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MODULE III


STATISTICS IN SOCIAL RESEARCH
3
.
1
Meaning, uses and limitations
What is statistics?


Statistics is the science of collecting, analyzing, presenting, and
interpreting data, as well as of making decisions based on such
analyses. (To test hypotheses and answer research questions)


According to Horace Secrist, statistics means “aggregate of facts
affected to marked extent by multiplicity of causes, numerically
expressed, enumerated or estimated according to a reasonable
standard of accuracy, collected in a systematic manner for a
predetermined purpose and placed in relation to each other”
Educated guesses vs pure guesses


It helps us to make educated and intelligent decisions


Statistics has
2
aspects/
2
word meaning - theoretical and applied


Theoretical or mathematical statistics - deals with the development,
derivation, and proof of statistical theorems, formulas, rules, and
laws


Applied statistics- applications of those theorems, formulas, rules,
and laws to solve real-world problems.
Descriptive Vs Inferential
Data set, element, observation


Descriptive statistics - consists of methods for organising,
displaying, and describing data by using tables, graphs, and
summary measures


Inferential statistics - what is a population? sample? Inferential
statistics consists of methods that use sample results to help make
decisions or predictions about a population
Heart dise
Cancer
Accidents
Stroke
Alzheimer
Diabetes
Influenza a
Suicide
a. What is the
b. How many
c. How many
February 6, 2015 (Source: www.cdc.gov).
Cause of Death Number of Deaths
Heart disease 611,105
Cancer 584,881
Accidents 130,557
Stroke 128,978
Alzheimer’s disease 84,767
Diabetes 75,578
Influenza and Pneumonia 56,979
Suicide 41,149
Identify the variables, data set, element, observations
Scope of Statistics
Raw data into comprehensible form; convincing form of presenting facts, probability
theory and measuring uncertainty, testing hypothesis, drawing inferences regarding
the characteristics of the universe on the basis of the sample data


Ancient times, statistics as the science of state craft; now all arenas, social economics,
sciences, politics, military and
fi
scal policies,
fi
ve year plan & Neeti Ayog


Prasanta Chandra Mahalanobis, Ronald
fi
sher


Research and development ; Forecasting, exit polls, politics; Economic planning;
Health, agriculture, business management, etc


Covid pandemic and statistics
Limitations
It is important to know what statistics can and cannot do.


Aggregates and averages, individual aspects are ignored, lack of qualitative
aspects, validity implications


Misuse of statistics through ignorance and conscious deceit


Data manipulation


Journalists, politicians and others increasingly use statistical results to make a
point or bolster an argument


Love jihad and narcotic jihad
Measures of Central Tendency
Central value or typical value for a probability distribution


Average or just the central location


Measures of central tendency are de
fi
ned for a population (large set
of observations of a similar nature; a sample portion of the
observation of a population


Descriptive statistics - to
fi
nd representative value


Mean - average; Median - midpoint; most frequently observed value
in a data set
Measures of Dispersion
Variability of data ( to know how much homogenous or
heterogeneous the data is) Variations of the items among themselves
around an average


Greater the variation amongst different items of a series, the more
will be the dispersion


To determine the reliability of two or more series
Range
The difference between the maximum and minimum value of a
sample one a given variable


Range = max-min


Example :
1
,
3
,
5
,
6
,
7
(range =
7
-
1
=
6
)
Quartile Deviation
The quartiles are values that divide a list of numbers into quarters.


It is the half of the distance between the third and the
fi
rst quartile
Standard Deviation
Most commonly used measure of dispersion. Measure of spread of
data about the mean.


SD=square root of sum of squared deviation from the mean divided
by the number of observations
Parametric and Non-Parametric
Tests
For testing hypothesis


We assume that the data used must show a certain distribution,
usually normal distribution


For normal distribution - Parametric test; eg. t Test, ANOVA, Pearson
correlation


Non-normal distribution - Non parametric tests - eg. Spearman
correlation
Statistical Tests
Purpose of research question / hypothesis


Comparison (identifying the difference between the given items) and relationship
(identifying the connection


Type of data -
1
. categorical (qualitative or yes, no answers)


2
. continuous (often expressed in numbers; eg. height, weight, marks
scored etc)


If the purpose is comparison and data type is categorical =chi-squared


If the purpose is comparison and data type is both categorical and continuous then t Test


If the purpose is identifying the relationship and type of data is continuous then
correlation
Chi-Squared = comparison, categorical only


t-Test = comparison, categorical and continuous


Correlation = relationship, continuous type data only
Correlation
Correlation - the linear (extending along a strait line) relationship of variables


Parental education and child’s career achievement


If the correlation analysis show that tow characteristics are related, then it
should be investigated whether one variable can be used to predict the other


Regression


The strength of the correlation is determined by the correlation coef
fi
cient
which varies between -
1
and +
1


Direction of the correlation - positive and negative
Calculation of the correlation
coef
fi
cient
Correlation analysis according to Karl Pearson’s Coef
fi
cient of
Correlation


Spearman’s Rank Correlation Coef
fi
cient


SPSS

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Quantitative Research-statistics.pdf

  • 1. MODULE III STATISTICS IN SOCIAL RESEARCH
  • 3. What is statistics? Statistics is the science of collecting, analyzing, presenting, and interpreting data, as well as of making decisions based on such analyses. (To test hypotheses and answer research questions) According to Horace Secrist, statistics means “aggregate of facts affected to marked extent by multiplicity of causes, numerically expressed, enumerated or estimated according to a reasonable standard of accuracy, collected in a systematic manner for a predetermined purpose and placed in relation to each other”
  • 4. Educated guesses vs pure guesses It helps us to make educated and intelligent decisions Statistics has 2 aspects/ 2 word meaning - theoretical and applied Theoretical or mathematical statistics - deals with the development, derivation, and proof of statistical theorems, formulas, rules, and laws Applied statistics- applications of those theorems, formulas, rules, and laws to solve real-world problems.
  • 5. Descriptive Vs Inferential Data set, element, observation Descriptive statistics - consists of methods for organising, displaying, and describing data by using tables, graphs, and summary measures Inferential statistics - what is a population? sample? Inferential statistics consists of methods that use sample results to help make decisions or predictions about a population
  • 6. Heart dise Cancer Accidents Stroke Alzheimer Diabetes Influenza a Suicide a. What is the b. How many c. How many February 6, 2015 (Source: www.cdc.gov). Cause of Death Number of Deaths Heart disease 611,105 Cancer 584,881 Accidents 130,557 Stroke 128,978 Alzheimer’s disease 84,767 Diabetes 75,578 Influenza and Pneumonia 56,979 Suicide 41,149 Identify the variables, data set, element, observations
  • 7. Scope of Statistics Raw data into comprehensible form; convincing form of presenting facts, probability theory and measuring uncertainty, testing hypothesis, drawing inferences regarding the characteristics of the universe on the basis of the sample data Ancient times, statistics as the science of state craft; now all arenas, social economics, sciences, politics, military and fi scal policies, fi ve year plan & Neeti Ayog Prasanta Chandra Mahalanobis, Ronald fi sher Research and development ; Forecasting, exit polls, politics; Economic planning; Health, agriculture, business management, etc Covid pandemic and statistics
  • 8. Limitations It is important to know what statistics can and cannot do. Aggregates and averages, individual aspects are ignored, lack of qualitative aspects, validity implications Misuse of statistics through ignorance and conscious deceit Data manipulation Journalists, politicians and others increasingly use statistical results to make a point or bolster an argument Love jihad and narcotic jihad
  • 10. Central value or typical value for a probability distribution Average or just the central location Measures of central tendency are de fi ned for a population (large set of observations of a similar nature; a sample portion of the observation of a population Descriptive statistics - to fi nd representative value Mean - average; Median - midpoint; most frequently observed value in a data set
  • 12. Variability of data ( to know how much homogenous or heterogeneous the data is) Variations of the items among themselves around an average Greater the variation amongst different items of a series, the more will be the dispersion To determine the reliability of two or more series
  • 13. Range The difference between the maximum and minimum value of a sample one a given variable Range = max-min Example : 1 , 3 , 5 , 6 , 7 (range = 7 - 1 = 6 )
  • 14. Quartile Deviation The quartiles are values that divide a list of numbers into quarters. It is the half of the distance between the third and the fi rst quartile
  • 15. Standard Deviation Most commonly used measure of dispersion. Measure of spread of data about the mean. SD=square root of sum of squared deviation from the mean divided by the number of observations
  • 16. Parametric and Non-Parametric Tests For testing hypothesis We assume that the data used must show a certain distribution, usually normal distribution For normal distribution - Parametric test; eg. t Test, ANOVA, Pearson correlation Non-normal distribution - Non parametric tests - eg. Spearman correlation
  • 17. Statistical Tests Purpose of research question / hypothesis Comparison (identifying the difference between the given items) and relationship (identifying the connection Type of data - 1 . categorical (qualitative or yes, no answers) 2 . continuous (often expressed in numbers; eg. height, weight, marks scored etc) If the purpose is comparison and data type is categorical =chi-squared If the purpose is comparison and data type is both categorical and continuous then t Test If the purpose is identifying the relationship and type of data is continuous then correlation
  • 18. Chi-Squared = comparison, categorical only t-Test = comparison, categorical and continuous Correlation = relationship, continuous type data only
  • 19. Correlation Correlation - the linear (extending along a strait line) relationship of variables Parental education and child’s career achievement If the correlation analysis show that tow characteristics are related, then it should be investigated whether one variable can be used to predict the other Regression The strength of the correlation is determined by the correlation coef fi cient which varies between - 1 and + 1 Direction of the correlation - positive and negative
  • 20. Calculation of the correlation coef fi cient Correlation analysis according to Karl Pearson’s Coef fi cient of Correlation Spearman’s Rank Correlation Coef fi cient SPSS