The document is a daily analysis report from TP Global FX that provides technical analysis and commentary on various currency pairs and gold. It includes analysis of AUD/USD, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY, and XAU/USD, with charts showing trends, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, and potential buy/sell trade ideas. Economic data and events are also summarized.

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25 February 2022
Daily Analysis Report

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analysis@tpglobalfx.com
Asian Bulle n: U.S. dollar moves in s ff boundaries against major peers, Asian stock markets in green, gold hovers around $1,910 mark
Key Headlines:
• New Zealand Retail Sales stand at 8.6 pct vs -8.2 pct previous release.
• New Zealand Core Retail Sales stand at 6.8 pct vs -6.8 pct previous release.
• New Zealand Trade balance stands at -1082M vs -975M previous release.
• Japan Tokyo Core CPI stands at 0.5 pct vs 0.2 pct previous release.
• U.K. GFK Consumer Confidence stands at -26 vs -19 previous release.
• The United States on Thursday restricted exports to Russia of a broad set of U.S.-made products as well as foreign-produced goods built with U.S. technology, following the invasion
of Ukraine – Reuters.
• U.S. President Joe Biden said on Thursday Washington is in s ll unresolved "consulta ons" with India, when asked if Washington and Delhi were fully in sync on a response to
Russia's a ack on Ukraine ahead of an expected U.N. Security Council vote – Reuters.
• Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy vowed on Friday to stay in Kyiv as his troops ba led Russian invaders who are advancing toward the capital in the biggest a ack on a
European state since World War Two – Reuters.
• Britain and the United States targeted Russian banks on Thursday as part of a new package of sanc ons following Moscow's invasion of Ukraine – Reuters.
• U.S. cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase Global Inc on Thursday reported a surge in quarterly trading volumes on a sequen al basis as vola lity in prices drew in retail traders, but
warned that growth would slow in the current quarter – Reuters.
• U.S. stocks ended sharply higher on Thursday, led by a 3% gain in the Nasdaq, in a drama c market reversal as U.S. President Joe Biden unveiled harsh new sanc ons against Russia
a er Moscow began an all-out invasion of Ukraine – Reuters.
• Nego a ons on new rules for dealing with pandemics will begin at the World Health Organiza on on Thursday, with a target date of May 2024 for a treaty to be adopted by the U.N.
health agency's 194 member countries – Reuters.
• The European Union's health regulator on Thursday backed giving a booster shot of Pfizer and BioNTech's COVID-19 vaccine to adolescents aged 12 and over, as well as the
expanded use of Moderna's shot in children ages six to 11 – Reuters.
• Medicago's vaccine on Thursday became the world's first plant-based shot approved against COVID-19 a er Health Canada cleared it for use in adults – Reuters.
• A magnitude 6.2 earthquake struck the near the western coast of Indonesia's Sumatra island on Friday, the country's geophysics agency BMKG said, though there was no risk of a
tsunami or immediate reports of major damage – Reuters.
• Protesters turned out on public squares and outside Russian embassies in ci es from Tokyo to Tel Aviv and New York on Thursday to denounce the invasion of Ukraine -- while more
than a thousand who tried to do the same in Russia were arrested – Reuters.
• Australia imposed more sanc ons on Friday against Russia targe ng several of its elite ci zens and lawmakers, and said it was "unacceptable" that China was easing trade
restric ons with Moscow at a me when it invaded Ukraine – Reuters.
Economic Data Ahead:
• (0700 GMT/1230 IST) German Final GDP, previous -0.7, expected -0.7.
• (0700 GMT/1230 IST) German Import Prices, previous 0.1, expected 1.7.
• (0745 GMT/1315 IST) France Consumer Spending, previous 0.2, expected -0.9.
• (0745 GMT/1315 IST) France Prelim CPI, previous 0.3, expected 0.4.
• (0745 GMT/1315 IST) France Prelim GDP q/q, previous 0.7, expected 0.7.
• (0900 GMT/1430 IST) Euro Private Loans, previous 4.1, expected 4.0.
• (1330 GMT/1900 IST) U.S. Durable Goods orders, previous -0.7, expected 1.1.
• (1330 GMT/1900 IST) U.S. Core Durable Goods orders, previous 0.6, expected 0.4.
• (1330 GMT/1900 IST) U.S Personal Income, previous 0.3, expected -0.3.
• (1330 GMT/1900 IST) U.S Personal Spending, previous -0.6, expected 1.6.
• (1500 GMT/2030 IST) U.S. Revised UoM Consumer Sen ment, previous 61.7, expected 61.7.
• (1500 GMT/2030 IST) U.S. Pending Home Sales, previous -3.8, expected 1.5.
Economic Events Ahead:
• All Day – Eurogroup Mee ngs.
• Tenta ve – U.S. Fed Monetary Policy Report.
Major FX Pair Trend:
USD: The U.S. dollar index that tracks the greenback against a basket of other currencies inched down 0.22% to 96.22 points.

3. AUD / USD
BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trend Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
0.7190
R2 S2
0.7215
R3 S3
0.7230
R4
Commentary
S4
0.7255
Buy Above 0.7192
0.7225
0.7166
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 0.7150
0.7112
0.7176
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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-
Time Frame: H1
AUD/USD: The Aussie trades marginally higher on Friday and hovers around key resistance at
$0.7190 mark. Today pair made intraday high at $0.7180 and low at $0.7138 mark. A day chart is up
and H1 chart with triple EMA suggests down trend for the time being. A sustained close above
$0.7190 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below $0.7156 will
check further supports.
0.7156
0.7112
0.7080
0.7062
FEBRUARY,
2022

4. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.1238
R2 S2
1.1252
R3 S3
1.1276
R4
Commentary
S4
1.1299
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-
Time Frame: H1
EUR/USD: The Euro trades in narrow range on Friday and hover around $1.1200 mark. The pair
made intraday high at $1.1186 and low at $1.1217 mark. Today triple EMAon a day chart and H1 chart
suggest bearish trend for the time being. A consistent close above $1.1238 on H1 chart requires for
the upside rally. Alternatively, a sustained close below $1.1187 on H1 chart will check further
supports.
EUR / USD
1.1187
1.1165
1.1130
1.1105
Buy Above 1.1240
1.1272
1.1210
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.1189
1.1162
1.1210
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
FEBRUARY,
2022

5. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.3430
R2 S2
1.3455
R3 S3
1.3472
R4
Commentary
S4
1.3499
Buy Above 1.3450
1.3484
1.3418
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.3402
1.3372
1.3425
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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-
Time Frame: H1
GBP/USD: The sterling trades marginally higher on Friday and remains well supported above
$1.3400 mark. Today pair made intraday high at $1.3425 and low at $1.3366 mark. A day chart and
H1 chart with triple EMA suggest down trend for the time being. A sustained close above $1.3430 on
H1 chart will check key resistances.Alternatively, a consistent close below $1.3400 will check further
supports.
USD
1.3400
1.3378
1.3350
1.3315
GBP/
Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
FEBRUARY,
2022

6. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.2812
R2 S2
1.2830
R3 S3
1.2857
R4
Commentary
S4
1.2876
Buy Above 1.2800
1.2833
1.2772
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.2762
1.2730
1.2791
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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-
Time Frame: H1
USD/CAD: The CAD starts a new day on a positive note and remains well supported below 1.2800
mark. Pair made intraday high at 1.2815 and low at 1.2771 mark. Today a day chart and H1 chart with
triple EMA suggest bullish trend for the time being. A sustained close above 1.2812 on H1 chart
requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below 1.2777 on H1 chart will check key
supports too.
USD /CAD
1.2777
1.2750
1.2726
1.2700
FEBRUARY,
2022

7. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trend Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
115.55
R2 S2
115.78
R3 S3
115.99
R4
Commentary
S4
116.26
Buy Above 115.50
115.87
115.30
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 115.10
114.76
115.40
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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Time Frame: H1
USD/JPY: The Japanese yen strengthens on Friday after robust Tokyo Core CPI data and hovers
around 115.20 mark. The pair made intraday high at 115.62 and low at 115.20 mark. The triple EMAon
a day chart and H1 chart suggest up trend for the time being. A sustained close above 115.55 on H1
chart requires for the upside rally.Alternatively, a consistent close below 115.10 on H1 chart will check
further key supports.
USD /JPY
115.10
114.90
114.65
114.30
FEBRUARY,
2022

8. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trend Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1922
R2 S2
1930
R3 S3
1937
R4
Commentary
S4
1943
Buy Above 1923
1930
1915
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1902
1894
1909
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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analysis@tpglobalfx.com
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Time Frame: H1
XAU/USD (GOLD): Gold remained extremely volatile in previous session and today consolidates
around $1,910 mark. Today pair made intraday high at $1,921 and low at $1,904 mark.Atriple EMAon
a day chart is up and H1 chart suggests down trend for the time being.Asustained close above $1,922
on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below $1,905 will check
further supports.
XAU [GOLD]
USD
/
1905
1899
1891
1884
FEBRUARY,
2022

9. Thank
you!
Info@tpglobalfx.com
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