The Vietnam Believer Newsletter_May 13th, 2024_ENVol. 007.pdf
DAILY ANALYSIS REPORT APRIL 01 2022
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01 April 2022
Daily Analysis Report
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analysis@tpglobalfx.com
Asian Bulle n: Japanese yen falls in opening Asian hours despite higher than expected Tankan Manufacturing – Non Manufacturing PMI results, most Asian stock markets in red, gold hovers
around $1,940 mark
Key Headlines:
• Australia AIG Manufacturing Index stands at 55.7 vs 53.2 previous release.
• Japan Tankan Manufacturing Index stands at 14 vs 18 previous release.
• Japan Tankan Non Manufacturing Index remains unchanged at 9.
• Japan Final Manufacturing PMI stands at 54.1 vs 53.2 previous release.
• China Caixin Manufacturing PMI stands at 48.1 vs 50.4 previous release.
• European Union lawmakers backednew safeguards for tracing transfers of bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies on Thursday, in the latest sign that regulators are ghtening up on the
freewheeling sector – Reuters.
• A federal judge on Thursday dismissed a lawsuit accusing Binance, the world's largest cryptocurrency exchange by trading volume, of viola ng U.S. securi es laws by selling
unregistered tokens and failing to register as an exchange or broker-dealer – Reuters.
• NTPC Ltd's $2.81 billion coal-fired power plant, which is currently under construc on in India, may face supply issues from Russian en es, India's power minister said on Thursday –
Reuters.
• U.S. stocks, bonds flash diverging signals as vola le first quarter ends – Reuters.
• Germany plans to end mandatory quaran ne for most people who catch COVID-19, the health ministry proposed on Thursday, as numbers isola ng with the infec on top four
million – Reuters.
• France is facing its worst bird flu crisis in history as a rare rebound in outbreaks of the highly contagious virus reached the country's largest poultry producing regions with cullings
topping more than 12 million birds – Reuters.
• Chinese President Xi Jinping has urged the country to take more effec ve COVID-19 measures and minimise the impact of the epidemic on economic development, state television
said on Thursday, as the country ba les a new wave of infec ons – Reuters.
• Hong Kong reported 6,646 new coronavirus infec ons on Thursday, down from 6,981 the previous day, and 119 deaths as daily infec ons con nue to decline in the global financial
hub, which is gradually easing restric ons – Reuters.
Economic Data Ahead:
• (0630 GMT/1200 IST) Swiss CPI, previous 0.7, expected 0.5.
• (0715 GMT/1245 IST) Spain Manufacturing PMI, previous 56.9, expected 55.8.
• (0730 GMT/1300 IST) Swiss Manufacturing PMI, previous 62.6, expected 61.0.
• (0745 GMT/1315 IST) Italy Manufacturing PMI, previous 58.3, expected 57.0.
• (0750 GMT/1320 IST) France Final Manufacturing PMI, previous 54.8, expected 54.8.
• (0755 GMT/1325 IST) German Final Manufacturing PMI, previous 57.6, expected 57.6.
• (0800 GMT/1330 IST) Euro Final Manufacturing PMI, previous 57.0, expected 57.0.
• (0830 GMT/1400 IST) U.K. Final Manufacturing PMI, previous 55.5, expected 55.5.
• (0900 GMT/1430 IST) Euro CPI Flash Es mate, previous 5.9, expected 6.7.
• (1230 GMT/1800 IST) U.S. NFP Employment Change, previous 678K, expected 492K.
• (1230 GMT/1800 IST) U.S. Unemployment Rate, previous 3.8, expected 3.7.
• (1330 GMT/1900 IST) Canada Manufacturing PMI, previous 56.6.
• (1345 GMT/1915 IST) U.S. Final Manufacturing PMI, previous 58.5, expected 58.5.
• (1400 GMT/1930 IST) U.S. ISM manufacturing PMI, previous 58.6, expected 58.9.
Economic Events Ahead:
• No key events scheduled for the day.
Major FX Pair Trend:
USD: The U.S. dollar index that tracks the greenback against a basket of other currencies inched up 0.20% to 98.51 points.
3. AUD / USD
BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trend Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
0.7512
R2 S2
0.7530
R3 S3
0.7555
R4
Commentary
S4
0.7578
Buy Above 0.7500
0.7538
0.7471
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 0.7455
0.7415
0.7490
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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analysis@tpglobalfx.com
-
Time Frame: H1
AUD/USD: The Aussie remains slightly volatile after AIG Manufacturing Index data and stabilizes
below $0.7500 mark. Today pair made intraday high at $0.7500 and low at $0.7473 mark.Aday chart
is up and H1 chart with triple EMA suggests down trend for the time being. A sustained close above
$0.7502 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below $0.7455 will
check further supports.
0.7470
0.7455
0.7430
0.7405
APRIL,
2022
4. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.1092
R2 S2
1.1126
R3 S3
1.1154
R4
Commentary
S4
1.1176
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-
Time Frame: H1
EUR/USD: The euro trades almost flat on Friday ahead of Manufacturing PMI data and slips back
below $1.1100 mark. The pair made intraday high at $1.1076 and low at $1.1059 mark. Today triple
EMA on a day chart and H1 chart suggest bearish trend for the time being. A consistent close above
$1.1092 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a sustained close below $1.1048 on
H1 chart will check further supports.
EUR / USD
1.1048
1.1022
1.1001
1.0974
Buy Above 1.1092
1.1124
1.1065
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.1048
1.1022
1.1076
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
APRIL,
2022
5. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.3151
R2 S2
1.3176
R3 S3
1.3192
R4
Commentary
S4
1.3224
Buy Above 1.3155
1.3190
1.3130
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.3101
1.3072
1.3124
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
-
Time Frame: H1
GBP/USD: The Sterling trades in narrow range on Friday ahead of Manufacturing PMI data and
remains well supported above $1.3100 mark. Today pair made intraday high at $1.3151 and low at
$1.3121 mark.Aday chart is down and H1 chart with triple EMAsuggests up trend for the time being.
A sustained close above $1.3151 on H1 chart will check key resistances. Alternatively, a consistent
close below $1.3115 will check further supports.
USD
1.3102
1.3078
1.3052
1.3026
GBP/
Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
APRIL,
2022
6. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.2512
R2 S2
1.2530
R3 S3
1.2555
R4
Commentary
S4
1.2572
Buy Above 1.2512
1.2550
1.2485
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.2470
1.2438
1.2499
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
-
Time Frame: H1
USD/CAD: The CAD trades marginally higher on Friday and consolidates around 1.2500 mark. The
pair made intraday high at 1.2510 and low at 1.2492 mark. Today a day chart and H1 chart with triple
EMA suggest bearish trend for the time being. A sustained close above 1.2512 on H1 chart requires
for the upside rally.Alternatively, a consistent close below 1.2482 on H1 chart will check key supports
too. Canada’s Manufacturing PMI data will remain in focus.
USD /CAD
1.2490
1.2465
1.2430
1.2412
APRIL,
2022
7. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trend Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
122.85
R2 S2
123.18
R3 S3
123.55
R4
Commentary
S4
123.78
Buy Above 122.91
123.26
122.52
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 122.01
121.60
122.52
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
-
Time Frame: H1
USD/JPY: The Japanese yen depreciates in earlyAsia despite robust Japan’s Tankan Manufacturing
and Non Manufacturing PMI data. The pair made intraday high at 122.73 and low at 121.62 mark. The
triple EMA on a day chart and H1 chart suggest up trend for the time being. A sustained close above
122.85 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below 121.70 on H1
chart will check further key supports.
USD /JPY
121.50
121.22
121.00
120.72
APRIL,
2022
8. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trend Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1942
R2 S2
1948
R3 S3
1955
R4
Commentary
S4
1961
Buy Above 1942
1948
1934
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1930
1924
1936
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
-
Time Frame: H1
XAU/USD (GOLD): Gold moves in rigid boundaries ahead of U.S. NFP job data and hovers around
key resistance at $1,938 mark. Today pair made intraday high at $1,939 and low at $1,932 mark. A
triple EMA on a day chart and H1 chart suggest up trend for the time being. A sustained close above
$1,942 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below $1,926 will
check further supports.
XAU [GOLD]
USD
/
1926
1921
1916
1911
APRIL,
2022
9. Thank
you!
Info@tpglobalfx.com
www.tpglobalfx.com
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