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COMPUTER BASED FACIES
SIMULATIONS IN OREBODIES:
BENEFITS, DRAWBACKS AND
PRACTICAL EXAMPLES
Geological Society of America Rocky Mountain Section
Friday, 22 May 2015
Mike Bingle-Davis
Kirkwood Oil and Gas
1
Reservoir or Deposit Simulations/Modeling
• End goal is to construct a gridded model
• Contains properties including, porosity, permeability, capillary pressure,
grade, redox. state, etc.
• Wells widely spaced with auxiliary information to enhance model
output values
• Dependent on stage of field development
• Primary : optimize location of new wells or drilling
• Secondary : infilling of data, increasing resolution of modeling
• Tertiary : historical matching becomes possible
2
Gaussian or Normal Distribution /
Plurigaussian Approach
• The Central Limit Theorem
states that the arithmetic mean
of a sufficiently large number of
independent random variables
with be approximately normally
distributed, regardless of
underlying distribution
• Plurigaussian is an approach
where there are multiple
normally distributed attributes
3
SGeMS data formatting
4
5
Example 1 : Reservoir Porosity
Variogram Computational Parameters
• Reduction of the estimation
• Weights placed on each
measurement are spatially
dependent
• Variogram tool allow for fitting
of the function
• Finding the best fitted variogram
can replicate trends within the
dataset
6
7
Sequential Gaussian Simulation of Porosity
8
• Constructs iterative possibilities
• Depending on model stage, each
iteration should be considered
Example 2: Sequential Indicator of Facies
Portion of the facies sequence
1. Continental SS
2. Continental SLTS
3. Mud supported LS
4. Grain supported LS and
DOL
5. Marine SS
Determined as though a
transgressive-regressive
sequence on a very broad
shelf
9
10
Variogram Analysis – Each facies
11
Kriged block diagram result of facies analysis
Example 3: Simulation of a Porphyry Copper
Deposit: Bajo de la Alumbrera, Argentina
Minera Alumbrera Ltd., Argentina
Northern Orion Explorations Ltd.
*thank you SEC
12
13
Geology: Close-up
14
Kriging Zones and Variogram Parameters
Model type Spherical
Nugget 0.1
Sill 0.5
Range along major axis 450 m
Range along minor axis 170 m
Range along vertical
axis
650 m
Direction of major axis
in Grade Zone = 93
150 o
Direction of major axis
in Grade Zone = 94
170 º
Plunge of major axis 0
Dip easterly 0
Distance along major
axis
225 m (Half variogram
range along major axis)
Distance along minor
axis
85 m (Half variogram
range along minor axis)
Distance along vertical
axis
325 m (Half variogram
range along vertical axis)
Anisotropic distances Yes
Block discretization 4 x 4 x 1
15
Copper Block Model based on kriging
algorithm for copper and gold (October 2001)
16
ULTIMATE PIT
BOREHOLES
JUNE 1999 SURFACE
0-0.15% Cu
0.15-0.30% Cu
0.30-0.60% Cu
0.60-1.20% Cu
>1.20% Cu
Block Model with Category
CATEG Category Comments
= 1 Waste All blocks outside the 0.15 %Cu Envelope and Low Grade Halo
(Grade Zone = 93 & 94) or within these domains but with an
undefined kriging variance.
= 2 Measured All blocks with a kriging variance ranged between 0.00 and
0.159 and within the 0.15% Cu Envelope and Low Grade Halo
(Grade Zone = 93 & 94).
= 3 Indicated All blocks with kriging variance ranging between 0.16 and
0.239 and within the 0.15 % Cu Envelope and Low Grade Halo
(Grade Zone = 93 & 94).
= 4 Other All blocks with a kriging variance ranging between 0.24 and
0.319 and within the 0.15 % Cu Envelope and Low Grade Halo
(Grade Zone = 93 & 94).
= 5 Waste All blocks with a kriging variance greater than 0.32 and within
the 0.15 % Cu Envelope and Low Grade Halo (Grade Zone =
93 & 94).
17
Original topo 1996
Topo 2003
Pit Final 2006
0.15% Cu boundary
Low Grade halo
Core
<0.15
0.15
0.45
0.75
0.8
0.6
0.3
% Cu
Works Cited
Abzalov M., Drobov S., Gorbatenko O., Vershkov A., Bertoli O., et al. 2014, Resource estimation of in situ leach uranium projects, Applied Earth Science, Maney Publishing, pp. 71-85, 2014.
Allard D., D’Or D., Biver P., Froidevaux R. 2012, Non-parametric diagrams for pluri-Gaussian simulations of lithologies, 9th International Geostatistical Congress, Oslo, Norway 2012.
Armstrong M., Galli A., Beucher H., LeLoc’h G., Renard D., Doligez B., Eschard R., Geffroy F. 2011, Plurigaussian simulations in geosciences, New York, Springer.
Betzhold J. and Roth C. 2000, Characterizing the mineralogical variability of a Chilean copper deposit using plurigaussian simulations, The Journal of the South African Institute of Mining
and Metallurgy, pp. 111-120, March-April 2000.
Bohling G. 2007, S-GeMS Tutorial Notes, presented in Hydrogeophysics: Theory, Methods and Modeling, Boise State University, June 2007.
Caceres A. 2010, Conditional co-simulation of copper grades and lithofacies in the Rio Blanco – Los Bronces copper deposit, Proceedings of the 4th Annual Conference on Mining Innovation,
2010.
Cherubini C., Giasi C., Musci F., Pastore N. 2009, Application of truncated plurigaussian method for the reactive transport modeling of a contaminated aquifer, Proceedings of the 4th
IASME/WSEAS International Conference on Water Resources, Hydraulics, & Hydrology, 2009.
Deraisme J., Farrow D.
Godbey, K.,Angola, O., 2009, Constraining 3D facies modeling by seismic derived facies probabilities: example from Jonah Field tight gas, The Leading Edge, in press 2009
Hosseini S., Asghari O. 2014, Simulation of geometallurgical variables through stepwise conditional transformation in Sungun copper deposit, Iran, Saudi Society for Geoscientists, 2014.
John A. (ed.) 2010, Porphyry Copper Deposit Model, USGS Scientific Investigations Report 2010-5070-B
Langlais V., Beucher H., Renard D. 2008, In the shade of the truncated gaussian simulation, Proceedings of the Eighth International Geostatistics Congress, 2008.
Remacre A., Zapparolli L. 2003 Application of the plurigaussian simulation technique in reproducing lithofacies with double anisotropy, Brazillian Journal of Geology, pp. 37-42, 2003.
Remy N., Boucher A., Wu J. 2009, Applied geostatistics with SGeMS, New York, Cambridge University Press.
Renard D., Beucher H. 2012 3-D representations of a uranium roll-front deposit, Applied Earth Science, Maney Publishing, pp. 84-88, 2012.
18

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GSA 2015 - Computer Based Facies Simulations in Orebodies: Benefits, Drawbacks, and Practical Examples

  • 1. COMPUTER BASED FACIES SIMULATIONS IN OREBODIES: BENEFITS, DRAWBACKS AND PRACTICAL EXAMPLES Geological Society of America Rocky Mountain Section Friday, 22 May 2015 Mike Bingle-Davis Kirkwood Oil and Gas 1
  • 2. Reservoir or Deposit Simulations/Modeling • End goal is to construct a gridded model • Contains properties including, porosity, permeability, capillary pressure, grade, redox. state, etc. • Wells widely spaced with auxiliary information to enhance model output values • Dependent on stage of field development • Primary : optimize location of new wells or drilling • Secondary : infilling of data, increasing resolution of modeling • Tertiary : historical matching becomes possible 2
  • 3. Gaussian or Normal Distribution / Plurigaussian Approach • The Central Limit Theorem states that the arithmetic mean of a sufficiently large number of independent random variables with be approximately normally distributed, regardless of underlying distribution • Plurigaussian is an approach where there are multiple normally distributed attributes 3
  • 5. 5 Example 1 : Reservoir Porosity
  • 6. Variogram Computational Parameters • Reduction of the estimation • Weights placed on each measurement are spatially dependent • Variogram tool allow for fitting of the function • Finding the best fitted variogram can replicate trends within the dataset 6
  • 7. 7
  • 8. Sequential Gaussian Simulation of Porosity 8 • Constructs iterative possibilities • Depending on model stage, each iteration should be considered
  • 9. Example 2: Sequential Indicator of Facies Portion of the facies sequence 1. Continental SS 2. Continental SLTS 3. Mud supported LS 4. Grain supported LS and DOL 5. Marine SS Determined as though a transgressive-regressive sequence on a very broad shelf 9
  • 11. 11 Kriged block diagram result of facies analysis
  • 12. Example 3: Simulation of a Porphyry Copper Deposit: Bajo de la Alumbrera, Argentina Minera Alumbrera Ltd., Argentina Northern Orion Explorations Ltd. *thank you SEC 12
  • 13. 13
  • 15. Kriging Zones and Variogram Parameters Model type Spherical Nugget 0.1 Sill 0.5 Range along major axis 450 m Range along minor axis 170 m Range along vertical axis 650 m Direction of major axis in Grade Zone = 93 150 o Direction of major axis in Grade Zone = 94 170 º Plunge of major axis 0 Dip easterly 0 Distance along major axis 225 m (Half variogram range along major axis) Distance along minor axis 85 m (Half variogram range along minor axis) Distance along vertical axis 325 m (Half variogram range along vertical axis) Anisotropic distances Yes Block discretization 4 x 4 x 1 15
  • 16. Copper Block Model based on kriging algorithm for copper and gold (October 2001) 16 ULTIMATE PIT BOREHOLES JUNE 1999 SURFACE 0-0.15% Cu 0.15-0.30% Cu 0.30-0.60% Cu 0.60-1.20% Cu >1.20% Cu
  • 17. Block Model with Category CATEG Category Comments = 1 Waste All blocks outside the 0.15 %Cu Envelope and Low Grade Halo (Grade Zone = 93 & 94) or within these domains but with an undefined kriging variance. = 2 Measured All blocks with a kriging variance ranged between 0.00 and 0.159 and within the 0.15% Cu Envelope and Low Grade Halo (Grade Zone = 93 & 94). = 3 Indicated All blocks with kriging variance ranging between 0.16 and 0.239 and within the 0.15 % Cu Envelope and Low Grade Halo (Grade Zone = 93 & 94). = 4 Other All blocks with a kriging variance ranging between 0.24 and 0.319 and within the 0.15 % Cu Envelope and Low Grade Halo (Grade Zone = 93 & 94). = 5 Waste All blocks with a kriging variance greater than 0.32 and within the 0.15 % Cu Envelope and Low Grade Halo (Grade Zone = 93 & 94). 17 Original topo 1996 Topo 2003 Pit Final 2006 0.15% Cu boundary Low Grade halo Core <0.15 0.15 0.45 0.75 0.8 0.6 0.3 % Cu
  • 18. Works Cited Abzalov M., Drobov S., Gorbatenko O., Vershkov A., Bertoli O., et al. 2014, Resource estimation of in situ leach uranium projects, Applied Earth Science, Maney Publishing, pp. 71-85, 2014. Allard D., D’Or D., Biver P., Froidevaux R. 2012, Non-parametric diagrams for pluri-Gaussian simulations of lithologies, 9th International Geostatistical Congress, Oslo, Norway 2012. Armstrong M., Galli A., Beucher H., LeLoc’h G., Renard D., Doligez B., Eschard R., Geffroy F. 2011, Plurigaussian simulations in geosciences, New York, Springer. Betzhold J. and Roth C. 2000, Characterizing the mineralogical variability of a Chilean copper deposit using plurigaussian simulations, The Journal of the South African Institute of Mining and Metallurgy, pp. 111-120, March-April 2000. Bohling G. 2007, S-GeMS Tutorial Notes, presented in Hydrogeophysics: Theory, Methods and Modeling, Boise State University, June 2007. Caceres A. 2010, Conditional co-simulation of copper grades and lithofacies in the Rio Blanco – Los Bronces copper deposit, Proceedings of the 4th Annual Conference on Mining Innovation, 2010. Cherubini C., Giasi C., Musci F., Pastore N. 2009, Application of truncated plurigaussian method for the reactive transport modeling of a contaminated aquifer, Proceedings of the 4th IASME/WSEAS International Conference on Water Resources, Hydraulics, & Hydrology, 2009. Deraisme J., Farrow D. Godbey, K.,Angola, O., 2009, Constraining 3D facies modeling by seismic derived facies probabilities: example from Jonah Field tight gas, The Leading Edge, in press 2009 Hosseini S., Asghari O. 2014, Simulation of geometallurgical variables through stepwise conditional transformation in Sungun copper deposit, Iran, Saudi Society for Geoscientists, 2014. John A. (ed.) 2010, Porphyry Copper Deposit Model, USGS Scientific Investigations Report 2010-5070-B Langlais V., Beucher H., Renard D. 2008, In the shade of the truncated gaussian simulation, Proceedings of the Eighth International Geostatistics Congress, 2008. Remacre A., Zapparolli L. 2003 Application of the plurigaussian simulation technique in reproducing lithofacies with double anisotropy, Brazillian Journal of Geology, pp. 37-42, 2003. Remy N., Boucher A., Wu J. 2009, Applied geostatistics with SGeMS, New York, Cambridge University Press. Renard D., Beucher H. 2012 3-D representations of a uranium roll-front deposit, Applied Earth Science, Maney Publishing, pp. 84-88, 2012. 18

Editor's Notes

  1. Today geologists rely on software packages PETRA, GEOGRAPHIX, VULCAN etc. All use prescribed assumptions Some companies have geostatisticians to ensure that the variables being used are right My limited experience, the default settings are used
  2. Mention other types of geostatistical packages available Hundreds of geostatistical software packages available Price, compatibility, other factors are issues Mention that we will use SGEMS – a freeware program for these examples There are not really any differences, other than the user losing their ability to make subtle changes
  3. This is the basis for all statistical models Small or large, the data should meet the Central Limit Theorm
  4. BRIEF Set up in notepad User defined variables Any number of variables user wants Can look at histograms when entered For each variable May need to apply transformations Log Reciprocal Square root Some purchased software will automatically do these
  5. BRIEF End results 85 Data points Porosity defined by color Lets find any directional trends Done through Variogram analysis – easiest to describe in 2 dimensional space Trends along a 360 degree disk space, rather than spherical
  6. Univatiate statistics may miss statistical trends Variograms fit a model of the spatial correlation of observed phenomenon Values derived from variogram modeling are used further to define weighting in the kriging function
  7. Variogram Parameters Nugget: height of the jump of the semivariogram at the discontinuity at the origin represents variability at distances smaller than typical sampling spacing, i.e. measurement error Sill: limit of the variogram tending to infinity lag distances the semivariance value at which the variogram levels off Range: distance in which the difference of the variogram from the sill becomes negligible lag distance that the semivariogram reaches the sill value
  8. RESULTS Kriging : Derives the best linear estimate of the variable over a given surface Smoothing properties of interpolation algorithms replace local detail and replace with a good average Geologists and reservoir engineers / mining conditions require finer scaled details of reservoir heterogeneity – Kriging is the average of numerous realizations, we may want to see these iterations to determine best fit scenarios
  9. With X,Y and now Z – each facies needs to have its Variogram analyzed SGEMS has GEOSTAT, a subroutine that will complete all of them
  10. BRIEF Results After Variogram analytics – block diagram or other visiual representations can be created
  11. Mine in Argentinean province of Catamarca Translates to “Under the Unbrella” Mine opened in 1997 Cost of opening Mine – 1.2 billion dollars Extraction of 120 million tons per year 650,000 tonnes of concentrate 180,000 tonnes of copper 600,000 ounces of gold Pipelined and shipped for further processing
  12. Geologic data needs to be collected, mapped and interpreted Bajo de la Alumbera geology is characterized by: Topographic low formed by differential erosion Various circles of alteration compose the deposit Framed by andesitic composition Farallon Black volcanic complex Inclusions of a series of dacitic porphyry Mapping by J. Proffett in 1997 defined a total of 7 separate penetrations of volcanics
  13. Structural geology is also invaluable – cross sections Mineralogy Site affected by major post mineralization faulting Normal faulting predominant Main sulfides are chalcopyrite and pyrite Chalcopyrite is main copper ore Gold occurs mainly in free grains – 80-% Chalcopyrite houses approximately 10%
  14. After general geology, structural geology, and mineralogy data are collected Can then begin your Geostatistical interpretations Analysis indicated use of 7 different kriging zones, including the main mineralized porphyry and surrounding andesites These values could be entered into SGEMS as the variables used in the variogram This image represents porphyry extent and estimators at Bench 2,373 Indicates the sheer number of iterations as the geostatistition moves through the porphyry Automated once parameters are set Completed using Kriging algorithm in Medsystem in the Minesight Modeling program
  15. All rock domains were considered hard boundaries