The daily analysis report from TP Global FX provides technical analysis on various currency pairs and gold. It notes that the CAD strengthened after strong Canadian CPI data. Asian stock markets were mixed and gold hovered around $1,950. The report analyzes trends and provides trading ideas for currency pairs including AUD/USD, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY, and XAU/USD. It also lists upcoming key economic indicators and events that may impact markets.
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DAILY ANALYSIS REPORT
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21 April 2022
Daily Analysis Report
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Asian Bulle n: CAD strengthened sharply a er strong CPI data, Asian stock markets mixed, gold hovers around $1,950 mark
Key Headlines:
• New Zealand CPI q/q stands at 1.8 pct vs 1.4 pct previous release.
• Chinese President Xi: The Chinese Economy Is Resilient, Sound Long-Term Trend Has Not Changed.
• China’s President Xi: Countries should abandon the cold war mentality and avoid conflict.
• China’s President Xi: Efforts must be made to stabilize global supply chains.
• The G7 Finance Ministers Have Stated That Russia Must Immediately Comply With An Interna onal Court Of Jus ce Ruling To Halt Armed Ac on Against Ukraine.
• Senior IMF Official - The Recent Drops In The Yen Are Due To Fundamentals, And There Is No Cause To Adjust Japan's Economic Policies.
• Senior IMF Official - We do not observe disorderly market condi ons in the forex market - when asked if a yen-buying currency interven on by Japan would be jus fiable.
• Senior IMF Official - We don't see the need to adjust the BoJ's suppor ve monetary policy stance.
• The U.S. Food and Drug Administra on (FDA) on Wednesday asked people to not buy or use certain dietary supplement products sold with varia ons of the names 'Artri' or 'Or ga'
as they may contain some poten ally harmful ingredients not men oned on their labels – Reuters.
• Italy reported 99,848 COVID-19 related cases on Wednesday, against 27,214 the day before, the health ministry said, while the daily number of deaths rose to 205 from 127 –
Reuters.
• COVID-19 cases and deaths are declining in the Americas, the Pan American Health Organiza on (PAHO) said on Wednesday, with infec ons last week having dropped 2.3% and
deaths falling 15.2% from the prior week – Reuters.
• New Delhi, India authori es on Wednesday made the wearing of masks compulsory again a er COVID-19 infec ons rose in the Indian capital in recent days – Reuters.
• A slump in shares of streaming giant Ne lix pointed to a lower open for the Nasdaq on Wednesday, although the other two indexes looked set to extend gains as investors focused
on earnings and clues on U.S. interest rates – Reuters.
• Governments must target fiscal support to vulnerable popula ons hit hardest by rising energy and food prices, and now facing growing food insecurity as a result of Russia's war in
Ukraine, the Interna onal Monetary Fund (IMF) said on Wednesday – Reuters.
• The average interest rate on the most popular U.S. home loan climbed to a 12 year high last week and fewer homebuyers sought proper es in a sign that the Federal Reserve's aim
of cooling the housing market may be beginning to have an impact, data from the Mortgage Bankers Associa on (MBA) showed on Wednesday – Reuters.
Key Economic Indicators Ahead:
• (0900 GMT/1430 IST) Euro Final CPI, previous 7.5, expected 7.5.
• (0900 GMT/1430 IST) Euro Final Core CPI, previous 3.0, expected 3.0.
• (1230 GMT/1800 IST) U.S. Philly Fed Manufacturing index, previous 27.4, expected 21.9.
• (1230 GMT/1800 IST) U.S. Unemployment Claims Weekly, previous 185K, expected 177K.
• (1400 GMT/1930 IST) Euro Consumer Confidence, previous -19, expected -20.
Economic Events Ahead:
• Day 04 – IMF Mee ngs.
• (1500 GMT/2030 IST) Fed Chair Powell Speaks.
• (1630 GMT/2200 IST) U.K. BOE Gov Bailey Speaks.
• (1700 GMT/2230 IST) ECB President Lagarde Speaks.
• (1700 GMT/2230 IST) Fed Chair Powell Speaks.
Major FX Pair Trend:
USD: The U.S. dollar index that tracks the greenback against a basket of other currencies inched up 0.19% to 100.58 points.
3. AUD / USD
BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trend Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
0.7455
R2 S2
0.7478
R3 S3
0.7499
R4
Commentary
S4
0.7521
Buy Above 0.7450
0.7481
0.7422
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 0.7405
0.7378
0.7432
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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-
Time Frame: H1
AUD/USD: The Aussie trades slightly lower on Thursday and hovers around $0.7430 mark. Today
pair made intraday high at $0.7454 and low at $0.7428 mark.Aday chart and H1 chart with triple EMA
suggest up trend for the time being. A sustained close above $0.7455 on H1 chart requires for the
upside rally.Alternatively, a consistent close below $0.7415 will check further supports.
0.7415
0.7391
0.7365
0.7337
APRIL,
2022
4. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.0872
R2 S2
1.0899
R3 S3
1.0926
R4
Commentary
S4
1.0954
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-
Time Frame: H1
EUR/USD: The trades marginally lower during Asian hours ahead of Euro Zone’s Consumer
Confidence and ECB President Lagarde’s speech. The pair made intraday high at $1.0854 and low at
$1.0823 mark. Today triple EMA on a day chart is down and H1 chart suggests up trend for the time
being. A consistent close above $1.0852 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a
sustained close below $1.0815 on H1 chart will check further supports.
EUR / USD
1.0815
1.0791
1.0755
1.0730
Buy Above 1.0851
1.0876
1.0820
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.0815
1.0791
1.0840
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
APRIL,
2022
5. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.3072
R2 S2
1.3099
R3 S3
1.3126
R4
Commentary
S4
1.3162
Buy Above 1.3072
1.3099
1.3048
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.3030
1.3005
1.3051
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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analysis@tpglobalfx.com
-
Time Frame: H1
GBP/USD: The Sterling depreciates on Thursday and stabilizes around $1.3050 mark. Today pair
made intraday high at $1.3073 and low at $1.3042 mark. A day chart is down and H1 chart with triple
EMA suggests up trend for the time being. A sustained close above $1.3072 on H1 chart will check
key resistances. Alternatively, a consistent close below $1.3030 will check further supports. U.K.
BOE Gov Bailey’s speech will remain in focus.
USD
1.3030
1.3001
1.2981
1.2962
GBP/
Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
APRIL,
2022
6. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.2520
R2 S2
1.2550
R3 S3
1.2576
R4
Commentary
S4
1.2591
Buy Above 1.2520
1.2550
1.2494
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.2472
1.2440
1.2499
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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analysis@tpglobalfx.com
-
Time Frame: H1
USD/CAD: The CAD strengthened sharply in previous session after robust Canada’s CPI data. Today
the pair made intraday high at 1.2501 and low at 1.2478 mark. Today a day chart and H1 chart with
triple EMA suggest bearish trend for the time being. A sustained close above 1.2520 on H1 chart
requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below 1.2465 on H1 chart will check key
supports too.
USD /CAD
1.2465
1.2450
1.2415
1.2400
APRIL,
2022
7. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trend Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
128.72
R2 S2
129.02
R3 S3
129.24
R4
Commentary
S4
129.52
Buy Above 128.74
129.27
128.12
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 128.01
127.54
128.51
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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Time Frame: H1
USD/JPY: The Japanese yen enjoys roller coaster movement and hovers around 128.50 mark. The
pair made intraday high at 128.63 and low at 127.79 mark. The triple EMAon a day chart and H1 chart
suggest up trend for the time being. A sustained close above 128.72 on H1 chart requires for the
upside rally.Alternatively, a consistent close below 128.00 on H1 chart will check further key supports.
USD /JPY
128.00
127.81
127.50
127.22
APRIL,
2022
8. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trend Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1958
R2 S2
1964
R3 S3
1968
R4
Commentary
S4
1974
Buy Above 1958
1964
1951
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1944
1937
1950
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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-
Time Frame: H1
XAU/USD (GOLD): Gold recovers slightly from previous losses and trying to stabilize around $1,950
mark. Today pair made intraday high at $1,957 and low at $1,950 mark.Aday chart is up and H1 chart
with triple EMA suggests down trend for the time being. A sustained close above $1,958 on H1 chart
requires for the upside rally.Alternatively, a consistent close below $1,944 on H1 chart will test further
supports. U.S. Philly Fed Manufacturing Index data will remain in focus.
XAU [GOLD]
USD
/
1944
1938
1932
1926
APRIL,
2022
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