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Introduction to
Game Theory
Copyright © 2013 PHRONESIS STRATEGIES. All Rights Reserved www.phronesisstrategies.com
Prisoner’s Dilemma
2
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Image Source: Encyclopedia Britannica, Inc. 2006.
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Interesting, but what is
Game Theory?
Copyright © 2013 PHRONESIS STRATEGIES. All Rights Reserved www.phronesisstrategies.com 5
§  Mathematical model of human interactions in situations of conflict and
cooperation
§  Systematic way to understand the behavior of players in situations where their
fortunes are interdependent
§  Centuries old, but it’s current form was given shape by John von Neumann and
Oskar Morgenstern in 1944
§  Moved from being a mathematical construct and founded applications in
Economics, Political science, Pyschology, Philosophy, Biology, Ecology,
Engineering, Computer Science, Sports, International relations, Negotiations,
Trade agreements, Decision making, Businesses etc.
§  John Nash won the Nobel Prize in Economics in 1994 for developing a crucial
concept – “Nash Equilibrium” in non-cooperative games
Copyright © 2013 PHRONESIS STRATEGIES. All Rights Reserved www.phronesisstrategies.com 6
Ok, but how does it
impact Businesses?
Copyright © 2013 PHRONESIS STRATEGIES. All Rights Reserved www.phronesisstrategies.com 7
§  No man is an island
§  Businesses comprise of repetitive interactions
between multiple stakeholders (players)
§  where choices & actions of one player has direct
consequences on others
§  Hence, important to understand the choices available
to you and others, and ‘payoffs’ of such choices
§  Game Theory helps to analyze such choices and devise
our strategies
Copyright © 2013 PHRONESIS STRATEGIES. All Rights Reserved www.phronesisstrategies.com 8
Examples of companies using Game Theory
Copyright © 2013 PHRONESIS STRATEGIES. All Rights Reserved www.phronesisstrategies.com 9
Trans World Airlines – Case Study
§  In 1990s, American Airline Industry plagued by Overcapacity, leading to Price
wars, resulting in inferior service and less satisfied passengers
§  Traditional approaches to Add Value: Tailor product to customer’s needs, Build a
brand, use resources more efficiently, work with suppliers to lower costs etc.
§  In 1993, TWA removed 5 – 40 seats per plane, giving passengers more legroom.
Soon, it occupied 1st place in Customer satisfaction for long haul flights.
§  Other airlines copied this. Excess capacity from industry was removed. Price
wars stopped. Airlines stopped flying empty seats around.
§  Passengers got more legroom. Overall customer satisfaction increased.
Everybody wins.
§  TWA changed the Game
Copyright © 2013 PHRONESIS STRATEGIES. All Rights Reserved www.phronesisstrategies.com 10
Changing the Game
§  Companies can succeed spectacularly without requiring others to fail
§  And they can fail miserably no matter how well they play, if they
make the mistake of playing the wrong game.
§  Most people focus on own position. Primary insight of Game Theory
– Focus on other player’s actions too. Put yourself in shoes and heads
of other players.
§  Look forward and reason backward.
§  Cooperation + Competition = Coopetition (Seeking win-win and
win-lose opportunities both)
Copyright © 2013 PHRONESIS STRATEGIES. All Rights Reserved www.phronesisstrategies.com 11
Great, but global
corporations can do all
this. How does Game
Theory impact SMEs?
Copyright © 2013 PHRONESIS STRATEGIES. All Rights Reserved www.phronesisstrategies.com 12
Publicly smart, not just privately
§  An Indian farmer secured the best corn seeds
§  However, instead of using the seeds himself and growing the best
variety of corn, he distributed the seeds to his neighbors. Why?
§  "The wind picks up pollen from the ripening corn and swirls it from
field to field. If my neighbors grew inferior corn, cross-pollination
would steadily degrade the quality of my corn. If I am to grow good
corn, I must help my neighbors do the same."
§  Result: The farmer’s corn won top awards year after year
Copyright © 2013 PHRONESIS STRATEGIES. All Rights Reserved www.phronesisstrategies.com 13
Fantastic!! Even I want to
explore and use Game Theory
to improve my business.
What should I do?
Copyright © 2013 PHRONESIS STRATEGIES. All Rights Reserved www.phronesisstrategies.com 14
Elements of a Game (PARTS)
Players:
Added Values: what each player
brings to the game. There are ways to
increase your added value or lower
added value of others.
Rules: might arise from law, customs,
contracts etc. Players may be able to
revise or add new rules.
Tactics: Moves to shape the way players
perceive the game and their actions. Can
be used to reduce misperception or create
uncertainty.
Scope: Boundaries of the game. Possible
to expand or shrink those boundaries.
Company
Customers
Suppliers
ComplementorsSubstitutors
Value Net
Copyright © 2013 PHRONESIS STRATEGIES. All Rights Reserved www.phronesisstrategies.com 15
… and explore
References & Bibliography
§  Brandenburger, A. and Nalebuff, B. (1995) The Right Game: Use Game Theory to
Shape Strategy, Harvard Business Review
§  Raghunathan, V. (2007) Games Indians Play: Why We Are the Way We Are,
cited in India Knowledge@Wharton
§  Shor, M. (n.d.) Game Theory & Strategy, Lecture notes, Vanderbuilt University
§  Lindstadt, H. and Muller J. (2010) Making game theory work for managers,
McKinsey Quarterly
§  Watson, J. (2008) Strategy – An introduction to Game Theory. 2nd ed., W.W. Norton & Co.,
New York
§  www.gametheory.net
Copyright © 2013 PHRONESIS STRATEGIES. All Rights Reserved www.phronesisstrategies.com 16
Successful Business Strategy
is about actively shaping the
game you play, not just
playing the game you find
Thank You!!
Contact	
  
Vyom Shah	
  
M: +91-9158852515	
  
E: vyom.shah@phronesisstrategies.com	
  

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Intro to game theory

  • 2. Copyright © 2013 PHRONESIS STRATEGIES. All Rights Reserved www.phronesisstrategies.com Prisoner’s Dilemma 2
  • 3. Copyright © 2013 PHRONESIS STRATEGIES. All Rights Reserved www.phronesisstrategies.com 3 Image Source: Encyclopedia Britannica, Inc. 2006.
  • 4. Copyright © 2013 PHRONESIS STRATEGIES. All Rights Reserved www.phronesisstrategies.com 4 Interesting, but what is Game Theory?
  • 5. Copyright © 2013 PHRONESIS STRATEGIES. All Rights Reserved www.phronesisstrategies.com 5 §  Mathematical model of human interactions in situations of conflict and cooperation §  Systematic way to understand the behavior of players in situations where their fortunes are interdependent §  Centuries old, but it’s current form was given shape by John von Neumann and Oskar Morgenstern in 1944 §  Moved from being a mathematical construct and founded applications in Economics, Political science, Pyschology, Philosophy, Biology, Ecology, Engineering, Computer Science, Sports, International relations, Negotiations, Trade agreements, Decision making, Businesses etc. §  John Nash won the Nobel Prize in Economics in 1994 for developing a crucial concept – “Nash Equilibrium” in non-cooperative games
  • 6. Copyright © 2013 PHRONESIS STRATEGIES. All Rights Reserved www.phronesisstrategies.com 6 Ok, but how does it impact Businesses?
  • 7. Copyright © 2013 PHRONESIS STRATEGIES. All Rights Reserved www.phronesisstrategies.com 7 §  No man is an island §  Businesses comprise of repetitive interactions between multiple stakeholders (players) §  where choices & actions of one player has direct consequences on others §  Hence, important to understand the choices available to you and others, and ‘payoffs’ of such choices §  Game Theory helps to analyze such choices and devise our strategies
  • 8. Copyright © 2013 PHRONESIS STRATEGIES. All Rights Reserved www.phronesisstrategies.com 8 Examples of companies using Game Theory
  • 9. Copyright © 2013 PHRONESIS STRATEGIES. All Rights Reserved www.phronesisstrategies.com 9 Trans World Airlines – Case Study §  In 1990s, American Airline Industry plagued by Overcapacity, leading to Price wars, resulting in inferior service and less satisfied passengers §  Traditional approaches to Add Value: Tailor product to customer’s needs, Build a brand, use resources more efficiently, work with suppliers to lower costs etc. §  In 1993, TWA removed 5 – 40 seats per plane, giving passengers more legroom. Soon, it occupied 1st place in Customer satisfaction for long haul flights. §  Other airlines copied this. Excess capacity from industry was removed. Price wars stopped. Airlines stopped flying empty seats around. §  Passengers got more legroom. Overall customer satisfaction increased. Everybody wins. §  TWA changed the Game
  • 10. Copyright © 2013 PHRONESIS STRATEGIES. All Rights Reserved www.phronesisstrategies.com 10 Changing the Game §  Companies can succeed spectacularly without requiring others to fail §  And they can fail miserably no matter how well they play, if they make the mistake of playing the wrong game. §  Most people focus on own position. Primary insight of Game Theory – Focus on other player’s actions too. Put yourself in shoes and heads of other players. §  Look forward and reason backward. §  Cooperation + Competition = Coopetition (Seeking win-win and win-lose opportunities both)
  • 11. Copyright © 2013 PHRONESIS STRATEGIES. All Rights Reserved www.phronesisstrategies.com 11 Great, but global corporations can do all this. How does Game Theory impact SMEs?
  • 12. Copyright © 2013 PHRONESIS STRATEGIES. All Rights Reserved www.phronesisstrategies.com 12 Publicly smart, not just privately §  An Indian farmer secured the best corn seeds §  However, instead of using the seeds himself and growing the best variety of corn, he distributed the seeds to his neighbors. Why? §  "The wind picks up pollen from the ripening corn and swirls it from field to field. If my neighbors grew inferior corn, cross-pollination would steadily degrade the quality of my corn. If I am to grow good corn, I must help my neighbors do the same." §  Result: The farmer’s corn won top awards year after year
  • 13. Copyright © 2013 PHRONESIS STRATEGIES. All Rights Reserved www.phronesisstrategies.com 13 Fantastic!! Even I want to explore and use Game Theory to improve my business. What should I do?
  • 14. Copyright © 2013 PHRONESIS STRATEGIES. All Rights Reserved www.phronesisstrategies.com 14 Elements of a Game (PARTS) Players: Added Values: what each player brings to the game. There are ways to increase your added value or lower added value of others. Rules: might arise from law, customs, contracts etc. Players may be able to revise or add new rules. Tactics: Moves to shape the way players perceive the game and their actions. Can be used to reduce misperception or create uncertainty. Scope: Boundaries of the game. Possible to expand or shrink those boundaries. Company Customers Suppliers ComplementorsSubstitutors Value Net
  • 15. Copyright © 2013 PHRONESIS STRATEGIES. All Rights Reserved www.phronesisstrategies.com 15 … and explore References & Bibliography §  Brandenburger, A. and Nalebuff, B. (1995) The Right Game: Use Game Theory to Shape Strategy, Harvard Business Review §  Raghunathan, V. (2007) Games Indians Play: Why We Are the Way We Are, cited in India Knowledge@Wharton §  Shor, M. (n.d.) Game Theory & Strategy, Lecture notes, Vanderbuilt University §  Lindstadt, H. and Muller J. (2010) Making game theory work for managers, McKinsey Quarterly §  Watson, J. (2008) Strategy – An introduction to Game Theory. 2nd ed., W.W. Norton & Co., New York §  www.gametheory.net
  • 16. Copyright © 2013 PHRONESIS STRATEGIES. All Rights Reserved www.phronesisstrategies.com 16 Successful Business Strategy is about actively shaping the game you play, not just playing the game you find Thank You!! Contact   Vyom Shah   M: +91-9158852515   E: vyom.shah@phronesisstrategies.com