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POTENTIAL PANDEMIC IN
SOUTH AFRICA
Obumneke Amadi
Outline Of Presentation
• South Africa and pandemics
• Pandemic
• Infectious diseases- trends
• Definition of emerging & re-emerging diseases
• Factors contributing to emergence
• Examples
• Public health response
(CHATURVEDI,2011)
South Africa And Potential Pandemics
Why Potential Pandemics?
Dr. KANUPRIYA CHATURVEDI
What is a pandemic?
• Pandemic – spread of infectious diseases through
large regions of populations; generally from
continent to continent
• Has to meet three conditions:
• Emergence of a disease new to a population
• Agents infect humans, causing serious illness
• Agents spread easily and be sustainable among
humans
(Supra and FranK,2009)
Historical Pandemics
• Bubonic Plague
• Cholera
• Yellow Fever
• Influenza
• Smallpox
• Malaria
(Supra and FranK,2009)
Infectious Disease- Trends
• Urban sanitation, improved housing, personal hygiene, antisepsis & vaccination
• Antibiotics further suppressed morbidity & mortality
• New & Resurgent infectious diseases
Infectious Diseases: A World in Transition
• AIDS
• Avian Influenza
• Ebola
• Cholera
• Typhoid
• Tuberculosis
• Malaria
• Antimicrobial resistance
(CHATURVEDI,2011)
Definition
Emerging infectious disease
Newly identified & previously unknown infectious agents that cause public
health problems either locally or internationally
Re-emerging infectious disease
Infectious agents that have been known for some time, had fallen to such low
levels that they were no longer considered public health problems & are now
showing upward trends in incidence or prevalence worldwide
(CHATURVEDI,2011)
Definition
• Re-emerging infectious disease
Infectious agents that have been known for some time,
had fallen to such low levels that they were no longer
considered public health problems & are now showing
upward trends in incidence or prevalence worldwide
(CHATURVEDI,2011)
Factors Contributing To Emergence
AGENT
• Evolution of pathogenic infectious agents
(microbial adaptation & change)
• Development of resistance to drugs
• Resistance of vectors to pesticides
(CHATURVEDI,2011)
Factors Contributing To Emergence
HOST
• Human demographic change
• Human behaviour (sexual & drug use)
• Human susceptibility to infection
(Immunosuppression)
• Poverty & social inequality
(CHATURVEDI,2011)
Factors Contributing To Emergence
ENVIRONMENT
• Climate & changing ecosystems
• Economic development & Land use (urbanization, deforestation)
• Technology & industry (food processing & handling)
• International travel & commerce
• Breakdown of public health measure (war, unrest, overcrowding)
• Deterioration in surveillance systems (lack of political will)
(CHATURVEDI,2011)
Transmission of Infectious Agent from
Animals to Humans
• >2/3rd
emerging infections originate from animals- wild &
domestic
• Emerging Influenza infections in Humans associated with
Geese, Chickens & Pigs
• Animal displacement in search of food after deforestation/
climate change (Lassa fever)
• Humans themselves penetrate/ modify unpopulated regions-
come closer to animal reservoirs/ vectors (Yellow fever,
Malaria)
(CHATURVEDI,2011)
Climate & Environmental Changes
• Deforestation forces animals into closer human contact- increased
possibility for agents to breach species barrier between animals & humans
• Global warming- spread of Malaria, Dengue, Leishmaniasis, Filariasis
Poverty, Neglect & Weakening of Health Infrastructure
• Poor populations- major reservoir & source of continued transmission
• Poverty- Malnutrition- Severe infectious disease cycle
• Lack of funding, Poor prioritization of health funds, Misplaced in curative
rather than preventive infrastructure, Failure to develop adequate health
delivery systems
(CHATURVEDI,2011)
Uncontrolled Urbanization & Population
Displacement
Uncontrolled Urbanization & Population Displacement
•Growth of densely populated cities- substandard housing, unsafe water, poor
sanitation, overcrowding, indoor air pollution (>10% preventable ill health)
Human Behavior
•Unsafe sexual practices (HIV, Gonorrhea, Syphilis)
•Changes in agricultural & food production patterns- food-borne infectious
agents (E. coli)
•Increased international travel (Influenza)
•Outdoor activity
(CHATURVEDI,2011)
HUMAN
ANIMALS
ENVIRONMENT
VECTORS
Zoonosis
Population
Growth
Mega-cities
Migration
Exploitation
Pollution
Climate change
Vector
proliferation
Vector
resistance
Transmission
Antibiotics
Intensive farming
Food
production
What Is Influenza
• Influenza is a viral infection that affects mainly the nose, throat,
bronchi, and lungs
• Generally lasts for a week, but in the very young, elderly, and
those with serious medical conditions, it can lead to severe
complications and death
(Supra and FranK,2009)
Influenza potential Pandemics(H5N1)
• Since Nov 2003, avian influenza H5N1 in birds affected 60
countries across Asia, Europe, Middle-East & Africa
• >220 million birds killed by AI virus or culled to prevent further
spread
• Majority of human H5N1 infection due to direct contact with
birds infected with virus
(CHATURVEDI,2011)
Important Points to Remember:
There is no danger of getting bird flu from eating chicken. You
cannot get bird flu from properly cooked chicken. Cooking would
kill any virus.
Keep all poultry products properly refrigerated and cook
thoroughly before eating
(Supra and FranK,2009)
H5N1 Avian Influenza(Bird Flu)
Important Points to Remember:
•There is no danger of getting bird flu from eating chicken. You
cannot get bird flu from properly cooked chicken. Cooking
would kill any virus.
•Keep all poultry products properly refrigerated and cook
thoroughly before eating.
(Supra and FranK,2009)
Ways to prevent influenza
• Get a yearly flu vaccination
• Basic flu prevention can include: staying away from people who seem to be sick with the
flu, washing hands constantly, etc.
• Masks also can be worn to prevent inhaling germs, but may not prevent all germs from
entering the body.
(Supra and FranK,2009)
• Key Tasks in Dealing with Emerging Diseases :Public health surveillance & response
systems at national, regional, global level:
• epidemiological,
• Laboratory
• Ecological
(CHATURVEDI,2011)
Key tasks - carried out by whom?
National
Regional
Global
Synergy
References
Emerging & Re-emerging Infectious Diseases. Dr.
KANUPRIYACHATURVEDI
Amanda Supra and Dr. Frank(2009).
Flanders.Pandemic.Georgia CTAE Resource Network
Instructional Resources Office

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Dr. Obumneke Amadi-Onuoha Scripts: Potential Pandemic In South Africa

  • 1. POTENTIAL PANDEMIC IN SOUTH AFRICA Obumneke Amadi
  • 2. Outline Of Presentation • South Africa and pandemics • Pandemic • Infectious diseases- trends • Definition of emerging & re-emerging diseases • Factors contributing to emergence • Examples • Public health response (CHATURVEDI,2011)
  • 3. South Africa And Potential Pandemics Why Potential Pandemics? Dr. KANUPRIYA CHATURVEDI
  • 4. What is a pandemic? • Pandemic – spread of infectious diseases through large regions of populations; generally from continent to continent • Has to meet three conditions: • Emergence of a disease new to a population • Agents infect humans, causing serious illness • Agents spread easily and be sustainable among humans (Supra and FranK,2009)
  • 5. Historical Pandemics • Bubonic Plague • Cholera • Yellow Fever • Influenza • Smallpox • Malaria (Supra and FranK,2009)
  • 6. Infectious Disease- Trends • Urban sanitation, improved housing, personal hygiene, antisepsis & vaccination • Antibiotics further suppressed morbidity & mortality • New & Resurgent infectious diseases Infectious Diseases: A World in Transition • AIDS • Avian Influenza • Ebola • Cholera • Typhoid • Tuberculosis • Malaria • Antimicrobial resistance (CHATURVEDI,2011)
  • 7. Definition Emerging infectious disease Newly identified & previously unknown infectious agents that cause public health problems either locally or internationally Re-emerging infectious disease Infectious agents that have been known for some time, had fallen to such low levels that they were no longer considered public health problems & are now showing upward trends in incidence or prevalence worldwide (CHATURVEDI,2011)
  • 8. Definition • Re-emerging infectious disease Infectious agents that have been known for some time, had fallen to such low levels that they were no longer considered public health problems & are now showing upward trends in incidence or prevalence worldwide (CHATURVEDI,2011)
  • 9. Factors Contributing To Emergence AGENT • Evolution of pathogenic infectious agents (microbial adaptation & change) • Development of resistance to drugs • Resistance of vectors to pesticides (CHATURVEDI,2011)
  • 10. Factors Contributing To Emergence HOST • Human demographic change • Human behaviour (sexual & drug use) • Human susceptibility to infection (Immunosuppression) • Poverty & social inequality (CHATURVEDI,2011)
  • 11. Factors Contributing To Emergence ENVIRONMENT • Climate & changing ecosystems • Economic development & Land use (urbanization, deforestation) • Technology & industry (food processing & handling) • International travel & commerce • Breakdown of public health measure (war, unrest, overcrowding) • Deterioration in surveillance systems (lack of political will) (CHATURVEDI,2011)
  • 12. Transmission of Infectious Agent from Animals to Humans • >2/3rd emerging infections originate from animals- wild & domestic • Emerging Influenza infections in Humans associated with Geese, Chickens & Pigs • Animal displacement in search of food after deforestation/ climate change (Lassa fever) • Humans themselves penetrate/ modify unpopulated regions- come closer to animal reservoirs/ vectors (Yellow fever, Malaria) (CHATURVEDI,2011)
  • 13. Climate & Environmental Changes • Deforestation forces animals into closer human contact- increased possibility for agents to breach species barrier between animals & humans • Global warming- spread of Malaria, Dengue, Leishmaniasis, Filariasis Poverty, Neglect & Weakening of Health Infrastructure • Poor populations- major reservoir & source of continued transmission • Poverty- Malnutrition- Severe infectious disease cycle • Lack of funding, Poor prioritization of health funds, Misplaced in curative rather than preventive infrastructure, Failure to develop adequate health delivery systems (CHATURVEDI,2011)
  • 14. Uncontrolled Urbanization & Population Displacement Uncontrolled Urbanization & Population Displacement •Growth of densely populated cities- substandard housing, unsafe water, poor sanitation, overcrowding, indoor air pollution (>10% preventable ill health) Human Behavior •Unsafe sexual practices (HIV, Gonorrhea, Syphilis) •Changes in agricultural & food production patterns- food-borne infectious agents (E. coli) •Increased international travel (Influenza) •Outdoor activity (CHATURVEDI,2011)
  • 16. What Is Influenza • Influenza is a viral infection that affects mainly the nose, throat, bronchi, and lungs • Generally lasts for a week, but in the very young, elderly, and those with serious medical conditions, it can lead to severe complications and death (Supra and FranK,2009)
  • 17. Influenza potential Pandemics(H5N1) • Since Nov 2003, avian influenza H5N1 in birds affected 60 countries across Asia, Europe, Middle-East & Africa • >220 million birds killed by AI virus or culled to prevent further spread • Majority of human H5N1 infection due to direct contact with birds infected with virus (CHATURVEDI,2011) Important Points to Remember: There is no danger of getting bird flu from eating chicken. You cannot get bird flu from properly cooked chicken. Cooking would kill any virus. Keep all poultry products properly refrigerated and cook thoroughly before eating (Supra and FranK,2009)
  • 18. H5N1 Avian Influenza(Bird Flu) Important Points to Remember: •There is no danger of getting bird flu from eating chicken. You cannot get bird flu from properly cooked chicken. Cooking would kill any virus. •Keep all poultry products properly refrigerated and cook thoroughly before eating. (Supra and FranK,2009)
  • 19. Ways to prevent influenza • Get a yearly flu vaccination • Basic flu prevention can include: staying away from people who seem to be sick with the flu, washing hands constantly, etc. • Masks also can be worn to prevent inhaling germs, but may not prevent all germs from entering the body. (Supra and FranK,2009) • Key Tasks in Dealing with Emerging Diseases :Public health surveillance & response systems at national, regional, global level: • epidemiological, • Laboratory • Ecological (CHATURVEDI,2011)
  • 20. Key tasks - carried out by whom? National Regional Global Synergy
  • 21. References Emerging & Re-emerging Infectious Diseases. Dr. KANUPRIYACHATURVEDI Amanda Supra and Dr. Frank(2009). Flanders.Pandemic.Georgia CTAE Resource Network Instructional Resources Office

Editor's Notes

  1. Infectious diseases keep emerging and re-emerging . It is there fore imperative that while efforts for control of well established communicable disease must continue relentlessly, a regular vigil must be maintained on the behavior of emerging and re- emerging diseases. Since last quarter of 20th century- Unusually large number- Rotavirus, Cryptosporidiosis, HIV/AIDS, Hantaviraus, Lyme disease, Legionellosis, Hepatitis C (CHATURVEDI,2011)
  2. Increasing virulence of microbes like Influenza A virus, which exhibits frequent changes in its antigenic structure giving rise to new strains with endemic and pandemic propensities.
  3. Host factors contributing to emergence are: Mass migration of people provoked by natural and man made disaster with concomitant rehabilitation of displaced people in temporary human settlements under unhygienic conditions. Uninhibited and reckless industrialization leading to migration of labor population from rural to urban areas in unhygienic squatter settlements International travel as a result of trade and tourism contributing to global dispersion of disease agents, disease reservoirs and vectors Changes in lifestyle that promote unhealthy and risk prone behavior patterns affecting food habits and sexual practices. Declining immunity of as a result of HIV infection, which make him vulnerable to a host of infections.
  4. Environmental sanitation characterized by unsafe water supply , improper disposal of solid and liquid waste, poor hygienic practices and congested living conditions all contribute to emergence of infection. Climatic changes resulting from global warming inducing increased surface water evaporation , greater rainfall changes in the direction of bird migration and changes in the habitat of disease vectors are also contributory factors.
  5. Problem of refugees & displaced persons Diarrhoeal & Intestinal parasitic diseases, ARI Lyme disease (B. burgdorferi)- Changes in ecology, increasing deer populations, suburban migration of population
  6. (CHATURVEDI,2011)
  7. Avian influenza (“bird flu”) is an infectious disease of birds caused by type A strains of the influenza virus. The infection can cause a wide spectrum of symptoms in birds, ranging from mild illness, which may pass unnoticed, to a rapidly fatal disease that can cause severe epidemics. Avian influenza viruses do not normally infect humans. However, there have been instances of certain highly pathogenic strains causing severe respiratory disease in humans. In most cases, the people infected had been in close contact with infected poultry or with objects contaminated by their faeces. Nevertheless, there is concern that the virus could mutate to become more easily transmissible between humans, raising the possibility of an influenza pandemic.
  8. though this won’t prevent you from getting a new strain of the virus, it can help reduce the chance of you catching the virus.
  9. (CHATURVEDI,2011)