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Fundamentals of Project Management
MSc Project Management 2018/2019
Roland.Berberich@xjtlu.edu.cn
Lecture 12 – Project Closure
Agenda
 Project Closure and Termination
 What is Project Success?
 CPD and Professional organisations
 Risk Management 2.0
03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 2
Lecture 12 – Project Closure
Project Closure and Termination
03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 3
Lecture 12 – Project Closure
Project Closure
 Job Done
 Customer Delivery
 Reassignment of Resources
 Lessons Learned
Success?
03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 4
Lecture 12 – Project Closure
Project Termination
No delivery
Project is stopped
Lessons learned
Failure?
03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 5
Lecture 12 – Project Closure
Similarities
• Project ends
• Lessons learned (?)
Differences
• Delivery or not
• Reasons for end
• Strategic Impact
03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 6
Lecture 12 – Project Closure
Decisions, decisions...
Make or break?
Throw good money after bad?
Too big to fail?
Strategic change
Kill to survive
03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 7
Lecture 12 – Project Closure
Decisions, decisions...
Money is not everything
Does not determine ‚Success‘ or ‚Failure‘ (multidimensional)
03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 8
Lecture 12 – Project Closure
• Project Management requires hard choices under
difficult circumstances, often on an ad hoc basis
• „Juggling dirty dishes while riding a bicycle that is on
fire with one hand.“ (me)
03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 9
Lecture 12 – Project Closure
Recommendation: Learn from the Project
1. Did we do the project right?
2. Did we do the right project?
3. What can we do better next time?
03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 10
Lecture 12 – Project Closure
Reality
• Adios, muchachos
• No time to weep
• Corporate (executive) bubbles
03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 11
Lecture 12 – Project Closure
Consequences
Same crap, different day (project)
Business as usual (until reality calls)
Mistakes are repeated until they become fatal
03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 12
Lecture 12 – Project Closure
How to conduct a „Lessons learned“ review?
The end, not the beginning.
Only after all is done we can analyse the whole.
Consequence:
Need to „stay in touch“, continuous professional development
(CPD) and professional 360° review.
03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 13
Lecture 12 – Project Closure
End of Project 1x1 (Closure)
1. Customer acceptance and handover
2. Pay all bills and release resources
3. Review and Evaluation
Orderly disengagement and handover.
Learn from mistakes and update knowledgebase.
03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 14
Lecture 12 – Project Closure
End of Project 1x1 (Termination)
1. Review and Evaluation (negative cost-benefit analysis ?)
2. Customer acceptance (?)
3. Pay all bills and release resources
Damage limitation.
Withdraw as orderly as possible.
Learn from mistakes (?) and update the knowledgebase.
03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 15
Lecture 12 – Project Closure
End of Project Documentation
Hand over customer documentation, manuals etc.
Employment related paperwork.
Review and Lessons learned report.
03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 16
Lecture 12 – Project Success
What is Project Success?
03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 17
Lecture 12 – Project Success
What is Project Success?
Time, Cost & Quality
Customer is happy
„We did not blow it up ...“
„We learned ...“
03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 18
Lecture 12 – Project Success
Success has many dimensions
 Time will tell/Changing perception
 Apple i-pod/pad/mac ... (Apple vs MS), MS 150m $ investment ...
 Appls vs MS -> Apple + MS
 Stakeholders: Control to Collaboartion (Sloan, 2009)
 Nuclear Power (yes, no, yes, no, maybe ... )
 Panama Canal and its enlargement
 Trans-Australian Railway
 ...
03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 19
Lecture 12 – Project Success
What makes you successful?
What makes a Project successful?
It Depends...
03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 20
Lecture 12 – Project Success
Did we do the Project right?
Focusses on whether or not PM practice standards were used
Did we play by the rules?
03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 21
Lecture 12 – Project Success
Did we do the right Project?
Focusses on whether or not Project selection was adequate
Did we play by the rules?
03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 22
Lecture 12 – Project Success
• Sometimes the best plan and action on the most
careful selected Project still lead to failure.
• Change happens – Are our rules still current?
• How do we ensure accuracy of our framework(s)?
03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 23
Lecture 12 – Project Success
Lessons learned review
03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 24
Lecture 12 – Lessons Learned
• Critical assessment on all levels
• Think the unthinkable
• Stop the „This is how we do it“ attitude
• Step outside the comfort zone
03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 25
Lecture 12 – Lessons Learned
External evaluation?
+ Fresh pair of eyes
+ No groupthink
+ Neutral stance (?)
- Not “ours“
- No database
- Costs money
Centralised Evaluation
+ Professional body
+ Fresh pair of eyes
+ Consistent
+ Database
- Groupthink (?)
- Not “ours”
- Elitism (?)
- Costs money
03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 26
Lecture 12 – Lessons Learned
• For complete and neutral feedback the evaluation should be
handled outside the project/business
• Outside evaluator becomes a Stakeholder (!!!)
– (Mutual) Engagement and Collaboration
• Centralised knowledgebase benefits all
 Professional Organisations
 Continuous learning (CPD)
03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 27
Lecture 12 – CPD and Professional
Organisations
CPD and Professional Organisations
03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 28
Lecture 12 – CPD and Professional
Organisations
PMI
Axelos
APM
iPMA
GPM
P3.express
03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 29
Lecture 12 – CPD and Professional
Organisations
What?
 Data, Knowledge and Best Practices
 Award Body for Credentials
 Community
 Publications
 CPD
03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 30
Lecture 12 – CPD and Professional
Organisations
Why?
Times Change – Stay informed
Increasing credibility and employability
Networking
03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 31
Lecture 12 – CPD and Professional
Organisations
Align your interest with the right organisation
Get credentials
03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 32
Lecture 12 – CPD and Professional
Organisations
• Project Management is about People
• Skill > knowledge
• EQ > IQ
03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 33
Lecture 12 – Risky Business
Risk Management 2.0
03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 34
Lecture 12 – Risky Business
What is risk?
03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 35
Lecture 12 – Risky Business
Projects are inherently risky!
Risk management focuses on managing risk events that could
negatively affect the Project!
Basically we ask:
• What could go wrong?
• How bad could it be?
• What can we do?
03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 36
Lecture 12 – Risky Business
Four (4) steps
1. Identify Risks
2. Assess Risks
3. Manage Risks
4. Monitor Risks
This is a continuous process!
03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 37
Lecture 12 – Risky Business
Every event can (potentially) influence the Project.
We only know the truth after looking deeper!
03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 38
Lecture 12 – Risky Business
Risk Identification
03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 39
Lecture 12 – Risky Business
“What could go wrong?“
• Brainstorming
• Thinking outside the box
• Worst Case
 Create Categories
 Be creative
 Remember the past
03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 40
Lecture 12 – Risky Business
Things change
 New Risks develop
 Risk disappears
 We need to rethink
03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 41
Lecture 12 – Risky Business
Risk Assessment
03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 42
Lecture 12 – Risky Business
“How bad can it be?!“ (How much will it cost us)
Quantitative Assessment
Qualitative Assessment
Likeliness x Damage = Impact
 Risk Canvas
03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 43
Lecture 12 – Risky Business
To manage risk and to decide on our
response, we need to 360° assess the risk.
03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 44
Lecture 12 – Risky Business
Risk Management
03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 45
Lecture 12 – Risky Business
What will we do if it happens?
• Avoid
• Mitigate
• Accept
03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 46
Lecture 12 – Risky Business
Risk avoidance
What can we do so it does not happen?
Redundancies
Work around the problem/Change the process
03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 47
Lecture 12 – Risky Business
Risk Mitigation
How can we reduce likeliness or damage of risk event(s)?
Insurance
Change the process
03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 48
Lecture 12 – Risky Business
Accept it
Shit Risk happens!
Out of our hands
Too expensive
Not very likely
We can afford it
03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 49
Lecture 12 – Risky Business
Develop a response
If X then Y
(Risk Response Matrix)
03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 50
Lecture 12 – Risky Business
03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 51
RISK IMPACT
LIKELIHOOD OF
OCCURRENCE
(L, M, H)
DEGREE OF
IMPACT (L,
M, H)
ACTION ON TRIGGER RESPONSIBILITY RESPONSE PLAN
Rain on day of
event
•Low attendance
•Incur financial loss
M H
Weather forecast two
days before event
Laura
•Reserve indoor space now
•Recruit extra volunteers to work around the
clock to set up indoors
•Develop detailed plan
Road construction
•Reduced attendance
•Reduced revenue
H H
Highway Department
publishes
construction schedule
Allison
•Identify alternate routes
•Have signs made
•Post signs along all routes
•Announce in news media
Lecture 12 – Risky Business
Risk Control
03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 52
Lecture 12 – Risky Business
Once more unto the breach.....
(Shakespeare, Henry V, Act III, 1598)
03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 53
Lecture 12 – Risky Business
Change happens
New situation requires new analysis
The project changes and goes forward (learning curve)
Everything could affect the project
For want of a nail.. (Benjamin Franklin, 1758)
• Small issues can have big consequences
• Do not overlook things or neglect them!
03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 54
Lecture 12
Sources
Gray, C.F., Larson, E.W., 2006/2012. Project management: the managerial process,
3.ed./5..ed, McGraw-Hill, Boston.
Project Management Institute (Ed.), 2013. A guide to the project management body of
knowledge (PMBOK guide), Fifth edition. ed. Project Management Institute, Inc,
Newtown Square, Pennsylvania.
Pinto, J.K., 2016. Project management: achieving competitive advantage, Fourth ed.,
global ed. ed. Pearson, Boston, Mass.
03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 55
Thank you
for your attention!

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Project Closure & Success Fundamentals

  • 1. Fundamentals of Project Management MSc Project Management 2018/2019 Roland.Berberich@xjtlu.edu.cn
  • 2. Lecture 12 – Project Closure Agenda  Project Closure and Termination  What is Project Success?  CPD and Professional organisations  Risk Management 2.0 03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 2
  • 3. Lecture 12 – Project Closure Project Closure and Termination 03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 3
  • 4. Lecture 12 – Project Closure Project Closure  Job Done  Customer Delivery  Reassignment of Resources  Lessons Learned Success? 03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 4
  • 5. Lecture 12 – Project Closure Project Termination No delivery Project is stopped Lessons learned Failure? 03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 5
  • 6. Lecture 12 – Project Closure Similarities • Project ends • Lessons learned (?) Differences • Delivery or not • Reasons for end • Strategic Impact 03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 6
  • 7. Lecture 12 – Project Closure Decisions, decisions... Make or break? Throw good money after bad? Too big to fail? Strategic change Kill to survive 03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 7
  • 8. Lecture 12 – Project Closure Decisions, decisions... Money is not everything Does not determine ‚Success‘ or ‚Failure‘ (multidimensional) 03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 8
  • 9. Lecture 12 – Project Closure • Project Management requires hard choices under difficult circumstances, often on an ad hoc basis • „Juggling dirty dishes while riding a bicycle that is on fire with one hand.“ (me) 03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 9
  • 10. Lecture 12 – Project Closure Recommendation: Learn from the Project 1. Did we do the project right? 2. Did we do the right project? 3. What can we do better next time? 03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 10
  • 11. Lecture 12 – Project Closure Reality • Adios, muchachos • No time to weep • Corporate (executive) bubbles 03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 11
  • 12. Lecture 12 – Project Closure Consequences Same crap, different day (project) Business as usual (until reality calls) Mistakes are repeated until they become fatal 03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 12
  • 13. Lecture 12 – Project Closure How to conduct a „Lessons learned“ review? The end, not the beginning. Only after all is done we can analyse the whole. Consequence: Need to „stay in touch“, continuous professional development (CPD) and professional 360° review. 03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 13
  • 14. Lecture 12 – Project Closure End of Project 1x1 (Closure) 1. Customer acceptance and handover 2. Pay all bills and release resources 3. Review and Evaluation Orderly disengagement and handover. Learn from mistakes and update knowledgebase. 03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 14
  • 15. Lecture 12 – Project Closure End of Project 1x1 (Termination) 1. Review and Evaluation (negative cost-benefit analysis ?) 2. Customer acceptance (?) 3. Pay all bills and release resources Damage limitation. Withdraw as orderly as possible. Learn from mistakes (?) and update the knowledgebase. 03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 15
  • 16. Lecture 12 – Project Closure End of Project Documentation Hand over customer documentation, manuals etc. Employment related paperwork. Review and Lessons learned report. 03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 16
  • 17. Lecture 12 – Project Success What is Project Success? 03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 17
  • 18. Lecture 12 – Project Success What is Project Success? Time, Cost & Quality Customer is happy „We did not blow it up ...“ „We learned ...“ 03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 18
  • 19. Lecture 12 – Project Success Success has many dimensions  Time will tell/Changing perception  Apple i-pod/pad/mac ... (Apple vs MS), MS 150m $ investment ...  Appls vs MS -> Apple + MS  Stakeholders: Control to Collaboartion (Sloan, 2009)  Nuclear Power (yes, no, yes, no, maybe ... )  Panama Canal and its enlargement  Trans-Australian Railway  ... 03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 19
  • 20. Lecture 12 – Project Success What makes you successful? What makes a Project successful? It Depends... 03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 20
  • 21. Lecture 12 – Project Success Did we do the Project right? Focusses on whether or not PM practice standards were used Did we play by the rules? 03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 21
  • 22. Lecture 12 – Project Success Did we do the right Project? Focusses on whether or not Project selection was adequate Did we play by the rules? 03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 22
  • 23. Lecture 12 – Project Success • Sometimes the best plan and action on the most careful selected Project still lead to failure. • Change happens – Are our rules still current? • How do we ensure accuracy of our framework(s)? 03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 23
  • 24. Lecture 12 – Project Success Lessons learned review 03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 24
  • 25. Lecture 12 – Lessons Learned • Critical assessment on all levels • Think the unthinkable • Stop the „This is how we do it“ attitude • Step outside the comfort zone 03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 25
  • 26. Lecture 12 – Lessons Learned External evaluation? + Fresh pair of eyes + No groupthink + Neutral stance (?) - Not “ours“ - No database - Costs money Centralised Evaluation + Professional body + Fresh pair of eyes + Consistent + Database - Groupthink (?) - Not “ours” - Elitism (?) - Costs money 03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 26
  • 27. Lecture 12 – Lessons Learned • For complete and neutral feedback the evaluation should be handled outside the project/business • Outside evaluator becomes a Stakeholder (!!!) – (Mutual) Engagement and Collaboration • Centralised knowledgebase benefits all  Professional Organisations  Continuous learning (CPD) 03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 27
  • 28. Lecture 12 – CPD and Professional Organisations CPD and Professional Organisations 03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 28
  • 29. Lecture 12 – CPD and Professional Organisations PMI Axelos APM iPMA GPM P3.express 03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 29
  • 30. Lecture 12 – CPD and Professional Organisations What?  Data, Knowledge and Best Practices  Award Body for Credentials  Community  Publications  CPD 03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 30
  • 31. Lecture 12 – CPD and Professional Organisations Why? Times Change – Stay informed Increasing credibility and employability Networking 03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 31
  • 32. Lecture 12 – CPD and Professional Organisations Align your interest with the right organisation Get credentials 03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 32
  • 33. Lecture 12 – CPD and Professional Organisations • Project Management is about People • Skill > knowledge • EQ > IQ 03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 33
  • 34. Lecture 12 – Risky Business Risk Management 2.0 03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 34
  • 35. Lecture 12 – Risky Business What is risk? 03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 35
  • 36. Lecture 12 – Risky Business Projects are inherently risky! Risk management focuses on managing risk events that could negatively affect the Project! Basically we ask: • What could go wrong? • How bad could it be? • What can we do? 03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 36
  • 37. Lecture 12 – Risky Business Four (4) steps 1. Identify Risks 2. Assess Risks 3. Manage Risks 4. Monitor Risks This is a continuous process! 03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 37
  • 38. Lecture 12 – Risky Business Every event can (potentially) influence the Project. We only know the truth after looking deeper! 03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 38
  • 39. Lecture 12 – Risky Business Risk Identification 03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 39
  • 40. Lecture 12 – Risky Business “What could go wrong?“ • Brainstorming • Thinking outside the box • Worst Case  Create Categories  Be creative  Remember the past 03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 40
  • 41. Lecture 12 – Risky Business Things change  New Risks develop  Risk disappears  We need to rethink 03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 41
  • 42. Lecture 12 – Risky Business Risk Assessment 03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 42
  • 43. Lecture 12 – Risky Business “How bad can it be?!“ (How much will it cost us) Quantitative Assessment Qualitative Assessment Likeliness x Damage = Impact  Risk Canvas 03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 43
  • 44. Lecture 12 – Risky Business To manage risk and to decide on our response, we need to 360° assess the risk. 03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 44
  • 45. Lecture 12 – Risky Business Risk Management 03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 45
  • 46. Lecture 12 – Risky Business What will we do if it happens? • Avoid • Mitigate • Accept 03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 46
  • 47. Lecture 12 – Risky Business Risk avoidance What can we do so it does not happen? Redundancies Work around the problem/Change the process 03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 47
  • 48. Lecture 12 – Risky Business Risk Mitigation How can we reduce likeliness or damage of risk event(s)? Insurance Change the process 03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 48
  • 49. Lecture 12 – Risky Business Accept it Shit Risk happens! Out of our hands Too expensive Not very likely We can afford it 03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 49
  • 50. Lecture 12 – Risky Business Develop a response If X then Y (Risk Response Matrix) 03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 50
  • 51. Lecture 12 – Risky Business 03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 51 RISK IMPACT LIKELIHOOD OF OCCURRENCE (L, M, H) DEGREE OF IMPACT (L, M, H) ACTION ON TRIGGER RESPONSIBILITY RESPONSE PLAN Rain on day of event •Low attendance •Incur financial loss M H Weather forecast two days before event Laura •Reserve indoor space now •Recruit extra volunteers to work around the clock to set up indoors •Develop detailed plan Road construction •Reduced attendance •Reduced revenue H H Highway Department publishes construction schedule Allison •Identify alternate routes •Have signs made •Post signs along all routes •Announce in news media
  • 52. Lecture 12 – Risky Business Risk Control 03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 52
  • 53. Lecture 12 – Risky Business Once more unto the breach..... (Shakespeare, Henry V, Act III, 1598) 03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 53
  • 54. Lecture 12 – Risky Business Change happens New situation requires new analysis The project changes and goes forward (learning curve) Everything could affect the project For want of a nail.. (Benjamin Franklin, 1758) • Small issues can have big consequences • Do not overlook things or neglect them! 03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 54
  • 55. Lecture 12 Sources Gray, C.F., Larson, E.W., 2006/2012. Project management: the managerial process, 3.ed./5..ed, McGraw-Hill, Boston. Project Management Institute (Ed.), 2013. A guide to the project management body of knowledge (PMBOK guide), Fifth edition. ed. Project Management Institute, Inc, Newtown Square, Pennsylvania. Pinto, J.K., 2016. Project management: achieving competitive advantage, Fourth ed., global ed. ed. Pearson, Boston, Mass. 03.10.2019 Fundamentals of Project Management 55
  • 56. Thank you for your attention!