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Analytics in the Cloud
Tej Redkar
Background
• Head of Products – Cisco’s Cloud Analytics Products
• Product and Engineering sponsor for Cisco’s acquisition of AppDynamics
• 10+ Years at Microsoft with primary focus on Azure and Analytics
• Building SaaS and Cloud Analytics products since 2000
• Founder and leader of the Machine Learning and Analytics Engineering
workgroup within Microsoft
• Author
• Coder
• Technical/Product Advisor to several start-ups
• Entrepreneur – Founded and lead 3 startups
• LinkedIn profile
Author
What is Analytics?
Analytics is the discovery,
interpretation, and communication
of meaningful patterns in data.
-Wikipedia
Answering complex data-driven
questions through efficient
experiences.
-Tej Redkar
Me (Implicit): “How long is it
going to take me to reach
home?”
Google Maps: “It will take you
74 mins because the traffic is
unusually heavy today”
That’s Analytics – Predictive
Analytics to be specific.
Recommended Route –
Prescriptive Analytics.
Analytics is a Journey
Maturity Levels – Where do you stand?
Descriptive Predictive Prescriptive Decisive
Descriptive Analytics
What has happened
(or is happening)
Typical Experience:
Dashboard and KPIs
I scored a “C” in Social Studies
Well! Study better next time
Next Time
(i.e. Damage is already done)
Source: http://www.nasdaq.com/markets/crude-oil.aspx
Dang it! I should have shorted
Oil between July and Sept 2014
Could we have identified the
Ebola breakout earlier and
contained it?
The Key to going Descriptive:
1) Questions: You need the right questions
2) Data: You need the data to answer these
questions
3) Visualization: Build the right visualization to
answer the questions
Example
Predictive Analytics
What might happen
Typical Experience: Alert,
Notification, Visualizations
Based on your studying habits, the
likelihood of you scoring a “C” grade
in Social Studies is greater than 80%
Better control over the outcome
Based on the global oil production
and storage-levels, I predict at
least a 30% decrease in Oil price
in the next few months.
Based on the hospital data in the
field in Africa, human health
history in the region, the
likelihood of an Ebola outbreak is
high
The Key to going Predictive:
1) Descriptive Analytics: You need to know
what’s happening before predicting.
2) Questions: You need the right questions
3) Data: Lots of data to answer these questions
4) Models: Predictive models on the key features
5) Operationalization: Models to production
6) Visualization/Experience
What are you trying to derive?
Machine Learning
Machine Learning Process
34
Define
Objective
Collect
Data
Prepare
Data
Develop
Model
Train
Model
Test
Model
Evaluate
Model
Publish
Monitor
Experiment to Operationalization
Score /
Evaluate
Model
Train
Insights
Visualizations
Enterprise LOB
Other databases
LOB App
ML Process
Data Pipeline
Data Sources
Data
Experimentation
Operationalization Operationalized Models
Model
Train
Score/Evaluate
Main Classes of Learning Problems
• Classification (Supervised): Assign a category to each
item (Good | Bad | Neutral).
• Regression (Supervised): Predict a continuous value
for each item (price, currency, temperature).
• Clustering (Unsupervised): Partition items into
homogeneous groups (clustering twitter posts by
topic).
36
Example
Prescriptive Analytics
Anticipates what will happen next,
why will it happen, and suggests
decision options
Typical Experience: Alert,
Notification, Recommendations,
Visualizations
Helps you in better decision
making and recommends
actions
I am anticipating a “C” grade and
therefore:
1) Study these key definitions
2) Common questions from this text on
the internet
3) List of questions asked by the teacher
in the past 2 years
Oil Prices are going to fall
1) Buy Puts on the Oil stock
2) Once the stock falls 50%, buy
calls
Ebola outbreak is anticipated:
1) Increase the vaccine production by
20%
2) Alert WHO key communication
channels
3) Alert Health volunteer channels
The Key to going Prescriptive:
1) Descriptive & Predictive Analytics
2) Questions: You need the right questions
3) Outcomes: Desired and Possible Outcomes
4) Data: Lots of data to answer these questions
5) Models: Predictive and Prescriptive models
6) Operationalization: Models to production
7) Visualization/Recommendations
Decisive Analytics
Completely made up term by
me because I felt the action
execution part was missing 
Decides on your behalf
Typical Experience:
Automated Action on your
behalf
I want an A+ in Social Studies,
could you please appear for
my exam?
I want to invest $100,000 with
an expected ROI of at least
20%. Invest it for me.
WHO Robot: “I am predicting
an Ebola outbreak and I am
requesting an increase in
vaccine production and
alerting all the health
communication channels”
The Key to going Decisive:
1) Descriptive, Predictive & Prescriptive
2) Questions: You need the right questions
3) Outcomes: Desired and Possible Outcomes
4) Data: Lots of data to answer these questions
5) Models: Prescriptive models on key features
6) Operationalization: Models to production
7) Experience: Automation, Bots, etc.
Meet Meelo The
Mathematician
Finally, Keep In Mind That
UX Eats Data for Breakfast
The Pattern
Shape
QueryAggregate
1
Presentation
and action
-
Search and query
Data analytics (Excel)
Web/thick
client dashboards
Storage
(Long and Short)
Relational
Cloud
Azure Storage
AWS S3
NO SQL
Data pipeline
Transformation
Real-time stream
analytics
Batch Analytics
Ingestor
(broker)
Scalable
event Broker
Field Gateways
Collection
Cloud Gateways
(Cloud Collectors)
Applications
Devices
Do you have Big Data?
Megabytes
Gigabytes
Terabytes
Petabytes
Purchase detail
Purchase record
Payment record
ERP
CRM
WEB
BIG DATA
Offer details
Support Contacts
Customer Touches
Segmentation
Web logs
Offer history
A/B testing
Dynamic Pricing
Affiliate Networks
Search Marketing
Behavioral Targeting
Dynamic Funnels
User Generated Content
Mobile Web
SMS/MMSSentiment
External Demographics
HD Video, Audio, Images
Speech to Text
Product/Service Logs
Social Interactions & Feeds
Business Data Feeds
User Click Stream
Sensors / RFID / Devices
Spatial & GPS Coordinates
Increasing Data Variety and Complexity
Transactions +
Interactions +
Observations
= BIG DATA
Patterns Across Verticals and Business Cases
Vertical Refine Explore Enrich
Retail & Web • Log Analysis/Site Optimization
• Loyalty Program Optimization
• Brand and Sentiment Analysis
• Market basket analysis
• Dynamic Pricing
• Session & Content Optimization
• Product recommendation
Telco • Customer profiling • Equipment failure prediction • Location based advertising
Government • Threat Identification • Person of Interest Discovery • Cross Jurisdiction Queries
Finance • Risk Modeling & Fraud Identification
• Trade Performance Analytics
• Surveillance and Fraud Detection
• Customer Risk Analysis
• Real-time upsell, cross sales marketing offers
Energy • Smart Grid: Production Optimization
• Grid Failure Prevention
• Smart Meters
• Individual Power Grid
Manufacturing • Supply Chain Optimization • Customer Churn Analysis
• Dynamic Delivery
• Replacement parts
Healthcare • Electronic Medical Records (EMPI)
• HL7
• Clinical decision support
• Clinical Trials Analysis
• Insurance Premium Determination
• Targeted Subscriber Communication
Thank You

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Analytics in the Cloud

  • 1. Analytics in the Cloud Tej Redkar
  • 2. Background • Head of Products – Cisco’s Cloud Analytics Products • Product and Engineering sponsor for Cisco’s acquisition of AppDynamics • 10+ Years at Microsoft with primary focus on Azure and Analytics • Building SaaS and Cloud Analytics products since 2000 • Founder and leader of the Machine Learning and Analytics Engineering workgroup within Microsoft • Author • Coder • Technical/Product Advisor to several start-ups • Entrepreneur – Founded and lead 3 startups • LinkedIn profile
  • 5. Analytics is the discovery, interpretation, and communication of meaningful patterns in data. -Wikipedia
  • 6. Answering complex data-driven questions through efficient experiences. -Tej Redkar
  • 7. Me (Implicit): “How long is it going to take me to reach home?” Google Maps: “It will take you 74 mins because the traffic is unusually heavy today”
  • 8. That’s Analytics – Predictive Analytics to be specific.
  • 10. Analytics is a Journey
  • 11. Maturity Levels – Where do you stand? Descriptive Predictive Prescriptive Decisive
  • 13. What has happened (or is happening)
  • 15. I scored a “C” in Social Studies
  • 16. Well! Study better next time
  • 17. Next Time (i.e. Damage is already done)
  • 19. Dang it! I should have shorted Oil between July and Sept 2014
  • 20.
  • 21. Could we have identified the Ebola breakout earlier and contained it?
  • 22. The Key to going Descriptive: 1) Questions: You need the right questions 2) Data: You need the data to answer these questions 3) Visualization: Build the right visualization to answer the questions
  • 27. Based on your studying habits, the likelihood of you scoring a “C” grade in Social Studies is greater than 80%
  • 28. Better control over the outcome
  • 29. Based on the global oil production and storage-levels, I predict at least a 30% decrease in Oil price in the next few months.
  • 30. Based on the hospital data in the field in Africa, human health history in the region, the likelihood of an Ebola outbreak is high
  • 31. The Key to going Predictive: 1) Descriptive Analytics: You need to know what’s happening before predicting. 2) Questions: You need the right questions 3) Data: Lots of data to answer these questions 4) Models: Predictive models on the key features 5) Operationalization: Models to production 6) Visualization/Experience
  • 32. What are you trying to derive?
  • 35. Experiment to Operationalization Score / Evaluate Model Train Insights Visualizations Enterprise LOB Other databases LOB App ML Process Data Pipeline Data Sources Data Experimentation Operationalization Operationalized Models Model Train Score/Evaluate
  • 36. Main Classes of Learning Problems • Classification (Supervised): Assign a category to each item (Good | Bad | Neutral). • Regression (Supervised): Predict a continuous value for each item (price, currency, temperature). • Clustering (Unsupervised): Partition items into homogeneous groups (clustering twitter posts by topic). 36
  • 39. Anticipates what will happen next, why will it happen, and suggests decision options
  • 40. Typical Experience: Alert, Notification, Recommendations, Visualizations
  • 41. Helps you in better decision making and recommends actions
  • 42. I am anticipating a “C” grade and therefore: 1) Study these key definitions 2) Common questions from this text on the internet 3) List of questions asked by the teacher in the past 2 years
  • 43. Oil Prices are going to fall 1) Buy Puts on the Oil stock 2) Once the stock falls 50%, buy calls
  • 44. Ebola outbreak is anticipated: 1) Increase the vaccine production by 20% 2) Alert WHO key communication channels 3) Alert Health volunteer channels
  • 45. The Key to going Prescriptive: 1) Descriptive & Predictive Analytics 2) Questions: You need the right questions 3) Outcomes: Desired and Possible Outcomes 4) Data: Lots of data to answer these questions 5) Models: Predictive and Prescriptive models 6) Operationalization: Models to production 7) Visualization/Recommendations
  • 47. Completely made up term by me because I felt the action execution part was missing 
  • 48. Decides on your behalf
  • 50.
  • 51. I want an A+ in Social Studies, could you please appear for my exam?
  • 52. I want to invest $100,000 with an expected ROI of at least 20%. Invest it for me.
  • 53. WHO Robot: “I am predicting an Ebola outbreak and I am requesting an increase in vaccine production and alerting all the health communication channels”
  • 54. The Key to going Decisive: 1) Descriptive, Predictive & Prescriptive 2) Questions: You need the right questions 3) Outcomes: Desired and Possible Outcomes 4) Data: Lots of data to answer these questions 5) Models: Prescriptive models on key features 6) Operationalization: Models to production 7) Experience: Automation, Bots, etc.
  • 56. Finally, Keep In Mind That
  • 57. UX Eats Data for Breakfast
  • 60. Presentation and action - Search and query Data analytics (Excel) Web/thick client dashboards Storage (Long and Short) Relational Cloud Azure Storage AWS S3 NO SQL Data pipeline Transformation Real-time stream analytics Batch Analytics Ingestor (broker) Scalable event Broker Field Gateways Collection Cloud Gateways (Cloud Collectors) Applications Devices
  • 61. Do you have Big Data? Megabytes Gigabytes Terabytes Petabytes Purchase detail Purchase record Payment record ERP CRM WEB BIG DATA Offer details Support Contacts Customer Touches Segmentation Web logs Offer history A/B testing Dynamic Pricing Affiliate Networks Search Marketing Behavioral Targeting Dynamic Funnels User Generated Content Mobile Web SMS/MMSSentiment External Demographics HD Video, Audio, Images Speech to Text Product/Service Logs Social Interactions & Feeds Business Data Feeds User Click Stream Sensors / RFID / Devices Spatial & GPS Coordinates Increasing Data Variety and Complexity Transactions + Interactions + Observations = BIG DATA
  • 62. Patterns Across Verticals and Business Cases Vertical Refine Explore Enrich Retail & Web • Log Analysis/Site Optimization • Loyalty Program Optimization • Brand and Sentiment Analysis • Market basket analysis • Dynamic Pricing • Session & Content Optimization • Product recommendation Telco • Customer profiling • Equipment failure prediction • Location based advertising Government • Threat Identification • Person of Interest Discovery • Cross Jurisdiction Queries Finance • Risk Modeling & Fraud Identification • Trade Performance Analytics • Surveillance and Fraud Detection • Customer Risk Analysis • Real-time upsell, cross sales marketing offers Energy • Smart Grid: Production Optimization • Grid Failure Prevention • Smart Meters • Individual Power Grid Manufacturing • Supply Chain Optimization • Customer Churn Analysis • Dynamic Delivery • Replacement parts Healthcare • Electronic Medical Records (EMPI) • HL7 • Clinical decision support • Clinical Trials Analysis • Insurance Premium Determination • Targeted Subscriber Communication