
of the first haft of the year; (3) The effect of the second business result season will continue to be
digested in August and September without supporting news, (4) CDS has ended its downtrend
since early 2017 and has been fluctuating during last month, and (5) The derivative market is
expected to be active in August but does not have much to attract investors.
Figure 20: Movements of VNIndex and CDS from Jan – July 2017
Source: Bloomberg
14. Rong Viet Securities Corporation – Investment Strategy Report August 2017 14
Figure 21: Movement of PE VNIndex from 2009 – current
Source: Bloomberg
Therefore, although we believe that the indices may increase in the first weeks of August, the
profit-taking activities may overwhelm the buying which has turned into cautious at current
historical-high of VNIndex. We believe the VNIndex will strongly fluctuate between 770 to 800
points, and may decrease to lower than this level in late August.
Table 2: Key sectors performance
No Name % 1M Price Change % 1Y Price Change
Market Cap
(VND Billion)
ROA (%)
ROE
(%)
Basic P/E P/B
1 Retail -2,5 118,2 35.820 12,9 39,8 15,7 5,9
2 Insurance -0,3 10,7 60.022 2,6 10,6 21,8 2,4
3 Real Estate 2,0 21,6 245.965 3,0 7,0 24,9 3,1
4 Technology 4,9 43,8 33.505 18,1 16,2 13,5 2,4
5 Oil & Gas -3,4 15,2 87.021 5,6 16,3 14,8 3,2
6 Financial Services -1,0 40,0 47.498 4,3 14,2 13,5 1,9
7 Utilities 5,9 30,6 170.638 11,0 18,8 14,3 2,7
8 Travel & Leisure 0,1 3,8 50.726 3,3 60,7 13,9 6,7
9 Industrial Goods & Services -2,3 23,6 80.210 7,7 16,1 12,2 1,8
10 Personal & Household Goods -2,6 29,0 31.582 10,8 25,8 14,8 3,5
11 Chemicals 5,4 20,3 46.548 7,5 13,1 11,1 1,4
12 Banks 1,4 22,6 406.730 0,9 12,6 15,7 1,9
13 Automobiles & Parts -11,4 -10,0 16.263 6,1 12,2 13,1 1,5
14 Basic Resources -4,9 45,9 101.392 10,6 11,5 6,6 1,8
15 Food & Beverage 3,9 48,4 527.361 9,1 31,5 23,3 6,4
16 Media 0,2 26,7 11.126 6,5 4,0 16,8 1,9
17 Construction & Material 2,0 86,5 180.901 6,7 20,0 16,5 3,8
18 Health Care -2,3 95,8 35.519 9,4 21,3 19,1 4,2
5
7
9
11
13
15
17
19
21
23
25
1/1/2009
5/1/2009
9/1/2009
1/1/2010
5/1/2010
9/1/2010
1/1/2011
5/1/2011
9/1/2011
1/1/2012
5/1/2012
9/1/2012
1/1/2013
5/1/2013
9/1/2013
1/1/2014
5/1/2014
9/1/2014
1/1/2015
5/1/2015
9/1/2015
1/1/2016
5/1/2016
9/1/2016
1/1/2017
5/1/2017
PE - VNIndex PE Average
15. Rong Viet Securities Corporation – Investment Strategy Report August 2017 15
INVESTMENT STRATEGY
Foreign investors kept net buying the VN30 basket was supportive to the market sentiment
during the strongly fluctuating period of the market in July. As a result, VNIndex recovered quickly
just after declining to under 760 points. The selling pressure became more intense during the
market’s rising sessions, which implies that despite the insignificant amount of withdrawals from
the market, there was very little preference for aggressive buying strategy when VNIndex
surpassed 780 points.
Most H1 2017 business results have been similar to the market expectation as well as RongViet
Research’s forecasts (for stocks of our conviction list). Macroeconomic indices were considered
stable but the growth potential appears to be weaker than the policy makers’ targets. The 6.7%
GDP growth rate target for 2017 was considered unfeasible. Therefore, taking into account the
abundant cash flows into the stock market in the first half of the year, the expectations on the
whole-year profit growth have mostly been reflected in the increase since the beginning of the
year.
The effects of the H1 2017’s business result announcements can still be displayed during the first
three weeks of August. Thus, investors may still seek short term opportunities from stocks that
have performed well but the effects on stock prices have not been fully reflected. However, such
investors should also follow strictly the loss-cutting rule and restrain from aggressive buying,
especially during the market’s strong rises. We believe that patient investors will have best buying
opportunities for long-term targets.
In July 2017, we also released five company analysis reports, including HTI, BFC, DRC, DQC, NKG,
HSG, HPG, CHP, SHP, and CTD. Investors who are interested in these stocks can find the full report
on our website at Company reports.
Tickers Target price
(VND)
Overall Opinions
HTI 26,200 IDICO IDI (HTI–HSX) specializes in building bridge and road infrastructure. The firm is the investor of BOT An Suong –
An Lac road in the Northwest of HCMC. This is the vital transport route for cargo from Southeastern and Central region
to Mekong Delta region. Fast growing industrial activities and rising vehicle ownership would support traffic growth
passing by HTI’s tollbooth project. The MOT forecasted traffic from HCMC to Long An to record annualized growth of
3.5% from 2011 to 2020 and 5.1% from 2021 to 2030. To strengthen its breadwinner project, HTI is investing flyovers at
An Suong-An Lac’s major junctions to speed up traffic pace and create long-term competitiveness against the newly built
Ho Chi Minh-Long Thanh-Dau Giay and Ben Luc-Long Thanh expressways. Mid-term catalyst comes from the upward
revision of toll to finance Go May flyover in 2020. Having yet to raise equity in 10 years, HTI shows cautious leadership
style focusing on stable business growth. Strong toll cash flow enables itself to mobilize funding for new investments
without having to raise new equity. Therefore, shareholder interest is protected by stable bottom-line growth and little
dilution concern.
Forecasted EPS for 2017 and 2018 are VND2,649 and VND2,494, respectively.
BFC 41,000 The rainy season starting earlier this year led to a stronger fertilization consumprion in Q1when compared with the same
period, indicating that the strong growth in Q1 just reflects the fact that demand came earlier. Considering Q1 is the off-
season for fertilizer consumption, while Q2 is the peak season, we stand by our view that Q2 2017 results will not record
strong YoY growth as in Q1 2017. Considering the above update (compared with our 2017 Strategy Report), we stay
NEUTRAL on the stock in the short term. We recommend investors should hold the stock because we expect better
results in Q3. According to our check, input prices are on pace to return to lower levels. We will consider raising our target
price when we have more evidence.
Forecasted EPS for 2017 and 2018 are VND5,215 and VND6,118, respectively.
DRC 33,100 Da Nang Rubber JSC (DRC – HSX) is a leading domestic manufacturer in the tire and tube industry in Vietnam. In recent
years, the company's new product - the Radial tire is still in the process of market penetration so that the result has not
been as expected. In the short term, we think DRC is still experiencing the difficulty of the industry including the volatility
of raw material prices, especiallythe radial tire sector with additional accelerated depreciation resulting to negative profit
margins. However, considering better sales results and rubber price expected to be stable in the low price range, we
believe that DRC's business performance will prosper quickly in the following quarters of 2017. Notably, based on the
domestic and foreign consumption in the first six months as well as the existing orders, we estimate the output of radial
tires will reach 100% of the first phase designed capacity (equivalent to 300,000 tires), and this segment will return
positive margins. In addition, we find that DRC usually pays high and regular annual dividends of VND2,000-VND3,000
16. Rong Viet Securities Corporation – Investment Strategy Report August 2017 16
per share, similar to many companies of Vietnam National Chemical Group (Vinachem). Vinachem has already planned
for an IPO this year, but it is not yet known whether the Group will divest from DRC. We assess that a divestment will be
unlikely in the near future. As a result, DRC cash dividend rate is likely to remain and can be lifted after the radial project
has a steady return.
Forecasted EPS for 2017 and 2018 are VND2,599 and VND3,144, respectively.
DQC 49,400 2017 onwards, the Cuba receivables and export markets will no longer contribute to DQC’s earnings. This negative effect,
however, will be partially offset, thanks to the booming of LED technology in Vietnam. Having products with reliable
qualityand a 44-year-old national brand, DQC should be able to utilize this trend and enjoystrong growthinLED business
in the coming years, despite fierce competition from small enterprises and imported products from China. Due to the
two reasons mentioned above, it would take a long time for DQC’s earnings to climb back to the level of 2013-2016
period. This, combined with the negative effects from the investigation on DQC’s former chairwoman, has caused DQC’s
price to plummet over 40% from its peak in July 2016. Yet, the stock is still trading at an all-time high P/E forward of 15.6x,
yielding a chance to decrease further. However, we think P/E valuation does not fully reflect potential earnings when LED
lighting will become more and more common in the future. Accordingly, we choose DCF method instead and estimate
DQC’s fair value at VND49,400/share, assuming the 2016-2021 CAGR of DQC’s LED revenue will be 36%. If DQC price
falls to an attractive level, investors still need to choose appropriate time to buy, as we have not seen any short-term
catalyst for the stock price.
Forecasted EPS for 2017 and 2018 are VND3,001 and VND3,501, respectively.
NKG 39,800 NKG has been delivering radical changes in its internal business performance, regarding production, sales and financial
strength. Moreover, the company has been taking advantage of countervailing measures against Chinese steel in both
Vietnam and other export markets. As the construction of the new plant is concluding, NKG’s efficiency and profitability
has been advancing to a new level, and the company has been making rapid improvements in its financial strength by
successful private placements. Firmly maintaining the second highest rank in terms of capacity among local names,
NKG’s remarkable profit growth is offering the market an attractive valuation as the lowest P/E ticker among leading
producers in the steel industry.
Forecasted EPS for 2017 and 2018 are VND7,497 and VND10,667, respectively.
HSG 36,300 As all the duties on coated steel imports are in favor of HSG, the company can take advantage of the ability to control
negative effects of the unfavorable HRC price movement to stabilizing their profitability. However, we expect HSG to see
a moderate decrease in their gross margin, thus a slightly lower quarterly bottom line YoY. More importantly, Ca Na
project being called off can be a positive sign, as HSG can stay focused on its core business, which is still highly profitable.
Forecasted EPS for 2017 and 2018 are VND4,756 and VND5,102, respectively.
HPG 40,000
While a strong capacity growth is not the spotlight for HPG in 2017, Hai Duong Steel complex will continue to be state-
of-the-art in the domestic market and bring about a remarkable stability for the company’s attractive gross margin. We
maintain our positive point of view on the superior profitability of Hoa Phat’s steel business, which is going to keep 2017
EPS stable in spite of the 20% dilution caused by the right issuance. In a longer term, we expect that HPG’s growth will
be boosted by the operation of Dung Quat, a steel complex that will triple HPG’s capacity.
Forecasted EPS for 2017 and 2018 are VND4,898 and VND4,836, respectively.
CHP 31,900 We highly appreciate the business of CHP for its (1) ability to maintain stable results even in adverse hydrological
conditions, thanks to the special location A Luoi plant and (2) strong growth prospect in the long-term with production
capacity expansion. Compared to our most recent recommendation on CHP in the Strategic Report published on 15
March 2017, CHP’s business results in the first half of this year is beyond our expectations. Moreover, the newly
announced solar power project also helps to enhance the long-term prospect of the company.
Forecasted EPS for 2017 and 2018 are VND3,008 and VND2,421, respectively.
SHP 25,400 At the closing price on 10 July 2017, SHP is trading at trailing 12M P/E of 15.6x, which is not attractive for a hydropower
company being in a year of favorable weather. However, due to its potential capacity expansion in the intermediate-term
and extraordinary profit growth in 2017, we expect P/E of SHP to stay at 12x in 2017. Compared to our most recent
recommendation on SHP in the Strategic Report published on 15 March 2017, the business results of the company in
the first half was better than our expectations and the outlook of hydrological conditions in the second half is better as
well. Moreover, the long-term prospect of the company is much brighter, thanks to the new solar project. In the longer
term, we still maintainour positive view onthe companyand believe that SHP stock would have considerable profitability
at low risk. Therefore, investor can consider holding SHP in the long term.
Forecasted EPS for 2017 and 2018 are VND2,081 and VND1,830, respectively.
CTD 251,200 CTD is an outstanding construction contractor in the domestic market and the company has proven the power to win
the largest bids as well as the internal resources to satisfy clients’ demand in terms of design capacity and progress.
Despite the market concerns over the peaking housing sector, we anticipate a sustainable growth in other segments of
the real estate market including industrial, commercial and infrastructure, which will manage to keep the construction
demand growth. Subsequently, as the leading firm, CTD is able to develop new growth drivers as well as to skim the most
profitable jobs in the market. The company is going to adapt to a new revenue structure, which allows them to diversify
their portfolio and maintain a decent growth rates over the next three-year period.
Forecasted EPS for 2017 and 2018 are VND20,564 and VND25,196, respectively.
17. Rong Viet Securities Corporation – Investment Strategy Report August 2017 17
Figure 22: RongViet Research’s stock pick
Source: RongViet Research; Price @ Aug 3rd
, 2017
20. Rong Viet Securities Corporation – Investment Strategy Report August 2017 20
MACRO WATCH IN JULY
Low Inflation Continued Continuous Improving in Retail Sales
Source: GSO, RongViet Research Source: GSO, RongViet Research
PMI Declined to 51.7 in July Trade Growth Steadied
Source: GSO, RongViet Research Source: GSO, RongViet Research
Stable Foreign Capital Winning Volume Decreased in July
Source: FII, RongViet Research Source: VBMA, RongViet Research
260,000
280,000
300,000
320,000
340,000
0%
4%
8%
12%
07/2016
08/2016
09/2016
10/2016
11/2016
12/2016
01/2017
02/2017
03/2017
04/2017
05/2017
06/2017
07/2017
Retail Sales (VND B) Growth (Ex inflation)
-2.0
.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
07/2016
08/2016
09/2016
10/2016
11/2016
12/2016
01/2017
02/2017
03/2017
04/2017
05/2017
06/2017
07/2017
50
51
52
53
54
55
PMI IP (3m moving average)
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
07/2016
08/2016
09/2016
10/2016
11/2016
12/2016
01/2017
02/2017
03/2017
04/2017
05/2017
06/2017
07/2017
Export Import
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
07/2016
08/2016
09/2016
10/2016
11/2016
12/2016
01/2017
02/2017
03/2017
04/2017
05/2017
06/2017
07/2017
Implemented capital Registered capital
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
35000
40000
07/2016
08/2016
09/2016
10/2016
11/2016
12/2016
01/2017
02/2017
03/2017
04/2007
05/2007
06/2017
07/2017
Winning volume
Offering volume
Winning/Offering Ratio
0.0%
0.1%
0.2%
0.3%
0.4%
0.5%
0.6%
07/2016
08/2016
09/2016
10/2016
11/2016
12/2016
01/2017
02/2017
03/2017
04/2017
05/2017
06/2017
07/2017
Headline inflation Core inflation
21. Rong Viet Securities Corporation – Investment Strategy Report August 2017 21
INDUSTRY INDEX
Level 1 industry movement Level 2 industry movement
Source: RongViet Research Source: RongViet Research
Industry PE comparison Industry PB comparison
Source: RongViet Research Source: RongViet Research
3%
0%
-4%
-1%
-2%
2%
1% 0%
2%
7%
-6%
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
Technology
Industrials
Oil&Gas
ConsumerServices
HealthCare
ConsumerGoods
Banks
BasicMaterials
Financials
Utilities
-2%
2%
1%
3%
-4%
4%
7%
-1%
-2%
-2%
3%
1%
-8%
-1%
2%
-1%
2%
-2%
-10% -5% 0% 5% 10%
Retail
Insurance
Real Estate
Technology
Oil & Gas
Financial Services
Utilities
Travel & Leisure
Industrial Goods & Services
Personal & Household Goods
Chemicals
Banks
Automobiles & Parts
Basic Resources
Food & Beverage
Media
Construction & Materials
Health Care
13.1
14.0
14.9 15.5
19.5
18.7
15.1
8.0
20.2
13.9
17.2
12.3
Technology
Industrials
Oil&Gas
Consumer…
HealthCare
Consumer…
Banks
Basic…
Financials
Utilities
HSX
HNX
2.3
3.1
3.4
2.9
4.4
5.7
1.8
1.6
2.8 2.7
3.8
1.7
Technology
Industrials
Oil&Gas
Consumer…
HealthCare
Consumer…
Banks
BasicMaterials
Financials
Utilities
HSX
HNX
22. Rong Viet Securities Corporation – Investment Strategy Report August 2017 22
Table 3: Net buying/selling value of foreign investors classifying by sectors in June
HSX HNX
Net volume (mn
shares)
Net value (bn VND) Net volume (mn
shares)
Net value (bn VND)
Oil & gas -2.4 16 -11.2 -178
Chemicals 7.4 146 0.2 4
Basic resource 2.4 82 1.2 4
Construction & building materials -2.4 84 1.0 32
Industrial goods & services 4.4 71 0.3 8
Automobiles & parts 2.2 39 -0.7 -6
Food & beverage 8.5 328 0.6 14
Personal and household goods -0.9 -24 -0.3 -4
Healthcare -0.3 -10 0.1 -1
Retail 0.3 -1 0.0 0
Communication 0.0 0 0.3 3
Travel & leisure -0.1 -17 0.3 6
Utilities 22.5 1,355 0.1 2
Banks 3.9 134 -20.3 -186
Insurance -0.3 -25 0.1 2
Real estate -12.2 -165 0.9 13
Financial services 29.7 791 1.7 26
Technology 0.0 3 -0.2 0
Total 62.9 2,808 -25.9 -264
23. Rong Viet Securities Corporation – Investment Strategy Report August 2017 23
ANALYSIS & INVESTMENT ADVISORY DEPARTMENT
Truc Doan
Head of Research
truc.dtt@vdsc.com.vn
+ 84 28 62992006 (1308)
Ha My Tran
Deputy Manager
my.tth@vdsc.com.vn
+ 84 28 62992006 (1309)
• Macroeconomics
Lam Nguyen
Senior Strategist
lam.ntp@vdsc.com.vn
+ 84 28 6299 2006 (1313)
• Banking
• Conglomerates
Thien Bui
Senior Analyst
thien.bv@vdsc.com.vn
+ 84 28 6299 2006 (1321)
• Market Strategy
• Financial Services
• Personal Goods
Hoang Nguyen
Senior Analyst
hoang.nh@vdsc.com.vn
+ 84 28 6299 2006 (1319)
• Transportation
• Industrial Real Estates
Hieu Nguyen
Senior Analyst
hieu.nd@vdsc.com.vn
+ 84 28 6299 2006 (1514)
• Market Strategy
• Pharmaceuticals
• Durable Household Goods
Duong Lai
Senior Analyst
duong.ld@vdsc.com.vn
+ 84 28 6299 2006 (1522)
• Real Estates
• Building Materials
Vu Tran
Senior Analyst
vu.thx@vdsc.com.vn
+ 84 28 6299 2006 (1518)
• Oil & Gas
• Food & Beverage
Ha Trinh
Analyst
trinh.nh@vdsc.com.vn
+ 84 28 6299 2006 (1331)
• Steel
• Construction
• Technology
Quang Vo
Analyst
quang.vv@vdsc.com.vn
+ 84 28 6299 2006 (1517)
• Market Strategy
• Basic Materials
• Personal Goods
Son Phan
Analyst
son.pnt@vdsc.com.vn
+ 84 28 6299 2006 (1519)
• Utilities
• Natural Rubber
Thu Le
Analyst
thu.lta@vdsc.com.vn
+ 84 28 6299 2006 (1521)
• Automobiles and Parts
Ha Tran
Assistant
ha.ttn@vdsc.com.vn
+ 84 28 6299 2006 (1526)
RONG VIET SECURITIES
CORPORATION
Floor 1-2-3-4, Viet Dragon Tower,
141 Nguyen Du St. - Dist 1 – HCMC
Tel: (84 28) 6299 2006
Fax: (84 28) 6291 7986
Email: info@vdsc.com.vn
Website: www.vdsc.com.vn
Hanoi Branch
2C Thai Phien St., Hai Ba Trung Dist,
Hanoi
Tel: (84 24) 6288 2006
Fax: (84 24) 6288 2008
Can Tho Branch
95-97-99 Vo Van Tan – Ninh
Kieu - Can Tho
Tel: (84 292) 381 7578
Fax: (84 292) 381 8387
Nha Trang Branch
50Bis Yersin St, Nha Trang
Tel: (84 258) 382 0006
Fax: (84 258) 382 0008
24. Rong Viet Securities Corporation – Investment Strategy Report August 2017 24
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