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Journal of Hydrology (2007) 334, 73– 87 
available at www.sciencedirect.com 
journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/jhydrol 
Assessment of the effects of DEM gridding on the 
predictions of basin runoff using MIKE SHE 
and a modelling resolution of 600 m 
R.F. Va´zquez a,*, J. Feyen b,1 
a Centro de Investigacio´n y Tecnologı´a Agroalimentaria de Arago´n, Unidad de Suelos y Riegos, Avenida de 
Montan˜ana 930, 50059 Zaragoza, Spain 
b Division Soil and Water Management, Department of Land Management and Economics, K.U.Leuven, Celestijnenlaan 
200 E, 3001 Heverlee, Belgium 
Received 7 February 2006; received in revised form 26 September 2006; accepted 1 October 2006 
KEYWORDS 
DEM; 
TOPOGRID; 
MIKE SHE; 
Catchment distributed 
modelling; 
Resolution 
Summary A 586-km2 catchment was modelled with the distributed hydrologic model 
MIKE SHE. Coarse digital elevation models (DEMs) having a 600-m resolution and gridded 
from a set of elevation points geographically distributed with a much finer resolution were 
used in the modelling with the purpose of investigating potential effects of the DEM gen-eration 
methods on (i) model parameter values; (ii) adequacy of model global predictions; 
and (iii) the evaluation of internal state predictions. To address these aspects, this paper 
describes the DEM gridding methods, assesses the accuracy of the DEMs and examines sys-tematically 
the sensitivities of parameter values and predictions of the distributed model 
with respect to the DEMs. Three types of gridding methods were applied. Methods type I 
were based on the use of the MIKE SHE interpolation tool (Bilinear algorithm) for process-ing 
input elevation data distributed about the periphery of the gridded DEM cells. Input 
elevation data distributed about the centre of the gridded DEM cells were processed in 
gridding methods type II. The third type was based on the use of the TOPOGRID algorithm 
that considers landscape features, such as digitised streams, to improve the drainage 
structure of the gridded DEMs. A multi-criteria protocol was applied for assessing the ele-vation 
quality of DEMs and their suitability for hydrologic purposes. It was found that the 
quality of the DEM products of the MIKE SHE interpolation tool were poorer. The indepen-dent 
calibration of the assembled hydrologic models revealed (i) important variations of 
* Corresponding author. Tel.: +34 976 716324; fax: +34 976 716335. 
E-mail addresses: raulfvazquezz@yahoo.co.uk, rvazquezz@aragon.es (R.F. Va´zquez), jan.feyen@biw.kuleuven.be (J. Feyen). 
1 Fax: +32 16 329760. 
0022-1694/$ - see front matter ª 2006 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. 
doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2006.10.001
74 R.F. Va´zquez, J. Feyen 
model predictions; and (ii) from average to important variations of effective parameter 
values, as a function of the different DEMs. A multi-criteria protocol analysing discharge 
time series, peak flows and piezometric levels showed that model performance is in broad 
terms in agreement with the elevation and slope quality of the DEMs. 
ª 2006 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. 
Introduction 
Digital Elevation Models (DEMs) are important tools in 
hydrologic research and water resources management owing 
to the relevance that geo-morphological features intrinsic 
in the DEMs have for the simulation of important water flow 
processes such as surface runoff, evaporation and infiltra-tion. 
However, DEMs, as source of spatially distributed 
ground elevations, are not free of errors and limitations. 
DEM square-grid structures have limitations for handling dis-continuities 
in elevation and representing adequately all of 
the landscape features. Indeed, either triangulated irregu-lar 
networks (TIN) or contour lines should be preferred for 
representing a surface for hydrologic purposes (Wise, 
2000; Vivoni et al., 2005). However, square-grid DEMs are 
still widely used for hydrologic purposes owing mainly to 
their simplicity and computational efficiency. 
In this context, the referred limitations of grid DEMs for 
handling discontinuities in elevations and representing 
appropriately landscape features are reduced by decreasing 
as much as possible their grid size (Walker and Willgoose, 
1999; Wise, 2000). Particularly, in catchment distributed 
modelling using grid DEMs, research has enabled to recom-mend 
the use of DEM grid sizes smaller than 50 m for ade-quate 
flow pathway analysis at the hillslope scale (Saulnier 
et al., 1997a; Beven and Freer, 2001). Thus, using the dis-tributed 
code TOPMODEL (Beven et al., 1995), Zhang and 
Montgomery (1994) selected a 10-m grid size for the ade-quate 
simulation of geomorphic and hydrologic processes 
in two small catchments (0.3-km2 and 1.2-km2). Beldring 
(2002) used a 10-m DEM for modelling a 6.2-km2 catchment. 
Braud et al. (1999) modelled a 5.47-km2 mountainous catch-ment 
with the ANSWER code (Beasley et al., 1980) using a 
30-m grid size. Gu¨ntner et al. (1999) applied TOPMODEL 
on a well-monitored 40-km2 catchment considering a 50-m 
grid size. 
The use of DEM grid sizes smaller than 50 m is however 
not always possible in catchment distributed modelling. 
This is in part due to the lack of world-wide data with the 
appropriate resolution. Other important reason is related 
to computational efficiency, which is sensitive to the num-ber 
of horizontal and vertical (modelling) computational 
units and, as such, to the size of the modelled catchment. 
In this respect, Xevi et al. (1997) and Christiaens and Feyen 
(2002) modelled a 1-km2 well-monitored experimental 
catchment with the code MIKE SHE (Refsgaard and Storm, 
1995) considering a grid size of 100 m. Refsgaard (1997) 
and Madsen (2003) considered grid sizes larger or equal to 
500 m for modelling a 440-km2 catchment. Refsgaard and 
Knudsen (1996) modelled a 1090-km2 catchment with a 
1000-m grid size using MIKE SHE and Jain et al. (1992) mod-elled 
with the same hydrological code the 820 km2 Kolar 
catchment in India with grid sizes ranging from 500 to 
4000 m. 
The use of such coarse grid sizes in catchment distrib-uted 
modelling implies important spatial scale differences 
among the scale to which the physical structure of the 
hydrologic codes were obtained, the scales to which the dif-ferent 
data are collected and the coarse scales to which the 
hydrologic codes are applied (Bergstro¨m and Graham, 1998; 
Va´zquez et al., 2002; Va´zquez, 2003). The following are 
therefore important issues that are related to the impact 
of grid scale on the predictions of catchment modelling: 
(i) what is the adequate grid resolution for achieving 
accurate model predictions, while keeping computa-tional 
times under reasonable limits? 
Prior sensitivity analyses demonstrated that using (more 
or less) different data for the same modelling variable 
lead to significant differences in both effective parame-ter 
values and model performance (Va´zquez et al., 2002; 
Va´zquez and Feyen, 2003b). 
(ii) Given that geomorphologic features intrinsic in the 
DEMs (i.e. elevation, slope, curvature, etc.) are impor-tant 
for the simulation of flow processes such as surface 
runoff, infiltration and evaporation, and provided that 
different DEM accuracies are expected from the applica-tion 
of different DEM gridding methods, do the effective 
parameter values reflect the differences of these DEM 
generation methods when using a coarse modelling 
resolution? 
(iii) Is the adequacy of global predictions affected by dif-ferent 
DEM generation methods? and 
(iv) Is the evaluation of internal state predictions 
affected by the DEM generation methods? 
The assessment of the first of these grid-scale issues will 
demand the consideration of various aspects such as param-eter 
error, model structural error and data (input and eval-uation) 
measurement error. In this context, Va´zquez et al. 
(2002), after using 300, 600 and 1200-m modelling grid 
sizes, found that an acceptable compromise between accu-racy 
of model predictions and computational (i.e. running) 
time was reached when using a grid size of 600 m for the 
modelling of the Gete catchment (Belgium) with the MIKE 
SHE model. This study did not consider model structural er-ror 
owing to the lack of access to the structure of the MIKE 
SHE model (access limitations linked to the commercial nat-ure 
of the software). However, the main conclusions of the 
referred study were based on parameter calibration, the 
evaluation of internal state predictions and a brief assess-ment 
of data measurement error concerning piezometric 
data (for evaluation). 
With regard to the other grid-scale issues, previous stud-ies 
have used topographically driven codes such as TOPOG 
(Vertessy et al., 1993) and TOPMODEL for examining the ef-fects 
of both the scale of the input elevation data and the 
resolution of the gridded DEMs on model performance
Assessment of the effects of DEM gridding on the predictions of basin runoff using MIKE SHE 75 
(Zhang and Montgomery, 1994; Wolock and Price, 1994; 
Lane et al., 2004) and on the effective values of saturated 
hydraulic conductivity (Saulnier et al., 1997a,b). However, 
published modelling studies using MIKE SHE with coarse 
DEMs have not addressed explicitly either of these topics 
(Refsgaard and Storm, 1995; Refsgaard and Knudsen, 1996; 
Xevi et al., 1997; Refsgaard, 1997; Feyen et al., 2000; Chris-tiaens 
and Feyen, 2002; Madsen, 2003). Furthermore, dis-cussion 
about the incidence of different gridding methods 
on either the quality of the DEM products, the model global 
predictions, the evaluation of internal state predictions or 
the effective parameter values of the hydrologic model is 
not common in previous publications about distributed mod-elling 
of catchments. 
Therefore, in contrast to previous published work, this 
article presents an assessment of different methods for 
gridding coarse-DEMs (up-scale gridding) and the potential 
effects of these methods on the referred grid-scale issues, 
namely, adequacy of global predictions, effective parame-ter 
values and the evaluation of internal state predictions. 
In line with the conclusions of previous work (Va´zquez 
et al., 2002), the current assessment involves the use of a 
600-m grid size. The assessment is furthermore based on 
the application of the MIKE SHE model on the data of the 
Gete catchment (Belgium). 
Materials 
The study site 
The study site, the Gete catchment (586 km2), located to 
the east of Brussels-Belgium (Fig. 1), comprises the sub-catchments 
of the Grote Gete (326 km2) and the Kleine Gete 
(260 km2). The elevation of the area varies from approxi-mately 
27 m in the northern part to 174 m in the southern 
part. Land use is mainly agricultural with some local for-ested 
areas. The local weather is characterised by moderate 
humid conditions. Nine soil units can be distinguished 
according to the legend of the Belgian soil map (Vander 
Poorten and Deckers, 1994; Va´zquez, 2003), e.g. loamy soils 
(Aba, Ada and Adc), sand–loamy soils (Lca, Lda and Ldc), 
clay soils (Eep and Uep) and soils with stony mixtures 
(Gbb). The dominant soil type in the catchment is the Aba 
soil unit. The reader is referred to Va´zquez et al. (2002, 
2003) and Va´zquez and Feyen (2003b) for additional details 
about the description of the catchment. 
The hydrologic code 
The MIKE SHE code (Refsgaard and Storm, 1995) was consid-ered 
for the integral modelling of the study site. MIKE SHE is 
a well-known deterministic-distributed code that has been 
used and described in a wide range of applications (e.g., 
Refsgaard, 1997; Jayatilaka et al., 1998; Feyen et al., 
2000; Christiaens and Feyen, 2002; Va´zquez and Feyen, 
2003a). MIKE SHE integrates the entire land phase of the 
hydrologic cycle and can model interception, actual evapo-transpiration 
(ETact), overland flow, channel flow, flow in 
the unsaturated zone, flow in the saturated zone and ex-change 
between aquifers and rivers. MIKE SHE applied at a 
catchment scale implies the assumption that smaller scale 
equations are valid also at the larger scale; thus, it performs 
an upscaling operation using effective parameter values. 
The MIKE SHE model uses a square-grid modelling structure. 
Consequently, square-grid DEMs were used in this research. 
The input elevation data 
The DEMs were gridded from a set of elevation spot heights 
(Zsource), available from the Flemish Spatial Data Infrastruc-ture 
(OC-GIS Vlaanderen-Belgium). There are no published 
details about the methods used to create these elevation 
spot heights. However, according to staff at the National 
Geographical Institute of Belgium (NGIB), these data were 
derived originally from digitised contour lines from a 
1:50000 topographic map and finally arranged in a non-orthogonal 
but regular grid mesh with an approximate reso-lution 
of 40 m in the X-direction and 30 m in the Y-direction. 
Q-Gete 
Q-Kleine Gete Catchment 
outlet 
Main flow 
direction 
North sea The 
Gete 
Multi-Site observation well 
Multi-Site stream station 
Split-Sample observation well 
Split-Sample stream station 
Coordinates: simulation grid 
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 (600x600 m² model) 
55 
50 
45 
40 
35 
30 
25 
20 
15 
10 
5 
Q-Grote Gete 
Legend: 
N 
Flemish region 
Walloon region 
France 
Netherlands 
catchment 
Figure 1 Location of the study site and distribution of the calibration and evaluation wells and stream stations (after Va´zquez and 
Feyen, 2003a).
76 R.F. Va´zquez, J. Feyen 
Inspection of the numerical characteristics of Zsource re-vealed 
that the information was recorded to the nearest 
meter. This constitutes by itself an important factor of 
uncertainty associated with Zsource that should be taken into 
account when assessing the elevation quality of the gridded 
DEMs, as owing to this uncertainty, Zsource is not a true rep-resentation 
of the topography of the study site. Further-more, 
digitised streams and the topographical catchment 
divide, as derived from the 1:50000 scale maps, were 
available. 
Methods 
DEM gridding methods 
The selection of a gridding method depends principally on 
the spatial distribution of the input data and resolution of 
the output grid. In common hydrologic-model applications, 
DEMs are normally gridded by means of interpolation algo-rithms 
for estimating elevations, so that they have a resolu-tion 
that is finer than or similar to the average resolution of 
the input data (i.e. down-scaling operation). The use of 
coarse grid DEMs for hydrologic purpose demands, on the 
contrary, an up-scaling gridding operation to generate DEMs 
with a resolution that is much coarser than the average res-olution 
of the input data. 
In this work the spot elevation data were gridded accord-ing 
to five up-scaling methods. The first method ((A)) uses 
the spot-based Bilinear (Bi) interpolation algorithm, avail-able 
as a pre-processing MIKE SHE tool (DHI, 1998). This 
interpolation tool uses up to a maximum of four points 
(one per quadrant) to estimate the elevation at every grid-ded 
cell corner. The points are the nearest to the cell cor-ner 
and are selected on the basis of (i) their distance to the 
corner and (ii) a user-defined searching radius around the 
corner. The method then estimates, the centre value for 
every cell as the average of the four corner values. There-fore, 
depending on both the density of the elevation data 
and the modelling resolution, up to a maximum of 16 data 
points may contribute to the estimation of the cell centre 
value. Considering the approximate resolution of Zsource 
(i.e. 40 m · 30 m), the searching radius was given a value 
(much) greater than 50 m ¼ 
ffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi 
ð40Þ2 þ ð30Þ2 
q 
m, that is, long 
enough to use 16 elevation points. For DEM coarse resolu-tions, 
this up-scaling method uses information from points 
located around the gridded cell corners, that is, far away 
from the cell centre where the elevation is finally derived. 
The other four approaches, methods (B), (C), (D) and (E), 
were implemented with the aid of algorithms that are avail-able 
for gridding DEMs in common geographical information 
system (GIS) packages, namely, ARC/INFO (ESRI, 1996) and 
IDRISI (Clark Labs, 1998). These methods are commonly 
used for downscaling operations, but they are not necessar-ily 
the most appropriate to carry out the up-scaling gridding 
of coarse DEMs. Therefore a systematic evaluation of their 
DEM-products is needed. For methods (B) and (C) a TIN sur-face 
was produced with ARC/INFO on the basis of a linear 
interpolation process. In method (B), the TIN surface was 
further interpolated into a regular lattice (TIN to lattice 
transformation) with a 600-m resolution. In general, this 
transformation involved a linear interpolation along the 
edges of the TIN triangles (positioned around the cell cen-tre) 
to determine the elevation of the lattice pixels. Thus, 
unlike method (A), method (B) uses input elevation data 
concentrated around the cell centre where the elevation 
is estimated. In method (C), contour lines were derived with 
ARC/INFO from the TIN surface. These contours were then 
utilised as elevation input for the MIKE SHE Bi interpolation 
utility. Thus, alike method (A), method (C) uses information 
from elevation spot heights located at the periphery of the 
gridded cell. 
For methods (D) and (E), the ARC/INFO module TOPO-GRID 
(ESRI, 1996) was used. TOPOGRID is a finite difference 
interpolation technique that is based on the specialised 
interpolation approach ANUDEM (Hutchinson, 1989) that is 
characterised by its computational efficiency, so that it 
can handle large data sets, and by a drainage enforcement 
algorithm that uses landscape features, such as digitised 
streams, to improve the structure of DEM products for 
hydrologic purposes. TOPOGRID imposes interpolation con-straints 
to remove spurious sinks that result in a more cor-rect 
drainage structure and representation of ridges and 
streams. The use of TOPOGRID is therefore considered as 
one of the best current practices in DEM gridding, as it gen-erates 
a hydrologically consistent DEM (ESRI, 1996; Hutchin-son, 
1989). The readers are referred to Hutchinson (1989), 
Hutchinson and Dowling (1991) and ESRI (1996) for a com-plete 
description of ANUDEM and TOPOGRID. 
In method (D) a 20-m DEM was initially obtained through 
a common (i.e. downscaling) TOPOGRID application. Re-sampling 
methods were then applied on the 20-m DEM for 
obtaining coarse 600-m DEMs, namely, the Nearest Neigh-bour 
(Nn), the Bilinear (Bi) and the Cubic Convolution (Cu) 
methods (ESRI, 1996; Hanselman and Littlefield, 1998). 
The Nn algorithm assigns the value associated with the clos-est 
cell centre on the input grid to the re-sampled cell. The 
Bi interpolation algorithm uses a weighted average deter-mined 
by the values of the input cells at the four nearest 
cell-centres and their weighted distance to the centre of 
the re-sampled cell. Cu is a surface-fitting algorithm that 
uses the 16 nearest input cell centres and their values to 
determine the re-sampled cell value. Depending on the res-olution 
of the input grid and similarly to method (B), these 
re-sampling methods use elevation data concentrated 
around the coarse cell centre. The three DEM products of 
the re-sampling methods were compared with each other 
for selecting a DEM product representative of method (D) 
to be used in the hydrologic modelling. This assessment 
was based on the analysis of the cumulative distributions 
of DEM elevations, slopes, etc, as explained later in the 
text. The assessment of DEM elevation quality indicated a 
marginal difference in detriment of the product of the Nn 
re-sampling technique (DEM(D_Nn)) and in favour of the 
product of the Cu re-sampling technique (DEM(D_Cu)). 
Therefore, DEM(D_Cu) was selected as representative of 
method (D) for the hydrologic modelling. This selection 
was also supported by the fact that more input data (16 in-put 
cell centres) are included in the Cu method than in the 
other re-sampling methods for determining every re-sam-pled 
cell centre. 
For method (E), the coarse 600-m DEM was obtained di-rectly 
from Zsource without the need of a re-sampling meth-od 
through the application of TOPOGRID, within an up-
Assessment of the effects of DEM gridding on the predictions of basin runoff using MIKE SHE 77 
scaling context. In contrast to the other methods, TOPO-GRID 
does not use input elevation data exclusively concen-trated 
either about the centre or the periphery of the 
gridded cell, but instead, it uses simultaneously distributed 
elevation data and stream information to enforce a more 
natural drainage structure in the DEM products. 
Thus, depending on whether the gridding method uses in-put 
elevation data distributed about the gridded cell centre 
or about the gridded cell periphery, the gridding methods 
are further classified in this work as belonging to class type 
I (i.e. methods (A) and (C)), class type II (i.e. methods (B) 
and (D)) and class type III (method (E)). In the forthcoming 
sections of this paper, the quotation ‘‘DEM(method/type)’’ 
stands for the DEM product of a particular gridding method 
or type. 
DEM quality assessment 
The assessment of the quality for hydrologic use of the 
coarse DEM products was based on (i) the comparison of 
the DEMs and Zsource, (ii) the comparison of the DEMs with 
each other through their hydro-geomorphic properties, 
and (iii) the analysis of plots such as spatial distribution of 
pits, drainage patterns, derived contours, etc. The set of 
hydro-geomorphic properties comprised: drainage patterns, 
catchment areas, slopes and hillslope shading and the com-putation 
of the topographic index (k). These analyses were 
done considering the domain defined by the digitised catch-ment 
boundary. 
The discrepancies between the coarse DEM elevations 
(ZDEM) and the input elevation data (Zsource) were condensed 
into summary statistics, such as minimum, mean and maxi-mum 
values, standard deviation and the root mean squared 
error (RMSE) 
RMSE ¼ 
ffiPffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi n 
i¼1ðresÞ2 
i 
n 
s 
ð1Þ 
where (res)i, is the residual, the arithmetic difference be-tween 
a coarse DEM elevation (ZDEM) and Zsource at the i-th 
test location of interest; and n is the number of test loca-tions. 
The RMSE analysis included 150 test-spots that were 
defined pseudo-randomly, that is, 120 spots were selected 
randomly whilst the remaining 30 spots were chosen subjec-tively 
to include terrain zones of hydrologic and geomorpho-logic 
interest, such as depressions, spots near water courses 
and uplands. The comparison of the coarse DEMs and Zsource 
included also the analysis of the cumulative distributions of 
residuals computed at the same test locations as in the 
RMSE evaluations. Furthermore a cumulative distribution 
of DEM elevations was calculated for every DEM product. 
The derivation of drainage patterns and the automatic 
delineation of catchment (i.e. drainage) areas are affected 
by spurious sinks (i.e. local minima), as sinks interfere with 
the (natural) connection of drainage patterns. Thus, sink re-moval 
was carried out prior to the assessment of these geo-morphic 
relationships. Because zones of natural depression 
storage are very difficult to account while using coarse res-olutions, 
such as the one considered in this study, all the 
identified sinks were treated as artificial depressions result-ing 
from random errors induced by the gridding interpola-tion. 
Thus, all of the identified sinks were removed. In 
doing so, a method based on the drainage enforcement 
algorithm by Jenson and Domingue (1988) was applied. With 
this algorithm, the downslope flow direction for each cell is 
defined after inspecting the eight cardinal directions and 
identifying the neighbouring cell of lowest elevation. The 
algorithm fills the sinks by assigning to them the elevation 
of their lowest neighbour and then assigns flow directions 
to these flat cells towards a neighbouring cell that has a pre-viously 
assigned flow direction. 
The Jenson and Domingue (1988) algorithm was also used 
to derive the drainage patterns, accounting for the flow that 
accumulates at each cell of the DEM for a uniform and unit-value 
rainfall. A threshold value (10 flow units) was then ap-plied 
to produce the drainage networks through a reclassifi-cation 
process that accounted for cells with higher 
accumulated flow. The catchment areas were automatically 
delineated also through the Jenson and Domingue (1988) 
algorithm by using the information on the flow direction 
for each cell and the grouping of cells draining to a single 
outlet or seed cell. This seed pixel was defined explicitly 
matching the coordinates of the Gete station (Fig. 1). The 
derived catchment areas were compared to the digitised 
catchment boundary. 
Although some of the assumptions on which the interpre-tation 
of the topographic index (k) is based are not fulfilled 
(mainly because of the coarse resolution used in this 
research), it was calculated to briefly assess the potential 
runoff sources (Beven et al., 1995; Quinn et al., 1995; 
Ambroise et al., 1996). For a particular grid cell, it is calcu-lated 
as 
ki ¼ ln 
  
ai 
tanðbiÞ 
ð2Þ 
where ai is the area draining through the cell per unit length 
of contour [L]; and tan(bi) is the local surface slope [–] of 
the cell. The multiple direction flow sharing algorithm by 
Quinn et al. (1991) was used to determine the downslope 
flow pathways and for distributing to the downslope cells 
a proportion of the accumulated contributing area. This 
algorithm is more suitable than that of Jenson and Domin-gue 
(1988) for representing flow on divergent hillslopes 
and for larger grid resolutions (Quinn et al., 1991, 1995). 
The calculation of k enabled to compare the drainage 
patterns derived with both methods, namely Quinn et al. 
(1991) and Jenson and Domingue (1988). 
Sensitivity analyses on the coarse DEMs 
The grid-scale issues of interest defined in the objectives of 
this manuscript were examined through a Multi-Calibration 
(MCal) test, in which several models differing only in the 
DEM input data were subjected to identical calibration 
and evaluation. After model calibration, the differences in 
the sets of effective parameter values were assessed. 
During model evaluation, the differences in model perfor-mance 
were characterised through the analysis of the model 
residuals (i.e. differences between predictions and 
observations). 
In addition, an analysis of the effects of the sink removal 
operation was performed considering the DEM(A) represent-ing 
gridding type I and DEM(B) representing gridding type II.
78 R.F. Va´zquez, J. Feyen 
Additionally, this analysis was extended to include DEM(C) 
for investigating the modelling consequences of the mis-match 
that was observed between the derived catchment 
outlet and the location of the Gete station, which is de-picted 
later in the text. 
Hydrologic model of the study site 
The profile definition of the river tributaries was based on 
interpolation/extrapolation of a few measured profiles. 
Drains were specified in the model set-up to improve the 
simulated hydrograph shape and to account for the small ca-nals 
and ditches present on a scale smaller than the model-ling 
resolution. The drainage depth (zdr) and the reciprocal 
time constant (Tdr), a sort of drainage coefficient, were cal-ibrated 
because they influence mainly the velocity of the 
drainage and the peak and recession of the hydrograph. 
The spatial extent of the soil units and their vertical proper-ties 
could be assessed considering two soil databases (Feyen 
et al., 2000). Parameters for describing the flow through the 
soil system were calculated with pedo-transfer functions 
(PTFs). Despite the uncertainties associated with the PTFs 
and the soil databases, the soil parameters were not in-cluded 
within the calibration process to avoid considering 
too many parameters (for 9 soil units) during model 
calibration. 
The complex geology of the studied system comprises 
nine geological units (Va´zquez and Feyen, 2003a), of which 
only two are underlying completely the area of the catch-ment. 
The geology was incorporated in the three-dimen-sional 
groundwater model of MIKE SHE. A sensitivity 
analysis demonstrated that the model could be simplified 
further to six geological units without influencing the global 
results noticeably (Va´zquez et al., 2002). The model in-cludes 
five upper geological units on top of the low-perme-able 
Palaeozoic rocky basement. The hydrogeologic 
parameters of these units were tuned during the calibration 
process. Owing to the lack of appropriate measurements, 
the groundwater divide was assumed coincident with the 
topographical divide and the aquifers were given no-flow 
boundary conditions. 
The input time step, during which no change in boundary 
conditions occurs (stress period), was taken as one day, in 
recognition of the lack of more precise meteorological data. 
MIKE SHE requires crop potential evapotranspiration (ETp) 
data for modelling ETact. Modelling ETact was done by means 
of the Kristensen and Jensen (1975) approach. ETp data 
were estimated in turn by means of the Kc–ET0 method that 
uses crop coefficients (Kc) and crop reference evapotranspi-ration 
(ET0). ET0 time series were estimated with the Food 
and Agriculture Organisation (FAO) Penman-method 24 
(FAO-24). Locally-applicable parameter values were avail-able 
for the components of the FAO-24 method (Va´zquez 
and Feyen, 2004). The estimates produced by the FAO-24 
method, using these locally-applicable parameter values 
for the various components of the method, were equivalent 
to the estimates of the FAO-56 Penman-Monteith method 
using standard parameter values recommended by the 
FAO-56 report for the different components of the method 
(Allen et al., 1998). No locally-applicable parameter values 
were available for the components of the FAO-56 method 
(Va´zquez and Feyen, 2004). The effective values for the 
parameters that MIKE SHE uses to estimate ETact (Kristensen 
and Jensen, 1975) were taken from a previous sensitivity 
analysis (DHI, 1998; Va´zquez and Feyen, 2003b). These 
parameter values were kept constant throughout the mod-elling 
analysis. The reader is referred to Doorenbos and Pru-itt 
(1977), Va´zquez and Feyen (2003b, 2004) for a complete 
description of the Penman FAO-24 approach and the set-up 
of the catchment model. 
Model calibration and performance assessment 
In principle, when sufficient data are available, physically 
based distributed models do not need to be calibrated. 
However, this type of models must be calibrated to improve 
their predictions because of sub-grid variability of parame-ter 
values, model structure uncertainties and data (input 
and evaluation) uncertainties. A good calibration process 
should aim therefore to reduce as much as possible the 
model error, that is, parameter uncertainties (i.e. obtaining 
appropriate grid-scale effective parameter values) and 
model structure uncertainties (i.e. developing the most 
accurate catchment model) so that the total modelling 
error is mainly composed by the data measurement error 
(which is usually unknown and scale dependant). With this 
purpose in mind, and in line with their nature, distributed 
models must be evaluated against distributed 
measurements. 
In this study, care was taken to avoid violating physical 
constraints during the model calibration (Va´zquez and 
Feyen, 2003a). Particularly, the availability of piezometric 
data defined the calibration period as from the 1st of Janu-ary 
1985 until the 31st of December 1986 and the main eval-uation 
period from the 1st of January 1987 until the 31st of 
December 1988 (Split-Sample test). Additional evaluation 
periods of variable length were however considered in the 
scope of a Multi-Window (MW) test (Va´zquez, 2003; Va´zquez 
and Feyen, 2003b), as depicted later in the text. 
Owing mainly to the high computational requirements 
and the large number of model parameters, the calibration 
of distributed hydrologic models is not a trivial activity. In 
this research, a considerable computational work was re-quired 
since every simulation lasted about one hour and 
an average of 400 simulations were needed to reach every 
model calibration in the framework of the Multi-Calibration 
(MCal) test. A conventional calibration by fit process was ap-plied. 
It was based on a ‘‘trial and error’’ procedure, in 
which the influence of the various model parameters was 
examined step by step through a multi-criteria performance 
protocol. In general, for each DEM product the model was 
calibrated and evaluated using a Split-Sample (SS) proce-dure 
against basin-wide daily discharge measurements and 
water levels for 12 observation wells, with screens in differ-ent 
geological layers (Fig. 1). To investigate how well the 
calibrated model was able to simulate internal variables, a 
Multi-Site (MS) evaluation test was also performed for two 
internal discharge stations and 6 observation wells that 
were not considered during the calibration process (Fig. 1). 
The general protocol used for assessing the model per-formance 
consisted of two complementary components: 
(i) the analysis (statistical and graphical) of different time 
series properties; and (ii) the evaluation of a set of multi-objective 
statistics. The inspected time series simulation
Assessment of the effects of DEM gridding on the predictions of basin runoff using MIKE SHE 79 
properties included: (i) cumulative flow volumes; (ii) mod-elled 
versus observed discharge maxima; and (iii) high flow 
extreme value statistics. 
Unrelated or slightly correlated statistics were preferred 
for the set of multi-objective statistics. However, as an 
exception, two statistics that are correlated were consid-ered 
in this research for getting a quick overview of the 
model performance simulating peak flows. These statistics 
are the coefficient of efficiency (EF2) (Legates and McCabe, 
1999), that is frequently used for an estimation of the total 
(combined systematic and random) average error and the 
coefficient of determination (CD) (Loague and Green, 
1991) that is related to the EF2 but is particularly useful 
to assess the simulation of peak values (Va´zquez, 2003). 
These statistics are defined as follows: 
EF2 ¼ 1  
Pn 
i¼1ðOi  PiÞ2 
Pn 
i¼1ðOi  OÞ2 ð3Þ 
CD ¼ 
Pn 
i¼1ðOi  OÞ2 
Pn 
i¼1ðPi  OÞ2 ð4Þ 
where, Pi is the i-th simulated value, Oi is the i-th observed 
value, O is the average of the observed values and n is the 
number of observations. The optimal value of EF2 is 1.0 
and the feasible range of variation is 1  EF2 6 1.0, while 
for CD, these parameters are 1.0 and 0.0  CD  +1, respec-tively. 
For a more even assessment of the simulation of both 
high and low flows, the multi-objective set of statistics was 
also applied on the logarithmic transformation of the ob-served 
and the predicted variables (Va´zquez, 2003). 
Primarily, the drainage depth (zdr) and the reciprocal 
time constant (Tdr) were calibrated against the overall dis-charge 
of the catchment. Next, the values of the hydrogeo-logic 
parameters of the five upper most geological units 
were tuned against the outflow discharge of the catchment. 
When the overall discharge was reasonably well simulated, 
the hydrogeologic parameters of each unit were tuned fur-ther 
to improve the agreement between the predicted and 
observed piezometric levels in the calibration wells. Previ-ous 
modelling experiences (Feyen et al., 2000; Va´zquez 
et al., 2002; Va´zquez and Feyen, 2003b) showed that after 
tuning the hydrogeologic parameters for improving the pie-zometric 
predictions, the model performance simulating 
overall discharges was diminished and, as a consequence, 
an additional tuning of zdr, Tdr and the horizontal conductiv-ity 
of the loamy Quaternarian (Kw) and the clayey sand 
Landeniaan (Ln) units was necessary for improving the sim-ulation 
of the overall discharge. Thus, in this research a fur-ther 
tuning of these parameters was carried out to improve 
as much as possible the prediction of the overall discharge 
but trying at the same time to reach a modelling compro-mise 
to avoid affecting significantly the prediction of piezo-metric 
levels. 
For the extreme value analysis (EVA), independent Peak- 
Over-Threshold (POT) values were extracted from the total 
discharge (Qt) using independency criteria based on the dif-ferences 
among the recession constants of the hydrologic 
subflows: overland flow (Qov), interflow (Qin) and baseflow 
(Qbs) (Willems, 2000; Va´zquez and Feyen, 2003a). The EVA 
was performed from the 1st of January 1984 until the 31st 
of December 1995. An exponential distribution fitted rea-sonably 
well the observed data beyond an optimal threshold 
Qt equal to 6.4 m3 s1 (Va´zquez and Feyen, 2003a). 
Results 
DEM quality assessment 
The analysis of the cumulative distributions of DEM eleva-tions 
and the elevation statistics did not reveal a clear dif-ference 
among all of the inspected DEMs. Fig. 2a shows the 
cumulative distributions of slope (tan(b)) as a fraction of 
the catchment area and as a function of the DEMs after sink 
removal. The plot also includes the corresponding distribu-tion 
for the 20-m product of the TOPOGRID algorithm, 
considered in this research as hydrologically consistent 
(Hutchinson, 1989; ESRI, 1996) and, as such, as a reference. 
Fig. 2b illustrates the cumulative distributions (Fr(res 6 
RES)) of residuals for a particular value of interest (RES), 
calculated at the 150 pseudo-random test locations as a 
function of the DEMs after sink removal. 
Fig. 2a shows the considerable smoothing of the DEMs 
that took place as a consequence of increasing the resolu-tion 
of the elevation data (from about 20 m to 600 m) and 
as such indicates the generalised low elevation quality of 
all of the coarse DEMs used in this research. Nevertheless, 
Fig. 2a and b show that the products of methods (B) and 
(D) described the catchment’s elevation slightly better than 
the DEM products of methods (A), (C) and (E). Additionally, 
1.0 
0.8 
0.6 
0.4 
0.2 
0.0 
0 
DEMs after sink removal 
RES [m] 
Fr(resRES) [--] 
(A)_rand 
(B)_rand 
(C)_rand 
(D)_rand 
(E)_rand 
1.0 
0.8 
0.6 
0.4 
0.2 
0.0 
0 
DEMs after sink removal 
tan( ) [--] 
Fraction of catchment area [--] 
20-m 
(A) 
(B) 
(C) 
(D) 
(E) 
1 2 3 4 5 4 8 12 16 
Figure 2 Cumulative frequency distributions of (a) DEM local slope; and (b) residuals among DEMs and pseudo-random elevation 
spot heights (_rand).
80 R.F. Va´zquez, J. Feyen 
these figures clearly show three different sets of cumulative 
distributions. One of the sets groups the DEM products of 
methods (A) and (C). A second set groups the DEM products 
of methods (B) and (D). Finally, the DEM product of method 
(E) constitutes a third set. This is consistent with the three 
different types (I, II and III) of DEM gridding methods that 
were used in this work and indicates that these DEM gridding 
methods affected the adequacy of DEM elevations. 
The outcomes of methods (B) and (D) (gridding type II) in-cluded 
greater numbers of sinks than the outcomes of meth-ods 
(A) and (C) (gridding type I). No sink was identified in the 
outcome of method (E), because sinks were automatically 
removed by TOPOGRID (ESRI, 1996). Visual inspection of 
the spatial distribution of sinks indicated that the coarse 
DEM gridding methods (in particular methods (B) and (D)) 
did not rightly model the transition from the hillslopes to 
the floodplains in the regions where depressions occurred. 
Given the limitations for describing appropriately the 
topography of the study site associated with the 600-m res-olution, 
it may be concluded that the drainage networks de-rived 
through the Jenson and Domingue (1988) approach 
agreed acceptably well with the digitised watercourses. 
However, some considerable differences of detail, such as 
artificial branch discontinuities were noticed (Fig. 3a). 
Fig. 3b shows that, particularly for DEM(C), the outlet of 
the derived drainage network does not match the digitised 
outlet (i.e. Gete station). This is likely to affect the perfor-mance 
of the respective hydrologic model because the sim-ulated 
discharges are evaluated at the location of the Gete 
station rather than at the derived catchment outlet. 
Furthermore, owing to this mismatch, the derived catch-ment 
area for DEM(C) was much smaller than the digitised 
boundary despite the sink removal pre-processing. As a 
way of mitigating this mismatch and ensuring a drainage 
area covering the extent of the digitised boundary, an addi-tional 
smoothing of the coarse DEM(C) was performed with a 
3 · 3 mean filter (Clark Labs, 1998). As a consequence, the 
drainage area for DEM(C) was significantly improved, since 
the location of the predicted catchment outlet was shifted 
to the position of the Gete station but to the cost of losing 
information after smoothing (Fig. 3c). Thus, the effects of 
the additional smoothing of DEM(C) on the hydrologic pre-dictions 
were investigated by means of a sensitivity analysis 
considering the smoothed DEM into the hydrologic model 
set-up. The model was parameterised using the effective 
parameters that were obtained with the DEM prior the 
smoothing process. 
The analysis of the spatial distributions of k revealed an 
acceptable agreement between the higher k values and the 
digitised river network. In this respect, the k distributions 
(Quinn et al., 1995) were consistent with the drainage pat-terns 
derived through the Jenson and Domingue (1988) ap-proach, 
even with the situation depicted in Fig. 3b for 
DEM(C). Furthermore, this analysis suggested a smoother 
generation of runoff for the DEM products of methods (A), 
(C) and (E) with respect to the outcomes of methods (B) 
and (D), which is in agreement with their slope characteris-tics 
(cf. Fig. 2a). The cumulative distributions of k evolved 
as a function of the three different types (I, II and III) of 
gridding methods inspected in this work. This study in-spected 
the cumulative distributions of the two components 
of k, namely ln(1/tanb) accounting for land–surface slope 
and ln(a) accounting for land–surface shape. The distribu-tions 
of ln(1/tanb) were consistent with the slope distribu-tions 
shown in Fig. 2a. The distributions of ln(a) indicated 
no special concentrations of either convex or concave land-scape 
features in the DEMs. 
Hydrologic modelling 
The results of the hydrologic modelling are presented with 
regard to the main grid-scale issues that are addressed in 
this article. 
Do the sets of effective parameter values reflect the dif-ferences 
of the DEM generation methods? 
Table 1 lists the main effective parameter values in rela-tion 
to the three types of DEM gridding methods. Further-more, 
the parameters are classified in two main groups 
with respect to the presence of artificial sinks in the DEMs. 
The table lists only the effective values of the loamy Qua-ternarian 
and the clayey sand Landeniaan layers, which 
have a considerable influence on the modelling of the 
groundwater flow, as well as the aquifer–river interaction. 
During the model calibration, the hydrogeologic parameters 
1.0 
0.8 
0.6 
0.4 
0.2 
0.0 
0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 
tan( ) [--] 
Fraction of catchment area [--] 
(C) 
(C)_mf3 
DEM(A) after sink removal 
Legend: 
N 
DEM(C) after sink removal 
Significant difference with respect to the digitised streams 
DEM(C) after sink removal 
Derived catchment Gete station 
Digitised stream network 
DEM-derived stream network 
Catchment boundary 
outlet 
Figure 3 Maps showing (a) the spatial distribution of derived drainage network for DEM(A); and (b) the mismatch between the 
location of the predicted catchment outlet and the position of the Gete station. (c) Cumulative frequency distributions of DEM(C) 
before and after (C_mf3) smoothing through the mean filter (3 · 3 pixels smoothing mask).
Table 1 Main effective parameters in relation to the DEM generation methods 
DEM properties Model parameter Geological unit Coarse-DEM gridding method 
Type I Type II Type III 
A C B D E 
After sink removal (DEMsNOsink) zdr (m) 0.46 0.30 0.43 0.43 0.50 
Tdr (s1) 6.20 · 108 1.55 · 107 6.80 · 108 8.50 · 108 5.90 · 108 
Ksat (m s1) Kx (m s1) Quaternarian 7.70 · 107 8.00 · 106 2.00 · 107 2.30 · 107 2.00 · 107 
Landeniaan 6.00 · 106 5.50 · 106 5.50 · 106 6.00 · 106 6.75 · 106 
Kz (m s1) Quaternarian 4.24 · 107 4.80 · 106 9.00 · 108 5.75 · 108 9.40 · 108 
Landeniaan 1.50 · 106 1.54 · 106 3.58 · 106 3.90 · 106 4.39 · 106 
Sy (–) Quaternarian 0.17 0.21 0.20 0.22 0.23 
Landeniaan 0.41 0.41 0.39 0.43 0.41 
Including artificial sinks (DEMssink) zdr (m) 0.40 0.20 0.22 
Tdr (s1) 7.00 · 108 1.65 · 107 1.30 · 107 
Ksat (m s1) Kx (m s1) Quaternarian 2.00 · 106 4.00 · 106 1.00 · 107 
Landeniaan 7.00 · 106 9.00 · 106 9.30 · 106 
Kz (m s1) Quaternarian 1.74 · 106 2.40 · 106 1.00 · 107 
Landeniaan 1.19 · 106 1.80 · 106 3.07 · 106 
Sy (–) Quaternarian 0.20 0.20 0.20 
Landeniaan 0.19 0.34 0.30 
zdr = Drainage level, Tdr = Reciprocal time constant, Ksat = Saturated hydraulic conductivity, Kx = Horizontal hydraulic conductivity, Kz = Vertical hydraulic conductivity, Sy = Specific yield. 
Assessment of the effects of DEM gridding on the predictions of basin runoff using MIKE SHE 81
82 R.F. Va´zquez, J. Feyen 
were allowed to vary spatially considering factors such as 
the extent of the main sub-catchments, the extent of the 
geologic units and the location of the abstraction wells 
(Va´zquez and Feyen, 2003a). For a particular modelled geo-logic 
unit, the values listed in Table 1 correspond to the 
effective zone with the lowest hydrogeologic parameter 
value. 
In broad terms, the assessment of the sets of effective 
parameter values obtained using the DEMs after sink re-moval 
revealed that only an average variation of parameter 
values took place as a function of the three types of DEM 
gridding methods. The set associated with DEM(C) has how-ever 
noticeably different values for zdr (lower absolute va-lue), 
Tdr (higher value) and the saturated hydraulic 
conductivity (Ksat) of the Quaternarian (Kw) layer (higher va-lue), 
parameters that are related to the simulation of sur-face 
processes within the modelled hydrologic system. 
The reason for obtaining this different parameter set is 
likely to be linked to the mismatch between the predicted 
catchment outlet and the digitised catchment outlet (Gete 
station, cf. Fig. 3b) where the model prediction was finally 
evaluated. 
When the DEMs including sinks were considered in the 
MCal analysis, it was observed however a noticeable influ-ence 
of the DEM gridding methods on the values adopted 
by the effective parameters of the hydrologic models. 
These effects were especially important with respect to 
zdr, Tdr and Ksat–Kw (c.f. Table 1). 
Looking at the effect of the sink removal operation (i.e. 
smoothing operation) on the sets of effective parameters 
values, Table 1 illustrates that, in general, higher zdr abso-lute 
values and lower Tdr values (i.e. higher drainage veloc-ities) 
are associated with the (smoother) DEMs after sink 
removal. This is for opposing to the smoothing (i.e. flatter-ing) 
of the DEMs by routing higher overland and interflow 
water volumes more quickly (higher zdr absolute values) 
but, at the same time, controlling the magnitude of peaks 
through lower Tdr values. In some cases the acceleration 
of flow routing is accentuated by higher (horizontal and ver-tical) 
values of Ksat–Kw, such as for the products of the DEM-methods 
(A) and (B). For the Landeniaan (Ln) layer, which is 
the most influential to groundwater flow and the aquifer– 
river interchange flow, the MCal analysis indicated that 
comparable values of Ksat were obtained for all the models 
independently of whether the DEM products included sinks. 
Thus the effects of the sink removal smoothing were re-flected 
principally on the variation of zdr, Tdr and Ksat–Kw. 
Is the adequacy of global predictions affected by differ-ent 
DEM generation methods? 
Fig. 4 shows the observed and calibrated hydrographs for 
the DEM products of the gridding approaches type I 
(DEM(A)), type II (DEM(B)) and type III (DEM(E)). The figure 
shows that, in general, the models have certain difficulties 
for rightly simulating the recession limbs and the subse-quent 
baseflow, especially in the periods January of 1985, 
February–March of 1986 and June–October of 1986. In gen-eral, 
the models tended to overestimate the peakflow 
events. However, in broad terms, the analysis of the cali-brated 
time series of total discharge revealed that the mod-els 
related to the DEM products of gridding methods type II 
((B) and (D)) and type III ((E)) predicted better discharge 
series than the other models, regardless of the presence 
0 
10 
20 
30 
40 
50 
60 
70 
80 
90 
100 
21 
17 
13 
9 
5 
1 
Rainfall 
DEM(A) 
Observed 
Jan-85 May-85 Sep-85 Jan-86 May-86 Sep-86 Jan-87 
Rainfall [mm day -1] 
Discharge [m3 s-1] 
0 
10 
20 
30 
40 
50 
60 
70 
80 
90 
100 
21 
19 
Jan-85 May-85 Sep-85 Jan-86 May-86 Sep-86 Jan-87 y a d m m [ l l a f n i a R -1] 
17 
15 
13 
11 
9 
7 
5 
3 
1 
Discharge [m3 s-1] 
Rainfall 
DEM(B) 
Observed 
0 
10 
20 
30 
40 
50 
60 
70 
80 
90 
100 
21 
19 
17 
15 
13 
11 
9 
7 
5 
3 
1 
Rainfall 
DEM(E) 
Observed 
Jan-85 May-85 Sep-85 Jan-86 May-86 Sep-86 Jan-87 
Date 
Rainfall [mm day -1] 
Discharge [m3 s-1] 
Figure 4 Observed and calibrated hydrographs for the models 
related to DEM(A), DEM(B) and DEM(E), after sink removal. 
of artificial sinks. These results are in agreement with the 
better quality, in terms of elevation, slope and land-sur-face, 
of the DEM products of gridding methods types II and 
III (cf. Fig. 2a). 
The Multi-Window (MW) analysis included several evalua-tion 
periods of different length. The MW test indicated that 
the discharge performance of the models related to the DEM 
products of gridding methods type II ((B) and (D)) were the 
most acceptable in the different periods of analysis, regard-less 
of the presence of sinks. Fig. 5 depicts yearly EF2 values 
for the period (1984–1995) as a function of both DEMs 
including sinks and DEMs after sink removal. Sink removal 
was carried out by smoothing the DEMs. This caused a mod-ification 
of the original structure of the smoothed DEMs, 
particularly perceived when calculating the distribution of 
slopes (smoother) and the drainage network topology. Con-sequently, 
the simulation of surface water flow dynamics 
was modified with a faster water routing throughout the 
flatter (i.e. smoother) DEMs, characterised by a general 
deterioration of the discharge performance (especially for 
method (A)), as depicted in Fig. 5b. Nevertheless, for 
DEM(C) the newer river network topology brought the gen-eral 
enhancement of the drainage network, as compared 
to the digitised drainage network, which had a positive ef-fect 
on the performance of the model related to DEM(C). 
In broad terms, the peak flows were reasonably well 
simulated within the calibration period independently of 
the DEM gridding method. However, in the main evaluation
Assessment of the effects of DEM gridding on the predictions of basin runoff using MIKE SHE 83 
1.0 
0.8 
0.6 
0.4 
0.2 
0.0 
EF2 [--] 
Figure 5 Yearly MW model performances (streamflow) for the Gete station in relation to the DEM gridding methods and the 
removal of artificial sinks. 
38 
34 
30 
26 
22 
18 
14 
10 
DEMs including sinks 
1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 
Evaluation window 
period (1987–1988) the adequacy of the simulated peak 
flows was inferior due to overestimation. The results of 
the Extreme Value Analysis (EVA) in the period (1984– 
1995) are illustrated in Fig. 6a for the DEMs including artifi-cial 
sinks and Fig. 6b for the DEMs after sink removal. Be-sides 
a generalised overestimation, Fig. 6a and b show 
that removing the sinks by smoothing the DEMs produced 
higher peaks, except for the product of method (C). Again, 
higher peaks after sink removal were caused mainly by low-er 
effective drainage levels (zdr, higher absolute values) 
that accelerate the routing of water throughout the flatter 
DEMs and evacuate higher overland and interflow volumes 
from the catchment. Despite lower Tdr effective values 
were obtained to mitigate the rising of the peaks, the pre-dicted 
peaks were higher after sink removal. Fig. 6b shows 
that the highest overestimation of peaks was related to 
the DEM product of the MIKE SHE Bilinear interpolation algo-rithm 
(method (A)). The peakflow predictions related to the 
gridding methods (C), (B) and (D) were comparable and bet-ter 
than the predictions related to the outcome of the 
TOPOGRID algorithm (method (E)). 
Concerning the DEM(C), the analysis revealed that the 
improvement of the discharge performance after the addi-tional 
DEM smoothing by the 3 · 3 mean filter is particularly 
noticeable in the simulation of peakflows that are lower 
after the additional DEM smoothing in the period (1984– 
1995). This generalised improvement of the discharge per-formance 
is consistent with the improved location of the 
predicted catchment outlet (after the additional mean filter 
smoothing) with regard to the location of the Gete station. 
This illustrates the significant enhancement of the model 
1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 
DEM(A) DEM(B) DEM(C) 
38 
34 
30 
26 
22 
18 
14 
10 
DEMs after sink removal 
1.0 
0.8 
0.6 
0.4 
0.2 
0.0 
Evaluation window 
performance associated with the improvement of the DEM 
drainage network topology despite the deterioration of 
other DEM features such as the distribution of slopes (cf. 
Fig. 3c). This illustrates as well the necessity of assessing 
the consequences of GIS operations such as DEM smoothing 
on both the structure of the DEMs and the associated model 
performance before accepting the model predictions as 
being valid. 
Is the evaluation of internal state predictions affected 
by the DEM generation methods? 
Since distributed models should be evaluated against dis-tributed 
measurements by considering the predictions of 
internal state variables, this section illustrates the main dis-tributed 
results from the hydrologic modelling. 
The Multi-Site (MS) analysis of the river discharge predic-tions 
for the two internal river stations that were not in-cluded 
in the calibration process suggested that all of the 
models have marked difficulties to predict the distributed 
discharge variables with reasonable accuracy, suggesting 
that some processes such as flow through saturated and 
unsaturated zones may not be rightly modelled to this scale. 
Besides the coarse modelling resolution, the noticeable 
uncertainty attached to the input data that were used for 
constructing the hydrologic model contributes probably in 
a greater proportion to these low model efficiencies. In 
any case, the discharge predictions for these stations (cf. 
Fig. 1), related to the DEM products of the gridding methods 
type II ((B) and (D)) and type III ((E)) were better. 
Figs. 7 and 8 depict the piezometric level performance of 
the models using DEMs after sink removal for three wells 
considered in the Split-Sample (SS) test and two wells used 
DEMs including sinks 
6 
0.1 1.0 10.0 100.0 
Return period [years] 
Discharge [m3 s -1] 
Exp. Distr. 
Observed 
(A) 
(B) 
(C) 
DEMs after sink removal 
6 
0.1 1.0 10.0 100.0 
Return period [years] 
Discharge [m³ s -1] 
Exp. Distr. 
Observed 
(A) 
(B) 
(C) 
(D) 
(E) 
EF2 [--] 
Figure 6 EVA for the Gete station for the period (1984–1995) in relation to the DEM gridding methods and the removal of artificial 
sinks.
84 R.F. Va´zquez, J. Feyen 
V2TI-KU.PP2 (Landeniaan) 
53 
51 
49 
47 
45 
43 
Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Jan 
Head [m] 
1985 1986 1987 1988 
4038187 (Brusseliaan) 
138 
136 
134 
132 
130 
128 
Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Jan 
Head [m] 
1985 1986 1987 1988 
4048204 (Landeniaan) 
116 
114 
112 
110 
108 
106 
104 
Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Jan 
Head [m] 
1985 1986 1987 1988 
Observed (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) 
Figure 7 Predicted piezometric levels after model calibration 
for some of the wells considered in the Split-sample (SS) test as a 
function of the DEM gridding methods (after sink removal). 
in the MS test, respectively. These figures show that, in gen-eral, 
the prediction of the piezometric levels differed con-siderably 
among the wells and that in some cases there 
was an important variation of the performance in relation 
to the DEM gridding methods. Both tests revealed that, in 
general, the piezometric performances associated with 
the DEM products of gridding methods type II ((B) and (D)) 
were poorer (cf. Figs. 7 and 8). This suggests that the mod-els 
related to these DEMs were characterised by lower base-flow 
and higher overland and interflow predictions, which 
finally resulted in better global model performances. 
These results illustrate the importance of carrying out an 
evaluation of distributed models using distributed measure-ments 
for the evaluation of simulated internal state vari-ables. 
The variability of these results illustrates however 
the inherent difficulties in doing so, including incommensu-rability 
issues due to the fact that data errors (input and/or 
evaluation) are usually unknown and scale dependent. It 
should be noticed that Figs. 7 and 8 provide evidence for 
rejection of all models, unless consideration is given to 
the scale issue (i.e. incommensurability) of comparing 
point-scale elevation and piezometric measurements versus 
600-m grid predictions. 
Conclusions 
Three types of gridding methods were applied to produce 
coarse DEMs (600-m resolution) for the modelling of the 
Gete catchment with the MIKE SHE model. The first type 
of gridding method uses input elevation data distributed 
about the periphery of the gridded DEM cells (i.e. methods 
(A) and (C)) and was implemented with a MIKE SHE pre-pro-cessing 
tool for interpolation. The second type uses input 
elevation data distributed about the centre of the gridded 
cells (i.e. methods (B) and (D)). The third type is based on 
the TOPOGRID (ESRI, 1996) algorithm that uses landscape 
features, such as digitised streams, to improve the drainage 
structure of the DEM product (i.e. method (E)). 
A protocol, examining the accuracy of DEM elevations, 
evaluating geomorphic relationships and predicting hydro-logic 
conditions in hillslopes, was applied in this work for 
characterising the quality of the coarse DEM products for 
hydrologic use. The protocol revealed that, for the particu-lar 
characteristics of the study site and the elevation input 
data, gridding methods type II ((B) and (D)) produced coarse 
DEMs with higher elevation accuracy, followed by TOPO-GRID 
and finally by the MIKE SHE tool for interpolation (grid-ding 
methods type I). Correspondingly, the Multi-Calibration 
(MCal) analysis revealed a better performance (for outlet 
discharges and peakflows) of the hydrologic models related 
to gridding methods type II, regardless of the presence of 
spurious sinks. 
Thus, this study revealed that, in general, the DEM 
products of the gridding methods type II are more appro-priate 
for the current coarse modelling resolution. In this 
context, the assessment of the model performance re-vealed 
a congruence with the predictions of overland flow 
generation from the topographic index analysis, that is, 
higher runoff production induced by the DEM products of 
gridding methods types II and III and smoother runoff pro-ductions 
related to the DEM products of gridding methods 
type I ((A) and (C)). 
Some of the piezometric results suggested however a 
potential underestimation of base flow associated to the 
DEM products of gridding methods type II that could not 
V2HG-BR.B5 (Landeniaan) 
62 
60 
58 
56 
54 
52 
Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Jan 
Head [m] 
1985 1986 1987 1988 
4038488 (Brusseliaan) 
128 
126 
124 
122 
120 
118 
Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Jan 
Head [m] 
1985 1986 1987 1988 
Observed (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) 
Figure 8 Predicted piezometric levels after model calibra-tion 
for some of the wells considered in the Multi-site (MS) test 
as a function of the DEM gridding methods (after sink removal).
Assessment of the effects of DEM gridding on the predictions of basin runoff using MIKE SHE 85 
be studied further owing to the lack of baseflow measure-ments 
or estimates. The present research could therefore 
be extended to investigate in the future a protocol for 
estimating total hydrograph subflows and assessing in this 
way the performance of the hydrologic models simulating 
subflows. The subflow analysis may have the potential of 
improving the simulation of certain processes that other-wise 
might be simulated wrongly at the current 600-m 
resolution. 
The Multi-Site (MS) test indicated moreover that all of 
the hydrologic models predict distributed state variables 
with even lower performances than the performances cor-responding 
to calibrated variables. This test illustrated fur-thermore 
the importance of using distributed observations 
of streamflow and piezometric levels for evaluating the 
model performance simulating internal state variables. 
The significant variability of the model performance results 
indicated however the inherent difficulties in achieving 
this distributed evaluation, including incommensurability 
issues, owing among other factors to data uncertainty 
and scale-dependent aspects that affected the direct com-parison 
of point-scale observations versus 600-m grid pre-dictions. 
It is important therefore to complement in the 
future the current analysis by including in the distributed 
evaluation protocol estimated intervals of data uncertainty 
that could enable accounting not only for data errors but 
also for discrepancies between point-scale measurements 
and grid-scale predictions. In this respect, the analysis of 
the procedures that were followed up for deriving dis-charge 
observations from the rating (i.e. level versus dis-charge) 
curves and the analysis on the discrepancies 
among the input elevation data (Zsource), the DEM eleva-tions 
(ZDEM) and the ground levels utilised for monitoring 
the observation wells (Zmonitor) are likely to play an impor-tant 
role in the estimation of the referred data uncertainty 
intervals. 
The MCal test using DEMs without spurious sinks revealed 
an average influence of the gridding methods on the effec-tive 
values adopted by the parameters of the hydrologic 
models, except for the DEM (C) that has a drainage outlet 
located in a different position with respect to the location 
of the catchment outlet. 
Artificial sinks were removed from the DEM outcomes of 
gridding methods types I and II. This assessment revealed 
that the products of gridding methods type II include a 
higher amount of artificial sinks than the outcomes of type 
I. Comparing the conditions after the sink removal opera-tion 
with the conditions observed prior the referred oper-ation, 
the MCal analysis after sink removal showed a 
tendency for obtaining zdr, Tdr and Ksat–Kw parameter val-ues 
incrementing the overland and interflow volumes and 
accelerating the routing of these hydrograph components, 
but controlling at the same time and as much as possible 
the magnitude of peaks. This general tendency is to com-pensate 
the deterioration of model predictions due to the 
smoothing (i.e. flattering) of DEMs caused by the sink re-moval 
and explains as well the variation of baseflow pre-diction 
noticed through the analysis of piezometric levels 
to compensate for the changes in overland and interflow 
volumes. 
Despite the multi-objective and systematic approach to 
multi-calibration, the trial and error methodology that 
was used in this research is based on the concept of 
attaining a single optimum set of parameters. However, 
given the high dimensionality of the parameter space 
associated with the distributed model of the study site, 
it is likely that this parameter space was not adequately 
sampled with the consequent risk of having identified only 
a local optimum rather than a global optimum. Further-more, 
the calibration of distributed models is usually fac-ing 
the risk of parameter equifinality, that is, several sets 
of parameter values that give acceptable fits to the cali-bration 
data might be scattered widely in the parameter 
space, as a result of errors in the data and model struc-ture, 
besides parameter interactions (Beven and Freer, 
2001). 
Thus, an important future activity is to define prediction 
limits for estimating the degree of confidence on the cur-rent 
hydrological modelling by taking into account in the 
scope of a joint deterministic-stochastic framework the 
uncertainties in data, model structure and parameters. In 
this context, the current research should be understood as 
a preliminary sensitivity analysis aiming to reduce as much 
as possible the geomorphologic data uncertainty by analy-sing 
in a complementary way the accuracy of DEMs and 
the associated model performances. 
Finally, the reader should be aware that some of the re-sults 
obtained in this research, in particular about the out-comes 
of the DEM gridding methods, may be model 
structure, modelling resolution and catchment specific. 
The main objective of this manuscript is to communicate 
to the reader the importance of assessing the quality of 
the topographic input data (i.e. identifying intrinsic errors) 
to avoid negative consequences on the hydrological 
modelling. 
Acknowledgements 
This work was possible thanks to research grants from the 
OSTC (Belgian Federal Office for Scientific, Technical and 
Cultural Affairs, project CG/DD/08C), the Interuniversity 
Programme in Water Resources Engineering (IUPWARE, 
KULeuven-VUBrussel) and the Katholieke Universiteit Leu-ven 
(postdoctoral project PDM/03/188, awarded to the 
first author). The completion of this article was achieved 
in the framework of the Research and Development con-tract 
of the first author funded by the Instituto Nacional 
de Investigacio´n y Tecnologı ´a Agraria y Alimentaria (INIA, 
Spain) and the Centro de Investigacio´n y Tecnologı ´a Agro-alimentaria 
de la Diputacio´n General de Arago´n (CITA-DGA, 
Spain). The authors would like to thank those who 
have supported us and helped to clarify our way through-out 
this continued research. Special thanks go to Luc 
Feyen, Patrick Willems and Prof. Keith Beven for their con-structive 
suggestions. 
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Mike she usa

  • 1. Journal of Hydrology (2007) 334, 73– 87 available at www.sciencedirect.com journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/jhydrol Assessment of the effects of DEM gridding on the predictions of basin runoff using MIKE SHE and a modelling resolution of 600 m R.F. Va´zquez a,*, J. Feyen b,1 a Centro de Investigacio´n y Tecnologı´a Agroalimentaria de Arago´n, Unidad de Suelos y Riegos, Avenida de Montan˜ana 930, 50059 Zaragoza, Spain b Division Soil and Water Management, Department of Land Management and Economics, K.U.Leuven, Celestijnenlaan 200 E, 3001 Heverlee, Belgium Received 7 February 2006; received in revised form 26 September 2006; accepted 1 October 2006 KEYWORDS DEM; TOPOGRID; MIKE SHE; Catchment distributed modelling; Resolution Summary A 586-km2 catchment was modelled with the distributed hydrologic model MIKE SHE. Coarse digital elevation models (DEMs) having a 600-m resolution and gridded from a set of elevation points geographically distributed with a much finer resolution were used in the modelling with the purpose of investigating potential effects of the DEM gen-eration methods on (i) model parameter values; (ii) adequacy of model global predictions; and (iii) the evaluation of internal state predictions. To address these aspects, this paper describes the DEM gridding methods, assesses the accuracy of the DEMs and examines sys-tematically the sensitivities of parameter values and predictions of the distributed model with respect to the DEMs. Three types of gridding methods were applied. Methods type I were based on the use of the MIKE SHE interpolation tool (Bilinear algorithm) for process-ing input elevation data distributed about the periphery of the gridded DEM cells. Input elevation data distributed about the centre of the gridded DEM cells were processed in gridding methods type II. The third type was based on the use of the TOPOGRID algorithm that considers landscape features, such as digitised streams, to improve the drainage structure of the gridded DEMs. A multi-criteria protocol was applied for assessing the ele-vation quality of DEMs and their suitability for hydrologic purposes. It was found that the quality of the DEM products of the MIKE SHE interpolation tool were poorer. The indepen-dent calibration of the assembled hydrologic models revealed (i) important variations of * Corresponding author. Tel.: +34 976 716324; fax: +34 976 716335. E-mail addresses: raulfvazquezz@yahoo.co.uk, rvazquezz@aragon.es (R.F. Va´zquez), jan.feyen@biw.kuleuven.be (J. Feyen). 1 Fax: +32 16 329760. 0022-1694/$ - see front matter ª 2006 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2006.10.001
  • 2. 74 R.F. Va´zquez, J. Feyen model predictions; and (ii) from average to important variations of effective parameter values, as a function of the different DEMs. A multi-criteria protocol analysing discharge time series, peak flows and piezometric levels showed that model performance is in broad terms in agreement with the elevation and slope quality of the DEMs. ª 2006 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. Introduction Digital Elevation Models (DEMs) are important tools in hydrologic research and water resources management owing to the relevance that geo-morphological features intrinsic in the DEMs have for the simulation of important water flow processes such as surface runoff, evaporation and infiltra-tion. However, DEMs, as source of spatially distributed ground elevations, are not free of errors and limitations. DEM square-grid structures have limitations for handling dis-continuities in elevation and representing adequately all of the landscape features. Indeed, either triangulated irregu-lar networks (TIN) or contour lines should be preferred for representing a surface for hydrologic purposes (Wise, 2000; Vivoni et al., 2005). However, square-grid DEMs are still widely used for hydrologic purposes owing mainly to their simplicity and computational efficiency. In this context, the referred limitations of grid DEMs for handling discontinuities in elevations and representing appropriately landscape features are reduced by decreasing as much as possible their grid size (Walker and Willgoose, 1999; Wise, 2000). Particularly, in catchment distributed modelling using grid DEMs, research has enabled to recom-mend the use of DEM grid sizes smaller than 50 m for ade-quate flow pathway analysis at the hillslope scale (Saulnier et al., 1997a; Beven and Freer, 2001). Thus, using the dis-tributed code TOPMODEL (Beven et al., 1995), Zhang and Montgomery (1994) selected a 10-m grid size for the ade-quate simulation of geomorphic and hydrologic processes in two small catchments (0.3-km2 and 1.2-km2). Beldring (2002) used a 10-m DEM for modelling a 6.2-km2 catchment. Braud et al. (1999) modelled a 5.47-km2 mountainous catch-ment with the ANSWER code (Beasley et al., 1980) using a 30-m grid size. Gu¨ntner et al. (1999) applied TOPMODEL on a well-monitored 40-km2 catchment considering a 50-m grid size. The use of DEM grid sizes smaller than 50 m is however not always possible in catchment distributed modelling. This is in part due to the lack of world-wide data with the appropriate resolution. Other important reason is related to computational efficiency, which is sensitive to the num-ber of horizontal and vertical (modelling) computational units and, as such, to the size of the modelled catchment. In this respect, Xevi et al. (1997) and Christiaens and Feyen (2002) modelled a 1-km2 well-monitored experimental catchment with the code MIKE SHE (Refsgaard and Storm, 1995) considering a grid size of 100 m. Refsgaard (1997) and Madsen (2003) considered grid sizes larger or equal to 500 m for modelling a 440-km2 catchment. Refsgaard and Knudsen (1996) modelled a 1090-km2 catchment with a 1000-m grid size using MIKE SHE and Jain et al. (1992) mod-elled with the same hydrological code the 820 km2 Kolar catchment in India with grid sizes ranging from 500 to 4000 m. The use of such coarse grid sizes in catchment distrib-uted modelling implies important spatial scale differences among the scale to which the physical structure of the hydrologic codes were obtained, the scales to which the dif-ferent data are collected and the coarse scales to which the hydrologic codes are applied (Bergstro¨m and Graham, 1998; Va´zquez et al., 2002; Va´zquez, 2003). The following are therefore important issues that are related to the impact of grid scale on the predictions of catchment modelling: (i) what is the adequate grid resolution for achieving accurate model predictions, while keeping computa-tional times under reasonable limits? Prior sensitivity analyses demonstrated that using (more or less) different data for the same modelling variable lead to significant differences in both effective parame-ter values and model performance (Va´zquez et al., 2002; Va´zquez and Feyen, 2003b). (ii) Given that geomorphologic features intrinsic in the DEMs (i.e. elevation, slope, curvature, etc.) are impor-tant for the simulation of flow processes such as surface runoff, infiltration and evaporation, and provided that different DEM accuracies are expected from the applica-tion of different DEM gridding methods, do the effective parameter values reflect the differences of these DEM generation methods when using a coarse modelling resolution? (iii) Is the adequacy of global predictions affected by dif-ferent DEM generation methods? and (iv) Is the evaluation of internal state predictions affected by the DEM generation methods? The assessment of the first of these grid-scale issues will demand the consideration of various aspects such as param-eter error, model structural error and data (input and eval-uation) measurement error. In this context, Va´zquez et al. (2002), after using 300, 600 and 1200-m modelling grid sizes, found that an acceptable compromise between accu-racy of model predictions and computational (i.e. running) time was reached when using a grid size of 600 m for the modelling of the Gete catchment (Belgium) with the MIKE SHE model. This study did not consider model structural er-ror owing to the lack of access to the structure of the MIKE SHE model (access limitations linked to the commercial nat-ure of the software). However, the main conclusions of the referred study were based on parameter calibration, the evaluation of internal state predictions and a brief assess-ment of data measurement error concerning piezometric data (for evaluation). With regard to the other grid-scale issues, previous stud-ies have used topographically driven codes such as TOPOG (Vertessy et al., 1993) and TOPMODEL for examining the ef-fects of both the scale of the input elevation data and the resolution of the gridded DEMs on model performance
  • 3. Assessment of the effects of DEM gridding on the predictions of basin runoff using MIKE SHE 75 (Zhang and Montgomery, 1994; Wolock and Price, 1994; Lane et al., 2004) and on the effective values of saturated hydraulic conductivity (Saulnier et al., 1997a,b). However, published modelling studies using MIKE SHE with coarse DEMs have not addressed explicitly either of these topics (Refsgaard and Storm, 1995; Refsgaard and Knudsen, 1996; Xevi et al., 1997; Refsgaard, 1997; Feyen et al., 2000; Chris-tiaens and Feyen, 2002; Madsen, 2003). Furthermore, dis-cussion about the incidence of different gridding methods on either the quality of the DEM products, the model global predictions, the evaluation of internal state predictions or the effective parameter values of the hydrologic model is not common in previous publications about distributed mod-elling of catchments. Therefore, in contrast to previous published work, this article presents an assessment of different methods for gridding coarse-DEMs (up-scale gridding) and the potential effects of these methods on the referred grid-scale issues, namely, adequacy of global predictions, effective parame-ter values and the evaluation of internal state predictions. In line with the conclusions of previous work (Va´zquez et al., 2002), the current assessment involves the use of a 600-m grid size. The assessment is furthermore based on the application of the MIKE SHE model on the data of the Gete catchment (Belgium). Materials The study site The study site, the Gete catchment (586 km2), located to the east of Brussels-Belgium (Fig. 1), comprises the sub-catchments of the Grote Gete (326 km2) and the Kleine Gete (260 km2). The elevation of the area varies from approxi-mately 27 m in the northern part to 174 m in the southern part. Land use is mainly agricultural with some local for-ested areas. The local weather is characterised by moderate humid conditions. Nine soil units can be distinguished according to the legend of the Belgian soil map (Vander Poorten and Deckers, 1994; Va´zquez, 2003), e.g. loamy soils (Aba, Ada and Adc), sand–loamy soils (Lca, Lda and Ldc), clay soils (Eep and Uep) and soils with stony mixtures (Gbb). The dominant soil type in the catchment is the Aba soil unit. The reader is referred to Va´zquez et al. (2002, 2003) and Va´zquez and Feyen (2003b) for additional details about the description of the catchment. The hydrologic code The MIKE SHE code (Refsgaard and Storm, 1995) was consid-ered for the integral modelling of the study site. MIKE SHE is a well-known deterministic-distributed code that has been used and described in a wide range of applications (e.g., Refsgaard, 1997; Jayatilaka et al., 1998; Feyen et al., 2000; Christiaens and Feyen, 2002; Va´zquez and Feyen, 2003a). MIKE SHE integrates the entire land phase of the hydrologic cycle and can model interception, actual evapo-transpiration (ETact), overland flow, channel flow, flow in the unsaturated zone, flow in the saturated zone and ex-change between aquifers and rivers. MIKE SHE applied at a catchment scale implies the assumption that smaller scale equations are valid also at the larger scale; thus, it performs an upscaling operation using effective parameter values. The MIKE SHE model uses a square-grid modelling structure. Consequently, square-grid DEMs were used in this research. The input elevation data The DEMs were gridded from a set of elevation spot heights (Zsource), available from the Flemish Spatial Data Infrastruc-ture (OC-GIS Vlaanderen-Belgium). There are no published details about the methods used to create these elevation spot heights. However, according to staff at the National Geographical Institute of Belgium (NGIB), these data were derived originally from digitised contour lines from a 1:50000 topographic map and finally arranged in a non-orthogonal but regular grid mesh with an approximate reso-lution of 40 m in the X-direction and 30 m in the Y-direction. Q-Gete Q-Kleine Gete Catchment outlet Main flow direction North sea The Gete Multi-Site observation well Multi-Site stream station Split-Sample observation well Split-Sample stream station Coordinates: simulation grid 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 (600x600 m² model) 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 Q-Grote Gete Legend: N Flemish region Walloon region France Netherlands catchment Figure 1 Location of the study site and distribution of the calibration and evaluation wells and stream stations (after Va´zquez and Feyen, 2003a).
  • 4. 76 R.F. Va´zquez, J. Feyen Inspection of the numerical characteristics of Zsource re-vealed that the information was recorded to the nearest meter. This constitutes by itself an important factor of uncertainty associated with Zsource that should be taken into account when assessing the elevation quality of the gridded DEMs, as owing to this uncertainty, Zsource is not a true rep-resentation of the topography of the study site. Further-more, digitised streams and the topographical catchment divide, as derived from the 1:50000 scale maps, were available. Methods DEM gridding methods The selection of a gridding method depends principally on the spatial distribution of the input data and resolution of the output grid. In common hydrologic-model applications, DEMs are normally gridded by means of interpolation algo-rithms for estimating elevations, so that they have a resolu-tion that is finer than or similar to the average resolution of the input data (i.e. down-scaling operation). The use of coarse grid DEMs for hydrologic purpose demands, on the contrary, an up-scaling gridding operation to generate DEMs with a resolution that is much coarser than the average res-olution of the input data. In this work the spot elevation data were gridded accord-ing to five up-scaling methods. The first method ((A)) uses the spot-based Bilinear (Bi) interpolation algorithm, avail-able as a pre-processing MIKE SHE tool (DHI, 1998). This interpolation tool uses up to a maximum of four points (one per quadrant) to estimate the elevation at every grid-ded cell corner. The points are the nearest to the cell cor-ner and are selected on the basis of (i) their distance to the corner and (ii) a user-defined searching radius around the corner. The method then estimates, the centre value for every cell as the average of the four corner values. There-fore, depending on both the density of the elevation data and the modelling resolution, up to a maximum of 16 data points may contribute to the estimation of the cell centre value. Considering the approximate resolution of Zsource (i.e. 40 m · 30 m), the searching radius was given a value (much) greater than 50 m ¼ ffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi ð40Þ2 þ ð30Þ2 q m, that is, long enough to use 16 elevation points. For DEM coarse resolu-tions, this up-scaling method uses information from points located around the gridded cell corners, that is, far away from the cell centre where the elevation is finally derived. The other four approaches, methods (B), (C), (D) and (E), were implemented with the aid of algorithms that are avail-able for gridding DEMs in common geographical information system (GIS) packages, namely, ARC/INFO (ESRI, 1996) and IDRISI (Clark Labs, 1998). These methods are commonly used for downscaling operations, but they are not necessar-ily the most appropriate to carry out the up-scaling gridding of coarse DEMs. Therefore a systematic evaluation of their DEM-products is needed. For methods (B) and (C) a TIN sur-face was produced with ARC/INFO on the basis of a linear interpolation process. In method (B), the TIN surface was further interpolated into a regular lattice (TIN to lattice transformation) with a 600-m resolution. In general, this transformation involved a linear interpolation along the edges of the TIN triangles (positioned around the cell cen-tre) to determine the elevation of the lattice pixels. Thus, unlike method (A), method (B) uses input elevation data concentrated around the cell centre where the elevation is estimated. In method (C), contour lines were derived with ARC/INFO from the TIN surface. These contours were then utilised as elevation input for the MIKE SHE Bi interpolation utility. Thus, alike method (A), method (C) uses information from elevation spot heights located at the periphery of the gridded cell. For methods (D) and (E), the ARC/INFO module TOPO-GRID (ESRI, 1996) was used. TOPOGRID is a finite difference interpolation technique that is based on the specialised interpolation approach ANUDEM (Hutchinson, 1989) that is characterised by its computational efficiency, so that it can handle large data sets, and by a drainage enforcement algorithm that uses landscape features, such as digitised streams, to improve the structure of DEM products for hydrologic purposes. TOPOGRID imposes interpolation con-straints to remove spurious sinks that result in a more cor-rect drainage structure and representation of ridges and streams. The use of TOPOGRID is therefore considered as one of the best current practices in DEM gridding, as it gen-erates a hydrologically consistent DEM (ESRI, 1996; Hutchin-son, 1989). The readers are referred to Hutchinson (1989), Hutchinson and Dowling (1991) and ESRI (1996) for a com-plete description of ANUDEM and TOPOGRID. In method (D) a 20-m DEM was initially obtained through a common (i.e. downscaling) TOPOGRID application. Re-sampling methods were then applied on the 20-m DEM for obtaining coarse 600-m DEMs, namely, the Nearest Neigh-bour (Nn), the Bilinear (Bi) and the Cubic Convolution (Cu) methods (ESRI, 1996; Hanselman and Littlefield, 1998). The Nn algorithm assigns the value associated with the clos-est cell centre on the input grid to the re-sampled cell. The Bi interpolation algorithm uses a weighted average deter-mined by the values of the input cells at the four nearest cell-centres and their weighted distance to the centre of the re-sampled cell. Cu is a surface-fitting algorithm that uses the 16 nearest input cell centres and their values to determine the re-sampled cell value. Depending on the res-olution of the input grid and similarly to method (B), these re-sampling methods use elevation data concentrated around the coarse cell centre. The three DEM products of the re-sampling methods were compared with each other for selecting a DEM product representative of method (D) to be used in the hydrologic modelling. This assessment was based on the analysis of the cumulative distributions of DEM elevations, slopes, etc, as explained later in the text. The assessment of DEM elevation quality indicated a marginal difference in detriment of the product of the Nn re-sampling technique (DEM(D_Nn)) and in favour of the product of the Cu re-sampling technique (DEM(D_Cu)). Therefore, DEM(D_Cu) was selected as representative of method (D) for the hydrologic modelling. This selection was also supported by the fact that more input data (16 in-put cell centres) are included in the Cu method than in the other re-sampling methods for determining every re-sam-pled cell centre. For method (E), the coarse 600-m DEM was obtained di-rectly from Zsource without the need of a re-sampling meth-od through the application of TOPOGRID, within an up-
  • 5. Assessment of the effects of DEM gridding on the predictions of basin runoff using MIKE SHE 77 scaling context. In contrast to the other methods, TOPO-GRID does not use input elevation data exclusively concen-trated either about the centre or the periphery of the gridded cell, but instead, it uses simultaneously distributed elevation data and stream information to enforce a more natural drainage structure in the DEM products. Thus, depending on whether the gridding method uses in-put elevation data distributed about the gridded cell centre or about the gridded cell periphery, the gridding methods are further classified in this work as belonging to class type I (i.e. methods (A) and (C)), class type II (i.e. methods (B) and (D)) and class type III (method (E)). In the forthcoming sections of this paper, the quotation ‘‘DEM(method/type)’’ stands for the DEM product of a particular gridding method or type. DEM quality assessment The assessment of the quality for hydrologic use of the coarse DEM products was based on (i) the comparison of the DEMs and Zsource, (ii) the comparison of the DEMs with each other through their hydro-geomorphic properties, and (iii) the analysis of plots such as spatial distribution of pits, drainage patterns, derived contours, etc. The set of hydro-geomorphic properties comprised: drainage patterns, catchment areas, slopes and hillslope shading and the com-putation of the topographic index (k). These analyses were done considering the domain defined by the digitised catch-ment boundary. The discrepancies between the coarse DEM elevations (ZDEM) and the input elevation data (Zsource) were condensed into summary statistics, such as minimum, mean and maxi-mum values, standard deviation and the root mean squared error (RMSE) RMSE ¼ ffiPffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi n i¼1ðresÞ2 i n s ð1Þ where (res)i, is the residual, the arithmetic difference be-tween a coarse DEM elevation (ZDEM) and Zsource at the i-th test location of interest; and n is the number of test loca-tions. The RMSE analysis included 150 test-spots that were defined pseudo-randomly, that is, 120 spots were selected randomly whilst the remaining 30 spots were chosen subjec-tively to include terrain zones of hydrologic and geomorpho-logic interest, such as depressions, spots near water courses and uplands. The comparison of the coarse DEMs and Zsource included also the analysis of the cumulative distributions of residuals computed at the same test locations as in the RMSE evaluations. Furthermore a cumulative distribution of DEM elevations was calculated for every DEM product. The derivation of drainage patterns and the automatic delineation of catchment (i.e. drainage) areas are affected by spurious sinks (i.e. local minima), as sinks interfere with the (natural) connection of drainage patterns. Thus, sink re-moval was carried out prior to the assessment of these geo-morphic relationships. Because zones of natural depression storage are very difficult to account while using coarse res-olutions, such as the one considered in this study, all the identified sinks were treated as artificial depressions result-ing from random errors induced by the gridding interpola-tion. Thus, all of the identified sinks were removed. In doing so, a method based on the drainage enforcement algorithm by Jenson and Domingue (1988) was applied. With this algorithm, the downslope flow direction for each cell is defined after inspecting the eight cardinal directions and identifying the neighbouring cell of lowest elevation. The algorithm fills the sinks by assigning to them the elevation of their lowest neighbour and then assigns flow directions to these flat cells towards a neighbouring cell that has a pre-viously assigned flow direction. The Jenson and Domingue (1988) algorithm was also used to derive the drainage patterns, accounting for the flow that accumulates at each cell of the DEM for a uniform and unit-value rainfall. A threshold value (10 flow units) was then ap-plied to produce the drainage networks through a reclassifi-cation process that accounted for cells with higher accumulated flow. The catchment areas were automatically delineated also through the Jenson and Domingue (1988) algorithm by using the information on the flow direction for each cell and the grouping of cells draining to a single outlet or seed cell. This seed pixel was defined explicitly matching the coordinates of the Gete station (Fig. 1). The derived catchment areas were compared to the digitised catchment boundary. Although some of the assumptions on which the interpre-tation of the topographic index (k) is based are not fulfilled (mainly because of the coarse resolution used in this research), it was calculated to briefly assess the potential runoff sources (Beven et al., 1995; Quinn et al., 1995; Ambroise et al., 1996). For a particular grid cell, it is calcu-lated as ki ¼ ln ai tanðbiÞ ð2Þ where ai is the area draining through the cell per unit length of contour [L]; and tan(bi) is the local surface slope [–] of the cell. The multiple direction flow sharing algorithm by Quinn et al. (1991) was used to determine the downslope flow pathways and for distributing to the downslope cells a proportion of the accumulated contributing area. This algorithm is more suitable than that of Jenson and Domin-gue (1988) for representing flow on divergent hillslopes and for larger grid resolutions (Quinn et al., 1991, 1995). The calculation of k enabled to compare the drainage patterns derived with both methods, namely Quinn et al. (1991) and Jenson and Domingue (1988). Sensitivity analyses on the coarse DEMs The grid-scale issues of interest defined in the objectives of this manuscript were examined through a Multi-Calibration (MCal) test, in which several models differing only in the DEM input data were subjected to identical calibration and evaluation. After model calibration, the differences in the sets of effective parameter values were assessed. During model evaluation, the differences in model perfor-mance were characterised through the analysis of the model residuals (i.e. differences between predictions and observations). In addition, an analysis of the effects of the sink removal operation was performed considering the DEM(A) represent-ing gridding type I and DEM(B) representing gridding type II.
  • 6. 78 R.F. Va´zquez, J. Feyen Additionally, this analysis was extended to include DEM(C) for investigating the modelling consequences of the mis-match that was observed between the derived catchment outlet and the location of the Gete station, which is de-picted later in the text. Hydrologic model of the study site The profile definition of the river tributaries was based on interpolation/extrapolation of a few measured profiles. Drains were specified in the model set-up to improve the simulated hydrograph shape and to account for the small ca-nals and ditches present on a scale smaller than the model-ling resolution. The drainage depth (zdr) and the reciprocal time constant (Tdr), a sort of drainage coefficient, were cal-ibrated because they influence mainly the velocity of the drainage and the peak and recession of the hydrograph. The spatial extent of the soil units and their vertical proper-ties could be assessed considering two soil databases (Feyen et al., 2000). Parameters for describing the flow through the soil system were calculated with pedo-transfer functions (PTFs). Despite the uncertainties associated with the PTFs and the soil databases, the soil parameters were not in-cluded within the calibration process to avoid considering too many parameters (for 9 soil units) during model calibration. The complex geology of the studied system comprises nine geological units (Va´zquez and Feyen, 2003a), of which only two are underlying completely the area of the catch-ment. The geology was incorporated in the three-dimen-sional groundwater model of MIKE SHE. A sensitivity analysis demonstrated that the model could be simplified further to six geological units without influencing the global results noticeably (Va´zquez et al., 2002). The model in-cludes five upper geological units on top of the low-perme-able Palaeozoic rocky basement. The hydrogeologic parameters of these units were tuned during the calibration process. Owing to the lack of appropriate measurements, the groundwater divide was assumed coincident with the topographical divide and the aquifers were given no-flow boundary conditions. The input time step, during which no change in boundary conditions occurs (stress period), was taken as one day, in recognition of the lack of more precise meteorological data. MIKE SHE requires crop potential evapotranspiration (ETp) data for modelling ETact. Modelling ETact was done by means of the Kristensen and Jensen (1975) approach. ETp data were estimated in turn by means of the Kc–ET0 method that uses crop coefficients (Kc) and crop reference evapotranspi-ration (ET0). ET0 time series were estimated with the Food and Agriculture Organisation (FAO) Penman-method 24 (FAO-24). Locally-applicable parameter values were avail-able for the components of the FAO-24 method (Va´zquez and Feyen, 2004). The estimates produced by the FAO-24 method, using these locally-applicable parameter values for the various components of the method, were equivalent to the estimates of the FAO-56 Penman-Monteith method using standard parameter values recommended by the FAO-56 report for the different components of the method (Allen et al., 1998). No locally-applicable parameter values were available for the components of the FAO-56 method (Va´zquez and Feyen, 2004). The effective values for the parameters that MIKE SHE uses to estimate ETact (Kristensen and Jensen, 1975) were taken from a previous sensitivity analysis (DHI, 1998; Va´zquez and Feyen, 2003b). These parameter values were kept constant throughout the mod-elling analysis. The reader is referred to Doorenbos and Pru-itt (1977), Va´zquez and Feyen (2003b, 2004) for a complete description of the Penman FAO-24 approach and the set-up of the catchment model. Model calibration and performance assessment In principle, when sufficient data are available, physically based distributed models do not need to be calibrated. However, this type of models must be calibrated to improve their predictions because of sub-grid variability of parame-ter values, model structure uncertainties and data (input and evaluation) uncertainties. A good calibration process should aim therefore to reduce as much as possible the model error, that is, parameter uncertainties (i.e. obtaining appropriate grid-scale effective parameter values) and model structure uncertainties (i.e. developing the most accurate catchment model) so that the total modelling error is mainly composed by the data measurement error (which is usually unknown and scale dependant). With this purpose in mind, and in line with their nature, distributed models must be evaluated against distributed measurements. In this study, care was taken to avoid violating physical constraints during the model calibration (Va´zquez and Feyen, 2003a). Particularly, the availability of piezometric data defined the calibration period as from the 1st of Janu-ary 1985 until the 31st of December 1986 and the main eval-uation period from the 1st of January 1987 until the 31st of December 1988 (Split-Sample test). Additional evaluation periods of variable length were however considered in the scope of a Multi-Window (MW) test (Va´zquez, 2003; Va´zquez and Feyen, 2003b), as depicted later in the text. Owing mainly to the high computational requirements and the large number of model parameters, the calibration of distributed hydrologic models is not a trivial activity. In this research, a considerable computational work was re-quired since every simulation lasted about one hour and an average of 400 simulations were needed to reach every model calibration in the framework of the Multi-Calibration (MCal) test. A conventional calibration by fit process was ap-plied. It was based on a ‘‘trial and error’’ procedure, in which the influence of the various model parameters was examined step by step through a multi-criteria performance protocol. In general, for each DEM product the model was calibrated and evaluated using a Split-Sample (SS) proce-dure against basin-wide daily discharge measurements and water levels for 12 observation wells, with screens in differ-ent geological layers (Fig. 1). To investigate how well the calibrated model was able to simulate internal variables, a Multi-Site (MS) evaluation test was also performed for two internal discharge stations and 6 observation wells that were not considered during the calibration process (Fig. 1). The general protocol used for assessing the model per-formance consisted of two complementary components: (i) the analysis (statistical and graphical) of different time series properties; and (ii) the evaluation of a set of multi-objective statistics. The inspected time series simulation
  • 7. Assessment of the effects of DEM gridding on the predictions of basin runoff using MIKE SHE 79 properties included: (i) cumulative flow volumes; (ii) mod-elled versus observed discharge maxima; and (iii) high flow extreme value statistics. Unrelated or slightly correlated statistics were preferred for the set of multi-objective statistics. However, as an exception, two statistics that are correlated were consid-ered in this research for getting a quick overview of the model performance simulating peak flows. These statistics are the coefficient of efficiency (EF2) (Legates and McCabe, 1999), that is frequently used for an estimation of the total (combined systematic and random) average error and the coefficient of determination (CD) (Loague and Green, 1991) that is related to the EF2 but is particularly useful to assess the simulation of peak values (Va´zquez, 2003). These statistics are defined as follows: EF2 ¼ 1 Pn i¼1ðOi PiÞ2 Pn i¼1ðOi OÞ2 ð3Þ CD ¼ Pn i¼1ðOi OÞ2 Pn i¼1ðPi OÞ2 ð4Þ where, Pi is the i-th simulated value, Oi is the i-th observed value, O is the average of the observed values and n is the number of observations. The optimal value of EF2 is 1.0 and the feasible range of variation is 1 EF2 6 1.0, while for CD, these parameters are 1.0 and 0.0 CD +1, respec-tively. For a more even assessment of the simulation of both high and low flows, the multi-objective set of statistics was also applied on the logarithmic transformation of the ob-served and the predicted variables (Va´zquez, 2003). Primarily, the drainage depth (zdr) and the reciprocal time constant (Tdr) were calibrated against the overall dis-charge of the catchment. Next, the values of the hydrogeo-logic parameters of the five upper most geological units were tuned against the outflow discharge of the catchment. When the overall discharge was reasonably well simulated, the hydrogeologic parameters of each unit were tuned fur-ther to improve the agreement between the predicted and observed piezometric levels in the calibration wells. Previ-ous modelling experiences (Feyen et al., 2000; Va´zquez et al., 2002; Va´zquez and Feyen, 2003b) showed that after tuning the hydrogeologic parameters for improving the pie-zometric predictions, the model performance simulating overall discharges was diminished and, as a consequence, an additional tuning of zdr, Tdr and the horizontal conductiv-ity of the loamy Quaternarian (Kw) and the clayey sand Landeniaan (Ln) units was necessary for improving the sim-ulation of the overall discharge. Thus, in this research a fur-ther tuning of these parameters was carried out to improve as much as possible the prediction of the overall discharge but trying at the same time to reach a modelling compro-mise to avoid affecting significantly the prediction of piezo-metric levels. For the extreme value analysis (EVA), independent Peak- Over-Threshold (POT) values were extracted from the total discharge (Qt) using independency criteria based on the dif-ferences among the recession constants of the hydrologic subflows: overland flow (Qov), interflow (Qin) and baseflow (Qbs) (Willems, 2000; Va´zquez and Feyen, 2003a). The EVA was performed from the 1st of January 1984 until the 31st of December 1995. An exponential distribution fitted rea-sonably well the observed data beyond an optimal threshold Qt equal to 6.4 m3 s1 (Va´zquez and Feyen, 2003a). Results DEM quality assessment The analysis of the cumulative distributions of DEM eleva-tions and the elevation statistics did not reveal a clear dif-ference among all of the inspected DEMs. Fig. 2a shows the cumulative distributions of slope (tan(b)) as a fraction of the catchment area and as a function of the DEMs after sink removal. The plot also includes the corresponding distribu-tion for the 20-m product of the TOPOGRID algorithm, considered in this research as hydrologically consistent (Hutchinson, 1989; ESRI, 1996) and, as such, as a reference. Fig. 2b illustrates the cumulative distributions (Fr(res 6 RES)) of residuals for a particular value of interest (RES), calculated at the 150 pseudo-random test locations as a function of the DEMs after sink removal. Fig. 2a shows the considerable smoothing of the DEMs that took place as a consequence of increasing the resolu-tion of the elevation data (from about 20 m to 600 m) and as such indicates the generalised low elevation quality of all of the coarse DEMs used in this research. Nevertheless, Fig. 2a and b show that the products of methods (B) and (D) described the catchment’s elevation slightly better than the DEM products of methods (A), (C) and (E). Additionally, 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0 DEMs after sink removal RES [m] Fr(resRES) [--] (A)_rand (B)_rand (C)_rand (D)_rand (E)_rand 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0 DEMs after sink removal tan( ) [--] Fraction of catchment area [--] 20-m (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) 1 2 3 4 5 4 8 12 16 Figure 2 Cumulative frequency distributions of (a) DEM local slope; and (b) residuals among DEMs and pseudo-random elevation spot heights (_rand).
  • 8. 80 R.F. Va´zquez, J. Feyen these figures clearly show three different sets of cumulative distributions. One of the sets groups the DEM products of methods (A) and (C). A second set groups the DEM products of methods (B) and (D). Finally, the DEM product of method (E) constitutes a third set. This is consistent with the three different types (I, II and III) of DEM gridding methods that were used in this work and indicates that these DEM gridding methods affected the adequacy of DEM elevations. The outcomes of methods (B) and (D) (gridding type II) in-cluded greater numbers of sinks than the outcomes of meth-ods (A) and (C) (gridding type I). No sink was identified in the outcome of method (E), because sinks were automatically removed by TOPOGRID (ESRI, 1996). Visual inspection of the spatial distribution of sinks indicated that the coarse DEM gridding methods (in particular methods (B) and (D)) did not rightly model the transition from the hillslopes to the floodplains in the regions where depressions occurred. Given the limitations for describing appropriately the topography of the study site associated with the 600-m res-olution, it may be concluded that the drainage networks de-rived through the Jenson and Domingue (1988) approach agreed acceptably well with the digitised watercourses. However, some considerable differences of detail, such as artificial branch discontinuities were noticed (Fig. 3a). Fig. 3b shows that, particularly for DEM(C), the outlet of the derived drainage network does not match the digitised outlet (i.e. Gete station). This is likely to affect the perfor-mance of the respective hydrologic model because the sim-ulated discharges are evaluated at the location of the Gete station rather than at the derived catchment outlet. Furthermore, owing to this mismatch, the derived catch-ment area for DEM(C) was much smaller than the digitised boundary despite the sink removal pre-processing. As a way of mitigating this mismatch and ensuring a drainage area covering the extent of the digitised boundary, an addi-tional smoothing of the coarse DEM(C) was performed with a 3 · 3 mean filter (Clark Labs, 1998). As a consequence, the drainage area for DEM(C) was significantly improved, since the location of the predicted catchment outlet was shifted to the position of the Gete station but to the cost of losing information after smoothing (Fig. 3c). Thus, the effects of the additional smoothing of DEM(C) on the hydrologic pre-dictions were investigated by means of a sensitivity analysis considering the smoothed DEM into the hydrologic model set-up. The model was parameterised using the effective parameters that were obtained with the DEM prior the smoothing process. The analysis of the spatial distributions of k revealed an acceptable agreement between the higher k values and the digitised river network. In this respect, the k distributions (Quinn et al., 1995) were consistent with the drainage pat-terns derived through the Jenson and Domingue (1988) ap-proach, even with the situation depicted in Fig. 3b for DEM(C). Furthermore, this analysis suggested a smoother generation of runoff for the DEM products of methods (A), (C) and (E) with respect to the outcomes of methods (B) and (D), which is in agreement with their slope characteris-tics (cf. Fig. 2a). The cumulative distributions of k evolved as a function of the three different types (I, II and III) of gridding methods inspected in this work. This study in-spected the cumulative distributions of the two components of k, namely ln(1/tanb) accounting for land–surface slope and ln(a) accounting for land–surface shape. The distribu-tions of ln(1/tanb) were consistent with the slope distribu-tions shown in Fig. 2a. The distributions of ln(a) indicated no special concentrations of either convex or concave land-scape features in the DEMs. Hydrologic modelling The results of the hydrologic modelling are presented with regard to the main grid-scale issues that are addressed in this article. Do the sets of effective parameter values reflect the dif-ferences of the DEM generation methods? Table 1 lists the main effective parameter values in rela-tion to the three types of DEM gridding methods. Further-more, the parameters are classified in two main groups with respect to the presence of artificial sinks in the DEMs. The table lists only the effective values of the loamy Qua-ternarian and the clayey sand Landeniaan layers, which have a considerable influence on the modelling of the groundwater flow, as well as the aquifer–river interaction. During the model calibration, the hydrogeologic parameters 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 tan( ) [--] Fraction of catchment area [--] (C) (C)_mf3 DEM(A) after sink removal Legend: N DEM(C) after sink removal Significant difference with respect to the digitised streams DEM(C) after sink removal Derived catchment Gete station Digitised stream network DEM-derived stream network Catchment boundary outlet Figure 3 Maps showing (a) the spatial distribution of derived drainage network for DEM(A); and (b) the mismatch between the location of the predicted catchment outlet and the position of the Gete station. (c) Cumulative frequency distributions of DEM(C) before and after (C_mf3) smoothing through the mean filter (3 · 3 pixels smoothing mask).
  • 9. Table 1 Main effective parameters in relation to the DEM generation methods DEM properties Model parameter Geological unit Coarse-DEM gridding method Type I Type II Type III A C B D E After sink removal (DEMsNOsink) zdr (m) 0.46 0.30 0.43 0.43 0.50 Tdr (s1) 6.20 · 108 1.55 · 107 6.80 · 108 8.50 · 108 5.90 · 108 Ksat (m s1) Kx (m s1) Quaternarian 7.70 · 107 8.00 · 106 2.00 · 107 2.30 · 107 2.00 · 107 Landeniaan 6.00 · 106 5.50 · 106 5.50 · 106 6.00 · 106 6.75 · 106 Kz (m s1) Quaternarian 4.24 · 107 4.80 · 106 9.00 · 108 5.75 · 108 9.40 · 108 Landeniaan 1.50 · 106 1.54 · 106 3.58 · 106 3.90 · 106 4.39 · 106 Sy (–) Quaternarian 0.17 0.21 0.20 0.22 0.23 Landeniaan 0.41 0.41 0.39 0.43 0.41 Including artificial sinks (DEMssink) zdr (m) 0.40 0.20 0.22 Tdr (s1) 7.00 · 108 1.65 · 107 1.30 · 107 Ksat (m s1) Kx (m s1) Quaternarian 2.00 · 106 4.00 · 106 1.00 · 107 Landeniaan 7.00 · 106 9.00 · 106 9.30 · 106 Kz (m s1) Quaternarian 1.74 · 106 2.40 · 106 1.00 · 107 Landeniaan 1.19 · 106 1.80 · 106 3.07 · 106 Sy (–) Quaternarian 0.20 0.20 0.20 Landeniaan 0.19 0.34 0.30 zdr = Drainage level, Tdr = Reciprocal time constant, Ksat = Saturated hydraulic conductivity, Kx = Horizontal hydraulic conductivity, Kz = Vertical hydraulic conductivity, Sy = Specific yield. Assessment of the effects of DEM gridding on the predictions of basin runoff using MIKE SHE 81
  • 10. 82 R.F. Va´zquez, J. Feyen were allowed to vary spatially considering factors such as the extent of the main sub-catchments, the extent of the geologic units and the location of the abstraction wells (Va´zquez and Feyen, 2003a). For a particular modelled geo-logic unit, the values listed in Table 1 correspond to the effective zone with the lowest hydrogeologic parameter value. In broad terms, the assessment of the sets of effective parameter values obtained using the DEMs after sink re-moval revealed that only an average variation of parameter values took place as a function of the three types of DEM gridding methods. The set associated with DEM(C) has how-ever noticeably different values for zdr (lower absolute va-lue), Tdr (higher value) and the saturated hydraulic conductivity (Ksat) of the Quaternarian (Kw) layer (higher va-lue), parameters that are related to the simulation of sur-face processes within the modelled hydrologic system. The reason for obtaining this different parameter set is likely to be linked to the mismatch between the predicted catchment outlet and the digitised catchment outlet (Gete station, cf. Fig. 3b) where the model prediction was finally evaluated. When the DEMs including sinks were considered in the MCal analysis, it was observed however a noticeable influ-ence of the DEM gridding methods on the values adopted by the effective parameters of the hydrologic models. These effects were especially important with respect to zdr, Tdr and Ksat–Kw (c.f. Table 1). Looking at the effect of the sink removal operation (i.e. smoothing operation) on the sets of effective parameters values, Table 1 illustrates that, in general, higher zdr abso-lute values and lower Tdr values (i.e. higher drainage veloc-ities) are associated with the (smoother) DEMs after sink removal. This is for opposing to the smoothing (i.e. flatter-ing) of the DEMs by routing higher overland and interflow water volumes more quickly (higher zdr absolute values) but, at the same time, controlling the magnitude of peaks through lower Tdr values. In some cases the acceleration of flow routing is accentuated by higher (horizontal and ver-tical) values of Ksat–Kw, such as for the products of the DEM-methods (A) and (B). For the Landeniaan (Ln) layer, which is the most influential to groundwater flow and the aquifer– river interchange flow, the MCal analysis indicated that comparable values of Ksat were obtained for all the models independently of whether the DEM products included sinks. Thus the effects of the sink removal smoothing were re-flected principally on the variation of zdr, Tdr and Ksat–Kw. Is the adequacy of global predictions affected by differ-ent DEM generation methods? Fig. 4 shows the observed and calibrated hydrographs for the DEM products of the gridding approaches type I (DEM(A)), type II (DEM(B)) and type III (DEM(E)). The figure shows that, in general, the models have certain difficulties for rightly simulating the recession limbs and the subse-quent baseflow, especially in the periods January of 1985, February–March of 1986 and June–October of 1986. In gen-eral, the models tended to overestimate the peakflow events. However, in broad terms, the analysis of the cali-brated time series of total discharge revealed that the mod-els related to the DEM products of gridding methods type II ((B) and (D)) and type III ((E)) predicted better discharge series than the other models, regardless of the presence 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 21 17 13 9 5 1 Rainfall DEM(A) Observed Jan-85 May-85 Sep-85 Jan-86 May-86 Sep-86 Jan-87 Rainfall [mm day -1] Discharge [m3 s-1] 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 21 19 Jan-85 May-85 Sep-85 Jan-86 May-86 Sep-86 Jan-87 y a d m m [ l l a f n i a R -1] 17 15 13 11 9 7 5 3 1 Discharge [m3 s-1] Rainfall DEM(B) Observed 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 21 19 17 15 13 11 9 7 5 3 1 Rainfall DEM(E) Observed Jan-85 May-85 Sep-85 Jan-86 May-86 Sep-86 Jan-87 Date Rainfall [mm day -1] Discharge [m3 s-1] Figure 4 Observed and calibrated hydrographs for the models related to DEM(A), DEM(B) and DEM(E), after sink removal. of artificial sinks. These results are in agreement with the better quality, in terms of elevation, slope and land-sur-face, of the DEM products of gridding methods types II and III (cf. Fig. 2a). The Multi-Window (MW) analysis included several evalua-tion periods of different length. The MW test indicated that the discharge performance of the models related to the DEM products of gridding methods type II ((B) and (D)) were the most acceptable in the different periods of analysis, regard-less of the presence of sinks. Fig. 5 depicts yearly EF2 values for the period (1984–1995) as a function of both DEMs including sinks and DEMs after sink removal. Sink removal was carried out by smoothing the DEMs. This caused a mod-ification of the original structure of the smoothed DEMs, particularly perceived when calculating the distribution of slopes (smoother) and the drainage network topology. Con-sequently, the simulation of surface water flow dynamics was modified with a faster water routing throughout the flatter (i.e. smoother) DEMs, characterised by a general deterioration of the discharge performance (especially for method (A)), as depicted in Fig. 5b. Nevertheless, for DEM(C) the newer river network topology brought the gen-eral enhancement of the drainage network, as compared to the digitised drainage network, which had a positive ef-fect on the performance of the model related to DEM(C). In broad terms, the peak flows were reasonably well simulated within the calibration period independently of the DEM gridding method. However, in the main evaluation
  • 11. Assessment of the effects of DEM gridding on the predictions of basin runoff using MIKE SHE 83 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 EF2 [--] Figure 5 Yearly MW model performances (streamflow) for the Gete station in relation to the DEM gridding methods and the removal of artificial sinks. 38 34 30 26 22 18 14 10 DEMs including sinks 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 Evaluation window period (1987–1988) the adequacy of the simulated peak flows was inferior due to overestimation. The results of the Extreme Value Analysis (EVA) in the period (1984– 1995) are illustrated in Fig. 6a for the DEMs including artifi-cial sinks and Fig. 6b for the DEMs after sink removal. Be-sides a generalised overestimation, Fig. 6a and b show that removing the sinks by smoothing the DEMs produced higher peaks, except for the product of method (C). Again, higher peaks after sink removal were caused mainly by low-er effective drainage levels (zdr, higher absolute values) that accelerate the routing of water throughout the flatter DEMs and evacuate higher overland and interflow volumes from the catchment. Despite lower Tdr effective values were obtained to mitigate the rising of the peaks, the pre-dicted peaks were higher after sink removal. Fig. 6b shows that the highest overestimation of peaks was related to the DEM product of the MIKE SHE Bilinear interpolation algo-rithm (method (A)). The peakflow predictions related to the gridding methods (C), (B) and (D) were comparable and bet-ter than the predictions related to the outcome of the TOPOGRID algorithm (method (E)). Concerning the DEM(C), the analysis revealed that the improvement of the discharge performance after the addi-tional DEM smoothing by the 3 · 3 mean filter is particularly noticeable in the simulation of peakflows that are lower after the additional DEM smoothing in the period (1984– 1995). This generalised improvement of the discharge per-formance is consistent with the improved location of the predicted catchment outlet (after the additional mean filter smoothing) with regard to the location of the Gete station. This illustrates the significant enhancement of the model 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 DEM(A) DEM(B) DEM(C) 38 34 30 26 22 18 14 10 DEMs after sink removal 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 Evaluation window performance associated with the improvement of the DEM drainage network topology despite the deterioration of other DEM features such as the distribution of slopes (cf. Fig. 3c). This illustrates as well the necessity of assessing the consequences of GIS operations such as DEM smoothing on both the structure of the DEMs and the associated model performance before accepting the model predictions as being valid. Is the evaluation of internal state predictions affected by the DEM generation methods? Since distributed models should be evaluated against dis-tributed measurements by considering the predictions of internal state variables, this section illustrates the main dis-tributed results from the hydrologic modelling. The Multi-Site (MS) analysis of the river discharge predic-tions for the two internal river stations that were not in-cluded in the calibration process suggested that all of the models have marked difficulties to predict the distributed discharge variables with reasonable accuracy, suggesting that some processes such as flow through saturated and unsaturated zones may not be rightly modelled to this scale. Besides the coarse modelling resolution, the noticeable uncertainty attached to the input data that were used for constructing the hydrologic model contributes probably in a greater proportion to these low model efficiencies. In any case, the discharge predictions for these stations (cf. Fig. 1), related to the DEM products of the gridding methods type II ((B) and (D)) and type III ((E)) were better. Figs. 7 and 8 depict the piezometric level performance of the models using DEMs after sink removal for three wells considered in the Split-Sample (SS) test and two wells used DEMs including sinks 6 0.1 1.0 10.0 100.0 Return period [years] Discharge [m3 s -1] Exp. Distr. Observed (A) (B) (C) DEMs after sink removal 6 0.1 1.0 10.0 100.0 Return period [years] Discharge [m³ s -1] Exp. Distr. Observed (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) EF2 [--] Figure 6 EVA for the Gete station for the period (1984–1995) in relation to the DEM gridding methods and the removal of artificial sinks.
  • 12. 84 R.F. Va´zquez, J. Feyen V2TI-KU.PP2 (Landeniaan) 53 51 49 47 45 43 Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Jan Head [m] 1985 1986 1987 1988 4038187 (Brusseliaan) 138 136 134 132 130 128 Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Jan Head [m] 1985 1986 1987 1988 4048204 (Landeniaan) 116 114 112 110 108 106 104 Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Jan Head [m] 1985 1986 1987 1988 Observed (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) Figure 7 Predicted piezometric levels after model calibration for some of the wells considered in the Split-sample (SS) test as a function of the DEM gridding methods (after sink removal). in the MS test, respectively. These figures show that, in gen-eral, the prediction of the piezometric levels differed con-siderably among the wells and that in some cases there was an important variation of the performance in relation to the DEM gridding methods. Both tests revealed that, in general, the piezometric performances associated with the DEM products of gridding methods type II ((B) and (D)) were poorer (cf. Figs. 7 and 8). This suggests that the mod-els related to these DEMs were characterised by lower base-flow and higher overland and interflow predictions, which finally resulted in better global model performances. These results illustrate the importance of carrying out an evaluation of distributed models using distributed measure-ments for the evaluation of simulated internal state vari-ables. The variability of these results illustrates however the inherent difficulties in doing so, including incommensu-rability issues due to the fact that data errors (input and/or evaluation) are usually unknown and scale dependent. It should be noticed that Figs. 7 and 8 provide evidence for rejection of all models, unless consideration is given to the scale issue (i.e. incommensurability) of comparing point-scale elevation and piezometric measurements versus 600-m grid predictions. Conclusions Three types of gridding methods were applied to produce coarse DEMs (600-m resolution) for the modelling of the Gete catchment with the MIKE SHE model. The first type of gridding method uses input elevation data distributed about the periphery of the gridded DEM cells (i.e. methods (A) and (C)) and was implemented with a MIKE SHE pre-pro-cessing tool for interpolation. The second type uses input elevation data distributed about the centre of the gridded cells (i.e. methods (B) and (D)). The third type is based on the TOPOGRID (ESRI, 1996) algorithm that uses landscape features, such as digitised streams, to improve the drainage structure of the DEM product (i.e. method (E)). A protocol, examining the accuracy of DEM elevations, evaluating geomorphic relationships and predicting hydro-logic conditions in hillslopes, was applied in this work for characterising the quality of the coarse DEM products for hydrologic use. The protocol revealed that, for the particu-lar characteristics of the study site and the elevation input data, gridding methods type II ((B) and (D)) produced coarse DEMs with higher elevation accuracy, followed by TOPO-GRID and finally by the MIKE SHE tool for interpolation (grid-ding methods type I). Correspondingly, the Multi-Calibration (MCal) analysis revealed a better performance (for outlet discharges and peakflows) of the hydrologic models related to gridding methods type II, regardless of the presence of spurious sinks. Thus, this study revealed that, in general, the DEM products of the gridding methods type II are more appro-priate for the current coarse modelling resolution. In this context, the assessment of the model performance re-vealed a congruence with the predictions of overland flow generation from the topographic index analysis, that is, higher runoff production induced by the DEM products of gridding methods types II and III and smoother runoff pro-ductions related to the DEM products of gridding methods type I ((A) and (C)). Some of the piezometric results suggested however a potential underestimation of base flow associated to the DEM products of gridding methods type II that could not V2HG-BR.B5 (Landeniaan) 62 60 58 56 54 52 Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Jan Head [m] 1985 1986 1987 1988 4038488 (Brusseliaan) 128 126 124 122 120 118 Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Jan Head [m] 1985 1986 1987 1988 Observed (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) Figure 8 Predicted piezometric levels after model calibra-tion for some of the wells considered in the Multi-site (MS) test as a function of the DEM gridding methods (after sink removal).
  • 13. Assessment of the effects of DEM gridding on the predictions of basin runoff using MIKE SHE 85 be studied further owing to the lack of baseflow measure-ments or estimates. The present research could therefore be extended to investigate in the future a protocol for estimating total hydrograph subflows and assessing in this way the performance of the hydrologic models simulating subflows. The subflow analysis may have the potential of improving the simulation of certain processes that other-wise might be simulated wrongly at the current 600-m resolution. The Multi-Site (MS) test indicated moreover that all of the hydrologic models predict distributed state variables with even lower performances than the performances cor-responding to calibrated variables. This test illustrated fur-thermore the importance of using distributed observations of streamflow and piezometric levels for evaluating the model performance simulating internal state variables. The significant variability of the model performance results indicated however the inherent difficulties in achieving this distributed evaluation, including incommensurability issues, owing among other factors to data uncertainty and scale-dependent aspects that affected the direct com-parison of point-scale observations versus 600-m grid pre-dictions. It is important therefore to complement in the future the current analysis by including in the distributed evaluation protocol estimated intervals of data uncertainty that could enable accounting not only for data errors but also for discrepancies between point-scale measurements and grid-scale predictions. In this respect, the analysis of the procedures that were followed up for deriving dis-charge observations from the rating (i.e. level versus dis-charge) curves and the analysis on the discrepancies among the input elevation data (Zsource), the DEM eleva-tions (ZDEM) and the ground levels utilised for monitoring the observation wells (Zmonitor) are likely to play an impor-tant role in the estimation of the referred data uncertainty intervals. The MCal test using DEMs without spurious sinks revealed an average influence of the gridding methods on the effec-tive values adopted by the parameters of the hydrologic models, except for the DEM (C) that has a drainage outlet located in a different position with respect to the location of the catchment outlet. Artificial sinks were removed from the DEM outcomes of gridding methods types I and II. This assessment revealed that the products of gridding methods type II include a higher amount of artificial sinks than the outcomes of type I. Comparing the conditions after the sink removal opera-tion with the conditions observed prior the referred oper-ation, the MCal analysis after sink removal showed a tendency for obtaining zdr, Tdr and Ksat–Kw parameter val-ues incrementing the overland and interflow volumes and accelerating the routing of these hydrograph components, but controlling at the same time and as much as possible the magnitude of peaks. This general tendency is to com-pensate the deterioration of model predictions due to the smoothing (i.e. flattering) of DEMs caused by the sink re-moval and explains as well the variation of baseflow pre-diction noticed through the analysis of piezometric levels to compensate for the changes in overland and interflow volumes. Despite the multi-objective and systematic approach to multi-calibration, the trial and error methodology that was used in this research is based on the concept of attaining a single optimum set of parameters. However, given the high dimensionality of the parameter space associated with the distributed model of the study site, it is likely that this parameter space was not adequately sampled with the consequent risk of having identified only a local optimum rather than a global optimum. Further-more, the calibration of distributed models is usually fac-ing the risk of parameter equifinality, that is, several sets of parameter values that give acceptable fits to the cali-bration data might be scattered widely in the parameter space, as a result of errors in the data and model struc-ture, besides parameter interactions (Beven and Freer, 2001). Thus, an important future activity is to define prediction limits for estimating the degree of confidence on the cur-rent hydrological modelling by taking into account in the scope of a joint deterministic-stochastic framework the uncertainties in data, model structure and parameters. In this context, the current research should be understood as a preliminary sensitivity analysis aiming to reduce as much as possible the geomorphologic data uncertainty by analy-sing in a complementary way the accuracy of DEMs and the associated model performances. Finally, the reader should be aware that some of the re-sults obtained in this research, in particular about the out-comes of the DEM gridding methods, may be model structure, modelling resolution and catchment specific. The main objective of this manuscript is to communicate to the reader the importance of assessing the quality of the topographic input data (i.e. identifying intrinsic errors) to avoid negative consequences on the hydrological modelling. Acknowledgements This work was possible thanks to research grants from the OSTC (Belgian Federal Office for Scientific, Technical and Cultural Affairs, project CG/DD/08C), the Interuniversity Programme in Water Resources Engineering (IUPWARE, KULeuven-VUBrussel) and the Katholieke Universiteit Leu-ven (postdoctoral project PDM/03/188, awarded to the first author). The completion of this article was achieved in the framework of the Research and Development con-tract of the first author funded by the Instituto Nacional de Investigacio´n y Tecnologı ´a Agraria y Alimentaria (INIA, Spain) and the Centro de Investigacio´n y Tecnologı ´a Agro-alimentaria de la Diputacio´n General de Arago´n (CITA-DGA, Spain). The authors would like to thank those who have supported us and helped to clarify our way through-out this continued research. Special thanks go to Luc Feyen, Patrick Willems and Prof. Keith Beven for their con-structive suggestions. 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