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www.mercercapital.com
Second Quarter 2018
VALUE FOCUS
Transportation & Logistics
Third Quarter 2022
BUSINESS VALUATION &
FINANCIAL ADVISORY SERVICES
In This Issue
Industry Macro Trends	 1
Trucking 7
Rail  Intermodal	 11
MA Activity	 12
Select Transactions	 13
Public Company
Performance 15
Publicly Traded Companies	 16
About Mercer Capital	 20
© 2022 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 1
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation  Logistics Third Quarter 2022
Industrial Production Index (Seasonally Adjusted)
80
85
90
95
100
105
110
Sep-12
M
ar-13
Sep-13
M
ar-14
Sep-14
M
ar-15
Sep-15
M
ar-16
Sep-16
M
ar-17
Sep-17
M
ar-18
Sep-18
M
ar-19
Sep-19
M
ar-20
Sep-20
M
ar-21
Sep-21
M
ar-22
Sep-22
Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Indexed to 2017
Industry Macro
Trends
Industrial Production Index
Demand for services in the logistics industry is tied
to the level of domestic industrial production.
The Industrial Production Index is an economic
measure of all real output from manufacturing,
mining, electric, and gas utilities. The COVID-19
pandemic resulted in numerous shutdowns
and manufacturing disruptions that resulted in
productivity falling to lows previously seen during
the Great Recession. Production recovered
during the summer months of 2020 and generally
continued its upward trend through 2022. The
index value at the beginning of September 2022
was 104.81, a 0.7% increase from June 2022
and an increase of 4.96% on a year-over-year
basis. The September 2022 index represented
an increase of 3.05% from the pre-COVID level in
February 2020.
© 2022 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 2
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation  Logistics Third Quarter 2022
Industry Macro
Trends
Dow Jones Transportation Index
The Dow Jones Transportation Average (DJTA)
is a price-weighted average of 20 transportation
stocks in the U.S. The DJTA is often interpreted
as a signal of the health of the overall market.
Pre-COVID, the DJTA reached highs in 2020 not
seen since 2018, before dropping rapidly in March
2020. The DJTA then grew steadily from April
2020 through September 2021 before becoming
more volatile in 2022.While still higher than its pre-
COVID level, the DJTA ended September 2022 at
12,058.26, a decline of over 18% on a year-over-
year basis.
Dow Jones Transportation Index
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
9
/
3
/
1
8
1
2
/
3
/
1
8
3
/
3
/
1
9
6
/
3
/
1
9
9
/
3
/
1
9
1
2
/
3
/
1
9
3
/
3
/
2
0
6
/
3
/
2
0
9
/
3
/
2
0
1
2
/
3
/
2
0
3
/
3
/
2
1
6
/
3
/
2
1
9
/
3
/
2
1
1
2
/
3
/
2
1
3
/
3
/
2
2
6
/
3
/
2
2
9
/
3
/
2
2
Daily
Average
Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
© 2022 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 3
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation  Logistics Third Quarter 2022
Industry Macro
Trends
Global Supply Chain Pressure
Index
In January 2022, the Federal Reserve Board of New
York launched a new index designed to track vari-
ous demands and constraints on supply chains. The
Global Supply Chain Pressure Index (GSCPI) com-
bines over 27 data points and indices to provide and
overview of supply chain disruptions and pressure.
Although the GSCPI was released by the Federal
Reserve, some critics of the index are skeptical of
its meaningfulness to the transportation and logistics
industry. When the Federal Reserve launched the
index, they included historical periods back to 1997
,
capturing multiple waves of expansion and recession
in addition to recent pandemic issues. We note that
the GSCPI has been highly volatile since the begin-
ning of the COVID-19 pandemic. The Index peaked
at 4.30 in December 2020. Despite a brief increase
in April 2022, the GSCPI has generally declined
throughout 2022, ending September 2022 below 1.0
for the first time since November 2020.
Global Supply Chain Pressure Index (Sept. 1998 - Sept. 2022)
Global Supply Chain Pressure Index (Sept. 2021 - Oct. 2022)
-2.00
-1.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
S
e
p
-
9
8
S
e
p
-
9
9
S
e
p
-
0
0
S
e
p
-
0
1
S
e
p
-
0
2
S
e
p
-
0
3
S
e
p
-
0
4
S
e
p
-
0
5
S
e
p
-
0
6
S
e
p
-
0
7
S
e
p
-
0
8
S
e
p
-
0
9
S
e
p
-
1
0
S
e
p
-
1
1
S
e
p
-
1
2
S
e
p
-
1
3
S
e
p
-
1
4
S
e
p
-
1
5
S
e
p
-
1
6
S
e
p
-
1
7
S
e
p
-
1
8
S
e
p
-
1
9
S
e
p
-
2
0
S
e
p
-
2
1
S
e
p
-
2
2
Standard
Deviations
from
Average
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
3.50
4.00
4.50
5.00
Sep-21
Oct-21
Nov-21
Dec-21
Jan-22
Feb-22
M
ar-22
Apr-22
M
ay-22
Jun-22
Jul-22
Aug-22
Sep-22
Oct-22
Standard
Deviations
from
Average
© 2022 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 4
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation  Logistics Third Quarter 2022
Industry Macro
Trends
Transportation Services Index
The Transportation Services Index (TSI) measures
freight traffic in the United States, including rail,
trucking, and marine shipping. The TSI increased
0.28% from June 2022 to September 2022 and
increased 4.80% on a year-over-year basis. The
index in September 2022 stood at 142.0.
Transportation Services Index (Freight, Seasonally Adjusted)
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
O
c
t
-
1
2
A
p
r
-
1
3
O
c
t
-
1
3
A
p
r
-
1
4
O
c
t
-
1
4
A
p
r
-
1
5
O
c
t
-
1
5
A
p
r
-
1
6
O
c
t
-
1
6
A
p
r
-
1
7
O
c
t
-
1
7
A
p
r
-
1
8
O
c
t
-
1
8
A
p
r
-
1
9
O
c
t
-
1
9
A
p
r
-
2
0
O
c
t
-
2
0
A
p
r
-
2
1
O
c
t
-
2
1
A
p
r
-
2
2
O
c
t
-
2
2
Source: Bureau of Transportation Statistics Indexed to January 2000
© 2022 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 5
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation  Logistics Third Quarter 2022
Industry Macro
Trends
Cass Freight Index
The Cass Freight Index of shipments and expen-
ditures is considered one of the best indicators of
overall U.S. freight activity. In April 2020, shipments
fell to their lowest levels since January 2010 due to
COVID-19 shutdowns in the U.S. and abroad. Ship-
ments have increased since COVID-induced lows,
though the index has experienced several periods
of decline. While shipments dropped in September
‘22 relative to August ‘22, shipments ended Septem-
ber ‘22 increased 4.8% year-over-year. Expenditures
are relatively unchanged from August ‘22 but have
increased 21.2% year-over-year. The divergence of
the expenditures and the shipments index helps illus-
trate the impact increased demand for transportation
services had on freight pricing. While the demand for
freight capacity remains high, there are signs of mod-
erating demand. The increase in expenditures is also
linked to growing levels of inflation.Also, the capacity
of shipments is limited by a limited supply of tractors.
Shipments
The shipments index hit 1.241 in September
2022, up 4.8% from September 2021. Shipments
increased 2.1% relative to June 2022 and declined
1.4% relative to August 2022.
Cass Freight Index
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
Sep-12
Sep-13
Sep-14
Sep-15
Sep-16
Sep-17
Sep-18
Sep-19
Sep-20
Sep-21
Sep-22
Shipments Expenditures
Source: Cass Information Systems, Inc. Indexed to January 1990
Cass Freight Shipments Index
0.90
1.00
1.10
1.20
1.30
1.40
Jan
Feb
M
ar
Apr
M
ay
Jun Jul
Aug
Sep
O
ct
Nov
Dec
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Source: Cass Information Systems, Inc. Indexed to January 1990
© 2022 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 6
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation  Logistics Third Quarter 2022
Cass Freight Expenditures Index
2.00
2.50
3.00
3.50
4.00
4.50
5.00
Jan
Feb
M
ar
Apr
M
ay
Jun Jul
Aug
Sep
O
ct
Nov
Dec
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Source: Cass Information Systems, Inc.
Indexed to January 1990
Industry Macro
Trends
Expenditures
The expenditures index measures the total
amount spent on freight. The expenditures index
hit 4.627 in September 2022, relatively unchanged
from the prior quarter, and an increase of 21.2%
on an annual basis. The index increased 0.3%
from August 2022. The expenditures index rose
throughout 2021 and the first half of 2022, reaching
previously unrecorded levels. The difficulty in
retaining drivers and purchasing new tractors and
trailers combined with the shift in transportation
suppliers has resulted in rapidly rising freight
prices. Disruptions in marine travel and the threat
of rail strikes have further pressured prices.
The American Trucking Association (ATA)
estimates trucking accounts for almost 72% of
all domestic freight tonnage and over 80% of total
freight expenditures.
© 2022 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 7
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation  Logistics Third Quarter 2022
Trucking Truck Tonnage (Seasonally Adjusted)
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
S
e
p
-
1
2
M
a
r
-
1
3
S
e
p
-
1
3
M
a
r
-
1
4
S
e
p
-
1
4
M
a
r
-
1
5
S
e
p
-
1
5
M
a
r
-
1
6
S
e
p
-
1
6
M
a
r
-
1
7
S
e
p
-
1
7
M
a
r
-
1
8
S
e
p
-
1
8
M
a
r
-
1
9
S
e
p
-
1
9
M
a
r
-
2
0
S
e
p
-
2
0
M
a
r
-
2
1
S
e
p
-
2
1
M
a
r
-
2
2
S
e
p
-
2
2
Seasonally-adjusted
Tonnage
Source: Bureau of Transportation Statistics Indexed to 2015
Truck Tonnage
The Truck Tonnage Index has increased
significantly since April 2020 but did not surpass
pre-COVID levels until mid-2022. The index
reached 119.10 in September 2022, compared to
pre-COVID levels in March 2020 of 116.50. The
truck tonnage index increased 5.6% relative to
September 2021 and 1.5% relative to June 2022.
The index increased 0.6% relative to August 2022.
© 2022 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 8
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation  Logistics Third Quarter 2022
Trucking
Spot vs. Contract Rates
The Spot vs. Contract Rates chart depicts
monthly national average line haul rates and fuel
surcharges from DAT. Shippers enter contracts
that lock in a static contract rate for a period of
time. Spot rates, on the other hand, are one-time
shipping quotes for a specific transaction or series
of transactions. As capacity tightened during
2021, spot rates eclipsed contract rates in the
reefer and van categories, though this effect had
largely normalized by the end of March 2021.
Spot rates have declined on a year-over-year basis,
while contract rates still reflect increases relative
to prior-year rates. This inversion of spot and
contract rates may signal significant declines are
in store for contract rates and indicate a slowing in
freight demand. On a year-over-year basis, reefer
spot rates declined 12% while reefer contract
rates increased 15%. Similarly, flatbed spot rates
decline 5.5% while flatbed contract rates are 9%
higher than they were in September 2021. Dry van
spot rates declined 13% year-over-year, while dry
van contract rates increased almost 9% during the
prior twelve months.
Spot vs. Contract Rates (Jun. 2021 - Sept. 2022)
$1.60
$1.80
$2.00
$2.20
$2.40
$2.60
$2.80
$3.00
$3.20
$3.40
$3.60
$3.80
$4.00
Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep
2021 2022
Reefer Spot Flatbed Spot Dry Van Spot
Reefer Contract Flatbed Contract Dry Van Contract
Source: DAT
© 2022 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 9
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation  Logistics Third Quarter 2022
Trucking
Spot vs. Contract Rates (cont.)
Conversely, all classes of rates have declined on
both a quarterly and month-over-month basis.
Flatbed rates have posted the largest quarterly
declines, with spot and contract rates decreasing
16% and 7.5%, respectively. Dry van rates have
declined on the order of 9% and 6.5%. Reefer
spot and contract rates have declined 2% and
0.3%, respectively. These declines reflect rate
normalization and a reversion to pre-pandemic
pricing norms. Additionally, retail inventories have
continued to grow, reducing demand for immediate
spot-rate transportation.
Spot vs. Contract Rates (Jun. 2020 - Sept. 2022)
$1.40
$1.60
$1.80
$2.00
$2.20
$2.40
$2.60
$2.80
$3.00
$3.20
$3.40
$3.60
$3.80
$4.00
Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep
2020 2021 2021 2022
Reefer Spot Flatbed Spot Dry Van Spot
Reefer Contract Flatbed Contract Dry Van Contract
Source: DAT
© 2022 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 10
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation  Logistics Third Quarter 2022
Trucking
Load-to-Truck Ratio
The load-to-truck ratio is calculated by dividing the
total number of loads for shipment by the total number
of trucks available. The load-to-truck ratio can signal
a shortage or excess of capacity, which in turn
influences changes in freight. An increase in the ratio
(i.e., a higher number of loads relative to the level of
available trucks) is typically associated with shipping
rate increases. While economic factors typically push
supply and demand, compression or expansion that
occurs faster in the shipping industry can accelerate
movements faster than the overall economy.
Van, reefer, and flatbed classes experienced
decreases of 9%, 10%, and 65%, respectively, in
the third quarter of 2022 compared to the previous
quarter. On a year-over-year basis, van, reefer, and
flatbed classes experienced decreases of 44%, 53%,
72%, respectively. The decrease in the van ratio is
attributable largely to growing inventory levels as
retailers back off their COVID-induced purchasing
frenzy. Reefer classes, which experienced a poor
summer produce season are also being impacted by
lower-than-average pumpkin harvests and decreased
demand from Florida shippers following the impacts
of several hurricanes. The flatbed ratio, which is
usually strongly tied to manufacturing and housing
construction, continued to decline due to ongoing
weaknesses.
Dry Van Load-to-Truck
Reefer Load-to-Truck
Flatbed Load-to-Truck
0.0
2.5
5.0
7.5
10.0
12.5
Sep-19
Dec-19
M
ar-20
Jun-20
Sep-20
Dec-20
M
ar-21
Jun-21
Sep-21
Dec-21
M
ar-22
Jun-22
Sep-22
0.0
4.0
8.0
12.0
16.0
20.0
24.0
Sep-19
Dec-19
M
ar-20
Jun-20
Sep-20
Dec-20
M
ar-21
Jun-21
Sep-21
Dec-21
M
ar-22
Jun-22
Sep-22
0.0
25.0
50.0
75.0
100.0
125.0
Sep-19
Dec-19
M
ar-20
Jun-20
Sep-20
Dec-20
M
ar-21
Jun-21
Sep-21
Dec-21
M
ar-22
Jun-22
Sep-22
Source: DAT
© 2022 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 11
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation  Logistics Third Quarter 2022
Rail 
Intermodal
Rail Freight Intermodal Traffic
600,000
700,000
800,000
900,000
1,000,000
1,100,000
1,200,000
1,300,000
1,400,000
S
e
p
-
1
2
S
e
p
-
1
3
S
e
p
-
1
4
S
e
p
-
1
5
S
e
p
-
1
6
S
e
p
-
1
7
S
e
p
-
1
8
S
e
p
-
1
9
S
e
p
-
2
0
S
e
p
-
2
1
Rail
Carloads
(Seasonally
Adjusted)
Source: Bureau of Transportation Statistics
Rail Freight Intermodal Traffic
As reported by the Bureau of Transportation
Statistics, intermodal shipments index has
declined each month since June 2022. Rail
freight intermodal traffic posted a decrease of
4.5% on a year-over-year basis compounding
declines experienced in the second half of
2021. Ongoing labor disputes among the largest
railroad companies and key workers’ unions may
cause further rail disruption in the fourth quarter
of 2022.
S
e
p
-
2
2
© 2022 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 12
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation  Logistics Third Quarter 2022
MA Activity
Featured Transactions
Cougar Express Acquires New York Area
Import-Export Logistics Company
TFII Continues Acquisition Streak
Cougar Express completed its acquisition of JFK
Cartage, Inc. on August 4, 2022. Cougar Express
acquired New York-based JFK Cartage for $1.7
million, which reflects approximately 0.5x revenue.
TFI International (TSX:TFII) continued fueling
its growth with three acquisitions that closed in
July 2022. The three targets were an oversized
shipments carrier, a food-grade tank carrier, and a
flatbed carrier.
Heartland Acquires Former TFII Subsidiary Hub Group Completed $103 Million Acquisition
Heartland Express (HTLD) acquired truckload
carrier Transportation Resources, Inc., which
was previously owned by a TFII subsidiary. HTLD
paid $525 million, which is 0.9x revenue of
Transportation Resources.
Hub Group, Inc. (HUBG) completed its $103 million
acquisition of TAGG Logistics, LLC on August 22,
2022.
© 2022 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 13
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation  Logistics Third Quarter 2022
Select Transactions
Date
Announced
Deal
Status
Total
Deal Value
Deal Value to
Target Buyer Sales EBITDA
Trucking
JFK Cartage Inc. Cougar Express Inc. 6/30/22 Closed 1.70 0.5 -
Equipment and terminal assets of Teal's Express Inc. Pitt Ohio, LLC 7/6/22 Announced - - -
Command Delivery Systems, Inc. TCI Environmental Services Inc. 7/7/22 Closed - - -
Connors Transfer Limited Shoreland Transport 7/7/22 Closed - - -
KT Transport Ltd Jardine Transport Ltd. 7/11/22 Closed - - -
Assets of American Highway, Inc. and Quality Leasing, LLC Nations Capital, Inc. 7/12/22 Closed - - -
TIBC Rentals and Transportation Space City Services LLC 7/5/22 Closed - - -
Mercury Transport Inc. Majestic Steel USA, Inc. 7/14/22 Closed - - -
Quest Global Inc. KLLM Transport Services, Inc. 7/14/22 Closed - - -
Jet Star, Inc. Penn Tank Lines, Inc. 7/13/22 Closed - - -
Quality Cartage, Inc. Ward Transport  Logistics Corp. 7/18/22 Closed - - -
1297683 Alberta Ltd. Mullen Group Ltd. (TSX:MTL) 7/21/22 Closed 19.47 - -
Selected Assets of Premium Ventures Inc TFI International Inc. (TSX:TFII) 7/28/22 Closed - - -
Selected Assets of Cedar Creek Express, LLC and DDW
Transportation, LLC
TFI International Inc. (TSX:TFII) 7/28/22 Closed - - -
South Shore Transportation Company, Inc. TFI International Inc. (TSX:TFII) 7/28/22 Closed - - -
Doughboys Express, Inc./DNK Express Inc Backhaul Direct, LLC 8/11/22 Closed - - -
Hicks-Co Inc. A.N. Webber Logistics Inc. 8/2/22 Closed - - -
Firebird Bulk Carriers, Inc./Phoenix Oil, Inc. GulfMark Asset Holdings, Inc. 8/15/22 Closed 48.88 - -
SRQ Transport, Inc. - 8/19/22 Closed - - -
Transportation Resources, Inc. Heartland Express, Inc. (NasdaqGS:HTLD) 8/22/22 Closed 525.00 0.9 -
Source: SP Global Market Intelligence
in USD millions
© 2022 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 14
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation  Logistics Third Quarter 2022
Date
Announced
Deal
Status
Total
Deal Value
Deal Value to
Target Buyer Sales EBITDA
Rail
Cando Rail Services Ltd. Alberta Investment Management Corporation 7/20/22 Announced - - -
Pioneer Lines, Inc. Patriot Rail Company LLC 8/8/22 Closed - - -
Marine
Worldwide Terminals Fernandina, LLC Transportation Infrastructure Partners LLC 7/14/22 Closed - - -
M/G Transport Holdings LLC Maritime Partners, LLC 8/10/22 Announced - - -
Air Freight and Logistics
Merchants Automotive Group, LLC Bain Capital, LP 7/21/22 Closed - - -
Martinaire Aviation, L.L.C. Xwing, Inc. 7/28/22 Closed - - -
ShipNetwork - 8/1/22 Closed - - -
Canada Cartage System Limited Mubadala Capital 8/8/22 Announced - - -
Pixior, LLC SEKO Worldwide, LLC 8/9/22 Closed - - -
Go Direct Global Inc. Crown Capital Partners Inc. (TSX:CRWN) 8/11/22 Closed - - -
Need It Now Delivers, LLC Geodis SA 8/16/22 Closed - - -
Partners Warehouse LLC Red Arts Capital 8/18/22 Closed - - -
Delivery Drivers, Inc. Walmart Inc. (NYSE:WMT) 8/18/22 Announced - - -
TAGG Logistics, LLC Hub Group, Inc. (NasdaqGS:HUBG) 8/22/22 Closed 102.66 - -
Source: SP Global Market Intelligence
in USD millions
Select Transactions (cont.)
© 2022 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 15
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation  Logistics Third Quarter 2022
Public
Company
Performance
Monthly Median TEV/EBITDA Multiples (as of September 30, 2022)
© 2022 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 16
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation  Logistics Third Quarter 2022
LTM LTM Multiples Forward Multiples
Company Name Ticker
Price at
9/30/22
QoQ
Price
Change
Enterprise
Value
Debt /
Total
Capital
Return on
Assets Rev.
EBITDA
Margin
EV /
Rev.
EV /
EBITDA
Price /
Earn.
EV /
EBITDA
Price /
Earn.
Truckload
J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. JBHT $156.42 -1% $17,663 8% 1230% $14,661 14% 1.2x 8.9x 16.1x 8.7x 16.0x
Ryder System, Inc. R $75.49 6% $10,580 63% 539% $11,523 25% 0.9x 3.6x 4.6x 3.3x 4.7x
Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. KNX $48.93 6% $9,834 20% 672% $7,502 24% 1.3x 5.5x 9.0x 5.5x 9.4x
Landstar System, Inc. LSTR $144.37 -1% $5,365 2% 1902% $7,710 8% 0.7x 8.3x 11.7x 8.5x 12.3x
Schneider National, Inc. SNDR $20.30 -9% $3,448 -5% 1057% $6,618 15% 0.5x 3.4x 7.5x 3.6x 7.8x
Werner Enterprises, Inc. WERN $37.60 -2% $2,849 16% 602% $3,194 17% 0.9x 5.3x 9.2x 4.7x 10.5x
Heartland Express, Inc. HTLD $14.31 3% $1,032 -9% 403% $761 26% 1.4x 5.3x 8.2x 3.9x 11.7x
Daseke, Inc. DSKE $5.41 -15% $969 58% 523% $1,759 11% 0.6x 5.2x 6.8x 4.1x 8.5x
Universal Logistics Holdings, Inc. ULH $31.72 16% $1,338 38% 1164% $2,024 14% 0.7x 4.6x 5.5x 4.2x 5.0x
Marten Transport, Ltd. MRTN $19.16 14% $1,484 -5% 858% $1,208 20% 1.2x 6.2x 14.2x 5.8x 14.1x
Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. CVLG $28.70 14% $521 20% 758% $1,215 12% 0.4x 3.6x 3.6x 3.4x 4.8x
P.A.M. Transportation Services, Inc. PTSI $30.96 13% $885 22% 1309% $923 21% 1.0x 4.5x 6.9x 4.4x 7.0x
U.S. Xpress Enterprises, Inc. USX $2.46 -8% $846 85% -88% $2,150 2% 0.4x 16.3x nm 13.4x nm
Titanium Transportation Group Inc. TTNM $1.65 3% $137 46% 733% $362 8% 0.4x 4.6x 4.7x 3.3x 4.8x
Patriot Transportation Holding, Inc. PATI $7.86 6% $20 -35% -9% $85 9% 0.2x 2.8x 4.1x nm nm
Median 3% 20% 14.3% 0.7x 5.2x 7.2x 4.3x 8.5x
Source: SP Global Market Intelligence
USD millions except per share values | Financial statement data as of Q3 2022, except for PATI and STER. RLGT data excluded due to delayed filings.
Publicly Traded Companies
© 2022 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 17
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation  Logistics Third Quarter 2022
LTM LTM Multiples Forward Multiples
Company Name Ticker
Price at
9/30/22
QoQ
Price
Change
Enterprise
Value
Debt /
Total
Capital
Return on
Assets Rev.
EBITDA
Margin
EV /
Rev.
EV /
EBITDA
Price /
Earn.
EV /
EBITDA
Price /
Earn.
Less-Than-Truckload
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. ODFL $248.77 -3% $27,485 -1% 2365% $6,179 33% 4.4x 13.4x 20.9x 13.2x 20.9x
Saia, Inc. SAIA $190.00 1% $5,012 0% 1513% $2,753 23% 1.8x 8.0x 13.9x 7.8x 13.9x
ArcBest Corporation ARCB $72.73 3% $1,934 8% 1223% $5,265 11% 0.4x 3.4x 5.5x 3.2x 5.2x
Mullen Group Ltd. MTL $10.37 18% $1,563 38% 546% $1,412 14% 1.1x 8.1x 11.3x 6.2x 9.6x
Yellow Corporation YELL $5.07 73% $1,707 85% 356% $5,353 5% 0.3x 6.0x nm 4.5x 7.3x
Median 3% 8% 14% 1.1x 8.0x 12.6x 6.2x 9.6x
Air Freight
Atlas Air Worldwide Holdings, Inc. AAWW $95.57 55% $4,370 38% 618% $4,505 21% 1.0x 4.7x 6.7x 4.8x 6.9x
Air T, Inc. AIRT $17.12 4% $200 76% 315% $208 6% 1.0x 15.8x nm nm nm
Forward Air Corporation FWRD $90.26 -2% $2,698 10% 1421% $1,952 15% 1.4x 9.0x 12.7x 8.3x 12.0x
Air Transport Services Group, Inc. ATSG $24.09 -16% $3,159 44% 552% $1,995 32% 1.6x 5.0x 8.9x 4.9x 10.6x
Cargojet Inc. CJT $81.28 -27% $1,798 22% 760% $691 31% 2.6x 8.4x 6.7x 7.1x 14.1x
Median -2% 38% 21% 1.4x 8.4x 7.8x 6.0x 11.3x
Source: SP Global Market Intelligence
USD millions except per share values | Financial statement data as of Q3 2022, except for PATI and STER. RLGT data excluded due to delayed filings.
Publicly Traded Companies
© 2022 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 18
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation  Logistics Third Quarter 2022
LTM LTM Multiples Forward Multiples
Company Name Ticker
Price at
9/30/22
QoQ
Price
Change
Enterprise
Value
Debt /
Total
Capital
Return on
Assets Rev.
EBITDA
Margin
EV /
Rev.
EV /
EBITDA
Price /
Earn.
EV /
EBITDA
Price /
Earn.
Marine
Kirby Corporation KEX $60.77 0% $4,938 26% 188% $2,646 14% 1.9x 13.6x 37.9x 12.2x 29.2x
Atlas Corp. ATCO $13.90 30% $10,026 58% 407% $1,513 66% 6.6x 10.0x 6.2x 8.5x 7.4x
Matson, Inc. MATX $61.52 -16% $2,839 16% 2669% $4,808 37% 0.6x 1.6x 1.7x 1.8x 2.2x
Eagle Bulk Shipping Inc. EGLE $43.18 -17% $856 31% 1611% $753 48% 1.1x 2.4x 1.9x 2.5x 2.6x
Pangaea Logistics Solutions, Ltd. PANL $4.62 -9% $471 55% 1083% $806 19% 0.6x 3.2x 2.7x 3.4x 2.4x
Global Ship Lease, Inc. GSL $15.78 -4% $1,499 61% 1114% $583 64% 2.6x 4.0x 2.0x 3.6x 2.0x
Genco Shipping  Trading Limited GNK $12.53 -35% $670 21% 1174% $593 46% 1.1x 2.4x 2.4x 3.0x 3.3x
Algoma Central Corporation ALC $11.73 -6% $662 33% 420% $471 23% 1.4x 6.0x 6.0x 4.3x 6.7x
Median -7% 32% 1.3x 3.6x 2.5x 3.5x 2.9x
Source: SP Global Market Intelligence
USD millions except per share values | Financial statement data as of Q3 2022, except for PATI and STER. RLGT data excluded due to delayed filings.
Publicly Traded Companies
© 2022 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 19
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation  Logistics Third Quarter 2022
LTM LTM Multiples Forward Multiples
Company Name Ticker
Price at
9/30/22
QoQ
Price
Change
Enterprise
Value
Debt /
Total
Capital
Return on
Assets Rev.
EBITDA
Margin
EV /
Rev.
EV /
EBITDA
Price /
Earn.
EV /
EBITDA
Price /
Earn.
Railroads
Union Pacific Corporation UNP $194.82 -9% $154,443 21% 980% $24,428 50% 6.3x 12.6x 17.2x 12.4x 16.9x
Canadian National Railway Company CNR $108.66 -3% $84,701 12% 944% $11,885 56% 7.1x 12.7x 20.8x 13.2x 19.5x
CSX Corporation CSX $26.64 -8% $72,996 22% 881% $14,550 50% 5.0x 10.0x 14.0x 9.8x 14.0x
Norfolk Southern Corporation NSC $209.65 -8% $63,570 23% 782% $12,360 49% 5.1x 10.4x 15.2x 10.4x 15.4x
Canadian Pacific Railway Limited CP $67.16 -4% $77,173 19% 459% $6,112 53% 12.6x 23.7x 30.9x 24.0x 24.1x
Median -8% 21% 6.3x 12.6x 17.2x 12.4x 16.9x
Logistics  Intermodal
United Parcel Service, Inc. UPS $161.54 -12% $151,795 8% 1278% $101,076 17% 1.5x 9.0x 12.5x 8.9x 12.5x
FedEx Corporation FDX $148.47 -35% $69,430 44% 421% $91,683 13% 0.8x 5.7x 7.5x 6.4x 7.2x
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. EXPD $88.31 -9% $12,983 -11% 1999% $19,026 12% 0.7x 5.8x 9.1x 6.4x 9.9x
TFI International Inc. TFII $91.05 14% $10,030 20% 1062% $8,997 14% 1.1x 8.1x 11.1x 6.9x 11.2x
XPO Logistics, Inc. XPO $44.52 -8% $8,429 39% 687% $13,108 11% 0.6x 6.0x 5.8x 6.5x 8.4x
GXO Logistics, Inc. GXO $35.06 -19% $7,751 46% 261% $8,788 7% 0.9x 11.9x 20.1x 10.7x 12.6x
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. CHRW $96.31 -5% $14,314 17% 1297% $26,132 6% 0.5x 9.9x 11.1x 9.9x 12.1x
Forward Air Corporation FWRD $90.26 -2% $2,698 10% 1421% $1,952 15% 1.4x 9.0x 12.7x 8.3x 12.0x
Hub Group, Inc. HUBG $68.98 -3% $2,429 2% 1212% $5,311 12% 0.5x 3.8x 6.6x 3.9x 6.5x
Air Transport Services Group, Inc. ATSG $24.09 -16% $3,159 44% 552% $1,995 32% 1.6x 5.0x 8.9x 4.9x 10.6x
Radiant Logistics, Inc. RLGT $5.69 -23% nm nm nm nm nm nm nm nm nm nm
Median -9% 18% 0.8x 7.0x 10.1x 6.7x 10.9x
Source: SP Global Market Intelligence
USD millions except per share values | Financial statement data as of Q3 2022, except for PATI and STER. RLGT data excluded due to delayed filings.
Publicly Traded Companies
Mercer
Capital
Transportation  Logistics
Industry Services
Contact Us
Copyright © 2022 Mercer Capital Management, Inc. All rights reserved. It is illegal under Federal law to reproduce this publication or any portion of its contents without the publisher’s permission. Media quotations with source attribution are encouraged.
Reporters requesting additional information or editorial comment should contact Barbara Walters Price at 901.685.2120. Mercer Capital’s Industry Focus is published quarterly and does not constitute legal or financial consulting advice. It is offered as an
information service to our clients and friends. Those interested in specific guidance for legal or accounting matters should seek competent professional advice. Inquiries to discuss specific valuation matters are welcomed. To add your name to our mailing
list to receive this complimentary publication, visit our web site at www.mercercapital.com.
Mercer Capital provides valuation and transaction advisory
services to the transportation  logistics industry.
Industry Segments
Mercer Capital serves the following industry
segments:
• Trucking
• Air Freight
• Marine
• Railroads
• Logistics  Intermodal
Contact a Mercer Capital professional to discuss your needs in confidence.
Timothy R. Lee, ASA
901.322.9740
leet@mercercapital.com
Nicholas J. Heinz, ASA
901.685.2120
heinzn@mercercapital.com
Scott A. Womack, ASA, MAFF
615.345.0234
womacks@mercercapital.com
Samantha L. Albert, ASA
901.322.9702
alberts@mercercapital.com
Thomas G. Kasierski
832.378.8065
kasierskit@mercercapital.com
www.mercercapital.com
BUSINESS VALUATION 
FINANCIAL ADVISORY SERVICES
Services Provided
• Valuation of transportation and logistics companies
• Transaction advisory for acquisitions and
divestitures
• Valuations for purchase accounting and impairment
testing
• Fairness and solvency opinions
• Litigation support for economic damages and
valuation and shareholder disputes
Mercer Capital
www.mercercapital.com

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Mercer Capital's Value Focus: Transportation & Logistics | Q3 2022

  • 1. www.mercercapital.com Second Quarter 2018 VALUE FOCUS Transportation & Logistics Third Quarter 2022 BUSINESS VALUATION & FINANCIAL ADVISORY SERVICES In This Issue Industry Macro Trends 1 Trucking 7 Rail Intermodal 11 MA Activity 12 Select Transactions 13 Public Company Performance 15 Publicly Traded Companies 16 About Mercer Capital 20
  • 2. © 2022 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 1 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation Logistics Third Quarter 2022 Industrial Production Index (Seasonally Adjusted) 80 85 90 95 100 105 110 Sep-12 M ar-13 Sep-13 M ar-14 Sep-14 M ar-15 Sep-15 M ar-16 Sep-16 M ar-17 Sep-17 M ar-18 Sep-18 M ar-19 Sep-19 M ar-20 Sep-20 M ar-21 Sep-21 M ar-22 Sep-22 Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Indexed to 2017 Industry Macro Trends Industrial Production Index Demand for services in the logistics industry is tied to the level of domestic industrial production. The Industrial Production Index is an economic measure of all real output from manufacturing, mining, electric, and gas utilities. The COVID-19 pandemic resulted in numerous shutdowns and manufacturing disruptions that resulted in productivity falling to lows previously seen during the Great Recession. Production recovered during the summer months of 2020 and generally continued its upward trend through 2022. The index value at the beginning of September 2022 was 104.81, a 0.7% increase from June 2022 and an increase of 4.96% on a year-over-year basis. The September 2022 index represented an increase of 3.05% from the pre-COVID level in February 2020.
  • 3. © 2022 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 2 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation Logistics Third Quarter 2022 Industry Macro Trends Dow Jones Transportation Index The Dow Jones Transportation Average (DJTA) is a price-weighted average of 20 transportation stocks in the U.S. The DJTA is often interpreted as a signal of the health of the overall market. Pre-COVID, the DJTA reached highs in 2020 not seen since 2018, before dropping rapidly in March 2020. The DJTA then grew steadily from April 2020 through September 2021 before becoming more volatile in 2022.While still higher than its pre- COVID level, the DJTA ended September 2022 at 12,058.26, a decline of over 18% on a year-over- year basis. Dow Jones Transportation Index 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 18,000 9 / 3 / 1 8 1 2 / 3 / 1 8 3 / 3 / 1 9 6 / 3 / 1 9 9 / 3 / 1 9 1 2 / 3 / 1 9 3 / 3 / 2 0 6 / 3 / 2 0 9 / 3 / 2 0 1 2 / 3 / 2 0 3 / 3 / 2 1 6 / 3 / 2 1 9 / 3 / 2 1 1 2 / 3 / 2 1 3 / 3 / 2 2 6 / 3 / 2 2 9 / 3 / 2 2 Daily Average Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
  • 4. © 2022 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 3 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation Logistics Third Quarter 2022 Industry Macro Trends Global Supply Chain Pressure Index In January 2022, the Federal Reserve Board of New York launched a new index designed to track vari- ous demands and constraints on supply chains. The Global Supply Chain Pressure Index (GSCPI) com- bines over 27 data points and indices to provide and overview of supply chain disruptions and pressure. Although the GSCPI was released by the Federal Reserve, some critics of the index are skeptical of its meaningfulness to the transportation and logistics industry. When the Federal Reserve launched the index, they included historical periods back to 1997 , capturing multiple waves of expansion and recession in addition to recent pandemic issues. We note that the GSCPI has been highly volatile since the begin- ning of the COVID-19 pandemic. The Index peaked at 4.30 in December 2020. Despite a brief increase in April 2022, the GSCPI has generally declined throughout 2022, ending September 2022 below 1.0 for the first time since November 2020. Global Supply Chain Pressure Index (Sept. 1998 - Sept. 2022) Global Supply Chain Pressure Index (Sept. 2021 - Oct. 2022) -2.00 -1.00 0.00 1.00 2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00 S e p - 9 8 S e p - 9 9 S e p - 0 0 S e p - 0 1 S e p - 0 2 S e p - 0 3 S e p - 0 4 S e p - 0 5 S e p - 0 6 S e p - 0 7 S e p - 0 8 S e p - 0 9 S e p - 1 0 S e p - 1 1 S e p - 1 2 S e p - 1 3 S e p - 1 4 S e p - 1 5 S e p - 1 6 S e p - 1 7 S e p - 1 8 S e p - 1 9 S e p - 2 0 S e p - 2 1 S e p - 2 2 Standard Deviations from Average 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00 3.50 4.00 4.50 5.00 Sep-21 Oct-21 Nov-21 Dec-21 Jan-22 Feb-22 M ar-22 Apr-22 M ay-22 Jun-22 Jul-22 Aug-22 Sep-22 Oct-22 Standard Deviations from Average
  • 5. © 2022 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 4 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation Logistics Third Quarter 2022 Industry Macro Trends Transportation Services Index The Transportation Services Index (TSI) measures freight traffic in the United States, including rail, trucking, and marine shipping. The TSI increased 0.28% from June 2022 to September 2022 and increased 4.80% on a year-over-year basis. The index in September 2022 stood at 142.0. Transportation Services Index (Freight, Seasonally Adjusted) 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 O c t - 1 2 A p r - 1 3 O c t - 1 3 A p r - 1 4 O c t - 1 4 A p r - 1 5 O c t - 1 5 A p r - 1 6 O c t - 1 6 A p r - 1 7 O c t - 1 7 A p r - 1 8 O c t - 1 8 A p r - 1 9 O c t - 1 9 A p r - 2 0 O c t - 2 0 A p r - 2 1 O c t - 2 1 A p r - 2 2 O c t - 2 2 Source: Bureau of Transportation Statistics Indexed to January 2000
  • 6. © 2022 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 5 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation Logistics Third Quarter 2022 Industry Macro Trends Cass Freight Index The Cass Freight Index of shipments and expen- ditures is considered one of the best indicators of overall U.S. freight activity. In April 2020, shipments fell to their lowest levels since January 2010 due to COVID-19 shutdowns in the U.S. and abroad. Ship- ments have increased since COVID-induced lows, though the index has experienced several periods of decline. While shipments dropped in September ‘22 relative to August ‘22, shipments ended Septem- ber ‘22 increased 4.8% year-over-year. Expenditures are relatively unchanged from August ‘22 but have increased 21.2% year-over-year. The divergence of the expenditures and the shipments index helps illus- trate the impact increased demand for transportation services had on freight pricing. While the demand for freight capacity remains high, there are signs of mod- erating demand. The increase in expenditures is also linked to growing levels of inflation.Also, the capacity of shipments is limited by a limited supply of tractors. Shipments The shipments index hit 1.241 in September 2022, up 4.8% from September 2021. Shipments increased 2.1% relative to June 2022 and declined 1.4% relative to August 2022. Cass Freight Index 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 Sep-12 Sep-13 Sep-14 Sep-15 Sep-16 Sep-17 Sep-18 Sep-19 Sep-20 Sep-21 Sep-22 Shipments Expenditures Source: Cass Information Systems, Inc. Indexed to January 1990 Cass Freight Shipments Index 0.90 1.00 1.10 1.20 1.30 1.40 Jan Feb M ar Apr M ay Jun Jul Aug Sep O ct Nov Dec 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Source: Cass Information Systems, Inc. Indexed to January 1990
  • 7. © 2022 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 6 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation Logistics Third Quarter 2022 Cass Freight Expenditures Index 2.00 2.50 3.00 3.50 4.00 4.50 5.00 Jan Feb M ar Apr M ay Jun Jul Aug Sep O ct Nov Dec 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Source: Cass Information Systems, Inc. Indexed to January 1990 Industry Macro Trends Expenditures The expenditures index measures the total amount spent on freight. The expenditures index hit 4.627 in September 2022, relatively unchanged from the prior quarter, and an increase of 21.2% on an annual basis. The index increased 0.3% from August 2022. The expenditures index rose throughout 2021 and the first half of 2022, reaching previously unrecorded levels. The difficulty in retaining drivers and purchasing new tractors and trailers combined with the shift in transportation suppliers has resulted in rapidly rising freight prices. Disruptions in marine travel and the threat of rail strikes have further pressured prices. The American Trucking Association (ATA) estimates trucking accounts for almost 72% of all domestic freight tonnage and over 80% of total freight expenditures.
  • 8. © 2022 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 7 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation Logistics Third Quarter 2022 Trucking Truck Tonnage (Seasonally Adjusted) 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 S e p - 1 2 M a r - 1 3 S e p - 1 3 M a r - 1 4 S e p - 1 4 M a r - 1 5 S e p - 1 5 M a r - 1 6 S e p - 1 6 M a r - 1 7 S e p - 1 7 M a r - 1 8 S e p - 1 8 M a r - 1 9 S e p - 1 9 M a r - 2 0 S e p - 2 0 M a r - 2 1 S e p - 2 1 M a r - 2 2 S e p - 2 2 Seasonally-adjusted Tonnage Source: Bureau of Transportation Statistics Indexed to 2015 Truck Tonnage The Truck Tonnage Index has increased significantly since April 2020 but did not surpass pre-COVID levels until mid-2022. The index reached 119.10 in September 2022, compared to pre-COVID levels in March 2020 of 116.50. The truck tonnage index increased 5.6% relative to September 2021 and 1.5% relative to June 2022. The index increased 0.6% relative to August 2022.
  • 9. © 2022 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 8 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation Logistics Third Quarter 2022 Trucking Spot vs. Contract Rates The Spot vs. Contract Rates chart depicts monthly national average line haul rates and fuel surcharges from DAT. Shippers enter contracts that lock in a static contract rate for a period of time. Spot rates, on the other hand, are one-time shipping quotes for a specific transaction or series of transactions. As capacity tightened during 2021, spot rates eclipsed contract rates in the reefer and van categories, though this effect had largely normalized by the end of March 2021. Spot rates have declined on a year-over-year basis, while contract rates still reflect increases relative to prior-year rates. This inversion of spot and contract rates may signal significant declines are in store for contract rates and indicate a slowing in freight demand. On a year-over-year basis, reefer spot rates declined 12% while reefer contract rates increased 15%. Similarly, flatbed spot rates decline 5.5% while flatbed contract rates are 9% higher than they were in September 2021. Dry van spot rates declined 13% year-over-year, while dry van contract rates increased almost 9% during the prior twelve months. Spot vs. Contract Rates (Jun. 2021 - Sept. 2022) $1.60 $1.80 $2.00 $2.20 $2.40 $2.60 $2.80 $3.00 $3.20 $3.40 $3.60 $3.80 $4.00 Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep 2021 2022 Reefer Spot Flatbed Spot Dry Van Spot Reefer Contract Flatbed Contract Dry Van Contract Source: DAT
  • 10. © 2022 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 9 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation Logistics Third Quarter 2022 Trucking Spot vs. Contract Rates (cont.) Conversely, all classes of rates have declined on both a quarterly and month-over-month basis. Flatbed rates have posted the largest quarterly declines, with spot and contract rates decreasing 16% and 7.5%, respectively. Dry van rates have declined on the order of 9% and 6.5%. Reefer spot and contract rates have declined 2% and 0.3%, respectively. These declines reflect rate normalization and a reversion to pre-pandemic pricing norms. Additionally, retail inventories have continued to grow, reducing demand for immediate spot-rate transportation. Spot vs. Contract Rates (Jun. 2020 - Sept. 2022) $1.40 $1.60 $1.80 $2.00 $2.20 $2.40 $2.60 $2.80 $3.00 $3.20 $3.40 $3.60 $3.80 $4.00 Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep 2020 2021 2021 2022 Reefer Spot Flatbed Spot Dry Van Spot Reefer Contract Flatbed Contract Dry Van Contract Source: DAT
  • 11. © 2022 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 10 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation Logistics Third Quarter 2022 Trucking Load-to-Truck Ratio The load-to-truck ratio is calculated by dividing the total number of loads for shipment by the total number of trucks available. The load-to-truck ratio can signal a shortage or excess of capacity, which in turn influences changes in freight. An increase in the ratio (i.e., a higher number of loads relative to the level of available trucks) is typically associated with shipping rate increases. While economic factors typically push supply and demand, compression or expansion that occurs faster in the shipping industry can accelerate movements faster than the overall economy. Van, reefer, and flatbed classes experienced decreases of 9%, 10%, and 65%, respectively, in the third quarter of 2022 compared to the previous quarter. On a year-over-year basis, van, reefer, and flatbed classes experienced decreases of 44%, 53%, 72%, respectively. The decrease in the van ratio is attributable largely to growing inventory levels as retailers back off their COVID-induced purchasing frenzy. Reefer classes, which experienced a poor summer produce season are also being impacted by lower-than-average pumpkin harvests and decreased demand from Florida shippers following the impacts of several hurricanes. The flatbed ratio, which is usually strongly tied to manufacturing and housing construction, continued to decline due to ongoing weaknesses. Dry Van Load-to-Truck Reefer Load-to-Truck Flatbed Load-to-Truck 0.0 2.5 5.0 7.5 10.0 12.5 Sep-19 Dec-19 M ar-20 Jun-20 Sep-20 Dec-20 M ar-21 Jun-21 Sep-21 Dec-21 M ar-22 Jun-22 Sep-22 0.0 4.0 8.0 12.0 16.0 20.0 24.0 Sep-19 Dec-19 M ar-20 Jun-20 Sep-20 Dec-20 M ar-21 Jun-21 Sep-21 Dec-21 M ar-22 Jun-22 Sep-22 0.0 25.0 50.0 75.0 100.0 125.0 Sep-19 Dec-19 M ar-20 Jun-20 Sep-20 Dec-20 M ar-21 Jun-21 Sep-21 Dec-21 M ar-22 Jun-22 Sep-22 Source: DAT
  • 12. © 2022 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 11 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation Logistics Third Quarter 2022 Rail Intermodal Rail Freight Intermodal Traffic 600,000 700,000 800,000 900,000 1,000,000 1,100,000 1,200,000 1,300,000 1,400,000 S e p - 1 2 S e p - 1 3 S e p - 1 4 S e p - 1 5 S e p - 1 6 S e p - 1 7 S e p - 1 8 S e p - 1 9 S e p - 2 0 S e p - 2 1 Rail Carloads (Seasonally Adjusted) Source: Bureau of Transportation Statistics Rail Freight Intermodal Traffic As reported by the Bureau of Transportation Statistics, intermodal shipments index has declined each month since June 2022. Rail freight intermodal traffic posted a decrease of 4.5% on a year-over-year basis compounding declines experienced in the second half of 2021. Ongoing labor disputes among the largest railroad companies and key workers’ unions may cause further rail disruption in the fourth quarter of 2022. S e p - 2 2
  • 13. © 2022 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 12 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation Logistics Third Quarter 2022 MA Activity Featured Transactions Cougar Express Acquires New York Area Import-Export Logistics Company TFII Continues Acquisition Streak Cougar Express completed its acquisition of JFK Cartage, Inc. on August 4, 2022. Cougar Express acquired New York-based JFK Cartage for $1.7 million, which reflects approximately 0.5x revenue. TFI International (TSX:TFII) continued fueling its growth with three acquisitions that closed in July 2022. The three targets were an oversized shipments carrier, a food-grade tank carrier, and a flatbed carrier. Heartland Acquires Former TFII Subsidiary Hub Group Completed $103 Million Acquisition Heartland Express (HTLD) acquired truckload carrier Transportation Resources, Inc., which was previously owned by a TFII subsidiary. HTLD paid $525 million, which is 0.9x revenue of Transportation Resources. Hub Group, Inc. (HUBG) completed its $103 million acquisition of TAGG Logistics, LLC on August 22, 2022.
  • 14. © 2022 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 13 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation Logistics Third Quarter 2022 Select Transactions Date Announced Deal Status Total Deal Value Deal Value to Target Buyer Sales EBITDA Trucking JFK Cartage Inc. Cougar Express Inc. 6/30/22 Closed 1.70 0.5 - Equipment and terminal assets of Teal's Express Inc. Pitt Ohio, LLC 7/6/22 Announced - - - Command Delivery Systems, Inc. TCI Environmental Services Inc. 7/7/22 Closed - - - Connors Transfer Limited Shoreland Transport 7/7/22 Closed - - - KT Transport Ltd Jardine Transport Ltd. 7/11/22 Closed - - - Assets of American Highway, Inc. and Quality Leasing, LLC Nations Capital, Inc. 7/12/22 Closed - - - TIBC Rentals and Transportation Space City Services LLC 7/5/22 Closed - - - Mercury Transport Inc. Majestic Steel USA, Inc. 7/14/22 Closed - - - Quest Global Inc. KLLM Transport Services, Inc. 7/14/22 Closed - - - Jet Star, Inc. Penn Tank Lines, Inc. 7/13/22 Closed - - - Quality Cartage, Inc. Ward Transport Logistics Corp. 7/18/22 Closed - - - 1297683 Alberta Ltd. Mullen Group Ltd. (TSX:MTL) 7/21/22 Closed 19.47 - - Selected Assets of Premium Ventures Inc TFI International Inc. (TSX:TFII) 7/28/22 Closed - - - Selected Assets of Cedar Creek Express, LLC and DDW Transportation, LLC TFI International Inc. (TSX:TFII) 7/28/22 Closed - - - South Shore Transportation Company, Inc. TFI International Inc. (TSX:TFII) 7/28/22 Closed - - - Doughboys Express, Inc./DNK Express Inc Backhaul Direct, LLC 8/11/22 Closed - - - Hicks-Co Inc. A.N. Webber Logistics Inc. 8/2/22 Closed - - - Firebird Bulk Carriers, Inc./Phoenix Oil, Inc. GulfMark Asset Holdings, Inc. 8/15/22 Closed 48.88 - - SRQ Transport, Inc. - 8/19/22 Closed - - - Transportation Resources, Inc. Heartland Express, Inc. (NasdaqGS:HTLD) 8/22/22 Closed 525.00 0.9 - Source: SP Global Market Intelligence in USD millions
  • 15. © 2022 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 14 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation Logistics Third Quarter 2022 Date Announced Deal Status Total Deal Value Deal Value to Target Buyer Sales EBITDA Rail Cando Rail Services Ltd. Alberta Investment Management Corporation 7/20/22 Announced - - - Pioneer Lines, Inc. Patriot Rail Company LLC 8/8/22 Closed - - - Marine Worldwide Terminals Fernandina, LLC Transportation Infrastructure Partners LLC 7/14/22 Closed - - - M/G Transport Holdings LLC Maritime Partners, LLC 8/10/22 Announced - - - Air Freight and Logistics Merchants Automotive Group, LLC Bain Capital, LP 7/21/22 Closed - - - Martinaire Aviation, L.L.C. Xwing, Inc. 7/28/22 Closed - - - ShipNetwork - 8/1/22 Closed - - - Canada Cartage System Limited Mubadala Capital 8/8/22 Announced - - - Pixior, LLC SEKO Worldwide, LLC 8/9/22 Closed - - - Go Direct Global Inc. Crown Capital Partners Inc. (TSX:CRWN) 8/11/22 Closed - - - Need It Now Delivers, LLC Geodis SA 8/16/22 Closed - - - Partners Warehouse LLC Red Arts Capital 8/18/22 Closed - - - Delivery Drivers, Inc. Walmart Inc. (NYSE:WMT) 8/18/22 Announced - - - TAGG Logistics, LLC Hub Group, Inc. (NasdaqGS:HUBG) 8/22/22 Closed 102.66 - - Source: SP Global Market Intelligence in USD millions Select Transactions (cont.)
  • 16. © 2022 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 15 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation Logistics Third Quarter 2022 Public Company Performance Monthly Median TEV/EBITDA Multiples (as of September 30, 2022)
  • 17. © 2022 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 16 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation Logistics Third Quarter 2022 LTM LTM Multiples Forward Multiples Company Name Ticker Price at 9/30/22 QoQ Price Change Enterprise Value Debt / Total Capital Return on Assets Rev. EBITDA Margin EV / Rev. EV / EBITDA Price / Earn. EV / EBITDA Price / Earn. Truckload J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. JBHT $156.42 -1% $17,663 8% 1230% $14,661 14% 1.2x 8.9x 16.1x 8.7x 16.0x Ryder System, Inc. R $75.49 6% $10,580 63% 539% $11,523 25% 0.9x 3.6x 4.6x 3.3x 4.7x Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. KNX $48.93 6% $9,834 20% 672% $7,502 24% 1.3x 5.5x 9.0x 5.5x 9.4x Landstar System, Inc. LSTR $144.37 -1% $5,365 2% 1902% $7,710 8% 0.7x 8.3x 11.7x 8.5x 12.3x Schneider National, Inc. SNDR $20.30 -9% $3,448 -5% 1057% $6,618 15% 0.5x 3.4x 7.5x 3.6x 7.8x Werner Enterprises, Inc. WERN $37.60 -2% $2,849 16% 602% $3,194 17% 0.9x 5.3x 9.2x 4.7x 10.5x Heartland Express, Inc. HTLD $14.31 3% $1,032 -9% 403% $761 26% 1.4x 5.3x 8.2x 3.9x 11.7x Daseke, Inc. DSKE $5.41 -15% $969 58% 523% $1,759 11% 0.6x 5.2x 6.8x 4.1x 8.5x Universal Logistics Holdings, Inc. ULH $31.72 16% $1,338 38% 1164% $2,024 14% 0.7x 4.6x 5.5x 4.2x 5.0x Marten Transport, Ltd. MRTN $19.16 14% $1,484 -5% 858% $1,208 20% 1.2x 6.2x 14.2x 5.8x 14.1x Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. CVLG $28.70 14% $521 20% 758% $1,215 12% 0.4x 3.6x 3.6x 3.4x 4.8x P.A.M. Transportation Services, Inc. PTSI $30.96 13% $885 22% 1309% $923 21% 1.0x 4.5x 6.9x 4.4x 7.0x U.S. Xpress Enterprises, Inc. USX $2.46 -8% $846 85% -88% $2,150 2% 0.4x 16.3x nm 13.4x nm Titanium Transportation Group Inc. TTNM $1.65 3% $137 46% 733% $362 8% 0.4x 4.6x 4.7x 3.3x 4.8x Patriot Transportation Holding, Inc. PATI $7.86 6% $20 -35% -9% $85 9% 0.2x 2.8x 4.1x nm nm Median 3% 20% 14.3% 0.7x 5.2x 7.2x 4.3x 8.5x Source: SP Global Market Intelligence USD millions except per share values | Financial statement data as of Q3 2022, except for PATI and STER. RLGT data excluded due to delayed filings. Publicly Traded Companies
  • 18. © 2022 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 17 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation Logistics Third Quarter 2022 LTM LTM Multiples Forward Multiples Company Name Ticker Price at 9/30/22 QoQ Price Change Enterprise Value Debt / Total Capital Return on Assets Rev. EBITDA Margin EV / Rev. EV / EBITDA Price / Earn. EV / EBITDA Price / Earn. Less-Than-Truckload Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. ODFL $248.77 -3% $27,485 -1% 2365% $6,179 33% 4.4x 13.4x 20.9x 13.2x 20.9x Saia, Inc. SAIA $190.00 1% $5,012 0% 1513% $2,753 23% 1.8x 8.0x 13.9x 7.8x 13.9x ArcBest Corporation ARCB $72.73 3% $1,934 8% 1223% $5,265 11% 0.4x 3.4x 5.5x 3.2x 5.2x Mullen Group Ltd. MTL $10.37 18% $1,563 38% 546% $1,412 14% 1.1x 8.1x 11.3x 6.2x 9.6x Yellow Corporation YELL $5.07 73% $1,707 85% 356% $5,353 5% 0.3x 6.0x nm 4.5x 7.3x Median 3% 8% 14% 1.1x 8.0x 12.6x 6.2x 9.6x Air Freight Atlas Air Worldwide Holdings, Inc. AAWW $95.57 55% $4,370 38% 618% $4,505 21% 1.0x 4.7x 6.7x 4.8x 6.9x Air T, Inc. AIRT $17.12 4% $200 76% 315% $208 6% 1.0x 15.8x nm nm nm Forward Air Corporation FWRD $90.26 -2% $2,698 10% 1421% $1,952 15% 1.4x 9.0x 12.7x 8.3x 12.0x Air Transport Services Group, Inc. ATSG $24.09 -16% $3,159 44% 552% $1,995 32% 1.6x 5.0x 8.9x 4.9x 10.6x Cargojet Inc. CJT $81.28 -27% $1,798 22% 760% $691 31% 2.6x 8.4x 6.7x 7.1x 14.1x Median -2% 38% 21% 1.4x 8.4x 7.8x 6.0x 11.3x Source: SP Global Market Intelligence USD millions except per share values | Financial statement data as of Q3 2022, except for PATI and STER. RLGT data excluded due to delayed filings. Publicly Traded Companies
  • 19. © 2022 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 18 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation Logistics Third Quarter 2022 LTM LTM Multiples Forward Multiples Company Name Ticker Price at 9/30/22 QoQ Price Change Enterprise Value Debt / Total Capital Return on Assets Rev. EBITDA Margin EV / Rev. EV / EBITDA Price / Earn. EV / EBITDA Price / Earn. Marine Kirby Corporation KEX $60.77 0% $4,938 26% 188% $2,646 14% 1.9x 13.6x 37.9x 12.2x 29.2x Atlas Corp. ATCO $13.90 30% $10,026 58% 407% $1,513 66% 6.6x 10.0x 6.2x 8.5x 7.4x Matson, Inc. MATX $61.52 -16% $2,839 16% 2669% $4,808 37% 0.6x 1.6x 1.7x 1.8x 2.2x Eagle Bulk Shipping Inc. EGLE $43.18 -17% $856 31% 1611% $753 48% 1.1x 2.4x 1.9x 2.5x 2.6x Pangaea Logistics Solutions, Ltd. PANL $4.62 -9% $471 55% 1083% $806 19% 0.6x 3.2x 2.7x 3.4x 2.4x Global Ship Lease, Inc. GSL $15.78 -4% $1,499 61% 1114% $583 64% 2.6x 4.0x 2.0x 3.6x 2.0x Genco Shipping Trading Limited GNK $12.53 -35% $670 21% 1174% $593 46% 1.1x 2.4x 2.4x 3.0x 3.3x Algoma Central Corporation ALC $11.73 -6% $662 33% 420% $471 23% 1.4x 6.0x 6.0x 4.3x 6.7x Median -7% 32% 1.3x 3.6x 2.5x 3.5x 2.9x Source: SP Global Market Intelligence USD millions except per share values | Financial statement data as of Q3 2022, except for PATI and STER. RLGT data excluded due to delayed filings. Publicly Traded Companies
  • 20. © 2022 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 19 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation Logistics Third Quarter 2022 LTM LTM Multiples Forward Multiples Company Name Ticker Price at 9/30/22 QoQ Price Change Enterprise Value Debt / Total Capital Return on Assets Rev. EBITDA Margin EV / Rev. EV / EBITDA Price / Earn. EV / EBITDA Price / Earn. Railroads Union Pacific Corporation UNP $194.82 -9% $154,443 21% 980% $24,428 50% 6.3x 12.6x 17.2x 12.4x 16.9x Canadian National Railway Company CNR $108.66 -3% $84,701 12% 944% $11,885 56% 7.1x 12.7x 20.8x 13.2x 19.5x CSX Corporation CSX $26.64 -8% $72,996 22% 881% $14,550 50% 5.0x 10.0x 14.0x 9.8x 14.0x Norfolk Southern Corporation NSC $209.65 -8% $63,570 23% 782% $12,360 49% 5.1x 10.4x 15.2x 10.4x 15.4x Canadian Pacific Railway Limited CP $67.16 -4% $77,173 19% 459% $6,112 53% 12.6x 23.7x 30.9x 24.0x 24.1x Median -8% 21% 6.3x 12.6x 17.2x 12.4x 16.9x Logistics Intermodal United Parcel Service, Inc. UPS $161.54 -12% $151,795 8% 1278% $101,076 17% 1.5x 9.0x 12.5x 8.9x 12.5x FedEx Corporation FDX $148.47 -35% $69,430 44% 421% $91,683 13% 0.8x 5.7x 7.5x 6.4x 7.2x Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. EXPD $88.31 -9% $12,983 -11% 1999% $19,026 12% 0.7x 5.8x 9.1x 6.4x 9.9x TFI International Inc. TFII $91.05 14% $10,030 20% 1062% $8,997 14% 1.1x 8.1x 11.1x 6.9x 11.2x XPO Logistics, Inc. XPO $44.52 -8% $8,429 39% 687% $13,108 11% 0.6x 6.0x 5.8x 6.5x 8.4x GXO Logistics, Inc. GXO $35.06 -19% $7,751 46% 261% $8,788 7% 0.9x 11.9x 20.1x 10.7x 12.6x C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. CHRW $96.31 -5% $14,314 17% 1297% $26,132 6% 0.5x 9.9x 11.1x 9.9x 12.1x Forward Air Corporation FWRD $90.26 -2% $2,698 10% 1421% $1,952 15% 1.4x 9.0x 12.7x 8.3x 12.0x Hub Group, Inc. HUBG $68.98 -3% $2,429 2% 1212% $5,311 12% 0.5x 3.8x 6.6x 3.9x 6.5x Air Transport Services Group, Inc. ATSG $24.09 -16% $3,159 44% 552% $1,995 32% 1.6x 5.0x 8.9x 4.9x 10.6x Radiant Logistics, Inc. RLGT $5.69 -23% nm nm nm nm nm nm nm nm nm nm Median -9% 18% 0.8x 7.0x 10.1x 6.7x 10.9x Source: SP Global Market Intelligence USD millions except per share values | Financial statement data as of Q3 2022, except for PATI and STER. RLGT data excluded due to delayed filings. Publicly Traded Companies
  • 21. Mercer Capital Transportation Logistics Industry Services Contact Us Copyright © 2022 Mercer Capital Management, Inc. All rights reserved. It is illegal under Federal law to reproduce this publication or any portion of its contents without the publisher’s permission. Media quotations with source attribution are encouraged. Reporters requesting additional information or editorial comment should contact Barbara Walters Price at 901.685.2120. Mercer Capital’s Industry Focus is published quarterly and does not constitute legal or financial consulting advice. It is offered as an information service to our clients and friends. Those interested in specific guidance for legal or accounting matters should seek competent professional advice. Inquiries to discuss specific valuation matters are welcomed. To add your name to our mailing list to receive this complimentary publication, visit our web site at www.mercercapital.com. Mercer Capital provides valuation and transaction advisory services to the transportation logistics industry. Industry Segments Mercer Capital serves the following industry segments: • Trucking • Air Freight • Marine • Railroads • Logistics Intermodal Contact a Mercer Capital professional to discuss your needs in confidence. Timothy R. Lee, ASA 901.322.9740 leet@mercercapital.com Nicholas J. Heinz, ASA 901.685.2120 heinzn@mercercapital.com Scott A. Womack, ASA, MAFF 615.345.0234 womacks@mercercapital.com Samantha L. Albert, ASA 901.322.9702 alberts@mercercapital.com Thomas G. Kasierski 832.378.8065 kasierskit@mercercapital.com www.mercercapital.com BUSINESS VALUATION FINANCIAL ADVISORY SERVICES Services Provided • Valuation of transportation and logistics companies • Transaction advisory for acquisitions and divestitures • Valuations for purchase accounting and impairment testing • Fairness and solvency opinions • Litigation support for economic damages and valuation and shareholder disputes