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Application of Scope, Schedule, Cost Modeling to:
Norbert Chang and Christopher Pickard
3/2/2016
OPEN SITE CONDITIONS
Take Home Messages - Results
Insight 1: Diminishing returns on days reduced for each additional crane
past 2 cranes
Insight 2: Level-by-level construction results in shorter schedule duration
and reduced subsequent cost
Insight 3: Economic tradeoffs for reduced project duration
Baseline vs Optimized Result Comparison
** bold metrics are in comparison to baseline
Criteria Baseline 1 – Crane 2 – Crane 3 – Crane 4 – Crane
Schedule
Duration
60.15 days
(including CIP Topping
& CIP Foundation)
48.42 days
-20% duration
vs baseline
30.28 days
-50% duration
vs baseline
24.34 days
-60% duration
vs baseline
22.36 days
-63% duration
vs baseline
Project Cost $8,231,268.39 $8,145,895.15
-1.04% cost vs
baseline
$8,236,504.85
+.06% cost vs
baseline
$8,321,867.74
+1.10% cost vs
baseline
$8,435,893.74
+2.49% cost vs
baseline
Cost per Day
Reduced
- $(7,278.20)
-.088% of total
baseline cost
$175.31
+.002% of total
baseline cost
$2,383.77
+.03% of total
baseline cost
$3,017.36
+.04% of total
baseline cost
Assumptions
Work Environment:
• Unlimited site access / laydown space
• Optimal weather conditions and site conditions
Schedule Durations:
• Same day grout curing
• Crane movement transition period negligible
• CIP topping slab can begin after 2 level delay
• Materials fabricated and delivered on-time
Costs:
• 1 time mobilization cost per crane and crew
• Direct costs/productivities remain constant
Initial Strategies
Level by Level Construction
Zone division
 By Level – Vertical Zones (1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6)
 Within Level - Horizontal Zones (A, B, C, and D)
Construction Sequence
 4 Primary Tasks
› Vertical Elements (Columns & Shearwalls)
› Horizontal Elements ( Spandrels & Beams)
› Deck Elements (Double and Single Tees)
› CIP Topping (Full level with 1 level duration delay)
Cranes
 1, 2, 3, and 4 Crane scenario
› Constrained by Construction Sequence
Initial Strategies
BASELINE
1 CRANE
2 CRANE
3 CRANE
4 CRANE
60.15 days
53.43 days
33.14 days
36.05 days
32.13 days
6.27 days
-------------
-$85,373.24 Cost Reduction
(-$13,616.14 per day)
17.38 days
-------------
+$90,609.70 Cost Increase
($5,213.45 per day)
2.91 days
-------------
+$85,362.90 Cost Increase
($29,334.33 per day)
1.01 days
-------------
+$114,026 Cost Increase
($112,897.03 per day)
Schedule Durations vs Baseline
Cost Estimates
$8,231,268.39
$8,145,895.15
$8,236,504.85
$8,321,867.74
$8,435,893.74
$8,000,000.00
$8,050,000.00
$8,100,000.00
$8,150,000.00
$8,200,000.00
$8,250,000.00
$8,300,000.00
$8,350,000.00
$8,400,000.00
$8,450,000.00
$8,500,000.00
Baseline 1 Crane 2 Crane 3 Crane 4 Crane
TOTAL PROJECT COST
60.15 days 48.42 days 30.28 days 24.34 days 22.36 days
$1,646,054.59
$1,565,014.94
$1,658,688.98
$1,740,768.68
$1,850,409.07
$1,400,000.00
$1,450,000.00
$1,500,000.00
$1,550,000.00
$1,600,000.00
$1,650,000.00
$1,700,000.00
$1,750,000.00
$1,800,000.00
$1,850,000.00
$1,900,000.00
Baseline 1 Crane 2 Crane 3 Crane 4 Crane
INDIRECT COST COMPARISON
Cost Estimates (cont.)
$4,995.02
$7,307.83
$11,128.11
$-
$2,000.00
$4,000.00
$6,000.00
$8,000.00
$10,000.00
$12,000.00
2 Crane 3 Crane 4 Crane
C O S T P E R D A Y S A V E D
V S
1 - C R A N E
1.11% 2.16% 3.56%
-37%
-50%
-54%-60.00%
-50.00%
-40.00%
-30.00%
-20.00%
-10.00%
0.00%
10.00%
2 Crane 3 Crane 4 Crane
COMPARISON TO 1 -CRANE
Cost Increase Duration Reduction
Take Home Messages Revisited
Insight 1: Diminishing returns on
days reduced for each additional
crane past 2 cranes
Insight 2: Level-by-level
construction results in shorter
schedule duration and reduced
subsequent cost
Insight 3: Economic tradeoffs for
reduced project duration with
additional cranes
20%
50%
60% 63%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
1 Crane 2 Crane 3 Crane 4 Crane
P R O J E C T D U R AT I O N R E D U C T I O N
V S B AS E L I N E
$8.23
$8.15$8.10
$8.20
$8.30
Baseline 1 Crane
Millions
T O T AL C O S T
60.15 48.42
0
50
100
Baseline 1 Crane
T O T AL D U R AT I O N S
( D AY S )
-1.04%
0.06%
1.10%
2.49%
-2.00%
-1.00%
0.00%
1.00%
2.00%
3.00%
1 Crane 2 Crane 3 Crane 4 Crane
T O T AL P R O J E C T C O S T
I N C R E AS E V S B AS E L I N E
**Note: 1 crane shows decrease because of sequencing
switch from bill-boarding to level by level construction
Open Site Approach Overview Revisited
Criteria Baseline 1 – Crane 2 – Crane 3 – Crane 4 – Crane
Schedule
Duration
60.15 days
(including CIP Topping
& CIP Foundation)
48.42 days
-20% duration
vs baseline
30.28 days
-50% duration
vs baseline
24.34 days
-60% duration
vs baseline
22.36 days
-63% duration
vs baseline
Project Cost $8,231,268.39 $8,145,895.15
-1.04% cost vs
baseline
$8,236,504.85
+.06% cost vs
baseline
$8,321,867.74
+1.10% cost vs
baseline
$8,435,893.74
+2.49% cost vs
baseline
Cost per Day
Reduced
- $(7,278.20)
-.088% of total
baseline cost
$175.31
+.002% of total
baseline cost
$2,383.77
+.03% of total
baseline cost
$3,017.36
+.04% of total
baseline cost
** bold metrics are in comparison to baseline
Recommendations for the application of SSC Modeling
What would do the following again…
• Utilize LBS (location based scheduling)
• Consistency between scheduling and cost nomenclature /
categorization
• Adaptable tools / financial models
• Resource load schedule
What we would do the following differently…
• Encompass entire process from pre-fabrication to installation
• Taken into consideration more detailed crane logistics
• Indirect costs could be analyzed in greater detail
Main Personal Lessons Learned
Chris
• LBS / Pull Production System
• 4D modeling / sequencing
• CPM/ resource loaded scheduling
Norbert
• Quick hand analysis / sequencing in the beginning shortens schedule
creation duration
• Earned Value Analysis
• Variability Analysis
Appendix
Which of the course concepts did you use?
• LBS / Pull Production System
• 4D modeling / sequencing
• CPM/ resource loaded scheduling
Which of the course concepts do you wish you could have used?
• Pull Planning outside workflow
• Earned Value Analysis
• Variability Analysis

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Analysis of Cost Optimization Through Crane Quantity

  • 1. Application of Scope, Schedule, Cost Modeling to: Norbert Chang and Christopher Pickard 3/2/2016 OPEN SITE CONDITIONS
  • 2. Take Home Messages - Results Insight 1: Diminishing returns on days reduced for each additional crane past 2 cranes Insight 2: Level-by-level construction results in shorter schedule duration and reduced subsequent cost Insight 3: Economic tradeoffs for reduced project duration
  • 3. Baseline vs Optimized Result Comparison ** bold metrics are in comparison to baseline Criteria Baseline 1 – Crane 2 – Crane 3 – Crane 4 – Crane Schedule Duration 60.15 days (including CIP Topping & CIP Foundation) 48.42 days -20% duration vs baseline 30.28 days -50% duration vs baseline 24.34 days -60% duration vs baseline 22.36 days -63% duration vs baseline Project Cost $8,231,268.39 $8,145,895.15 -1.04% cost vs baseline $8,236,504.85 +.06% cost vs baseline $8,321,867.74 +1.10% cost vs baseline $8,435,893.74 +2.49% cost vs baseline Cost per Day Reduced - $(7,278.20) -.088% of total baseline cost $175.31 +.002% of total baseline cost $2,383.77 +.03% of total baseline cost $3,017.36 +.04% of total baseline cost
  • 4. Assumptions Work Environment: • Unlimited site access / laydown space • Optimal weather conditions and site conditions Schedule Durations: • Same day grout curing • Crane movement transition period negligible • CIP topping slab can begin after 2 level delay • Materials fabricated and delivered on-time Costs: • 1 time mobilization cost per crane and crew • Direct costs/productivities remain constant
  • 5. Initial Strategies Level by Level Construction Zone division  By Level – Vertical Zones (1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6)  Within Level - Horizontal Zones (A, B, C, and D) Construction Sequence  4 Primary Tasks › Vertical Elements (Columns & Shearwalls) › Horizontal Elements ( Spandrels & Beams) › Deck Elements (Double and Single Tees) › CIP Topping (Full level with 1 level duration delay) Cranes  1, 2, 3, and 4 Crane scenario › Constrained by Construction Sequence
  • 7. BASELINE 1 CRANE 2 CRANE 3 CRANE 4 CRANE 60.15 days 53.43 days 33.14 days 36.05 days 32.13 days 6.27 days ------------- -$85,373.24 Cost Reduction (-$13,616.14 per day) 17.38 days ------------- +$90,609.70 Cost Increase ($5,213.45 per day) 2.91 days ------------- +$85,362.90 Cost Increase ($29,334.33 per day) 1.01 days ------------- +$114,026 Cost Increase ($112,897.03 per day) Schedule Durations vs Baseline
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16. Cost Estimates $8,231,268.39 $8,145,895.15 $8,236,504.85 $8,321,867.74 $8,435,893.74 $8,000,000.00 $8,050,000.00 $8,100,000.00 $8,150,000.00 $8,200,000.00 $8,250,000.00 $8,300,000.00 $8,350,000.00 $8,400,000.00 $8,450,000.00 $8,500,000.00 Baseline 1 Crane 2 Crane 3 Crane 4 Crane TOTAL PROJECT COST 60.15 days 48.42 days 30.28 days 24.34 days 22.36 days $1,646,054.59 $1,565,014.94 $1,658,688.98 $1,740,768.68 $1,850,409.07 $1,400,000.00 $1,450,000.00 $1,500,000.00 $1,550,000.00 $1,600,000.00 $1,650,000.00 $1,700,000.00 $1,750,000.00 $1,800,000.00 $1,850,000.00 $1,900,000.00 Baseline 1 Crane 2 Crane 3 Crane 4 Crane INDIRECT COST COMPARISON
  • 17. Cost Estimates (cont.) $4,995.02 $7,307.83 $11,128.11 $- $2,000.00 $4,000.00 $6,000.00 $8,000.00 $10,000.00 $12,000.00 2 Crane 3 Crane 4 Crane C O S T P E R D A Y S A V E D V S 1 - C R A N E 1.11% 2.16% 3.56% -37% -50% -54%-60.00% -50.00% -40.00% -30.00% -20.00% -10.00% 0.00% 10.00% 2 Crane 3 Crane 4 Crane COMPARISON TO 1 -CRANE Cost Increase Duration Reduction
  • 18. Take Home Messages Revisited Insight 1: Diminishing returns on days reduced for each additional crane past 2 cranes Insight 2: Level-by-level construction results in shorter schedule duration and reduced subsequent cost Insight 3: Economic tradeoffs for reduced project duration with additional cranes 20% 50% 60% 63% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 1 Crane 2 Crane 3 Crane 4 Crane P R O J E C T D U R AT I O N R E D U C T I O N V S B AS E L I N E $8.23 $8.15$8.10 $8.20 $8.30 Baseline 1 Crane Millions T O T AL C O S T 60.15 48.42 0 50 100 Baseline 1 Crane T O T AL D U R AT I O N S ( D AY S ) -1.04% 0.06% 1.10% 2.49% -2.00% -1.00% 0.00% 1.00% 2.00% 3.00% 1 Crane 2 Crane 3 Crane 4 Crane T O T AL P R O J E C T C O S T I N C R E AS E V S B AS E L I N E **Note: 1 crane shows decrease because of sequencing switch from bill-boarding to level by level construction
  • 19. Open Site Approach Overview Revisited Criteria Baseline 1 – Crane 2 – Crane 3 – Crane 4 – Crane Schedule Duration 60.15 days (including CIP Topping & CIP Foundation) 48.42 days -20% duration vs baseline 30.28 days -50% duration vs baseline 24.34 days -60% duration vs baseline 22.36 days -63% duration vs baseline Project Cost $8,231,268.39 $8,145,895.15 -1.04% cost vs baseline $8,236,504.85 +.06% cost vs baseline $8,321,867.74 +1.10% cost vs baseline $8,435,893.74 +2.49% cost vs baseline Cost per Day Reduced - $(7,278.20) -.088% of total baseline cost $175.31 +.002% of total baseline cost $2,383.77 +.03% of total baseline cost $3,017.36 +.04% of total baseline cost ** bold metrics are in comparison to baseline
  • 20. Recommendations for the application of SSC Modeling What would do the following again… • Utilize LBS (location based scheduling) • Consistency between scheduling and cost nomenclature / categorization • Adaptable tools / financial models • Resource load schedule What we would do the following differently… • Encompass entire process from pre-fabrication to installation • Taken into consideration more detailed crane logistics • Indirect costs could be analyzed in greater detail
  • 21. Main Personal Lessons Learned Chris • LBS / Pull Production System • 4D modeling / sequencing • CPM/ resource loaded scheduling Norbert • Quick hand analysis / sequencing in the beginning shortens schedule creation duration • Earned Value Analysis • Variability Analysis
  • 22. Appendix Which of the course concepts did you use? • LBS / Pull Production System • 4D modeling / sequencing • CPM/ resource loaded scheduling Which of the course concepts do you wish you could have used? • Pull Planning outside workflow • Earned Value Analysis • Variability Analysis

Editor's Notes

  1. Norbert
  2. Chris
  3. Norbert
  4. Chris
  5. Chris
  6. Norbert
  7. Chris
  8. Chris
  9. Norbert
  10. Norbert
  11. Chris
  12. Norbert 1st half Chris 2nd half