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Chebyshev’s Inequality and Its Applications
8 July 2021
Presented by Mr. Pradip Panda
Statement:
If X is a random variable with mean µ and finite variance σ2,
then for any positive number k,
  2
1 k
k
X
P 

 

  )
1
(
1
, 2
k
k
X
P
or 


 

8 July 2021
Presented by Mr. Pradip Panda
Proof:
X is a continuous random variable with p.d.f. f(x).
 2
2
)
(X
E
X
E 







 dx
x
f
x )
(
)
( 2










k
dx
x
f
x )
(
)
( 2










k
k
dx
x
f
x )
(
)
( 2








k
dx
x
f
x )
(
)
( 2









k
dx
x
f
x )
(
)
( 2








k
dx
x
f
x )
(
)
( 2
8 July 2021
Presented by Mr. Pradip Panda
For the first integration x ≤ µ - kσ or, (x- µ)2 ≥ k2σ2
For the second integration x ≥ µ + kσ or, (x- µ)2 ≥ k2σ2
2
 







k
dx
x
f
k )
(
2
2







k
dx
x
f
k )
(
2
2
 


 k
X
P
k 

 .
2
2
  2
1 k
k
X
P 


 

    1
, 




 


 k
X
P
k
X
P
Since
   



 k
X
P
k
X
P 





 1 )
1
(
1 2
k

8 July 2021
Presented by Mr. Pradip Panda
X is a discrete random variable with p.m.f. f(x).
 2
2
)
(X
E
X
E 


  )
(
2
x
f
x
x
 
 
  )
(
2
x
f
x
k
x







   )
(
2
x
f
x
k
x








  )
(
2
x
f
x
k
x















k
x
x
f
k )
(
2
2
  2
1 k
k
X
P 


 

8 July 2021
Presented by Mr. Pradip Panda
then
c
by
replaced
is
k
If 
  2
2
c
c
X
P 
 


   2
2
1 c
c
X
P
and 
 



  2
)
(
)
( c
X
Var
c
X
E
X
P 



  2
)
(
1
)
( c
X
Var
c
X
E
X
P
and 



8 July 2021
Presented by Mr. Pradip Panda
Problem:
Let f(x) = 5/x6 for x ≥ 1 and 0 otherwise. What bound does Chebyshev`s inequality give for the probability
P(X ≥ 2.5)? For what value of a can you say P(X ≥ a) ≤15%?
Solution:









1
4
4
5
x 4
5




1
5
5
dx
x



1
6
2
2 5
.
)
( dx
x
x
X
E









1
3
3
5
x 3
5




1
4
5
dx
x
)
(
)
(
)
( 2
2
X
E
X
E
X
Var 
 2
)
4
5
(
3
5


48
5
48
75
80






1
6
5
.
)
( dx
x
x
X
E
8 July 2021
Presented by Mr. Pradip Panda
By Chebyshev`s inequality,
  2
1
k
k
X
P 

 

2
1
48
5
4
5
k
k
X
P 








2
1
48
5
4
5
48
5
4
5
k
k
X
P
k
X
P 


















 
5
.
2
, 
X
P
Here
10
25
48
5
4
5
, 
 k
So
4
5
4
5
10
25
48
5



 k
8 July 2021
Presented by Mr. Pradip Panda
15
5
48
4
5


 k
 2
15
1
48
5
*
15
4
5
48
5
*
15
4
5


















 X
P
X
P
   
 2
15
1
0
5
.
2 



 X
P
X
P
 
15
1
5
.
2 

 X
P   0
0 

X
P

8 July 2021
Presented by Mr. Pradip Panda
 
20
3
%
15 

 a
X
P
For
20
3
1
2


k 3
20

 k
20
3
48
5
*
3
20
4
5
48
5
*
3
20
4
5

















 X
P
X
P
20
3
12
5
12
25















 X
P
X
P
12
25

a
8 July 2021
Presented by Mr. Pradip Panda
Problem:
Let f(x) be the uniform distribution on 0 ≤ x ≤ 10 and 0 otherwise. Give a bound using Chebyshev`s for
P(2 ≤ x ≤ 8). Calculate the actual probability. How do they compare?
Solution: 5
2
10
0
)
( 


X
E  
3
25
12
100
12
0
10
)
(
2




X
Var
and
By Chebyshev`s inequality,
2
1
1
3
5
.
5
k
k
X
P 









2
1
1
3
5
5
3
5
5
k
k
X
k
P 












8 July 2021
Presented by Mr. Pradip Panda
5
3
3
2
3
5
5
, 


 k
k
Here
27
25
1
3
5
.
5
3
3
5
3
5
.
5
3
3
5 











 X
P
 
27
2
8
2 


 X
P
8 July 2021
Presented by Mr. Pradip Panda
 
8
2 
 X
P
 
5
3
10
6
10
1
10
1 8
2
8
2



  x
dx
Therefore, actual probability is 3/5 which is much more than
2/27.
8 July 2021
Presented by Mr. Pradip Panda
Problem:
Let f(x) = e.ex for x ≤ -1 and 0 otherwise. Give a bound using Chebyshev`s for P(-4 ≤ x ≤ 0). For what a
P(X ≥ a) ≥ 0.99?
Solution:





1
.
)
( dx
e
x
e
X
E x
1
















    dx
dx
e
x
dx
d
dx
e
x
e x
x
 1




 x
x
e
xe
e
2
1
1




 

ee
ee 8 July 2021
Presented by Mr. Pradip Panda





1
2
2
.
)
( dx
e
x
e
X
E x
1
2
2
















    dx
dx
e
x
dx
d
dx
e
x
e x
x
 1
2
.
2
.





 dx
e
x
e
x
e x
x
5
)
2
(
2
1 



1
4
5
)
(
)
(
)
( 2
2




 X
E
X
E
X
Var
8 July 2021
Presented by Mr. Pradip Panda
  2
1
1
.
)
(
k
k
X
E
X
P 


 
By Chebyshev`s inequality,
  2
1
1
)
2
(
k
k
X
P 




  2
1
1
2
2
k
k
X
k
P 






 If k= 2 is taken then
 
4
3
4
1
1
0
4 




 X
P
8 July 2021
Presented by Mr. Pradip Panda
  2
1
1
2
2
k
k
X
k
P 







.
10
,
99
.
1
1 2
taken
is
k
k
get
To 


  99
.
0
8
12 


 X
P
  99
.
0
12 


 X
P
12


a
8 July 2021
Presented by Mr. Pradip Panda
Generalised Form of Bienayme-Chebyshev’s
Inequality and Its Applications
8 July 2021
Presented by Mr. Pradip Panda
Statement:
If g(X) is a non-negative function of a random variable X, then
for every k > 0,
    k
X
g
E
k
X
g
P )
(
)
( 

8 July 2021
Presented by Mr. Pradip Panda
Proof:
X is a continuous random variable with p.d.f. f(x).
Let S be the set of all X where g(X) ≥ k, i.e., S = {x: g(x) ≥ k}.
 
 



S
k
X
g
P
S
X
P
x
dF
So )
(
)
(
)
(
,
  



 )
(
)
(
)
( x
dF
x
g
X
g
E


S
x
dF
x
g )
(
)
( 

c
S
x
dF
x
g )
(
)
(
8 July 2021
Presented by Mr. Pradip Panda


S
x
dF
x
g )
(
)
( 

S
x
dF
k )
(
   
k
X
g
P
k
x
dF
k
X
g
E
S



  )
(
.
)
(
)
(
   
k
X
g
E
k
X
g
P
So )}
(
{
)
(
, 

8 July 2021
Presented by Mr. Pradip Panda
X is a discrete random variable with p.m.f. f(x).
  

x
x
f
x
g
X
g
E )
(
)
(
)
(

 

c
S
S
x
f
x
g
x
f
x
g )
(
)
(
)
(
)
(


S
x
f
x
g )
(
)
(
 
k
X
g
P
k
x
f
k
S


  )
(
.
)
(
   
k
X
g
E
k
X
g
P
So )}
(
{
)
(
, 

8 July 2021
Presented by Mr. Pradip Panda
    then
k
by
replaced
is
k
and
taken
is
X
X
E
X
X
g
If 2
2
2
2
)
(
)
( 





 
   
2
2
2
2
2
2
}
{ 


 k
X
E
k
X
P 



2
2
2
2
1
k
k




  2
1 k
k
X
P 


 

Which is the Chebyshev’s inequality .
8 July 2021
Presented by Mr. Pradip Panda
0
)
( 
 k
any
for
then
taken
is
X
X
g
If
  k
X
E
k
X
P 

Which is the Markov’s inequality .
then
k
by
replaced
is
k
and
taken
is
X
X
g
If r
r

)
(
  r
r
r
r
k
X
E
k
X
P 

Which is the generalised form of Markov’s
inequality .
8 July 2021
Presented by Mr. Pradip Panda
8 July 2021
Presented by Mr. Pradip Panda

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Chebyshev's Inequality and Applications

  • 1. Chebyshev’s Inequality and Its Applications 8 July 2021 Presented by Mr. Pradip Panda
  • 2. Statement: If X is a random variable with mean µ and finite variance σ2, then for any positive number k,   2 1 k k X P        ) 1 ( 1 , 2 k k X P or       8 July 2021 Presented by Mr. Pradip Panda
  • 3. Proof: X is a continuous random variable with p.d.f. f(x).  2 2 ) (X E X E          dx x f x ) ( ) ( 2           k dx x f x ) ( ) ( 2           k k dx x f x ) ( ) ( 2         k dx x f x ) ( ) ( 2          k dx x f x ) ( ) ( 2         k dx x f x ) ( ) ( 2 8 July 2021 Presented by Mr. Pradip Panda
  • 4. For the first integration x ≤ µ - kσ or, (x- µ)2 ≥ k2σ2 For the second integration x ≥ µ + kσ or, (x- µ)2 ≥ k2σ2 2          k dx x f k ) ( 2 2        k dx x f k ) ( 2 2      k X P k    . 2 2   2 1 k k X P           1 ,           k X P k X P Since         k X P k X P        1 ) 1 ( 1 2 k  8 July 2021 Presented by Mr. Pradip Panda
  • 5. X is a discrete random variable with p.m.f. f(x).  2 2 ) (X E X E      ) ( 2 x f x x       ) ( 2 x f x k x           ) ( 2 x f x k x           ) ( 2 x f x k x                k x x f k ) ( 2 2   2 1 k k X P       8 July 2021 Presented by Mr. Pradip Panda
  • 6. then c by replaced is k If    2 2 c c X P         2 2 1 c c X P and         2 ) ( ) ( c X Var c X E X P       2 ) ( 1 ) ( c X Var c X E X P and     8 July 2021 Presented by Mr. Pradip Panda
  • 7. Problem: Let f(x) = 5/x6 for x ≥ 1 and 0 otherwise. What bound does Chebyshev`s inequality give for the probability P(X ≥ 2.5)? For what value of a can you say P(X ≥ a) ≤15%? Solution:          1 4 4 5 x 4 5     1 5 5 dx x    1 6 2 2 5 . ) ( dx x x X E          1 3 3 5 x 3 5     1 4 5 dx x ) ( ) ( ) ( 2 2 X E X E X Var   2 ) 4 5 ( 3 5   48 5 48 75 80       1 6 5 . ) ( dx x x X E 8 July 2021 Presented by Mr. Pradip Panda
  • 8. By Chebyshev`s inequality,   2 1 k k X P      2 1 48 5 4 5 k k X P          2 1 48 5 4 5 48 5 4 5 k k X P k X P                      5 . 2 ,  X P Here 10 25 48 5 4 5 ,   k So 4 5 4 5 10 25 48 5     k 8 July 2021 Presented by Mr. Pradip Panda
  • 9. 15 5 48 4 5    k  2 15 1 48 5 * 15 4 5 48 5 * 15 4 5                    X P X P      2 15 1 0 5 . 2      X P X P   15 1 5 . 2    X P   0 0   X P  8 July 2021 Presented by Mr. Pradip Panda
  • 10.   20 3 % 15    a X P For 20 3 1 2   k 3 20   k 20 3 48 5 * 3 20 4 5 48 5 * 3 20 4 5                   X P X P 20 3 12 5 12 25                 X P X P 12 25  a 8 July 2021 Presented by Mr. Pradip Panda
  • 11. Problem: Let f(x) be the uniform distribution on 0 ≤ x ≤ 10 and 0 otherwise. Give a bound using Chebyshev`s for P(2 ≤ x ≤ 8). Calculate the actual probability. How do they compare? Solution: 5 2 10 0 ) (    X E   3 25 12 100 12 0 10 ) ( 2     X Var and By Chebyshev`s inequality, 2 1 1 3 5 . 5 k k X P           2 1 1 3 5 5 3 5 5 k k X k P              8 July 2021 Presented by Mr. Pradip Panda
  • 12. 5 3 3 2 3 5 5 ,     k k Here 27 25 1 3 5 . 5 3 3 5 3 5 . 5 3 3 5              X P   27 2 8 2     X P 8 July 2021 Presented by Mr. Pradip Panda
  • 13.   8 2   X P   5 3 10 6 10 1 10 1 8 2 8 2      x dx Therefore, actual probability is 3/5 which is much more than 2/27. 8 July 2021 Presented by Mr. Pradip Panda
  • 14. Problem: Let f(x) = e.ex for x ≤ -1 and 0 otherwise. Give a bound using Chebyshev`s for P(-4 ≤ x ≤ 0). For what a P(X ≥ a) ≥ 0.99? Solution:      1 . ) ( dx e x e X E x 1                     dx dx e x dx d dx e x e x x  1      x x e xe e 2 1 1        ee ee 8 July 2021 Presented by Mr. Pradip Panda
  • 15.      1 2 2 . ) ( dx e x e X E x 1 2 2                     dx dx e x dx d dx e x e x x  1 2 . 2 .       dx e x e x e x x 5 ) 2 ( 2 1     1 4 5 ) ( ) ( ) ( 2 2      X E X E X Var 8 July 2021 Presented by Mr. Pradip Panda
  • 16.   2 1 1 . ) ( k k X E X P      By Chebyshev`s inequality,   2 1 1 ) 2 ( k k X P        2 1 1 2 2 k k X k P         If k= 2 is taken then   4 3 4 1 1 0 4       X P 8 July 2021 Presented by Mr. Pradip Panda
  • 17.   2 1 1 2 2 k k X k P         . 10 , 99 . 1 1 2 taken is k k get To      99 . 0 8 12     X P   99 . 0 12     X P 12   a 8 July 2021 Presented by Mr. Pradip Panda
  • 18. Generalised Form of Bienayme-Chebyshev’s Inequality and Its Applications 8 July 2021 Presented by Mr. Pradip Panda
  • 19. Statement: If g(X) is a non-negative function of a random variable X, then for every k > 0,     k X g E k X g P ) ( ) (   8 July 2021 Presented by Mr. Pradip Panda
  • 20. Proof: X is a continuous random variable with p.d.f. f(x). Let S be the set of all X where g(X) ≥ k, i.e., S = {x: g(x) ≥ k}.        S k X g P S X P x dF So ) ( ) ( ) ( ,        ) ( ) ( ) ( x dF x g X g E   S x dF x g ) ( ) (   c S x dF x g ) ( ) ( 8 July 2021 Presented by Mr. Pradip Panda
  • 21.   S x dF x g ) ( ) (   S x dF k ) (     k X g P k x dF k X g E S      ) ( . ) ( ) (     k X g E k X g P So )} ( { ) ( ,   8 July 2021 Presented by Mr. Pradip Panda
  • 22. X is a discrete random variable with p.m.f. f(x).     x x f x g X g E ) ( ) ( ) (     c S S x f x g x f x g ) ( ) ( ) ( ) (   S x f x g ) ( ) (   k X g P k x f k S     ) ( . ) (     k X g E k X g P So )} ( { ) ( ,   8 July 2021 Presented by Mr. Pradip Panda
  • 23.     then k by replaced is k and taken is X X E X X g If 2 2 2 2 ) ( ) (             2 2 2 2 2 2 } {     k X E k X P     2 2 2 2 1 k k       2 1 k k X P       Which is the Chebyshev’s inequality . 8 July 2021 Presented by Mr. Pradip Panda
  • 24. 0 ) (   k any for then taken is X X g If   k X E k X P   Which is the Markov’s inequality . then k by replaced is k and taken is X X g If r r  ) (   r r r r k X E k X P   Which is the generalised form of Markov’s inequality . 8 July 2021 Presented by Mr. Pradip Panda
  • 25. 8 July 2021 Presented by Mr. Pradip Panda