1. ECO 561 Week 5 Learning Team Project
Macroeconomic Forecast Component (Apple)
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Include the following in this paper;
Identify a list of five economic indicators which will be the subject of this
paper. In addition to real GDP, the unemployment rate, and the inflation
rate, focus on at least two of the following :
A key interest rate (I suggest the 10-year Treasury rate)
Housing starts
Oil prices
Auto sales
Foreign exchange rate (either a trade weighted index or dollar versus yen,
pound, Euro, Yuan, etc.)
Look at the trends related to the historical relationship between the
economy as measured by the economic indicators you identified above and the
success of the firm that is the subject of your Learning Team project. A good
measure of your firm's success is its historical stock prices. See the
Resources on the Internet posted in the Week 1 Recommended Activities for
sources of historical economic data. Some examples of sources for historical
economic data include; Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Bureau of Economic
Analysis, and the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
Assemble two or three macroeconomic forecasts for each of the economic
indicators that you chose to focus on in your paper. See the Resources on the
Internet posted in the Week 1 Recommended Activities for sources of economic
forecasts. Examples of sources for economic forecasts include the
Congressional Budget Office, the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia's
Livingston Survey, the Mortgage Banker's Association, and the National
Association of Homebuilders). The annual forecasts should be national and
should be for the next two years.
In a 1,400-2,450-word paper, based on the historical data you have identified
and the forecasts you have selected, evaluate the relationship among the
economic indicators and the success of your firm. In addition, compare and
contrast the economic reasoning that would support any differences for the
respective views prepared by the forecasters. In addition, explain the any
differences among the selected forecasts. In addition, project the impact of
global economic conditions regarding trade and trade related issues like the
specialization of labor and capital in the production process and exchange
rates. Analyze the implications of these forecasts on three operations or
planning issues that your organization has identified or should identify for
the next two years. Based on your work, recommend any changes to these
operations or planning issues that would minimize potential risks or maximize
opportunities. APA format is required.
One note; these word count figures are meant to be a guideline, but feel free
to exceed this if you find it is necessary to adequately provide relevant
details and clarify important points.
See my feedback on your Week 2 Learning Team Assignment, and the Week 4
Assignment for details that will help with this assignment. See also the
Resources on the Internet posted in the Week 1 Recommended Activities for
sources of historical economic data, and also sources for economic forecasts.
