Chance/Brooks
An Introduction to Derivatives and Risk
Management, 9th ed.
Ch. 1: 0
Chapter 1: Introduction
Financial markets teach you humility. Two years ago, I made these
related forecasts. First I forecast the euro would strengthen as
European economic recovery picked up and the US economy
slowed. Second, I forecast euro strength would be augmented over the
next five years by a reduction of Europe's $100 billion to $150 billion
of excess dollar reserves. Third, I forecast that the authorities would be
less concerned over exchange rates, would only intervene after bigger
exchange rate moves, and so exchange rate volatility would rise.
Interestingly, people still ask for my opinion.
Avinash Persaud, Managing director,
Global Markets Analysis, State Street Bank
Risk, October, 2000, p. 29
© 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Chance/Brooks
An Introduction to Derivatives and Risk
Management, 9th ed.
Ch. 1: 0
Important Concepts in Chapter 1
n Different types of derivatives
n Presuppositions for financial markets, risk preferences,
risk-return tradeoff, and market efficiency
n Theoretical fair value
n Arbitrage, storage, and delivery
n The role of derivative markets
n Criticisms of derivatives
n Ethics
© 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Chance/Brooks
An Introduction to Derivatives and Risk
Management, 9th ed.
Ch. 1: 0
n Business risk vs. financial risk
n Derivatives
u A derivative is a financial instrument whose return is derived from the
return on another instrument.
n Size of the OTC derivatives market at year-end 2010
u $601 trillion notional principal
u GDP is only $15 trillion
u See Figure 1.1 and Figure 1.2
n Real vs. financial assets
© 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Chance/Brooks
An Introduction to Derivatives and Risk
Management, 9th ed.
Ch. 1: 0
Derivative Markets and Instruments
n Derivative Markets
u Over-the-counter and exchange traded
u Exchange traded derivatives volume in 2010 was over 22 billion contracts
on at least 78 derivatives exchanges, according to Futures Industry
magazine (a leading source of derivatives industry information
u Derivatives trade all over the world
u See Table 1.1 for the top ten derivatives exchanges
© 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Chance/Brooks
An Introduction to Derivatives and Risk
Management, 9th ed.
Ch. 1: 0
Derivative Markets and Instruments
n Options
u Definition: a contract between two parties that gives one party, the buyer,
the right to buy or sell something from or to the other part ...