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Intro to game theory
1.
www.phronesisstrategies.com Introduction to Game Theory
2.
Copyright © 2013
PHRONESIS STRATEGIES. All Rights Reserved www.phronesisstrategies.com Prisoner’s Dilemma 2
3.
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PHRONESIS STRATEGIES. All Rights Reserved www.phronesisstrategies.com 3 Image Source: Encyclopedia Britannica, Inc. 2006.
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PHRONESIS STRATEGIES. All Rights Reserved www.phronesisstrategies.com 4 Interesting, but what is Game Theory?
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PHRONESIS STRATEGIES. All Rights Reserved www.phronesisstrategies.com 5 § Mathematical model of human interactions in situations of conflict and cooperation § Systematic way to understand the behavior of players in situations where their fortunes are interdependent § Centuries old, but it’s current form was given shape by John von Neumann and Oskar Morgenstern in 1944 § Moved from being a mathematical construct and founded applications in Economics, Political science, Pyschology, Philosophy, Biology, Ecology, Engineering, Computer Science, Sports, International relations, Negotiations, Trade agreements, Decision making, Businesses etc. § John Nash won the Nobel Prize in Economics in 1994 for developing a crucial concept – “Nash Equilibrium” in non-cooperative games
6.
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PHRONESIS STRATEGIES. All Rights Reserved www.phronesisstrategies.com 6 Ok, but how does it impact Businesses?
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PHRONESIS STRATEGIES. All Rights Reserved www.phronesisstrategies.com 7 § No man is an island § Businesses comprise of repetitive interactions between multiple stakeholders (players) § where choices & actions of one player has direct consequences on others § Hence, important to understand the choices available to you and others, and ‘payoffs’ of such choices § Game Theory helps to analyze such choices and devise our strategies
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PHRONESIS STRATEGIES. All Rights Reserved www.phronesisstrategies.com 8 Examples of companies using Game Theory
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PHRONESIS STRATEGIES. All Rights Reserved www.phronesisstrategies.com 9 Trans World Airlines – Case Study § In 1990s, American Airline Industry plagued by Overcapacity, leading to Price wars, resulting in inferior service and less satisfied passengers § Traditional approaches to Add Value: Tailor product to customer’s needs, Build a brand, use resources more efficiently, work with suppliers to lower costs etc. § In 1993, TWA removed 5 – 40 seats per plane, giving passengers more legroom. Soon, it occupied 1st place in Customer satisfaction for long haul flights. § Other airlines copied this. Excess capacity from industry was removed. Price wars stopped. Airlines stopped flying empty seats around. § Passengers got more legroom. Overall customer satisfaction increased. Everybody wins. § TWA changed the Game
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PHRONESIS STRATEGIES. All Rights Reserved www.phronesisstrategies.com 10 Changing the Game § Companies can succeed spectacularly without requiring others to fail § And they can fail miserably no matter how well they play, if they make the mistake of playing the wrong game. § Most people focus on own position. Primary insight of Game Theory – Focus on other player’s actions too. Put yourself in shoes and heads of other players. § Look forward and reason backward. § Cooperation + Competition = Coopetition (Seeking win-win and win-lose opportunities both)
11.
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PHRONESIS STRATEGIES. All Rights Reserved www.phronesisstrategies.com 11 Great, but global corporations can do all this. How does Game Theory impact SMEs?
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PHRONESIS STRATEGIES. All Rights Reserved www.phronesisstrategies.com 12 Publicly smart, not just privately § An Indian farmer secured the best corn seeds § However, instead of using the seeds himself and growing the best variety of corn, he distributed the seeds to his neighbors. Why? § "The wind picks up pollen from the ripening corn and swirls it from field to field. If my neighbors grew inferior corn, cross-pollination would steadily degrade the quality of my corn. If I am to grow good corn, I must help my neighbors do the same." § Result: The farmer’s corn won top awards year after year
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PHRONESIS STRATEGIES. All Rights Reserved www.phronesisstrategies.com 13 Fantastic!! Even I want to explore and use Game Theory to improve my business. What should I do?
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PHRONESIS STRATEGIES. All Rights Reserved www.phronesisstrategies.com 14 Elements of a Game (PARTS) Players: Added Values: what each player brings to the game. There are ways to increase your added value or lower added value of others. Rules: might arise from law, customs, contracts etc. Players may be able to revise or add new rules. Tactics: Moves to shape the way players perceive the game and their actions. Can be used to reduce misperception or create uncertainty. Scope: Boundaries of the game. Possible to expand or shrink those boundaries. Company Customers Suppliers ComplementorsSubstitutors Value Net
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PHRONESIS STRATEGIES. All Rights Reserved www.phronesisstrategies.com 15 … and explore References & Bibliography § Brandenburger, A. and Nalebuff, B. (1995) The Right Game: Use Game Theory to Shape Strategy, Harvard Business Review § Raghunathan, V. (2007) Games Indians Play: Why We Are the Way We Are, cited in India Knowledge@Wharton § Shor, M. (n.d.) Game Theory & Strategy, Lecture notes, Vanderbuilt University § Lindstadt, H. and Muller J. (2010) Making game theory work for managers, McKinsey Quarterly § Watson, J. (2008) Strategy – An introduction to Game Theory. 2nd ed., W.W. Norton & Co., New York § www.gametheory.net
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PHRONESIS STRATEGIES. All Rights Reserved www.phronesisstrategies.com 16 Successful Business Strategy is about actively shaping the game you play, not just playing the game you find Thank You!! Contact Vyom Shah M: +91-9158852515 E: vyom.shah@phronesisstrategies.com
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