PlanAshland's Housing Visioning Forum took place on 1/12/15 in Ashland, Massachusetts. Presenting were the Metropolitan Area Planning Council's Jennifer Raitt, Assistant Director of Land Use Planning and Chief Housing Planner, and Karina Milchman, Housing Planner. Community input from the visioning discussion will inform Ashland's Housing Production Plan.
Scaling up coastal adaptation in Maldives through the NAP process
PlanAshland Housing Visioning Meeting, 1/12/15
1. Ashland Housing Production Plan
Visioning Public Forum
Monday, January 12, 2015
Presented by the Metropolitan Area Planning Council
2. Tonight’s Agenda
1. Purpose of a Housing Production Plan (HPP)
2. Affordable Housing & How It Works
3. Housing Needs & Demand in Ashland
4. Local Housing Goals, Barriers, & Opportunities
5. Next Steps in the HPP Process
4. Purpose of a Housing Production Plan
M.G.L. Chapter 40B
• Encourages affordable housing development in
cities and towns throughout the Commonwealth
• Goal of at least 10% of a community’s housing is
affordable and recorded on the Massachusetts
Subsidized Housing Inventory
5. 3.59% 3.66% 4.03% 4.43%
6.17%
8.33%
10.15% 10.26% 10.46%
0.00%
2.00%
4.00%
6.00%
8.00%
10.00%
12.00%
Source: DHCD, April 2014
Ashland Has Achieved 3.66% on the Subsidized Housing Inventory
Subsidized Housing Inventory, MetroWest Sub-Region, 2014
Purpose of a Housing Production Plan
6. Source: DHCD, April 2014
Town Has 241 Affordable Units
Subsidized Housing Inventory, Ashland, 2014
Purpose of a Housing Production Plan
2010 Census
Year-Round
Housing Units
SHI Units
Rental
Units
Expiring
Units
2017-2054
6,581 241 (3.66%) 226 (90%) 172 (71%)
7. Purpose of a Housing Production Plan
A Housing Production Plan (HPP) not only helps
communities meet the State’s mandatory 10%
affordable housing target , but also:
• understand local housing needs and demand
• influence the type, amount, and location of housing
• set a numerical goal for annual low- and
moderate-income housing production
8. HPPs include:
• a comprehensive housing needs assessment;
• analysis of development constraints and
opportunities
• affordable housing goals and objectives; and
• implementation strategies
Purpose of a Housing Production Plan
9. To date, Ashland meets housing needs and
demand through multiple strategies, including:
• Affordable Housing Trust
• Community Preservation Act
• Development incentive for affordable housing
Purpose of a Housing Production Plan
10. Successful implementation of a HPP takes:
• A commitment to housing production goals
• Working with developers on comprehensive permits
and “Friendly 40Bs”
• Partnerships with non-profit organizations
• Zoning for affordability
• Municipal organization, leadership, and oversight
Purpose of a Housing Production Plan
12. Affordable Housing Financing
• There are many ways a community can fund its affordable
housing, including the use of state or federal funding
programs.
• Most projects require financial support from public sources
(federal, state, local), and the funds generally come with
restrictions and requirements.
• Financing options vary depending on the type of housing
(rental or ownership) and the characteristics of the
households a program or project is to assist (e.g., income,
household size, disability status).
• Project feasibility depends upon:
– Reduced development costs and debt service (using
zoning, grants, equity investments, or low-cost or soft
loans)
– Reduced operating costs
– Increased rental or sales income (by renting/selling some
units as market-rate)
Affordable Housing & How It Works
13. Affordable Housing Financing
• Financing for homeownership units depends on barriers to
entry for prospective buyers.
• In a community with a supply of moderately priced housing,
down-payment requirements may be the primary barrier, and
assistance, or "soft-second" financing programs, may suffice.
• Other communities may choose to “buy down” existing units—
including tax title and foreclosed properties—and resell them
at a lower price, using subsidy funds to pay the difference.
• Others construct new affordable units, usually in small or
mixed-income developments.
• There are fewer state and federal funding sources available
for ownership programs. Most use conventional financing or a
shallow subsidy program that provides an interest rate
discount or other modest subsidy.
• Frequently used sources are from the Federal Home Loan
Bank of Boston and MassHousing.
Affordable Housing & How It Works
14. Affordable Housing Use Restrictions
All Use Restrictions must meet minimum standards, including that
it:
• Runs with the land and recorded at the appropriate registry of
deeds or filed with the appropriate land court registry district for
a term no less than 15 years for rehabilitated housing units and
no less than 30 years for newly created units.
• Effectively restricts occupancy of Low and Moderate Income
Housing to Income Eligible Households.
• Requires tenants of rental units and owners of homeownership
units to occupy the units as their domiciles and principal
residences.
• Provides for effective administration, monitoring, and
enforcement of such restriction.
• Contains terms and conditions for the resale of a
homeownership unit, including maximum permissible resale
price, and for the subsequent rental of a rental unit, including
Affordable Housing & How It Works
15. Affordable Housing Use Restrictions
Units are subject to an Affirmative Fair Housing Marketing and
Resident Selection Plan. These plans:
• Create fair and open access to affordable housing and are
designed to promote compliance with state and federal civil
rights obligation.
• Apply to the full spectrum of activities that culminate with
occupancy, including but not limited to means and methods of
outreach and marketing through to the qualification and
selection of residents.
• Include a resident selection plan, marketing, administering the
initial lottery process, and determining the qualification of
potential buyers and/or tenants.
• Projects must be in compliance with the Bedroom Mix Policy
as set forth in the “Interagency Agreement Regarding Housing
Opportunities for Families with Children.”
Affordable Housing & How It Works
16. Income Eligibility for Affordable Housing – Household
Income
• An eligible household may not earn more than 80% of the
area median income in order to rent or purchase a restricted
unit.
• Limitations on household assets for income-eligible
households:
– For age-restricted homeownership projects, household
assets shall not exceed $275,000 in value, including equity
in a dwelling (to be sold).
– For non-age restricted homeownership units, household
assets shall not exceed $75,000 in value.
– For rental units, the greater of the following will be added
to income: the income derived from the assets or an
imputation of value calculated in a manner consistent with
HUD requirements in place at the time of marketing.
– If a potential purchaser divests him/herself of an asset for
Affordable Housing & How It Works
17. Affordable Housing & How It Works
Household
Size
Extremely
Low-Income
(30% of AMI)
Very
Low-Income
(50% of AMI)
Low-Income
(80% of AMI)
1 Person $19,800 $32,950 $47,450
2 Person $22,600 $37,650 $54,200
3 Person $25,450 $42,350 $61,00
4 Person $28,250 $47,050 $67,750
5 Person $30,550 $50,850 $73,200
6 Person $32,800 $54,600 $78,600
Income Eligibility for Affordable Housing
FY2014 Affordable Housing Income Limits, Boston-Cambridge-Quincy,
MA-NH HUD Metro FMR
18. Income Eligibility for Affordable Housing – Housing Cost
Generally, a housing subsidy program (through its statutory basis,
regulations, or guidelines) establishes maximum monthly housing
cost. Otherwise, the following provisions apply:
• Rental: Monthly housing costs (inclusive of utilities) may not
exceed 30% of monthly income for a household earning 80% of
AMI adjusted for household size, including Assisted Living
Facilities.
Affordable Housing & How It Works
19. Income Eligibility for Affordable Housing – Housing Cost
• Homeownership:
– The downpayment must be at least 3% of the purchase price.
– Mortgage must be a 30-year fully amortizing mortgage for no
more than 97% of the purchase price with a fixed interest
rate no more than 2% above the current MassHousing
interest rate (www.masshousing.com).
– Monthly housing costs (inclusive of principal, interest,
property taxes, hazard insurance, private mortgage
insurance and condominium or homeowner association fees)
shall not exceed 38% of monthly income for a household
earning 80% of AMI, adjusted for household size.
Affordable Housing & How It Works
20. Local Preference
A Local Preference Program:
• Demonstrates the need for local preference in the marketing
plan.
• Justifies the extent of the local preference (the percentage of
units proposed to be set aside for local preference).
• Demonstrates that the proposed local preference will not have a
disparate impact on protected classes.
The Subsidizing Agency, DHCD, and the municipality must approve
a local preference scheme as part of the marketing plan.
Local preference may not exceed 70% of the affordable units in a
project.
Affordable Housing & How It Works
21. Local Preference
Allowable Preference Categories:
• Current residents: A household in which one or more members
is living in the city/town at the time of application. Documentation
of residency should be provided (rent receipts, utility bills, street
listing or voter registration listing).
• Municipal Employees: Employees of the municipality, such as
teachers, janitors, firefighters, police officers, town hall
employees.
• Employees of Local Businesses: Employees of businesses
located in the municipality.
• Schoolchildren: Households with children attending the locality’s
schools, including METCO students.
Affordable Housing & How It Works
22. Resale of Affordable Housing
All resales of homeownership units must maintain ongoing
Affirmative Fair Housing and Marketing Plan Requirements. In
addition, units are subject to the following resale process:
• Owner provides notice regarding the sale.
• Deed riders contain strict timelines regarding resale. Once
notified of a resale, the municipality must act swiftly to locate an
income-eligible buyer.
• Additional requirements include a Resale Plan, working from a
Ready-Buyer List, and calculating any Capital Improvements.
• A “ready-buyer” list of eligible buyers may be created through
local, regional, and statewide resources. It should continually be
analyzed, maintained, and updated (through additional
marketing) so that it remains consistent with the objectives of
the housing program and is adequately representative of the
racial, ethnic, and other characteristics of potential applicants in
the housing market.
Affordable Housing & How It Works
25. Housing Needs & Demand in Ashland
40s & 50s
kids move out,
travel, save for
retirement?
30s
married,
employed,
kids?
20s
single,
career
development?
70+
age in
place?
60s
retire,
downsize?
1. When did you move
to Ashland and into
what kind of home?
2. What kind of home
do you live in
today?
3. What kind of living
situation will you
want in the future?
27. Housing Needs & Demand – Demographics
Town Population and the Number of Households Are Increasing
Population and Households, Ashland, 2000-2030
Source: U.S. Census Bureau & MAPC Projections
5,720
6,385
7,404
8,437
14,674
16,593
18,134
19,902
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
2000 2010 2020 2030
Households
Population
28. Housing Needs & Demand – Demographics
Ashland’s Population Is Aging
Population by Age, Ashland, 2000-2030
Source: U.S. Census Bureau & MAPC Projections
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
0-14 15-19 20-34 35-54 55-64 65-74 75+
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
29. Housing Needs & Demand – Demographics
School Enrollment Has Decreased
School Enrollment, Ashland, 2003-2014
Source: MA Department of Primary and Secondary Education
2,590
2,629
2,654 2,653
2,671
2,630
2,640
2,624
2,584
2,573
2,581
2,520
2,540
2,560
2,580
2,600
2,620
2,640
2,660
2,680
30. Housing Needs & Demand – Demographics
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2009-2013 American Community Survey
The Young and Seniors Tend to Rent, Middle-Aged Tend to Own
Housing Tenure by Age of Householder, Ashland
397
990
1,657
777
608 533
300
157
86
243
157
326
57
123 144
100
390
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
15-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-59 60-64 65-74 75-84 85+
Owner-Occupied Renter-Occupied
31. Almost Half of Households Earn $100,000 or More Annually
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2009-2013 American Community Survey
Housing Needs & Demand – Demographics
Household Income Distribution, Ashland
8.4%
11.3%
10.7%
9.9%
12.1%
47.6%
0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0%
Less than $20,000
$20-39,9999
$40-59,999
$60-74.999
$75-99,999
$100,000+
32. Senior Householder Incomes Range Widely
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 200-2013 American Community Survey
Housing Needs & Demand – Demographics
Household Income by Age of Householder, Ashland
59.2%
52.4%
21.2%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
25-44 Years 45-64 Years 65 Years and Over
$100,000+
$75-99,999
$60-74,999
$40-59,999
$20-39,9999
Less than $20,000
33. Housing Needs & Demand – Housing Stock
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2009-2013 American Community Survey
Three-Quarters of the Housing Stock is Single-Family
Housing Units by Type, Ashland
76.0%
4.9%
11.0%
2.9%
4.6%
Single-Family
Two-Family
3-4 Units
5-9 Units
10-19 Units
20+ Units
34. Housing Needs & Demand – Housing Stock
Source: Census Building Permit
According to Permits Issued, Ashland has Increased
Its Housing Stock by 15% Since 2000
Housing Units Permitted, MetroWest Sub-Region, 2000-2013
388 405
479 486
582
850
1,022
1,298
1,393
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
35. Housing Needs & Demand – Housing Stock
Source: MAPC Projections
Rental Ownership Total
Single-Family Units 7 507 514
Multifamily Units 129 234 363
Total 136 741 877
Robust Housing Demand For Both Tenures & Types Is Projected
Percent Change in Housing Unit Demand, Ashland, 2010-2020
36. Housing Needs & Demand – Affordability
Source: The Warren Group, 2014, adjusted to 2014 $
Home Prices Have Recovered from Recent Lows,
But Are Still Much Lower Than The Peak
Median Home Prices, 1994-2014
$387,000
$271,000
$304,648
$0
$100,000
$200,000
$300,000
$400,000
$500,000
$600,000
$700,000
$800,000
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Single-Family Condo All
37. Housing Needs & Demand – Affordability
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2009-2013, American Community Survey
Ashland’s Median Rent Is Less Than Fair Market Rents
For 1BR & Larger Units
Median Gross Rents, MetroWest Sub-Region
$1,170
$0
$200
$400
$600
$800
$1,000
$1,200
$1,400
$1,600
$1,800
38. Housing Needs & Demand – Affordability
Source: Comprehensive Housing Affordability Strategy (CHAS), 2007-2011
More Than a Quarter of Households are Low Income
& Qualify For Housing Assistance
Percent of Low-Income Households by Type/Size, Ashland
35%
69%
11%
17%
36%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%
Elderly FamilyElderly Non-FamilySmall Related Large Related Other
39. Housing Needs & Demand – Affordability
Cost-Burdened
% of All Households 33%
% of Low-Income Households 65%
% of Owners 26%
% of Renters 7%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2009-2013 American Community Survey
More Than A Third of Households are Cost Burdened,
Paying More Than 30% of Income on Housing
Cost-Burdened Households by Tenure, Ashland
42. Based on what you have heard this evening, what do
you think Ashland’s housing goals should be?
Local Housing Goals, Barriers, & Opportunities
43. What are the local barriers to achieving
these housing goals?
Local Housing Goals, Barriers, & Opportunities
44. Are there specific housing opportunities that exist for
redevelopment, preservation, or new housing?
What about partnerships, resources, and support?
Local Housing Goals, Barriers, & Opportunities
45. 1. Develop housing production goals
2. Establish plan implementation strategies
3. Public forum to share goals and
strategies
4. Discussion with Town staff
5. Adoption of HPP by Planning Board and
Board of Selectmen
6. Submission of HPP to DHCD and
subsequent approval
Next Steps
46. Thank You!
Please join us for our next meeting to discuss
implementation strategies! Date to be determined.
For more information, please contact:
Jenny Raitt,
Assistant Director of Land use & Chief Housing Planner
617-933-0754 | jraitt@mapc.org
Karina Milchman,
Housing Planner
617-933-0738 | kmilchman@mapc.org
www.mapc.org
@MAPCMetroBoston
Editor's Notes
Welcome
Project overview: Master Plan + HPP
MAPC partnering with Ashland
Regional planning agency created in 1963, serves 101 municipalities with a combined population of 3+ million
HPPs are required by the state as of 2008 as part of Chapter 40B. Also known as the Comprehensive Permit Law, its intent is to prevent suburbs from excluding minorities and low-income people. Chapter 40B was enacted in 1969 to help address the shortage of affordable housing statewide by reducing unnecessary barriers created by local approval processes, zoning, and other restrictions. The goal of Chapter 40B is to encourage the production of affordable housing in all cities and towns throughout the Commonwealth.
To measure how well this goal is being met, Massachusetts maintains a SHI, or a record of each community’s stock of low- and moderate-income housing. The goal is that at least 10% of a community’s housing is included on the SHI. We’ll take a look at Ashland’s local SHI shortly.
An HPP is a document that helps communities reach that goal by describing a strategy to plan for and develop affordable housing.
Ashland’s SHI is among the lowest in the sub-region
241/6,581
Developments ranges from 4 to 96 units
90% are rental
¼ are affordable in perpetuity, 71% set to expire between 2017-2054
Housing Productions Plans help communities reach the 10% state goal by establishing a strategy to plan for and develop affordable housing
Development Incentive: An applicant may apply to increase the number of dwelling units up to a maximum of twenty-five percent (25%) of the units otherwise permitted on the tract under this section, provided that a minimum of ten percent (10%) of all units in the tract are affordable. In all cases affordable units shall be mingled with market-rate housing units.
We’re about to dive into some heavy, but first, I want to hear from you about your experience in Ashland and your thoughts on the future.
Discuss Qs on slide
# of BRs?
What about young professionals? Can your children afford to start a home here?
Ashland’s population is aging; do you want seniors to be able to age in place? Trend of active seniors, many on fixed incomes, who want to age in place, stay connected to their social network, but don’t want to maintain a lot of house
If we want a vibrant community composed of a people in different life stages, we need to plan for the future. Meeting need and demand – from current residents, let alone new ones – will require increased housing production.
Current and projected population, housing supply, intersection of the two
Pop increased 13% between 2000 and 2010, and is projected to increase another 20% by 2030.
Projections are based on an analysis of how changing trends in births, deaths, migration, and housing occupancy might result in higher population growth, a substantially larger workforce, and greater housing demand
Similarly, HHs increased 12% between 2000 and 2010, and is projected to increase another 32% by 2030.
More HHs because a) the population is increasing and b) households are getting smaller so there are more people seeking housing units (rather than 5 people seeking 1 unit, 5 people are seeking 2, etc.)
Between 1990 and 2010, the population 0-19 increased 49% and that age 65+ increased 59%.
Going forward, projections indicate this will change dramatically.
Between 2010 and 2030, the population age 0-19 is projected to decrease by 6% while the population age 65+ will increase 123%. The 20-64 age group will increase 13%.
-0.3% decrease from 2003. -3% decrease from peak of 2007.
The minority student population has increased 23% since 2003, the ELL pop by 26%, and the low-income status pop by 12%
81% of housing units are owner-occupied. This is the median ownership rate in the MetroWest subregion.
In Ashland, younger and senior households have higher rates of renting.
15-24: 100%
65+: 66%
Median income: $93,233; family: $117,418; non-family: $51,037
While nearly half of all households earn $100,000+ annually – and more than half of those 25-44 and 45-64 – only 21% of senior householders do. Meanwhile, half make less than $39,999 a year.
76% of housing is single-family. Three municipalities in the MetroWest subregion have lower rates: Natick, Framingham, and Marlborough.
Tends to be more costly and harder/more costly to maintain
Meanwhile, just less than a quarter of units are in multifamily housing.
850 units permitted between 2000 and 2013, an increase of 15% to the overall housing supply, assuming those units were actually built.
Of those, 71% were for single-family homes, and 29% for multifamily housing. Most of those were for units in 3-4-unit buildings; 2% were for units in buildings with 5 or more units
2000: 5,794 housing units
2010: 6,609
2013: 6,644
Demand for 877 new units by 2020, an increase of 13% over the 2010 housing supply of 6,609 units
59% of demand for single family; 41% for multifamily
1% of single-family unit demand is for rental; 36% of multifamily demand is for rental
Median home sale price of $304,648 in 2014
Prices have not recovered to their 2005 peak, but have rebounded from 2010 low. In fact, they’ve increased 35% since then.
Ashland’s median gross rent is also the median for the sub-region
While it is higher than the 2015 FMR for efficiency units, it’s lower than FMRs for any other unit size
FMR = maximum allowable rents (not including utility and other allowances) determined by HUD for subsidized units in the Boston Metropolitan Statistical Area, which includes Ashland
These relatively low housing costs are affordable to a portion of the Ashland population, but less so to the 26% of households that qualify as low-income. This means they earn less than 80% of area median income ($94,100) and are eligible for most housing assistance through federal and state programs.
The income range defined as “low income” depends on HH size. For an individual = $47,450; for a family of four, it means the HH annual income is less than $67,750.
Rates are particularly high among elderly households, especially unrelated elderly households
33% of all households are cost burdened; a majority of them are low income (65%)
This is not atypical for the MetroWest sub-region, where cost burden rates range from 25% to 40%
In fact, Ashland’s rate is the median for the sub-region
CB rate is much higher among owners than renters