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Annika Falkengren




                    Telephone
                    conference
                          2008




                                 1
Highlights Q2 2008

  Income regained strength – second
  best quarter ever
  – High business activity
  – Limited portfolio losses
  Strong capitalisation and liquidity
  Higher costs due to continued
  investments and sales activities
  Increased credit losses in Estonia




                                        2
Key figures
                                                   Net Interest Income
 SEB Group                                         SEKbn
                                    Q2 Jan-Jun                            4.4                  4.4
                                                                                    4.2
                                                     3.9       3.9
                                  2008    2008
Operating income                 10,403   19,205
Of which:
 Net interest income              4,421    8,644
 Net fee and commissions          3,909    7,710   Q2 -07 Q3 -07 Q4 -07 Q1 -08 Q2 -08
 Net financial income             1,161    1,000
                                                   Operating profit
Operating expenses                6,445   12,472   SEKbn
                                                                          4.6*
                                                     4.6
Operating profit                  3,507    5,917
                                                               3.7                             3.5
                                                                          3.8
Return on Equity, %                15.2     12.4                                     2.4
Cost / income ratio                0.62     0.65
Credit loss level, %               0.17     0.15
                                                    Q2-07     Q3-07     Q4-07      Q1-08      Q2-08
Core capital ratio, % Basel II     8.64     8.64   * Including sales of Baltic properties of SEK 785m




                                                                                                        3
High business activity – Merchant Banking
Merchant Banking: Operating Income        Portfolio valuations, SEKm
SEKm                                                                Accumulated
            Q2 07   Q1 08       Q2 08                                     since
                                                          Q2 08          Q3 07
2,000
                                           Income             -66         -2,707
                                           Equity             -56         -2,384
                                           Total           -122           -5,091


                                          Portfolios
1,000
                                          Q2 08


                                            Available                     Held for
                                                        89%
                                             for sale                     trading
                                                                    11%   (MTM over
                                          (MTM over
                                                                          income)
                                              equity)
   0
        TCM excl    Corporate       GTS
          CPM        Banking



                                                                                      4
High business activity – long-term savings
Swedish mutual funds: net inflows                      Life – Total sales
Jan-Jun, SEKbn                                         SEKbn
                                      3.8                                                13.3
                                                        12.0                      12.0           11.9
                                                                 10.7
                                                                            9.7

                                               -3.0
   -7.2                  -8.5
           -13.3
                                                       Q1-07     Q2         Q3    Q4     Q1-08   Q2
  Robur     SHB     Nordea            SEB     Others

Private Banking – Net sales
SEKbn

                                       5.8
                                                4.9
   4.1
                                3.5
          2.9      2.6



   Q1     Q2       Q3           Q4      Q1      Q2
  2007                                 2008


                                                                                                        5
High business activity – Retail Sweden
Retail Sweden household mortgages                       Retail Sweden, SME segment
Lending, SEK billions                                   Cash management customers (thousands)
                                                        90
                                                207
                                        201
                                196
                        189
                183
        176
 173                                                    80
                                                                                        + 5,200

                                                        70


                                                        60
                                                                                     Income
                                                                                     growth +6%

                                                        50
                                                          2005      2006      2007      2008
Q4 06   Q1 07   Q2 07   Q3 07   Q4 07   Q1 08   Q2 08
Growth +2.3% +3.9% +3.1% +3.6% +2.3% +3.5%
rates




                                                                                                  6
Volume growth supported
by strong capital
Risk-weighted assets (Basel I)              Core capital ratios
Q1 2007 - Q2 2008, SEKbn                    Per cent
600                                         10
            +26%                                          Basel II   Basel I
                               +13%
500
                                             9
400


                                             8
300

200
                                             7
100

                                             6
  0
                                                  Q1   Q2   Q3   Q4   Q1   Q2
      Merchant Banking     Retail Banking
                                                 2007 2007 2007 2007 2008 2008



                                                                                 7
Net liquidity position across maturities
      30 June, SEKbn

250
                                                              SEB is match-
200                                                          funded approx.
                                                                one year
                                                                                                                     SEK 113bn in long-term funding
150
                                                                                                                     raised in H1 2008
                                                                                                                     Examples of transactions:
100
                                                                                                                      April: Euro covered bond at spread
                                                                                                                      of 17 bps
 50
                                                                                                                      May/June: Euro floating rate notes
                                                                                                                      at spread of 48 bps
  0

-50
          1 week

                   2 weeks

                             4 weeks

                                       2 months

                                                  3 months

                                                             4 months

                                                                        5 months

                                                                                   6 months

                                                                                              9 months

                                                                                                         12 months




                                                                                                                                                           8
Cost development


   ~4% total cost growth due to acquisitions, pensions and One IT Roadmap
   SEK 202m in efficiency gains achieved in H1


Cost management program 2007 - 2009
                     Achieved                                    Target
                        SEK -748m                    SEK 1.5 – 2.0bn
                         *


2007                 2008                   2009                    2010
  *




                                                                            9
Cost dynamics
   H1 2008, 2007 & 2006
                                           2008             2007             2006
                                         SEK m Chg yoy    SEK m Chg yoy    SEK m Chg yoy
                                        Jan-Jun     %                %                %
Total cost base reported                 12,472   6.70%   23,194   2.90%   22,537   1.80%

Reported cost increase                     786
Acquisitions (KAM, Factorial, PetroE)      -108   0.90%            0.10%            0.10%
Cost increase excl acquisitions             678   5.80%            2.80%            1.70%

One IT Roadmap                             -222   1.90%

Pensions                                   -170   1.50%
Cost increase excl
acquisitions, OITR, Pensions               286    2.40%            2.80%            1.70%

Baltic cost increase                       -210   1.80%            1.80%            0.80%
Cost increase excl above &
Baltics                                     76    0.70%            1.00%            0.80%




                                                                                            10
Baltic countries:
economic slowdown accelerates
Annual GDP growth
Per cent                                  Estonia                Latvia             Lithuania
15
10
 5
 0
           2002          2003            2004             2005            2006          2007           2008 (f)        2009 (f)
-5
SEB’s credit exposure
                  Estonia                                    Latvia                                    Lithuania
             Corporate           Property Management         Households          Public Administration        Banks
SEKbn                                                                                                                      83
                                                                                                                  79
                                                                                                  76
     50                     51
                  49
                                                                 41        42
                                                  41




  2007    Q1 08       Jun 08
                      Q2 '08                     2007       Q1 08          Q2 08                 2007      Q1 08
                                                                                                            Mar '08 Q2 08
 Dec '07  Mar '08                               Dec '07     Mar '08       Jun '08               Dec '07              Jun '08
                                                                           +3%
                                                +18%        -1%                                 +30%       +3%      +4%
+17%        0%         +2%
 Growth rates in local currency


                                                                                                                                  11
Credit losses increase in Estonia
Group credit exposure          Net credit losses
Total exposure = SEK 1,631bn   Q1 2007 - Q2 2008, SEKm
                               250
                               200
                               150
                  Non-Baltic   100
                    89%         50
                                 0
                                          Estonia          Latvia      Lithuania   SEB Group
                                                                                   excl. Baltics

                               60 days past due in SEB’s portfolio
                               Per cent
                                                    Estonia                  Latvia
                               2.0%
Estonia                        1.5%

  3% Latvia                    1.0%
            Lithuania
        3%                     0.5%
               5%              0.0%
                                      Jun            Dec            Jun       Dec           Jun
                                      2006                          2007                  2008




                                                                                                   12
SEB in Germany
SEB in Germany: Operating profit           Retail Germany: Operating profit
SEKm                                       SEKm
                                                                           136     134
                                                                                          74
                              843                                     60
    807

                                                               -22
                 189

                                                       -226
                                               -244
   H1 07          H2          H1 08            H1 05   H2     H1 06   H2   H1 07   H2    H1 08

            Distribution of Operating profit
            Jan – Jun 2008
                                                              Other
                                         91 %                 business


                             9%

              Retail


                                                                                                 13
Looking ahead

                ●   Strong capital and liquidity
                ●   Top line growth
                ●   Continued investments
                ●   Cost efficiency




                                                   14
15

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Annika Falkengren 2008 Q2 Highlights

  • 1. Annika Falkengren Telephone conference 2008 1
  • 2. Highlights Q2 2008 Income regained strength – second best quarter ever – High business activity – Limited portfolio losses Strong capitalisation and liquidity Higher costs due to continued investments and sales activities Increased credit losses in Estonia 2
  • 3. Key figures Net Interest Income SEB Group SEKbn Q2 Jan-Jun 4.4 4.4 4.2 3.9 3.9 2008 2008 Operating income 10,403 19,205 Of which: Net interest income 4,421 8,644 Net fee and commissions 3,909 7,710 Q2 -07 Q3 -07 Q4 -07 Q1 -08 Q2 -08 Net financial income 1,161 1,000 Operating profit Operating expenses 6,445 12,472 SEKbn 4.6* 4.6 Operating profit 3,507 5,917 3.7 3.5 3.8 Return on Equity, % 15.2 12.4 2.4 Cost / income ratio 0.62 0.65 Credit loss level, % 0.17 0.15 Q2-07 Q3-07 Q4-07 Q1-08 Q2-08 Core capital ratio, % Basel II 8.64 8.64 * Including sales of Baltic properties of SEK 785m 3
  • 4. High business activity – Merchant Banking Merchant Banking: Operating Income Portfolio valuations, SEKm SEKm Accumulated Q2 07 Q1 08 Q2 08 since Q2 08 Q3 07 2,000 Income -66 -2,707 Equity -56 -2,384 Total -122 -5,091 Portfolios 1,000 Q2 08 Available Held for 89% for sale trading 11% (MTM over (MTM over income) equity) 0 TCM excl Corporate GTS CPM Banking 4
  • 5. High business activity – long-term savings Swedish mutual funds: net inflows Life – Total sales Jan-Jun, SEKbn SEKbn 3.8 13.3 12.0 12.0 11.9 10.7 9.7 -3.0 -7.2 -8.5 -13.3 Q1-07 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1-08 Q2 Robur SHB Nordea SEB Others Private Banking – Net sales SEKbn 5.8 4.9 4.1 3.5 2.9 2.6 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2007 2008 5
  • 6. High business activity – Retail Sweden Retail Sweden household mortgages Retail Sweden, SME segment Lending, SEK billions Cash management customers (thousands) 90 207 201 196 189 183 176 173 80 + 5,200 70 60 Income growth +6% 50 2005 2006 2007 2008 Q4 06 Q1 07 Q2 07 Q3 07 Q4 07 Q1 08 Q2 08 Growth +2.3% +3.9% +3.1% +3.6% +2.3% +3.5% rates 6
  • 7. Volume growth supported by strong capital Risk-weighted assets (Basel I) Core capital ratios Q1 2007 - Q2 2008, SEKbn Per cent 600 10 +26% Basel II Basel I +13% 500 9 400 8 300 200 7 100 6 0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Merchant Banking Retail Banking 2007 2007 2007 2007 2008 2008 7
  • 8. Net liquidity position across maturities 30 June, SEKbn 250 SEB is match- 200 funded approx. one year SEK 113bn in long-term funding 150 raised in H1 2008 Examples of transactions: 100 April: Euro covered bond at spread of 17 bps 50 May/June: Euro floating rate notes at spread of 48 bps 0 -50 1 week 2 weeks 4 weeks 2 months 3 months 4 months 5 months 6 months 9 months 12 months 8
  • 9. Cost development ~4% total cost growth due to acquisitions, pensions and One IT Roadmap SEK 202m in efficiency gains achieved in H1 Cost management program 2007 - 2009 Achieved Target SEK -748m SEK 1.5 – 2.0bn * 2007 2008 2009 2010 * 9
  • 10. Cost dynamics H1 2008, 2007 & 2006 2008 2007 2006 SEK m Chg yoy SEK m Chg yoy SEK m Chg yoy Jan-Jun % % % Total cost base reported 12,472 6.70% 23,194 2.90% 22,537 1.80% Reported cost increase 786 Acquisitions (KAM, Factorial, PetroE) -108 0.90% 0.10% 0.10% Cost increase excl acquisitions 678 5.80% 2.80% 1.70% One IT Roadmap -222 1.90% Pensions -170 1.50% Cost increase excl acquisitions, OITR, Pensions 286 2.40% 2.80% 1.70% Baltic cost increase -210 1.80% 1.80% 0.80% Cost increase excl above & Baltics 76 0.70% 1.00% 0.80% 10
  • 11. Baltic countries: economic slowdown accelerates Annual GDP growth Per cent Estonia Latvia Lithuania 15 10 5 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 (f) 2009 (f) -5 SEB’s credit exposure Estonia Latvia Lithuania Corporate Property Management Households Public Administration Banks SEKbn 83 79 76 50 51 49 41 42 41 2007 Q1 08 Jun 08 Q2 '08 2007 Q1 08 Q2 08 2007 Q1 08 Mar '08 Q2 08 Dec '07 Mar '08 Dec '07 Mar '08 Jun '08 Dec '07 Jun '08 +3% +18% -1% +30% +3% +4% +17% 0% +2% Growth rates in local currency 11
  • 12. Credit losses increase in Estonia Group credit exposure Net credit losses Total exposure = SEK 1,631bn Q1 2007 - Q2 2008, SEKm 250 200 150 Non-Baltic 100 89% 50 0 Estonia Latvia Lithuania SEB Group excl. Baltics 60 days past due in SEB’s portfolio Per cent Estonia Latvia 2.0% Estonia 1.5% 3% Latvia 1.0% Lithuania 3% 0.5% 5% 0.0% Jun Dec Jun Dec Jun 2006 2007 2008 12
  • 13. SEB in Germany SEB in Germany: Operating profit Retail Germany: Operating profit SEKm SEKm 136 134 74 843 60 807 -22 189 -226 -244 H1 07 H2 H1 08 H1 05 H2 H1 06 H2 H1 07 H2 H1 08 Distribution of Operating profit Jan – Jun 2008 Other 91 % business 9% Retail 13
  • 14. Looking ahead ● Strong capital and liquidity ● Top line growth ● Continued investments ● Cost efficiency 14
  • 15. 15