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The future is a foreign country* Hugh Bradlow, Chief Technology Officer, Telstra Corporation * With apologies to L.P. Hartley 1
2 Outline What does technology progress look like? What drives technology progress? How can technology progress change society? How is Australia placed in the global technology race?
What does technology progress look like? 3
4 Mobile
5 Realistic: Electronic Wallpaper
6 Realistic: 3D and Holography
7 Picture from the Australian Financial Review, 31 Dec 1998 Realistic: Wearable displays
8 Entertainment on demand
9 Information on demand
10 Processing on demand Backplane Bus CPU Memory I/O Cloud Computing
11 Sensing the environment Homes Ecosystems Individuals Air quality Google Power Meter Wireless band-aid Security systems Fall detector Water quality
12 Sensing you: (Context-based computing)
What drives technology progress? 13
14 Computing power Moore’s Law: The number of transistors that can be placed on an integrated circuit has doubled approximately every two years
15 Telecommunications requirements Triple PlaySDTV Triple PlayHDTV  Ultra HD & 3D TV Gaming Web Surfing AccessSpeeds 1.5 Mbps  12 Mbps  26 Mbps  100 Mbps  256kbps  64kbps
16 Telecommunications Power ? NG PON2 40G NG PON1 10G ? GPON 2.5G LTE –Advanced BPON 620M LTE 300 M DOCSIS 3  150M LTE 150 M HSPA 84 M HSPA 42 M ADSL2+ 24M HSPA 21 M BandwidthHSPA: 5,10 MHz LTE: 20 MHz LTE- A: 100 MHz HSDPA 14M ADSL1  8M Assumptions: Top of line commercial broadband services deployed, low network load and burst speeds. Typical customer speeds will be less Sources: Telstra services and future estimates. Future wireless access estimates based on 3GPP standards
Technology’s impact on society 17
Slide 18 Ultra-broadband = A fundamental shift in the economy
19 Business productivity: cloud services Infrastructure Software Scale quickly & efficiently Traditional Avoid Waste Capacity Variabilise cost Cloud Computing Access data and people from anywhere Time Less reliance on scarce skills Leverage high computing power Best of breed applications © 2010 Telstra Corporation Limited. All rights reserved
Smart infrastructure Sensors, Computers and Communications Devices Magnetic Nails 20
21 Reduced pressure on infrastructure
22 Transformed Healthcare City hospital Clinic, Pharmacy, Remote Hospital
23 Empowering Individuals with Connected Devices Wireless transfer to hosted portal  Parameter transfer via Bluetooth Next G Mobile Phone Medical portal Glucose meter
24 Managing energy consumption
25 Managing energy consumption
26 Managing energy consumption
Australia’s position in the global information economy 27
28 Engineers are the lifeblood of a technological society Roughly the same as USA, but about 57% of Israel *Figures for 2007-2009
29 Engineers are the lifeblood of a technological society China graduates every year almost 3 times the total number of engineers in Australia *Figures for 2007-2009 Australia more than double USA, and almost the same as Israel – however, this includes 41% overseas students
30 Entrepreneurism *Economist Intelligence Unit white paper, “Innovation: Transforming the way business creates”, May 2007
31 Technology adoption
32 1984 (George Orwell’s book, not the year!) LTE TD-SCDMA 3GSM CDMA
33 862 MHz 470 MHz 890 MHz 790 MHz Digital Dividend Europe 470 MHz 890 MHz 806 MHz 698 MHz Reserved USChina, KoreaIndia, Japan, NZ, others Reassigned for Mobile (1980s) Digital Dividend Country specific extra assignment 694 MHz 520 MHz 820 MHz Region 3 (Asia and A/P) Australian Proposal Australia as Market Shaper in Unified LTE world Regional Digital Dividends
Getting to know our customers

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The future is a foreign country

  • 1. The future is a foreign country* Hugh Bradlow, Chief Technology Officer, Telstra Corporation * With apologies to L.P. Hartley 1
  • 2. 2 Outline What does technology progress look like? What drives technology progress? How can technology progress change society? How is Australia placed in the global technology race?
  • 3. What does technology progress look like? 3
  • 6. 6 Realistic: 3D and Holography
  • 7. 7 Picture from the Australian Financial Review, 31 Dec 1998 Realistic: Wearable displays
  • 10. 10 Processing on demand Backplane Bus CPU Memory I/O Cloud Computing
  • 11. 11 Sensing the environment Homes Ecosystems Individuals Air quality Google Power Meter Wireless band-aid Security systems Fall detector Water quality
  • 12. 12 Sensing you: (Context-based computing)
  • 13. What drives technology progress? 13
  • 14. 14 Computing power Moore’s Law: The number of transistors that can be placed on an integrated circuit has doubled approximately every two years
  • 15. 15 Telecommunications requirements Triple PlaySDTV Triple PlayHDTV Ultra HD & 3D TV Gaming Web Surfing AccessSpeeds 1.5 Mbps 12 Mbps 26 Mbps 100 Mbps 256kbps 64kbps
  • 16. 16 Telecommunications Power ? NG PON2 40G NG PON1 10G ? GPON 2.5G LTE –Advanced BPON 620M LTE 300 M DOCSIS 3 150M LTE 150 M HSPA 84 M HSPA 42 M ADSL2+ 24M HSPA 21 M BandwidthHSPA: 5,10 MHz LTE: 20 MHz LTE- A: 100 MHz HSDPA 14M ADSL1 8M Assumptions: Top of line commercial broadband services deployed, low network load and burst speeds. Typical customer speeds will be less Sources: Telstra services and future estimates. Future wireless access estimates based on 3GPP standards
  • 18. Slide 18 Ultra-broadband = A fundamental shift in the economy
  • 19. 19 Business productivity: cloud services Infrastructure Software Scale quickly & efficiently Traditional Avoid Waste Capacity Variabilise cost Cloud Computing Access data and people from anywhere Time Less reliance on scarce skills Leverage high computing power Best of breed applications © 2010 Telstra Corporation Limited. All rights reserved
  • 20. Smart infrastructure Sensors, Computers and Communications Devices Magnetic Nails 20
  • 21. 21 Reduced pressure on infrastructure
  • 22. 22 Transformed Healthcare City hospital Clinic, Pharmacy, Remote Hospital
  • 23. 23 Empowering Individuals with Connected Devices Wireless transfer to hosted portal Parameter transfer via Bluetooth Next G Mobile Phone Medical portal Glucose meter
  • 24. 24 Managing energy consumption
  • 25. 25 Managing energy consumption
  • 26. 26 Managing energy consumption
  • 27. Australia’s position in the global information economy 27
  • 28. 28 Engineers are the lifeblood of a technological society Roughly the same as USA, but about 57% of Israel *Figures for 2007-2009
  • 29. 29 Engineers are the lifeblood of a technological society China graduates every year almost 3 times the total number of engineers in Australia *Figures for 2007-2009 Australia more than double USA, and almost the same as Israel – however, this includes 41% overseas students
  • 30. 30 Entrepreneurism *Economist Intelligence Unit white paper, “Innovation: Transforming the way business creates”, May 2007
  • 32. 32 1984 (George Orwell’s book, not the year!) LTE TD-SCDMA 3GSM CDMA
  • 33. 33 862 MHz 470 MHz 890 MHz 790 MHz Digital Dividend Europe 470 MHz 890 MHz 806 MHz 698 MHz Reserved USChina, KoreaIndia, Japan, NZ, others Reassigned for Mobile (1980s) Digital Dividend Country specific extra assignment 694 MHz 520 MHz 820 MHz Region 3 (Asia and A/P) Australian Proposal Australia as Market Shaper in Unified LTE world Regional Digital Dividends
  • 34. Getting to know our customers

Editor's Notes

  1. HD Video: 2000 x 1000 pixels @ 10 Mbps H.264HD Video Wall: (4m x 2m): 8000 x 4000 pixels @ 160 Mbps