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• Understand common startup risks
• Evaluate risks for your startup
• Develop risk mitigation strategies
•In Australia, only 44% of business survive 4+
years
•In any given year, among firms with employees,
almost as many firms close or go bankrupt
•Poor risk management is attributed to most
failures
What’s your chance of
survival?
https://www.equitynet.com/crowdfunding-
tools/startup-risk-calculator.aspx
o A chance of losses
o The possibility of unfortunate occurrence
o Unforeseen events, eventualities
o Occurrence of economical loss
o Unpredictability
o The probability of an unwanted or
unavoidable event
What types of risks
should you consider
within a startup or
commercialisation?
oStrategic
oTechnical
oCompliance and/or
Regulatory and/or legal
oOperational
oFinancial
oMarket and/or Competition
oCareer and/or People
oReputational
oSystemic and/or Political
1. Likelihood of occurrence
2. Severity of potential consequences
is the art and science
of thinking about what
could go wrong, and
what should be done
to mitigate those risks
in a cost-effective
manner
1. Risk Identification
2. Risk Assessment
3. Risk Control (and/or Mitigation)
Ignored Nuisance
Insurable Killer
Minor
Consequence
Major
Consequence
Low
Likelihood
High
Likelihood
Risks with
• relatively minor consequences
• relatively low likelihood of occurrence
• minor consequence as a result
Not worth spending a huge amount of time worrying about
• Little things that often seem to go wrong, simple solutions
• Impacts are easy to minimize through behaviour change
Usually solved with a common sense approach
• Risks that could have major consequences but are relatively
unlikely to happen are often insurable
Usually solved with appropriate insurances and procedures
Risks with both:
• a relatively high likelihood of occurrence
• major consequences
Individually, they may seem manageable, but
collectively, they represent a true challenge
1. There’s a 90% chance that you’ve identified a genuine market need
2. There’s a 90% chance that your addressable market is as big as you
think it is
3. There’s a 90% chance that you can actually implement your
innovation
4. There’s a 90% chance that you can figure out how to sell it for more
than it costs you to make it
5. There’s a 90% chance that you have assembled the right
management team to do the job
6. There’s a 90% chance that you manage to stay one step ahead of the
competition
7. There’s a 90% chance that you don’t get sued into bankruptcy
8. There’s a 90% chance that you won’t get buried in regulatory red
tape
9. There’s a 90% chance that you don’t run out of money
10.There’s a 90% chance that nothing else goes wrong
Market Risks
Competitive Risks
Technology &
Operational Risks
Financial Risks
People Risks
Legal &
Regulatory Risks
Systemic Risks
Fall into these categories:
Refers to whether or not there is sufficient demand for
what you have to offer at the price you set
Many entrepreneurs
have failed while
clinging to the belief
that the market would
beat a path to their
door if they designed a
better mousetrap
Every venture has more
competitors and fewer
competitive advantages than it
thinks
Figure out what you do better
than all of your competitors —
whether it be price, features,
quality, or some other advantage
— and focus on maintaining your
leadership in that category
• Can your team finalise the product
design on a limited R&D budget?
• Will your product work as intended?
• Can you find reliable vendors?
• Can you manufacture it?
• Can you optimise the logistics of product
distribution?
• Can you create an effective product
support infrastructure?
The end of the road for any business is
running out of cash
For startups, the biggest financial risk
stems from not having a Plan B in case
investors and lenders say no
If you do succeed at raising capital, the
next trick is to figure out how to start
generating enough revenues to cover
your costs before you run out of
money
People are, at the same time, the most crucial and least
predictable element of any business
The list of possible problems with
legal or regulatory is almost
endless: tax complications;
disputes from poorly structured
agreements; lawsuits filed by a
competitor for intellectual
property dispute.
Systemic risks are those
that threaten the
viability of entire
markets, not just a
single firm within a
market
In your teams, identify one
killer risk from each
category….
Market Risk:
1. _________________________
Competitive Risk:
1. _________________________
Technology & Operational Risk
1. _________________________
Financial Risk
1. _________________________
Legal & Regulatory Risk
1. _________________________
Systemic Risk
1. _________________________
People Risk
1. _________________________
A pragmatic risk management plan is straightforward in concept
Risk Factor
Risk Type
Likelihood
Consequences
Mitigation Tactics
Mitigation Costs
Status
1. Tolerate/Accept the Risk
2. Terminate/Elminate the Risk
3. Transfer/Share the Risk
4. Treat/Mitigate the Risk
Be a leader rather than
following in the footsteps
of another.
• Know your killer risks
• Have mitigation strategies in place
ISO 31000 has defined management framework as a set of
components supporting and sustaining risk management
throughout a business organization. (Iso.org, 2012)
• Develop mitigation
strategies for your
killer risks
Dr. Laura Faulconer
COO
laura@stcaustralia.org
0413 467 201
Assumption Possibility of
wrong
assumption
(1-5)
Level of Impact
if you are
wrong (1-10)
Total
Risk
Level
My target customer is the owner operator
of a tractor trailer truck rather than the
owner of a small or medium fleet
3 9 27
Their problem is that they need to buy as
much gas for their truck as large fleets,
but they don’t get the fuel discounts that
group purchasing affords
2 7 14
There are no good options for fuel
discount cards that allow owner
operators to save 10 cents per gallon or
more
5 5 25
Owner operators of trucks get
information on new products from trade
periodicals and online message boards
5 3 15
The average discount fuel card that
owner operators use saves them 5 cents
or less
4 3 12
Less than 50% of owner operators use
any discount fuel card
4 8 32
We can sell discount fuel cards to owner
operators through an inside sales force
over the phone
4 8 32

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Risk management

  • 2. • Understand common startup risks • Evaluate risks for your startup • Develop risk mitigation strategies
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  • 4. •In Australia, only 44% of business survive 4+ years •In any given year, among firms with employees, almost as many firms close or go bankrupt •Poor risk management is attributed to most failures
  • 5. What’s your chance of survival? https://www.equitynet.com/crowdfunding- tools/startup-risk-calculator.aspx
  • 6. o A chance of losses o The possibility of unfortunate occurrence o Unforeseen events, eventualities o Occurrence of economical loss o Unpredictability o The probability of an unwanted or unavoidable event
  • 7. What types of risks should you consider within a startup or commercialisation?
  • 8. oStrategic oTechnical oCompliance and/or Regulatory and/or legal oOperational oFinancial oMarket and/or Competition oCareer and/or People oReputational oSystemic and/or Political
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  • 10. 1. Likelihood of occurrence 2. Severity of potential consequences
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  • 12. is the art and science of thinking about what could go wrong, and what should be done to mitigate those risks in a cost-effective manner
  • 13. 1. Risk Identification 2. Risk Assessment 3. Risk Control (and/or Mitigation)
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  • 16. Risks with • relatively minor consequences • relatively low likelihood of occurrence • minor consequence as a result Not worth spending a huge amount of time worrying about
  • 17. • Little things that often seem to go wrong, simple solutions • Impacts are easy to minimize through behaviour change Usually solved with a common sense approach
  • 18. • Risks that could have major consequences but are relatively unlikely to happen are often insurable Usually solved with appropriate insurances and procedures
  • 19. Risks with both: • a relatively high likelihood of occurrence • major consequences Individually, they may seem manageable, but collectively, they represent a true challenge
  • 20.
  • 21. 1. There’s a 90% chance that you’ve identified a genuine market need 2. There’s a 90% chance that your addressable market is as big as you think it is 3. There’s a 90% chance that you can actually implement your innovation 4. There’s a 90% chance that you can figure out how to sell it for more than it costs you to make it 5. There’s a 90% chance that you have assembled the right management team to do the job
  • 22. 6. There’s a 90% chance that you manage to stay one step ahead of the competition 7. There’s a 90% chance that you don’t get sued into bankruptcy 8. There’s a 90% chance that you won’t get buried in regulatory red tape 9. There’s a 90% chance that you don’t run out of money 10.There’s a 90% chance that nothing else goes wrong
  • 23.
  • 24. Market Risks Competitive Risks Technology & Operational Risks Financial Risks People Risks Legal & Regulatory Risks Systemic Risks Fall into these categories:
  • 25. Refers to whether or not there is sufficient demand for what you have to offer at the price you set Many entrepreneurs have failed while clinging to the belief that the market would beat a path to their door if they designed a better mousetrap
  • 26. Every venture has more competitors and fewer competitive advantages than it thinks Figure out what you do better than all of your competitors — whether it be price, features, quality, or some other advantage — and focus on maintaining your leadership in that category
  • 27. • Can your team finalise the product design on a limited R&D budget? • Will your product work as intended? • Can you find reliable vendors? • Can you manufacture it? • Can you optimise the logistics of product distribution? • Can you create an effective product support infrastructure?
  • 28. The end of the road for any business is running out of cash For startups, the biggest financial risk stems from not having a Plan B in case investors and lenders say no If you do succeed at raising capital, the next trick is to figure out how to start generating enough revenues to cover your costs before you run out of money
  • 29. People are, at the same time, the most crucial and least predictable element of any business
  • 30. The list of possible problems with legal or regulatory is almost endless: tax complications; disputes from poorly structured agreements; lawsuits filed by a competitor for intellectual property dispute.
  • 31. Systemic risks are those that threaten the viability of entire markets, not just a single firm within a market
  • 32. In your teams, identify one killer risk from each category…. Market Risk: 1. _________________________ Competitive Risk: 1. _________________________ Technology & Operational Risk 1. _________________________ Financial Risk 1. _________________________ Legal & Regulatory Risk 1. _________________________ Systemic Risk 1. _________________________ People Risk 1. _________________________
  • 33.
  • 34. A pragmatic risk management plan is straightforward in concept Risk Factor Risk Type Likelihood Consequences Mitigation Tactics Mitigation Costs Status
  • 35. 1. Tolerate/Accept the Risk 2. Terminate/Elminate the Risk 3. Transfer/Share the Risk 4. Treat/Mitigate the Risk
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  • 46.
  • 47. Be a leader rather than following in the footsteps of another.
  • 48.
  • 49. • Know your killer risks • Have mitigation strategies in place ISO 31000 has defined management framework as a set of components supporting and sustaining risk management throughout a business organization. (Iso.org, 2012)
  • 50. • Develop mitigation strategies for your killer risks
  • 52. Assumption Possibility of wrong assumption (1-5) Level of Impact if you are wrong (1-10) Total Risk Level My target customer is the owner operator of a tractor trailer truck rather than the owner of a small or medium fleet 3 9 27 Their problem is that they need to buy as much gas for their truck as large fleets, but they don’t get the fuel discounts that group purchasing affords 2 7 14 There are no good options for fuel discount cards that allow owner operators to save 10 cents per gallon or more 5 5 25 Owner operators of trucks get information on new products from trade periodicals and online message boards 5 3 15 The average discount fuel card that owner operators use saves them 5 cents or less 4 3 12 Less than 50% of owner operators use any discount fuel card 4 8 32 We can sell discount fuel cards to owner operators through an inside sales force over the phone 4 8 32