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BUSINESS VALUATION &
FINANCIAL ADVISORY SERVICES
Bank Watch
January 2017
www.mercercapital.com
Are Robo-Advisors on any
Banker’s Wish List?	 1
Upcoming Book: Creating Strategic Value
Through Financial Technology 	 4
Mercer Capital Sponsoring 
Speaking at Bank Director’s
2017 Acquire or Be Acquired Conference  5
Public Market Indicators	 6
MA Market Indicators	 7
Regional Public Bank Peer Reports	 8
About Mercer Capital	 9
© 2017 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 1
Mercer Capital’s Bank Watch January 2017
Are Robo-Advisors on Any
Banker’s Wish List?
Christmas appears to have come early for some bankers and their investors with the
SNL Bank index up over 30% from the November 8, 2016 election to mid-December.
While optimism abounds, one inconvenient truth remains for the time being: ROEs for
the banking industry as a whole remain below pre-financial crisis levels despite credit
costs that are below most historical standards. The factors challenging ROEs for the
sector are numerous but include: compressed net interest margins from a historically
low rate environment, enhanced competition from non-banks, a challenging regulatory
and compliance environment, and evolving consumer preferences regarding the
delivery of financial services.
These factors are particularly acute for most community banks that depend heavily
on spread income and do not have the scale to absorb expense pressures as easily
as their larger brethren. Further, many community banks are at a crossroad because
their ROE consistently has fallen below the cost of capital, which in turn is forcing
boards to consider strategic options like outright sales or potentially risky acquisition
strategies to obtain scale.
In an ideal world, community banks could easily add fee businesses that are capital-
light, such as wealth management and trust operations, to boost returns. By pairing
traditional banking services with other financial services like wealth management,
banks can obtain more touch points for customer relationships, enhance revenue, and
potentially improve the bank’s valuation. While we have previously spoken about the
potential benefits to community banks of acquiring or building out a traditional wealth
management operation, we have not addressed emerging FinTech companies, like
robo-advisors, that are focused on the wealth management space.
While there has been a race to partner and/or acquire robo-advisors by many of the
larger asset managers and banks, there have also been some interesting partnerships
with community banks. One such partnership struck is among Cambridge
Savings Bank, a $3.5 billion bank located near Boston, and SigFig, a robo-advisor
founded in 2007. While SigFig has relationships with UBS and Wells Fargo, its
partnership with Cambridge Savings is notable because the two built a service
called “ConnectInvest.“ When announced in the spring of 2016, the partnership was
described as the “first automated investment service integrated and bundled directly
into a retail bank’s product offerings in the U.S.” ConnectInvest, which is available to
Cambridge’s customers digitally (mobile and website), “allows customers to easily
open, fund, and manage an automated investment account tailored to their goals.”
Cambridge’s customers are interested in the offering and have started using it. The
goal is get up to 10% of its customer base using ConnectInvest.
With this example in mind, the remainder of this article offers an overview of the
robo-advisory space for our community bank readers so that they may gain a better
© 2017 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 2
Mercer Capital’s Bank Watch January 2017
understanding of the key players and their service offerings and assess whether their
bank could benefit from leveraging opportunities in this area.
An Overview of Robo-Advisors
Robo-advisors were noted by the CFA Institute as the FinTech innovation most
likely to have the greatest impact on the financial services industry in the short-
term (one year) and medium-term (five years). Robo-advisory has gained traction
in the past several years as a niche within the FinTech industry by offering online
wealth management tools powered by sophisticated algorithms that can help
investors manage their portfolios at very low costs and with minimal need for human
What We’re Reading
BankDirector released their 2017 Bank MA Survey report which provides some
interesting insights into the outlook for MA activity this year.
Naomi Snyder at BankDirector provides her perspective on the OCC’s recent
announcement that they would start to accept applications for special bank charters
for FinTech companies in a piece entitled “What to Know about the New FinTech
Charter.”
Lastly, Jack Milligan at BankDirector takes a look at an interesting question in his
article “Do the Regulators Want Bigger Banks?”
contact or advice. Technological advances that make the business model possible,
coupled with a loss of consumer trust in the wealth management industry in the
wake of the financial crisis, have created a favorable environment for robo-advisory
startups to disrupt financial advisories, RIAs, and wealth managers. This growth is
forcing traditional incumbents to confront the new entrants by adding the service via
acquisition or partnership rather than dismiss it as a passing fad.
Robo-advisors have been successful for a number of reasons, though like many
digital products low-cost, convenience, and transparency are common attributes.
»» Low Cost. Automated, algorithm-driven decision-making greatly lowers the
cost of financial advice and portfolio management.
»» Accessible. As a result of the lowered cost of financial advice, advanced
investment strategies are more accessible to a wider customer base.
»» Personalized Strategies. Sophisticated algorithms and computer systems
create personalized investment strategies that are highly tailored to the
specific needs of individual investors.
»» Transparent. Through online platforms and mobile apps, clients are able
to view information about their portfolios and enjoy visibility in regard to the
way their money is being managed.
»» Convenient. Portfolio information and management becomes available on-
demand through online platforms and mobile apps.
Consistent with the rise in consumer demand for robo-advisory, investor interest has
grown steadily. While robo-advisory has not drawn the levels of investment seen in other
niches (such as online lending platforms), venture capital funding of robo-advisories
has skyrocketed from almost non-existent levels ten years ago to hundreds of millions
of dollars invested annually the last few years. 2016 saw several notable rounds of
© 2017 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 3
Mercer Capital’s Bank Watch January 2017
investment into not only some of the industry’s largest and most mature players (including
rounds of $100 million for Betterment and $75 million for Personal Capital), but also for
innovative startups just getting off the ground (such as SigFig and Vestmark).
The table to the right provides an overview of the fee schedules, assets under
management and account opening minimums for several of the larger robo-advisors.
The robo-advisors are separated into three tiers.Tier I consists of early robo-advisory
firms who have positioned themselves at the top of the industry. Tier II consists of
more recent robo-advisory startups that are experiencing rapid growth and are ripe
for partnership. Tier III consists of robo-advisory services of traditional players who
have decided to build and run their own technology in-house.
As shown, account opening sizes and fee schedules are lower than many traditional
wealth management firms. The strategic challenge for a number of the FinTech
startups in Tiers I and II is generating enough AUM and scale to produce revenue
sufficient to maintain the significantly lower fee schedules. This can be challenging
since the cost to acquire a new customer can be significant and each of these
startups has required significant venture capital funding to develop. For example,
each of these companies has raised over $100 million of venture capital funding
since inception.
Key Potential Effects of Robo-Advisory
We see five potential effects of robo-advisors entering the financial services
landscape.
1.	 Fee pressure. Robo-advisors may be a niche area for the time being,
but the emergence and success of a technology-driven solution that
challenges an age-old business (wealth management) epitomizes what
has long been associated with internet (and digital) delivery of services:
faster, better, and cheaper.
AUM
(B) Fee Structure
Account
Minimum
Tier I
Betterment $4
0.35% annual fee on $10k,
0.25% on $10k to $100k,
0.15% on $100k+
$0
WealthFront $3 0.25% on all accounts $500
Personal Capital $2
0.89% annually on $1MM,
0.79% on $3MM, 0.69% on
$5MM, 0.59% on $10MM,
0.49% on $10MM
$25,000
Tier II
FutureAdvisor $1
0.5% Annual Fee of assets
managed
$0
SigFig $0
No fee on first $10k,
0.25% annual fee on accounts
over $10k
$2,000
Tier III
Vanguard Personal
Advisor
$31 0.30% annually $50,000
Schwab Intellingent
Portfolio
$5
No fees for account
management and service
$5,000
Source: Mercer Capital Research, Company Websites, as of June 2016
Comparison of Key Metrics of Selected Robo-Advisory Services
© 2017 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 4
Mercer Capital’s Bank Watch January 2017
2.	 The Democratization of Wealth Management. As a result of the low costs
of robo-advisory services, new investors have been able to gain access to
sophisticated investment strategies that, in the past, have only been available
to high net worth, accredited investors.
3.	 Holistic Financial Life Management. As more people have access to
financial advice through robo-advisors, traditional financial advisors are being
forced to move away from return-driven goals for clients and pivot towards
offering a more complete picture of a client’s financial well-being as clients
save for milestones such as retirement, a child’s education, and a new house.
This phenomenon has increased the differentiation pressure on traditional
financial advisors and RIAs, as robo-advisors can offer a holistic snapshot in
a manner that is comprehensive and easy to understand
4.	 Drivers of the Changing Role of the Traditional Financial Advisor.
The potential shift away from return-driven goals could leave the role of the
traditional financial advisor in limbo. This raises the question of what traditional
wealth managers will look like going forward. One potential answer is traditional
financial advisors will tackle more complex issues, such as tax and estate
planning, and leave the more programmed decision-making to robo-advisors.
5.	 Build, Buy, Partner, or Wait and See. As the role of the financial advisor
changes, traditional incumbents like community banks are faced with
determining what they want their relationship with robo-advisory to look like.
In short, incumbents are left with four options: build their own robo-advisory in-
house, buy a startup and adopt its technology, create a strategic partnership
with a startup, or stay in a holding pattern in regard to robo-advisory and
continue business as usual.
Robo-advisoryisanexcitingdevelopmentforwealthmanagersandoffersopportunities
potentially for bankers to expand or develop their offerings in this area. Similar to any
NEW BOOK COMING IN SPRING 2017
Creating Strategic Value
Through Financial Technology
Learn More  Pre-Order
While many bankers view FinTech as a potential
threat, FinTech offers the potential to improve
the health of community banks for those banks
that can selectively leverage FinTech to en-
hance performance, customer satisfaction, and
improve profitability and returns. FinTech can
also help level the playing field for community
banks to compete more effectively with larger
banks and non-bank lenders.
Creating Strategic Value Through Financial
Technology illustrates the potential benefits of
FinTech to banks, both large and small, so that
they can gain a better understanding of FinTech
and how it can create value for their shareholders and enhance the health and
profitability of their institutions.
The book contains 13 chapters broken into three sections. Section I intro-
duces FinTech. Section II explores FinTech niches such as bank technology,
alternative lending, payments, wealth management, and insurance niches.
Section III illustrates how both community banks and FinTech companies can
create strategic value.
© 2017 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 5
Mercer Capital’s Bank Watch January 2017
other growth strategy, the goal will ultimately be for the bank to enhance profitability
and shareholder value by adding desired customer services.
For those bankers who may want to add a robo-advisor to their wish list, the key
question of whether to build, buy, or partner is a challenging one. We will be speaking
at the annual Acquire or Be Acquired (AOBA) conference in January on the topic
of how to develop a framework to better assess this question. Additionally, for those
who may go the investment route via a minority investment or outright acquisition,
we offer some perspective on how to value and structure investments in FinTech
companies like robo-advisors. Given the vast array of FinTech companies emerging
in different areas of financial services, it will be important for bankers to develop a
framework for both assessing potential opportunities and focusing in on those that
provide the greatest potential to enhance profitability and shareholder value. We will
post our slide deck from our AOBA session and make it accessible to BankWatch
readers in the first quarter of 2017, so stay tuned.
Additionally, we have a new book coming in the spring of 2017 – Creating Strategic
Value Through Financial Technology (see page 4). In this book, we illustrate the
potential benefits of FinTech to banks, both large and small, so that they can gain a
better understanding of FinTech and how it can create value for their shareholders
and enhance the health and profitability of their institutions.
As always, please do not hesitate to contact us if we can help in any way.
Jay D. Wilson, Jr., CFA, ASA, CBA
901.322.9725
wilsonj@mercercapital.com
Mercer Capital Sponsoring and Speaking at the Financial Industry’s
Premier Bank MA + Growth Event
Acquire or Be Acquired Conference
Monday, January 30, 2017 | Phoenix, AZ
How to Create Strategic Value
in the Current Environment
Against a backdrop of compressed net interest margins, enhanced
competition from non-banks, rising regulatory and compliance costs and
evolving consumer preferences regarding the delivery of financial services,
many community banks find themselves at a significant inflection point where
traditional growth strategies like building or acquiring an expansive, and
often expensive, branch network are being reexamined. In this session, we
examine how banks can utilize a hybrid approach and co-opt, partner with,
or acquire fintech companies, wealth management and trust operations, and
insurance brokerages.
Presented By
Andrew K. Gibbs
Senior Vice President
Mercer Capital
Chris Nichols
Chief Strategy Officer
CenterState Banks, Inc.
Jay D. Wilson, Jr.
Vice President
Mercer Capital
We will post the slide deck shortly after the conference on www.mercercapital.com
© 2017 Mercer Capital // Data provided by SP Global Market Intelligence 6
Mercer Capital’s Bank Group Index Overview Return Stratification of U.S. Banks
by Asset Size
Median Valuation Multiples
Median Total Return as of December 30, 2016 Median Valuation Multiples as of December 30, 2016
Indices
Month-to-
Date
Quarter-to-
Date
Year-to-
Date
Price/
LTM EPS
Price / 17(E)
EPS
Price /
Book Value
Price /
Tangible Book
Value
Dividend
Yield
Atlantic Coast Index 9.44% 27.54% 40.66% 20.2x 17.8x 139% 155% 1.6%
Midwest Index 14.67% 31.46% 49.11% 19.2x 16.7x 166% 185% 1.8%
Northeast Index 11.19% 28.41% 46.23% 19.2x 16.8x 151% 166% 2.4%
Southeast Index 11.75% 29.32% 38.36% 17.9x 17.3x 134% 134% 1.2%
West Index 13.44% 33.99% 41.92% 20.6x 18.4x 164% 167% 1.5%
Community Bank Index 12.15% 30.22% 43.71% 19.2x 17.5x 150% 167% 1.6%
SNL Bank Index 5.70% 29.48% 25.10%
Mercer Capital’s Public Market Indicators January 2017
Assets $250 -
$500M
Assets $500M
- $1B
Assets $1 -
$5B
Assets $5 -
$10B
Assets  $10B
Month-to-Date 6.56% 8.61% 12.11% 7.37% 5.38%
Quarter-to-Date 16.75% 22.52% 31.83% 29.48% 29.43%
Year-to-Date 25.95% 36.00% 42.05% 40.84% 23.73%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
AsofDecember30,2016
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
December30,2015=100
MCM Index - Community Banks SNL Bank SP 500
© 2017 Mercer Capital // Data provided by SP Global Market Intelligence 7
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
U.S. 19.9% 18.7% 12.0% 6.9% 6.3% 5.4% 4.3% 5.5% 7.5% 7.5% 6.1%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
CoreDepositPremiums
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
U.S. 243% 228% 196% 145% 141% 132% 130% 134% 155% 148% 143%
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
250%
300%
350%
Price/TangibleBookValue
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
U.S. 22.0 22.1 19.9 19.3 21.7 21.9 17.0 16.5 17.5 18.8 18.1
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Price/Last12Months
Earnings
Regions
Price /
LTM
Earnings
Price/
Tang.
BV
Price /
Core Dep
Premium
No.
of
Deals
Median
Deal
Value
Target’s
Median
Assets
Target’s
Median
LTM
ROAE
Atlantic Coast 19.9x 154% 6.8% 18 42.99 395,420 7.38%
Midwest 17.3x 141% 5.8% 65 24.76 113,139 8.02%
Northeast 20.7x 152% 7.4% 6 104.40 735,240 8.28%
Southeast 16.7x 137% 5.7% 22 63.21 185,088 8.07%
West 17.5x 155% 7.2% 14 34.24 196,512 10.77%
National Community
Banks
18.1x 143% 6.1% 125 33.76 178,318 8.21%
Source: SNL Financial
Median Valuation Multiples for MA Deals
Target Banks’ Assets $5B and LTM ROE 5%, 12 months ended December 2016
Median Core Deposit Multiples
Target Banks’ Assets $5B and LTM ROE 5%
Median Price/Tangible Book Value Multiples
Target Banks’ Assets $5B and LTM ROE 5%
Median Price/Earnings Multiples
Target Banks’ Assets $5B and LTM ROE 5%
Mercer Capital’s MA Market Indicators January 2017
Updated weekly, Mercer Capital’s Regional Public Bank Peer Reports offer a closer
look at the market pricing and performance of publicly traded banks in the states of
five U.S. regions. Click on the map to view the reports from the representative region.
© 2017 Mercer Capital // Data provided by SP Global Market Intelligence 8
Atlantic Coast Midwest Northeast
Southeast West
Mercer Capital’s
Regional Public
Bank Peer Reports
Mercer Capital’s Bank Watch January 2017
Mercer Capital assists banks, thrifts, and credit unions with significant corporate
valuation requirements, transactional advisory services, and other strategic
decisions.
Mercer Capital pairs analytical rigor with industry knowledge to deliver unique insight into issues facing banks. These
insights underpin the valuation analyses that are at the heart of Mercer Capital’s services to depository institutions.
»» Bank valuation
»» Financial reporting for banks
»» Goodwill impairment
»» Litigation support
»» Stress Testing
Mercer Capital is a thought-leader among valuation firms in the banking industry. In addition to scores of articles
and books, The ESOP Handbook for Banks, Acquiring a Failed Bank, The Bank Director’s Valuation Handbook,
and Valuing Financial Institutions, Mercer Capital professionals speak at industry and educational conferences.
For more information about Mercer Capital, visit www.mercercapital.com.
Mercer
Capital
Financial Institutions Services
Jeff K. Davis, CFA
615.345.0350
jeffdavis@mercercapital.com
Andrew K. Gibbs, CFA, CPA/ABV
901.322.9726
gibbsa@mercercapital.com
Jay D. Wilson, Jr., CFA, ASA, CBA
901.322.9725
wilsonj@mercercapital.com
MERCER CAPITAL
Memphis
5100 Poplar Avenue, Suite 2600
Memphis, Tennessee 38137
901.685.2120
Dallas
12201 Merit Drive, Suite 480
Dallas, Texas 75251
214.468.8400
Nashville
102 Woodmont Blvd., Suite 231
Nashville, Tennessee 37205
615.345.0350
www.mercercapital.com
Contact Us
Copyright © 2017 Mercer Capital Management, Inc. All rights reserved. It is illegal under Federal law to reproduce this publication or any portion of its contents without the publisher’s permission. Media quotations with source attribution are encouraged.
Reporters requesting additional information or editorial comment should contact Barbara Walters Price at 901.685.2120. Mercer Capital’s Bank Watch is published monthly and does not constitute legal or financial consulting advice. It is offered as an
information service to our clients and friends. Those interested in specific guidance for legal or accounting matters should seek competent professional advice. Inquiries to discuss specific valuation matters are welcomed. To add your name to our mailing list
to receive this complimentary publication, visit our web site at www.mercercapital.com.
»» Loan portfolio valuation
»» Tax compliance
»» Transaction advisory
»» Strategic planning

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Mercer Capital's Bank Watch | January 2017 | Are Robo-Advisors on Any Banker’s Wish List?

  • 1. BUSINESS VALUATION & FINANCIAL ADVISORY SERVICES Bank Watch January 2017 www.mercercapital.com Are Robo-Advisors on any Banker’s Wish List? 1 Upcoming Book: Creating Strategic Value Through Financial Technology 4 Mercer Capital Sponsoring Speaking at Bank Director’s 2017 Acquire or Be Acquired Conference 5 Public Market Indicators 6 MA Market Indicators 7 Regional Public Bank Peer Reports 8 About Mercer Capital 9
  • 2. © 2017 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 1 Mercer Capital’s Bank Watch January 2017 Are Robo-Advisors on Any Banker’s Wish List? Christmas appears to have come early for some bankers and their investors with the SNL Bank index up over 30% from the November 8, 2016 election to mid-December. While optimism abounds, one inconvenient truth remains for the time being: ROEs for the banking industry as a whole remain below pre-financial crisis levels despite credit costs that are below most historical standards. The factors challenging ROEs for the sector are numerous but include: compressed net interest margins from a historically low rate environment, enhanced competition from non-banks, a challenging regulatory and compliance environment, and evolving consumer preferences regarding the delivery of financial services. These factors are particularly acute for most community banks that depend heavily on spread income and do not have the scale to absorb expense pressures as easily as their larger brethren. Further, many community banks are at a crossroad because their ROE consistently has fallen below the cost of capital, which in turn is forcing boards to consider strategic options like outright sales or potentially risky acquisition strategies to obtain scale. In an ideal world, community banks could easily add fee businesses that are capital- light, such as wealth management and trust operations, to boost returns. By pairing traditional banking services with other financial services like wealth management, banks can obtain more touch points for customer relationships, enhance revenue, and potentially improve the bank’s valuation. While we have previously spoken about the potential benefits to community banks of acquiring or building out a traditional wealth management operation, we have not addressed emerging FinTech companies, like robo-advisors, that are focused on the wealth management space. While there has been a race to partner and/or acquire robo-advisors by many of the larger asset managers and banks, there have also been some interesting partnerships with community banks. One such partnership struck is among Cambridge Savings Bank, a $3.5 billion bank located near Boston, and SigFig, a robo-advisor founded in 2007. While SigFig has relationships with UBS and Wells Fargo, its partnership with Cambridge Savings is notable because the two built a service called “ConnectInvest.“ When announced in the spring of 2016, the partnership was described as the “first automated investment service integrated and bundled directly into a retail bank’s product offerings in the U.S.” ConnectInvest, which is available to Cambridge’s customers digitally (mobile and website), “allows customers to easily open, fund, and manage an automated investment account tailored to their goals.” Cambridge’s customers are interested in the offering and have started using it. The goal is get up to 10% of its customer base using ConnectInvest. With this example in mind, the remainder of this article offers an overview of the robo-advisory space for our community bank readers so that they may gain a better
  • 3. © 2017 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 2 Mercer Capital’s Bank Watch January 2017 understanding of the key players and their service offerings and assess whether their bank could benefit from leveraging opportunities in this area. An Overview of Robo-Advisors Robo-advisors were noted by the CFA Institute as the FinTech innovation most likely to have the greatest impact on the financial services industry in the short- term (one year) and medium-term (five years). Robo-advisory has gained traction in the past several years as a niche within the FinTech industry by offering online wealth management tools powered by sophisticated algorithms that can help investors manage their portfolios at very low costs and with minimal need for human What We’re Reading BankDirector released their 2017 Bank MA Survey report which provides some interesting insights into the outlook for MA activity this year. Naomi Snyder at BankDirector provides her perspective on the OCC’s recent announcement that they would start to accept applications for special bank charters for FinTech companies in a piece entitled “What to Know about the New FinTech Charter.” Lastly, Jack Milligan at BankDirector takes a look at an interesting question in his article “Do the Regulators Want Bigger Banks?” contact or advice. Technological advances that make the business model possible, coupled with a loss of consumer trust in the wealth management industry in the wake of the financial crisis, have created a favorable environment for robo-advisory startups to disrupt financial advisories, RIAs, and wealth managers. This growth is forcing traditional incumbents to confront the new entrants by adding the service via acquisition or partnership rather than dismiss it as a passing fad. Robo-advisors have been successful for a number of reasons, though like many digital products low-cost, convenience, and transparency are common attributes. »» Low Cost. Automated, algorithm-driven decision-making greatly lowers the cost of financial advice and portfolio management. »» Accessible. As a result of the lowered cost of financial advice, advanced investment strategies are more accessible to a wider customer base. »» Personalized Strategies. Sophisticated algorithms and computer systems create personalized investment strategies that are highly tailored to the specific needs of individual investors. »» Transparent. Through online platforms and mobile apps, clients are able to view information about their portfolios and enjoy visibility in regard to the way their money is being managed. »» Convenient. Portfolio information and management becomes available on- demand through online platforms and mobile apps. Consistent with the rise in consumer demand for robo-advisory, investor interest has grown steadily. While robo-advisory has not drawn the levels of investment seen in other niches (such as online lending platforms), venture capital funding of robo-advisories has skyrocketed from almost non-existent levels ten years ago to hundreds of millions of dollars invested annually the last few years. 2016 saw several notable rounds of
  • 4. © 2017 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 3 Mercer Capital’s Bank Watch January 2017 investment into not only some of the industry’s largest and most mature players (including rounds of $100 million for Betterment and $75 million for Personal Capital), but also for innovative startups just getting off the ground (such as SigFig and Vestmark). The table to the right provides an overview of the fee schedules, assets under management and account opening minimums for several of the larger robo-advisors. The robo-advisors are separated into three tiers.Tier I consists of early robo-advisory firms who have positioned themselves at the top of the industry. Tier II consists of more recent robo-advisory startups that are experiencing rapid growth and are ripe for partnership. Tier III consists of robo-advisory services of traditional players who have decided to build and run their own technology in-house. As shown, account opening sizes and fee schedules are lower than many traditional wealth management firms. The strategic challenge for a number of the FinTech startups in Tiers I and II is generating enough AUM and scale to produce revenue sufficient to maintain the significantly lower fee schedules. This can be challenging since the cost to acquire a new customer can be significant and each of these startups has required significant venture capital funding to develop. For example, each of these companies has raised over $100 million of venture capital funding since inception. Key Potential Effects of Robo-Advisory We see five potential effects of robo-advisors entering the financial services landscape. 1. Fee pressure. Robo-advisors may be a niche area for the time being, but the emergence and success of a technology-driven solution that challenges an age-old business (wealth management) epitomizes what has long been associated with internet (and digital) delivery of services: faster, better, and cheaper. AUM (B) Fee Structure Account Minimum Tier I Betterment $4 0.35% annual fee on $10k, 0.25% on $10k to $100k, 0.15% on $100k+ $0 WealthFront $3 0.25% on all accounts $500 Personal Capital $2 0.89% annually on $1MM, 0.79% on $3MM, 0.69% on $5MM, 0.59% on $10MM, 0.49% on $10MM $25,000 Tier II FutureAdvisor $1 0.5% Annual Fee of assets managed $0 SigFig $0 No fee on first $10k, 0.25% annual fee on accounts over $10k $2,000 Tier III Vanguard Personal Advisor $31 0.30% annually $50,000 Schwab Intellingent Portfolio $5 No fees for account management and service $5,000 Source: Mercer Capital Research, Company Websites, as of June 2016 Comparison of Key Metrics of Selected Robo-Advisory Services
  • 5. © 2017 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 4 Mercer Capital’s Bank Watch January 2017 2. The Democratization of Wealth Management. As a result of the low costs of robo-advisory services, new investors have been able to gain access to sophisticated investment strategies that, in the past, have only been available to high net worth, accredited investors. 3. Holistic Financial Life Management. As more people have access to financial advice through robo-advisors, traditional financial advisors are being forced to move away from return-driven goals for clients and pivot towards offering a more complete picture of a client’s financial well-being as clients save for milestones such as retirement, a child’s education, and a new house. This phenomenon has increased the differentiation pressure on traditional financial advisors and RIAs, as robo-advisors can offer a holistic snapshot in a manner that is comprehensive and easy to understand 4. Drivers of the Changing Role of the Traditional Financial Advisor. The potential shift away from return-driven goals could leave the role of the traditional financial advisor in limbo. This raises the question of what traditional wealth managers will look like going forward. One potential answer is traditional financial advisors will tackle more complex issues, such as tax and estate planning, and leave the more programmed decision-making to robo-advisors. 5. Build, Buy, Partner, or Wait and See. As the role of the financial advisor changes, traditional incumbents like community banks are faced with determining what they want their relationship with robo-advisory to look like. In short, incumbents are left with four options: build their own robo-advisory in- house, buy a startup and adopt its technology, create a strategic partnership with a startup, or stay in a holding pattern in regard to robo-advisory and continue business as usual. Robo-advisoryisanexcitingdevelopmentforwealthmanagersandoffersopportunities potentially for bankers to expand or develop their offerings in this area. Similar to any NEW BOOK COMING IN SPRING 2017 Creating Strategic Value Through Financial Technology Learn More Pre-Order While many bankers view FinTech as a potential threat, FinTech offers the potential to improve the health of community banks for those banks that can selectively leverage FinTech to en- hance performance, customer satisfaction, and improve profitability and returns. FinTech can also help level the playing field for community banks to compete more effectively with larger banks and non-bank lenders. Creating Strategic Value Through Financial Technology illustrates the potential benefits of FinTech to banks, both large and small, so that they can gain a better understanding of FinTech and how it can create value for their shareholders and enhance the health and profitability of their institutions. The book contains 13 chapters broken into three sections. Section I intro- duces FinTech. Section II explores FinTech niches such as bank technology, alternative lending, payments, wealth management, and insurance niches. Section III illustrates how both community banks and FinTech companies can create strategic value.
  • 6. © 2017 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 5 Mercer Capital’s Bank Watch January 2017 other growth strategy, the goal will ultimately be for the bank to enhance profitability and shareholder value by adding desired customer services. For those bankers who may want to add a robo-advisor to their wish list, the key question of whether to build, buy, or partner is a challenging one. We will be speaking at the annual Acquire or Be Acquired (AOBA) conference in January on the topic of how to develop a framework to better assess this question. Additionally, for those who may go the investment route via a minority investment or outright acquisition, we offer some perspective on how to value and structure investments in FinTech companies like robo-advisors. Given the vast array of FinTech companies emerging in different areas of financial services, it will be important for bankers to develop a framework for both assessing potential opportunities and focusing in on those that provide the greatest potential to enhance profitability and shareholder value. We will post our slide deck from our AOBA session and make it accessible to BankWatch readers in the first quarter of 2017, so stay tuned. Additionally, we have a new book coming in the spring of 2017 – Creating Strategic Value Through Financial Technology (see page 4). In this book, we illustrate the potential benefits of FinTech to banks, both large and small, so that they can gain a better understanding of FinTech and how it can create value for their shareholders and enhance the health and profitability of their institutions. As always, please do not hesitate to contact us if we can help in any way. Jay D. Wilson, Jr., CFA, ASA, CBA 901.322.9725 wilsonj@mercercapital.com Mercer Capital Sponsoring and Speaking at the Financial Industry’s Premier Bank MA + Growth Event Acquire or Be Acquired Conference Monday, January 30, 2017 | Phoenix, AZ How to Create Strategic Value in the Current Environment Against a backdrop of compressed net interest margins, enhanced competition from non-banks, rising regulatory and compliance costs and evolving consumer preferences regarding the delivery of financial services, many community banks find themselves at a significant inflection point where traditional growth strategies like building or acquiring an expansive, and often expensive, branch network are being reexamined. In this session, we examine how banks can utilize a hybrid approach and co-opt, partner with, or acquire fintech companies, wealth management and trust operations, and insurance brokerages. Presented By Andrew K. Gibbs Senior Vice President Mercer Capital Chris Nichols Chief Strategy Officer CenterState Banks, Inc. Jay D. Wilson, Jr. Vice President Mercer Capital We will post the slide deck shortly after the conference on www.mercercapital.com
  • 7. © 2017 Mercer Capital // Data provided by SP Global Market Intelligence 6 Mercer Capital’s Bank Group Index Overview Return Stratification of U.S. Banks by Asset Size Median Valuation Multiples Median Total Return as of December 30, 2016 Median Valuation Multiples as of December 30, 2016 Indices Month-to- Date Quarter-to- Date Year-to- Date Price/ LTM EPS Price / 17(E) EPS Price / Book Value Price / Tangible Book Value Dividend Yield Atlantic Coast Index 9.44% 27.54% 40.66% 20.2x 17.8x 139% 155% 1.6% Midwest Index 14.67% 31.46% 49.11% 19.2x 16.7x 166% 185% 1.8% Northeast Index 11.19% 28.41% 46.23% 19.2x 16.8x 151% 166% 2.4% Southeast Index 11.75% 29.32% 38.36% 17.9x 17.3x 134% 134% 1.2% West Index 13.44% 33.99% 41.92% 20.6x 18.4x 164% 167% 1.5% Community Bank Index 12.15% 30.22% 43.71% 19.2x 17.5x 150% 167% 1.6% SNL Bank Index 5.70% 29.48% 25.10% Mercer Capital’s Public Market Indicators January 2017 Assets $250 - $500M Assets $500M - $1B Assets $1 - $5B Assets $5 - $10B Assets $10B Month-to-Date 6.56% 8.61% 12.11% 7.37% 5.38% Quarter-to-Date 16.75% 22.52% 31.83% 29.48% 29.43% Year-to-Date 25.95% 36.00% 42.05% 40.84% 23.73% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% AsofDecember30,2016 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 December30,2015=100 MCM Index - Community Banks SNL Bank SP 500
  • 8. © 2017 Mercer Capital // Data provided by SP Global Market Intelligence 7 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 U.S. 19.9% 18.7% 12.0% 6.9% 6.3% 5.4% 4.3% 5.5% 7.5% 7.5% 6.1% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% CoreDepositPremiums 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 U.S. 243% 228% 196% 145% 141% 132% 130% 134% 155% 148% 143% 0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250% 300% 350% Price/TangibleBookValue 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 U.S. 22.0 22.1 19.9 19.3 21.7 21.9 17.0 16.5 17.5 18.8 18.1 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Price/Last12Months Earnings Regions Price / LTM Earnings Price/ Tang. BV Price / Core Dep Premium No. of Deals Median Deal Value Target’s Median Assets Target’s Median LTM ROAE Atlantic Coast 19.9x 154% 6.8% 18 42.99 395,420 7.38% Midwest 17.3x 141% 5.8% 65 24.76 113,139 8.02% Northeast 20.7x 152% 7.4% 6 104.40 735,240 8.28% Southeast 16.7x 137% 5.7% 22 63.21 185,088 8.07% West 17.5x 155% 7.2% 14 34.24 196,512 10.77% National Community Banks 18.1x 143% 6.1% 125 33.76 178,318 8.21% Source: SNL Financial Median Valuation Multiples for MA Deals Target Banks’ Assets $5B and LTM ROE 5%, 12 months ended December 2016 Median Core Deposit Multiples Target Banks’ Assets $5B and LTM ROE 5% Median Price/Tangible Book Value Multiples Target Banks’ Assets $5B and LTM ROE 5% Median Price/Earnings Multiples Target Banks’ Assets $5B and LTM ROE 5% Mercer Capital’s MA Market Indicators January 2017
  • 9. Updated weekly, Mercer Capital’s Regional Public Bank Peer Reports offer a closer look at the market pricing and performance of publicly traded banks in the states of five U.S. regions. Click on the map to view the reports from the representative region. © 2017 Mercer Capital // Data provided by SP Global Market Intelligence 8 Atlantic Coast Midwest Northeast Southeast West Mercer Capital’s Regional Public Bank Peer Reports Mercer Capital’s Bank Watch January 2017
  • 10. Mercer Capital assists banks, thrifts, and credit unions with significant corporate valuation requirements, transactional advisory services, and other strategic decisions. Mercer Capital pairs analytical rigor with industry knowledge to deliver unique insight into issues facing banks. These insights underpin the valuation analyses that are at the heart of Mercer Capital’s services to depository institutions. »» Bank valuation »» Financial reporting for banks »» Goodwill impairment »» Litigation support »» Stress Testing Mercer Capital is a thought-leader among valuation firms in the banking industry. In addition to scores of articles and books, The ESOP Handbook for Banks, Acquiring a Failed Bank, The Bank Director’s Valuation Handbook, and Valuing Financial Institutions, Mercer Capital professionals speak at industry and educational conferences. For more information about Mercer Capital, visit www.mercercapital.com. Mercer Capital Financial Institutions Services Jeff K. Davis, CFA 615.345.0350 jeffdavis@mercercapital.com Andrew K. Gibbs, CFA, CPA/ABV 901.322.9726 gibbsa@mercercapital.com Jay D. Wilson, Jr., CFA, ASA, CBA 901.322.9725 wilsonj@mercercapital.com MERCER CAPITAL Memphis 5100 Poplar Avenue, Suite 2600 Memphis, Tennessee 38137 901.685.2120 Dallas 12201 Merit Drive, Suite 480 Dallas, Texas 75251 214.468.8400 Nashville 102 Woodmont Blvd., Suite 231 Nashville, Tennessee 37205 615.345.0350 www.mercercapital.com Contact Us Copyright © 2017 Mercer Capital Management, Inc. All rights reserved. It is illegal under Federal law to reproduce this publication or any portion of its contents without the publisher’s permission. Media quotations with source attribution are encouraged. Reporters requesting additional information or editorial comment should contact Barbara Walters Price at 901.685.2120. Mercer Capital’s Bank Watch is published monthly and does not constitute legal or financial consulting advice. It is offered as an information service to our clients and friends. Those interested in specific guidance for legal or accounting matters should seek competent professional advice. Inquiries to discuss specific valuation matters are welcomed. To add your name to our mailing list to receive this complimentary publication, visit our web site at www.mercercapital.com. »» Loan portfolio valuation »» Tax compliance »» Transaction advisory »» Strategic planning