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2011 Malta Conference
The Keynote Speech

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 The new keyword,
                                            „Smart Communications‟


                                     Yong-Kyung Lee, Ph. D.

                                       Legislator
                      The National Assembly of the Republic of Korea


   NOTICE: This material is proprietary to the writer. It shall not be used, reproduced, copied, disclosed, transmitted,
   Yong-Kyung Lee                                                   1
   in whole or in part, without the permission of the writer. © 2011 copyrights reserved
ICT status in Korea
Korea‟s rankings in global ICT indices


        UN E-government development index as of 2010
#1
             ☞Capacity & willingness in using e-government for ICT-based national development



        UN e-participation index as of 2010
#1
             ☞ Online participation of citizens on national issues and policies



        ITU ICT development index as of 2010
#3
             ☞ Development of information society including information divide




#1      Household internet penetration rate among OECD nations
        as of 2009 (ITU)

                                         3                              Yong-Kyung Lee
How much Korea is connected


        • 16 million broadband subscribers (pop. 48m)

        • 77.2% of internet usage rate

        • 18 million DMB users (8 TV, 11 Radio)


        • 49 million mobile phone users

        • 2.6 million IPTV subscribers


DMB: Digital Multimedia Broadcasting
Source : NIA 2010                      4          Yong-Kyung Lee
Key success factor


         Government
         Government         Visionary leadership &
                          Visionary policies
                                   policies


 Key                      Risk-taking CEOs
           Market         Capable local vendors
factor                    Fierce market competition


          Consumer        Early-adopting & picky




                      5                   Yong-Kyung Lee
Keywords of the Current Market



Stand-alone      Networked
    PC           computing



                               Cloud service
Narrowband       Broadband     Mobile computing
                               Social networking


 Fixed-line       Mobile




                           6          Yong-Kyung Lee
Smart-phone
 Tsunami
 in Korea
November 2009 in Korea




Source : Yonhap News            8          Yong-Kyung Lee
Smart-phone wave


                                                25,000



                       (unit:000 users)



                                   7,000
                     1,420%
                      460


                    Nov 2009    Dec 2010      Dec 2011(E)


Source : KCC 2010                         9                 Yong-Kyung Lee
Data traffic explosion


                                                                  50,837 GB




                                     12,200%



                                             415 GB




                                   Jan 2009 ~ Nov 2009        Dec 2009 ~ Jan 2010



Note : Data traffic from smart-phone users
Source : www.digieco.org                                 10                         Yong-Kyung Lee
No.1 in mobile data traffic
                                                   (/user/mo)


                        Korea                              Japan    World
                                                                   average



                 271
                 MB                                        199
                                                           MB
                                                                      85
                                                                      MB

Note : ATPU (average traffic per user/per month)
Source; Informa Telecoms & Media Nov. 2010            11           Yong-Kyung Lee
Korean smart phone apps




                                                  23.1 apps per user on average
                                      7,475

                   215%
                                                  58.1% smart-phone users
                 2,367                            have at least one paid-app



                                                  29.5% paid-app users
                 2009                 2010        spend more than $ 10 per month



Source : www.digieco.org, KCC & KISA, July 2010   12                 Yong-Kyung Lee
Spend 59.4 minutes accessing Internet


             Smart-phone usage               41.6%, over 60 min.
         Internet

           Music                                  120~ min.        ~5 min.
                                                    17.2%          14.2%
    Moving picture
                                                                                  5~10 min.
      LBS services                                                                  7.7%
                                               60~120 min.
         Camera                                                        10-30 min.
                                                 24.4%
                                                                         18.1%
        App usage

           email                                            30~60 min.
                                 (%)
                                                              18.4%
     Documentatio
          n
                                            Note : Only internet connection duration counted




Source : July 2010, KCC & KISA         13                            Yong-Kyung Lee
Skyrocketing SNS visitors


                        facebook                                                      Twitter
                                       7,380                                                8,654




            650%                                                            527%


                  984                                                         1,379




           Sep 2009               Sep 2010                               Sep 2009      Sep 2010
                                                        (000/mo)



Note : 2.5 million FB users & 2.4 million twitter users as of Jan 2011
Source; Metrics, The Segye Daily Newspaper Jan 2011                14                    Yong-Kyung Lee
Smart-phone widows?


  Go to hell with your
  smart phone!




   Well, then, bury me
       in a WiFi zone!




              15         Yong-Kyung Lee
One of the success factors

                               Affordable package prices
                                i-slim          i-light     i-medium   i-premium

             Monthly
                                 35                45         65          95
            charge($)

               Voice           150 min         200 min      400 min    800 min

               SMS              200               300         300        300

              Mobile
                               100MB            500MB         1GB        3GB
               data
             i-phone
                                $396             $264        $132        free
               3GS

Note : $1=1,000(Korean won) assumed., 2year-subscription
Source : KT 2009 price table                        16                 Yong-Kyung Lee
Flat rate being a curse?


                                 $50/mo
         “unlimited data usage”
                     (21.6% of total subscribers*)
                                                 $50/mo –    75Mbytes
                                   Daily limit   $60/mo –   100Mbytes
                                                 $70/mo –   150Mbytes
                                                 $90/mo –   300Mbytes

Note : started from Aug. 2010
Source : July 2010, KCC & KISA       17               Yong-Kyung Lee
What does this
  all mean?
Truly mobile
  Always-on
Strictly personal

        19      Yong-Kyung Lee
Mobile power in the US




Source : Bain Analysis              20            Yong-Kyung Lee
User diffusion speed

       Time to reach 20 users from 5 users/100
   (persons)   20
                         5yr
                                     6yr 8yr
               15

                                                                           31yr
               10
                                                                     (1)          fixed-line
                                                                     (2)          internet
                                                                     (3)          mobile phone
               5                                                     (4)          smartphone




Note : How long it takes to reach 20 from 5 users among 100 people
Source : SERI, June 2010                                      21
Global mobile traffic forecast




                                    131%
                                 annual growth




Source : Bain Analysis                 22            Yong-Kyung Lee
Proportion of mobile operators voice revenue




                      Asia
                     Pacific                                           Western
                                                                       Europe

                                                     North America


                      data revenue = voice revenue
                               in North America in 4 years




Source : Ovum 2010                        23                Yong-Kyung Lee
Challenges
Challenges

Privacy,
strict guard or show off?

Security,
„always-on‟: hackers‟ playground

Smart-divide

Network,
who pays for it?
                      25           Yong-Kyung Lee
To cope with data traffic explosion

                      Short-term ; Upgrade & detouring



         Upgrade network
                                   4G
                           (LTE/Wibro Evolution)
                                                                       Mobile
                                                                        Core
                                                                      Network




                                                   Internet
          detouring

                            Femto-cell, Wi-Fi



Source : KISA 2011                          26                Yong-Kyung Lee
Network evolution roadmap (Korea)

                                     KT                      SKT                  LGU+


             HSDPA                 03.2007                  03.2007               2006
          384Kbps/14.4M      (National coverage)      (National coverage)     CDMA2000 Rev.A

              HSUPA               06.2010                  05.2010
3.5G       5.7M/14.4M            (84 cities)              (59 cities)

              HSPA+                12.2010                 10.2010
         5.7~11M/21~42M         (pilot, Seoul)             (Seoul)

            LTE pilot              2011                   07.2011                 07.2011
        36~75M/73~150M            (Seoul)                 (Seoul)                 (Seoul)

             LTE                                      2012 (6major cities)
        commercial service                            2013 (nation-wide)
 4G
                                       2011 (modem type)                      2012 (dual mode)
           LTE Device
                                        2012 (phone type)                    2013 (single mode)


          LTE Advanced
                                                  Commercial service in 2015
         150M~/300M~



                                                 27                               Yong-Kyung Lee
To cope with data traffic explosion

                     Long-term; Migration from CDN to CCN




                       Pre-Caching                           On-demand




                                     CDNAPP           APP
                                     TCP/IP           CCN
                                       D/L             D/L
                                      PHY             PHY



           Add-on network                          Architecture integration
Note : CDN (Contents Delivery Network),
       CCN (Contents Centric Network)
Source : KISA 2011                            28               Yong-Kyung Lee
Smart-phone OS competition & Telco‟s strategy


      OS competition                 Telco’s cross platform strategy


                                                   App Store

                                               Cross Platform


                                       IOS   Android    Windows   Symbian   Others



                                                       N-screen
                       Others




                                         Global Telco Alliance (WAC)


                                29                         Yong-Kyung Lee
Take away
The world is different now


                Be prepared for „mobile economy‟!


                 Utilize mobility to enhance productivity
                 - Mobile office (Korail case)

                 Seize new business opportunities
                 - LBS service, contents mash-up


Note : Korail provided 6,500 staff with smart-phones to monitor subway systems
                                                              31                 Yong-Kyung Lee
PatientsLikeme.com


                              Free
                           community                    Commissions
                             service
                                                                      Pharmaceutical
   Personal                                 PatientsLikeMe
   feedback
                                                                        companies
                                 Data
                               collection                 Sell data

             Similar
             patients

             Internet                          Mobile                    SNS
                                                                 Cohesive group
          Explosion of                      True ubiquitous        formed by
          information                        environment        exchanging trust
              flow                                                 & emotion

Source : SERI CEO, Jan. 2011                      32                   Yong-Kyung Lee
Governments should be reminded


           Timely, timely, timely

Pave way to boost mobile economy
- Find measures to support the industry

If not sure, let the market move ahead
- Ex ante regulation should be avoided
- Leave the private sector in the driver‟s seat

Strengthen global collaboration
- Privacy & security, no longer domestic issues
                       33            Yong-Kyung Lee
Power of social media

   Knowing social media wins power

      Market                      Government
                                   Government


     Customer        Individual     Citizen
      power                         power
                     Network
                      power
Social networks                   Real-time
        =                               =
Multiply influence
                         Χ    Multiply information
                         34             Yong-Kyung Lee
Thank you

yklee@paran.com
IPTV(live/on demand)+internet+phone=$38

                          Subs-        QOOK   Modem    QOOKTV    STB      Phone
         Service                                                                      Total
                         cription      Base   Rental    Base    Rental   Additional
          100M
         internet
          LiveTV          3 yrs        $27      -        $7       -         $4.6      $38.6
           32ch
        on demand
          Phone           None         $34      $8      $9.7     $7         $5        $64
          100M
         internet
         Live TV          3 yrs        $27      -       $8.6      -         $4.6      $40.2
          50 Ch
        On demand
          Phone           None         $34      $8      $11      $7         $5        $65
          100M
         internet
          Live TV         3 yrs        $27      -       $11       -         $4.6      $42.6
           70 Ch
        on demand
          Phone           None         $34      $8      $15      $7         $5        $69
Note : $1=1,000(Korean won) assumed            36
Network proportion by technology




                      20% CDMA 1XEV-DOWCDMA            59%
                                                       HSPA
                               35% HSDPA
                                                       13%
                         40% WCDMA                    WCDMA




Source; Ovum 2010                      37       Yong-Kyung Lee
Media evolution



                                                 trans
                                                 media

                                         cross

                               digital
                     printed
         alphabets
speech



                          38
At dates: attracted more to smart phones




                   39           Yong-Kyung Lee

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"A new keyword, smart communications"_youn kyung lee

  • 1. 2011 Malta Conference The Keynote Speech 1011010110111001010010101000100100100101011101101101101011011100101001010100010010010010101110 10110101101110010100101010001001001001010111011011011010110111001010010101000100100100101011101101 The new keyword, „Smart Communications‟ Yong-Kyung Lee, Ph. D. Legislator The National Assembly of the Republic of Korea NOTICE: This material is proprietary to the writer. It shall not be used, reproduced, copied, disclosed, transmitted, Yong-Kyung Lee 1 in whole or in part, without the permission of the writer. © 2011 copyrights reserved
  • 3. Korea‟s rankings in global ICT indices UN E-government development index as of 2010 #1 ☞Capacity & willingness in using e-government for ICT-based national development UN e-participation index as of 2010 #1 ☞ Online participation of citizens on national issues and policies ITU ICT development index as of 2010 #3 ☞ Development of information society including information divide #1 Household internet penetration rate among OECD nations as of 2009 (ITU) 3 Yong-Kyung Lee
  • 4. How much Korea is connected • 16 million broadband subscribers (pop. 48m) • 77.2% of internet usage rate • 18 million DMB users (8 TV, 11 Radio) • 49 million mobile phone users • 2.6 million IPTV subscribers DMB: Digital Multimedia Broadcasting Source : NIA 2010 4 Yong-Kyung Lee
  • 5. Key success factor Government Government Visionary leadership & Visionary policies policies Key Risk-taking CEOs Market Capable local vendors factor Fierce market competition Consumer Early-adopting & picky 5 Yong-Kyung Lee
  • 6. Keywords of the Current Market Stand-alone Networked PC computing Cloud service Narrowband Broadband Mobile computing Social networking Fixed-line Mobile 6 Yong-Kyung Lee
  • 8. November 2009 in Korea Source : Yonhap News 8 Yong-Kyung Lee
  • 9. Smart-phone wave 25,000 (unit:000 users) 7,000 1,420% 460 Nov 2009 Dec 2010 Dec 2011(E) Source : KCC 2010 9 Yong-Kyung Lee
  • 10. Data traffic explosion 50,837 GB 12,200% 415 GB Jan 2009 ~ Nov 2009 Dec 2009 ~ Jan 2010 Note : Data traffic from smart-phone users Source : www.digieco.org 10 Yong-Kyung Lee
  • 11. No.1 in mobile data traffic (/user/mo) Korea Japan World average 271 MB 199 MB 85 MB Note : ATPU (average traffic per user/per month) Source; Informa Telecoms & Media Nov. 2010 11 Yong-Kyung Lee
  • 12. Korean smart phone apps 23.1 apps per user on average 7,475 215% 58.1% smart-phone users 2,367 have at least one paid-app 29.5% paid-app users 2009 2010 spend more than $ 10 per month Source : www.digieco.org, KCC & KISA, July 2010 12 Yong-Kyung Lee
  • 13. Spend 59.4 minutes accessing Internet Smart-phone usage 41.6%, over 60 min. Internet Music 120~ min. ~5 min. 17.2% 14.2% Moving picture 5~10 min. LBS services 7.7% 60~120 min. Camera 10-30 min. 24.4% 18.1% App usage email 30~60 min. (%) 18.4% Documentatio n Note : Only internet connection duration counted Source : July 2010, KCC & KISA 13 Yong-Kyung Lee
  • 14. Skyrocketing SNS visitors facebook Twitter 7,380 8,654 650% 527% 984 1,379 Sep 2009 Sep 2010 Sep 2009 Sep 2010 (000/mo) Note : 2.5 million FB users & 2.4 million twitter users as of Jan 2011 Source; Metrics, The Segye Daily Newspaper Jan 2011 14 Yong-Kyung Lee
  • 15. Smart-phone widows? Go to hell with your smart phone! Well, then, bury me in a WiFi zone! 15 Yong-Kyung Lee
  • 16. One of the success factors Affordable package prices i-slim i-light i-medium i-premium Monthly 35 45 65 95 charge($) Voice 150 min 200 min 400 min 800 min SMS 200 300 300 300 Mobile 100MB 500MB 1GB 3GB data i-phone $396 $264 $132 free 3GS Note : $1=1,000(Korean won) assumed., 2year-subscription Source : KT 2009 price table 16 Yong-Kyung Lee
  • 17. Flat rate being a curse? $50/mo “unlimited data usage” (21.6% of total subscribers*) $50/mo – 75Mbytes Daily limit $60/mo – 100Mbytes $70/mo – 150Mbytes $90/mo – 300Mbytes Note : started from Aug. 2010 Source : July 2010, KCC & KISA 17 Yong-Kyung Lee
  • 18. What does this all mean?
  • 19. Truly mobile Always-on Strictly personal 19 Yong-Kyung Lee
  • 20. Mobile power in the US Source : Bain Analysis 20 Yong-Kyung Lee
  • 21. User diffusion speed Time to reach 20 users from 5 users/100 (persons) 20 5yr 6yr 8yr 15 31yr 10 (1) fixed-line (2) internet (3) mobile phone 5 (4) smartphone Note : How long it takes to reach 20 from 5 users among 100 people Source : SERI, June 2010 21
  • 22. Global mobile traffic forecast 131% annual growth Source : Bain Analysis 22 Yong-Kyung Lee
  • 23. Proportion of mobile operators voice revenue Asia Pacific Western Europe North America data revenue = voice revenue in North America in 4 years Source : Ovum 2010 23 Yong-Kyung Lee
  • 25. Challenges Privacy, strict guard or show off? Security, „always-on‟: hackers‟ playground Smart-divide Network, who pays for it? 25 Yong-Kyung Lee
  • 26. To cope with data traffic explosion Short-term ; Upgrade & detouring Upgrade network 4G (LTE/Wibro Evolution) Mobile Core Network Internet detouring Femto-cell, Wi-Fi Source : KISA 2011 26 Yong-Kyung Lee
  • 27. Network evolution roadmap (Korea) KT SKT LGU+ HSDPA 03.2007 03.2007 2006 384Kbps/14.4M (National coverage) (National coverage) CDMA2000 Rev.A HSUPA 06.2010 05.2010 3.5G 5.7M/14.4M (84 cities) (59 cities) HSPA+ 12.2010 10.2010 5.7~11M/21~42M (pilot, Seoul) (Seoul) LTE pilot 2011 07.2011 07.2011 36~75M/73~150M (Seoul) (Seoul) (Seoul) LTE 2012 (6major cities) commercial service 2013 (nation-wide) 4G 2011 (modem type) 2012 (dual mode) LTE Device 2012 (phone type) 2013 (single mode) LTE Advanced Commercial service in 2015 150M~/300M~ 27 Yong-Kyung Lee
  • 28. To cope with data traffic explosion Long-term; Migration from CDN to CCN Pre-Caching On-demand CDNAPP APP TCP/IP CCN D/L D/L PHY PHY Add-on network Architecture integration Note : CDN (Contents Delivery Network), CCN (Contents Centric Network) Source : KISA 2011 28 Yong-Kyung Lee
  • 29. Smart-phone OS competition & Telco‟s strategy OS competition Telco’s cross platform strategy App Store Cross Platform IOS Android Windows Symbian Others N-screen Others Global Telco Alliance (WAC) 29 Yong-Kyung Lee
  • 31. The world is different now Be prepared for „mobile economy‟! Utilize mobility to enhance productivity - Mobile office (Korail case) Seize new business opportunities - LBS service, contents mash-up Note : Korail provided 6,500 staff with smart-phones to monitor subway systems 31 Yong-Kyung Lee
  • 32. PatientsLikeme.com Free community Commissions service Pharmaceutical Personal PatientsLikeMe feedback companies Data collection Sell data Similar patients Internet Mobile SNS Cohesive group Explosion of True ubiquitous formed by information environment exchanging trust flow & emotion Source : SERI CEO, Jan. 2011 32 Yong-Kyung Lee
  • 33. Governments should be reminded Timely, timely, timely Pave way to boost mobile economy - Find measures to support the industry If not sure, let the market move ahead - Ex ante regulation should be avoided - Leave the private sector in the driver‟s seat Strengthen global collaboration - Privacy & security, no longer domestic issues 33 Yong-Kyung Lee
  • 34. Power of social media Knowing social media wins power Market Government Government Customer Individual Citizen power power Network power Social networks Real-time = = Multiply influence Χ Multiply information 34 Yong-Kyung Lee
  • 36. IPTV(live/on demand)+internet+phone=$38 Subs- QOOK Modem QOOKTV STB Phone Service Total cription Base Rental Base Rental Additional 100M internet LiveTV 3 yrs $27 - $7 - $4.6 $38.6 32ch on demand Phone None $34 $8 $9.7 $7 $5 $64 100M internet Live TV 3 yrs $27 - $8.6 - $4.6 $40.2 50 Ch On demand Phone None $34 $8 $11 $7 $5 $65 100M internet Live TV 3 yrs $27 - $11 - $4.6 $42.6 70 Ch on demand Phone None $34 $8 $15 $7 $5 $69 Note : $1=1,000(Korean won) assumed 36
  • 37. Network proportion by technology 20% CDMA 1XEV-DOWCDMA 59% HSPA 35% HSDPA 13% 40% WCDMA WCDMA Source; Ovum 2010 37 Yong-Kyung Lee
  • 38. Media evolution trans media cross digital printed alphabets speech 38
  • 39. At dates: attracted more to smart phones 39 Yong-Kyung Lee