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“…never, never, never give up.”
ARG Educational Program - Confidential
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“LIFE CONSISTS NOT IN HOLDING GOOD CARDS, BUT IN
PLAYING THOSE YOU HOLD WELL .”
JOSH BILLINGS
ARG Educational Program - Confidential
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ARG
ARG Educational Program - Confidential
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 ARG Restructure Partners
 ARG Appraisal Group
 ARG Asset Recovery Group
 ARG Wholesale Group
 ARG Capital Group
Byron Clark 972-335-2090 – byron@argrecovery.com byron@argpartners.com
Bob Morris 972-562-6613 – bob@argrecovery.com
Chris Welsh 214-604-5457 – chris@argpartners.com
Noel Lally 480-313-1588 – noel@argpartners.com
3308 Preston Road, Ste 350-215
Plano, Texas 75093
ARG Recovery and ARG Partners
ARG - Business Sectors Served
ARG Educational Program - Confidential
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 Manufacturing
 Wholesale, Distribution
 Transportation
 Retail
 Direct Mail & Catalogue
 Direct TV and Internet Marketers
 Financial Receivables
 Oil and Gas Services and Operations
ARG - Inventory Appraisal
ARG Educational Program - Confidential
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 Definition of Eligible and Ineligible in consort with Lender
 Inventory Analysis at SKU level - investment and sales.
 Detailed Aging and/or slow moving
 Discussion of Liquidation Process and Channels of Distribution
 Key Personnel
 Customer Profile and Sales Concentrations
 Build-Out, if requested
 Seasonality (Sales and Recovery)
 Accounts Receivable as pertains to Liquidation Process
 Identification of Critical Inventory
 Detail of Liquidation Expenses
 Phasing of Liquidation / Cash Flow
 Monitoring Points (Benchmarking Risk)
Inventory Appraisal – Sales to Inventory
ARG Educational Program - Confidential
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Inventory Sales Inventory Cost Sales
SKUs Ranked by
Sales Cost Wholesale
12 Months
2012 % of Total Cumul % % of Total Cumul %
Top 10 SKUs 1,875,736 2,134,678 67,567,230 16.7% 16.7% 51.6% 51.6%
11-20 2,029,225 2,309,357 20,412,404 18.0% 34.7% 15.6% 67.1%
21-30 1,386,813 1,578,260 10,139,060 12.3% 47.0% 7.7% 74.9%
31-50 1,612,957 1,835,623 11,250,287 14.3% 61.4% 8.6% 83.4%
51-100 1,856,742 2,113,062 12,691,476 16.5% 77.9% 9.7% 93.1%
11-200 1,864,844 2,122,283 7,310,497 16.6% 94.5% 5.6% 98.7%
201-405 592,481 674,272 1,692,947 5.3% 99.7% 1.3% 100.0%
No Sales 30,017 34,161 - 0.3% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0%
Grand Total 11,248,816 12,801,698 131,063,901 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Inventory Appraisal – Weeks Supply on Hand
ARG Educational Program - Confidential
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Inventory Inventory Sales G
Weeks Supply Category Quantity Cost Wholesale 2012 Sales
Weeks
Supply
Less than 1 Week 681,895 436,560 496,827 46,572,262 0.6
1 Week > 3 Weeks 438,009 1,344,220 1,529,788 45,336,471 1.8
3 Weeks > 5 Weeks 97,293 333,425 379,454 5,369,536 3.7
5 Weeks > 10 Weeks 219,682 1,686,275 1,919,063 13,675,987 7.3
10 Weeks > 26 Weeks 422,737 3,943,983 4,488,444 15,586,648 15.0
26 Weeks > 52 Weeks 343,750 2,276,573 2,590,850 3,696,424 36.4
52 Weeks > 104 Weeks 62,019 988,554 1,125,023 749,192 78.1
Over 104 Weeks 28,620 209,208 238,089 77,382 160.0
No Sales 4,772 30,017 34,161 - -
Grand Total 2,298,776 11,248,816 12,801,698 131,063,901 5.1
Inventory Appraisal – Methodology/Cash Flow
ARG Educational Program - Confidential
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Target Sales Wk 1 Wk 2 Wk 3 Wk 4 Wk 5 Wk 6 Wk 7 Wk 8 Wk 9 Wk 10 Total
% of Inventory Sold
Existing Customers 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 5.0% 65.0%
New Customers 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 12.5%
Wholesalers 5.0% 5.0% 2.5% 2.5% 15.0%
Close-Out Specialists 5.0% 2.5% 7.5%
Total 10.0% 10.0% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5% 17.5% 12.5% 2.5% 7.5% 2.5% 100.0%
Wholesale Recovery %
Existing Customers 100.0% 95.0% 90.0% 85.0% 80.0% 75.0% 70.0% 86.2%
New Customers 85.0% 80.0% 75.0% 70.0% 62.0%
Wholesalers 75.0% 70.0% 60.0% 25.0% 62.5%
Close-Out Specialists 25.0% 10.0% 20.0%
Total 100.0% 95.0% 72.0% 85.0% 80.0% 75.0% 70.0% 60.0% 25.0% 10.0% 74.6%
Sales ($000s)
Existing Customers 5,121 4,865 4,609 4,353 4,097 3,841 1,792 28,676
New Customers 1,088 1,024 960 896 3,969
Wholesalers 1,920 1,792 768 320 4,801
Close-Out Specialists 640 128 768
Total Sales 5,121 4,865 4,609 5,441 5,121 6,721 4,481 768 960 128 38,213
ARG - Inventory Appraisal
ARG Educational Program - Confidential
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Why get an inventory appraisal?
 Guidance in setting advance rates based on NOLV
 Define slow moving and other unnecessary inventory
 Define and quantify ineligibles
 Determine seasonality
 Project liquidation expense
 Phasing of liquidation / Cash flow
 Analyze inventory vs. Sales productivity
 Exit strategy
The Appraisal sets the Baselines for “go-forward” monitoring to mitigate risk.
ARG - Inventory Appraisal
ARG Educational Program - Confidential
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Quotes from appraisals
“Any material changes to information provided by the Company such as gross margins, inventory mix, or
pricing could materially affect liquidation values.”
“These appraisals are based on the value of assets as of the date of this report and any changes could have a
significant effect on values.”
“Any change in circumstance relating to the company, the inventory or the market sector may result in material
changes in recoveries.”
“Significant changes in inventory mix (including, but not limited to type, breadth and depth), operating or
promotional strategy from the time of the appraisal can have a significant impact on recovery values.”
ARG - Inventory Appraisal
ARG Educational Program - Confidential
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Further ARG Statement
“This report was based on the condition of the Company at a specific point in time.
Typically as conditions in a company deteriorate, so does the value of the
inventory.”
Benchmarking Risk® is ARG’s proprietary tool that allows lenders to monitor
collateral value in ever-changing companies.
ARG - Inventory Appraisal
ARG Educational Program - Confidential
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Statistical projections regularly benchmarked by ARG
 Changes in Inventory Dollars
 Changes in Mix of Finished Goods
 Changes in Finished Goods vs. Raw Materials
 Changes in Productive SKUs
 Changes in Sales
 Changes in Margin %
Varying Inventory
ARG Educational Program - Confidential
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$000s Inventory Total Net Recovery Incremental
Description Cost Sales $ % Change
Increased 52,995 44,802 35,745 67.5% 2.4%
Increased 50,995 43,111 34,122 66.9% 1.9%
Increased 48,995 41,420 32,499 66.3% 1.3%
Increased 46,995 39,730 30,876 65.7% 0.7%
Current 44,995 38,039 29,253 65.0% 0.0%
Decreased 42,995 36,348 27,630 64.3% -0.8%
Decreased 40,995 34,657 26,006 63.4% -1.6%
Decreased 38,995 32,967 24,383 62.5% -2.5%
Decreased 36,995 31,276 22,760 61.5% -3.5%
Decreased 34,995 29,585 21,137 60.4% -4.6%
Decreased 32,995 27,894 19,514 59.1% -5.9%
Decreased 30,995 26,203 17,891 57.7% -7.3%
Decreased 28,995 24,513 16,267 56.1% -8.9%
Decreased 26,995 22,822 14,644 54.2% -10.8%
Varying Gross Margin
ARG Educational Program - Confidential
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$000s Inventory GM % from Net Recovery Incremental
Cost Wholesale P&L $ % Change
44,995 54,296 17.1% 31,456 69.9% 4.9%
44,995 53,649 16.1% 30,994 68.9% 3.9%
44,995 53,017 15.1% 30,544 67.9% 2.9%
44,995 52,399 14.1% 30,103 66.9% 1.9%
44,995 51,796 13.1% 29,673 65.9% 0.9%
44,995 51,207 12.1% 29,253 65.0% 0.0%
44,995 50,631 11.1% 28,842 64.1% -0.9%
44,995 50,067 10.1% 28,440 63.2% -1.8%
44,995 49,516 9.1% 28,047 62.3% -2.7%
44,995 48,977 8.1% 27,663 61.5% -3.5%
44,995 48,450 7.1% 27,287 60.6% -4.4%
44,995 47,934 6.1% 26,919 59.8% -5.2%
44,995 47,428 5.1% 26,558 59.0% -6.0%
44,995 46,934 4.1% 26,205 58.2% -6.8%
44,995 46,449 3.1% 25,860 57.5% -7.5%
Varying Sales
ARG Educational Program - Confidential
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$000s Inventory Annual Net Recovery Incremental
Cost Wholesale Sales $ % Change
44,995 51,207 684,444 31,196 69.3% 4.3%
44,995 51,207 659,444 30,549 67.9% 2.9%
44,995 51,207 634,444 29,901 66.5% 1.4%
44,995 51,207 609,444 29,253 65.0% 0.0%
44,995 51,207 584,444 28,605 63.6% -1.4%
44,995 51,207 559,444 27,957 62.1% -2.9%
44,995 51,207 534,444 27,309 60.7% -4.3%
44,995 51,207 509,444 26,661 59.3% -5.8%
44,995 51,207 484,444 26,013 57.8% -7.2%
44,995 51,207 459,444 25,365 56.4% -8.6%
44,995 51,207 434,444 24,717 54.9% -10.1%
Changes in Components of Value
ARG Educational Program - Confidential
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Benchmark Original 4 Months Later Difference
Inventory 44,995,000 36,995,000 8,000,000
Gross Margin 12.1% 9.1% 3.0%
TTM Sales 609,444,000 534,444,000 75,000,000
Current NOLV 65.0%
Two Months Later Loss of NOLV
Inventory -3.5%
Gross Margin -2.7%
TTM Sales -4.3%
Total Change -10.5%
Advance Rate Calculation Original
4 Months No
Adjustment
4 Months With
Adjustment
Cost Inventory 44,995,000 36,995,000 36,995,000
NOLV 65.0% 65.0% 54.5%
80% for Advance Rate 52.0% 52.0% 43.6%
Maxim um Inventory Advance 23,397,400 19,237,400 16,129,820
Overadvance 3,107,580
Advance Rate Exposure
Change in NOLV
Changes in Operational Results
ARG - Benchmarking Matrix
ARG Educational Program - Confidential
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Operations Metric
Data From Prior
Appraisal Current Data
Cost Value of Eligible Finished Goods Plus InTransit if applicable 8,253,982 7,500,000
Cost Value of Eligible Raw Materials Plus InTransit if applicable 1,341,736 1,000,000
Gross Margin % from the most recent YTD or FYE P&L. If the gross recovery %s in the
appraisal are estim ated at "cost" rather than "w holesale" or "retail", enter zero in the
Margin. (Changes in Gross Margin % is one of the prim ary indicators of changes in the
value of the inventory.) 25.0% 20.0%
Gross Recovery $ from the most recent appraisal (GOLV$). This is the total Gross
Recovery for both Finished Goods and Raw Materials before expenses. 8,085,232
Percent of Inventory that is Slow Moving. If it is just for Finished Goods, use that % for
entire inventory. This is a required piece of inform ation in m ost lender's appraisal
guidelines and is a m ust in a w ell-prepared appraisal. 20.0% 25.0%
Gross Recovery % on Cost on Slow Moving Inventory. Som e appraisals w ill not have
this %. Estim ate low . A good recom m endation w ould be in the 10% to 15% area. If
this is a true com m odity type item , be m ore generous, 25% to 30%. 15.0%
Fixed Expense $. You should be able to tell the difference betw een the fixed and
variable expenses from the m ost recent appraisal. Fixed is everything except
Variable. Enter Fixed Expense as a $ am ount. Fixed expenses are rents, utilities,
salaries that are not com m ission or production based, insurance, etc. 1,101,774
Variable Expense - The total of the expense %s expressed as a % of GOLV$. These are
typically advertising, credit card, freight, consolidation, m iscellaneous, Liquidation
Fees, anything that is charged as a % of sales. Enter this as a %. 6.5%
Number of weeks estimated in the sale in the last appraisal 12
Net Sales from the Company's most recent TTM or FYE sales 45,000,000 40,000,000
Net Recovery % 67.3%
Potential Net Recovery %* 58.0%
Potential Change* -9.3%
Advance 5,489,230.48 4,191,299.14
Potential Overadvance (1,297,931.34)
ARG - Inventory Appraisal
ARG Educational Program - Confidential
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“Even if you are on the right track, you will get run over if you just sit there.”
Will Rogers
“INSANITY: DOING THE SAME THING OVER AND OVER
AGAIN AND EXPECTING DIFFERENT RESULTS.”
ALBERT EINSTEIN
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ARG Partners
ARG Partners
ARG Educational Program - Confidential
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Viability Analysis / Cash Flow
 Are the company’s current operations and industry viable?
 What changes in sales, operations, and/or expenses need to be made to make
cash flow viable?
 Do collateral and assets viably cover lender’s exposure?
 Can current management formulate viable plan?
 Can current management execute viable plan?
ARG’s Viability Analysis provides a concise plan with borrower’s management and
lender for a fixed cost. With consensus from borrower and lender, ARG will execute
the Viability Analysis plan (i.e. Restructuring Plan).
ARG Partners
ARG Educational Program - Confidential
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Viability Analysis Components:
 Projected balance sheet and P&L projections with quality measures for FCC and
operating and balance sheet leverage.
 Detailed cash flow with sources and uses of cash.
 Collateral, asset, liability, and fixed charge planning.
 Detailed borrowing base with LTV.
 Sales channel analysis, contribution margin by customer, and PM Modeling.
 Summary reporting with Quick Look and industry/company specific metrics such
as sales psf or capacity utilization to fixed costs.
 Executive Summary – Viability Analysis summarized.
ARG’s Goal is to add value, not tell you what you already know.
ARG Partners
ARG Educational Program - Confidential
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Viability Executive Summary and Cash Flow Model
 The executive summary highlights the cash flow model and quantifies the plan of
restructuring.
 Provides a consensus benchmark to manage to, and lender measures for
progress and period to period risk mitigation.
 ARG will execute the plan with agreement from the company and lender to rebuild
the borrower’s viability.
 ARG will rebuild company’s viability for current lender, or will put together a deal
book to get the deal refinanced with a new lender and/or raise capital.
If the consensus is that there is not a strategy to employ and return the borrower to
viability, then other alternatives will be offered.
ARG Partners
ARG Educational Program - Confidential
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“The current quality of balance sheet assets (collateral) determines the future
quality of cash flows.”
Chris Welsh
ARG Partners
ARG Educational Program - Confidential
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Wind Down vs. Liquidation
 Wind downs require operational, cash flow, and asset sale process expertise in order to
maximize asset returns, whereas a liquidation only requires asset sale process
expertise.
 How assets are sold in distressed situations really does matter, regardless whether it is
a wind down or a liquidation.
 If ARG has completed a Viability Analysis, then the wind down and/or liquidation plan
and cash flow model to execute and quantify these plans is already complete.
 If no Viability Analysis has been completed, then ARG will complete one as a means to
maximize returns on asset sales and advise as to whether a wind down or liquidation is
best.
ARG Partners
ARG Educational Program - Confidential
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Communications between you and the restructuring firm is critical.
 Restructuring firms can be engaged by the Client or Lender; however, the lender has
the right to review management’s information in a timely manner.
 Scope and planning of client engagement is critical for the success of advisor, client,
and lender.
 Majority of client management does not want to share the true nature of their issues;
however, in order for any planning to be effective, identification and communication of
client issues are the initial steps in plan execution. Misnomers need to be set aside and
the business of correction addressed and communicated.
 Lender should insist that advisor-client agreements contain language that allows
advisor-lender communications.
ARG Partners
ARG Educational Program - Confidential
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What if there is fraud or malfeasance?
 If there is fraud or malfeasance, the effectiveness of asset recovery or even restructuring
still needs to be considered.
 Current management actions or lack of action should not be the sole determining factor
of asset value and/or plan viability.
 Depending on the level of fraud and/or malfeasance and management/ownership’s
reactions to such issues, much value can be preserved as an on-going entity or in an
orderly wind-down.
 The importance of having good information under these sorts of issues is critical in
moving forward.
 Fraud and malfeasance mitigation and plan execution.
 Plan execution preserves collateral and potential on-going viability.
ARG Partners
ARG Educational Program - Confidential
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Oil and Gas Services and Operations:
 Managing Company Growth
 Managing Management Expectations
 Appraisals Inventory, Raw materials, Machinery and Equip., Tools, Rolling Stock, etc.
 Manage Cash Flow
 Life style financing
 Payroll
 Margins
 Royalty payment
 Managing A/R
 Managing A/P
 Liens
ARG Partners Expertise
ARG Educational Program - Confidential
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Wind Down Strategies (Partial and Full)
 Out of Court – sometimes just a portion of the company needs
working out.
 Assignment for Benefit of Creditors
 Liquidating 11
 Chapter 7
Stakeholders and Creditors
 Ongoing communications processes with key stakeholders
 Collateral protectionand marshalling
 Managing creditor communication and negotiation
 Capital Markets communication and negotiations
Court Based Resolution
 Pre-bankruptcy planning (if required) – 13 Week Cash Flow
 Monitor development and treatment of the Bank Group relative to
Plan of Reorganization and Disclosure Statement
 Assisting with bankruptcy case administration
Constantly Reanalyze Viability
 Weekly Cash Flow includes Borrowing Base viability
 Liquidation values updated weekly
 Weekly revision on appropriateness of Go-Forward Decision
Other Services and Expertise
 Manage work-out,wind-down or liquidation process
 Monitor development and treatment of the Bank Group relative to
Plan of Reorganization and Disclosure Statement
 DIP or cash-collateralbudgeting
 Key employee retention and critical-vendor plans
 Marketing of all fixed assets, inventory, and intellectualproperty
 Manage 363 sale or out-of-court sales
 Bankruptcy schedules and operating reports
 Litigation support and expert-witness testimony
 Preference analysis and recovery
 Manage insurance, security, employee issues, etc.
 Manage the collection of Accounts Receivable
 Manage and coordinate related professionals
 Assistance with final accounting and tax issues
ARG - Asset Recovery Group
ARG Educational Program - Confidential
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ARG identifies underperforming or non-core inventory from discontinued operations and
sells it at the highest and best price. ARG Asset Recovery Group prepares a sales book and
applicable asset listings and other marketing information and contacts multiple buyers in
order to maximize the recovery for the borrower and/or lender.
 If the borrower can not sell the underperforming inventory in normal course, then why should the
lender expect to be able to sell it?
 Selling inventory that is no longer eligible for the borrowing base can provide needed liquidity for
borrowers with limited liquidity.
 No upfront costs to borrower for ARG Asset Recovery Group to sell inventory.
 Asset Recovery Group is compensated on a success basis once the inventory is sold.
Asset Recovery Group – Receiver/Assignee
ARG Educational Program - Confidential
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ARG will act as the Receiver or Assignee on behalf of the estate at the Lender’s recommendation.
 Areas of concentration that would lend themselves to maximizing returns:
 Ability to act quickly
 Asset Valuation
 Isolating problem assets
 Identifying assets or business divisions that are salvageable and salable.
 Projecting Cash Flows for ongoing units
 Providing interim management
 Large domestic networking base
 Contacts in all asset areas on a nationwide basis.
 Real world experience in management, operations and finance
 Partnered Legal Team to insure quick efficient enactment
 Approaching each project individually and from a common sense perspective
ARG – Commodity Pricing Summary
ARG Educational Program - Confidential
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Commodity Type Specific Source Type of Quote 3/ 11 6/ 11 9/ 11 12/ 11 3/ 12 6/ 12 9/ 12 12/ 12 3/ 13 4/ 13 5/ 13
30 Day
Chg%
12 Mo
Chg%
Metal Steel - US Hot Rolled Band Steel Benchm arker US$/ m et ton 970 834 767 802 763 670 692 702 678 660 637 -3.5% -11.0%
Cold Rolled Coil Steel Benchm arker US$/ m et ton 1067 941 876 915 863 779 804 814 787 772 749 -3.0% -9.0%
Scrap Steel Benchm arker US$/ m et ton 439 433 435 458 428 359 362 375 387 353 353 0.0% -14.3%
Steel - China Hot Rolled Band Steel Benchm arker US$/ m et ton 606 620 617 558 582 546 475 525 529 511 484 -5.3% -12.3%
Cold Rolled Coil Steel Benchm arker US$/ m et ton 717 708 729 689 691 644 591 620 645 640 628 -1.9% -5.3%
Rebar Steel Benchm arker US$/ m et ton 596 633 624 561 574 534 484 488 494 485 477 -1.6% -10.8%
Steel, Galvanized Cold Rolled Coil USA E. + $.25/ lb est. galvanizing cost US$/ lb 0.73 0.68 0.65 0.65 0.64 0.60 0.61 0.62 0.61 0.60 0.59 -1.7% -5.4%
Aluminum LME m etalprices.com US$/ lb 1.18 1.14 1.00 0.89 0.95 0.83 0.95 0.93 0.85 0.84 0.85 1.6% -5.0%
Aluminum Alloy m etalprices.com US$/ lb 1.08 1.06 1.02 0.89 0.92 0.79 0.89 0.84 0.82 0.81 0.82 0.8% -4.8%
Aluminum UBC m etalprices.com US$/ lb 0.96 0.91 0.78 0.72 0.80 0.71 0.82 0.81 0.77 0.79 0.79 0.6% 5.0%
Copper LME m etalprices.com US$/ lb 4.26 4.22 3.23 3.43 3.85 3.45 3.75 3.59 3.44 3.21 3.28 2.4% -3.7%
Gold NYC m etalprices.com US$/ ozt 1439 1502 1620 1566 1669 1604 1771 1675 1595 1472 1393 -5.4% -10.9%
Lead LME m etalprices.com US$/ lb 1.23 1.19 0.93 0.90 0.92 0.81 1.04 1.06 0.95 0.92 0.99 8.6% 14.1%
Molybdenum Oxide m etalprices.com US$/ lb 16.65 15.63 14.15 13.38 14.05 13.00 11.38 11.40 10.88 10.95 11.10 1.4% -20.0%
Molybdenum Unit Contained in 316 Steel m etalprices.com US$/ lb 13.63 12.63 11.50 11.25 11.38 11.13 9.63 8.80 9.75 8.63 8.13 -5.8% -28.6%
Nickel LME m etalprices.com US$/ lb 11.83 10.49 8.30 8.29 7.91 7.47 8.40 7.75 7.50 6.89 6.64 -3.7% -10.6%
Silver NYC m etalprices.com US$/ ozt 37.87 34.81 30.04 27.88 32.47 27.58 34.52 30.17 28.29 24.14 22.23 -7.9% -19.9%
Tin LME m etalprices.com US$/ lb 14.35 11.75 9.46 8.60 10.52 8.52 9.82 10.66 10.50 9.43 9.45 0.1% 5.6%
Titanium Ingot m etalprices.com US$/ lb 12.13 12.38 12.63 12.00 11.50 11.25 10.63 10.38 10.25 10.25 10.13 -1.2% -10.0%
Titanium Scrap Grade 1 m etalprices.com US$/ lb 4.40 4.50 4.70 4.15 3.95 3.05 2.75 2.55 2.23 2.03 1.83 -9.9% -50.0%
Tungsten Pure Chinese Bar m etalprices.com US$/ lb 26.00 30.63 31.25 30.13 28.75 27.50 25.50 24.00 24.50 26.00 26.00 0.0% -7.1%
Zinc LME m etalprices.com US$/ lb 1.05 1.05 0.86 0.83 0.91 0.84 0.95 0.92 0.85 0.84 0.85 1.5% -0.9%
Plastic HDPE Injection Grade plasticsnew s.com ¢/ lb avg 91.0 99.0 93.0 88.0 99.0 85.0 90.0 88.0 97.0 97.0 97.0 0.0% 5.4%
LDPE Extrusion Film liner plasticsnew s.com ¢/ lb avg 107.5 115.5 106.5 101.5 112.5 98.5 103.5 101.5 106.5 110.5 110.5 0.0% 4.7%
LLDPE Butene-1 com onom er Inj GP plasticsnew s.com ¢/ lb avg 89.0 97.0 91.0 86.0 97.0 83.0 88.0 86.0 91.0 91.0 91.0 0.0% 1.1%
PET Bottle resin plasticsnew s.com ¢/ lb avg 94.0 103.0 108.0 101.0 100.0 91.0 95.0 104.0 106.0 106.0 99.0 -6.6% 1.0%
PVC Suspension resin Pipe grade plasticsnew s.com ¢/ lb avg 89.5 100.5 100.5 96.5 99.5 96.5 99.5 102.5 109.5 109.5 109.5 0.0% 7.9%
PVC Dispersion resin Hom opolym erplasticsnew s.com ¢/ lb avg 74.0 102.0 102.0 102.0 102.0 102.0 102.0 102.0 102.0 102.0 102.0 0.0% 0.0%
Polypropylene Hom opolym er Injection plasticsnew s.com ¢/ lb avg 119.5 124.5 120.5 100.5 120.5 95.5 93.5 100.5 116.5 116.5 105.5 -9.4% -4.5%
Wood Birch Northern Green 4/ 4 FAS Hardw ood Market Report 1155 1130 1125 1125 1125 1125 1125 1125 1125 1125 1125 0.0% 0.0%
Hard Maple #1&2 white Northern Green 4/ 4 FAS Hardw ood Market Report $/ m bf 1225 1250 1320 1410 1430 1475 1475 1500 1725 1800 1825 1.4% 23.7%
Red Oak Northern Green 4/ 4 FAS Hardw ood Market Report $/ m bf 985 985 900 835 835 870 870 895 1005 1030 1100 6.8% 26.4%
White Oak Northern Green 4/ 4 FAS Hardw ood Market Report $/ m bf 1020 1020 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000 1050 5.0% 5.0%
Walnut Appalachian Green 4/ 4 FAS Hardw ood Market Report $/ m bf 2130 2155 2155 2070 2000 1910 1795 1795 1795 1795 1795 0.0% -7.2%
KD Western S-P-F #2&Btr 2x4 R/ L Mill price random lengths.com $/ m bf 284 237 240 261 279 283 285 388 408 355 298 -16.1% -3.6%
KD Eastern S-P-F #1&2 2x4 R/ L, delivered random lengths.com $/ m bf 370 329 325 343 374 385 385 471 503 463 409 -11.7% 0.7%
Southern Pine (Westside) #2 2x4 R/ L random lengths.com $/ m bf 273 257 268 288 309 328 383 430 477 445 360 -19.1% 0.0%
Ponderosa Pine (Inland) #2&Btr 1x12 R/ L random lengths.com $/ m bf 645 590 575 580 650 550 487 500 630 625 600 -4.0% 1.7%
Plywood Southern 15/ 32-inch 3-ply random lengths.com $/ m bf 338 298 348 329 385 392 418 428 500 513 430 -16.2% 9.4%
Western Red Cedar Coast Mills KD T&G 1x6 Random Lengths $/ m bf 1225 1200 1150 1125 1175 1225 1225 1260 1310 1310 1345 2.7% 12.1%
Western Red Cedar Inland Mills #3&Btr 1x10 Random Lengths $/ m bf 1215 1230 1240 1240 1220 1220 1220 1230 1260 1260 1265 0.4% 3.7%
Commodity Pricing Summary
Compiled by ARG Recovery LLC - as of May 31, 2013
Ad d itiona l Commod itiesw ill b e a d d ed up on req uest.
ARG – Commodity Pricing Summary
ARG Educational Program - Confidential
32
Commodity Type Specific Source Type of Quote 3/ 11 6/ 11 9/ 11 12/ 11 3/ 12 6/ 12 9/ 12 12/ 12 3/ 13 4/ 13 5/ 13
30 Day
Chg%
12 Mo
Chg%
Paper Pulp Benchmark Index NBSK in the U.S. paperage.com US$/ m et ton 985 1,035 971 890 885 899 833 870 901 919 930 1.2% 3.3%
Newsprint Benchmark Index Std. New sprint 30lb US paperage.com US$/ m et ton 627 624 623 624 623 621 620 620 608 604 600 -0.6% -3.5%
Paper Benchmark Index Coated WF 100g reels paperage.com Euro/ m et ton 716 718 710 717 708 706 704 697 676 679 682 0.5% -4.0%
Paper Benchmark Index A4 B-copy 80g sheets paperage.com Euro/ m et ton 862 875 875 869 859 860 866 862 849 849 850 0.1% -1.5%
Packaging Benchmark Index Kraftliner, brow n paperage.com Euro/ m et ton 597 581 568 535 521 540 556 584 580 586 590 0.6% 10.5%
Packaging Benchmark Index RB fluting paperage.com Euro/ m et ton 445 479 451 394 412 396 377 386 402 404 407 0.8% -2.5%
Scrap Mixed paper LOW Loose, at generator's dock The Paper Stock Report $/ short ton 40 40 35 10 10 15 0 0 0 0 0 -100.0%
Paper Mixed paper HIGH Loose, at generator's dock The Paper Stock Report $/ short ton 110 110 95 50 50 50 0 10 25 25 25 0.0% -50.0%
Corrugated containers LOW Loose, delivered to dealer The Paper Stock Report $/ short ton 75 70 100 45 45 50 0 5 15 15 15 0.0% -70.0%
Corrugated containers HIGH Loose, delivered to dealer The Paper Stock Report $/ short ton 145 145 170 90 90 90 40 65 75 75 75 0.0% -16.7%
Dairy All Milk average, U.S. USDA NASS $/ cw t 20.40 21.20 21.10 19.80 17.20 16.20 19.60 20.90 19.10 19.50 19.80 1.5% 22.2%
Butter average, U.S. USDA Agricultural Mkt Svc $/ lb 2.06 2.13 1.99 1.61 1.43 1.40 1.83 1.60 1.61 1.68 1.65 -1.7% 20.7%
Nonfat Dry Milk average, U.S. USDA Agricultural Mkt Svc $/ lb 1.49 1.65 1.54 1.42 1.33 1.10 1.38 1.54 1.52 1.53 1.64 6.9% 41.8%
Cheddar Cheese average, U.S. USDA Agricultural Mkt Svc $/ lb 1.97 1.90 1.86 1.81 1.52 1.58 1.86 1.79 1.65 1.73 1.83 5.6% 20.1%
Dry Whey average, U.S. USDA Agricultural Mkt Svc $/ lb 0.46 0.52 0.59 0.65 0.61 0.50 0.58 0.66 0.60 0.57 0.58 0.4% 7.0%
Cream Fluid cream butterfat avg Urner Barry $/ lb 2.58 2.77 2.21 1.71 1.75 2.12 2.39 1.32 1.89 2.17 1.89 -13.1% 10.6%
Other AG Sugar Free m arket Coffee,Sugar, Coc oa Exc hg (indexmundi.c om)UScents/ lb 25.90 24.92 26.64 23.42 23.79 20.10 20.21 19.20 18.34 17.66 17.08 -3.3% -15.7%
Cocoa Beans Int'nl Coc oa Org (indexmundi.c om) US$/ m et ton 3,393 3,016 2,874 2,201 2,359 2,266 2,620 2,432 2,153 2,295 2,346 2.2% 11.0%
Soybeans USNo. 2 Yellow USDA Market News (indexmundi.c om)US$/ m et ton 499 500 491 420 496 522 615 535 536 518 542 4.7% 4.1%
Cotton Upland cotton USDA Market News (indexmundi.c om)UScents/ lb 229.67 160.65 116.65 95.45 99.52 82.18 84.15 83.37 94.45 92.54 92.62 0.1% 4.6%
Yellow Grease Central US USDA Liv estoc k & Grain Mkt News $/ cw t 45.00 46.50 43.25 33.50 39.50 36.00 35.75 36.50 36.00 34.50 n/ a
Eggs Midw est shell w hite large Urner Barry $/ dozen 1.23 1.11 1.28 1.50 1.38 1.09 1.44 1.26 1.48 1.02 1.15 12.7% 5.5%
Seafood Shell-On Headless Shrimp
Farm Raised Asian White 16-20 Urner Barry $/ lb 6.48 6.35 5.78 5.65 5.15 4.95 4.35 4.65 5.90 6.05 6.05 0.0% 17.5%
26-30 Urner Barry $/ lb 4.55 4.50 4.50 4.40 4.30 4.10 3.85 4.15 5.15 5.25 5.10 -2.9% 20.0%
36-40 Urner Barry $/ lb 3.75 3.75 3.80 3.75 3.75 3.70 3.65 3.65 4.15 4.30 4.30 0.0% 14.7%
41-50 Urner Barry $/ lb 3.70 3.65 3.65 3.65 n/ a n/ a 3.45 3.45 3.75 4.20 4.20 0.0%
Average 4.62 4.56 4.43 4.36 4.40 4.25 3.83 3.98 4.74 4.95 4.91 -0.8% 12.1%
Wild Gulf White <12 Urner Barry $/ lb 10.35 10.75 9.80 10.20 10.65 10.10 10.15 11.10 11.90 11.95 12.35 3.3% 16.5%
<15 Urner Barry $/ lb 10.00 9.50 8.20 8.15 7.65 6.50 6.45 7.10 7.55 7.65 8.20 7.2% 21.5%
16-20 Urner Barry $/ lb 7.75 6.25 6.35 6.65 6.50 5.80 5.75 6.15 6.50 6.70 7.20 7.5% 17.1%
26-30 Urner Barry $/ lb 5.65 5.15 5.40 5.75 5.85 5.20 5.20 5.30 5.60 5.65 6.05 7.1% 10.0%
36-40 Urner Barry $/ lb 3.85 3.85 4.25 4.35 4.60 4.50 4.70 4.75 4.90 4.95 5.10 3.0% 10.9%
41-50 Urner Barry $/ lb 3.65 3.55 3.75 3.90 3.90 3.90 3.95 4.05 4.15 4.20 4.40 4.8% 10.0%
Average 6.88 6.51 6.29 6.50 6.53 6.00 6.03 6.41 6.77 6.85 7.22 5.4% 15.2%
Crab Meat Thai/ Indo Pasteurized BackfinUrner Barry 16 oz. 10.88 10.63 10.63 10.63 10.63 10.63 0.0% -2.3%
Thai/ Indo Pasteurized Claw Urner Barry 16 oz. 7.38 6.75 7.00 6.75 6.75 6.75 0.0% -8.5%
Salmon
Farm ed Fresh Whole-Seattle 6-8 Urner Barry $/ lb 3.45 2.75 2.45 2.40 2.38 2.08 1.80 2.08 3.23 2.95 3.35 13.6% 34.0%
12-14 Urner Barry $/ lb 4.10 3.25 2.95 2.45 2.53 2.58 2.13 2.30 3.33 3.40 3.80 11.8% 43.4%
Wild Coho Gillnet Frozen 4-6 Urner Barry $/ lb 2.65 2.65 2.78 2.78 2.78 2.78 2.78 2.78 2.78 2.78 2.78 0.0% 0.0%
6-9 Urner Barry $/ lb 2.88 2.88 2.95 3.15 3.15 3.15 3.15 3.15 3.15 3.15 3.15 0.0% 0.0%
Wild Sockeye Gillnet Frozen 4-6 Urner Barry $/ lb 3.30 3.30 3.53 3.53 3.53 3.53 3.53 3.68 3.68 4.38 4.38 0.0% 24.1%
6-9 Urner Barry $/ lb 3.40 3.40 3.73 3.73 3.73 3.73 3.73 3.83 3.83 4.48 4.48 0.0% 20.1%
Swai (Striped Pangasius) Bnls & Sknls Filet, Vietnam Urner Barry $/ lb up to 11 oz. 1.85 1.80 1.70 1.80 1.80 1.80 0.0% -2.7%
Tuna Yellow fin No. 1 Urner Barry $/ lb 8.13 10.13 9.25 8.38 9.75 7.63 -21.7% 0.0%
60 lbs. & Up Yellow fin No. 2 Urner Barry $/ lb 4.13 5.75 5.00 5.63 5.75 4.25 -26.1% 0.0%
Prices will vary from one data source to the other depending upon the demographics of the sample and on the specifics on the request. An example is that some price reports depend more heavily on asked and others on bid.
Also some reports are more heavily focused on futures pricing. The primary observation to be made is the general trending of the prices. Regardless of the sample or specifics, the trends should mirror each other.
Disclaimer - ARG Recovery did not validate or independently verify any of the prices in this summary. The prices are solely the product of the referenced in the column labeled "Source". ARG depended upon these Sources and
urges any user of the data herein to perform their own due diligence prior to taking action. Any use of the data herein is at the user's risk.
While actual prices are used in most of the commodities above, the price trends are more important than the specific prices. All commodities have vagaries and current pricing that is specific to the desired commodity should be
found. This summary is an indication only.
ARG Educational Program - Confidential
33
ARG Recovery and ARG Partners
“YOU MAY DELAY, BUT TIME WILL NOT.”
BENJAMIN FRANKLIN

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ARG Presentation

  • 1. “…never, never, never give up.” ARG Educational Program - Confidential 1
  • 2. “LIFE CONSISTS NOT IN HOLDING GOOD CARDS, BUT IN PLAYING THOSE YOU HOLD WELL .” JOSH BILLINGS ARG Educational Program - Confidential 2 ARG
  • 3. ARG Educational Program - Confidential 3  ARG Restructure Partners  ARG Appraisal Group  ARG Asset Recovery Group  ARG Wholesale Group  ARG Capital Group Byron Clark 972-335-2090 – byron@argrecovery.com byron@argpartners.com Bob Morris 972-562-6613 – bob@argrecovery.com Chris Welsh 214-604-5457 – chris@argpartners.com Noel Lally 480-313-1588 – noel@argpartners.com 3308 Preston Road, Ste 350-215 Plano, Texas 75093 ARG Recovery and ARG Partners
  • 4. ARG - Business Sectors Served ARG Educational Program - Confidential 4  Manufacturing  Wholesale, Distribution  Transportation  Retail  Direct Mail & Catalogue  Direct TV and Internet Marketers  Financial Receivables  Oil and Gas Services and Operations
  • 5. ARG - Inventory Appraisal ARG Educational Program - Confidential 5  Definition of Eligible and Ineligible in consort with Lender  Inventory Analysis at SKU level - investment and sales.  Detailed Aging and/or slow moving  Discussion of Liquidation Process and Channels of Distribution  Key Personnel  Customer Profile and Sales Concentrations  Build-Out, if requested  Seasonality (Sales and Recovery)  Accounts Receivable as pertains to Liquidation Process  Identification of Critical Inventory  Detail of Liquidation Expenses  Phasing of Liquidation / Cash Flow  Monitoring Points (Benchmarking Risk)
  • 6. Inventory Appraisal – Sales to Inventory ARG Educational Program - Confidential 6 Inventory Sales Inventory Cost Sales SKUs Ranked by Sales Cost Wholesale 12 Months 2012 % of Total Cumul % % of Total Cumul % Top 10 SKUs 1,875,736 2,134,678 67,567,230 16.7% 16.7% 51.6% 51.6% 11-20 2,029,225 2,309,357 20,412,404 18.0% 34.7% 15.6% 67.1% 21-30 1,386,813 1,578,260 10,139,060 12.3% 47.0% 7.7% 74.9% 31-50 1,612,957 1,835,623 11,250,287 14.3% 61.4% 8.6% 83.4% 51-100 1,856,742 2,113,062 12,691,476 16.5% 77.9% 9.7% 93.1% 11-200 1,864,844 2,122,283 7,310,497 16.6% 94.5% 5.6% 98.7% 201-405 592,481 674,272 1,692,947 5.3% 99.7% 1.3% 100.0% No Sales 30,017 34,161 - 0.3% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% Grand Total 11,248,816 12,801,698 131,063,901 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
  • 7. Inventory Appraisal – Weeks Supply on Hand ARG Educational Program - Confidential 7 Inventory Inventory Sales G Weeks Supply Category Quantity Cost Wholesale 2012 Sales Weeks Supply Less than 1 Week 681,895 436,560 496,827 46,572,262 0.6 1 Week > 3 Weeks 438,009 1,344,220 1,529,788 45,336,471 1.8 3 Weeks > 5 Weeks 97,293 333,425 379,454 5,369,536 3.7 5 Weeks > 10 Weeks 219,682 1,686,275 1,919,063 13,675,987 7.3 10 Weeks > 26 Weeks 422,737 3,943,983 4,488,444 15,586,648 15.0 26 Weeks > 52 Weeks 343,750 2,276,573 2,590,850 3,696,424 36.4 52 Weeks > 104 Weeks 62,019 988,554 1,125,023 749,192 78.1 Over 104 Weeks 28,620 209,208 238,089 77,382 160.0 No Sales 4,772 30,017 34,161 - - Grand Total 2,298,776 11,248,816 12,801,698 131,063,901 5.1
  • 8. Inventory Appraisal – Methodology/Cash Flow ARG Educational Program - Confidential 8 Target Sales Wk 1 Wk 2 Wk 3 Wk 4 Wk 5 Wk 6 Wk 7 Wk 8 Wk 9 Wk 10 Total % of Inventory Sold Existing Customers 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 5.0% 65.0% New Customers 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 12.5% Wholesalers 5.0% 5.0% 2.5% 2.5% 15.0% Close-Out Specialists 5.0% 2.5% 7.5% Total 10.0% 10.0% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5% 17.5% 12.5% 2.5% 7.5% 2.5% 100.0% Wholesale Recovery % Existing Customers 100.0% 95.0% 90.0% 85.0% 80.0% 75.0% 70.0% 86.2% New Customers 85.0% 80.0% 75.0% 70.0% 62.0% Wholesalers 75.0% 70.0% 60.0% 25.0% 62.5% Close-Out Specialists 25.0% 10.0% 20.0% Total 100.0% 95.0% 72.0% 85.0% 80.0% 75.0% 70.0% 60.0% 25.0% 10.0% 74.6% Sales ($000s) Existing Customers 5,121 4,865 4,609 4,353 4,097 3,841 1,792 28,676 New Customers 1,088 1,024 960 896 3,969 Wholesalers 1,920 1,792 768 320 4,801 Close-Out Specialists 640 128 768 Total Sales 5,121 4,865 4,609 5,441 5,121 6,721 4,481 768 960 128 38,213
  • 9. ARG - Inventory Appraisal ARG Educational Program - Confidential 9 Why get an inventory appraisal?  Guidance in setting advance rates based on NOLV  Define slow moving and other unnecessary inventory  Define and quantify ineligibles  Determine seasonality  Project liquidation expense  Phasing of liquidation / Cash flow  Analyze inventory vs. Sales productivity  Exit strategy The Appraisal sets the Baselines for “go-forward” monitoring to mitigate risk.
  • 10. ARG - Inventory Appraisal ARG Educational Program - Confidential 10 Quotes from appraisals “Any material changes to information provided by the Company such as gross margins, inventory mix, or pricing could materially affect liquidation values.” “These appraisals are based on the value of assets as of the date of this report and any changes could have a significant effect on values.” “Any change in circumstance relating to the company, the inventory or the market sector may result in material changes in recoveries.” “Significant changes in inventory mix (including, but not limited to type, breadth and depth), operating or promotional strategy from the time of the appraisal can have a significant impact on recovery values.”
  • 11. ARG - Inventory Appraisal ARG Educational Program - Confidential 11 Further ARG Statement “This report was based on the condition of the Company at a specific point in time. Typically as conditions in a company deteriorate, so does the value of the inventory.” Benchmarking Risk® is ARG’s proprietary tool that allows lenders to monitor collateral value in ever-changing companies.
  • 12. ARG - Inventory Appraisal ARG Educational Program - Confidential 12 Statistical projections regularly benchmarked by ARG  Changes in Inventory Dollars  Changes in Mix of Finished Goods  Changes in Finished Goods vs. Raw Materials  Changes in Productive SKUs  Changes in Sales  Changes in Margin %
  • 13. Varying Inventory ARG Educational Program - Confidential 13 $000s Inventory Total Net Recovery Incremental Description Cost Sales $ % Change Increased 52,995 44,802 35,745 67.5% 2.4% Increased 50,995 43,111 34,122 66.9% 1.9% Increased 48,995 41,420 32,499 66.3% 1.3% Increased 46,995 39,730 30,876 65.7% 0.7% Current 44,995 38,039 29,253 65.0% 0.0% Decreased 42,995 36,348 27,630 64.3% -0.8% Decreased 40,995 34,657 26,006 63.4% -1.6% Decreased 38,995 32,967 24,383 62.5% -2.5% Decreased 36,995 31,276 22,760 61.5% -3.5% Decreased 34,995 29,585 21,137 60.4% -4.6% Decreased 32,995 27,894 19,514 59.1% -5.9% Decreased 30,995 26,203 17,891 57.7% -7.3% Decreased 28,995 24,513 16,267 56.1% -8.9% Decreased 26,995 22,822 14,644 54.2% -10.8%
  • 14. Varying Gross Margin ARG Educational Program - Confidential 14 $000s Inventory GM % from Net Recovery Incremental Cost Wholesale P&L $ % Change 44,995 54,296 17.1% 31,456 69.9% 4.9% 44,995 53,649 16.1% 30,994 68.9% 3.9% 44,995 53,017 15.1% 30,544 67.9% 2.9% 44,995 52,399 14.1% 30,103 66.9% 1.9% 44,995 51,796 13.1% 29,673 65.9% 0.9% 44,995 51,207 12.1% 29,253 65.0% 0.0% 44,995 50,631 11.1% 28,842 64.1% -0.9% 44,995 50,067 10.1% 28,440 63.2% -1.8% 44,995 49,516 9.1% 28,047 62.3% -2.7% 44,995 48,977 8.1% 27,663 61.5% -3.5% 44,995 48,450 7.1% 27,287 60.6% -4.4% 44,995 47,934 6.1% 26,919 59.8% -5.2% 44,995 47,428 5.1% 26,558 59.0% -6.0% 44,995 46,934 4.1% 26,205 58.2% -6.8% 44,995 46,449 3.1% 25,860 57.5% -7.5%
  • 15. Varying Sales ARG Educational Program - Confidential 15 $000s Inventory Annual Net Recovery Incremental Cost Wholesale Sales $ % Change 44,995 51,207 684,444 31,196 69.3% 4.3% 44,995 51,207 659,444 30,549 67.9% 2.9% 44,995 51,207 634,444 29,901 66.5% 1.4% 44,995 51,207 609,444 29,253 65.0% 0.0% 44,995 51,207 584,444 28,605 63.6% -1.4% 44,995 51,207 559,444 27,957 62.1% -2.9% 44,995 51,207 534,444 27,309 60.7% -4.3% 44,995 51,207 509,444 26,661 59.3% -5.8% 44,995 51,207 484,444 26,013 57.8% -7.2% 44,995 51,207 459,444 25,365 56.4% -8.6% 44,995 51,207 434,444 24,717 54.9% -10.1%
  • 16. Changes in Components of Value ARG Educational Program - Confidential 16 Benchmark Original 4 Months Later Difference Inventory 44,995,000 36,995,000 8,000,000 Gross Margin 12.1% 9.1% 3.0% TTM Sales 609,444,000 534,444,000 75,000,000 Current NOLV 65.0% Two Months Later Loss of NOLV Inventory -3.5% Gross Margin -2.7% TTM Sales -4.3% Total Change -10.5% Advance Rate Calculation Original 4 Months No Adjustment 4 Months With Adjustment Cost Inventory 44,995,000 36,995,000 36,995,000 NOLV 65.0% 65.0% 54.5% 80% for Advance Rate 52.0% 52.0% 43.6% Maxim um Inventory Advance 23,397,400 19,237,400 16,129,820 Overadvance 3,107,580 Advance Rate Exposure Change in NOLV Changes in Operational Results
  • 17. ARG - Benchmarking Matrix ARG Educational Program - Confidential 17 Operations Metric Data From Prior Appraisal Current Data Cost Value of Eligible Finished Goods Plus InTransit if applicable 8,253,982 7,500,000 Cost Value of Eligible Raw Materials Plus InTransit if applicable 1,341,736 1,000,000 Gross Margin % from the most recent YTD or FYE P&L. If the gross recovery %s in the appraisal are estim ated at "cost" rather than "w holesale" or "retail", enter zero in the Margin. (Changes in Gross Margin % is one of the prim ary indicators of changes in the value of the inventory.) 25.0% 20.0% Gross Recovery $ from the most recent appraisal (GOLV$). This is the total Gross Recovery for both Finished Goods and Raw Materials before expenses. 8,085,232 Percent of Inventory that is Slow Moving. If it is just for Finished Goods, use that % for entire inventory. This is a required piece of inform ation in m ost lender's appraisal guidelines and is a m ust in a w ell-prepared appraisal. 20.0% 25.0% Gross Recovery % on Cost on Slow Moving Inventory. Som e appraisals w ill not have this %. Estim ate low . A good recom m endation w ould be in the 10% to 15% area. If this is a true com m odity type item , be m ore generous, 25% to 30%. 15.0% Fixed Expense $. You should be able to tell the difference betw een the fixed and variable expenses from the m ost recent appraisal. Fixed is everything except Variable. Enter Fixed Expense as a $ am ount. Fixed expenses are rents, utilities, salaries that are not com m ission or production based, insurance, etc. 1,101,774 Variable Expense - The total of the expense %s expressed as a % of GOLV$. These are typically advertising, credit card, freight, consolidation, m iscellaneous, Liquidation Fees, anything that is charged as a % of sales. Enter this as a %. 6.5% Number of weeks estimated in the sale in the last appraisal 12 Net Sales from the Company's most recent TTM or FYE sales 45,000,000 40,000,000 Net Recovery % 67.3% Potential Net Recovery %* 58.0% Potential Change* -9.3% Advance 5,489,230.48 4,191,299.14 Potential Overadvance (1,297,931.34)
  • 18. ARG - Inventory Appraisal ARG Educational Program - Confidential 18 “Even if you are on the right track, you will get run over if you just sit there.” Will Rogers
  • 19. “INSANITY: DOING THE SAME THING OVER AND OVER AGAIN AND EXPECTING DIFFERENT RESULTS.” ALBERT EINSTEIN ARG Educational Program - Confidential 19 ARG Partners
  • 20. ARG Partners ARG Educational Program - Confidential 20 Viability Analysis / Cash Flow  Are the company’s current operations and industry viable?  What changes in sales, operations, and/or expenses need to be made to make cash flow viable?  Do collateral and assets viably cover lender’s exposure?  Can current management formulate viable plan?  Can current management execute viable plan? ARG’s Viability Analysis provides a concise plan with borrower’s management and lender for a fixed cost. With consensus from borrower and lender, ARG will execute the Viability Analysis plan (i.e. Restructuring Plan).
  • 21. ARG Partners ARG Educational Program - Confidential 21 Viability Analysis Components:  Projected balance sheet and P&L projections with quality measures for FCC and operating and balance sheet leverage.  Detailed cash flow with sources and uses of cash.  Collateral, asset, liability, and fixed charge planning.  Detailed borrowing base with LTV.  Sales channel analysis, contribution margin by customer, and PM Modeling.  Summary reporting with Quick Look and industry/company specific metrics such as sales psf or capacity utilization to fixed costs.  Executive Summary – Viability Analysis summarized. ARG’s Goal is to add value, not tell you what you already know.
  • 22. ARG Partners ARG Educational Program - Confidential 22 Viability Executive Summary and Cash Flow Model  The executive summary highlights the cash flow model and quantifies the plan of restructuring.  Provides a consensus benchmark to manage to, and lender measures for progress and period to period risk mitigation.  ARG will execute the plan with agreement from the company and lender to rebuild the borrower’s viability.  ARG will rebuild company’s viability for current lender, or will put together a deal book to get the deal refinanced with a new lender and/or raise capital. If the consensus is that there is not a strategy to employ and return the borrower to viability, then other alternatives will be offered.
  • 23. ARG Partners ARG Educational Program - Confidential 23 “The current quality of balance sheet assets (collateral) determines the future quality of cash flows.” Chris Welsh
  • 24. ARG Partners ARG Educational Program - Confidential 24 Wind Down vs. Liquidation  Wind downs require operational, cash flow, and asset sale process expertise in order to maximize asset returns, whereas a liquidation only requires asset sale process expertise.  How assets are sold in distressed situations really does matter, regardless whether it is a wind down or a liquidation.  If ARG has completed a Viability Analysis, then the wind down and/or liquidation plan and cash flow model to execute and quantify these plans is already complete.  If no Viability Analysis has been completed, then ARG will complete one as a means to maximize returns on asset sales and advise as to whether a wind down or liquidation is best.
  • 25. ARG Partners ARG Educational Program - Confidential 25 Communications between you and the restructuring firm is critical.  Restructuring firms can be engaged by the Client or Lender; however, the lender has the right to review management’s information in a timely manner.  Scope and planning of client engagement is critical for the success of advisor, client, and lender.  Majority of client management does not want to share the true nature of their issues; however, in order for any planning to be effective, identification and communication of client issues are the initial steps in plan execution. Misnomers need to be set aside and the business of correction addressed and communicated.  Lender should insist that advisor-client agreements contain language that allows advisor-lender communications.
  • 26. ARG Partners ARG Educational Program - Confidential 26 What if there is fraud or malfeasance?  If there is fraud or malfeasance, the effectiveness of asset recovery or even restructuring still needs to be considered.  Current management actions or lack of action should not be the sole determining factor of asset value and/or plan viability.  Depending on the level of fraud and/or malfeasance and management/ownership’s reactions to such issues, much value can be preserved as an on-going entity or in an orderly wind-down.  The importance of having good information under these sorts of issues is critical in moving forward.  Fraud and malfeasance mitigation and plan execution.  Plan execution preserves collateral and potential on-going viability.
  • 27. ARG Partners ARG Educational Program - Confidential 27 Oil and Gas Services and Operations:  Managing Company Growth  Managing Management Expectations  Appraisals Inventory, Raw materials, Machinery and Equip., Tools, Rolling Stock, etc.  Manage Cash Flow  Life style financing  Payroll  Margins  Royalty payment  Managing A/R  Managing A/P  Liens
  • 28. ARG Partners Expertise ARG Educational Program - Confidential 28 Wind Down Strategies (Partial and Full)  Out of Court – sometimes just a portion of the company needs working out.  Assignment for Benefit of Creditors  Liquidating 11  Chapter 7 Stakeholders and Creditors  Ongoing communications processes with key stakeholders  Collateral protectionand marshalling  Managing creditor communication and negotiation  Capital Markets communication and negotiations Court Based Resolution  Pre-bankruptcy planning (if required) – 13 Week Cash Flow  Monitor development and treatment of the Bank Group relative to Plan of Reorganization and Disclosure Statement  Assisting with bankruptcy case administration Constantly Reanalyze Viability  Weekly Cash Flow includes Borrowing Base viability  Liquidation values updated weekly  Weekly revision on appropriateness of Go-Forward Decision Other Services and Expertise  Manage work-out,wind-down or liquidation process  Monitor development and treatment of the Bank Group relative to Plan of Reorganization and Disclosure Statement  DIP or cash-collateralbudgeting  Key employee retention and critical-vendor plans  Marketing of all fixed assets, inventory, and intellectualproperty  Manage 363 sale or out-of-court sales  Bankruptcy schedules and operating reports  Litigation support and expert-witness testimony  Preference analysis and recovery  Manage insurance, security, employee issues, etc.  Manage the collection of Accounts Receivable  Manage and coordinate related professionals  Assistance with final accounting and tax issues
  • 29. ARG - Asset Recovery Group ARG Educational Program - Confidential 29 ARG identifies underperforming or non-core inventory from discontinued operations and sells it at the highest and best price. ARG Asset Recovery Group prepares a sales book and applicable asset listings and other marketing information and contacts multiple buyers in order to maximize the recovery for the borrower and/or lender.  If the borrower can not sell the underperforming inventory in normal course, then why should the lender expect to be able to sell it?  Selling inventory that is no longer eligible for the borrowing base can provide needed liquidity for borrowers with limited liquidity.  No upfront costs to borrower for ARG Asset Recovery Group to sell inventory.  Asset Recovery Group is compensated on a success basis once the inventory is sold.
  • 30. Asset Recovery Group – Receiver/Assignee ARG Educational Program - Confidential 30 ARG will act as the Receiver or Assignee on behalf of the estate at the Lender’s recommendation.  Areas of concentration that would lend themselves to maximizing returns:  Ability to act quickly  Asset Valuation  Isolating problem assets  Identifying assets or business divisions that are salvageable and salable.  Projecting Cash Flows for ongoing units  Providing interim management  Large domestic networking base  Contacts in all asset areas on a nationwide basis.  Real world experience in management, operations and finance  Partnered Legal Team to insure quick efficient enactment  Approaching each project individually and from a common sense perspective
  • 31. ARG – Commodity Pricing Summary ARG Educational Program - Confidential 31 Commodity Type Specific Source Type of Quote 3/ 11 6/ 11 9/ 11 12/ 11 3/ 12 6/ 12 9/ 12 12/ 12 3/ 13 4/ 13 5/ 13 30 Day Chg% 12 Mo Chg% Metal Steel - US Hot Rolled Band Steel Benchm arker US$/ m et ton 970 834 767 802 763 670 692 702 678 660 637 -3.5% -11.0% Cold Rolled Coil Steel Benchm arker US$/ m et ton 1067 941 876 915 863 779 804 814 787 772 749 -3.0% -9.0% Scrap Steel Benchm arker US$/ m et ton 439 433 435 458 428 359 362 375 387 353 353 0.0% -14.3% Steel - China Hot Rolled Band Steel Benchm arker US$/ m et ton 606 620 617 558 582 546 475 525 529 511 484 -5.3% -12.3% Cold Rolled Coil Steel Benchm arker US$/ m et ton 717 708 729 689 691 644 591 620 645 640 628 -1.9% -5.3% Rebar Steel Benchm arker US$/ m et ton 596 633 624 561 574 534 484 488 494 485 477 -1.6% -10.8% Steel, Galvanized Cold Rolled Coil USA E. + $.25/ lb est. galvanizing cost US$/ lb 0.73 0.68 0.65 0.65 0.64 0.60 0.61 0.62 0.61 0.60 0.59 -1.7% -5.4% Aluminum LME m etalprices.com US$/ lb 1.18 1.14 1.00 0.89 0.95 0.83 0.95 0.93 0.85 0.84 0.85 1.6% -5.0% Aluminum Alloy m etalprices.com US$/ lb 1.08 1.06 1.02 0.89 0.92 0.79 0.89 0.84 0.82 0.81 0.82 0.8% -4.8% Aluminum UBC m etalprices.com US$/ lb 0.96 0.91 0.78 0.72 0.80 0.71 0.82 0.81 0.77 0.79 0.79 0.6% 5.0% Copper LME m etalprices.com US$/ lb 4.26 4.22 3.23 3.43 3.85 3.45 3.75 3.59 3.44 3.21 3.28 2.4% -3.7% Gold NYC m etalprices.com US$/ ozt 1439 1502 1620 1566 1669 1604 1771 1675 1595 1472 1393 -5.4% -10.9% Lead LME m etalprices.com US$/ lb 1.23 1.19 0.93 0.90 0.92 0.81 1.04 1.06 0.95 0.92 0.99 8.6% 14.1% Molybdenum Oxide m etalprices.com US$/ lb 16.65 15.63 14.15 13.38 14.05 13.00 11.38 11.40 10.88 10.95 11.10 1.4% -20.0% Molybdenum Unit Contained in 316 Steel m etalprices.com US$/ lb 13.63 12.63 11.50 11.25 11.38 11.13 9.63 8.80 9.75 8.63 8.13 -5.8% -28.6% Nickel LME m etalprices.com US$/ lb 11.83 10.49 8.30 8.29 7.91 7.47 8.40 7.75 7.50 6.89 6.64 -3.7% -10.6% Silver NYC m etalprices.com US$/ ozt 37.87 34.81 30.04 27.88 32.47 27.58 34.52 30.17 28.29 24.14 22.23 -7.9% -19.9% Tin LME m etalprices.com US$/ lb 14.35 11.75 9.46 8.60 10.52 8.52 9.82 10.66 10.50 9.43 9.45 0.1% 5.6% Titanium Ingot m etalprices.com US$/ lb 12.13 12.38 12.63 12.00 11.50 11.25 10.63 10.38 10.25 10.25 10.13 -1.2% -10.0% Titanium Scrap Grade 1 m etalprices.com US$/ lb 4.40 4.50 4.70 4.15 3.95 3.05 2.75 2.55 2.23 2.03 1.83 -9.9% -50.0% Tungsten Pure Chinese Bar m etalprices.com US$/ lb 26.00 30.63 31.25 30.13 28.75 27.50 25.50 24.00 24.50 26.00 26.00 0.0% -7.1% Zinc LME m etalprices.com US$/ lb 1.05 1.05 0.86 0.83 0.91 0.84 0.95 0.92 0.85 0.84 0.85 1.5% -0.9% Plastic HDPE Injection Grade plasticsnew s.com ¢/ lb avg 91.0 99.0 93.0 88.0 99.0 85.0 90.0 88.0 97.0 97.0 97.0 0.0% 5.4% LDPE Extrusion Film liner plasticsnew s.com ¢/ lb avg 107.5 115.5 106.5 101.5 112.5 98.5 103.5 101.5 106.5 110.5 110.5 0.0% 4.7% LLDPE Butene-1 com onom er Inj GP plasticsnew s.com ¢/ lb avg 89.0 97.0 91.0 86.0 97.0 83.0 88.0 86.0 91.0 91.0 91.0 0.0% 1.1% PET Bottle resin plasticsnew s.com ¢/ lb avg 94.0 103.0 108.0 101.0 100.0 91.0 95.0 104.0 106.0 106.0 99.0 -6.6% 1.0% PVC Suspension resin Pipe grade plasticsnew s.com ¢/ lb avg 89.5 100.5 100.5 96.5 99.5 96.5 99.5 102.5 109.5 109.5 109.5 0.0% 7.9% PVC Dispersion resin Hom opolym erplasticsnew s.com ¢/ lb avg 74.0 102.0 102.0 102.0 102.0 102.0 102.0 102.0 102.0 102.0 102.0 0.0% 0.0% Polypropylene Hom opolym er Injection plasticsnew s.com ¢/ lb avg 119.5 124.5 120.5 100.5 120.5 95.5 93.5 100.5 116.5 116.5 105.5 -9.4% -4.5% Wood Birch Northern Green 4/ 4 FAS Hardw ood Market Report 1155 1130 1125 1125 1125 1125 1125 1125 1125 1125 1125 0.0% 0.0% Hard Maple #1&2 white Northern Green 4/ 4 FAS Hardw ood Market Report $/ m bf 1225 1250 1320 1410 1430 1475 1475 1500 1725 1800 1825 1.4% 23.7% Red Oak Northern Green 4/ 4 FAS Hardw ood Market Report $/ m bf 985 985 900 835 835 870 870 895 1005 1030 1100 6.8% 26.4% White Oak Northern Green 4/ 4 FAS Hardw ood Market Report $/ m bf 1020 1020 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000 1050 5.0% 5.0% Walnut Appalachian Green 4/ 4 FAS Hardw ood Market Report $/ m bf 2130 2155 2155 2070 2000 1910 1795 1795 1795 1795 1795 0.0% -7.2% KD Western S-P-F #2&Btr 2x4 R/ L Mill price random lengths.com $/ m bf 284 237 240 261 279 283 285 388 408 355 298 -16.1% -3.6% KD Eastern S-P-F #1&2 2x4 R/ L, delivered random lengths.com $/ m bf 370 329 325 343 374 385 385 471 503 463 409 -11.7% 0.7% Southern Pine (Westside) #2 2x4 R/ L random lengths.com $/ m bf 273 257 268 288 309 328 383 430 477 445 360 -19.1% 0.0% Ponderosa Pine (Inland) #2&Btr 1x12 R/ L random lengths.com $/ m bf 645 590 575 580 650 550 487 500 630 625 600 -4.0% 1.7% Plywood Southern 15/ 32-inch 3-ply random lengths.com $/ m bf 338 298 348 329 385 392 418 428 500 513 430 -16.2% 9.4% Western Red Cedar Coast Mills KD T&G 1x6 Random Lengths $/ m bf 1225 1200 1150 1125 1175 1225 1225 1260 1310 1310 1345 2.7% 12.1% Western Red Cedar Inland Mills #3&Btr 1x10 Random Lengths $/ m bf 1215 1230 1240 1240 1220 1220 1220 1230 1260 1260 1265 0.4% 3.7% Commodity Pricing Summary Compiled by ARG Recovery LLC - as of May 31, 2013 Ad d itiona l Commod itiesw ill b e a d d ed up on req uest.
  • 32. ARG – Commodity Pricing Summary ARG Educational Program - Confidential 32 Commodity Type Specific Source Type of Quote 3/ 11 6/ 11 9/ 11 12/ 11 3/ 12 6/ 12 9/ 12 12/ 12 3/ 13 4/ 13 5/ 13 30 Day Chg% 12 Mo Chg% Paper Pulp Benchmark Index NBSK in the U.S. paperage.com US$/ m et ton 985 1,035 971 890 885 899 833 870 901 919 930 1.2% 3.3% Newsprint Benchmark Index Std. New sprint 30lb US paperage.com US$/ m et ton 627 624 623 624 623 621 620 620 608 604 600 -0.6% -3.5% Paper Benchmark Index Coated WF 100g reels paperage.com Euro/ m et ton 716 718 710 717 708 706 704 697 676 679 682 0.5% -4.0% Paper Benchmark Index A4 B-copy 80g sheets paperage.com Euro/ m et ton 862 875 875 869 859 860 866 862 849 849 850 0.1% -1.5% Packaging Benchmark Index Kraftliner, brow n paperage.com Euro/ m et ton 597 581 568 535 521 540 556 584 580 586 590 0.6% 10.5% Packaging Benchmark Index RB fluting paperage.com Euro/ m et ton 445 479 451 394 412 396 377 386 402 404 407 0.8% -2.5% Scrap Mixed paper LOW Loose, at generator's dock The Paper Stock Report $/ short ton 40 40 35 10 10 15 0 0 0 0 0 -100.0% Paper Mixed paper HIGH Loose, at generator's dock The Paper Stock Report $/ short ton 110 110 95 50 50 50 0 10 25 25 25 0.0% -50.0% Corrugated containers LOW Loose, delivered to dealer The Paper Stock Report $/ short ton 75 70 100 45 45 50 0 5 15 15 15 0.0% -70.0% Corrugated containers HIGH Loose, delivered to dealer The Paper Stock Report $/ short ton 145 145 170 90 90 90 40 65 75 75 75 0.0% -16.7% Dairy All Milk average, U.S. USDA NASS $/ cw t 20.40 21.20 21.10 19.80 17.20 16.20 19.60 20.90 19.10 19.50 19.80 1.5% 22.2% Butter average, U.S. USDA Agricultural Mkt Svc $/ lb 2.06 2.13 1.99 1.61 1.43 1.40 1.83 1.60 1.61 1.68 1.65 -1.7% 20.7% Nonfat Dry Milk average, U.S. USDA Agricultural Mkt Svc $/ lb 1.49 1.65 1.54 1.42 1.33 1.10 1.38 1.54 1.52 1.53 1.64 6.9% 41.8% Cheddar Cheese average, U.S. USDA Agricultural Mkt Svc $/ lb 1.97 1.90 1.86 1.81 1.52 1.58 1.86 1.79 1.65 1.73 1.83 5.6% 20.1% Dry Whey average, U.S. USDA Agricultural Mkt Svc $/ lb 0.46 0.52 0.59 0.65 0.61 0.50 0.58 0.66 0.60 0.57 0.58 0.4% 7.0% Cream Fluid cream butterfat avg Urner Barry $/ lb 2.58 2.77 2.21 1.71 1.75 2.12 2.39 1.32 1.89 2.17 1.89 -13.1% 10.6% Other AG Sugar Free m arket Coffee,Sugar, Coc oa Exc hg (indexmundi.c om)UScents/ lb 25.90 24.92 26.64 23.42 23.79 20.10 20.21 19.20 18.34 17.66 17.08 -3.3% -15.7% Cocoa Beans Int'nl Coc oa Org (indexmundi.c om) US$/ m et ton 3,393 3,016 2,874 2,201 2,359 2,266 2,620 2,432 2,153 2,295 2,346 2.2% 11.0% Soybeans USNo. 2 Yellow USDA Market News (indexmundi.c om)US$/ m et ton 499 500 491 420 496 522 615 535 536 518 542 4.7% 4.1% Cotton Upland cotton USDA Market News (indexmundi.c om)UScents/ lb 229.67 160.65 116.65 95.45 99.52 82.18 84.15 83.37 94.45 92.54 92.62 0.1% 4.6% Yellow Grease Central US USDA Liv estoc k & Grain Mkt News $/ cw t 45.00 46.50 43.25 33.50 39.50 36.00 35.75 36.50 36.00 34.50 n/ a Eggs Midw est shell w hite large Urner Barry $/ dozen 1.23 1.11 1.28 1.50 1.38 1.09 1.44 1.26 1.48 1.02 1.15 12.7% 5.5% Seafood Shell-On Headless Shrimp Farm Raised Asian White 16-20 Urner Barry $/ lb 6.48 6.35 5.78 5.65 5.15 4.95 4.35 4.65 5.90 6.05 6.05 0.0% 17.5% 26-30 Urner Barry $/ lb 4.55 4.50 4.50 4.40 4.30 4.10 3.85 4.15 5.15 5.25 5.10 -2.9% 20.0% 36-40 Urner Barry $/ lb 3.75 3.75 3.80 3.75 3.75 3.70 3.65 3.65 4.15 4.30 4.30 0.0% 14.7% 41-50 Urner Barry $/ lb 3.70 3.65 3.65 3.65 n/ a n/ a 3.45 3.45 3.75 4.20 4.20 0.0% Average 4.62 4.56 4.43 4.36 4.40 4.25 3.83 3.98 4.74 4.95 4.91 -0.8% 12.1% Wild Gulf White <12 Urner Barry $/ lb 10.35 10.75 9.80 10.20 10.65 10.10 10.15 11.10 11.90 11.95 12.35 3.3% 16.5% <15 Urner Barry $/ lb 10.00 9.50 8.20 8.15 7.65 6.50 6.45 7.10 7.55 7.65 8.20 7.2% 21.5% 16-20 Urner Barry $/ lb 7.75 6.25 6.35 6.65 6.50 5.80 5.75 6.15 6.50 6.70 7.20 7.5% 17.1% 26-30 Urner Barry $/ lb 5.65 5.15 5.40 5.75 5.85 5.20 5.20 5.30 5.60 5.65 6.05 7.1% 10.0% 36-40 Urner Barry $/ lb 3.85 3.85 4.25 4.35 4.60 4.50 4.70 4.75 4.90 4.95 5.10 3.0% 10.9% 41-50 Urner Barry $/ lb 3.65 3.55 3.75 3.90 3.90 3.90 3.95 4.05 4.15 4.20 4.40 4.8% 10.0% Average 6.88 6.51 6.29 6.50 6.53 6.00 6.03 6.41 6.77 6.85 7.22 5.4% 15.2% Crab Meat Thai/ Indo Pasteurized BackfinUrner Barry 16 oz. 10.88 10.63 10.63 10.63 10.63 10.63 0.0% -2.3% Thai/ Indo Pasteurized Claw Urner Barry 16 oz. 7.38 6.75 7.00 6.75 6.75 6.75 0.0% -8.5% Salmon Farm ed Fresh Whole-Seattle 6-8 Urner Barry $/ lb 3.45 2.75 2.45 2.40 2.38 2.08 1.80 2.08 3.23 2.95 3.35 13.6% 34.0% 12-14 Urner Barry $/ lb 4.10 3.25 2.95 2.45 2.53 2.58 2.13 2.30 3.33 3.40 3.80 11.8% 43.4% Wild Coho Gillnet Frozen 4-6 Urner Barry $/ lb 2.65 2.65 2.78 2.78 2.78 2.78 2.78 2.78 2.78 2.78 2.78 0.0% 0.0% 6-9 Urner Barry $/ lb 2.88 2.88 2.95 3.15 3.15 3.15 3.15 3.15 3.15 3.15 3.15 0.0% 0.0% Wild Sockeye Gillnet Frozen 4-6 Urner Barry $/ lb 3.30 3.30 3.53 3.53 3.53 3.53 3.53 3.68 3.68 4.38 4.38 0.0% 24.1% 6-9 Urner Barry $/ lb 3.40 3.40 3.73 3.73 3.73 3.73 3.73 3.83 3.83 4.48 4.48 0.0% 20.1% Swai (Striped Pangasius) Bnls & Sknls Filet, Vietnam Urner Barry $/ lb up to 11 oz. 1.85 1.80 1.70 1.80 1.80 1.80 0.0% -2.7% Tuna Yellow fin No. 1 Urner Barry $/ lb 8.13 10.13 9.25 8.38 9.75 7.63 -21.7% 0.0% 60 lbs. & Up Yellow fin No. 2 Urner Barry $/ lb 4.13 5.75 5.00 5.63 5.75 4.25 -26.1% 0.0% Prices will vary from one data source to the other depending upon the demographics of the sample and on the specifics on the request. An example is that some price reports depend more heavily on asked and others on bid. Also some reports are more heavily focused on futures pricing. The primary observation to be made is the general trending of the prices. Regardless of the sample or specifics, the trends should mirror each other. Disclaimer - ARG Recovery did not validate or independently verify any of the prices in this summary. The prices are solely the product of the referenced in the column labeled "Source". ARG depended upon these Sources and urges any user of the data herein to perform their own due diligence prior to taking action. Any use of the data herein is at the user's risk. While actual prices are used in most of the commodities above, the price trends are more important than the specific prices. All commodities have vagaries and current pricing that is specific to the desired commodity should be found. This summary is an indication only.
  • 33. ARG Educational Program - Confidential 33 ARG Recovery and ARG Partners “YOU MAY DELAY, BUT TIME WILL NOT.” BENJAMIN FRANKLIN