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Ride With Via
Insights for the 2017 service expansion
By Maren Scott
December 2016
Series A: Data Analytics -- Cohort 2
1
A typical
New York
moment...
2
“I’ll just order an uber”
3
4
“Ugh. Come on!”
5
“Bus it is.
Next one is in 3 minutes anyway”
6
10 MINUTES LATER
7
8
“YOU HAVE GOT TO BE
KIDDING ME”
9
We’ve all been there...
10
Via can fix that.
11
12
Founded in 2012 and CEO Daniel Ramot and Oren Shoval
Raised $70 million in investments as of 2016
Currently services 16 square miles of NYC*
*Manhattan up to 125th street and North Williamsburg
What is Via?
Think of Via as a bus that’s smart enough to
arrive when you want it and where you want it.
13
The Question: Where to go next?
The 2017 MTA fare hike presents a unique opportunity for Via to expand it’s services.
More New Yorkers are already looking for affordable, practical alternatives to public
transportation.
What’s the most strategic location to extend our services to next?
14
Assumptions
For pricing purposes, expansion options are limited
to:
1. Areas bordering current service zones
2. An area roughly the size of the first 2 expansions
3. Concentration of commercial activity or rapid
residential growth
15
16
Nadia
The Young Professional
● Age 26
● Works in Midtown East
● “Brunch Queen”
Matt
The New Dad
● Age 34
● Works in SoHo
● “Reluctant Frozen Fan”
James
The Non-Hipster
● Age 21
● Works in Park Slope
● “Coding Guru”
N. Harlem Greenpoint S. Williamsburg
17
N/S: 125th st. to 145th st.
W/E: Hudson River to Harlem
River
Gateway to: The Bronx and
Yankee Stadium crowd
N/S: Dupont st. to N. 12th st.*
W/E: Kent Ave. to the B.Q.E.
Gateway to: Queens and Long
Island City
N/S: Grand St. to Flushing Ave.
W/E: Kent Ave. to Humboldt St.
Gateway to: Bedford-Stuyvesant
What we’re looking for...
Weekday Rider
trends during Via
operating hours
(6am-12am)
Weekend Rider
trends during Via
operating hours
(10am-12am)
Concentration of
drop-offs around
the same hour in a
2 block radius
18
The Cleansing Process
19
Omissions
● Trips outside of Via's operating zone, Harlem, Greenpoint, or
Williamsburg
● Split pickup and dropoff timestamps into separate date and time columns
● Insert column for trip duration
● Trips where passenger count = zero
● Trips where fare amount was not a monetary amount
● Trips where the fare was unusually high
● Trips with a distance of 0
New Variables
● Trip Duration
20
All TLC Pick-ups 2009-2015
*Yellow cabs in white and Green cabs in green
Source: http://toddwschneider.com/posts/analyzing-1-1-billion-nyc-taxi-and-uber-trips-with-a-vengeance/
21
N. Harlem Greenpoint S. Williamsburg
All TLC Pick-ups 2009-2015
*In Via’s target areas
Source: http://toddwschneider.com/posts/analyzing-1-1-billion-nyc-taxi-and-uber-trips-with-a-vengeance/
22
NYC Late Night Taxi Pick-ups
New York City census tracts that have the highest % of their taxi pick-ups from 10pm-5am
Source: http://toddwschneider.com/posts/analyzing-1-1-billion-nyc-taxi-and-uber-trips-with-a-vengeance/
23
Late Night Taxi Pick-ups
*In Via’s target areas
N. Harlem Greenpoint S. Williamsburg
Source: http://toddwschneider.com/posts/analyzing-1-1-billion-nyc-taxi-and-uber-trips-with-a-vengeance/
24
June Demand (before cleaning)
25
June Demand (after cleaning)
26
June Demand (after cleansing)
27
June Demand (after cleansing)
*Average trip fare per day by neighborhood
28
Harlem Scorecard
Busiest Day
Thursdays
Busiest Time
8AM/6PM
Avg Cost Per Ride
$9.00
Total Earnings
$589,623
Total Rides
69,043
#teamNadia
Pickups % of Total
42.3%
29
Greenpoint Scorecard
Busiest Day
Saturdays
Busiest Time
10PM-1AM
Avg Cost Per Ride
$9.64
Total Earnings
$130,913
Total Rides
14,483
#teamMatt
Pickups % of Total
8.92%
30
Greenpoint Scorecard
Busiest Day
Saturdays
Busiest Time
10PM-1AM
Avg Cost Per Ride
$9.74
Total Earnings
$77,402
Total Rides
8,128
Pickups % of Total
5.01%
#teamJames
According to the sample data…
Harlem is the most active and highest earning of the 3 zones.
31
Conclusion
Next Step: Assessment of local competition
TLC FHV Trip Data
Categorical Variables
● Base Number
● Location ID
● Pickup Date
● Pickup Time
FHV Base Aggregate Report
Categorical Variables
● Base Number
● Base Name
● Company
TLC Taxi Zones
Categorical Variables
● Borough
● Location ID
● Zones (Neighborhood)
● Zone Longitude
● Zone Latitude
*Cab hailing apps such as Uber and Lyft pickup data are listed under the For Hire Vehicle Tables (FHV) 32
Conduct an analysis of access to public transportation
in target areas:
● Nearest subway stop(s) to drop-off location
● Nearest bus stop(s) to drop-off location
● Average distance of drop-offs from public
transportation
33
Next Step: Assessment of public transportation
Calculate the potential ROI by neighborhood based on
trip data analysis and Via’s pricing structure.
34
Next Step: Assessment of economic value

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MarenScott_ViaFinal

  • 1. Ride With Via Insights for the 2017 service expansion By Maren Scott December 2016 Series A: Data Analytics -- Cohort 2 1
  • 3. “I’ll just order an uber” 3
  • 4. 4
  • 6. “Bus it is. Next one is in 3 minutes anyway” 6
  • 8. 8
  • 9. “YOU HAVE GOT TO BE KIDDING ME” 9
  • 10. We’ve all been there... 10
  • 11. Via can fix that. 11
  • 12. 12 Founded in 2012 and CEO Daniel Ramot and Oren Shoval Raised $70 million in investments as of 2016 Currently services 16 square miles of NYC* *Manhattan up to 125th street and North Williamsburg
  • 13. What is Via? Think of Via as a bus that’s smart enough to arrive when you want it and where you want it. 13
  • 14. The Question: Where to go next? The 2017 MTA fare hike presents a unique opportunity for Via to expand it’s services. More New Yorkers are already looking for affordable, practical alternatives to public transportation. What’s the most strategic location to extend our services to next? 14
  • 15. Assumptions For pricing purposes, expansion options are limited to: 1. Areas bordering current service zones 2. An area roughly the size of the first 2 expansions 3. Concentration of commercial activity or rapid residential growth 15
  • 16. 16 Nadia The Young Professional ● Age 26 ● Works in Midtown East ● “Brunch Queen” Matt The New Dad ● Age 34 ● Works in SoHo ● “Reluctant Frozen Fan” James The Non-Hipster ● Age 21 ● Works in Park Slope ● “Coding Guru”
  • 17. N. Harlem Greenpoint S. Williamsburg 17 N/S: 125th st. to 145th st. W/E: Hudson River to Harlem River Gateway to: The Bronx and Yankee Stadium crowd N/S: Dupont st. to N. 12th st.* W/E: Kent Ave. to the B.Q.E. Gateway to: Queens and Long Island City N/S: Grand St. to Flushing Ave. W/E: Kent Ave. to Humboldt St. Gateway to: Bedford-Stuyvesant
  • 18. What we’re looking for... Weekday Rider trends during Via operating hours (6am-12am) Weekend Rider trends during Via operating hours (10am-12am) Concentration of drop-offs around the same hour in a 2 block radius 18
  • 19. The Cleansing Process 19 Omissions ● Trips outside of Via's operating zone, Harlem, Greenpoint, or Williamsburg ● Split pickup and dropoff timestamps into separate date and time columns ● Insert column for trip duration ● Trips where passenger count = zero ● Trips where fare amount was not a monetary amount ● Trips where the fare was unusually high ● Trips with a distance of 0 New Variables ● Trip Duration
  • 20. 20 All TLC Pick-ups 2009-2015 *Yellow cabs in white and Green cabs in green Source: http://toddwschneider.com/posts/analyzing-1-1-billion-nyc-taxi-and-uber-trips-with-a-vengeance/
  • 21. 21 N. Harlem Greenpoint S. Williamsburg All TLC Pick-ups 2009-2015 *In Via’s target areas Source: http://toddwschneider.com/posts/analyzing-1-1-billion-nyc-taxi-and-uber-trips-with-a-vengeance/
  • 22. 22 NYC Late Night Taxi Pick-ups New York City census tracts that have the highest % of their taxi pick-ups from 10pm-5am Source: http://toddwschneider.com/posts/analyzing-1-1-billion-nyc-taxi-and-uber-trips-with-a-vengeance/
  • 23. 23 Late Night Taxi Pick-ups *In Via’s target areas N. Harlem Greenpoint S. Williamsburg Source: http://toddwschneider.com/posts/analyzing-1-1-billion-nyc-taxi-and-uber-trips-with-a-vengeance/
  • 26. 26 June Demand (after cleansing)
  • 27. 27 June Demand (after cleansing) *Average trip fare per day by neighborhood
  • 28. 28 Harlem Scorecard Busiest Day Thursdays Busiest Time 8AM/6PM Avg Cost Per Ride $9.00 Total Earnings $589,623 Total Rides 69,043 #teamNadia Pickups % of Total 42.3%
  • 29. 29 Greenpoint Scorecard Busiest Day Saturdays Busiest Time 10PM-1AM Avg Cost Per Ride $9.64 Total Earnings $130,913 Total Rides 14,483 #teamMatt Pickups % of Total 8.92%
  • 30. 30 Greenpoint Scorecard Busiest Day Saturdays Busiest Time 10PM-1AM Avg Cost Per Ride $9.74 Total Earnings $77,402 Total Rides 8,128 Pickups % of Total 5.01% #teamJames
  • 31. According to the sample data… Harlem is the most active and highest earning of the 3 zones. 31 Conclusion
  • 32. Next Step: Assessment of local competition TLC FHV Trip Data Categorical Variables ● Base Number ● Location ID ● Pickup Date ● Pickup Time FHV Base Aggregate Report Categorical Variables ● Base Number ● Base Name ● Company TLC Taxi Zones Categorical Variables ● Borough ● Location ID ● Zones (Neighborhood) ● Zone Longitude ● Zone Latitude *Cab hailing apps such as Uber and Lyft pickup data are listed under the For Hire Vehicle Tables (FHV) 32
  • 33. Conduct an analysis of access to public transportation in target areas: ● Nearest subway stop(s) to drop-off location ● Nearest bus stop(s) to drop-off location ● Average distance of drop-offs from public transportation 33 Next Step: Assessment of public transportation
  • 34. Calculate the potential ROI by neighborhood based on trip data analysis and Via’s pricing structure. 34 Next Step: Assessment of economic value