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COVID – 19: UAE K-12
Education Sector Market
Sentiment Survey, May 2020
As the COVID-19 outbreak has evolved, we conducted a survey with
education operators and investors to get their perspective on online
learning, the challenges they are facing and their outlook for the
academic year 2020-21.
May2020|COVID-19:ImpactonK-12SectorintheUAE
ColliersInternational|MiddleEastandNorthAfrica
COVID -19: Impact on K-12 Sector in the UAE, May 2020: Colliers International Survey
INTRODUCTION
K-12 Education affected by the COVID-19
pandemic has imposed a fundamental shift in the
mode of delivery at schools from traditional face-
to-face provision to online learning. This affects
schools, teachers, students and parents in a
variety of ways.
Whilst several schools have offered fee
discounts, majority of parents still feel burdened
by home schooling obligations where they need
to spend considerable time with the children to
help them with their online learning.
This survey aims at gauging how the sector is
coping with various transformations that are
taking place concurrently, ranging from the
adoption of online delivery to fee adjustments to
meeting parents' expectations and their collective
impact on the sector in the future
Respondents’ Curriculum Offering
Respondents’ Location
Majority of the respondents offer the British
Curriculum 81%, followed by American Curriculum,
Indian and International Baccalaureate (IB)
Curriculum. Most of the respondents who offer the
British Curriculum also offer IB Diploma
Programme.
British
81%
American
11%
IB
4%
Indian
4%
81% of the respondents offer British Curriculum
Dubai
66%
Abu Dhabi
19%
Sharjah
15%
66% of the respondents’ schools are in Dubai
Majority of the respondents have schools in
Dubai followed by Abu Dhabi and Sharjah. Whilst
requested there was no response from schools
operating in other Emirates.
Respondents’ Fee segment
46% of the respondents charge annual tuition fees range between AED 20K – AED 40K
The respondents operate across various fee
segments. Most of the respondents were from
mid – market, followed by the premium segment.
Upper Mid
Market
12%
Mid-
Market
46%
Premium
31%
Affordable
11%
Mid-market (AED 20K-40K)
Premium (Above AED 60K)
Upper Mid-market (AED 40K-60K)
Affordable (Less than AED 20K)
COVID -19: Impact on K-12 Sector in the UAE, May 2020: Colliers International Survey
May2020|COVID-19:ImpactonK-12SectorintheUAE
ColliersInternational|MiddleEastandNorthAfrica
3
THE SHIFT TO ONLINE LEARNING
Ease of Adaption of Online Learning
(School Staff v/s Parents)
12% 42%
23%
46%
42% 31% 4%
Teachers/Support
Staff
Parents
1-Very Easy 2-Somewhat Easy 3-Neutral 4-Difficult 5-Very Difficult
• Nearly all the teaching/support staff found transition to online learning “Very easy”
or were neutral about it, none of them termed it as “Difficult” or “Very difficult”
• Conversely parents found the transition to online learning challenging with 35% of
them indicating it to be “Difficult” or “Very difficult”
Weighted Average Score = 2.35 (on a scale of 5)
Weighted Average Score = 3.58 (on a scale of 5)
100% of students at
respondent’s school have
access to online education
Online learning – methods of provision and delivery
• All of respondents reported availability of online learning platforms across all
grades at their schools.
• Schools are using multiple tools such as Seesaw, Microsoft Meetings, Class Dojo,
Google Classrooms and Google Hangouts for online instruction and delivery to
pupils.
100% Seesaw
11%
Microsoft
meetings
12%
Class dojo
8%
All of the
above
54%
Others
15%
54% of respondents
use multiple tools
COVID -19: Impact on K-12 Sector in the UAE, May 2020: Colliers International Survey
May2020|COVID-19:ImpactonK-12SectorintheUAE
ColliersInternational|MiddleEastandNorthAfrica
THE SHIFT TO ONLINE LEARNING
Fees Adjustments
• 58% of the schools have made full or partial refunds for all pre-paid fees (non-tuition) for
the current term, the remaining ones are adjusting the refunds against future term’s fees.
• 38% of the respondents indicated that they are offering fee discounts for current and
remaining terms, while nearly a quarter 23% of the respondents have not offered any
discounts to tuition fees. The remaining 39% offer other facilities to the parents, as
presented below.
Prepaid Fees
(Non-tuition)
Tuition Fees
58% Providing full/partial refunds
31%
Pre-paid fees will be adjusted
in the future
12%
Other measures such as
support based discounts
38%
Tuition fee discounts for the
current and remaining terms
39%
Support based installment /
discounts / monthly payment
option
23%
No adjustment to tuition fees
has been made
TUITION FEES – TERM 3 (ACADEMIC YEAR 2019/20)
Financial Investment
Insignificant (we
are utilizing
existing tools)
69%
Significant
31%
• 69% of the respondents indicated that investment
required for transition to online learning was
insignificant and they were able to utilise existing
tools.
• Nearly a third of respondents 31%, indicated that
they had to make significant financial investment
to enable online learning platforms. Of these, a
majority spent less than US$ 100,000, while a
small minority spent in excess of US$ 1 million.
Two schools reported their spend to range
between US$ 3 – US$ 5 million.
• In most cases, discounts offered for Term 3 are not refunds but are to be adjusted against the next
term (September 2020) fees.
• Some of the schools have created a “relief fund” to support parents impacted by COVID - 19 crisis.
• A few others are offering discounts based on “a means tested bursary” for those who are most affected,
asking for documentations to demonstrate that COVID-19 has impacted parents’ income.
69%
58%
38%
COVID -19: Impact on K-12 Sector in the UAE, May 2020: Colliers International Survey
May2020|COVID-19:ImpactonK-12SectorintheUAE
ColliersInternational|MiddleEastandNorthAfrica
5
2020-21 ACADEMIC YEAR EXPECTATIONS
Most of the school operators are optimistic and expect the K-12 sector to remain resilient
amid the pandemic and recover in the upcoming academic year (2020-21). Nearly half of the
respondents expect to retain current enrolment or enrol further pupils, while nearly two-thirds
(61%) do not plan to offer any further discounts to the tuition fees in the upcoming academic
year (2020-21).
Percentage change in Expected Enrolment in the Next Academic
Year compared to current year
61% of Respondents have no plans to offer any discount on tuition fees during the
next academic year these mostly consisting of affordable and mid-income schools.
Expected Fee Discounts in the next Academic Year
• 54%of respondents expect to retain same number of students or an increase of less than
10% in total enrolment in the next academic year.
• However, upon further analysis, it is mostly the affordable and mid-market schools who
expect to retain existing and/or enrol further students, expecting a shift from luxury /
premium to mid-tier schools amid the challenging economic conditions.
• The luxury / premium category schools expect to retain students as some are planning to
extend discounts and adjust the current Term 3 fees markdowns during the upcoming
academic year (2020-21).
Retain the same number of students
31%
Less than 10%
increase
23%
A drop of 10% or more
23%
Less than 10% drop
19%
More than 10%
increase
4%
No plans to
offer
discounts
61%
5% discount on tuition fees
19%
10% discount on tuition fees
12%
15% discount on tuition fees
4%
20% discount on tuition fees
4%
54%
COVID -19: Impact on K-12 Sector in the UAE, May 2020: Colliers International Survey
May2020|COVID-19:ImpactonK-12SectorintheUAE
ColliersInternational|MiddleEastandNorthAfrica
2020-21 ACADEMIC YEAR EXPECTATIONS
Percentage change in Teaching Staff in the Next Academic Year
compared to Current Year
Majority of respondents 77% have no plans to reduce salaries of the teaching staff
during next academic year, however, 23% are contemplating a decrease in teaching
staff salaries ranging from 5% to 20%.
Percentage change in Teaching Staff Salaries in the Next Academic
Year compared to Current Year
Majority of respondents 77% have no plans to reduce teaching staff in the next
academic year.
No plans to
reduce the
number of
teaching staff,
77%5% reduction in
teaching staff,
15%
10% reduction in teaching staff,
4%
More than 20% reduction in
teaching staff,
4%
No plans to
reduce
salaries, 77%
10% reduction in
salaries, 12%
5% reduction in
salaries, 4%
15% reduction in
salaries, 4%
20% reduction in
salaries, 4%
CONCLUSION
The results of the survey indicate that the K-12
Education sector is significantly impacted by the
COVID-19 pandemic, which is expected to last
beyond the current academic year. Although
there is no uniformity of approach, some
schools are looking to offer fee discounts,
flexible payment plans and are taking other
necessary measures to retain pupils. This will
ultimately impact cashflows compelling
operators/investors to revisit operating
expenses, especially the more significant costs
including rental commitments with landlords.
Colliers International dedicated Education team
is keen to assist owners/operators/landlords
during these challenging times to provide you
actionable solutions ultimately benefitting key
stakeholders including the parents/students.
This includes, evaluating and negotiating
“affordable rent”, finding means to enhance
revenues and reduce costs and provide support
in realistically forecasting cashflows for internal
business planning and/or consultations with
financial institutions to raise funds for
sustainable business operations.
COVID -19: Impact on K-12 Sector in the UAE, May 2020: Colliers International Survey
FOR MORE INFORMATION
Salman Khan
Manager | Healthcare Education & PPP
+971 55 734 4747
Salman.Khan@colliers.com
Ian Albert
Chief Executive Officer
MENA Region
+971 55 899 6070
Ian.Albert@colliers.com
Syed Muhammad Osman
Associate Director | Healthcare Education & PPP
+971 55 816 6868
Syed.Osman@colliers.com
Mansoor Ahmed
Director | Development Solutions
Healthcare Education & PPP
+971 55 899 6091
Mansoor.Ahmed@colliers.com

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Covid19 - UAE K12 Education Sector Market Sentiment Survey Report

  • 1. COVID – 19: UAE K-12 Education Sector Market Sentiment Survey, May 2020 As the COVID-19 outbreak has evolved, we conducted a survey with education operators and investors to get their perspective on online learning, the challenges they are facing and their outlook for the academic year 2020-21.
  • 2. May2020|COVID-19:ImpactonK-12SectorintheUAE ColliersInternational|MiddleEastandNorthAfrica COVID -19: Impact on K-12 Sector in the UAE, May 2020: Colliers International Survey INTRODUCTION K-12 Education affected by the COVID-19 pandemic has imposed a fundamental shift in the mode of delivery at schools from traditional face- to-face provision to online learning. This affects schools, teachers, students and parents in a variety of ways. Whilst several schools have offered fee discounts, majority of parents still feel burdened by home schooling obligations where they need to spend considerable time with the children to help them with their online learning. This survey aims at gauging how the sector is coping with various transformations that are taking place concurrently, ranging from the adoption of online delivery to fee adjustments to meeting parents' expectations and their collective impact on the sector in the future Respondents’ Curriculum Offering Respondents’ Location Majority of the respondents offer the British Curriculum 81%, followed by American Curriculum, Indian and International Baccalaureate (IB) Curriculum. Most of the respondents who offer the British Curriculum also offer IB Diploma Programme. British 81% American 11% IB 4% Indian 4% 81% of the respondents offer British Curriculum Dubai 66% Abu Dhabi 19% Sharjah 15% 66% of the respondents’ schools are in Dubai Majority of the respondents have schools in Dubai followed by Abu Dhabi and Sharjah. Whilst requested there was no response from schools operating in other Emirates. Respondents’ Fee segment 46% of the respondents charge annual tuition fees range between AED 20K – AED 40K The respondents operate across various fee segments. Most of the respondents were from mid – market, followed by the premium segment. Upper Mid Market 12% Mid- Market 46% Premium 31% Affordable 11% Mid-market (AED 20K-40K) Premium (Above AED 60K) Upper Mid-market (AED 40K-60K) Affordable (Less than AED 20K)
  • 3. COVID -19: Impact on K-12 Sector in the UAE, May 2020: Colliers International Survey May2020|COVID-19:ImpactonK-12SectorintheUAE ColliersInternational|MiddleEastandNorthAfrica 3 THE SHIFT TO ONLINE LEARNING Ease of Adaption of Online Learning (School Staff v/s Parents) 12% 42% 23% 46% 42% 31% 4% Teachers/Support Staff Parents 1-Very Easy 2-Somewhat Easy 3-Neutral 4-Difficult 5-Very Difficult • Nearly all the teaching/support staff found transition to online learning “Very easy” or were neutral about it, none of them termed it as “Difficult” or “Very difficult” • Conversely parents found the transition to online learning challenging with 35% of them indicating it to be “Difficult” or “Very difficult” Weighted Average Score = 2.35 (on a scale of 5) Weighted Average Score = 3.58 (on a scale of 5) 100% of students at respondent’s school have access to online education Online learning – methods of provision and delivery • All of respondents reported availability of online learning platforms across all grades at their schools. • Schools are using multiple tools such as Seesaw, Microsoft Meetings, Class Dojo, Google Classrooms and Google Hangouts for online instruction and delivery to pupils. 100% Seesaw 11% Microsoft meetings 12% Class dojo 8% All of the above 54% Others 15% 54% of respondents use multiple tools
  • 4. COVID -19: Impact on K-12 Sector in the UAE, May 2020: Colliers International Survey May2020|COVID-19:ImpactonK-12SectorintheUAE ColliersInternational|MiddleEastandNorthAfrica THE SHIFT TO ONLINE LEARNING Fees Adjustments • 58% of the schools have made full or partial refunds for all pre-paid fees (non-tuition) for the current term, the remaining ones are adjusting the refunds against future term’s fees. • 38% of the respondents indicated that they are offering fee discounts for current and remaining terms, while nearly a quarter 23% of the respondents have not offered any discounts to tuition fees. The remaining 39% offer other facilities to the parents, as presented below. Prepaid Fees (Non-tuition) Tuition Fees 58% Providing full/partial refunds 31% Pre-paid fees will be adjusted in the future 12% Other measures such as support based discounts 38% Tuition fee discounts for the current and remaining terms 39% Support based installment / discounts / monthly payment option 23% No adjustment to tuition fees has been made TUITION FEES – TERM 3 (ACADEMIC YEAR 2019/20) Financial Investment Insignificant (we are utilizing existing tools) 69% Significant 31% • 69% of the respondents indicated that investment required for transition to online learning was insignificant and they were able to utilise existing tools. • Nearly a third of respondents 31%, indicated that they had to make significant financial investment to enable online learning platforms. Of these, a majority spent less than US$ 100,000, while a small minority spent in excess of US$ 1 million. Two schools reported their spend to range between US$ 3 – US$ 5 million. • In most cases, discounts offered for Term 3 are not refunds but are to be adjusted against the next term (September 2020) fees. • Some of the schools have created a “relief fund” to support parents impacted by COVID - 19 crisis. • A few others are offering discounts based on “a means tested bursary” for those who are most affected, asking for documentations to demonstrate that COVID-19 has impacted parents’ income. 69% 58% 38%
  • 5. COVID -19: Impact on K-12 Sector in the UAE, May 2020: Colliers International Survey May2020|COVID-19:ImpactonK-12SectorintheUAE ColliersInternational|MiddleEastandNorthAfrica 5 2020-21 ACADEMIC YEAR EXPECTATIONS Most of the school operators are optimistic and expect the K-12 sector to remain resilient amid the pandemic and recover in the upcoming academic year (2020-21). Nearly half of the respondents expect to retain current enrolment or enrol further pupils, while nearly two-thirds (61%) do not plan to offer any further discounts to the tuition fees in the upcoming academic year (2020-21). Percentage change in Expected Enrolment in the Next Academic Year compared to current year 61% of Respondents have no plans to offer any discount on tuition fees during the next academic year these mostly consisting of affordable and mid-income schools. Expected Fee Discounts in the next Academic Year • 54%of respondents expect to retain same number of students or an increase of less than 10% in total enrolment in the next academic year. • However, upon further analysis, it is mostly the affordable and mid-market schools who expect to retain existing and/or enrol further students, expecting a shift from luxury / premium to mid-tier schools amid the challenging economic conditions. • The luxury / premium category schools expect to retain students as some are planning to extend discounts and adjust the current Term 3 fees markdowns during the upcoming academic year (2020-21). Retain the same number of students 31% Less than 10% increase 23% A drop of 10% or more 23% Less than 10% drop 19% More than 10% increase 4% No plans to offer discounts 61% 5% discount on tuition fees 19% 10% discount on tuition fees 12% 15% discount on tuition fees 4% 20% discount on tuition fees 4% 54%
  • 6. COVID -19: Impact on K-12 Sector in the UAE, May 2020: Colliers International Survey May2020|COVID-19:ImpactonK-12SectorintheUAE ColliersInternational|MiddleEastandNorthAfrica 2020-21 ACADEMIC YEAR EXPECTATIONS Percentage change in Teaching Staff in the Next Academic Year compared to Current Year Majority of respondents 77% have no plans to reduce salaries of the teaching staff during next academic year, however, 23% are contemplating a decrease in teaching staff salaries ranging from 5% to 20%. Percentage change in Teaching Staff Salaries in the Next Academic Year compared to Current Year Majority of respondents 77% have no plans to reduce teaching staff in the next academic year. No plans to reduce the number of teaching staff, 77%5% reduction in teaching staff, 15% 10% reduction in teaching staff, 4% More than 20% reduction in teaching staff, 4% No plans to reduce salaries, 77% 10% reduction in salaries, 12% 5% reduction in salaries, 4% 15% reduction in salaries, 4% 20% reduction in salaries, 4% CONCLUSION The results of the survey indicate that the K-12 Education sector is significantly impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic, which is expected to last beyond the current academic year. Although there is no uniformity of approach, some schools are looking to offer fee discounts, flexible payment plans and are taking other necessary measures to retain pupils. This will ultimately impact cashflows compelling operators/investors to revisit operating expenses, especially the more significant costs including rental commitments with landlords. Colliers International dedicated Education team is keen to assist owners/operators/landlords during these challenging times to provide you actionable solutions ultimately benefitting key stakeholders including the parents/students. This includes, evaluating and negotiating “affordable rent”, finding means to enhance revenues and reduce costs and provide support in realistically forecasting cashflows for internal business planning and/or consultations with financial institutions to raise funds for sustainable business operations.
  • 7. COVID -19: Impact on K-12 Sector in the UAE, May 2020: Colliers International Survey FOR MORE INFORMATION Salman Khan Manager | Healthcare Education & PPP +971 55 734 4747 Salman.Khan@colliers.com Ian Albert Chief Executive Officer MENA Region +971 55 899 6070 Ian.Albert@colliers.com Syed Muhammad Osman Associate Director | Healthcare Education & PPP +971 55 816 6868 Syed.Osman@colliers.com Mansoor Ahmed Director | Development Solutions Healthcare Education & PPP +971 55 899 6091 Mansoor.Ahmed@colliers.com