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first_solar_presentation.pdf
1.
Maja Wessels Executive Vice-President December
2009 Presentation on Thin Film PV Presentation on Thin Film PV
2.
© 2009 First
Solar, Inc. 2 This presentation contains forward-looking statements which are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. The forward-looking statements in this presentation do not constitute guarantees of future performance. Those statements involve a number of factors that could cause actual results to differ materially, including risks associated with the company's business involving the company's products, their development and distribution, economic and competitive factors and the company's key strategic relationships, and other risks detailed in the company's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. First Solar assumes no obligation to update any forward-looking information contained in this presentation or with respect to the announcements described herein. Forward Looking Statements
3.
© 2009 First
Solar, Inc. 3 Contents Company Overview PV – Historical Development and Outlook Technology Product Environmental Responsibility Cost and Cost Reduction Attributes and Advantages of TF PV References and Examples
4.
© 2009 First
Solar, Inc. 4 Sustainability is industry mandate Solar is a key component in addressing global climate change: all technologies are required Objective:lower worldwide carbon levels and improve security of supply Must evaluate total impact to the environment: supply, manufacturing, deployment, operations, recycling Module and Balance of Plant cost per watt driven by ongoing improvements in technology, manufacturing and system design
5.
Company Overview Company Overview
6.
© 2009 First
Solar, Inc. 6 First Solar Company Overview Strategic Objective To create enduring value by enabling a world powered by clean, affordable solar electricity. Reduce the cost of solar modules using thin film technology and automated, scalable production Migrate from subsidized markets to non-subsidized markets by leveraging economies of scale — become “subsidy independent” Reduce dependence on fossil fuels and curtail greenhouse gas emissions to improve our environment
7.
© 2009 First
Solar, Inc. 7 First Solar: Clean, Affordable Solar Electricity Founded in 1999, a market leader in utility scale commercial and industrial PV systems World’s lowest cost solar module manufacturer $0.85/W (as of Q3 09) Aggressive cost reduction roadmap Sustainable competitive advantage $ Environmental leadership Lowest carbon footprint Fastest energy payback time of current PV technologies (1 year) PV industry’s first and only pre- funded collection and recycling program Bankability of projects 1 Giga Watt (GW) of projects financed and in the ground Consistent performance and execution attract investment Proven performance and reliability 10 year track record 1 GW of annual production in 2009 Financial strength $12 billion market capitalization Added to SP 500 in October 2009 $
8.
© 2009 First
Solar, Inc. 8 Global Presence Tempe, Arizona Corporate Headquarters Perrysburg, Ohio Operations, RD and Manufacturing Bridgewater, New Jersey Project Development New York, New York Legal, Government Public Affairs, Marketing Hayward, California Project Development Brussels, Belgium Government Affairs Paris, France Sales Marketing Madrid, Spain Sales Marketing Mainz, Germany Sales, Marketing Customer Service Berlin, Germany Government Affairs Frankfurt Oder, Germany Manufacturing Kulim, Malaysia Manufacturing Amsterdam, Holland Business Development Ontario, Canada Project Development
9.
© 2009 First
Solar, Inc. 9 Bankable Performance
10.
PV PV – – Historical
Development and Outlook Historical Development and Outlook
11.
© 2009 First
Solar, Inc. 11 Historical development of global cumulative PV power installed per region Source: EPIA Global Market Outlook 2013
12.
© 2009 First
Solar, Inc. 12 Global annual PV market Outlook until 2013 Source: EPIA Global Market Outlook 2013
13.
© 2009 First
Solar, Inc. 13 EU installed capacity by 2020 will range from 130 GWp Baseline to 390 GWp Paradigm Shift scenario Accelerated Growth Scenario Paradigm Shift scenario 5 5 30 30 85 85 195 195 230 99 38 5 2007 2012 2016 2020 154 80 36 5 2007 2012 2016 2020 ~4% of PV penetration on electricity demand by 2020 ~6% of PV penetration on electricity demand by 2020 ~12% of PV penetration on electricity demand by 2020 Baseline Scenario 5 5 30 30 70 70 130 130 462 164 43 5 2007 2012 2016 2020 TWh 5 5 35 35 140 140 390 390 Cumulative GWp PV deployment scenarios (TWh of electricity produced; GWp installed1)) 1) The underlying geographical deployment results in an average European figure of 1,167 operating hours for scenarios 1 and 2 and 1,187 for scenario 3 Sources: EPIA, EU DG TREN “European Energy and Transport: trends to 2030, update 2007”, EU JRC Photovoltaic Geographical Information System, Eurostat Data Portal, A.T. Kearney SET for 2020 analysis
14.
Technology Product Technology
Product
15.
© 2009 First
Solar, Inc. 15 Breakthrough thin film process technology 99% reduction in high-cost semiconductor material Fully integrated, continuous process vs. batch processing No shortages of semiconductor material Cost reduction trajectory driven by productivity and technology improvements Large (2'x4') substrate vs. 6 wafers First Solar specializes in utility-scale PV systems Engineering, procurement and construction capabilities provide turnkey solution Monitoring Maintenance (MM) Program Fixed MM pricing enables predictable annual expenses First Solar monitors and maintains the PV system over its life Module Manufacturing The First Solar Solution System Solutions (U.S.) Glass In 2.5 Hours Module Out
16.
© 2009 First
Solar, Inc. 16 Over 4.0 GW / $6.3 billion currently contracted with leading developers of large scale PV projects Extensive module testing and validation before commercial production Durable and recyclable frameless glass-glass laminate High energy yield in real operating conditions (PR80%) Low temperature coefficient (-0.25%/°C) Excellent low light response Robust against shading in landscape orientation (perpendicular to cells) 25 year module power output warranty Minimal OM expenses – no moving parts, fuel or water requirements Superior Technology First Solar's validated performance
17.
© 2009 First
Solar, Inc. 17 Products Performance Proven Record of Increasing Module Conversion Efficiencies Modules Produced Conversion Efficiency
18.
© 2009 First
Solar, Inc. 18 Conversion Efficiency Potential Practical Potential Research Development Process Integration Current Production 18% 15.3% 13.5% 12.5% 10.9% ~2014 ~2012 Q109
19.
© 2009 First
Solar, Inc. 19 First Solar provides energy yield predictions to establish system performance expectations First Solar monitors installed modules in a wide range of systems to ensure field performance continues to meet predicted expectations First Solar's monitored systems have demonstrated actual performance with a +/- 3.5% deviation from predicted performance Monitored Commercial Product Installations (Annual Energy vs P50 Prediction) Proven Field Performance
20.
Environmental Responsibility Environmental Responsibility
21.
© 2009 First
Solar, Inc. 21 Environmental Responsibility First Solar's Environmental Commitment
22.
© 2009 First
Solar, Inc. 22 Life Cycle Assessment Benefits Carbon Footprint – Comparison Across Technologies Sources: *de Wild-Scholten, M., presented at CrystalClear Final Event in Munich on May 26, 2009. **de Wild-Scholten, M., ‘Solar as an environmental product: Thin-film modules – production processes and their environmental assessment,’ presented at the Thin Film Industry Forum, Berlin, April, 2009. Both PV technologies use insolation of 1700 kWh/m2. All other data from ExternE project, 2003; Kim and Dale, 2005; Fthenakis and Kim, 2006: Fthenakis and Alsema, 2006; Fthenakis and Kim, in press. 900 850 400 45 25 24 15 11 0 200 400 600 800 1000 Coal Oil Gas CC Biomass CHP PVmulti-Si (13.2%)* Nuclear (US) PVCdTe (10.7%)** Wind Carbon footprint (g CO 2 -eq/kWh)
23.
© 2009 First
Solar, Inc. 23 A Cradle-to-Cradle Technology 25+ years FS Recycling Cd Cd Te Te Customer Site Developers System Integrators Developers System Integrators FS Series 2 Module CdTe CdTe Glass FS Collection
24.
Cost and Cost
Reduction Cost and Cost Reduction
25.
© 2009 First
Solar, Inc. 25 Cost Reductions Achieved Through Scale 10 MW 25 MW ∼ ∼ ∼ ∼100 MW 308 MW 716 MW 1,200 MW 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 $0.85
26.
© 2009 First
Solar, Inc. 26 New Module MFG Cost Reduction Roadmap 56-68% 18-25% 4-6% 4-6% 3-4% 2% Throughput Q1 09 Cost/Watt Plant Scale Efficiency Low Cost Location Spending 2014 Cost/Watt Target 100% $0.93/W $0.52 - 0.63/W $1.29/W Q1 07 Cost/Watt
27.
© 2009 First
Solar, Inc. 27 New Roadmap to Grid Parity Balance of System* Cost Reduction Roadmap * Excludes Site Specific costs, BOS profits, sales tax, finance costs, SGA costs and project development costs and assumes optimal labor. costs ~$1.40 /W $0.91-0.98/W Target 100% 2% 7% 8% 1% 12% 65-70% Q1’09 BOS Engr. , Proj. Mgmt. Mounting Hardware Inverter Transformer Other Electrical Installation 2014 BOS
28.
© 2009 First
Solar, Inc. 28 Note: Assumes 7.5% unlevered IRR, 10% ITC, 2.5% electricity power price escalator, FSLR panels, utility scale plant, install labor and site specific cost estimates. Includes owner development costs, financing costs and OM. USD € rate 1,45 LCOE – Transition to Sustainable Markets
29.
© 2009 First
Solar, Inc. 29 Attributes and Advantages of TF PV Attributes and Advantages of TF PV
30.
© 2009 First
Solar, Inc. 30 Attributes and advantages of thin film PV No use of water, gas or oil during operations No concrete used (Nearly) maintenance free (no moving parts) No emissions or waste created during operation Low carbon footprint Low sensitivity to dust, humidity and strong winds No geographical restriction due to quality of radiation: can work with global radiation and has low sensitivity to diffuse light Highly reliable, simple system with few components Easy to recycle Recycling and reuse of 90% module weight and 95% of semiconductor (for FS) Performance sustainability
31.
© 2009 First
Solar, Inc. 31 Attributes and advantages of thin film PV Short project development and construction time (1 MW/day) Highly modular and flexible construction: - Parallel development of several sub-plants possible - Flexibility of scaling and gradual expansion of system and transmission lines - Easier grid connection which can increase proximity to consumers Most topographies possible – does not require flat land Simple, fixed installation: no moving parts No gas pipelines nor water infrastructure required Little need for spare/wear parts and therefore no warehouse required Project development and installation
32.
© 2009 First
Solar, Inc. 32 Attributes and advantages of thin film PV Modularity allows incremental financing High fixed, low variable cost investment almost entirely capital related with very low operating and maintenance cost and a pre-funded end-of-life treatment (modules) Module costs decreasing rapidly No commodity price risks once the system operates (high hedging value and high life cycle cost predictability) Financing
33.
© 2009 First
Solar, Inc. 33 Substantial completion in a couple of weeks Example: Development and Construction of 20 MW Sarnia Example: Development and Construction of 20 MW Sarnia
34.
© 2009 First
Solar, Inc. 34 Array Structure Component Descriptions – MOUNTING STRUCTURE Module Support Rail 30 Deg Tilt Bracket Horizontal Beam W6 x 8.5 Post
35.
© 2009 First
Solar, Inc. 35 Array Structure Component Descriptions – PV MODULES CLIPS FS Series 2 Module Module Mid Clip Module End Clip
36.
© 2009 First
Solar, Inc. 36 Sarnia 20: August 21
37.
© 2009 First
Solar, Inc. 37 Sarnia 20: September 9
38.
© 2009 First
Solar, Inc. 38 Sarnia 20: October 5
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Solar, Inc. 39 Sarnia 20: October 16
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Solar, Inc. 40 Sarnia 20: November 16
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Solar, Inc. 41 Reference Projects in EU, MENA US Reference Projects in EU, MENA US
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Solar, Inc. 42 Engineering, Procurement, and Construction – Ground Mount • Constructed next to existing natural gas plant • Constructed in less than 5 months - 137 days • 48 MW expansion to begin in 2009 El Dorado PV Power Plant Site: Nevada, USA System Size: 10 MW (AC) Completed: December 2008 System Purchaser: Sempra Generation
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Solar, Inc. 43 Ground Mounted Reference Projects Site: El Dorado, NV, USA System Size: 10 MW (AC) Completed: December 2008 System Purchaser: Sempra Generation Site: MASDAR , Abu Dhabi, UAE System Size: 12 MW (DC) Completed: June 2009 System Developer: Enviromena
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Solar, Inc. 44 Reference Projects System Size: 40 MW Site: Brandis, Germany Irradiance: 1020 kWh/m2 Date Commissioned: December 2008 Project Developer: Juwi Operator: Solar Fund System Owner / Investor: Solar Fund Module Type: FS-265, FS-267, FS-270 Inverter: SMA SC1000 MV Performance Ratio: Annual Energy Yield: 82.5% (predicted) 40 million kWh (predicted) Ground Mounted
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Solar, Inc. 45 Reference Projects Site: Lieberose former military training area Turnow-Preilack, Germany System Size: 53MW Annual Energy Yield: approx. 52 million kWh (projected) Project Developer: Juwi Solar GmbH Number of modules: approx. 700,000 Module Type: FS 272-277 Inverter: SMA SC1250 MW SMA SC 900 MV Ground Mounted
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Solar, Inc. 46 Project Profiles Module Supply – Ground Mount Site: Rote Jahne, Germany System Size: 6 MW Project Developer: juwi Solar Site: Narbonne, France System Size: 7 MW Project Developer: EDF Energies Nouvelles Site: Bullas, Spain System Size: 5 MW Project Developer: Gehrlicher Solar
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Solar, Inc. 47 Ordos City (China) MOU for 2 GW AC Solar PV Plant • Chinese government expanding use of renewable energy – Potential goal of 20 GW by 2020 – Feed-in-tariff expected • MOU signed in presence of Chairman Wu – Agreement with Ordos City to provide 2 GW PV system – Phase 1: 30 MW starting June 1, 2010 – Phase 2 and 3 : 100 MW and 870 MW by 2014 – Phase 4: 1,000 MW by 2019 Mike Ahearn welcomes Chairman Wu Bangguo of the Standing Committee of the National People's Congress of China to First Solar Site: Ordos City, Inner Mongolia Size: 2 GW (AC) Cao Zhichen, vice mayor of Ordos Municipal Government and Mike Ahearn sign MOU
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Solar, Inc. 48 Thank you
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