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10 Disruptive trends in
wealth management
Foreword
Dear Readers,
The global Wealth Management and Private Banking industry continues to experience significant challenges and
transformation. The industry is progressively adapting to the impact of tax transparency, increased competition and client
demands and other realities which followed the financial crisis. Today however, new challenges and opportunities are
emerging which players should anticipate in order to position themselves for success.
In this report, we outline ten disruptive trends which we expect to change global industry standards in terms of how advice
and investment services are delivered to the new generation of clients. These changes revolve around three main themes of
evolving investor needs, digital transformation and the increasingly complex market environment:
•	A generational shift is under way, and the needs and preferences of clients are evolving towards a simpler and more
engaging experience. Investors are looking for a holistic advisory solution that encompasses their needs across a wide
range of products, services and multi-jurisdictions.
•	Following other industries, the Wealth Management and Private Banking industries are now experiencing in-depth
digitalisation, with no turning back in sight. The recent introduction of robo-advice platforms and the use of big data and
analytics weigh in favour of further transformation.
•	Finally, the market environment has become increasingly complex to operate in. Competition has intensified with the
market entry of specialised players. Additional investments and costs related to the introduction of new regulations does
little to alleviate the continued pressure on profit margins.
These global trends are particularly relevant for Luxembourg players, where the industry’s development lies even more than
elsewhere on internationalisation and adaptation to these new standards. The first players to take on these challenges
successfully will surely secure their position for the years to come.
We hope you enjoy reading this report and invite you to reach out if you wish to exchange further on these topics.
Benjamin Collette
Partner
Global Investment Management
Consulting Leader
EMEA Wealth Management and
Private Banking Co-Leader
Wealth Management (WM)1
is one of the most attractive
sectors within financial services for at least two reasons:
First, WM businesses tend to have greater growth
prospects, lower capital requirements, and a higher return
on equity (ROE) than most other retail banking businesses,
hence their appeal to diversified financial services firms at a
time when capital is viewed as more expensive, growth is
hard to come by, and equity returns for the banking industry
are close to the cost of capital. Second, WM offerings
are essential to attracting and retaining profitable retail
customers. For instance, based on our experience, mass
affluent customers can typically represent 80% or more of
the net income generated by retail banks and they often
regard their relationship with a provider of WM services as
their most important financial relationship. As result, many
diversified financial services firms are doubling down on
their WM businesses.
The WM industry is in the midst of significant change:
a new generation of investors, whose expectations and
preferences have been shaped by new technologies
and by their living through the last financial crisis, have
brought new standards to the industry in terms of how
advice and investment products are being delivered. These
new investors will control an increasing share of US retail
assets over the next decade. Furthermore, a challenging
investment environment, characterized by increased levels
of uncertainty and rising costs of risk to investors and WM
firms alike is making it harder for advisors to generate
superior investment performance for their clients. Shifting
demographics with the aging of advisors and an upcoming
transfer of wealth from baby boomers to their children
will upset many established advisor/client relationships and
create opportunities for new firms to grow market share at
the extent of incumbent firms. Finally, increasing regulatory
burdens, new business models and new competitive
patterns all come together to further compound the level of
disruption in the WM industry.
Introduction
1
We define WM as the provision of financial advice and investment services
to retail investors, ranging from low-income clients to High Net Worth
(HNW) and Ultra High Net Worth (UHNW) individuals and families.
3
New firms and new business models as well as
renewed commitment by incumbent WM firms will
drive higher intensity of competition for the same
clients and the same assets
A new generation of investors think differently
about advice bring new attitudes and expectations
to the WM industry, influencing how older
investors purchase and consume wealth services
Increasing regulatory burdens and rising
costs of risks pose new challenges to
WM firms and their parent companies
With the rise of Robo Advisors, new
combinations of science and human based
advisory models have emerged
This is a challenging macro environment
for investors and their advisors to find
the right return/risk combinations
Big data and advanced analytics are on
the cusp of transforming the WM industry,
with new ways to engage with new
clients, manage client relationships and
manage risks
Two demographic trends: (i) Advisors are
aging and leaving the industry faster than
firms are replacing them; (ii) Wealth is about
to change hands, upsetting established
client/advisor relationships
Investors value holistic advice on how
to achieve multiple, often conflicting
goals through a range of investment and
funding strategies
Longevity concerns increasingly are or should be at the heart of
client-advisor conversations, even years ahead of retirement
Retail investors are demanding access to the same asset
classes and investment strategies as HNW or institutional
investors
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
10 Disruptors
to Wealth
Management
Industry
The
Re-wired
Investor
Science- vs.
Human-based
Analytics
and Big Data
Holistic,
Goals-based
Advice
Democratiza-
tion of Asset
Classes &
Strategies
Catching
the
Retirement
Wave
The Aging
of Advisors &
Upcoming
Transfer of
Wealth
Macro
Environment: 3
Lows and 2 Highs
New
Competitive
PatternsRising
Costs of Risk
and Increasing
Regulatory
Burdens
We have identified 10 principal sources of disruption in the WM industry today (Fig. 1. the Wheel of Change is Turning
on Our Industry). They are not independent of each other but rather tend to build on each other. Together they could
profoundly change our industry in the next decade. WM firms will need to adapt to these disruptors and find new ways to
create value for their clients.
10 Disruptive trends in wealth management 4
We speak of the Re-wired Investor to refer to new thinking
patterns, standards and expectations by a new generation
of investors. This new generation of investors include Gen
X and Gen Y2
investors, but also baby boomers who have
been influenced by their younger peers.
The Re-wired investor thinks about advice differently from
previous generations and expects to interact with her advisors
in a different way. We have identified 9 new “mentalities”
and six potential implications for WM firms (see Figure 2). For
instance, investors no longer want to be treated as part of a
segment but instead as unique individuals (“Just me”) with
specific goals and preferences. Instead they expect to receive
advice tailored to their unique circumstances.
Likewise, they want to stay in control of their financial
lives and understand the advice they receive and make the
important decisions themselves. They are reluctant to buy
discretionary services and they are increasingly comfortable
conducting their own research.
The Re-wired Investor is more skeptical of authority
than previous generations of investors. She believes
in the wisdom of her peers. As a result, she is likely to
seek opinions and views from multiple sources of advice
simultaneously, including but not restricted to experts
and financial advisors and often starting with people like
her friends and colleagues. With her expectations shaped
by her interactions with non-financial digital firms (e.g.,
Google, Facebook, Amazon) as well as smartphones and
other digital devices, she expects to be able to access advice
anywhere and at any time, through multiple channels and
devices as part of a cohesive, rich digital experience.
The Re-wired Investor has come to view risk through a
different lens: she perceives risk as downside, rather than
volatility. As a result, advisors have had to emphasize
capital markets and hedging strategies that seek downside
protection more than traditional portfolio allocations that
seek to manage risk through diversification.
Lastly, she feels entitled to the same investment products and
strategies available to Ultra High Net Worth (UHNW) or even
institutional investors forcing WM firms to think through
new ways to give their retail investors access to alternative
investments and new asset classes beyond traditional fixed
income and equities, as well as active strategies.
The Re-wired Investor is likely here to stay—and her
influence over the rest of the investor class is likely to
increase. Accordingly, WM firms and their advisors should
adjust their offerings and service delivery models to “win the
battle” for the Re-wired Investor—the investor of the future.
1.	The re-wired investor
2
Gen X, the approximately 45 million Americans born in the
late 1960s and 1970s, and Gen Y, the approximately 60 million
Americans born in the 1980s and first half of 1990s
Just me
Digital & Personal
Stay in control
Wisdom of my tribe
Do it yourself
Skeptical of authority
Anywhere, anytime
Risk defined as downside
Not a Second Class Investor
Mentalities of the Re-Wired Investor
Bespoke
Investment advice and products perceived
to be tailored to individuals one at a time
Multiple sources of advice
Not just from one advisor, but from other
advisors, peers, experts, social media
Risk Management as Hedging
Downside protection and hedging more
than diversification
Multi-channel
Access to multiple channels and several
advisory models at the same time
Rich digital front end
Expectations formed interacting with non-
FIs; must be simple, intuitive, self-directed
Democratization of investments
Access to same high yield assets & strategies
once available only to wealthier investors
Implications for WM firms
Figure 2: The Re-Wired Investor
The Re-wired investor is here to stay and his influence over the rest of the US
investor class is likely to increase.
5
Technology is poised to change the nature and delivery of
financial advice in some significant ways, much as it has
transformed other industries such as tax preparation, taxi
booking, and accommodations, to mention just a few.
In the last five years, a number of “robo advisors” have
emerged. These firms leverage client survey data into
complex algorithms that produce customized financial
plans and asset allocations. They also help investors find
relevant research within an ever-growing universe of
studies, interviews, and market commentaries. Some firms
have also pioneered tools and methodologies that generate
real-time trade and investment recommendations tailored
to individual investors’ history and preferences. Once the
models and algorithms have been built and tested, investing
and trading tools can be made available to customers with
limited human intervention, emphasizing the shift from
human-based, person-to-person advice to science-based,
model-driven advice.
Robo advisors are growing in popularity and have gained
traction in the marketplace but still have quite a bit of room
for growth. A survey by consulting firm Corporate Insight
finds that total assets managed by the 11 leading robo
advisors in the US rose 65% over the past year, hitting $19
billion in December 2014.3
While significant, this figure
represents less than 0.1% of the $33 trillion retail investable
assets in the US.4
Furthermore, with aggressive pricing
(~0.3% of AUM)5
the potential for the current generation
of robo advisors to generate meaningful bottom line and
create a return for the Venture Capital firms behind many of
them is still unproven.
Nevertheless, robo advisors present the potential for
significant market disruption. For one, their businesses are
built on a solid premise: some forms of advice (especially
investment advice such as asset allocation or fund/
stock picking) can effectively be produced and delivered
through technology. This approach is especially attractive
for investors who are technology-savvy and want to have
greater control over their financial lives—the Re-wired
Investor of the future that we profiled above. While
robo advisors have not had the distribution and access
to investors to grow fast so far, this may be about to
change: incumbent WM firms with deep pockets and wide
distribution capabilities are now either developing in-house
capabilities or by partnering with some leading robo
advisors. With access to large pools of investors, established
and well-funded companies could drive rapid adoption
of new forms of science-based advice and create new
expectations for the rest of the market.
However, we do not believe science-based advice will fully
displace human-based advice, nor are robo advisors likely to
dis-intermediate financial advisors in a major way. Rather,
we may see a not-too-distant future where science-based
advice may draw customers who could not previously afford
a personal advisor or were not comfortable with human-
based advice—potentially expanding the advice market. We
could also see winning advisory models combine elements
of the science and human-based advice models into a hybrid
model. The balance between the two will likely vary across
investor segments (see Figure 3: Human vs. Science-
based Advice) based on investors’ ability to pay for advice,
the complexity of financial needs, their self-confidence,
and financial background, etc. Furthermore, investors are
likely to continue to seek personal advice for needs that
reach beyond investment (e.g., tax and estate planning)
or involve emotional issues (e.g., securing health care for
elderly parents). Financial advisors should try to harness
the power of science-based advice to effectively outsource
some aspects of their work while focusing their time on the
elements of advice where they can add most value to their
clients and differentiate themselves. Incumbent WM firms
will need to invest in building the technology platforms and
tools that will enable this hybrid advisory model.
2.	Science vs. Human-based advice
3
“Notes on Retirement: Total AUM Increases for 11 Leading Robo-Advisors,” Mark Miller,
Wealth Management.com. December 22, 2014 (link: Corporate Insights Survey)
4
“US Households Control $33.5 Trillion in Investible Assets,” InsuranceNewsNet.
November 12, 2014 (link: Insurancenewsnet.com)
5
Fee analysis of leading robo advisors Wealthfront and Betterment
10 Disruptive trends in wealth management 6
Figure 3: Science vs. Human Based Advice
The “winning” advisory model will likely be a hybrid model that combines the best elements of science and human
based advice, taking into account differences in needs and willingness to pay across the client wealth spectrum
“Human-Based”
“Science-Based”
NatureofAdvice
The winning model
is a hybrid model
(except at the two
ends of the client
wealth spectrum)
More Simple
Needs (e.g., asset
allocations, Mutual
Fund selection)
More Complex Needs
(e.g., Tax & Estate,
Multi-Currency, Assets/
Liabilities, Esoteric
Investments)
Client Wealth Spectrum
7
As volumes of consumer data continue to grow
exponentially—in 2012, 2.8 zettabytes of data were
created, and this figure is expected to grow to 40 zettabytes
by 20206
—new technologies have emerged to help process
make sense of it. As a result, Big Data is in the process
of revolutionizing entire industries (e.g., retail, consumer
goods, healthcare). With leading WM firms now investing
in building more advanced analytics and data management
capabilities7
), the industry could be poised to go through
the same kind of transformation.
While most WM firms currently use fairly simple analytics
based on MIS and reporting systems, to deliver key business
insights around client segments, advisor books, product
penetration, and training program effectiveness, we expect
to see firms develop more descriptive and predictive
analytics that combine internal and external, structured and
unstructured data to create more complete and insightful
client profiles. This enhanced insight will allow firms to assess
existing or potential new clients’ propensity to purchase
various products and services, their lifetime value, investment
style, and risk tolerance. Over time, the WM industry will
likely also develop its own brand of algorithmic analytics that
supports investment decisions in real time (see Figure 4)
3.	Analytics and big data
6
Big Data—The Next Big Thing in Consumer Engagement, Deloitte 2014
7
For instance, UBS recently held an innovation competition in which over 80 vendors
demonstrated their methods for extracting meaningful insights from client data. Source:
“UBS Turns to Artificial Intelligence to Advise Clients,” by Jeffrey Voegeli, Bloomberg
Business. December 7, 2014 (link: Bloomberg)
Figure 4: Four Types of Analytical Capabilities
The Wealth Management industry is behind the curve in terms of levering big data
and analytics, but it may be poised to make rapid progress in the next several years
Percentage of
total WM firm’s
analytic time
spent on each
type of analytical
capability
Algorithmic
Predictive
Descriptive
MIS/Reporting
1.	 Algorithmic capabilities: Tracking activity (often
in digital environments) and adjusting your
company’s responses in real time
2.	 Predictive capabilities: Establishing data
driven guidance for decisions in the midst of
uncertainty
3.	 Descriptive capabilities: Providing a better
understanding of business impact and
customer response
4.	 Reporting and MIS capabilities: Monitoring
everyday financial and operational performance
Our Perspective: Shifting Mix of Analytical Capabilities in WM Industry Four Types of Analytic Capabilities
A number of leading WM firms have started
to invest significantly in building bid data and
analytics capabilities
Illustrative
10 Disruptive trends in wealth management 8
To date the industry has identified only some of the benefits that these new analytical capabilities could unleash. This is only
a formidable list (see Figure 5). Nearly all core management processes, from prospecting and sales to advice and portfolio
construction, from risk management to supervision, could be deeply affected and made significantly more efficient and
effective. All stakeholders, including advisors and their management teams, clients and regulators, could benefit. Not all
WM firms will invest sufficiently to develop these new capabilities, but those that do could create potential competitive
advantage for themselves. We are on the cusp of a major disruption.
Figure 5: Analytics Example Use Cases in WM
Most WM core processes will be impacted by advanced analytics
1.	 Business Performance Management:
a)	 Track business results and key drivers (client segments, advisor books, product penetration, etc.)
b)	 Reveal and track advisors’ propensity to adopt various tools and methodologies
2.	 Client Acquisition:
a)	 Leverage internal & external data (social, TP data bases) to create comprehensive prospect profiles
b)	 Map relationships and generate client leads
3.	 Client Retention:
a)	 Leverage channel and social data to assess client sentiment and client risk real time (instead of
surveys)
b)	 Leverage external/internal data to understand client interests, connections and personality create
best client/advisor match to increase connectivity and stickiness
4.	 Client Sales:
a)	 Leverage external data sources to create Net Worth and Share of Wallet profiles for existing clients
b)	 Measure client’s propensity to purchase various funds or types of advice
c)	Assess client lifetime value
d)	 Correlate transaction and channel data with market events to reveal client true risk tolerance
5.	 Client Advice:
a)	 Leverage client survey and other information to create tailored portfolio allocations
b)	 Rebalance portfolios real time and generate real time, trade/investment ideas based on client
preferences and market events
c)	 Leverage cognitive computing technology to create Q&A capability and provide person-to-
machine advice
6.	Supervision:
a)	 Compare personality and investment profiles with investment/trading activities and client actions
to flag suitability issues
9
The basis for competition among advisors has changed: In
the past, financial advisors focused on investment advice
(e.g., portfolio allocation, stock picking, mutual fund
selection) and tried to convince clients of their ability to
deliver superior investment returns for them. However,
investment advice has now become largely commoditized,
at least for mass market or emerging affluent clients,
with most WM firms, even the smaller RIAs, having
access to basically the same products, tools, and models.
Furthermore, studies have demonstrated that stock pickers
tend to underperform market indexes over time and that
advisors on average fail to generate above-market average
returns for their clients.8
Consequently, it is difficult for most
financial advisors to prove their services are differentiated
based on their investing prowess.
At the same time, consumers’ lives have become more
complicated and the investment environment has grown
more uncertain, creating a need for more advice, not less.
For instance, as consumers try to achieve multiple goals
(e.g., sustaining a certain lifestyle, buying a second house,
paying for children’s education, retiring with confidence
and ease, funding rising healthcare cost of aging parents,
etc.) they need advice on how to fund these multiple goals
over time, how to make trade-offs between them, and how
to use the full strength of their personal balance sheet and
manage to the right mix of assets and liabilities over time.
To meet investor needs, WM firms and their advisors
should shift to holistic, goals-based advice and measure
performance based on achieving clients’ goals within agreed
timeframes rather than beating market benchmarks. This is
also a way to broaden the range of advice advisors provide,
from investment to wealth management, and escape the
commoditization of investment advice.
Leading WM firms have invested millions9
to develop and
train staff on goals-based advisory frameworks and tools.
For instance, some tools help clients identify and prioritize
personal goals, develop funding and investing strategies to
achieve those goals. Other programs advise clients using
a combination of factors, from client’s current assets and
liabilities to life stages, life events and multiple personal needs.
Further, a number of software providers now offer white
label solutions to support wealth management firms’
offerings of goals-based solutions to clients. We expect
firms that serve a mass affluent client base will increasingly
leverage industry standard, third-party solutions, while
High Net Worth (HNW) firms are likely to rely on in-house
solutions. Goals-based wealth management is likely to
become the industry norm across more wealth tiers.
Despite these developments, a recent industry survey by
Deloitte suggested that many advisors in the industry still
face significant barriers to providing holistic advice to their
clients, including access to the right tools and software,
training, access a wide range of products and services, and
compensation.10
We believe WM firms must address these
barriers in order to meet their clients’ changing needs.
4.	Holistic, goals-based advice
8
For example, a recent study published by the National Bureau of Economic Research found that investors with
an advisor gain around 1.8% per year; however, these investors are paying on average an additional 1.7% for
that advisor thus negating nearly all of the additional return. Source: “Are financial advisors worth the money?”
by Kim Peterson, CBS Moneywatch. December 3, 2014 (Link: CBS News)
9
“Goals-Based Investing Is On The Rise,” by Cyril Tuohy, insuranceNewsNet, October 1, 2014
(Link: InsuranceNewsNet)
10
Making retirement security a reality: What can financial institutions and advisors do?, April 30, 2015
10 Disruptive trends in wealth management 10
Increasingly retail investors expect the same access to
potentially high yield asset classes and strategies as wealthier,
accredited investors. As indicated above, the Re-wired
Investor does not want to be treated as a second class
customer. Instead, retail investors are increasingly expecting
the same access to high yield asset classes and strategies as
wealthier, accredited investors, especially in the wake of a
low yield environment following the financial crisis.
A number of start-up firms have entered the market in the
last five years to respond to this drive for yield and access to
best-in class investment solutions that were historically the
sole purview of commercial or high net-worth investors (see
Deloitte: Digital Disruption in Wealth Management, 2014)
•	Some firms provide mass market investors access to
sophisticated, institutional-like trading strategies, either
by copying the trading strategies of professional portfolio
managers or by using automated trading strategies
developed by hedge fund managers.
•	Other firms allow investors to diversify their portfolios into
exotic asset classes. For instance, lending platforms allow
investors to become creditors to individual borrowers
for a fixed rate of return. Crowdfunding firms make it
possible for investors to pool equity investments together.
Both types of firms essentially serve as a central point for
bringing investors together with people that need funding.
•	Lastly, some firms put analytics directly at the retail
investors’ fingertips, allowing them to create their own
empirical research and test their own hypotheses, much
like institutional investors have always done.
Large, incumbent WM firms have generally paid little
attention so far to these start-ups and the capabilities that
they are actively building. However, innovation is shifting
in the direction of democratizing access to investment
solutions as exemplified by the number of start-ups
dedicated to that cause (see Figure 6: Digital Innovation
Shifting from Connecting and Advising to Investing).
Incumbents should follow—because their clients will likely
demand that they do.
5.	Democratization of
investment solutions
Figure 6: Digital Innovation shifting from Connecting to Advising and now Investing
50
0
10
20
30
40
60
>2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
SigFig
AdviseConnect InvestConnect Advise
18 Firms
17 Firms
18 Firms
Source: Deloitte Analysis, 2013
Prosper
Mint Wikinvest
Family Office
Exchange
People & Picks
Garrett Planning
Network
Wealthfront
NestEgg
Betterment
FutureAdvisor
Personal Capital
LearnVest
Crowdfunder
Collective2 Covestor
Kensho
LendingClub
Motif
Allow investors to connect their
accounts together, and connect with
their peers and the right advisors
Provide investors access to
non-traditional, institutional-like
investment strategies and opportunities
Leverage digital interfaces and
analytics to deliver tailored advice and
enhanced experiences
11
Wealth managers serve clients across the wealth spectrum.
All but the wealthiest of these clients have one primary
concern is whether they will outlive their assets. Many
investors simply want assurance that they can generate
enough income in retirement to continue their current
standard of living. But providing that assurance is no
longer as simple as it once was; longer life expectancies,
the rising cost of medical care, and concerns about the
potential insolvency of government entitlement programs
have generally shaken these investors’ confidence in their
retirement security.
For advisors, providing advice and planning around
retirement income is an incredibly complex task. Advisors
need to help their clients make numerous assumptions
around portfolio returns, spending patterns, inflation, future
tax rates, longevity, housing costs, healthcare expenses, the
future of social security and many more issues. An error in
any one of these assumptions could significantly affect a
client’s retirement plan.
Despite significant efforts over the last decade to improve
retirement income planning services, many wealth
management firms are still optimized around offering
accumulation advice rather than income planning. Meeting
the needs of clients focused on retirement will require new
capabilities, including new products, tools and services.
Clients need access to a suite of saving and investment
solutions, not just traditional retirement products such as
annuities and defined contribution plans.
To address their clients’ “longevity challenge” wealth
managers must find new ways to engage with clients early
in their working careers, well before a traditional wealth
management engagement would begin, and help them
balance their short and long-term financial goals through
wise trade-offs. By encouraging them to save early and
providing advice, planning, products and services, wealth
managers can help clients prepare confidently for retirement.
As already noted, retirement planning is about a stage of life
and not simply about tax-deferred accounts. While corporate
plans are an important component of a plan for retirement,
they are only one component of retirement planning. So
plan providers should actively engage plan participants
and remind them to take a holistic view of their portfolio,
recognizing that a 401(k) is only a single component of a
comprehensive retirement plan. Retirement plan providers
must look for ways to broaden participant engagement
and expand their relationship into a personal advisory and
educational relationship well before any type of distribution
event. Here, new robo adviser capabilities may prove helpful
in scaling up advice economically. Technology assisted
‘Centers of Excellence’ where clients can access qualified
subject matter experts could help as well.
Providers of retirement products should think more
broadly about wealth management, and traditional wealth
management firms should put retirement and longevity
concerns at the heart of the advice they give to investors of
all age groups and wealth tiers.
6.	Catching the retirement wave
10 Disruptive trends in wealth management 12
Two major demographic shifts will impact the WM sector
in the coming decade: the aging of advisors, with many
approaching retirement age, and the transfer of wealth
from baby boomers to their children. Both trends could
result in a massive dislocation of existing advisor/client
relationships. In other words, assets will likely change both
owners and advisors.
The advisor population is aging rapidly and preparing for
a significant transition with 43% of US Financial Advisors
over the age of 55 years old, the industry is contending
with the expectation that approximately 1/3 of this current
workforce will retire in the next 10 years.11,12,13
The WM
industry will need to recruit and train nearly 240,000 advisors
just to maintain current service levels—a concern by any
measure, but especially challenging given the persistently
low graduation rates at wirehouse training programs.14
Furthermore, wirehouses also find it increasingly challenging
to retain their graduating classes beyond a few years, and it is
costly to train a new generation of advisors only to see them
leave and join smaller, competing broker dealers and RIAs.
The aging of the US Advisor population is creating other
challenges as well.15
First, the growing generational gap
between advisors and the Re-wired Investor makes it
challenging for some advisors to understand and adjust
to the needs and preferences of a younger generation of
wealth, resulting in weakened client-advisor relationships.
Second, many advisors have been slow to adopt new tools,
use mobile channels, and to evolve toward new advisory
models that balance human and science-based advice. This
is no simple resolution and many incumbent WM firms
struggle with this issue, often investing in training without
realizing significant return on their investments.
The aging advisor is likely to be a significant issue for the
industry as whole. This challenge will put a premium on
creative recruiting practices (e.g., tapping new talent pools
for future advisors), more effective training, and more
sophisticated change management programs (to allow for
managing advisors’ propensity to adopt new tools and
methodologies). Firms should continue to shift toward a
team-based approach to promote continuity of relationships
even as lead advisors retire. New technologies and robo
advice capabilities have the potential to somewhat ease the
shortage of advisors by allowing existing advisors to spread
themselves over a greater number of client relationships.
However, this increase in efficiency is likely to be offset by
increased regulatory requirements (for instance, a move to
fiduciary standards).
As advisors retire, so too will their fellow Baby Boomers,
initiating the largest transfer of wealth in history. Over the
55-year period from 2007-2061, $58.1 trillion is expected
to move from one adult population to another.16
Historically
wealth transfers from one generation to the next have
resulted in 90% of heirs changing advisors,17
presenting
both an opportunity and a major threat for WM firms. Firms
must meet this by building multi-generational relationships
with their clients and their families—and by adapting to
meet the expectations of their new clients, many of whom
look more like the Re-wired Investor (outlined above) than
their parents’ generation.
7.	The aging of advisors &
upcoming transfer of wealth
11
“The incredible shrinking advisor: How onerous new rules are driving away financial planners in droves,” by
David Pett, Financial Post, January 30, 2015. (Link: Financial Post)
12
“A Hunt to Find the Next Generation of Financial Advisors,” by Rachel Abrams, New York Times. June 24,
2014 (Link: New York Times)
13
“Advisors slow to train successors,” by Andrew Osterland, CNBC. May 1, 2014 (Link: CNBC)
14
“A Hunt to Find the Next Generation of Financial Advisors,” by Rachel Abrams, New York Times. June 24,
2014 (Link: New York Times)
15
“One of the Fastest-Growing Careers Is In Desperate Need of Young Talent,” by Halah Touryalai, Forbes.
August 8, 2012 (Link: Forbes)
16
Deloitte Research
17
Deloitte Research
13
The financial crisis and its aftermath have changed the
environment for both wealth managers and investors in
several profound ways. Investors are now forced to navigate
an environment plagued by three lows and two highs:
1.	 Low Interest Rates by historical standards that make
it challenging for investors to generate returns on their
deposits and other short-duration investments;
2.	 Low inflation rates for the foreseeable future
(with deflationary risk) that have forced investors to
rethink long-held assumptions about financial and real
assets appreciation;
3.	 Low/Slowing Rates of Economic Growth around the
world that make it more challenging to find satisfactory
returns without taking on extraordinary risk;
4.	 High volatility across financial markets has challenged
long-held assumptions about the wisdom of
diversification, of long only strategies, and market timing;
5.	 High levels of Financial Leverage by individual
investors and pressure to de-lever personal balance
sheets will force many to scale down their bets.
As a result, investors have much less of sense of direction
than they used to. The confusion is only compounded
by widely divergent scenarios and forecasts by research
analysts, market economists, and others, including winners
of the Nobel Prize in Economics. Often their only conviction
is that long-only strategies will no longer work. This climate
of uncertainty has several key implications for WM firms and
advisors. For instance:
a)	 Advisors will have to factor multiple, divergent market
scenarios into “What If” Analyses. This requires hard
thinking as well as new levels of modesty, but is key to
building and maintaining trust from investors
b)	 Firms will develop increasingly sophisticated research and
modeling capabilities to support scenario analyses;
c)	 Advisors will need to be proactive in reaching out to clients
in times of volatility and proactively rebalance portfolios;
d)	 Firms will have to develop new product offerings for
managing their clients’ cash and other short duration
assets and support their value in real terms. This may
require bringing some traditionally institutional offerings
to retail investors;
e)	 Advisors will have to design investment strategies that
would perform well in a deflationary environment or, at
a minimum, would allow investors to quickly unlock long
positions and move into more defensive positions;
f)	 Firms will need to continue to manufacture structured
notes that allow investors to place bets on macro
trends and market indices while protecting investors
against downside;
g)	 Hedging and risk management will be at a premium
with capital markets capabilities including F/X and
interest rate swaps
8. A new investment environment:
3 lows and 2 highs
10 Disruptive trends in wealth management 14
In just the past few years, the WM businesses of several
global banks have attracted significant regulatory action
from the US government. These actions highlight how the
risks WM firms must manage as part of business as usual
has risen over the past 10 years. They also highlight to the
reputational risks that WM businesses pose to their parent
companies (and how the cost of this risk relative to the profit
growth contribution of these businesses has increased).
WM firms have always had to manage activities that are
inherently fraught with risk, from running adequate KYC/
AML processes for on-boarding clients to applying suitability
standards to investment decisions and performing due
diligence on fund managers, from processing trades and
other transactions to extending credit to clients, to cite just
a few (see Figure 7).
The cost of these risks is especially high for HNW businesses
such as Private Banks and their parent companies because
of the breadth of their product offerings (from investments
to capital markets and lending) and the sensitive nature and
high profile of their client base. The regulatory environment
has changed rapidly since the 2008 crisis—and the full
regulatory impact is still not clear. What is clear is that the
regulatory burden on WM firms, their advisors and their
clients is getting ever more complex.
This is where we could see regulatory burden shifting in
2015-2016:
•	Consumer Protection: Much of the regulatory focus will
likely be centered on consumer protection issues. The
concept of putting the customer first and acting in their
best interest is a common theme in the guidance issues
by regulators. There is a particular focus on transactions
that include “wealth events” such as with a rollover IRA or
an inheritance as well as with “at-risk” clients such as the
elderly. Regulators want to ensure that firms have a culture
of compliance and the supervisory structure in place to
enforce it. Regulators may also try to accelerate a transition
to fiduciary standards for plan providers and brokers.
•	Financial Products: There is also growing concern
around a variety of products that may be subject to
market, credit, liquidity, interest rate or operational risk.
Products that raise regulatory concern include variable
annuities, retail alternative investments, non-traded real
estate investment products and other structured products.
•	Conflicts of Interest: Conflicts of interest are also at the
core of regulatory concerns and tie back to the concept
of acting in the best interest of the customer. Regulators
around the world are focused on having wealth mangers
identify and mitigate such conflicts. Key examples include
fees and compensation incentives, and trading-fee rebate.
•	Outsourcing: Regulators want assurance that outsourced
activities are in full compliance with all applicable
securities laws and regulations (including FINRA and MSRB
rules). Areas of focus include ensuring that proper due
diligence and risk assessment is performed on potential
providers, and that sufficient supervision is implemented
for outsourced activities.
•	Cybersecurity: Recent attacks, both within the financial
services industry and others such as retail and healthcare,
have kept attention focused on this issue. Regulators want
to ensure that controls, governance, and processes at wealth
managers are well thought out and are in compliance.
9. Rising costs of risk and
heavier regulatory burden
15
While regulatory risk is not a new issue for wealth managers, the stakes are higher than in the past. The wealth
management industry is centered on trust; one “risk event” such as a cyber-attack or a major regulatory fine, can destroy
that trust, and in turn, the reputation of the institution. As such, regulatory risk management is not simply a cost of doing
business but rather an investment in the reputation and long-term health of the institution.
Figure 7: Key risks facing wm businesses
Key Risks
Operational
Compliance
Credit
Reputational
Strategic
Branch
Supervision
Middle/
Back Office
Information
Management
Regulatory
Reporting
Portfolio
Management
Compliance
Program
Trading
Practices
Client
On-Boarding
• Product Suitability
• Licensing
• Sales Practices
• Sales and Marketing Materials
• Client Communications
• Fee Billing
• AML/KYC
• Investment Compliance
Management
• Principal Trading
• Best Execution
• Trade Allocation
• Cross Trading
• Governance Framework
• Advisor Training
• Monitoring and Testing
• Code of Ethics
• Data Management
• Custody and Clearing
• Accounting Books and Records
• Cost Basis/Tax Reporting
• Retention Requirements
• Protection of Customer
Information & PII
• Shared Customer
Information Across IA/BD
• Cyber Threats
• Form ADV-Accurate
Representation of the
Business
• FINRA Filings
Requirements
• Bank Regulatory
Reporting
• Third Party Managers
• Consistency with
Investment Style
• Allocation of Investment
Opportunities
• Book Review/Account
Review
WM businesses and their parents face multiple risks which costs have only risen since the financial crisis
10 Disruptive trends in wealth management 16
Since the financial crisis we have seen an increase of
competition in the WM industry, driven by a renewed
commitment by incumbent WM firms, new investments
by retail banks and the emergence new firms and new
business models. All in all, more firms and more advisors
are competing for the same clients and the same assets.
Key competitive trends include:
•	Continued convergence of brokerage and private banking
models to serve affluent clients with a broad range of
advisory, investment, banking and lending capabilities.
Brokerage firms are busy building banking/lending
capabilities while private and trust banks try to emulate
their sales culture and their investment capabilities.
•	Large, diversified banks emphasize cross-selling of wealth
and banking services to their client base and continue
to coordinate their various WM business models and
brands, treating them as distinct channels rather than
distinct businesses, further blurring distinctions between
WM businesses.
•	Continued fragmentation of financial advisory
with Independent Registered Investment Advisors
(RIAs) continuing to gain market share at the expense
of wirehouses.
•	Established asset managers have entered the retail
arena, competing directly with entrenched discount
brokerage providers.
•	Competition for mass affluent clients has increased
with banks and discount brokerage firms targeting this
segment. Robo advice capabilities will likely enable the
distribution arms of insurance companies and asset
managers to provide advice to the same clients and
increasingly compete with other WM firms.
•	Digitally enabled start-ups are capitalizing on a high rate
of innovation in the industry.18
We expect these trends to drive a further increase in the
intensity of competition across most WM markets and client
segments, impacting the margins of WM firms. Investors
across all wealth tiers have never had as many options for
advice as they do today, and they will use this leverage to
insist on greater value.
10. Convergence and new
competitive patterns
17
Conclusion
This is a time of significant change and disruption for the WM industry. New forms of advice and new ways to deliver that
advice will continue to emerge, and competitive positions will erode while others will strengthen, creating winners and
losers across the industry. While retail investors will likely benefit from all the changes WM firms must strategically evolve to
adapt to these critical shifting dynamics.
Special thanks for additional contributions by Frances Symes.
Authors
Gauthier Vincent
Principal, Deloitte Consulting LLP
gvincent@deloitte.com
Jared Goldstein
Manager, Deloitte Consulting LLP
jagoldstein@deloitte.com
Sean Cunniff
Research Leader — Investment Management
Deloitte Services LP
scunniff@deloitte.com
Contributors
Denise Rotatori
Manager, Deloitte Consulting LLP
drotatori@deloitte.com
Karl Ersham
Principal, Deloitte Consulting LLP
kersham@deloitte.com
Eilean Guo
Manager, Deloitte Consulting LLP
eiguo@deloitte.com
Luxembourg contacts
Benjamin Collette
Partner - Global Investment
Management
Consulting Leader
EMEA Wealth Management and
Private Banking
Co-Leader
+352 451 452 809
bcollette@deloitte.lu
Martin Flaunet
Partner - Financial Services Industry
+352 451 452 334
mflaunet@deloitte.lu
Pascal Martino
Partner - Financial Services Industry
+352 451 452 119
pamartino@deloitte.lu
Patrick Laurent
Partner - Financial Services Industry
+352 451 454 170
palaurent@deloitte.lu
Pascal Rapallino
Partner
Tax services
+352 451 452 846
parapallino@deloitte.lu
François Gilles
Director - Financial Services Industry
+352 451 452 751
fgilles@deloitte.lu
Said Qaceme
Director - Financial Services Industry
+352 451 453 633
sqaceme@deloitte.lu
10 Disruptive trends in wealth management 18
This publication contains general information only and Deloitte is not, by means of this publication, rendering
accounting, business, financial, investment, legal, tax, or other professional advice or services. This publication
is not a substitute for such professional advice or services, nor should it be used as a basis for any decision
or action that may affect your business. Before making anydecision or taking any action that may affect your
business, you should consult a qualified professional advisor. Deloitte shall not be responsible for any loss
sustained by any person who relies on this publication.
About Deloitte
Deloitte refers to one or more of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited, a UK private company limited by guarantee,
and its network of member firms, each of which is a legally separate and independent entity. Please see
www.deloitte.com/about for a detailed description of the legal structure of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited
and its member firms. Please see www.deloitte.com/us/about for a detailed description of the legal structure
of Deloitte LLP and its subsidiaries. Certain services may not be available to attest clients under the rules and
regulations of public accounting.
Copyright © 2015 Deloitte Development LLC. All rights reserved.
Member of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited.

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Lu en-10-disruptors-wealth-management-102015

  • 1. 10 Disruptive trends in wealth management
  • 2. Foreword Dear Readers, The global Wealth Management and Private Banking industry continues to experience significant challenges and transformation. The industry is progressively adapting to the impact of tax transparency, increased competition and client demands and other realities which followed the financial crisis. Today however, new challenges and opportunities are emerging which players should anticipate in order to position themselves for success. In this report, we outline ten disruptive trends which we expect to change global industry standards in terms of how advice and investment services are delivered to the new generation of clients. These changes revolve around three main themes of evolving investor needs, digital transformation and the increasingly complex market environment: • A generational shift is under way, and the needs and preferences of clients are evolving towards a simpler and more engaging experience. Investors are looking for a holistic advisory solution that encompasses their needs across a wide range of products, services and multi-jurisdictions. • Following other industries, the Wealth Management and Private Banking industries are now experiencing in-depth digitalisation, with no turning back in sight. The recent introduction of robo-advice platforms and the use of big data and analytics weigh in favour of further transformation. • Finally, the market environment has become increasingly complex to operate in. Competition has intensified with the market entry of specialised players. Additional investments and costs related to the introduction of new regulations does little to alleviate the continued pressure on profit margins. These global trends are particularly relevant for Luxembourg players, where the industry’s development lies even more than elsewhere on internationalisation and adaptation to these new standards. The first players to take on these challenges successfully will surely secure their position for the years to come. We hope you enjoy reading this report and invite you to reach out if you wish to exchange further on these topics. Benjamin Collette Partner Global Investment Management Consulting Leader EMEA Wealth Management and Private Banking Co-Leader
  • 3. Wealth Management (WM)1 is one of the most attractive sectors within financial services for at least two reasons: First, WM businesses tend to have greater growth prospects, lower capital requirements, and a higher return on equity (ROE) than most other retail banking businesses, hence their appeal to diversified financial services firms at a time when capital is viewed as more expensive, growth is hard to come by, and equity returns for the banking industry are close to the cost of capital. Second, WM offerings are essential to attracting and retaining profitable retail customers. For instance, based on our experience, mass affluent customers can typically represent 80% or more of the net income generated by retail banks and they often regard their relationship with a provider of WM services as their most important financial relationship. As result, many diversified financial services firms are doubling down on their WM businesses. The WM industry is in the midst of significant change: a new generation of investors, whose expectations and preferences have been shaped by new technologies and by their living through the last financial crisis, have brought new standards to the industry in terms of how advice and investment products are being delivered. These new investors will control an increasing share of US retail assets over the next decade. Furthermore, a challenging investment environment, characterized by increased levels of uncertainty and rising costs of risk to investors and WM firms alike is making it harder for advisors to generate superior investment performance for their clients. Shifting demographics with the aging of advisors and an upcoming transfer of wealth from baby boomers to their children will upset many established advisor/client relationships and create opportunities for new firms to grow market share at the extent of incumbent firms. Finally, increasing regulatory burdens, new business models and new competitive patterns all come together to further compound the level of disruption in the WM industry. Introduction 1 We define WM as the provision of financial advice and investment services to retail investors, ranging from low-income clients to High Net Worth (HNW) and Ultra High Net Worth (UHNW) individuals and families.
  • 4. 3 New firms and new business models as well as renewed commitment by incumbent WM firms will drive higher intensity of competition for the same clients and the same assets A new generation of investors think differently about advice bring new attitudes and expectations to the WM industry, influencing how older investors purchase and consume wealth services Increasing regulatory burdens and rising costs of risks pose new challenges to WM firms and their parent companies With the rise of Robo Advisors, new combinations of science and human based advisory models have emerged This is a challenging macro environment for investors and their advisors to find the right return/risk combinations Big data and advanced analytics are on the cusp of transforming the WM industry, with new ways to engage with new clients, manage client relationships and manage risks Two demographic trends: (i) Advisors are aging and leaving the industry faster than firms are replacing them; (ii) Wealth is about to change hands, upsetting established client/advisor relationships Investors value holistic advice on how to achieve multiple, often conflicting goals through a range of investment and funding strategies Longevity concerns increasingly are or should be at the heart of client-advisor conversations, even years ahead of retirement Retail investors are demanding access to the same asset classes and investment strategies as HNW or institutional investors 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 10 Disruptors to Wealth Management Industry The Re-wired Investor Science- vs. Human-based Analytics and Big Data Holistic, Goals-based Advice Democratiza- tion of Asset Classes & Strategies Catching the Retirement Wave The Aging of Advisors & Upcoming Transfer of Wealth Macro Environment: 3 Lows and 2 Highs New Competitive PatternsRising Costs of Risk and Increasing Regulatory Burdens We have identified 10 principal sources of disruption in the WM industry today (Fig. 1. the Wheel of Change is Turning on Our Industry). They are not independent of each other but rather tend to build on each other. Together they could profoundly change our industry in the next decade. WM firms will need to adapt to these disruptors and find new ways to create value for their clients.
  • 5. 10 Disruptive trends in wealth management 4 We speak of the Re-wired Investor to refer to new thinking patterns, standards and expectations by a new generation of investors. This new generation of investors include Gen X and Gen Y2 investors, but also baby boomers who have been influenced by their younger peers. The Re-wired investor thinks about advice differently from previous generations and expects to interact with her advisors in a different way. We have identified 9 new “mentalities” and six potential implications for WM firms (see Figure 2). For instance, investors no longer want to be treated as part of a segment but instead as unique individuals (“Just me”) with specific goals and preferences. Instead they expect to receive advice tailored to their unique circumstances. Likewise, they want to stay in control of their financial lives and understand the advice they receive and make the important decisions themselves. They are reluctant to buy discretionary services and they are increasingly comfortable conducting their own research. The Re-wired Investor is more skeptical of authority than previous generations of investors. She believes in the wisdom of her peers. As a result, she is likely to seek opinions and views from multiple sources of advice simultaneously, including but not restricted to experts and financial advisors and often starting with people like her friends and colleagues. With her expectations shaped by her interactions with non-financial digital firms (e.g., Google, Facebook, Amazon) as well as smartphones and other digital devices, she expects to be able to access advice anywhere and at any time, through multiple channels and devices as part of a cohesive, rich digital experience. The Re-wired Investor has come to view risk through a different lens: she perceives risk as downside, rather than volatility. As a result, advisors have had to emphasize capital markets and hedging strategies that seek downside protection more than traditional portfolio allocations that seek to manage risk through diversification. Lastly, she feels entitled to the same investment products and strategies available to Ultra High Net Worth (UHNW) or even institutional investors forcing WM firms to think through new ways to give their retail investors access to alternative investments and new asset classes beyond traditional fixed income and equities, as well as active strategies. The Re-wired Investor is likely here to stay—and her influence over the rest of the investor class is likely to increase. Accordingly, WM firms and their advisors should adjust their offerings and service delivery models to “win the battle” for the Re-wired Investor—the investor of the future. 1. The re-wired investor 2 Gen X, the approximately 45 million Americans born in the late 1960s and 1970s, and Gen Y, the approximately 60 million Americans born in the 1980s and first half of 1990s Just me Digital & Personal Stay in control Wisdom of my tribe Do it yourself Skeptical of authority Anywhere, anytime Risk defined as downside Not a Second Class Investor Mentalities of the Re-Wired Investor Bespoke Investment advice and products perceived to be tailored to individuals one at a time Multiple sources of advice Not just from one advisor, but from other advisors, peers, experts, social media Risk Management as Hedging Downside protection and hedging more than diversification Multi-channel Access to multiple channels and several advisory models at the same time Rich digital front end Expectations formed interacting with non- FIs; must be simple, intuitive, self-directed Democratization of investments Access to same high yield assets & strategies once available only to wealthier investors Implications for WM firms Figure 2: The Re-Wired Investor The Re-wired investor is here to stay and his influence over the rest of the US investor class is likely to increase.
  • 6. 5 Technology is poised to change the nature and delivery of financial advice in some significant ways, much as it has transformed other industries such as tax preparation, taxi booking, and accommodations, to mention just a few. In the last five years, a number of “robo advisors” have emerged. These firms leverage client survey data into complex algorithms that produce customized financial plans and asset allocations. They also help investors find relevant research within an ever-growing universe of studies, interviews, and market commentaries. Some firms have also pioneered tools and methodologies that generate real-time trade and investment recommendations tailored to individual investors’ history and preferences. Once the models and algorithms have been built and tested, investing and trading tools can be made available to customers with limited human intervention, emphasizing the shift from human-based, person-to-person advice to science-based, model-driven advice. Robo advisors are growing in popularity and have gained traction in the marketplace but still have quite a bit of room for growth. A survey by consulting firm Corporate Insight finds that total assets managed by the 11 leading robo advisors in the US rose 65% over the past year, hitting $19 billion in December 2014.3 While significant, this figure represents less than 0.1% of the $33 trillion retail investable assets in the US.4 Furthermore, with aggressive pricing (~0.3% of AUM)5 the potential for the current generation of robo advisors to generate meaningful bottom line and create a return for the Venture Capital firms behind many of them is still unproven. Nevertheless, robo advisors present the potential for significant market disruption. For one, their businesses are built on a solid premise: some forms of advice (especially investment advice such as asset allocation or fund/ stock picking) can effectively be produced and delivered through technology. This approach is especially attractive for investors who are technology-savvy and want to have greater control over their financial lives—the Re-wired Investor of the future that we profiled above. While robo advisors have not had the distribution and access to investors to grow fast so far, this may be about to change: incumbent WM firms with deep pockets and wide distribution capabilities are now either developing in-house capabilities or by partnering with some leading robo advisors. With access to large pools of investors, established and well-funded companies could drive rapid adoption of new forms of science-based advice and create new expectations for the rest of the market. However, we do not believe science-based advice will fully displace human-based advice, nor are robo advisors likely to dis-intermediate financial advisors in a major way. Rather, we may see a not-too-distant future where science-based advice may draw customers who could not previously afford a personal advisor or were not comfortable with human- based advice—potentially expanding the advice market. We could also see winning advisory models combine elements of the science and human-based advice models into a hybrid model. The balance between the two will likely vary across investor segments (see Figure 3: Human vs. Science- based Advice) based on investors’ ability to pay for advice, the complexity of financial needs, their self-confidence, and financial background, etc. Furthermore, investors are likely to continue to seek personal advice for needs that reach beyond investment (e.g., tax and estate planning) or involve emotional issues (e.g., securing health care for elderly parents). Financial advisors should try to harness the power of science-based advice to effectively outsource some aspects of their work while focusing their time on the elements of advice where they can add most value to their clients and differentiate themselves. Incumbent WM firms will need to invest in building the technology platforms and tools that will enable this hybrid advisory model. 2. Science vs. Human-based advice 3 “Notes on Retirement: Total AUM Increases for 11 Leading Robo-Advisors,” Mark Miller, Wealth Management.com. December 22, 2014 (link: Corporate Insights Survey) 4 “US Households Control $33.5 Trillion in Investible Assets,” InsuranceNewsNet. November 12, 2014 (link: Insurancenewsnet.com) 5 Fee analysis of leading robo advisors Wealthfront and Betterment
  • 7. 10 Disruptive trends in wealth management 6 Figure 3: Science vs. Human Based Advice The “winning” advisory model will likely be a hybrid model that combines the best elements of science and human based advice, taking into account differences in needs and willingness to pay across the client wealth spectrum “Human-Based” “Science-Based” NatureofAdvice The winning model is a hybrid model (except at the two ends of the client wealth spectrum) More Simple Needs (e.g., asset allocations, Mutual Fund selection) More Complex Needs (e.g., Tax & Estate, Multi-Currency, Assets/ Liabilities, Esoteric Investments) Client Wealth Spectrum
  • 8. 7 As volumes of consumer data continue to grow exponentially—in 2012, 2.8 zettabytes of data were created, and this figure is expected to grow to 40 zettabytes by 20206 —new technologies have emerged to help process make sense of it. As a result, Big Data is in the process of revolutionizing entire industries (e.g., retail, consumer goods, healthcare). With leading WM firms now investing in building more advanced analytics and data management capabilities7 ), the industry could be poised to go through the same kind of transformation. While most WM firms currently use fairly simple analytics based on MIS and reporting systems, to deliver key business insights around client segments, advisor books, product penetration, and training program effectiveness, we expect to see firms develop more descriptive and predictive analytics that combine internal and external, structured and unstructured data to create more complete and insightful client profiles. This enhanced insight will allow firms to assess existing or potential new clients’ propensity to purchase various products and services, their lifetime value, investment style, and risk tolerance. Over time, the WM industry will likely also develop its own brand of algorithmic analytics that supports investment decisions in real time (see Figure 4) 3. Analytics and big data 6 Big Data—The Next Big Thing in Consumer Engagement, Deloitte 2014 7 For instance, UBS recently held an innovation competition in which over 80 vendors demonstrated their methods for extracting meaningful insights from client data. Source: “UBS Turns to Artificial Intelligence to Advise Clients,” by Jeffrey Voegeli, Bloomberg Business. December 7, 2014 (link: Bloomberg) Figure 4: Four Types of Analytical Capabilities The Wealth Management industry is behind the curve in terms of levering big data and analytics, but it may be poised to make rapid progress in the next several years Percentage of total WM firm’s analytic time spent on each type of analytical capability Algorithmic Predictive Descriptive MIS/Reporting 1. Algorithmic capabilities: Tracking activity (often in digital environments) and adjusting your company’s responses in real time 2. Predictive capabilities: Establishing data driven guidance for decisions in the midst of uncertainty 3. Descriptive capabilities: Providing a better understanding of business impact and customer response 4. Reporting and MIS capabilities: Monitoring everyday financial and operational performance Our Perspective: Shifting Mix of Analytical Capabilities in WM Industry Four Types of Analytic Capabilities A number of leading WM firms have started to invest significantly in building bid data and analytics capabilities Illustrative
  • 9. 10 Disruptive trends in wealth management 8 To date the industry has identified only some of the benefits that these new analytical capabilities could unleash. This is only a formidable list (see Figure 5). Nearly all core management processes, from prospecting and sales to advice and portfolio construction, from risk management to supervision, could be deeply affected and made significantly more efficient and effective. All stakeholders, including advisors and their management teams, clients and regulators, could benefit. Not all WM firms will invest sufficiently to develop these new capabilities, but those that do could create potential competitive advantage for themselves. We are on the cusp of a major disruption. Figure 5: Analytics Example Use Cases in WM Most WM core processes will be impacted by advanced analytics 1. Business Performance Management: a) Track business results and key drivers (client segments, advisor books, product penetration, etc.) b) Reveal and track advisors’ propensity to adopt various tools and methodologies 2. Client Acquisition: a) Leverage internal & external data (social, TP data bases) to create comprehensive prospect profiles b) Map relationships and generate client leads 3. Client Retention: a) Leverage channel and social data to assess client sentiment and client risk real time (instead of surveys) b) Leverage external/internal data to understand client interests, connections and personality create best client/advisor match to increase connectivity and stickiness 4. Client Sales: a) Leverage external data sources to create Net Worth and Share of Wallet profiles for existing clients b) Measure client’s propensity to purchase various funds or types of advice c) Assess client lifetime value d) Correlate transaction and channel data with market events to reveal client true risk tolerance 5. Client Advice: a) Leverage client survey and other information to create tailored portfolio allocations b) Rebalance portfolios real time and generate real time, trade/investment ideas based on client preferences and market events c) Leverage cognitive computing technology to create Q&A capability and provide person-to- machine advice 6. Supervision: a) Compare personality and investment profiles with investment/trading activities and client actions to flag suitability issues
  • 10. 9 The basis for competition among advisors has changed: In the past, financial advisors focused on investment advice (e.g., portfolio allocation, stock picking, mutual fund selection) and tried to convince clients of their ability to deliver superior investment returns for them. However, investment advice has now become largely commoditized, at least for mass market or emerging affluent clients, with most WM firms, even the smaller RIAs, having access to basically the same products, tools, and models. Furthermore, studies have demonstrated that stock pickers tend to underperform market indexes over time and that advisors on average fail to generate above-market average returns for their clients.8 Consequently, it is difficult for most financial advisors to prove their services are differentiated based on their investing prowess. At the same time, consumers’ lives have become more complicated and the investment environment has grown more uncertain, creating a need for more advice, not less. For instance, as consumers try to achieve multiple goals (e.g., sustaining a certain lifestyle, buying a second house, paying for children’s education, retiring with confidence and ease, funding rising healthcare cost of aging parents, etc.) they need advice on how to fund these multiple goals over time, how to make trade-offs between them, and how to use the full strength of their personal balance sheet and manage to the right mix of assets and liabilities over time. To meet investor needs, WM firms and their advisors should shift to holistic, goals-based advice and measure performance based on achieving clients’ goals within agreed timeframes rather than beating market benchmarks. This is also a way to broaden the range of advice advisors provide, from investment to wealth management, and escape the commoditization of investment advice. Leading WM firms have invested millions9 to develop and train staff on goals-based advisory frameworks and tools. For instance, some tools help clients identify and prioritize personal goals, develop funding and investing strategies to achieve those goals. Other programs advise clients using a combination of factors, from client’s current assets and liabilities to life stages, life events and multiple personal needs. Further, a number of software providers now offer white label solutions to support wealth management firms’ offerings of goals-based solutions to clients. We expect firms that serve a mass affluent client base will increasingly leverage industry standard, third-party solutions, while High Net Worth (HNW) firms are likely to rely on in-house solutions. Goals-based wealth management is likely to become the industry norm across more wealth tiers. Despite these developments, a recent industry survey by Deloitte suggested that many advisors in the industry still face significant barriers to providing holistic advice to their clients, including access to the right tools and software, training, access a wide range of products and services, and compensation.10 We believe WM firms must address these barriers in order to meet their clients’ changing needs. 4. Holistic, goals-based advice 8 For example, a recent study published by the National Bureau of Economic Research found that investors with an advisor gain around 1.8% per year; however, these investors are paying on average an additional 1.7% for that advisor thus negating nearly all of the additional return. Source: “Are financial advisors worth the money?” by Kim Peterson, CBS Moneywatch. December 3, 2014 (Link: CBS News) 9 “Goals-Based Investing Is On The Rise,” by Cyril Tuohy, insuranceNewsNet, October 1, 2014 (Link: InsuranceNewsNet) 10 Making retirement security a reality: What can financial institutions and advisors do?, April 30, 2015
  • 11. 10 Disruptive trends in wealth management 10 Increasingly retail investors expect the same access to potentially high yield asset classes and strategies as wealthier, accredited investors. As indicated above, the Re-wired Investor does not want to be treated as a second class customer. Instead, retail investors are increasingly expecting the same access to high yield asset classes and strategies as wealthier, accredited investors, especially in the wake of a low yield environment following the financial crisis. A number of start-up firms have entered the market in the last five years to respond to this drive for yield and access to best-in class investment solutions that were historically the sole purview of commercial or high net-worth investors (see Deloitte: Digital Disruption in Wealth Management, 2014) • Some firms provide mass market investors access to sophisticated, institutional-like trading strategies, either by copying the trading strategies of professional portfolio managers or by using automated trading strategies developed by hedge fund managers. • Other firms allow investors to diversify their portfolios into exotic asset classes. For instance, lending platforms allow investors to become creditors to individual borrowers for a fixed rate of return. Crowdfunding firms make it possible for investors to pool equity investments together. Both types of firms essentially serve as a central point for bringing investors together with people that need funding. • Lastly, some firms put analytics directly at the retail investors’ fingertips, allowing them to create their own empirical research and test their own hypotheses, much like institutional investors have always done. Large, incumbent WM firms have generally paid little attention so far to these start-ups and the capabilities that they are actively building. However, innovation is shifting in the direction of democratizing access to investment solutions as exemplified by the number of start-ups dedicated to that cause (see Figure 6: Digital Innovation Shifting from Connecting and Advising to Investing). Incumbents should follow—because their clients will likely demand that they do. 5. Democratization of investment solutions Figure 6: Digital Innovation shifting from Connecting to Advising and now Investing 50 0 10 20 30 40 60 >2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 SigFig AdviseConnect InvestConnect Advise 18 Firms 17 Firms 18 Firms Source: Deloitte Analysis, 2013 Prosper Mint Wikinvest Family Office Exchange People & Picks Garrett Planning Network Wealthfront NestEgg Betterment FutureAdvisor Personal Capital LearnVest Crowdfunder Collective2 Covestor Kensho LendingClub Motif Allow investors to connect their accounts together, and connect with their peers and the right advisors Provide investors access to non-traditional, institutional-like investment strategies and opportunities Leverage digital interfaces and analytics to deliver tailored advice and enhanced experiences
  • 12. 11 Wealth managers serve clients across the wealth spectrum. All but the wealthiest of these clients have one primary concern is whether they will outlive their assets. Many investors simply want assurance that they can generate enough income in retirement to continue their current standard of living. But providing that assurance is no longer as simple as it once was; longer life expectancies, the rising cost of medical care, and concerns about the potential insolvency of government entitlement programs have generally shaken these investors’ confidence in their retirement security. For advisors, providing advice and planning around retirement income is an incredibly complex task. Advisors need to help their clients make numerous assumptions around portfolio returns, spending patterns, inflation, future tax rates, longevity, housing costs, healthcare expenses, the future of social security and many more issues. An error in any one of these assumptions could significantly affect a client’s retirement plan. Despite significant efforts over the last decade to improve retirement income planning services, many wealth management firms are still optimized around offering accumulation advice rather than income planning. Meeting the needs of clients focused on retirement will require new capabilities, including new products, tools and services. Clients need access to a suite of saving and investment solutions, not just traditional retirement products such as annuities and defined contribution plans. To address their clients’ “longevity challenge” wealth managers must find new ways to engage with clients early in their working careers, well before a traditional wealth management engagement would begin, and help them balance their short and long-term financial goals through wise trade-offs. By encouraging them to save early and providing advice, planning, products and services, wealth managers can help clients prepare confidently for retirement. As already noted, retirement planning is about a stage of life and not simply about tax-deferred accounts. While corporate plans are an important component of a plan for retirement, they are only one component of retirement planning. So plan providers should actively engage plan participants and remind them to take a holistic view of their portfolio, recognizing that a 401(k) is only a single component of a comprehensive retirement plan. Retirement plan providers must look for ways to broaden participant engagement and expand their relationship into a personal advisory and educational relationship well before any type of distribution event. Here, new robo adviser capabilities may prove helpful in scaling up advice economically. Technology assisted ‘Centers of Excellence’ where clients can access qualified subject matter experts could help as well. Providers of retirement products should think more broadly about wealth management, and traditional wealth management firms should put retirement and longevity concerns at the heart of the advice they give to investors of all age groups and wealth tiers. 6. Catching the retirement wave
  • 13. 10 Disruptive trends in wealth management 12 Two major demographic shifts will impact the WM sector in the coming decade: the aging of advisors, with many approaching retirement age, and the transfer of wealth from baby boomers to their children. Both trends could result in a massive dislocation of existing advisor/client relationships. In other words, assets will likely change both owners and advisors. The advisor population is aging rapidly and preparing for a significant transition with 43% of US Financial Advisors over the age of 55 years old, the industry is contending with the expectation that approximately 1/3 of this current workforce will retire in the next 10 years.11,12,13 The WM industry will need to recruit and train nearly 240,000 advisors just to maintain current service levels—a concern by any measure, but especially challenging given the persistently low graduation rates at wirehouse training programs.14 Furthermore, wirehouses also find it increasingly challenging to retain their graduating classes beyond a few years, and it is costly to train a new generation of advisors only to see them leave and join smaller, competing broker dealers and RIAs. The aging of the US Advisor population is creating other challenges as well.15 First, the growing generational gap between advisors and the Re-wired Investor makes it challenging for some advisors to understand and adjust to the needs and preferences of a younger generation of wealth, resulting in weakened client-advisor relationships. Second, many advisors have been slow to adopt new tools, use mobile channels, and to evolve toward new advisory models that balance human and science-based advice. This is no simple resolution and many incumbent WM firms struggle with this issue, often investing in training without realizing significant return on their investments. The aging advisor is likely to be a significant issue for the industry as whole. This challenge will put a premium on creative recruiting practices (e.g., tapping new talent pools for future advisors), more effective training, and more sophisticated change management programs (to allow for managing advisors’ propensity to adopt new tools and methodologies). Firms should continue to shift toward a team-based approach to promote continuity of relationships even as lead advisors retire. New technologies and robo advice capabilities have the potential to somewhat ease the shortage of advisors by allowing existing advisors to spread themselves over a greater number of client relationships. However, this increase in efficiency is likely to be offset by increased regulatory requirements (for instance, a move to fiduciary standards). As advisors retire, so too will their fellow Baby Boomers, initiating the largest transfer of wealth in history. Over the 55-year period from 2007-2061, $58.1 trillion is expected to move from one adult population to another.16 Historically wealth transfers from one generation to the next have resulted in 90% of heirs changing advisors,17 presenting both an opportunity and a major threat for WM firms. Firms must meet this by building multi-generational relationships with their clients and their families—and by adapting to meet the expectations of their new clients, many of whom look more like the Re-wired Investor (outlined above) than their parents’ generation. 7. The aging of advisors & upcoming transfer of wealth 11 “The incredible shrinking advisor: How onerous new rules are driving away financial planners in droves,” by David Pett, Financial Post, January 30, 2015. (Link: Financial Post) 12 “A Hunt to Find the Next Generation of Financial Advisors,” by Rachel Abrams, New York Times. June 24, 2014 (Link: New York Times) 13 “Advisors slow to train successors,” by Andrew Osterland, CNBC. May 1, 2014 (Link: CNBC) 14 “A Hunt to Find the Next Generation of Financial Advisors,” by Rachel Abrams, New York Times. June 24, 2014 (Link: New York Times) 15 “One of the Fastest-Growing Careers Is In Desperate Need of Young Talent,” by Halah Touryalai, Forbes. August 8, 2012 (Link: Forbes) 16 Deloitte Research 17 Deloitte Research
  • 14. 13 The financial crisis and its aftermath have changed the environment for both wealth managers and investors in several profound ways. Investors are now forced to navigate an environment plagued by three lows and two highs: 1. Low Interest Rates by historical standards that make it challenging for investors to generate returns on their deposits and other short-duration investments; 2. Low inflation rates for the foreseeable future (with deflationary risk) that have forced investors to rethink long-held assumptions about financial and real assets appreciation; 3. Low/Slowing Rates of Economic Growth around the world that make it more challenging to find satisfactory returns without taking on extraordinary risk; 4. High volatility across financial markets has challenged long-held assumptions about the wisdom of diversification, of long only strategies, and market timing; 5. High levels of Financial Leverage by individual investors and pressure to de-lever personal balance sheets will force many to scale down their bets. As a result, investors have much less of sense of direction than they used to. The confusion is only compounded by widely divergent scenarios and forecasts by research analysts, market economists, and others, including winners of the Nobel Prize in Economics. Often their only conviction is that long-only strategies will no longer work. This climate of uncertainty has several key implications for WM firms and advisors. For instance: a) Advisors will have to factor multiple, divergent market scenarios into “What If” Analyses. This requires hard thinking as well as new levels of modesty, but is key to building and maintaining trust from investors b) Firms will develop increasingly sophisticated research and modeling capabilities to support scenario analyses; c) Advisors will need to be proactive in reaching out to clients in times of volatility and proactively rebalance portfolios; d) Firms will have to develop new product offerings for managing their clients’ cash and other short duration assets and support their value in real terms. This may require bringing some traditionally institutional offerings to retail investors; e) Advisors will have to design investment strategies that would perform well in a deflationary environment or, at a minimum, would allow investors to quickly unlock long positions and move into more defensive positions; f) Firms will need to continue to manufacture structured notes that allow investors to place bets on macro trends and market indices while protecting investors against downside; g) Hedging and risk management will be at a premium with capital markets capabilities including F/X and interest rate swaps 8. A new investment environment: 3 lows and 2 highs
  • 15. 10 Disruptive trends in wealth management 14 In just the past few years, the WM businesses of several global banks have attracted significant regulatory action from the US government. These actions highlight how the risks WM firms must manage as part of business as usual has risen over the past 10 years. They also highlight to the reputational risks that WM businesses pose to their parent companies (and how the cost of this risk relative to the profit growth contribution of these businesses has increased). WM firms have always had to manage activities that are inherently fraught with risk, from running adequate KYC/ AML processes for on-boarding clients to applying suitability standards to investment decisions and performing due diligence on fund managers, from processing trades and other transactions to extending credit to clients, to cite just a few (see Figure 7). The cost of these risks is especially high for HNW businesses such as Private Banks and their parent companies because of the breadth of their product offerings (from investments to capital markets and lending) and the sensitive nature and high profile of their client base. The regulatory environment has changed rapidly since the 2008 crisis—and the full regulatory impact is still not clear. What is clear is that the regulatory burden on WM firms, their advisors and their clients is getting ever more complex. This is where we could see regulatory burden shifting in 2015-2016: • Consumer Protection: Much of the regulatory focus will likely be centered on consumer protection issues. The concept of putting the customer first and acting in their best interest is a common theme in the guidance issues by regulators. There is a particular focus on transactions that include “wealth events” such as with a rollover IRA or an inheritance as well as with “at-risk” clients such as the elderly. Regulators want to ensure that firms have a culture of compliance and the supervisory structure in place to enforce it. Regulators may also try to accelerate a transition to fiduciary standards for plan providers and brokers. • Financial Products: There is also growing concern around a variety of products that may be subject to market, credit, liquidity, interest rate or operational risk. Products that raise regulatory concern include variable annuities, retail alternative investments, non-traded real estate investment products and other structured products. • Conflicts of Interest: Conflicts of interest are also at the core of regulatory concerns and tie back to the concept of acting in the best interest of the customer. Regulators around the world are focused on having wealth mangers identify and mitigate such conflicts. Key examples include fees and compensation incentives, and trading-fee rebate. • Outsourcing: Regulators want assurance that outsourced activities are in full compliance with all applicable securities laws and regulations (including FINRA and MSRB rules). Areas of focus include ensuring that proper due diligence and risk assessment is performed on potential providers, and that sufficient supervision is implemented for outsourced activities. • Cybersecurity: Recent attacks, both within the financial services industry and others such as retail and healthcare, have kept attention focused on this issue. Regulators want to ensure that controls, governance, and processes at wealth managers are well thought out and are in compliance. 9. Rising costs of risk and heavier regulatory burden
  • 16. 15 While regulatory risk is not a new issue for wealth managers, the stakes are higher than in the past. The wealth management industry is centered on trust; one “risk event” such as a cyber-attack or a major regulatory fine, can destroy that trust, and in turn, the reputation of the institution. As such, regulatory risk management is not simply a cost of doing business but rather an investment in the reputation and long-term health of the institution. Figure 7: Key risks facing wm businesses Key Risks Operational Compliance Credit Reputational Strategic Branch Supervision Middle/ Back Office Information Management Regulatory Reporting Portfolio Management Compliance Program Trading Practices Client On-Boarding • Product Suitability • Licensing • Sales Practices • Sales and Marketing Materials • Client Communications • Fee Billing • AML/KYC • Investment Compliance Management • Principal Trading • Best Execution • Trade Allocation • Cross Trading • Governance Framework • Advisor Training • Monitoring and Testing • Code of Ethics • Data Management • Custody and Clearing • Accounting Books and Records • Cost Basis/Tax Reporting • Retention Requirements • Protection of Customer Information & PII • Shared Customer Information Across IA/BD • Cyber Threats • Form ADV-Accurate Representation of the Business • FINRA Filings Requirements • Bank Regulatory Reporting • Third Party Managers • Consistency with Investment Style • Allocation of Investment Opportunities • Book Review/Account Review WM businesses and their parents face multiple risks which costs have only risen since the financial crisis
  • 17. 10 Disruptive trends in wealth management 16 Since the financial crisis we have seen an increase of competition in the WM industry, driven by a renewed commitment by incumbent WM firms, new investments by retail banks and the emergence new firms and new business models. All in all, more firms and more advisors are competing for the same clients and the same assets. Key competitive trends include: • Continued convergence of brokerage and private banking models to serve affluent clients with a broad range of advisory, investment, banking and lending capabilities. Brokerage firms are busy building banking/lending capabilities while private and trust banks try to emulate their sales culture and their investment capabilities. • Large, diversified banks emphasize cross-selling of wealth and banking services to their client base and continue to coordinate their various WM business models and brands, treating them as distinct channels rather than distinct businesses, further blurring distinctions between WM businesses. • Continued fragmentation of financial advisory with Independent Registered Investment Advisors (RIAs) continuing to gain market share at the expense of wirehouses. • Established asset managers have entered the retail arena, competing directly with entrenched discount brokerage providers. • Competition for mass affluent clients has increased with banks and discount brokerage firms targeting this segment. Robo advice capabilities will likely enable the distribution arms of insurance companies and asset managers to provide advice to the same clients and increasingly compete with other WM firms. • Digitally enabled start-ups are capitalizing on a high rate of innovation in the industry.18 We expect these trends to drive a further increase in the intensity of competition across most WM markets and client segments, impacting the margins of WM firms. Investors across all wealth tiers have never had as many options for advice as they do today, and they will use this leverage to insist on greater value. 10. Convergence and new competitive patterns
  • 18. 17 Conclusion This is a time of significant change and disruption for the WM industry. New forms of advice and new ways to deliver that advice will continue to emerge, and competitive positions will erode while others will strengthen, creating winners and losers across the industry. While retail investors will likely benefit from all the changes WM firms must strategically evolve to adapt to these critical shifting dynamics. Special thanks for additional contributions by Frances Symes. Authors Gauthier Vincent Principal, Deloitte Consulting LLP gvincent@deloitte.com Jared Goldstein Manager, Deloitte Consulting LLP jagoldstein@deloitte.com Sean Cunniff Research Leader — Investment Management Deloitte Services LP scunniff@deloitte.com Contributors Denise Rotatori Manager, Deloitte Consulting LLP drotatori@deloitte.com Karl Ersham Principal, Deloitte Consulting LLP kersham@deloitte.com Eilean Guo Manager, Deloitte Consulting LLP eiguo@deloitte.com Luxembourg contacts Benjamin Collette Partner - Global Investment Management Consulting Leader EMEA Wealth Management and Private Banking Co-Leader +352 451 452 809 bcollette@deloitte.lu Martin Flaunet Partner - Financial Services Industry +352 451 452 334 mflaunet@deloitte.lu Pascal Martino Partner - Financial Services Industry +352 451 452 119 pamartino@deloitte.lu Patrick Laurent Partner - Financial Services Industry +352 451 454 170 palaurent@deloitte.lu Pascal Rapallino Partner Tax services +352 451 452 846 parapallino@deloitte.lu François Gilles Director - Financial Services Industry +352 451 452 751 fgilles@deloitte.lu Said Qaceme Director - Financial Services Industry +352 451 453 633 sqaceme@deloitte.lu
  • 19. 10 Disruptive trends in wealth management 18
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