The daily analysis report from TP Global FX provides the following:
- An overview of Asian markets with the US dollar trading slightly lower ahead of US GDP and Jackson Hole data.
- Key headlines on economic data releases and company news from around the world.
- Technical analysis on major currency pairs like AUD/USD, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY, and XAU/USD.
- Most Asian stock markets were in the green while the US dollar index inched lower.
- Investors are awaiting speeches at the Jackson Hole symposium this week for cues on the Federal Reserve's rate hike outlook.
Daily Analysis Report provides market insights and trade ideas
1. +1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
R
E
P
O
R
T
F
R
O
M
:
T
P
G
LO
B
A
L
F
X
25 August 2022
Daily Analysis Report
2. +1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
Asian Bulle n: U.S. dollar trades slightly lower ahead of U.S. Prelim GDP data and Jackson Hole Symposium, most Asians stock markets in green, gold back above $1,750
Key Headlines:
• New Zealand Retail Sales stands at -2.3 pct vs -0.9 pct previous release.
• New Zealand Core Retail Sales stand at -1.6 pct vs -0.3 pct previous release.
• Japan SPPI (Services Producer Price Index) remains unchanged at 2.1 pct.
• Investors are bracing for the Federal Reserve to double down on its commitment to crushing infla on, and expect its chair Jerome Powell at the annual central bank gathering in
Wyoming this week to deliver an aggressive ghtening message and dash hopes for a rate cut next year – Reuters.
• Planemaker Boeing plans to build on its exis ng investments in India in areas such as defence supply chains and manufacturing, the company said on Wednesday – Reuters.
• Mexican consumer prices rose 0.42% during the first half of August, pushing annual headline infla on to 8.62%, both slightly ahead of market expecta ons, data from the na onal
INEGI sta s cs agency showed on Wednesday – Reuters.
• U.S. stock index futures slipped on Wednesday as recent economic data fueled fears of a slowdown ahead of the Federal Reserve's annual conference this week where the central
bank is expected to reinforce its commitment to ge ng infla on under control – Reuters.
• When India's richest man Gautam Adani unveiled plans for his firm to control a majority stake in New Delhi Television (NDTV) on Tuesday, it was the stealth approach in execu ng
the transac on that drew most a en on in the news industry – Reuters.
• The Reserve Bank of India on Wednesday li ed curbs imposed on American Express last year that had prevented it from taking on new customers in India, saying the U.S. credit card
giant had shown "sa sfactory compliance" on data storage rules – Reuters.
• Sterling was steady against the dollar on Wednesday, holding above a 2-1/2 year low touched a day earlier a er data added to signs that a recession may be looming in Britain –
Reuters.
• Indonesia's first interest rate hike in four years made its central bank one of the last to abandon pandemic-era monetary se ngs, but it's also given investors cause to stay bullish on
one of the world's more resilient emerging markets – Reuters.
• The Indian rupee was trading higher versus the U.S. currency on Wednesday as exporters sold dollars, allowing the local currency to withstand a rise in oil prices – Reuters.
• Switzerland plans to procure 40,000 doses of monkeypox vaccine as well as 500 units of an an viral drug, the government said on Wednesday – Reuters.
• Vietnam has temporarily suspended the use of its first home-grown African swine fever vaccine a er dozens of pigs inoculated with the shots died this month, state media reported
on Wednesday – Reuters.
• German Health Minister Karl Lauterbach said on Wednesday he expects a wave of COVID-19 infec ons this autumn but ruled out further lockdowns or school closures – Reuters.
• An Ebola vaccina on campaign will start in the Congolose city of Beni on Thursday a er a new case of the virus was confirmed this week, the World Health Organiza on said on
Wednesday – Reuters.
• Japan will waive pre-departure COVID-19 tests for vaccinated travellers to the country, but daily caps on entrants will remain in place, Prime Minister Fumio Kishida said on
Wednesday – Reuters.
• Singapore will do away with requirements to wear masks indoors star ng Aug. 29, as the country sees its COVID-19 situa on stabilise further, the health minister said on Wednesday
– Reuters.
• Under pressure from Western sanc ons, Russia is expor ng more fuel oil to Asia and using ship-to-ship transfers to build larger cargoes for distant markets, according to traders and
Refini v data – Reuters.
• Taiwan's government unveiled a proposed 12.9% on-year increase in the defence budget for 2023 to T$415.1 billion ($13.72 billion) on Thursday, as well as an addi onal T$108.3
billion in spending for fighter jets and other equipment – Reuters.
Key Economic Indicators Ahead:
• (0600 GMT/1130 IST) German Final GDP q/q, previous 0.0, expected 0.0.
• (0800 GMT/1330 IST) German IFO Business Climate, Previous 88.6, expected 86.7.
• (1000 GMT/1530 IST) U.K. CBI realized sales, previous -4, expected -8.
• (1230 GMT/1800 IST) U.S. Prelim GDP q/q, previous -0.9, expected -0.7.
• (1230 GMT/1800 IST) U.S. Unemployment Claims weekly, previous 250K, expected 250K.
• (1230 GMT/1800 IST) U.S. Prelim GDP Price Index q/q, previous 8.7, expected 8.7.
Economic Events Ahead:
• (1130 GMT/1700 IST) ECB Monetary Policy Mee ng Accounts.
• Day 01 – U.S. Jackson Hole Symposium.
Major FX Pair Trend:
USD: The U.S. dollar index that tracks the greenback against a basket of other currencies inched down 0.20 pct to 108.46 points.
3. AUD / USD
BUY SELL
R
E
P
O
R
T
F
R
O
M
:
T
P
G
LO
B
A
L
F
X
Technical Summary
Trend Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
0.6962
R2 S2
0.6986
R3 S3
0.7002
R4
Commentary
S4
0.7030
Buy Above 0.6962
0.6999
0.6932
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 0.6901
0.6876
0.6924
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
-
Time Frame: H1
AUD/USD: The Aussie starts a new day on a positive note and hovers around $0.6950 mark. Today
pair made intraday high at $0.6947 and low at $0.6902 mark. A day chart is down and H1 chart with
triple EMA suggests up trend for the time being. A sustained close above $0.6962 on H1 chart
requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below $0.6902 will check further
supports.
0.6890
0.6867
0.6850
0.6826
AUGUST,
2022
4. BUY SELL
R
E
P
O
R
T
F
R
O
M
:
T
P
G
LO
B
A
L
F
X
Technical Summary H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
0.9998
R2 S2
1.0022
R3 S3
1.0052
R4
Commentary
S4
1.0078
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
-
Time Frame: H1
EUR/USD: The euro recovered noticeably during U.S. session and currently hovers around key
resistance at $0.9998 mark. Today the pair made intraday high at $0.9992 and low at $0.9963 mark.
Today triple EMA on a day chart is down and H1 chart suggests up trend for the time being. A
consistent close above $0.9998 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a sustained
close below $0.9948 on H1 chart will check further supports.
EUR / USD
0.9948
0.9920
0.9901
0.9881
Buy Above 0.9998
1.0030
0.9970
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 0.9958
0.9921
0.9989
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
AUGUST,
2022
5. BUY SELL
R
E
P
O
R
T
F
R
O
M
:
T
P
G
LO
B
A
L
F
X
Technical Summary
H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.1830
R2 S2
1.1856
R3 S3
1.1872
R4
Commentary
S4
1.1890
Buy Above 1.1830
1.1865
1.1802
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.1780
1.1752
1.1806
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
-
Time Frame: H1
GBP/USD: The sterling moves in rigid boundaries amid economic light calendar and trading around
$1.1820 mark. Today pair made intraday high at $1.1825 and low at $1.1783 mark. A day chart is
down and H1 chart with triple EMA suggests up trend for the time being. A sustained close above
$1.1830 on H1 chart will check key resistances. Alternatively, a consistent close below $1.1780 will
check further supports.
USD
1.1780
1.1755
1.1721
1.1701
GBP/
Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
AUGUST,
2022
6. BUY SELL
R
E
P
O
R
T
F
R
O
M
:
T
P
G
LO
B
A
L
F
X
Technical Summary
Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26 Below RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.2970
R2 S2
1.2999
R3 S3
1.3015
R4
Commentary
S4
1.3042
Buy Above 1.2972
1.2998
1.2940
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.2940
1.2912
1.2968
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
-
Time Frame: H1
USD/CAD: The CAD starts a new day on a positive note and stabilizes below 1.2950 mark. Today the
pair made intraday high at 1.2975 and low at 1.2946 mark. Today a day chart is up and H1 chart with
triple EMA suggests bearish trend for the time being. A sustained close above 1.2970 on H1 chart
requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below 1.2940 on H1 chart will check key
supports too.
USD /CAD
1.2940
1.2912
1.2900
1.2878
AUGUST,
2022
7. BUY SELL
R
E
P
O
R
T
F
R
O
M
:
T
P
G
LO
B
A
L
F
X
Technical Summary
Trend Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
137.12
R2 S2
137.30
R3 S3
137.62
R4
Commentary
S4
137.85
Buy Above 137.05
137.37
136.72
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 136.54
136.10
136.90
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
-
Time Frame: H1
USD/JPY: The Japanese yen enjoys roller coaster movement and currently stabilizes around 136.75
mark. The pair made intraday high at 137.20 and low at 136.58 mark. The triple EMAon a day chart is
up and H1 chart suggests bearish trend for the time being. A sustained close above 137.12 on H1
chart requires for the upside rally.Alternatively, a consistent close below 136.62 on H1 chart will check
further key supports.
USD /JPY
136.62
136.22
136.01
135.80
AUGUST,
2022
8. BUY SELL
R
E
P
O
R
T
F
R
O
M
:
T
P
G
LO
B
A
L
F
X
Technical Summary
Trend Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1762
R2 S2
1768
R3 S3
1772
R4
Commentary
S4
1778
Buy Above 1762
1767
1755
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1752
1744
1759
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
-
Time Frame: H1
XAU/USD (GOLD): Gold strengthens slightly on Thursday and jumps back above $1,750 mark.
Today the pair made intraday high at $1,757 and low at $1,749 mark. Today a day chart is down and
H1 chart with triple EMAsuggests bullish trend for the time being. Asustained close above $1,762 on
H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below $1,750 on H1 chart will
test further supports.
XAU [GOLD]
USD
/
1749
1744
1738
1732
AUGUST,
2022
9. Thank
you!
Info@tpglobalfx.com
www.tpglobalfx.com
R
E
P
O
R
T
F
R
O
M
:
T
P
G
L
O
B
A
L
F
X
/tpglobalfx /tpglobalfx /tpglobalfx /tpglobalfx
that even knowledgeable and well-experienced investors can experience large potential losses as a result of trading in Forex and CFDs. Consequently,
investors should be fully aware of all the risks involved when trading Forex and CFDs and accept all the negative consequences associated with such
trading. Please always remember that trading in Forex and CFDs might not be suitable for all investors. It is desirable investors who would consider trading,
to do so only with money that they can afford to lose. You are also recommended to seek independent financial advice if necessary. The content on this
website does not constitute financial or investment advice. Any information herein is of a general nature and does not take into consideration your
personal circumstances, investment experience or current financial situation. Apple, the Apple logo, iPod, iPad, iPod touch, and iTunes are trademarks of
Apple Inc, registered in the US and other countries. IPhone is a trademark of Apple Inc. App Store is a service mark of Apple Inc. This site is run and
operated by – TP Global Services Limited registered by FSA, St. Vincent and the Grenadines with Number 25274 BC 2019 TP Global Services Limited does
not offer its services to residents of certain jurisdictions such as USA, and British Columbia.
Disclamer:
Forex and Contracts for Difference (CFDs) are leveraged products. Trading in these products is highly speculative and involves substantial risk. Please note