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Shaun Devine – UCC SMF
Reasons to Buy
Macro
Environment
Proposed Merger
Analyst
Recommendations
Financial
Performance
Competitive
Strategy
Scope for Value
Investing
Macro Environment
• Strong Growth Forecast
• 5.2% in 2015
• 19.2% by 2020
• Demand in Asia-Pacific
Year
Speciality
Chemicals Market
2015 936.1
2016 969.6
2017 1,004.4
2018 1,040.4
2019 1,077.7
2020 1,116.3
Competitive Strategy
• 3rd largest producer
• Diversified Revenue Streams
• Economies of Scale and Scope
• Present in High Growth Markets
Proposed Merger with DuPont
• Merger of Equals
• Subsequent Spin-offs
 Agriculture
 Material Science
 Speciality Products
• Unlock Shareholder Value
Financial Performance
Strong Performance
• Net profit Margin
 15 .75% in 2015
 6% in 2011
• ROE of 36.5%
• Average EPS growth of
10.58% 0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Earnings per Share
Scope for Value Investing
Meets a number of indicators
• Low Price:Book ratio
• Low Price:Earnings ratio
• High Dividend Yield
0
5
10
15
20
25
Price:Book Price:Equity Dividend Yield
(%)
Industry Mean
Dow
Analyst Recommendations
Period 2015 2016
Buy 6 8
Outperform 7 7
Hold 10 4
Underperform 1 1
Sell 0 0
Conclusion
• Stable Stock
• High dividend yield
• Growing, mature industry
• Potential value from merger and spin-offs
Dow Chemical Stock Pitch

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Dow Chemical Stock Pitch

  • 2. Reasons to Buy Macro Environment Proposed Merger Analyst Recommendations Financial Performance Competitive Strategy Scope for Value Investing
  • 3. Macro Environment • Strong Growth Forecast • 5.2% in 2015 • 19.2% by 2020 • Demand in Asia-Pacific Year Speciality Chemicals Market 2015 936.1 2016 969.6 2017 1,004.4 2018 1,040.4 2019 1,077.7 2020 1,116.3
  • 4. Competitive Strategy • 3rd largest producer • Diversified Revenue Streams • Economies of Scale and Scope • Present in High Growth Markets
  • 5. Proposed Merger with DuPont • Merger of Equals • Subsequent Spin-offs  Agriculture  Material Science  Speciality Products • Unlock Shareholder Value
  • 6. Financial Performance Strong Performance • Net profit Margin  15 .75% in 2015  6% in 2011 • ROE of 36.5% • Average EPS growth of 10.58% 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Earnings per Share
  • 7. Scope for Value Investing Meets a number of indicators • Low Price:Book ratio • Low Price:Earnings ratio • High Dividend Yield 0 5 10 15 20 25 Price:Book Price:Equity Dividend Yield (%) Industry Mean Dow
  • 8. Analyst Recommendations Period 2015 2016 Buy 6 8 Outperform 7 7 Hold 10 4 Underperform 1 1 Sell 0 0
  • 9. Conclusion • Stable Stock • High dividend yield • Growing, mature industry • Potential value from merger and spin-offs